请输入您要查询的百科知识：

　

词条 Opinion polling for the 2012 South Korean presidential election
释义

  1. General election

     Two-candidate race  Park Geun-hye vs. Ahn Cheol-soo  Park Geun-hye vs. Kim Doo-kwan  Park Geun-hye vs. Moon Jae-in  Park Geun-hye vs. Sohn Hak-kyu  Multiple-candidate race 

  2. Saenuri primary

  3. DUP primary

  4. References

{{Update|inaccurate=yes|date=November 2012}}

This article is a list of opinion polls that have been taken for the South Korean presidential election, 2012. It is divided into polls for the presidential election itself, and polls for the primaries of the two main parties, Saenuri and the Democratic United Party. Two-way polls are used to demonstrate the popularity of one candidate with respect to another, but the election itself will have no run-off round and will be held under a system of First Past the Post. The polls are ordered by date, with the newest at the top.

General election

Two-candidate race

Park Geun-hye vs. Ahn Cheol-soo

Poll sourceDateSample sizeMargin
Park (%)
Saenuri		 Ahn (%)
Independent
Hankyoreh/Korea Society Opinion Institute[1] 27–28 July 2012 1,000 44.948.83.9
Gallup[2] 23–27 July 2012 1,520 42 42 0
Realmeter[3] 23–27 July 2012 3,750 44.248.44.2
JoongAng Ilbo[4] 19–21 July 2012 2,00049.3 45.24.1
Realmeter[5] 16–20 July 2012 3,75047.7 44.82.9
OhMyNews/Research View[6] 16–17 July 2012 1,00048.7 46.52.2
Realmeter[7] 25–29 June 2012 3,75049.0 43.85.2
Realmeter[8] 18–22 June 2012 3,75049.2 44.34.9
Realmeter[9] 29 May – 1 June 2012 3,00048.6 45.63.0
Hankyoreh/Korea Society Opinion Institute[10] 26–27 May 2012 80053.5 43.79.8
Realmeter[11] 21–25 May 2012 3,75048.5 44.73.8
JoongAng Ilbo[12] 15 May 2012 91051.9 43.08.9
Realmeter[13] 14–18 May 2012 3,75048.8 43.94.9
Realmeter[14] 7–11 May 2012 3,75047.6 45.62.0
Realmeter[15] 7–8 May 2012 1,50051.3 40.710.6
Chosun Ilbo / Media Research[16] 2–6 May 2012 1,00047.2 42.15.1
Realmeter[17] 30 Apr – 4 May 2012 3,00047.9 45.72.2
Gallup[18] 30 Apr – 4 May 2012 1,27247.0 37.010.0
Realmeter[19] 23–27 April 2012 3,75047.1 46.90.2
Realmeter[20] 16–20 April 2012 3,75049.2 45.04.2
Realmeter[21] 12–13 April 2012 1,50047.9 44.83.1
JoongAng Ilbo / Gallup[22][23] 12–13 April 2012 80045.1 35.99.2
Realmeter[24] 6–10 February 2012 3,750 41.349.58.2
Realmeter[25] 30 Jan – 3 Feb 2012 3,750 40.451.511.1

Park Geun-hye vs. Kim Doo-kwan

Poll sourceDateSample sizeMargin
Park (%)
Saenuri		 Kim (%)
DUP
JoongAng Ilbo[24] 19–21 July 2012 2,00068.5 20.647.9

Park Geun-hye vs. Moon Jae-in

Poll sourceDateSample sizeMargin
Park (%)
Saenuri		 Moon (%)
DUP
JoongAng Ilbo[25] 19–21 July 2012 2,00056.6 35.011.6
OhMyNews/Research View[26] 16–17 July 2012 1,00050.8 41.09.8
Realmeter[9] 29 May – 1 Jun 2012 3,00052.5 38.613.9
Hankyoreh /Korea Society Opinion Institute[10] 26–27 May 201261.0 33.527.5
Realmeter[11] 21–25 May 2012 3,75052.6 37.914.7
JoongAng Ilbo[12] 15 May 2012 91057.6 33.324.3
Realmeter[13] 14–18 May 2012 3,75052.0 37.514.5
Realmeter[14] 7–11 May 2012 3,75051.9 38.213.7
Realmeter[15] 7–8 May 2012 1,50055.7 36.319.4
Realmeter[17] 30 Apr – 4 May 2012 3,00052.4 38.014.4
Realmeter[19] 23–27 April 2012 3,75050.9 40.310.6
Realmeter[27] 6–10 February 2012 3,75044.3 43.01.3
Realmeter[28] 30 Jan – 3 Feb 2012 3,750 44.444.90.5
Donga Ilbo[28] 24 January 201246.7 38.48.3

Park Geun-hye vs. Sohn Hak-kyu

Poll sourceDateSample sizeMargin
Park (%)
Saenuri		 Sohn (%)
DUP
JoongAng Ilbo[29] 19–21 July 2012 2,00067.4 23.943.5

Multiple-candidate race

Candidate
Ahn
Cheol-soo		 Chung
Dong-young		 Chung
Mong-joon		 Chung
Sye-kyun		 Chung
Un-chan		 Kim
Doo-kwan		 Kim
Moon-soo		 Lee
Hoi-chang		 Moon
Jae-in		 Park
Geun-hye		 Rhyu
Si-min		 Sohn
Hak-kyu
Realmeter[9]
29 May – 1 Jun 2012		 22.1% 1.7% 2.1% – – 2.2% 3.2% 2.4% 13.8%40.4% 1.7% 3.6%
Korea Society Opinion Institute[10]
26–27 May 2012		 22.6% 1.5% 2.4% – – 1.7% 1.9% – 11.1%43.0% 2.7% 1.9%
Realmeter[30]
21–25 May 2012		 19.9% 2.2% 3.1% 0.7% 1.1% 2.1% 2.7% 2.1% 13.7%40.5% 3.2% 3.0%
JoongAng Ilbo[12]
15 May 2012		 23.3% 1.1% 2.5% – – 1.7% 1.9% 1.3% 9.9%39.3% 1.1% 2.0%
Realmeter[13]
14–18 May 2012		 20.7% 1.8% 2.2% 1.0% 1.9% 2.6% 2.5% 1.4% 13.4%41.9% 2.4% 3.2%
Realmeter[14]
7–11 May 2012		 23.8% 1.7% 2.9% – 1.6% 2.2% 2.0% 1.8% 12.3%40.3% 2.0% 3.4%
Media Research[16][31]
1–6 May 2012		 22.0% 0.8% 1.3% 0.3% 0.4% 1.0% 1.4% 1.6% 9.6%35.8% 1.5% 1.5%
Realmeter[19]
30 Apr – 4 May 2012		 22.2% 2.3% 2.8% – 1.0% 2.1% 2.5% 1.7% 13.5%40.0% 2.1% 3.2%
Realmeter[19]
23–27 Apr 2012		 24.0% 1.3% 2.4% – 0.9% 2.0% 2.8% 1.8% 13.1%40.3% 2.5% 3.6%
Korea Society Opinion Institute[32]
21 April 2012		 23.8% 0.9% 1.3% – – 0.6% 2.6% 0.9% 11.1%40.6% 1.2% 1.6%
Realmeter[20]
16–20 Apr 2012		 23.9% 1.3% 1.8% – 1.2% 1.4% 1.5% 1.7% 13.5%42.1% 2.6% 3.5%
Realmeter[33]
12–13 Apr 2012		 20.7% 2.0% 1.8% 1.1% 1.3% – 1.5% 2.4% 16.5%42.5% 2.3% 3.2%
Realmeter[34]
2–6 Apr 2012		 18.3% 2.6% 2.5% 1.3% 2.5% – 2.7% 1.9% 19.1%36.6% 3.1% 3.2%
Korea Society Opinion Institute[35]
31 March 2012		 17.2% 2.1% 1.1% – – 0.4% 1.6% 1.6% 16.3%36.2% 1.8% 2.4%
Realmeter[27]
6–10 Feb 2012		 20.8% 2.4% 2.5% 0.8% 2.6% – 2.8% 2.6% 19.4%31.3% 3.1% 3.1%
Realmeter[28]
30 Jan – 3 Feb 2012		 21.1% – – – – – 3.2% – 19.3%31.2% 3.6% 4.7%

Saenuri primary

Poll source Date Sample size Ahn Sang-soo Chung Mong-joon Chung Un-chan Kim Moon-soo Lee Jae-oh Park Geun-hye Yim Tae-hee
Hankyoreh/Korea Society Opinion Institute[32] 21 April 2012 800 – 5.2% 0.4% 3.1% 0.2%83.4% –

DUP primary

Poll source Date Sample size Ahn Cheol-soo Chung Dong-young Chung Sye-kyun Kim Doo-kwan Moon Jae-in Sohn Hak-kyu
Hankyoreh/Korea Society Opinion Institute[32] 21 April 2012 800 2.3% 5.4% 2.4% 3.6%43.4% 15.5%

References

1. ^{{cite news|url=http://english.hani.co.kr/arti/english_edition/e_national/544829.html|title=Ahn leading Park in latest polls|date=29 July 2012|accessdate=3 August 2012|work=The Hankyoreh}}
2. ^{{cite web|url=http://www.koreatimes.co.kr/www/news/nation/2012/07/116_116242.html|title=Ahn matches Park in approval ratings: poll|date=30 July 2012|accessdate=2 August 2012|publisher=Korea Times}}
3. ^{{cite web|url=http://realmeter.net/issue/view.asp?Table_Name=s_news1&N_Num=428&file_name=20120730103845.htm&Cpage=1|title=안철수 원장 지지율 상승세 둔화|language=Korean|trans-title=Rise of Dean Ahn's Approval Rating Slows Down|date=30 July 2012|accessdate=3 August 2012|publisher=Realmeter}}
4. ^{{cite news|url=http://article.joinsmsn.com/news/article/article.asp?total_id=8833220%7carticle%7cdefault |title=안철수 책 나온뒤 박근혜와 지지율 변화가…|language=Korean|publisher=JoongAng Ilbo|trans-title=Change in Ahn Cheol-soo's Approval Rating against Park Geun-hye After Ahn's New Book...|date=23 July 2012|accessdate=3 August 2012}}
5. ^{{cite web|url=http://realmeter.net/issue/view.asp?Table_Name=s_news1&N_Num=426&file_name=20120723105512.htm&Cpage=1|title=출판 소식에 안철수 원장 지지율 상승|language=Korean|trans-title=Dean Ahn's Approval Rating Rise on the News of New Book|date=23 July 2012|accessdate=2 August 2012|publisher=Realmeter}}
6. ^{{cite web|url=http://www.ohmynews.com/NWS_Web/View/at_pg.aspx?CNTN_CD=A0001758380|title=대선 지지도, 박근혜-안철수-문재인-김두관 순 박근혜, 양자대결에서 처음으로 안철수 앞서|language=Korean|trans-title=Top Finishers of a Presidential Race Poll are Park Geun-hye, Ahn Cheol-soo, and Moon Jae-in. Park Surpasses Ahn for the First Time in a Two-Way Race|date=19 July 2012|accessdate=3 August 2012|publisher=OhMyNews}}
7. ^{{cite web|url=http://realmeter.net/issue/view.asp?Table_Name=s_news1&N_Num=417&file_name=20120702094539.htm&Cpage=1|title=대선 양자대결 박근혜 49.0% vs 안철수 43.8%|language=Korean|trans-title=Presidential Race Two-Candidate Race Park Geun-hye 49.0% vs Ahn Cheol-soo 43.8%|date=2 July 2012|accessdate=11 July 2012|publisher=Realmeter}}
8. ^{{cite web|url=http://realmeter.net/issue/view.asp?Table_Name=s_news1&N_Num=416&file_name=20120625100029.htm&Cpage=1|title=새누리당, 박근혜 전 위원장 지지율 소폭 하락|language=Korean|trans-title=Slight Drops in Approval Ratings of Saenuri Party and Park Geun-hye, the Former Acting Leader|date=25 June 2012|accessdate=11 July 2012|publisher=Realmeter}}
9. ^1 2 {{cite web|url=http://realmeter.net/issue/view.asp?Table_Name=s_news1&N_Num=407&file_name=20120604105438.htm&Cpage=1|title=대선 다자구도 박근혜 8주 연속 40%대 고공행진|language=Korean|trans-title=Park Geun-hye's approval rating in multi-candidate race shoots above 40% for eight consecutive weeks|date=4 June 2012|accessdate=4 June 2012|publisher=Realmeter}}
10. ^1 2 {{cite news|url=http://english.hani.co.kr/arti/english_edition/e_national/535056.html|title=Park still leading presidential polls|date=29 May 2012|accessdate=29 May 2012|work=The Hankyoreh}}
11. ^1 {{cite news|url=http://news.naver.com/main/read.nhn?mode=LSD&mid=shm&sid1=100&oid=032&aid=0002221995|title=대선후보 양자대결 박근혜 48.5%•안철수 44.7%|language=Korean|publisher=Realmeter|trans-title=Two candidate poll: Park Geun-hye 48.5%, Ahn Cheol-soo 44.7%|date=29 May 2012|accessdate=29 May 2012}}
12. ^1 2 {{cite news|url=http://joongang.joinsmsn.com/article/aid/2012/05/17/7833593.html?cloc=olink%7carticle%7cdefault|title=통합진보당 쇼크…박근혜 대선 지지율 수치가!|language=Korean|publisher=Realmeter|trans-title=Unified Progressive Party's shock ... Park Geun-hye's approval rating!|date=17 May 2012|accessdate=19 May 2012}}
13. ^1 2 {{cite web|url=http://realmeter.net/issue/view.asp?Table_Name=s_news1&N_Num=402&file_name=20120521101447.htm&Cpage=1|title=통합진보당 ‘도로 민노당’ 지지율로 하락|language=Korean|publisher=Realmeter|trans-title=Unified Progressive Party approval rating drops, 'Democratic Labour Party again'|date=21 May 2012|accessdate=21 May 2012}}
14. ^1 2 {{cite web|url=http://www.realmeter.net/issue/view.asp?Table_Name=s_news1&N_Num=401&file_name=20120514103903.htm&Cpage=1|title=통합진보당 총선 이후 3주 연속 내리막|language=Korean|trans-title=Unified Progressive Party falls for 3 consecutive weeks after election|date=14 May 2012|accessdate=18 May 2012|publisher=Realmeter}}
15. ^1 {{cite web|url=http://news.naver.com/main/read.nhn?mode=LSD&mid=shm&sid1=100&oid=081&aid=0002276486|title=박근혜 51.3%•안철수 40.7%…朴, 양자대결서 첫 50% 돌파|language=Korean|trans-title=Park 51.3%• Ahn 40.7%. Park's approval rate soared over 50% in two candidate poll|date=11 May 2012|accessdate=11 May 2012|work=Seoul Sinmun|author=Hwang Bi-woong (황비웅)}}
16. ^1 {{cite web|url=http://news.chosun.com/site/data/html_dir/2012/05/07/2012050700145.html|title=새누리 40.0, 민주당 32.3%, 진보당 5.9, 선진당 1.9%|language=Korean|trans-title=Saenuri 40.0, DUP 32.3%, UPP 5.9, LFP 1.9%|date=7 May 2012|accessdate=7 May 2012|work=Chosun Ilbo}}
17. ^1 {{cite web|url=http://www.realmeter.net/issue/view.asp?Table_Name=s_news1&N_Num=400&file_name=20120507110600.htm&Cpage=1|title=경선불참 소식으로 안철수 원장 지지율 하락|language=Korean|trans-title=Director Ahn Cheol-soo's ratings fall on news of election absence|date=7 May 2012|accessdate=7 May 2012|publisher=Realmeter}}
18. ^{{cite news|url=http://www.ohmynews.com/NWS_Web/view/at_pg.aspx?CNTN_CD=A0001730131&CMPT_CD=E0942|title=왜 왕자님은 떨어지고 공주님은 오를까|language=Korean|trans-title=Why is the prince falling and the princess rising?|work=OhMyNews|date=9 May 2012|accessdate=11 May 2012}}
19. ^1 2 3 {{cite web|url=http://realmeter.net/issue/view.asp?Table_Name=s_news1&N_Num=396&file_name=20120430112623.htm&Cpage=1|title=이명박 대통령 지지율 4주 연속 하락|language=Korean|trans-title=President Lee Myung-bak's approval ratings decline continuously for four weeks|publisher=Realmeter|accessdate=30 April 2012|date=30 April 2012}}
20. ^1 {{cite web|url=http://realmeter.net/issue/view.asp?Table_Name=s_news1&N_Num=394&file_name=20120423102210.htm&Cpage=1|title=대선 지지율, 세대별 양극화 심각|language=Korean|trans-title=Presidential election poll: Generational polarization serious|publisher=Realmeter|accessdate=27 April 2012|date=23 April 2012}}
21. ^{{cite news|url=http://news.hankooki.com/lpage/politics/201204/h2012041614415021060.htm|title=양자구도서 박근혜 47.9%, 안철수 44.8%|language=Korean|trans-title=Two-way race: Park Geun-hye 47.9%; Ahn Cheol-soo 44.8%|work=Hankook Ilbo|date=16 April 2012|accessdate=27 April 2012}}
22. ^{{cite news|url=http://koreajoongangdaily.joinsmsn.com/news/article/article.aspx?aid=2951638&cloc=joongangdaily%7chome%7cnewslist1|title=Parties demand Ahn to decide on candidacy|work=Korea JoongAng Daily|date=18 April 2012|accessdate=27 April 2012}}
23. ^{{cite news|url=http://www.viewsnnews.com/article/view.jsp?seq=85555|title=[총선후 여론조사] 박근혜 45.1% vs 안철수 35.9%|language=Korean|trans-title=[Opinion poll after the legislative election] Park Geun-hye 45.1% vs. Ahn Cheol-soo 5.9%|work=Views & News|date=13 April 2012|accessdate=27 April 2012}} 박근혜 45.1% vs 안철수 35.9%
24. ^{{cite news|url=http://article.joinsmsn.com/news/article/article.asp?total_id=8833220|article|default|title=안철수 책 나온뒤 박근혜와 지지율 변화가…|language=Korean|publisher=JoongAng Ilbo|trans-title=Change in Ahn Cheol-soo's Approval Rating against Park Geun-hye After Ahn's New Book...|date=23 July 2012|accessdate=3 August 2012}}
25. ^{{cite news|url=http://article.joinsmsn.com/news/article/article.asp?total_id=8833220|article|default|title=안철수 책 나온뒤 박근혜와 지지율 변화가…|language=Korean|publisher=JoongAng Ilbo|trans-title=Change in Ahn Cheol-soo's Approval Rating against Park Geun-hye After Ahn's New Book...|date=23 July 2012|accessdate=3 August 2012}}
26. ^{{cite web|url=http://www.ohmynews.com/NWS_Web/View/at_pg.aspx?CNTN_CD=A0001758380|title=대선 지지도, 박근혜-안철수-문재인-김두관 순 박근혜, 양자대결에서 처음으로 안철수 앞서|language=Korean|trans-title=Top Finishers of a Presidential Race Poll are Park Geun-hye, Ahn Cheol-soo, and Moon Jae-in. Park Surpasses Ahn for the First Time in a Two-Way Race|date=19 July 2012|accessdate=3 August 2012|publisher=OhMyNews}}
27. ^1 2 {{cite web|url=http://realmeter.net/issue/view.asp?Table_Name=s_news1&N_Num=394&file_name=20120423102210.htm&Cpage=1|title=박근혜, 오차범위내서 문재인 다시 앞서|language=Korean|trans-title=Park Geun-hye again ahead of Moon Jae-in, within margin of error|publisher=Realmeter|accessdate=8 May 2012|date=13 February 2012}}
28. ^1 2 3 {{cite news|url=http://english.hani.co.kr/arti/english_edition/e_national/517841.html|title=Polls ahead of presidential election show a tight race|work=The Hankyoreh|date=7 February 2012|accessdate=27 April 2012}}
29. ^{{cite news|url=http://article.joinsmsn.com/news/article/article.asp?total_id=8833220|article|default|title=안철수 책 나온뒤 박근혜와 지지율 변화가…|language=Korean|publisher=JoongAng Ilbo|trans-title=Change in Ahn Cheol-soo's Approval Rating against Park Geun-hye After Ahn's New Book...|date=23 July 2012|accessdate=3 August 2012}}
30. ^{{cite web|url=http://realmeter.net/issue/view.asp?Table_Name=s_news1&N_Num=403&file_name=20120529100905.htm&Cpage=1|title=통합진보당 ‘도로 민노당’ 지지율 아래로 추락|language=Korean|date=29 May 2012|accessdate=29 May 2012|trans-title=Unified Progressive Party approval rating plunges below Democratic Labor Party}}
31. ^{{cite news|url=http://www.edaily.co.kr/news/NewsRead.edy?newsid=01994246599526624&SCD=DA32&DCD=A01503|title=박근혜 47.2%-안철수 42.1%..양자구도서 앞서|language=Korean|trans-title=Park Geun-hye 47.2% - Ahn Cheol-soo 42.1% ... Ahead in two-way race|date=7 May 2012|accessdate=8 May 2012}}
32. ^1 2 {{cite news|url=http://english.hani.co.kr/arti/english_edition/e_national/529532.html|title=Most would choose Park or Ahn for president|work=The Hankyoreh|date=23 April 2012|accessdate=27 April 2012}}
33. ^{{cite web|url=http://www.realmeter.net/issue/view.asp?Table_Name=s_news1&N_Num=393&file_name=20120416095446.htm&Cpage=1|title=대선 양자구도, 박근혜 처음으로 안철수 앞서|language=Korean|trans-title=Presidential election two-way race: Park Geun-hye first followed by Ahn Cheol-soo|publisher=Realmeter|date=16 April 2012|accessdate=27 April 2012}}
34. ^{{cite web|url=http://www.realmeter.net/issue/view.asp?table_name=S_News1&n_num=392|title=박근혜 지지율 2년만에 최고치, 36.6%|language=Korean|trans-title=Park Geun-hye's approval rating at 2-year high of 36.6%|publisher=Realmeter|date=|accessdate=27 April 2012}}
35. ^{{cite news|url=http://english.hani.co.kr/arti/english_edition/e_national/526296.html|title=Poll: Park Geun-hye still leading race to presidency|work=The Hankyoreh|date=2 April 2012|accessdate=27 April 2012}}

3 : Opinion polling for elections|South Korean presidential election, 2012|Opinion polling in South Korea
随便看

　

开放百科全书收录14589846条英语、德语、日语等多语种百科知识，基本涵盖了大多数领域的百科知识，是一部内容自由、开放的电子版国际百科全书。

　

Copyright © 2023 OENC.NET All Rights Reserved
京ICP备2021023879号 更新时间：2024/11/11 1:05:49