| 词条 | SciCast |
| 释义 |
SciCast is a collaborative platform for science and technology forecasting created by George Mason University with the help of a grant from the Intelligence Advanced Research Projects Activity (IARPA) as part of its ForeST (Forecasting in Science and Technology) program.[1][2][3] SciCast is currently (January 2016) on hiatus, after losing its main IARPA funding.[4] It was expected to re-open in the fall of 2015 with the support of a major Science & Technology sponsor, but this had not occurred by January 2016. HistorySciCast was an outgrowth of an earlier project called DAGGRE (Decomposition-Based Elicitation and Aggregation), also an IARPA project that implemented GMU economist Robin Hanson's idea of combinatorial prediction tech markets, and was a participant in the IARPA Aggregative Contingent Estimation tournament.[5][6] The launch of SciCast itself was announced by Robin Hanson on January 3, 2014,[5] and the official announcements were made on January 10, 2014.[2] The launch received some news coverage in March 2014.[1][7] ReceptionSciCast has been covered in The Chicago Tribune repeatedly.[1][8] The launch of SciCast was picked up by many blogs and websites of data analysis and technology trends.[9][10][11] SciCast's crowdsourced search for the missing Malaysia Airlines Flight 370 airliner attracted the attention of some analysts.[12] See also
References1. ^1 2 {{cite web|url=http://www.chicagotribune.com/news/local/suburbs/community/chi-ugc-article-scicast-launch-crowdsourced-forecasting-proj-2013-12-16,0,6925070.story|title = SciCast Launch! Crowdsourced Forecasting Project from George Mason University|last= Jury|first = Jessie|date = December 16, 2013|accessdate = May 6, 2014|publisher = Chicago Tribune}} 2. ^1 {{cite web|url=http://newsdesk.gmu.edu/2014/01/scicast-crowdsources-forecasts-science-technology-events-innovations/|title = SciCast Crowdsources Forecasts on Science and Technology Events and Innovations|date = January 10, 2014|accessdate = May 6, 2014|publisher = George Mason University Newsdesk}} 3. ^{{cite web|url=http://www.iarpa.gov/index.php/research-programs/forest|title = Forecasting Science & Technology (ForeST)|last = Matheny|first = Jason|accessdate = May 6, 2014|publisher = Intelligence Advanced Research Projects Activity}} 4. ^{{cite web|url=http://blog.scicast.org/2015/06/08/so-long-and-thanks-for-all-the-fish/|title = So Long, and Thanks for All the Fish! |date = June 8, 2015|accessdate = July 12, 2015|publisher = The Official SciCast Blog}} 5. ^1 {{cite web|url=http://www.overcomingbias.com/2014/01/announcingscicast.html|title = Announcing: SciCast|date = January 3, 2014|accessdate = May 6, 2014|last = Hanson|first = Robin|authorlink = Robin Hanson|publisher = Overcoming Bias}} 6. ^{{cite web|url = http://www.overcomingbias.com/2011/08/join-gmus-daggre-team.html|title = Join The DAGGRE Team|last = Hanson|first = Robin|authorlink = Robin Hanson|publisher = Overcoming Bias|date = August 31, 2011|accessdate = May 6, 2014}} 7. ^{{cite web|url=http://www.aaas.org/news/scicast-predict-tomorrow-today|title = SciCast - Predict Tomorrow, Today. The Center for Science, Technology, and Security Policy (CSTSP) is working with a research group at George Mason University on a project – SciCast - to develop an online crowd-sourcing tool that can help predict future innovations in science and technology.|last = Roderick|first = Jennifer|date = March 30, 2014|accessdate = May 6, 2014|publisher = American Association for the Advancement of Science}} 8. ^{{cite web|url=http://www.chicagotribune.com/news/local/suburbs/frankfort_mokena_new_lenox/community/chi-ugc-article-scicast-college-bowl-kicks-off-today-april-2-2014-04-29,0,4160076.story|title = SciCast College Bowl Kicks off Today, April 29|last = Jury|first = Jessie|date = April 29, 2014|accessdate = May 6, 2014|publisher = Chicago Tribune}} 9. ^{{cite web|url=http://www.kdnuggets.com/2014/01/scicast-crowdsourced-forecasting-platform-science-technology.html|title = SciCast: a Crowdsourced Forecasting Platform for Science and Technology|publisher = KD Nuggets|date = January 16, 2014|last = Piatetsky|first = Gregory|accessdate = May 6, 2014}} 10. ^{{cite web|url = http://www.securitycurve.com/archives/6895|title = SciCast: Toward a better model for prediction|date = January 22, 2014|accessdate = May 6, 2014|author = Ed|publisher = Security Curve|deadurl = yes|archiveurl = https://web.archive.org/web/20140129175523/http://www.securitycurve.com/archives/6895|archivedate = January 29, 2014|df = }} 11. ^{{cite web|url=http://sasm.tv/2014/02/06/robin-hanson-scicast-prediction-markets-future-day/|title = Robin Hanson – SciCast, Prediction Markets & Future Day |last = Lozada|first = John|date = February 6, 2014|accessdate = May 6, 2014}} 12. ^{{cite web|url=http://www.kdnuggets.com/2014/03/scicast-crowdsourcing-search-malaysian-air-flight-370.html|title = SciCast Crowdsourcing search for Malaysian Air Flight MH370|last = Piatetsky|first = Gregory|date = March 15, 2014|accessdate = May 6, 2014}} External links
3 : George Mason University|Science software|Prediction |
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