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词条 Tornado watch
释义

  1. Watch Outline Updates and Status Messages

  2. Example of a tornado watch

  3. Example of a Watch Outline Update

  4. Example of a Watch Status Message

  5. References

  6. External links

See Severe weather terminology (United States) for a comprehensive article on related weather terms.

A tornado watch (SAME code: TOA) is issued when weather conditions are favorable for the development of severe thunderstorms called a supercell that are capable of producing tornadoes.[1] A tornado watch therefore implies that it is also a severe thunderstorm watch. A tornado watch must not be confused with a tornado warning. In most cases, the potential exists for large hail and/or damaging winds in addition to tornadoes.

A watch does not mean that the severe weather is actually occurring, only that atmospheric conditions have created a significant risk for it. If severe weather actually does occur, a tornado warning or severe thunderstorm warning would then be issued. Note that a watch is not required for a warning to be issued; tornado warnings are occasionally issued when a tornado watch is not active (i.e. when a severe thunderstorm watch is active, or when no watches are in effect), if a severe thunderstorm develops and has a confirmed tornado or strong rotation.

In the United States, the Storm Prediction Center – a national guidance center of the National Weather Service (NWS) – issues watches for areas likely to produce tornadoes and severe thunderstorms. The watch boxes (or weather watches, WWs) are usually outlined in the format of x miles north and south, or east and west, or either side of a line from y miles direction of city, state, to z miles another direction of another city, state. For example: "50 miles either side of a line from 10 miles northeast of Columbia, South Carolina to 15 miles south-southwest of Montgomery, Alabama" ("Either side" means perpendicular to the center line). In addition, a list of all counties included in its area of responsibility is now issued by each NWS forecast office for each watch.

In the event that a tornado watch is likely to lead to a major tornado outbreak along with possible destructive winds and hail, enhanced wording with the words Particularly Dangerous Situation (PDS) can be added to the watch; this is occasionally issued when atmospheric conditions are deemed sufficient to breed development of severe thunderstorms that are capable of producing significant tornadoes (either from supercells that develop strong, low-level rotation under typical tornadogenesis during the storm's maturation stage, or by thunderstorms that initiate mesocyclone maturation during their early development through a combination of sufficient wind shear and very high convective available potential energy (CAPE) values). Occasionally, a tornado watch may replace a severe thunderstorm watch (or a portion of one) should conditions that were originally forecast to be conducive for non-tornadic severe thunderstorms change to allow possible tornado formation.

In Canada, the criteria used to issue a tornado watch are the same and watches are issued by regional offices of the Meteorological Service of Canada of Environment Canada in Vancouver, Edmonton, Toronto, Montreal and Halifax, on a county or regional basis.

The term "red box" refers to the assigned coloring used for watch box outlines used in Storm Prediction Center and National Weather Service products; television stations typically assign other colors (colors used may vary, but very seldom if ever red, which is usually reserved for identifying tornado warnings; green is the most commonly used to denote them) to highlight tornado watches in severe weather advisory displays.

Watch Outline Updates and Status Messages

Watch Outline Updates are relayed (and at the initial watch issuance, issued) by the Storm Prediction Center, however it is the local National Weather Service Weather Forecast Offices that decide what counties (in their warning area) are included or excluded in the watch, via a conference call with the SPC. As a result, watch products will sometimes display counties inside the watch outline that are not included in the counties listed, and vice versa; however the local Weather Forecast Office will need to expand to add these counties into the watch. A Watch Status Message works in a similar fashion; the SPC designates which areas it thinks where a threat still exists (the most common designation for this is on the basis of the location of surface features such as cold fronts and drylines that would delineate where the threat of severe thunderstorms has ended and where it will remain a possibility), and the NWS offices decide what counties to remove from the watch (the local offices will almost always follow the SPC recommendation on the status messages).[2]

If conditions are no longer favorable for tornadoes in the watch area (either because atmospheric conditions that earlier supported tornadic development have become less conducive for them or were not present compared to predictions in earlier forecasts to form tornadoes), the tornado watch may either be replaced by a severe thunderstorm watch or cancelled outright; if no thunderstorm activity occurs, this leads to a tornado watch "bust", which may also factor into the Storm Prediction Center's decision as to whether to cancel the watch.

Example of a tornado watch

  URGENT – IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED   Tornado Watch Number 162   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK   1005 AM CDT Wed Apr 26 2017 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a Tornado Watch for portions of      Much of Escambia     Northwest Santa Rosa     Northeast Pensacola Effective this Friday morning and evening from 1005 AM     until 400 PM CDT. Primary threats include...     A few tornadoes likely with a couple intense tornadoes possible     Widespread large hail likely with isolated very large hail       events to 2 inches in diameter possible     Widespread damaging wind gusts to 70 mph likely
 SUMMARY...Severe storms will move across the watch area through this   afternoon, posing a risk of locally damaging winds, large hail, and   a few tornadoes.  An isolated strong tornado or two is also   possible. The tornado watch area is approximately along and 90 statute miles   east and west of a line from 25 miles north of Walnut Ridge AR to 35   miles southeast of Longview TX. For a complete depiction of the   watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU2).
 REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for   tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch   area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for   threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements   and possible warnings. && OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 161...WW 9997... AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail   surface and aloft to 2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind   gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean   storm motion vector 24035.

Example of a Watch Outline Update

   BULLETIN – IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED   TORNADO WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE FOR WT 68   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK   825 AM EDT THU MAR 26 2009      TORNADO WATCH 68 IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 200 PM EDT FOR THE    FOLLOWING LOCATIONS      ALC031-045-061-067-069-261800-   /O.NEW.KWNS.TO.A.0068.090326T1225Z-090326T1800Z/      AL    .    ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE      COFFEE               DALE                GENEVA                 HENRY                HOUSTON                      FLC005-013-045-059-063-131-133-261800-   /O.NEW.KWNS.TO.A.0068.090326T1225Z-090326T1800Z/      FL    .    FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE      BAY                  CALHOUN             GULF                   HOLMES               JACKSON             WALTON                 WASHINGTON                    GAC035-037-053-061-063-077-079-099-113-145-149-151-171-197-199-   201-207-215-231-239-243-249-253-255-259-261-263-269-273-285-293-   307-261800-   /O.NEW.KWNS.TO.A.0068.090326T1225Z-090326T1800Z/      GA    .    GEORGIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE      BUTTS                CALHOUN             CHATTAHOOCHEE          CLAY                 CLAYTON             COWETA                 CRAWFORD             EARLY               FAYETTE                HARRIS               HEARD               HENRY                  LAMAR                MARION              MERIWETHER             MILLER               MONROE              MUSCOGEE               PIKE                 QUITMAN             RANDOLPH               SCHLEY               SEMINOLE            SPALDING               STEWART              SUMTER              TALBOT                 TAYLOR               TERRELL             TROUP                  UPSON                WEBSTER                      GMZ750-261800-   /O.NEW.KWNS.TO.A.0068.090326T1225Z-090326T1800Z/      CW       .    ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE      COASTAL WATERS FROM APALACHICOLA TO DESTIN FL OUT 20 NM       ATTN...WFO...TAE...FFC...

Example of a Watch Status Message

STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 68VALID 261425Z - 261540ZSEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 ESE PNSTO 30 N DHN TO 15 E ATL...SPC..03/26/09ATTN...WFO...TAE...FFC...

References

1. ^Tornado Safety Facts – Tornado Safety 101
2. ^http://www.crh.noaa.gov/product_sites.php?site=ICT&product=WCN|Watch County Notification Messages

External links

  • Current Watches
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2 : Weather warnings and advisories|Tornado

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