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词条 United States presidential approval rating
释义

  1. President Donald Trump

  2. Historical comparison

      Graphs  

  3. See also

  4. Notes

  5. References

  6. External links

{{use mdy dates|date=April 2012}}

In the United States, presidential job approval ratings were introduced by George Gallup in the late 1920s (most likely 1927) to gauge public support for the President of the United States during his term. An approval rating is a percentage determined by a polling which indicates the percentage of respondents to an opinion poll who approve of a particular person or program. Typically, an approval rating is given to a politician based on responses to a poll in which a sample of people are asked whether they approve or disapprove of that particular political figure. A question might ask:

Do you approve or disapprove of the way Donald Trump is handling his job as president?[2]

Like most surveys that predict public opinion, the approval rating is subjective. Many unscientific approval rating systems exist that skew popular opinion. However, the approval rating is generally accepted {by whom} as a statistically valid indicator of the comparative changes in the popular United States mood regarding a President.

In contemporary politics, presidential job approval is highly partisan. Barack Obama in his last year as sitting president achieved a job approval of 70 to 90 among Democrats and 10 to 15 among Republicans,[3] while President Donald Trump in 2018 has a job approval of 80 to 90 among Republicans and 5 to 10 among Democrats.[2] Gallup polling has found that 46% of Americans are either "Democrats or Democratic leaners" while 39% are either "Republicans or Republican leaners".[4] However, this fact does not diminish the significance of the overall approval rating.{{original research inline|date=December 2018}}

President Donald Trump

{{main article|Opinion polling on the Donald Trump administration}}Most recent polls for President Donald Trump[5][6][7]

Polling groupDateApprovalDisapprovalUnsureNet +/-Sample size[7]Population[7]
Rolling 3-day average of 500 likely voters each day; no neutral/unsure choice.}}[8]March 26–28, 201949%50%1% -1%1500|≈1,500}}Likely voters
NPR/PBS NewsHour/Marist[9]March 25–27, 201942%51%8% -9%938All adults
Ipsos/Reuters[10]March 20–26, 201942%52%6% -10%4,603All adults
Quinnipiac University[11]March 21–25, 201939%55%5% -16%1,358Registered voters
Conducted by Abt Associates.}}[12]March 20–25, 201940%55%5% -15%1,503All adults
Conducted by Beacon Research (D) and Shaw & Company Research (R).}}[13]March 17–20, 201946%51%2% -5%1,002Registered voters
name=ssrs}}[14]March 13–18, 201940%57%3% -17%1,211All adults
Conducted by SSRS.}}[15]March 14–17, 201942%51%8% -9%1,003All adults
Suffolk University/USA Today[16]March 13–17, 201948%49%3% -1%1,000Registered voters
Monthly averages.}}[17]March 1–10, 201939%57%4% -18%1,039All adults
Monmouth University[18]March 1–4, 201944%51%5% -7%802All adults
Investor's Business Daily{{efn>Conducted by TIPP, a division of TechnoMetrica Market Intelligence.}}[19]February 21–March 2, 201941%53%3% -12%907All adults
Wall Street Journal{{efn>Conducted by Hart Research Associates (D) and Public Opinion Strategies (R).}}[20]February 24–27, 201946%52%2% -6%900All adults
Washington Post{{efn>Conducted by Langer Research Associates and Abt Associates of Rockville, MD.}}[21]January 21–24, 201937%58%5% -21%1,001All adults
name=ssrs|Conducted by SSRS of Glen Mills, Pennsylvania.}}[22]January 18–21, 201936%59%5% -23%1,102All adults

Historical comparison

Historical Gallup Poll approval highs and lows for each President since 1937[24][25][26]{{efn|Only the results of Gallup polls are included as no other poll results exist for presidents before President Clinton.}}

OrderPresidentHighest approvalLowest approvalHigh –
Low		Highest disapprovalHighest marginLowest marginFinal pollApproval
average[24]		Polls
per year
45[27][28][29][30]Trump45 (01/29/17, 06/17/18)[28]35 (10/29/17, 12/01/17)[27]1062 (10/29/17, 10/30/17, 12/01/17) [27]1 (01/24/17) [27]-29 (10/29/17, 12/01/17) [27]39[29]
44[31][32]Obama69 (01/24/09)38 (09/05/14){{efn>Last of eight, sometimes overlapping, 3-day averages.}}3157 (10/10/14)56 (01/23-24/09)−18 (10/10/14)59 (01/19/17)47.9348.4
43[33]G. W. Bush90 (9/21/01)25 (10/05/08, 10/12/08, 11/02/08)6571 (10/10/08)83 (09/22/01)−46 (10/12/08)34 (01/11/09)49.433.7
42[34]Clinton73 (12/19/98)37 (06/06/93)3654 (09/07/94)45 (12/17/00)−14 (09/07/94)66 (01/14/01)55.128.5
41[35]G. H. W. Bush89 (02/28/91)29 (08/02/92, 10/13/92)6060 (07/31/92)82 (03/03/91)−30 (08/02/92, 10/13/92)56 (01/11/93)60.939.5
40[36]Reagan71 (01/30/86)35 (01/31/83)3656 (01/28/83)52 (01/30/86)−21(01/31/83)63 (12/29/88)52.837.0
39[37]Carter74 (03/15/77)28 (06/26/79, 10/02/79)4659 (06/26/79)66 (03/15/77)−31 (06/26/79)34 (12/08/80)45.522.7
38[38]Ford70 (08/13/74)36 (03/25/75)3446 (04/15/75, 11/18/75)67 (08/13/74)−7 (02/25/75, 03/25/75, 04/15/75)53 (12/13/76)47.214.7
37[39]Nixon66 (01/23/73)24 (01/02/74)4266 (08/05/74)57 (03/17/69)−42 (08/05/74)24 (08/05/74)49.117.7
36[40]Johnson79 (03/05/64)34 (08/12/68)4552 (08/12/68)75 (12/10/63)−18 (08/12/68)49 (01/06/69)55.115.3
35[41]Kennedy83 (03/05/62)56 (09/10/63)2730 (09/12/63, 11/08/63)78 (03/05/62)27 (09/10/63)58 (11/13/63)70.113.7
34[42]Eisenhower77 (11/22/55, 12/19/56)47 (03/25/58)3036 (03/25/58)66 (04/02/53, 12/19/56)12 (03/25/58)59 (12/13/60)65.014.4
33[43]Truman87 (08/22/45)22 (11/16/51, 02/14/52)6567 (01/06/52)85 (08/22/45)−43 (01/04/52)32 (12/16/52)45.48.4
32[44]F. D. Roosevelt83 (01/08/42)48 (08/18/39)3546 (05/22/38, 05/29/38, 11/07/38)73 (01/23/42)65 (12/15/43)63

Graphs

Gallup Poll graphs of approval ratings for Presidents of the United States

See also

  • Historical rankings of Presidents of the United States
  • Opinion polling on the Donald Trump administration

Notes

{{notelist}}

References

1. ^{{cite web|url=https://morningconsult.com/tracking-trump/|title=Tracking Trump: The President’s Standing Across America|work=Morning Consult|access-date=March 14, 2019}}
2. ^1 {{cite web|url=http://www.gallup.com/poll/203198/presidential-approval-ratings-donald-trump.aspx|title=Presidential Approval Ratings – Donald Trump|work=Gallup|accessdate=February 13, 2017}}
3. ^{{cite web|url=https://news.gallup.com/poll/116479/barack-obama-presidential-job-approval.aspx|title=Presidential Approval Ratings -- Barack Obama|work=Gallup|accessdate=October 14, 2018}}
4. ^{{cite web|title=Gallup Historical Trends: Party Affiliation|url=http://news.gallup.com/poll/15370/party-affiliation.aspx|website=GALLUP News|publisher=Gallop, Inc.|accessdate=23 October 2017}}
5. ^{{cite web|url=http://www.pollingreport.com/djt_job2.htm|title=President Trump: Job Ratings|work=PollingReport.com|accessdate=December 26, 2018}}
6. ^{{cite web|url=https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/other/president_trump_job_approval-6179.html|title=President Trump Job Approval|work=RealClearPolitics|accessdate=December 26, 2018}}
7. ^1 2 {{cite web|title=How (un)popular is Donald Trump?|url=https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/trump-approval-ratings/|website=fivethirtyeight.com|accessdate=December 26, 2018}}
8. ^{{cite web |url=http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/trump_administration/trump_approval_index_history|title=Trump Approval Index History|accessdate=February 26, 2018}}
9. ^{{cite web|url=http://maristpoll.marist.edu/wp-content/uploads/2019/03/NPR_PBS-NewsHour_Marist-Poll_USA-NOS-and-Tables_1903251153.pdf|title=NPR/PBS NewsHour/Marist Poll of 938 National Adults|date=March 29, 2019}}
10. ^{{cite web|url=http://polling.reuters.com/#poll/CP3_2/|title=Trump approval at reuters.com|accessdate=June 17, 2017}}
11. ^{{cite web|url=https://poll.qu.edu/national/release-detail?ReleaseID=2609|title=84% Of U.S. Voters Want To See Mueller Report, Quinnipiac University National Poll Finds; Dems Divided On Support For Israelis Or Palestinians|date=March 26, 2019}}
12. ^{{cite web|url=https://www.people-press.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/4/2019/03/Topline-for-release-March-.pdf|title=MARCH 2019 POLITICAL SURVEY|date=March 28, 2019}}
13. ^{{cite web|url=https://www.scribd.com/document/403375386/Fox-March-2019-Complete-National-Topline-March-27-Release|title=Fox News Poll|date=March 27, 2019}}
14. ^{{cite web|url=http://files.kff.org/attachment/Topline-KFF-Health-Tracking-Poll-March-2019|title=KFF Health Tracking Poll – March 2019|date=March 26, 2019}}
15. ^{{cite web|url=http://cdn.cnn.com/cnn/2019/images/03/18/rel4a.-.trump,.economy.pdf|title=CNN March 2019|date=March 18, 2019}}
16. ^{{cite web|url=https://www.suffolk.edu/-/media/suffolk/documents/academics/research-at-suffolk/suprc/polls/national/2019/3_22_2019_complete_marginals_pdftxt.pdf|title=Suffolk University/USA Today Final|date=March 22, 2019}}
17. ^{{cite web|url=http://news.gallup.com/poll/203207/trump-job-approval-weekly.aspx|title=Trump Job Approval|accessdate=January 10, 2018}}
18. ^{{Cite web|url=https://www.monmouth.edu/polling-institute/reports/monmouthpoll_us_030619/|title=Impeachment Support Inches Up|date=March 6, 2019}}
19. ^{{cite web|url=https://www.investors.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/03/IBDTIPP_2019_03.pdf|title=Investor's Business Daily/TIPP Poll - March 2019|date=March 13, 2019}}
20. ^{{cite web|url=https://www.wsj.com/public/resources/documents/19062NBCWSJFebruary2019Poll.pdf|title=NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey|date=March 3, 2019}}
21. ^{{cite web|url=https://apps.washingtonpost.com/g/page/national/washington-post-abc-news-poll-jan-21-24/2355/|title=Washington Post-ABC News poll Jan. 21-24|date=January 25, 2019}}
22. ^{{cite web|url=https://drive.google.com/file/d/0ByVu4fDHYJgVZzFPTDFndnlCS2M1LXVEcmNBcEtnUXdqYUdn/view|title=Americans Say Border Wall Issue Not Worth a Shutdown, Even as Partisans Dig In|date=January 23, 2019}}
23. ^{{cite web|url=https://www.grinnell.edu/sites/default/files/docs/2018-12/Grinnell%20College%20National%20Poll_Nov18.pdf|title=GRINNELL COLLEGE NATIONAL POLL|date=December 2, 2018}}
24. ^1 {{cite web|url=http://www.gallup.com/poll/116677/Presidential-Approval-Ratings-Gallup-Historical-Statistics-Trends.aspx|title=Presidential Approval Ratings – Gallup Historical Statistics and Trends|work=Gallup|accessdate=August 16, 2011}}
25. ^{{cite web|url=http://www.gallup.com/poll/207518/trump-approval-rating-unusually-low-unusually-early.aspx?g_source=Politics&g_medium=newsfeed&g_campaign=tiles|title=Trump's Approval Rating Unusually Low, Unusually Early|work=Gallup|date=March 29, 2017|accessdate=April 1, 2017|author=Lydia Saad}}
26. ^The American Presidency Project at UC Santa Barbara.
27. ^1 2 3 4 {{cite news|url=https://news.gallup.com/poll/203198/presidential-approval-ratings-donald-trump.aspx|title=Gallup Daily: Trump Job Approval|work=Gallup|accessdate=January 27, 2017}}
28. ^1 {{cite news|url=http://news.gallup.com/poll/203207/trump-job-approval-weekly.aspx|title=Trump Job Approval (Weekly)|work=Gallup|accessdate=January 22, 2018}}
29. ^1 {{cite web |title=Presidential Approval Ratings -- Donald Trump |url=https://news.gallup.com/poll/203198/presidential-approval-ratings-donald-trump.aspx |publisher=Gallup |accessdate=October 9, 2018 |language=en-us}}
30. ^{{cite web|url=http://news.gallup.com/poll/233135/trump-fifth-quarter-job-approval-historically-low.aspx|title=Trump's Fifth-Quarter Job Approval Up; Still Historically Low|author=Jeffrey M. Jones|work=Gallup|date=April 24, 2018}}
31. ^Graphical display and numbers of Gallup "daily tracking" polls
32. ^{{cite web|url=http://www.gallup.com/poll/116479/barack-obama-presidential-job-approval.aspx|title=Presidential Approval Ratings -- Barack Obama}}
33. ^{{cite web|url=http://www.gallup.com/poll/116500/Presidential-Approval-Ratings-George-Bush.aspx |title=Gallup.com |publisher=Gallup.com |accessdate=August 16, 2011}}
34. ^{{cite web|url=http://www.gallup.com/poll/116584/presidential-approval-ratings-bill-clinton.aspx|title=Presidential Approval Ratings -- Bill Clinton|work=gallup.com|accessdate=January 26, 2017}}
35. ^"Presidential Job Approval for George H. W. Bush". American Presidency Project.
36. ^"Presidential Job Approval for Ronald Reagan". American Presidency Project.
37. ^"Presidential Job Approval for Jimmy Carter". American Presidency Project.
38. ^"Presidential Job Approval for Gerald Ford". American Presidency Project.
39. ^"Presidential Job Approval for Richard Nixon". American Presidency Project.
40. ^"Presidential Job Approval for Lyndon B. Johnson". American Presidency Project.
41. ^"Presidential Job Approval for John F. Kennedy". American Presidency Project.
42. ^Presidential Job Approval for "Dwight D. Eisenhower". American Presidency Project.
43. ^"Presidential Job Approval for Harry S. Truman". American Presidency Project.
44. ^"Presidential Job Approval for Franklin D. Roosevelt". American Presidency Project.

External links

  • [https://presidential.roper.center/ "Historical Presidential Job Performance Ratings"]. Roper Center.
  • [https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/trump-approval-ratings/ "Trump approval ratings"]. FiveThirtyEight.
  • "Midterm Presidential Approval Ratings". Data360.
  • "President Job Approval Ratings". PresidentPollsUSA.
  • [https://online.wsj.com/public/resources/documents/info-presapp0605-31.html "Historical Presidential Approval Ratings 1945–2009"]. The Wall Street Journal.
  • "President Obama's Ongoing Job Approval". CongressRatings)
{{Lists of US Presidents and Vice Presidents}}{{DEFAULTSORT:United States Presidential Approval Rating}}

2 : Opinion polling in the United States|United States presidential history
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