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词条 2016 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state election
释义

  1. Campaign and issues

  2. Opinion polls

  3. Results

  4. Aftermath

  5. References

{{Infobox election
| election_name = Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state election, 2016
| country = Mecklenburg-Vorpommern
| type = parliamentary
| ongoing = no
| previous_election = Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state election, 2011
| previous_year = 2011
| next_election = Next Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state election
| next_year = Next
| seats_for_election = All 71 seats of the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern
| majority_seats = 36
| election_date = 4 September 2016
| turnout =
| image1 =
| leader1 =Erwin Sellering
| party1 =Social Democratic Party of Germany
| last_election1 = 35.7%
| seats_before1 = 28
| seats1 = 26
| seat_change1 = {{decrease}} 2
| percentage1 = 30.6%
| swing1 = {{decrease}}5.1{{abbr|pp|percent points}}
| image2 =
| leader2 =Leif-Erik Holm
| party2 =Alternative for Germany
| last_election2 =did not contest
| seats_before2 =0
| seats2 =18
| seat_change2 ={{increase}} 18
| percentage2 =20.8%
| swing2 ={{increase}}20.8{{abbr|pp|percent points}}
| image4 =
| leader4 =Lorenz Caffier
| party4 =Christian Democratic Union (Germany)
| last_election4 =23.1%
| seats_before4 =18
| seats4 =16
| seat_change4 ={{decrease}} 2
| percentage4 =19.0%
| swing4 ={{decrease}}4.1{{abbr|pp|percent points}}
| image5 =
| leader5 =Helmut Holter
| party5 =The Left (Germany)
| last_election5 =18.4%
| seats_before5 =14
| seats5 =11
| seat_change5 ={{decrease}} 3
| percentage5 =13.2%
| swing5 ={{decrease}}5.2{{abbr|pp|percent points}}
| map_image = Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Landtagswahlkarte 2016.svg
| map_size = 300px
| map_caption = Constituency results.
}}

The Mecklenburg-Vorpommern State Elections, 2016 were held on 4 September 2016, to elect members to the 7th Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern. All 71 seats in the Landtag were contested and around 1.3 million voters were eligible to cast ballots.[1] Postal voting began in August ahead of the September 4 polling day. State elections in Mecklenburg-Vorpommern use the Hare-Niemeyer method of proportional representation to allocate seats in the Landtag.

Campaign and issues

The governing grand coalition between the SPD and CDU was campaigning to defend its majority. Furthermore, the result of the right wing AfD party was eagerly awaited. During the campaign, its frontrunner, Leif-Erik Holm, warned of the "spread of Islam". The party hoped to be the strongest political force after the elections.[2]

Asked for the most important issues, Forschungsgruppe Wahlen/Politbarometer pollees ranked "unemployment" on first place (38%), followed by "refugees/asylum" (25%) and "school/education" (12%). Incumbent Erwin Sellering (64%) was far more popular as a candidate for Minister President than the CDU candidate Lorenz Caffier (18%).[3] In an infratest dimap poll, however, 34% named "refugees/migration" as the top issue, followed by "social justice" (27%) and "labor and economy" (20%).[4]

During the final days of the state election campaign, Chancellor Angela Merkel, who has her constituency for the federal elections in Mecklenburg-Vorpommern and spoke in support of CDU candidate Caffier, hardened her tone against immigrants and spoke in favor of deporting more of them, using the word "Rückführung" (repatriation) instead of "Abschiebung" (deportation) – though deportations are difficult to realize amid laws and international relations to the immigrants' home countries. On 1 September, Merkel for the first time admitted mistakes in her refugee policies, but only such that had been made years ago in 2004/05. According to Die Zeit, some saw a turn in her policies of Willkommenskultur and presumed "angst" in the Chancellor's office.[5]

But in general, during the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern campaign, Merkel defended her refugee policies and the dictum "Wir schaffen das" ("We'll manage it"), saying she would have done everything again as she did the previous year. CDU candidate Caffier demanded prohibition of the burqa – even if there are hardly any women wearing a burqa in Mecklenburg-Vorpommern –, more police officers and more development of the rural areas. At the same time, SPD Minister President and frontrunner Erwin Sellering distanced himself from Merkel's refugee policies and demanded more respect for the life-time achievements of the East German people. Sellering e.g. stated: "It must not be, that our people are suffering, because the refugees are there."[6] On 2 September, Sellering said on the nationwide ZDF channel, Merkel was responsible for the popularity of the AfD in the state: "The people who can imagine to elect the AfD, are clearly concerned about the refugee policies of the chancellor."[7]

Opinion polls

Latest polls saw the AfD at 21–23 percent,[8] intermittently threatening the majority of governing SPD of Minister President Erwin Sellering, though the SPD seemed strengthened in the mid-August polls.[8] Also the CDU came in before the SPD in some polls; however, the results of both parties were predicted to be weaker compared to the last elections in 2011.[8] Latest polls showed a significant loss for The Left.[9] On 31 August 2016, an INSA poll not only saw the AfD ahead of the CDU for the first time, also the governing CDU/SPD coalition could fall short of a majority.[10]

PollsterDateCDUSPDAfDFDPGreensThe LeftNPDOthers
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen/Politbarometer[8] 1 September 2016 22% 28% 22% 3% 6% 13% - 6%
INSA[8] 31 August 2016 20% 28% 23% 2% 6% 15% 2% 4%
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen/Politbarometer[8] 26 August 2016 22% 28% 21% - 6% 13% 3% 7%
Infratest dimap[8] 25 August 2016 22% 27% 21% 3% 5% 14% 3% 5%
Infratest dimap[8] 18 August 2016 23% 26% 19% 3% 6% 16% 3% 4%
INSA[11] 12 August 2016 23% 24% 19% 3% 6% 19% 3% 3%
Infratest dimap[11] 30 June 2016 25% 22% 19% 3% 7% 17% 4% 3%
Infratest dimap[11] 28 April 2016 24% 22% 18% 4% 8% 16% 4% 4%
INSA[11] 16 February 2016 29% 22% 16% 4% 5% 19% 4% 1%
Marktforschungsservice Dukath[11] 21 January 2016 27.2% 28.4% 5.5% 8.0% 9.5% 20.1% 1.3% 0.2%

Results

Final results showed the SPD with 30.6% of the vote, AfD in second with 20.8%, CDU in third with 19.0%, and Die Linke in fourth with 13.2%. These parties would all have representatives in the Landtag. The Greens, NPD and FDP, who had previously had representation, all scored below 5%, and so did not qualify for a seat in the Landtag. This left the SPD as the biggest party, but without a majority and opened the way to continuing a coalition with the CDU, or a new "Red-Red" coalition with Die Linke. The latter, however, would only have a majority of 2 seats in the Landtag, and would be commensurately less likely.[12]

{{electiontable|Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state election, 2016|Summary of the 4 September 2016 Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections results}}
< 2011    Next >
|-
PartyPopular voteSeats
|-
Votes%+/–Seats+/–
|-{{Party name with colour|Social Democratic Party of Germany|shortname=Social Democratic Party of Germany}}
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – SPD|| 246,393 || 30.6 || {{decrease}}5.1 || 26 || {{decrease}}2
|-{{Party name with colour|Alternative for Germany|shortname=Alternative for Germany}}
Alternative für Deutschland – AfD|| 167,453 || 20.8 || {{increase}}20.8 || 18 || {{increase}}18
|-{{Party name with colour|Christian Democratic Union (Germany)|shortname=Christian Democratic Union|colour=#000000}}
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – CDU|| 153,101 || 19.0 || {{decrease}}4.1 || 16 || {{decrease}}2
|-{{Party name with colour|The Left (Germany)|shortname=The Left}}
Die Linke|| 106,259 || 13.2 || {{decrease}}5.2 || 11 || {{decrease}}3
|-{{Party name with colour|Alliance '90/The Greens|shortname=Alliance '90/The Greens}}
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen|| 38,834 || 4.8 || {{decrease}}3.9 || – || {{decrease}}6
|-{{Party name with colour|Free Democratic Party (Germany)|shortname=Free Democratic Party}}
Freie Demokratische Partei – FDP|| 24,475 || 3.0 || {{increase}}0.3 || – || {{steady}}
|-{{Party name with colour|National Democratic Party of Germany|shortname=National Democratic Party of Germany}}
Nationaldemokratische Partei Deutschlands – NPD|| 24,365 || 3.0 || {{decrease}}3.0 || – || {{decrease}}5
|-{{Party name with colour|Human Environment Animal Protection|shortname=Animal Protection Party}}
Tierschutzpartei|| 9,653 || 1.2 || {{increase}}1.2 || – || –
|-{{Party name with colour|Family Party of Germany|shortname=FAMILIE}}
Familien-Partei Deutschlands|| 6,991 || 0.9 || {{decrease}}0.7 || – || –
|-
| || align=left | {{Interlanguage link multi|Freier Horizont|de|3=Freier Horizont}}
Freier Horizont|| 6,592 || 0.8 || {{increase}}0.8 || – || –
|-{{Party name with colour|Die PARTEI|shortname=Die PARTEI}}
Partei für Arbeit, Rechtstaat, Tierschutz, Elitenförderung und basisdemokratische Initiative|| 5,087 || 0.6 || {{increase}}0.3 || – || –
|-{{Party name with colour|Free Voters|shortname=Free Voters Mecklenburg-Vorpommern}}
Freie Wähler|| 4,775 || 0.6 || {{decrease}}0.5 || – || –
|-{{Party name with colour|Pirate Party Germany|shortname=Pirate Party}}
Piratenpartei Deutschland|| 3,962 || 0.5 || {{decrease}}1.4 || – || –
|-
| bgcolor="white"| || align=left |Other parties|| 8,456 || 1.1 || –|| – || –
|- style="background-color:#E9E9E9"
| align="right" colspan="2" | Valid votes
| 806,396
| 98.1%
| {{increase}}1.9
| colspan=2 rowspan=2 color=#BAB9B9|
|- style="background-color:#E9E9E9"
| align="right" colspan="2" | Invalid votes
| 15,249
| 1.9%
| {{decrease}}1.9
|- style="background-color:#E9E9E9"
| align="right" colspan="2" | Totals and voter turnout
| 821,645
| 61.6%
| {{increase}}10.1
| 71
| {{steady}}
|- style="background-color:#BAB9B9"
| colspan="2" | Electorate
| 1,333,298
| 100.00
|
| colspan=2|
|-
| colspan=11 align=left | Source:[13]
|}

Aftermath

Minister President Sellering stated that he wants to lead exploratory talks with both the CDU and The Left.[14]

On 5 September, Chancellor Angela Merkel took part of the responsibility for the CDU result in the elections. "I am the party leader, I am the chancellor — you can't separate those in people's eyes, so I am of course responsible too" for the result, she stated at a press conference at the G20 summit in China. Again she defended her decisions regarding refugee policies, saying they were "right".[26] She also noted that federal and refugee policies had "superimposed" "everything" during the election campaign.[14] Merkel faced not only increasing criticism of the CSU party after the elections, also AfD leader Frauke Petry criticised Merkel: "This ignorance is exemplary," she said. "It is not just ignorance. What we see here is the continuing arrogance of power."[15] Also critics within the CDU party commented on the result. Specialist for domestic affairs Wolfgang Bosbach called the election day a "historic date", because the AfD came in before the CDU and the CDU was only third political force in a German territorial state. He demanded an alteration of the refugee policies, but saw no alternative for Merkel as the chancellor.[16] SPD chief Sigmar Gabriel accused Angela Merkel of "simply repeating 'we will manage it' without doing it as well."[15] Green party chief Cem Özdemir said that the persistent dispute within the Grand Coalition in Berlin had been "grist to the mill" of the AfD.[14] The Left chairman Bernd Riexinger criticised the CDU and SPD on the grounds that they had "embraced" the positions of the AfD during the election campaign.[14]

References

1. ^{{cite news |title=German anti-immigrant party poised for big gains in Merkel's home state |url=https://www.reuters.com/article/us-germany-election-idUSKCN1190XG |agency=Reuters |date=4 September 2016 |accessdate=4 September 2016}}
2. ^{{cite news |title=Der Mann, der die AfD vom Schmuddelimage befreien will |newspaper=Die Welt |url=https://www.welt.de/politik/deutschland/article157869434/Der-Mann-der-die-AfD-vom-Schmuddelimage-befreien-will.html |date=26 August 2016 |accessdate=4 September 2016 |language=de}}
3. ^{{cite news |title=SPD festigt Spitzenplatz in Umfragen |url=http://www.faz.net/aktuell/politik/wahl-in-mecklenburg-vorpommern/mecklenburg-vorpommern-spd-festigt-spitzenplatz-in-umfragen-14406767.html |newspaper=Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung |date=26 August 2016 |accessdate=4 September 2016 |language=de}}
4. ^[https://www.ndr.de/nachrichten/mecklenburg-vorpommern/landtagswahl_mv_2016/Wahlumfrage-SPD-zieht-an-CDU-vorbei,wahlmv282.html Wahlumfrage: SPD zieht an CDU vorbei], Ndr.de, 19 August 2016, in German
5. ^Merkel in der Angstfalle, Die Zeit, 2 September 2016, in German
6. ^Angela Merkel und die CDU vor dem AfD-Desaster, Der Tagesspiegel, 2 September 2016, in German
7. ^[https://www.handelsblatt.com/politik/deutschland/landtagswahlen-2016/wahl-in-mecklenburg-vorpommern-afd-rueckt-an-die-cdu-heran/14490808.html AfD rückt an die CDU heran], Handelsblatt, 2 September 2016, in German]
8. ^Wahlumfrage MV: CDU vor SPD, AfD stark, Ndr.de, in German
9. ^Mecklenburg-Vorpommern: Linke rutscht in Umfragen ab, Der Spiegel, 26 August 2016, in German
10. ^AfD in Umfrage erstmals vor CDU, Frankfurter Allgemeine, 31 August 2016, in German
11. ^10 11 Wahlrecht.de - Sonntagsfrage Mecklenburg-Vorpommern
12. ^http://www.n24.de/n24/Nachrichten/Politik/d/9086034/afd-vize-storch-will-bald-regierungsfaehig-werden.html
13. ^{{cite web |title=Vorläufiges Ergebnis Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Wahl zum Landtag von Mecklenburg-Vorpommern am 4. September 2016 |publisher=Landeswahlleiterin Sachsen-Anhalt |url=http://service.mvnet.de/wahlen/2016_land/showHtmlContent.php?folder=2016_land&datei=L_WK99.htm |date=4 September 2016 |accessdate=4 September 2016 |language=de}}
14. ^Sellering will mit CDU und Linken verhandeln, Deutschlandfunk, 5 September 2016, in German
15. ^[https://www.nytimes.com/aponline/2016/09/05/world/europe/ap-eu-germany-election.html?_r=0 Merkel Takes Blame for German Vote Defeat, but Holds Course], New York Times, 5 September 2016
16. ^[https://www.welt.de/politik/deutschland/article157952812/Historisches-Datum-wenn-CDU-hinter-AfD-landet.html "Historisches Datum, wenn CDU hinter AfD landet"], Die Welt, 5 September 2016, in German
{{Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state election}}{{2016 elections in Germany}}

4 : 21st century in Mecklenburg-Vorpommern|2016 elections in Germany|Elections in Mecklenburg-Vorpommern|September 2016 events in Germany

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