“2016 New York Republican primary”的意思、由来-开放百科全书

The 2016 New York Republican primary was held on April 19 in the U.S. state of New York as one of the Republican Party's primaries ahead of the 2016 presidential election.

Donald Trump won his home state with 59% of the vote and picked up 89 pledged delegates. He won over all age groups, income levels and political ideologies,^[1] with most voters saying they want a candidate who "can bring change" and "tells it like it is". Most voters supported Trump's proposed ban on Muslim immigration to the United States.^[2]

The Democratic Party also held their own New York primary on the same day which was won by Hillary Clinton. Apart from that, no other primaries were scheduled for that day by either party.

The state of the campaign

National situation

Despite an early victory by Ted Cruz in the Iowa caucuses, Donald Trump was seen as making steady progress towards the Republican nomination at the time. Trump was victorious in 7 of the contests on March 1, with Cruz seen as the only viable threat to Trump after victories in his home state of Texas and 3 other March 1 contests. Marco Rubio performed worse than anticipated on March 1, taking only Minnesota. On March 8, two primaries and a caucus were held in Hawaii, Michigan and Mississippi. Despite a poll from American Research Group that showed Kasich leading Trump in Michigan, Trump won all three contests.^[3]^[4]

On March 15's primaries, Donald Trump took four of the five contests- Florida, Illinois, Missouri and North Carolina. Trump however was defeated in Ohio by John Kasich,losing all 66 of the state's delegates. Marco Rubio suspended his campaign after losing the Florida contest,^[5] leaving just Cruz and Kasich in the race to oppose Trump.

On March 22, Trump won the Arizona contest and all of its 58 pledged delegates, while Cruz capitalized on Trump's comments critical of Mitt Romney's Mormon faith^[6] to take the state of Utah and its 40 delegates.

The month of April brought several strong performances for Cruz. He capitalized on a weak ground game in the Donald Trump campaign to win the conventions in North Dakota and Colorado, despite criticism from Donald Trump.^[7] In addition, Ted Cruz won the valuable Wisconsin primary and with it 36 of the state's 42 delegates. Many considered the probability of a "contested" Republican National Convention as it was considered doubtful that Trump would receive the requisite 1,237 delegates.^[8]

New York situation

Being Donald Trump's home state, New York was expected to be one of his strongest states in the primary contests. While Trump himself said that he would be satisfied with only one half of the delegates, most prognosticators said that Trump would have to perform extremely strongly in the state in order to avoid a contested convention.^[9] Ted Cruz's attacks in a Fox Business Network primary debate in South Carolina, criticizing Donald Trump for holding what he referred to as "New York values"- meaning the liberal, left leaning values of New York City came under fire as Cruz was campaigning in New York as well.^[10] This, combined with Trump's strong performances in the Northeast, especially Massachusetts, meant that Trump was considered a favorite with Kasich as his main challenger.

Opinion polling

List of polls

New York}}

Results

Of the 62 counties in the state, Donald Trump won 61, with the one loss being his home county of New York County (Manhattan), where John Kasich won. Trump's strongest showings were in Richmond County (Staten Island), Nassau County, Queens, Suffolk County and Erie County.^[11] John Kasich won Manhattan with a plurality and placed a strong second in upstate college areas such as Cortland, Syracuse and the Capital District area centered around Albany.

Ultimately, Trump was able to get the full slate of delegates in 22 out of 27 congressional districts, due to meeting or exceeding the 50% threshold in each.^[12] Kasich won 2 delegates in the 12th district (Upper East Side Manhattan/Queens), and one each in the 10th (Jewish Manhattan/Brooklyn neighborhoods), 13th (Harlem), 20th (Albany), and 24th (Syracuse) districts. Ted Cruz won 14.5% of the vote but did not win any delegates.

Republican Primary Results by County

County

Carson*

Cruz

Kasich

Trump

BVS

Total

Turnout

MV%

Albany

150

1.04%

2,390

16.58%

5,026

34.87%

6,793

41.13%

14,414

41.25%

12.26%

Allegany

156

2.93%

1,159

21.74%

1,175

22.05%

2,827

53.04%

5,330

43.63%

30.99%

Bronx

127

1.75%

1,164

16.00%

1,148

15.78%

4,730

65.00%

108

7,277

19.57%

49.00%

Broome

286

1.55%

3,953

21.45%

5,138

27.88%

8,923

48.42%

130

18,430

45.32%

20.54%

Cattaraugus

113

1.74%

1,298

19.97%

1,419

21.83%

3,636

55.93%

6,501

38.22%

31.10%

Cayuga

1.13%

1,136

18.38%

1,942

31.42%

3,024

48.92%

6,181

37.92%

17.51%

Chautauqua

177

1.85%

2,016

21.08%

2,294

23.99%

5,027

52.57%

9,563

38.35%

28.58%

Chemung

N/A

1,820

21.16%

2,372

27.58%

4,208

48.92%

201

8,601

42.99%

21.35%

Chenango

1.64%

1,133

21.31%

1,394

26.22%

2,659

50.02%

5,316

43.33%

23.80%

Clinton

N/A

739

15.77%

1,389

29.64%

2,487

53.06%

4,687

33.05%

23.43%

Columbia

1.32%

744

15.62%

1,271

26.68%

2,662

55.88%

4,764

40.46%

29.20%

Cortland

N/A

900

22.66%

1,276

32.13%

1,710

43.06%

3,971

41.05%

10.93%

Delaware

1.85%

846

17.19%

1,142

23.21%

2,831

57.53%

4,921

42.63%

34.32%

Dutchess

213

1.05%

2,840

13.94%

4,401

21.60%

12,872

63.18%

20,372

40.07%

41.58%

Erie

N/A

7,964

12.93%

13,136

21.33%

39,589

64.27%

907

61,596

42.04%

42.95%

Essex

1.71%

664

16.72%

1,274

32.07%

1,918

48.29%

3,972

36.82%

16.21%

Franklin

2.27%

433

15.83%

763

27.90%

1,460

53.38%

2,735

32.34%

25.48%

Fulton

1.17%

1,036

16.85%

1,552

25.24%

3,456

56.20%

6,150

39.59%

30.96%

Genesee

N/A

1,032

16.54%

1,282

20.54%

3,815

61.13%

112

6,241

40.16%

40.59%

Greene

N/A

705

16.39%

838

19.48%

2,689

62.52%

4,301

37.08%

43.04%

Hamilton

N/A

210

18.77%

326

29.13%

565

50.49%

1,119

44.89%

21.36%

Herkimer

107

1.47%

1,042

14.35%

1,877

25.85%

4,193

57.75%

7,261

41.32%

31.90%

Jefferson

121

1.28%

1,235

13.10%

2,860

30.34%

5,190

55.07%

9,425

41.69%

24.72%

Kings (Brooklyn)

255

1.01%

4,872

19.32%

4,024

15.96%

15,920

63.14%

144

25,215

25.12%

43.82%

Lewis

2.29%

476

15.36%

898

28.99%

1,643

53.03%

3,098

36.49%

24.05%

Livingston

116

1.62%

1,329

18.54%

1,724

24.05%

3,957

55.20%

7,169

43.60%

31.15%

Madison

N/A

1,358

19.87%

2,214

32.39%

3,108

45.47%

155

6,835

43.72%

13.08%

Monroe

685

1.24%

9,537

17.23%

16,870

30.47%

28,034

50.63%

239

55,365

43.98%

20.16%

Montgomery

1.12%

793

21.15%

865

23.07%

2,039

54.39%

3,749

39.85%

31.32%

Nassau

N/A

9,902

9.54%

22,722

21.90%

69,692

67.17%

1,437

103,753

32.35%

45.27%

New York (Manhattan)

254

0.93%

3,586

13.08%

12,181

44.43%

11,196

40.84%

198

27,415

32.30%

-3.59%

Niagara

245

1.40%

2,406

13.78%

3,321

19.02%

11,450

65.56%

17,465

41.26%

46.54%

Oneida

252

1.23%

3,335

16.33%

5,398

26.44%

11,332

55.50%

102

20,419

43.10%

29.06%

Onondaga

307

0.91%

6,075

17.97%

12,055

35.67%

15,155

44.84%

207

33,799

41.76%

9.17%

Ontario

180

1.60%

2,061

18.37%

3,380

30.13%

5,558

49.55%

11,218

43.02%

19.42%

Orange

217

0.89%

3,120

12.75%

4,372

17.87%

16,659

68.07%

104

24,472

35.94%

50.21%

Orleans

1.45%

720

16.65%

799

18.95%

2,643

62.69%

4,216

40.68%

43.74%

Oswego

188

1.57%

2,026

16.88%

3,285

27.37%

6,423

53.52%

12,002

38.57%

26.15%

Ostego

1.78%

1,035

19.20%

1,516

28.12%

2,719

50.43%

5,392

41.92%

22.31%

Putnam

0.70%

986

11.36%

1,587

18.28%

6,027

69.44%

8,680

40.96%

51.15%

Queens

342

1.08%

4,495

14.20%

5,601

17.69%

20,951

66.18%

268

31,657

27.36%

48.49%

Rensselaer

100

1.10%

1,576

17.27%

2,600

28.48%

4,758

52.13%

9,128

38.70%

23.64%

Richmond (Staten Island)

120

0.45%

2,096

7.90%

2,690

10.14%

21,521

81.09%

114

26,541

34.76%

70.95%

Rockland

104

0.70%

2,367

15.92%

3,158

21.24%

9,219

62.00%

14,869

34.71%

40.76%

St. Lawrence

124

1.74%

1,074

15.04%

2,036

28.52%

3,825

53.58%

7,139

36.07%

25.06%

Saratoga

240

0.97%

4,404

17.85%

8,272

33.52%

11,673

47.30%

24,677

41.91%

13.78%

Schenectady

N/A

2,010

20.93%

2,946

30.67%

4,496

46.81%

152

9,604

41.32%

16.14%

Schoharie

N/A

640

22.74%

638

22.66%

1,497

53.18%

2,815

39.99%

30.44%

Schuyler

2.21%

405

21.35%

461

24.30%

979

51.61%

1,897

40.85%

27.31%

Seneca

1.85%

521

17.21%

854

28.20%

1,585

52.34%

3,028

40.86%

24.14%

Steuben

262

2.24%

2,401

20.50%

2,755

23.52%

6,252

53.37%

11,714

42.09%

29.85%

Suffolk

735

0.73%

9,099

9.01%

18,694

18.52%

72,359

71.67%

100,964

34.15%

53.15%

Sullivan

N/A

534

13.19%

687

16.98%

2,742

67.75%

4,047

33.08%

50.78%

Tioga

126

2.09%

1,429

23.68%

1,546

25.62%

2,926

48.48%

6,035

44.66%

22.87%

Tompkins

105

2.11%

1,342

26.96%

1,691

33.98%

1,821

36.59%

4,977

42.82%

2.61%

Ulster

142

1.41%

1,332

13.19%

2,197

21.75%

6,388

63.24%

10,102

36.63%

41.49%

Warren

101

1.28%

1,206

15.28%

2,772

35.12%

3,761

47.64%

7,894

42.15%

12.53%

Washington

0.13%

1,048

19.15%

1,839

33.61%

2,458

44.92%

120

5,472

37.60%

11.31%

Wayne

N/A

1,627

19.99%

2,016

24.77%

4,472

54.94%

156

8,271

38.12%

30.17%

Westchester

376

0.83%

5,245

11.59%

13,599

30.06%

25,880

57.20%

147

45,247

35.31%

27.14%

Wyoming

N/A

749

17.40%

724

16.82%

2,752

63.94%

4,304

40.10%

46.54%

Yates

1.56%

425

15.44%

884

32.11%

1,388

50.42%

2,753

43.29%

18.31%

Total

8,018*

0.86%

136,083

14.53%

231,166

24.69%

554,522

59.22%

6,636

936,525

36.35%

34.53%

References

1. ^{{Cite web|url=http://www.cnn.com/election/primaries/polls/ny/Rep|title=2016 Election Center|website=CNN|access-date=2016-06-29}}
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5. ^{{Cite web|url=http://www.politico.com/story/2016/03/rubio-suspends-presidential-campaign-220827|title=Rubio suspends presidential campaign|website=POLITICO|access-date=2016-06-23}}
6. ^{{cite web|last1=Schleifer|first1=Theodore|title=Trump on Romney: 'Are you sure he's a Mormon?'|url=http://www.cnn.com/2016/03/18/politics/donald-trump-mormon-mitt-romney-utah/|website=CNN|accessdate=5 August 2016}}
7. ^{{cite web|title=Trump escalates challenge, calls Colorado GOP vote "a crooked deal"|url=http://www.denverpost.com/2016/04/11/trump-escalates-challenge-calls-colorado-gop-vote-a-crooked-deal/|website=The Denver Post|accessdate=5 August 2016}}
8. ^{{cite news|last1=Conlin|first1=Michelle|last2=Gibson|first2=Ginger|title=Trump opponents buoyed after front-runner's Wisconsin loss|url=https://www.reuters.com/article/us-usa-election-idUSKCN0X311W|accessdate=5 August 2016|work=Reuters}}
9. ^{{cite web|last1=Finnegan|first1=Michael|title=The cold, hard math of GOP delegate fight makes a big New York win crucial for Donald Trump|url=http://www.latimes.com/politics/la-na-live-updates-new-yo-the-cold-hard-math-of-gop-delegate-fight-makes-a-1461105387-htmlstory.html|website=Los Angeles Times|accessdate=5 August 2016}}
10. ^{{cite web|last1=Diamond|first1=Jeremy|title=Trump hits Cruz over 'New York values' on Long Island|url=http://www.cnn.com/2016/04/06/politics/donald-trump-new-york-values-ted-cruz/|website=CNN|accessdate=5 August 2016}}
11. ^{{Cite web|url=https://www.nytimes.com/elections/results/new-york|title=New York Primary Election Results|access-date=2016-04-23}}
12. ^{{Cite web|url=http://www.thegreenpapers.com/P16/NY-R#0419|title=New York Republican Delegation 2016|website=www.thegreenpapers.com|access-date=2016-04-23}}