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词条 2016 United States presidential election in Alaska
释义

  1. Background

     Political landscape in Alaska 

  2. Caucuses

      Democratic caucuses   Opinion polling   Republican caucus   Controversy 

  3. General election

      Predictions   Statewide results  Turnout  Electors 

  4. See also

  5. References

  6. External links

{{Main|2016 United States presidential election}}{{Infobox election
| election_name = 2016 United States presidential election in Alaska
| country = Alaska
| type = presidential
| ongoing = no
| previous_election = 2012 United States presidential election in Alaska
| previous_year = 2012
| election_date = November 8, 2016
| next_election = 2020 United States presidential election in Alaska
| next_year = 2020
| turnout = 60.77% {{increase}}{{citation needed|date=March 2019}}
| image_size = 160x160px
| image1 = Donald Trump official portrait (cropped).jpg
| nominee1 = Donald Trump
| party1 = Republican Party (United States)
| home_state1 = New York
| running_mate1 = Mike Pence
| electoral_vote1 = 3
| popular_vote1 = 163,387
| percentage1 = {{percent| 163,387| 318,608|2|pad=yes}}
| image2 = Hillary Clinton by Gage Skidmore 2.jpg
| nominee2 = Hillary Clinton
| party2 = Democratic Party (United States)
| home_state2 = New York
| running_mate2 = Tim Kaine
| electoral_vote2 = 0
| popular_vote2 = 116,454
| percentage2 = {{percent| 116,454| 318,608|2|pad=yes}}
| image3 = Gary Johnson June 2016.jpg
| nominee3 = Gary Johnson
| party3 = Libertarian Party (United States)
| home_state3 = New Mexico
| running_mate3 = Bill Weld
| electoral_vote3 = 0
| popular_vote3 = 18,725
| percentage3 = {{percent| 18,725| 318,608|2|pad=yes}}
| map_image = Alaska Presidential Election Results 2016 by Borough.svg
| map_caption = County results
Trump: {{legend0|#F2B3BE|40–50%}} {{legend0|#E27F90|50–60%}} {{legend0|#CC2F4A|60–70%}} {{legend0|#D40000|70–80%}}
Clinton: {{legend0|#B9D7FF|40–50%}} {{legend0|#86B6F2|50–60%}}
| map2_image = Alaska Presidential Election Results 2016.svg
| map2_caption = State district results
Trump: {{legend0|#F2B3BE|40–50%}} {{legend0|#E27F90|50–60%}} {{legend0|#CC2F4A|60–70%}} {{legend0|#D40000|70–80%}}
Clinton: {{legend0|#B9D7FF|40–50%}} {{legend0|#86B6F2|50–60%}} {{legend0|#4389E3|60–70%}}
| title = President
| before_election = Barack Obama
| before_party = Democratic Party (United States)
| after_election = Donald Trump
| after_party = Republican Party (United States)
}}{{Elections in Alaska}}

The 2016 United States presidential election in Alaska was held on November 8, 2016, as part of the 2016 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus The District of Columbia participated. Alaska voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote pitting the Republican Party's nominee, businessman Donald Trump, and running mate Indiana Governor Mike Pence against Democratic Party nominee, former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton and her running mate, Virginia Senator Tim Kaine.

Alaska voters expressed their preferences for the Democratic presidential nomination in caucuses on March 26. They expressed their preferences for the Republican presidential nomination in caucuses on March 1.

Donald Trump won the election in Alaska with 51.28% of the vote. Hillary Clinton received 36.55% of the vote.[1] This marked a return to Alaska's streak of giving Democrats under 40% of the vote after Barack Obama won just over 40% in 2012. Alaska has voted Republican in every election since 1968, and since its admission to the Union in 1959, it has only voted for the Democratic candidate on one occasion: President Lyndon B. Johnson's win in 1964.

The state is known for supporting third parties, including Libertarian candidate Gary Johnson in the 2012 election, in which Alaska was his third-strongest state. He reran as the Libertarian Party's nominee for the 2016 election and appeared on the ballot in Alaska, garnering 5.88% of the vote, making Alaska again his third strongest state after New Mexico and North Dakota.[2]

Background

{{Further information|United States presidential election#Procedure}}

The incumbent President of the United States, Barack Obama, a Democrat and former U.S. Senator from Illinois, was first elected president in the 2008 election, running with former Senator Joe Biden of Delaware. Defeating the Republican nominee, Senator John McCain of Arizona, with 52.9% of the popular vote and 68% of the electoral vote,[3][4] Obama succeeded two-term Republican President George W. Bush, the former Governor of Texas. Obama and Biden were reelected in the 2012 presidential election, defeating former Massachusetts Governor Mitt Romney with 51.1% of the popular vote and 61.7% of electoral votes.[5] Although Barack Obama's approval rating in the RealClearPolitics poll tracking average remained between 40 and 50 percent for most of his second term, it has experienced a surge in early 2016 and reached its highest point since 2012 during June of that year.[6][7] Analyst Nate Cohn has noted that a strong approval rating for President Obama would equate to a strong performance for the Democratic candidate, and vice versa.[8]

Following his second term, President Obama was not eligible for another reelection. In October 2015, Obama's running-mate and two-term Vice President Biden decided not to enter the race for the Democratic presidential nomination either.[9] With their term expiring on January 20, 2017, the electorate is asked to elect a new president, the 45th president and 48th vice president of the United States, respectively.

Political landscape in Alaska

{{Main|Political party strength in Alaska}}

The state of Alaska has given its electoral votes to the Republican ticket in every election year since 1968 and only once to a Democratic ticket since statehood. However, in 2012, it had the largest swing in favor of the Democratic Party with President Obama only losing by 14 points compared to his 2008 loss by 22 points.[10]

Alaska also has a history of supporting third-party candidates at the presidential level. Alaska was the second-best state for Ross Perot in the 1992 election, with Ross Perot garnering 28% of the vote. Alaska was Nader's strongest state in the 2000 presidential election, giving him 10% in his presidential bid.[11] Alaska was also the third-best state for Libertarian nominee Gary Johnson in the 2012 election, giving him 2.46% of the vote, behind Johnson's home state of New Mexico, and Montana.[12] For this reason, Alaska has been considered to be one of Libertarian party nominee Gary Johnson's strongest states in the 2016 election.

Caucuses

The two major parties chose delegates on different days.[13]

Democratic caucuses

{{Main|2016 Alaska Democratic caucuses}}{{Infobox election|election_name=2016 Alaska Democratic caucuses|country=Alaska|type=presidential|ongoing=no|previous_election=2012 United States presidential election in Alaska|previous_year=2012|next_election=2020 United States presidential election in Alaska|next_year=2020|election_date={{Start date|2016|03|01}}|image1=|candidate1=Bernie Sanders|home_state1=Vermont|delegate_count1=13|popular_vote1=8,447|percentage1=79.61%|image2=|candidate2=Hillary Clinton|home_state2=New York|delegate_count2=3|popular_vote2=2,146|percentage2=20.23%|map_image=Alaska Democratic Presidential Caucuses Election Results by County, 2016.svg|map_size=305px|map_caption=Alaska results by state house district{{legend|#228B22|Bernie Sanders}}|color1=228B22|color2=d4aa00}}

Opinion polling

{{see also|Statewide opinion polling for the 2016 Democratic Party presidential primaries#Alaska}}{{2016AKDem}}

Republican caucus

{{Infobox election|election_name=2016 Alaska Republican caucuses|country=Alaska|type=presidential|ongoing=no|previous_election=2012 United States presidential election in Alaska|previous_year=2012|next_election=2020 United States presidential election in Alaska|next_year=2020|election_date={{Start date|2016|03|01}}|image1=|candidate1=Ted Cruz|home_state1=Texas|delegate_count1=12|popular_vote1=8,369|percentage1=36.37%|image2=|candidate2=Donald Trump|home_state2=New York|delegate_count2=11|popular_vote2=7,740|percentage2=33.64%|map_image=Alaska Republican Presidential Caucuses Election Results by County, 2016.svg|map_size=305px|map_caption=Alaska results by state house district{{legend|#d4aa00|Ted Cruz}}{{legend|#283681|Donald Trump}}{{legend|#98d5e9|Ben Carson}}|color1=d4aa00|color2=283681|candidate4=Marco Rubio|candidate5=Ben Carson|color4=c60e3b|color5=98d5e9|percentage5=10.83%|percentage4=15.16%|popular_vote4=3,488|popular_vote5=2,492|image5=|image4=|home_state4=Florida|home_state5=Maryland|delegate_count4=5|delegate_count5=0}}{{2016AKRep}}

Controversy

At the Republican National Convention, Alaska's floor votes were all recorded for Donald Trump by the convention secretary, even though the Alaska delegation read their votes according to the results of the caucuses- 12 for Cruz, 11 for Trump and 5 for Rubio. An Alaska delegate challenged the results as recorded.[14] However, RNC chair Reince Priebus defended the actions of the convention secretary, saying that the delegates were bound to Trump.[15]

General election

Predictions

The following are final 2016 predictions from various organizations for Alaska as of Election Day.

  1. Los Angeles Times: Strongly Trump&91;16&93;
  2. CNN: Solid Trump&91;17&93;
  3. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Likely Trump&91;18&93;
  4. NBC: Lean Trump&91;19&93;
  5. RealClearPolitics: Likely Trump&91;20&93;
  6. Fox News: Lean Republican&91;21&93;
  7. ABC: Leans Trump&91;22&93;

Statewide results

{{Election box begin no change|title=2016 U.S. presidential election in Alaska[23]}}{{Election box winning candidate with party link no change

| party = Republican Party (United States)

| candidate = Donald Trump

| votes = 163,387

| percentage = 51.28%


}}{{Election box candidate with party link no change

| party = Democratic Party (United States)

| candidate = Hillary Clinton

| votes = 116,454

| percentage = 36.55%


}}{{Election box candidate with party link no change

| party = Libertarian Party (United States)

| candidate = Gary Johnson

| votes = 18,725

| percentage = 5.88%


}}{{Election box candidate with party link no change

| party = Independent politician

| candidate = Write-in

| votes = 9,201

| percentage = 2.89%


}}{{Election box candidate with party link no change

| party = Green Party (United States)

| candidate = Jill Stein

| votes = 5,735

| percentage = 1.80%


}}{{Election box candidate with party link no change

| party = Constitution Party (United States)

| candidate = Darrell Castle

| votes = 3,866

| percentage = 1.21%


}}{{Election box candidate with party link no change

| party = Reform Party (United States)

| candidate = Rocky De La Fuente

| votes = 1,240

| percentage = 0.39%


}}{{Election box total no change
| votes = 318,608
| percentage = 100.00%
}}{{Election box end}}

Turnout

According to the Alaska Division of Election voter turnout was about 60.8%, 318,608 ballots were cast out of 528,761 voters.

Electors

Alaska had 3 electors in 2016; all of them voted for Donald Trump for president and Mike Pence for vice president.

The electors were:

  • Sean R. Parnell
  • Jacqueline F. Tupou
  • Carolyn B. Leman

See also

  • 2016 Democratic Party presidential debates and forums
  • 2016 Democratic Party presidential primaries
  • 2016 Republican Party presidential debates and forums
  • 2016 Republican Party presidential primaries

References

1. ^{{cite news|url=https://www.nytimes.com/elections/results/alaska|title=Alaska Election Results 2016 – The New York Times|accessdate=November 29, 2016}}
2. ^{{cite web|url=https://uselectionatlas.org/RESULTS/stats.php?year=2016&f=0&off=0&elect=0|title=2016 Presidential Election Statistics|publisher=Dave Leip’s Atlas of U.S. Presidential Elections|date= |accessdate=2018-03-05}}
3. ^{{cite web|url=http://clerk.house.gov/floorsummary/floor.html?day=20090108|title=United States House of Representatives floor summary for Jan 8, 2009|publisher=Clerk.house.gov|accessdate=January 30, 2009}}
4. ^{{cite web|url=http://www.fec.gov/pubrec/fe2008/federalelections2008.pdf|title=Federal elections 2008|publisher=Federal Election Commission|accessdate=May 11, 2015}}
5. ^{{cite news|url=http://elections.nytimes.com/2012/results/president|title=President Map|date=November 29, 2012|work=The New York Times|accessdate=May 11, 2015}}
6. ^{{cite web|url=http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/other/president_obama_job_approval-1044.html|title=Election Other – President Obama Job Approval|publisher=RealClearPolitics|accessdate=December 24, 2015}}
7. ^{{cite web|url=http://thehill.com/blogs/blog-briefing-room/news/283549-poll-obama-approval-rating-highest-since-2012|title=Poll: Obama approval rating highest since 2012|last=Byrnes|first=Jesse|date=2016-06-15|website=TheHill|access-date=2016-06-19}}
8. ^{{Cite news|url=https://www.nytimes.com/2015/01/20/upshot/what-a-rise-in-obamas-approval-rating-means-for-2016.html|title=What a Rise in Obama’s Approval Rating Means for 2016|last=Cohn|first=Nate|date=2015-01-19|newspaper=The New York Times|issn=0362-4331|access-date=2016-06-19}}
9. ^{{cite news|url=https://www.wsj.com/articles/joe-biden-decides-not-to-enter-presidential-race-1445444657|title=Joe Biden Decides Not to Enter Presidential Race|newspaper=The Wall Street Journal|accessdate=October 21, 2015}}
10. ^{{cite web|url=http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com/2012/12/05/alaska-future-swing-state/?_r=0|title=Alaska: Future Swing State?|author=Silver, Nate|date=December 5, 2012|publisher=New York Times|accessdate=July 31, 2016}}
11. ^{{cite web|last1=Azari|first1=Julia|title=The States That Love (And Hate) Third-Party Candidates|url=http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/the-states-that-love-and-hate-third-party-candidates/|website=FiveThirtyEight|publisher=FiveThirtyEight|accessdate=July 15, 2016}}
12. ^{{cite web|title=2012 Presidential General Election Results - Alaska|url=http://uselectionatlas.org/RESULTS/index.html|website=Dave Leip's Atlas of US Elections|accessdate=October 24, 2016}}
13. ^{{cite web|last=Kitchenman |first=Andrew |url=http://www.ktoo.org/2016/02/12/how-and-when-do-alaskans-get-to-weigh-in-on-presidential-candidates/ |title=How and when do Alaskans get to weigh in on presidential candidates? |website=Ktoo.org |date=2016-02-12 |accessdate=2016-11-13}}
14. ^{{cite web|last1=Carlson|first1=Emily|title=Chairman of Alaska's Rep party said he doesn't know why 28 delegates went @realDonaldTrump but "it's going to be corrected in record" @ktva|url=https://twitter.com/emilyreporting/status/755537491164221441?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw|website=Twitter|accessdate=July 23, 2016}}
15. ^{{cite news|last1=Kopan|first1=Tal|last2=Payson-Denny|first2=Wade|title=Why Alaska's delegates were counted for Donald Trump|url=http://www.cnn.com/2016/07/19/politics/alaska-delegates-donald-trump/index.html|website=CNN|publisher=Turner Broadcasting System, Inc.|accessdate=July 23, 2016}}
16. ^{{cite news|url=http://www.latimes.com/nation/politics/trailguide/la-na-trailguide-updates-here-s-our-final-electoral-map-of-the-1478473458-htmlstory.html|title=Our final map has Clinton winning with 352 electoral votes. Compare your picks with ours.|date=2016-11-06|newspaper=Los Angeles Times|accessdate=2016-11-13}}
17. ^{{cite web|url=http://www.cnn.com/2016/11/04/politics/road-to-270-electoral-college-map-november-4-duplicate/|title=Road to 270: CNN's general election map - CNNPolitics.com|author=|date=2016-11-08|website=Cnn.com|accessdate=2016-11-13}}
18. ^{{cite web|url=http://www.centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/2016-president/|title=Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball » 2016 President|date=2016-11-07|website=Centerforpolitics.org|accessdate=2016-11-13}}
19. ^{{cite web|url=http://www.nbcnews.com/storyline/2016-election-day/nbc-s-final-battleground-map-shows-clinton-edge-n678926|title=NBC's Final Battleground Map Shows Clinton With a Significant Lead|last=Todd|first=Chuck|date=|publisher=NBC News|accessdate=2016-11-13}}
20. ^{{cite web|url=http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/2016_elections_electoral_college_map.html|title=2016 Election Maps - Battle for White House|date=|publisher=RealClearPolitics|accessdate=2016-11-13}}
21. ^{{cite web|url=http://www.foxnews.com/politics/2016/11/07/fox-news-electoral-scorecard-map-shifts-again-in-trumps-favor-as-clinton-holds-edge.html|title=Electoral Scorecard: Map shifts again in Trump's favor, as Clinton holds edge|date=2016-11-07|publisher=Fox News|accessdate=2016-11-13}}
22. ^{{cite web|url=http://abcnews.go.com/Politics/final-15-latest-polls-swing-states-decide-election/story?id=43277505|title=The Final 15: The Latest Polls in the Swing States That Will Decide the Election|date=2016-11-07|website=Abcnews.go.com|accessdate=2016-11-13}}
23. ^http://www.elections.alaska.gov/results/16GENR/data/results.htm

External links

  • [https://www.gop.com/the-official-guide-to-the-2016-republican-nominating-process/ RNC 2016 Republican Nominating Process]
  • Green papers for 2016 primaries, caucuses, and conventions
  • 2016 Presidential primaries, ElectionProjection.com
  • Decision Desk Headquarter Results for Alaska
{{State results of the 2016 U.S. presidential election}}

3 : 2016 Alaska elections|2016 United States presidential election by state|United States presidential elections in Alaska

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