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词条 2018 Hawaii gubernatorial election
释义

  1. Democratic primary

     Governor  Candidates  Declared  Withdrew  Polling  Results  Lieutenant governor  Candidates  Declared  Withdrew  Polling  Results 

  2. Republican primary

     Governor  Candidates  Declared  Withdrew  Endorsements  Polling  Results  Lieutenant governor  Candidates  Declared  Polling  Results 

  3. Green primary

     Governor   Candidates   Declared  Results  Lieutenant governor  Candidates  Declared  Results 

  4. Nonpartisan primary

     Governor  Candidates  Declared  Results   Lieutenant governor   Candidates  Declared  Results 

  5. General election

     Predictions  Polling  Results 

  6. References

  7. External links

{{Infobox election
| election_name = Hawaii gubernatorial election, 2018
| country = Hawaii
| type = presidential
| ongoing = no
| previous_election = Hawaii gubernatorial election, 2014
| previous_year = 2014
| next_election = Hawaii gubernatorial election, 2022
| next_year = 2022
| election_date = November 6, 2018
| image1 =
| nominee1 = David Ige
| party1 = Democratic Party (United States)
| running_mate1 = Josh Green
| popular_vote1 = 244,934
| percentage1 = 62.7%
| image2 =
| nominee2 = Andria Tupola
| party2 = Republican Party (United States)
| running_mate2 = Marissa Kerns
| popular_vote2 = 131,719
| percentage2 = 33.7%
| map_image = Hawaii Governor Election Results by County, 2018.svg
| map_size = 250px
| map_caption = County Results
Ige: {{legend0|#6674de|60-70%}} {{legend0|#584cde|70–80%}}
| title = Governor
| before_election = David Ige
| before_party = Democratic Party (United States)
| after_election = David Ige
| after_party = Democratic Party (United States)
}}{{ElectionsHI}}

The 2018 Hawaii gubernatorial election took place on November 6, 2018, to elect the Governor of Hawaii and Lieutenant Governor of Hawaii.

After prevailing in an intensely competitive primary election on August 11, 2018, incumbent Democratic Governor David Ige ran successfully for re-election to a second term in office, considerably improving on his margin of victory from 2014, in which he only won a plurality. Ige's vote share of 62.67% is the highest of any gubernatorial candidate in Hawaiian history surpassing the previous record of 62.53% set by Linda Lingle in 2006.

Democratic primary

Governor

Candidates

Declared
  • Ernest Caravalho, Democratic Party of Hawaii, chair, House District 29[1]
  • Colleen Hanabusa, U.S. Representative and candidate for the U.S. Senate in 2014[2][3][4]
  • David Ige, incumbent governor[2][5]
  • Wendell Kaehuaea, security guard and perennial candidate[6]
  • Van Tanabe
Withdrew
  • Clayton Hee, former state senator and candidate for lieutenant governor in 2014[7][8]

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
David
Ige
Colleen
Hanabusa
Clayton
Hee
Undecided
[https://assets.documentcloud.org/documents/4622360/CB-July-2018-Dem-Gov.pdf Merriman River Group]July 19–21, 2018871± 3.3%43%34%18%
[https://www.scribd.com/document/383868978/Hawaii-Poll-Statewide-Name-Recognition-in-Governor-s-Race Mason-Dixon]July 6–11, 2018494± 4.5%44%40%16%
[https://www.scribd.com/document/383969550/HI-Gov-QMark-D-for-Colleen-Hanabusa-July-2018 QMark Research (D-Hanabusa)]June 21 – July 6, 2018518± 4.4%31%57%11%
[https://www.prnewswire.com/news-releases/latest-poll-hanabusa-leads-ige-by-more-than-2-to-1-300655321.html QMark Research (D-Hanabusa)]April 21 – May 7, 2018888± 3.4%23%52%6%19%
Merriman River GroupMay 3–5, 2018707± 3.7%31%37%11%16%
[https://www.scribd.com/document/374711097/The-Hawaii-Poll-March-2018-Governor-s-Race Mason-Dixon]March 13–18, 2018498± 4.5%27%47%11%15%

Results

{{Election box begin no change
| title = Democratic primary results[9]
}}{{Election box winning candidate with party link no change
| candidate = David Ige (incumbent)
| party = Democratic Party (United States)
| votes = 124,572
| percentage = 51.4
}}{{Election box candidate with party link no change
| candidate = Colleen Hanabusa
| party = Democratic Party (United States)
| votes = 107,631
| percentage = 44.4
}}{{Election box candidate with party link no change
| candidate = Ernest Caravalho
| party = Democratic Party (United States)
| votes = 5,662
| percentage = 2.3
}}{{Election box candidate with party link no change
| candidate = Wendell Ka'ehu'ae'a
| party = Democratic Party (United States)
| votes = 2,298
| percentage = 0.9
}}{{Election box candidate with party link no change
| candidate = Richard Kim
| party = Democratic Party (United States)
| votes = 1,576
| percentage = 0.6
}}{{Election box candidate with party link no change
| candidate = Van Tanabe
| party = Democratic Party (United States)
| votes = 775
| percentage = 0.3
}}{{Election box total no change
| votes = 242,514
| percentage = 100.0
}}{{Election box end}}

Lieutenant governor

Candidates

Declared
  • Bernard Carvalho, Mayor of Kauai County[10]
  • Will Espero, State Senate Vice President and candidate for HI-01 in 2014[11]
  • Josh Green, state senator[3][12][11]
  • Kim Coco Iwamoto, former state Board of Education member[13]
  • Jill Tokuda, State Senator[2]

Withdrew

  • Alan Arakawa, Mayor of Maui County[14] (running for Maui County Council)[15]

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Bernard
Carvalho
Will
Espero
Josh
Green
Kim Coco
Iwamoto
Jill
Tokuda
Undecided
[https://assets.documentcloud.org/documents/4623194/CB-July-2018-Dem-LG.pdf Merriman River Group]July 19–21, 2018871± 3.3%13%5%31%10%17%26%
[https://www.scribd.com/document/383868978/Hawaii-Poll-Statewide-Name-Recognition-in-Governor-s-Race Mason-Dixon]July 6–11, 2018494± 4.5%14%6%34%10%14%22%
Merriman River GroupMay 3–5, 2018707± 3.7%19%8%16%14%11%32%
[https://www.scribd.com/document/374711097/The-Hawaii-Poll-March-2018-Governor-s-Race Mason-Dixon]March 13–18, 2018498± 4.5%14%9%19%5%12%41%

Results

{{Election box begin no change
| title = Democratic primary results[16]
}}{{Election box winning candidate with party link no change
| candidate = Josh Green
| party = Democratic Party (United States)
| votes = 74,845
| percentage = 31.4
}}{{Election box candidate with party link no change
| candidate = Jill Tokuda
| party = Democratic Party (United States)
| votes = 68,124
| percentage = 28.6
}}{{Election box candidate with party link no change
| candidate = Bernard P. Carvalho
| party = Democratic Party (United States)
| votes = 45,825
| percentage = 19.2
}}{{Election box candidate with party link no change
| candidate = Kim Coco Iwamoto
| party = Democratic Party (United States)
| votes = 34,243
| percentage = 14.3
}}{{Election box candidate with party link no change
| candidate = Will Espero
| party = Democratic Party (United States)
| votes = 15,463
| percentage = 6.5
}}{{Election box total no change
| votes = 238,500
| percentage = 100.0
}}{{Election box end}}

Republican primary

Governor

Candidates

Declared
  • John Carroll, former state representative, and former state senator [6][22]
  • Ray L'Heureux, president and chairman of the Education Institute of Hawaii, former assistant superintendent, and retired U.S. Marine colonel[17]
  • Andria Tupola, Minority Leader of the Hawaii House of Representatives[18][19]
Withdrew
  • Bob McDermott, state representative and nominee for HI-02 in 2002[20][21]

Endorsements

{{Endorsements box
| title = Andria Tupola
| list =
Newspapers
  • Maui Time[22]

}}

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
John
Carroll
Raymond
L'Heureux
Andria
Tupola
Undecided
[https://assets.documentcloud.org/documents/4622361/CB-July-2018-GOP-Gov.pdf Merriman River Group]July 19–21, 2018219± 6.6%22%4%39%22%
Mason-DixonJuly 6–11, 2018143± 8.4%28%8%41%23%
[https://www.scribd.com/document/374711097/The-Hawaii-Poll-March-2018-Governor-s-Race Mason-Dixon]March 13–18, 2018134± 8.6%40%28%32%

Results

{{Election box begin no change
| title = Republican primary results[9]
}}{{Election box winning candidate with party link no change
| candidate = Andria Tupola
| party = Republican Party (United States)
| votes = 17,297
| percentage = 55.5
}}{{Election box candidate with party link no change
| candidate = John Carroll
| party = Republican Party (United States)
| votes = 10,974
| percentage = 35.2
}}{{Election box candidate with party link no change
| candidate = Ray L'Heureux
| party = Republican Party (United States)
| votes = 2,885
| percentage = 9.3
}}{{Election box total no change
| votes = 31,156
| percentage = 100.0
}}{{Election box end}}

Lieutenant governor

Candidates

Declared
  • Marissa Kerns
  • Steve Lipscomb
  • Jeremy Low

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Marissa
Kerns
Jeremy
Low
Undecided
[https://assets.documentcloud.org/documents/4623193/CB-July-2018-GOP-LG.pdf Merriman River Group]July 19–21, 2018219± 6.6%26%20%54%

Results

{{Election box begin no change
| title = Republican primary results[9]
}}{{Election box winning candidate with party link no change
| candidate = Marissa Dipasupil Kerns
| party = Republican Party (United States)
| votes = 9,758
| percentage = 35.4
}}{{Election box candidate with party link no change
| candidate = Steve Lipscomb
| party = Republican Party (United States)
| votes = 9,543
| percentage = 34.7
}}{{Election box candidate with party link no change
| candidate = Jeremy Low
| party = Republican Party (United States)
| votes = 8,232
| percentage = 29.9
}}{{Election box total no change
| votes = 27,533
| percentage = 100.0
}}{{Election box end}}

Green primary

Governor

Candidates

Declared
  • Jim Brewer

Results

{{Election box begin no change
| title = Green primary results[9]
}}{{Election box winning candidate with party link no change
| candidate = Jim Brewer
| party = Green Party (United States)
| votes = 454
| percentage =100.0
}}{{Election box total no change
| votes = 454
| percentage = 100.0
}}{{Election box end}}

Lieutenant governor

Candidates

Declared
  • Renee Ing

Results

{{Election box begin no change
| title = Green primary results[9]
}}{{Election box winning candidate with party link no change
| candidate = Renee Ing
| party = Green Party (United States)
| votes = 444
| percentage = 100.0
}}{{Election box total no change
| votes = 444
| percentage = 100.0
}}{{Election box end}}

Nonpartisan primary

Governor

Candidates

Declared
  • Selina Blackwell
  • Link El
  • Terrence Teruya
Results
{{Election box begin no change
| title = Nonpartisan primary results[9]
}}{{Election box winning candidate with party link no change
| candidate = Terrence Teruya
| party = Nonpartisan (United States)
| votes = 543
| percentage = 47.7
}}{{Election box candidate with party link no change
| candidate = Selina Blackwell
| party = Nonpartisan (United States)
| votes = 497
| percentage = 43.7
}}{{Election box candidate with party link no change
| candidate = Link El
| party = Nonpartisan (United States)
| votes = 98
| percentage = 8.6
}}{{Election box total no change
| votes = 1,138
| percentage = 100.0
}}{{Election box end}}

Lieutenant governor

Candidates

Declared
  • Ernest Magaoay
  • Paul Robotti
Results
{{Election box begin no change
| title = Nonpartisan primary results[9]
}}{{Election box winning candidate with party link no change
| candidate = Paul Robotti
| party = Nonpartisan (United States)
| votes = 536
| percentage = 50.6
}}{{Election box candidate with party link no change
| candidate = Ernest Magaoay
| party = Nonpartisan (United States)
| votes = 523
| percentage = 49.4
}}{{Election box total no change
| votes = 1,059
| percentage = 100.0
}}{{Election box end}}

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report[23]{{sort|096|Solid D}}October 16, 2018
The Washington Post[24]{{sort|096|Safe D}}October 16, 2018
FiveThirtyEight[25]{{sort|096|Solid D}}October 22, 2018
Rothenberg Political Report[26]{{sort|096|Solid D}}October 12, 2018
Sabato's Crystal Ball[27]{{sort|096|Safe D}}October 19, 2018
Real Clear Politics[28]{{sort|096|Safe D}}October 21, 2018
Daily Kos[29]{{sort|096|Safe D}}October 22, 2018
[30]{{efn>The Fox News Midterm Power Rankings uniquely does not contain a category for Safe/Solid races}}{{sort|098|Likely D}}October 19, 2018
Politico[31]{{sort|096|Solid D}}October 19, 2018
Governing[32]{{sort|096|Safe D}}October 22, 2018
Notes
{{notelist}}

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
David
Ige (D)
Andria
Tupola (R)
Undecided
[https://assets.documentcloud.org/documents/5006014/CB-Oct-2018-Governor.pdf Merriman River Group]October 8–12, 2018961± 4.3%52%31%11%
[https://www.realclearpolitics.com/docs/Mason_Dixon_Hawaii.pdf Mason-Dixon]July 6–11, 2018800± 3.5%57%34%9%
[https://www.scribd.com/document/374711097/The-Hawaii-Poll-March-2018-Governor-s-Race Mason-Dixon]March 13–18, 2018800± 3.5%51%24%25%

 

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