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词条 2018 Maryland gubernatorial election
释义

  1. Background

  2. Republican primary

     Candidates  Nominated  Declined  Endorsements  Results 

  3. Democratic primary

     Candidates  Nominated  Eliminated in primary  Deceased  Withdrew  Declined  Endorsements  Polling  Results 

  4. Green nomination

     Candidates  Declared  Results 

  5. Libertarian convention

     Candidates  Declared 

  6. General election

     Controversies  Debates  Predictions  Polling  Results 

  7. See also

  8. References

  9. External links

{{Infobox election
| election_name = Maryland gubernatorial election, 2018
| country = Maryland
| type = presidential
| ongoing = no
| previous_election = Maryland gubernatorial election, 2014
| previous_year = 2014
| next_election = Maryland gubernatorial election, 2022
| next_year = 2022
| election_date = {{Start date|2018|11|6}}
| nominee1 = Larry Hogan
| image1 =
| party1 = Republican Party (United States)
| running_mate1 = Boyd Rutherford
| popular_vote1 = 1,275,644
| percentage1 = 55.4%
| nominee2 = Ben Jealous
| image2 =
| running_mate2 = Susan Turnbull
| party2 = Democratic Party (United States)
| popular_vote2 = 1,002,639
| percentage2 = 43.5%
| map_image = Maryland Governor Election Results by County, 2018.svg
| map_size = 300px
| map_caption = County results
Hogan: {{legend0|#e27f7f|50–60%}} {{legend0|#d75d5d|60–70%}} {{legend0|#d72f30|70–80%}} {{legend0|#c21b18|80–90%}}
Jealous: {{legend0|#a5b0ff|40–50%}}{{legend0|#7996e2|50–60%}} {{legend0|#6674de|60–70%}} {{legend0|#584cde|70–80%}}
| title = Governor
| before_election = Larry Hogan
| before_party = Republican Party (United States)
| after_election = Larry Hogan
| after_party = Republican Party (United States)
}}{{ElectionsMD}}

The Maryland gubernatorial election of 2018 was held on November 6, 2018. The date included the election of the Governor, Lieutenant Governor, and all members of the Maryland General Assembly. Incumbent governor Larry Hogan and Lieutenant Governor Boyd Rutherford, both Republicans, were eligible to run for a second term in office and pursued a successful re-election against former NAACP CEO Ben Jealous and his running mate Susan Turnbull. Hogan and Rutherford became the first Republican gubernatorial ticket in Maryland to win reelection since 1954, and won the greatest ever number of votes for a gubernatorial candidate in Maryland.[1]

Background

At the presidential level, Maryland is a staunchly Democratic state due to the large amount of Democratic voters in the Washington metropolitan area and Baltimore City. Maryland has not seen a Republican presidential candidate win its votes since 1988; Hillary Clinton won the state by 26 points over Donald Trump (60% to 34%) in 2016, Barack Obama defeated Mitt Romney by 26 points in 2012 (62% to 36%), and Obama defeated John McCain by 25 points in 2008 (62% to 37%).

Hogan was elected governor in 2014, defeating then-lieutenant governor Anthony G. Brown by a margin of 52–47; the result was considered one of the biggest election upsets that year.[2] Prior to Hogan's victory, Bob Ehrlich, elected in 2002, had been the only Republican elected as Governor of Maryland since Spiro Agnew. However, Ehrlich was defeated for reelection in 2006 by Martin O'Malley and defeated again in 2010, when he faced O'Malley in a rematch.

Currently, Hogan has a 68% approval rating, the second highest approval of any governor in the country, only behind Governor Charlie Baker of Massachusetts, who has a 71% approval rating.[3] Despite the state's Democratic leaning, he has a high approval rating among all partisan groups (65% approval from Democrats, 64% of Independents, and 81% of Republicans).[4]

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominated

  • Larry Hogan, incumbent governor[5]

Declined

  • Barry Glassman, Harford County Executive[6]
  • John Grasso, Anne Arundel County Councilman[7][8]

Endorsements

{{Endorsements box
| title = Larry Hogan
| list =
Statewide officials
  • Melvin Steinberg, former lieutenant governor of Maryland[9]
State legislators
  • Joe Bartenfelder, former House Deputy Majority Whip[10]
  • James Brochin, state senator[9]
  • Bill Cox, former House Deputy Majority Whip[10]
  • Steven J. DeBoy Sr., former Delegate[13]
  • Dennis Donaldson, former Speaker Pro Tempore of the House of Delegates[13]
  • Donna Felling, former Delegate[15]
  • Rona E. Kramer, former Senator[10]
  • Laurence Levitan, former Senator[15]
  • Keiffer Mitchell Jr., former Delegate, Baltimore City Councilman[10]
  • R. Clayton Mitchell Jr., former Speaker of the Maryland House of Delegates[10]
  • Paul Muldowney, former Delegate[15]
  • Robert R. Neall, former Senator[10]
  • George Owings, former House Majority Whip[10]
  • Richard Rynd, former Delegate[10]
  • Jim Simpsonm, former Senate Finance Committee Chairman[10]
  • Casper R. Taylor Jr., former Speaker of the Maryland House of Delegates[13]
  • John F. Wood Jr., former Delegate[10]
Local officials
  • Jimmy Aluisi, former Prince George's County Sheriff[11]
  • Jud Ashman, Gaithersburg Mayor[13]
  • Ron Bowers, former Washington County Commissioner[11]
  • Pat Buehler, former Calvert County Commissioner[11]
  • Charles Cephas, President of Hurlock Town Council[12]
  • Robert W. Curran, former Baltimore City Councilman[11]
  • Jake Day, Salisbury Mayor[13]
  • Michael Estève, Bowie City Councilman[13]
  • Ron Fithian, chairman of the Clean Chesapeake Coalition and Kent County Commissioner[10]
  • Robert Flanigan, Mayor of Frostburg[12]
  • Henri Gardner, Bowie City Councilman[13]
  • Jack Heath, Salisbury City Council President[14]
  • Michael Henry, Mayor of Hurlock[13]
  • Elmer Horsey, former Chestertown Mayor[12]
  • Jack Jenkins, former Bowie City Councilman[13]
  • George F. Johnson IV, former Anne Arundel County Sheriff[11]
  • O. James Lighthizer, former Anne Arundel County Executive[11]
  • Jimmy Marcos, Bowie City Councilman[13]
  • Lewis Metzner, Hagerstown City Councilman[13]
  • John Miller, Middletown Burgess[12]
  • Doug Mullendore, Washington County Sheriff[11]
  • Diane Polangin, former Bowie City Councilwoman[13]
  • Eileen M. Rehrmann, former Harford County Executive[11]
  • Wayne Ridenour, Washington County School Board Member[11]
  • Fred Robinson, Bowie Mayor[13]
  • Nick Scarpelli, former Cumberland City Councilman[12]
  • John Schnebly, former Hagerstown City Councilman[13]
  • Rikki Spector, former Baltimore City Councilwoman[10]
  • Ricky Travers, Dorchester County Council President[12]
  • Bruce Wahl, former Chesapeake Beach Mayor, former President of the Maryland Municipal League[13]
  • Chad Weddle, Walkersville Burgess[12]
  • Gee Williams, Mayor of Berlin[12]
  • Floyd Wilson, former Prince George's County Council Chairman[12]
Judges
  • Michael Algeo, retired Maryland Circuit Court Judge[15]
  • Alexander Williams Jr., retired federal judge[10]
Individuals
  • Todd Christie, businessman and brother of Chris Christie[16]
  • Charles Koch, businessman[16]
  • David Koch, businessman[16]
  • Nate Landow, former Maryland Democratic Party Chairman[17]
  • Scott Pastrick, former Treasurer of the Democratic National Committee and Officer of the Executive Committee[10]
  • Neal Simon, Independent U.S. Senate candidate[18]
Organizations
  • United Association[19]
  • Maryland Fire Chiefs Association[20]
  • State Law Enforcement Officers Labor Alliance[21]
  • International Association of Firefighters[22]
  • Maryland Pipe Trades Association[23]
  • Steamfitters & Plumbers Local Union 486[24]
  • Steamfitters & Plumbers Local Union 489[24]
  • Fire Sprinkler Fitters Local Union 669[24]
  • Plumbers Local Union 5[24]
  • Steamfitters Local Union 602[24]
  • Laborers' International Union of North America[25]
  • United Union of Roofers, Waterproofers and Allied Workers[26]
  • Ocean City Career Fire Fighters and Paramedics[27]
  • Worcester County Professional Fire Fighters[27]
  • Salisbury Career Fire Fighters[27]
  • Fraternal Order of Police[28]
  • Baltimore Fire Fighters Local 734[29]
  • Montgomery County Career Fire Fighters IAFF Local 1664[29]
  • Career Firefighters Association of Frederick Local 3666[30]
  • Maryland Building Industry Association[31]
  • National Association of Home Builders[31]
  • NAIOP the Commercial Real Estate Development Association[31]
  • Maryland REALTORS®[31]
  • Annapolis City Fraternal Order Of Police Lodge #1[32]
  • Anne Arundel County Fraternal Order Of Police Lodge #70[32]
  • St. Mary's County Fraternal Order Of Police Lodge #7[32]
  • Talbot County Fraternal Order Of Police Lodge #18[32]
  • Carroll County Fraternal Order Of Police Lodge #20[32]
  • Howard County Police Officers' Association - Fraternal Order of Police Lodge #21[32]
  • Cecil County Fraternal Order Of Police Lodge #2[32]
  • Greenspring Valley Fraternal Order Of Police Lodge #76[32]
  • Mount Rainer Fraternal Order of Police Lodge #85[32]
  • Prince George's County Professional Fire Fighters & Paramedics Association IAFF Local 1619[33]
  • National Federation of Independent Business[34]
Newspapers
  • The Washington Post[35]
  • The Daily Times[36]
  • The Capital[37]
  • The Baltimore Sun[38]
  • Washington Jewish Week[39]

}}

Results

{{Election box begin no change|title=Republican primary results[107]}}{{Election box winning candidate with party link no change|candidate=Larry Hogan (incumbent)|party=Republican Party (United States)|votes=210,935|percentage=100.00%}}{{Election box total no change|votes=210,935|percentage=100.00%}}{{Election box end}}

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominated

  • Ben Jealous, former president and CEO of the NAACP[40]
    • Running mate: Susie Turnbull, former chair of the Maryland Democratic Party and former vice chair of the Democratic National Committee[41]

Eliminated in primary

  • Rushern Baker, Prince George's County executive[42]
    • Running mate: Elizabeth Embry, former Maryland Attorney General Crime Division Chief and candidate for Mayor of Baltimore in 2016[43]
  • Ralph Jaffe, perennial candidate[44]
    • Running mate: Freda Jaffe, sister of Ralph Jaffe[45]
  • James Jones II[46]
    • Running mate: Charles Waters[46]
  • Richard Madaleno, State Senator[47]
    • Running mate: Luwanda Jenkins, businesswoman and former Maryland Special Secretary for Minority Affairs[48]
  • Alec Ross, author and former State Department official[49]
    • Running mate: Julie Verratti, co-founder of Denziens Brewing Co, former senior advisor at the Small Business Administration, and LGBT political activist.[50]
  • Jim Shea, attorney[51]
    • Running mate: Brandon Scott, Baltimore City Councilmember[52]
  • Krishanti O'Mara Vignarajah, former policy director to former First Lady Michelle Obama and former State Department official[53][54]
    • Running mate: Sharon Blake, former president of the Baltimore Teachers Union[55]

Deceased

  • Kevin Kamenetz, Baltimore County Executive (deceased May 10, 2018)[56]
    • Running mate: Valerie Ervin, senior advisor to the Working Families Party and former Montgomery County Councilmember[57]
    • (Because of Kamenetz' death, Valerie Ervin became a candidate for governor. See under "Withdrew" heading for more information.)

Withdrew

  • Maya Rockeymoore Cummings, policy consultant and wife of U.S. Representative Elijah Cummings[58]
  • Valerie Ervin, former senior advisor to the Working Families Party and former Montgomery County Councilmember[59]
    • Running mate: Marisol Johnson, former vice chair of the Baltimore County Board of Education and small businesswoman[60]
    • (Valerie Ervin, who had been the running mate of Kevin Kamenetz before he died on May 10, became a candidate for governor with Marisol Johnson as running mate on May 17. This came too late to change the primary ballot, so a notice had to be posted to tell voters that vote will count for this ticket if cast for Kamenetz and Ervin. On June 12, Ervin withdrew from the race.[61])

Declined

  • John Delaney, U.S. Representative (running for President in 2020)[62]
  • Peter Franchot, State Comptroller[132][133][63]
  • Brian Frosh, Attorney General[64][65][66]
  • Doug Gansler, former attorney general and candidate for governor in 2014[67][68]
  • Ike Leggett, Montgomery County executive[64][69]
  • Maggie McIntosh, state delegate[51]
  • Thomas Perez, chair of the Democratic National Committee, former United States Secretary of Labor, and former Maryland Secretary of Labor[143][70][65][71]
  • Stephanie Rawlings-Blake, former mayor of Baltimore[64][72]
  • David Trone, businessman and candidate for MD-08 in 2016 (running for MD-06)[65][73]
  • Heather Mizeur, former state delegate and candidate for governor in 2014[64][65]
  • Joseline Peña-Melnyk, state delegate and candidate for MD-04 in 2016[74]
  • Kenneth Ulman, former Howard County executive and nominee for lieutenant governor in 2014[64][75]

Endorsements

{{Endorsements box
| title = Rushern Baker
| list =
U.S. Senators
  • Chris Van Hollen, U.S. Senator (D-MD)[76]
Statewide officials
  • Brian Frosh, Attorney General[66]
  • Parris Glendening, former Governor[77]
  • Martin O'Malley, former Governor[78]
State legislators
  • Joanne C. Benson, State Senator (Prince George's County)[160]
  • Ulysses Currie, State Senator (Prince George's County)[160]
  • Douglas J. J. Peters, State Senator (Prince George's County) and Senate Majority Leader[79]
  • Paul G. Pinsky, State Senator (Prince George's County)[79]
  • Thomas V. Mike Miller, state senator[16]
Individuals
  • Valerie Ervin, senior adviser to the Working Families Party and former gubernatorial candidate[80]
  • David Trone, businessman[16]
Newspapers and magazines
  • The Washington Post[81]

}}{{Endorsements box
| title = Valerie Evrin (withdrew)
| list =
U.S. Representatives
  • Donna Edwards, former U.S. Representative (D-MD)[82]

}}{{Endorsements box
| title = Ben Jealous
| list =
Newspapers and magazines
  • The Baltimore Sun[83]
U.S. Presidents
  • Barack Obama, 44th President of the United States[84]
U.S. Vice Presidents
  • Joe Biden, 47th Vice President of the United States[85]
U.S. Senators
  • Cory Booker, U.S. Senator (D-NJ)[86]
  • Kamala Harris, U.S. Senator (D-CA)[87]
  • Bernie Sanders, U.S. Senator (I-VT)[88]
  • Kirsten Gillibrand, U.S. Senator (D-NY)
  • Elizabeth Warren, U.S. Senator (D-MA)
  • Ben Cardin, U.S. Senator (D-MD)
U.S. Representatives
  • Ro Khanna, U.S. Representative, CA
  • John Sarbanes, U.S. Representative, MD
  • Elijah Cummings, U.S. Representative, MD
Individuals
  • Rea Carey, Executive Director of the National LGBTQ Task Force Action Fund
  • Dave Chappelle, comedian and social commentator[16]
  • Rosario Dawson, actress and activist[89]
  • Eric Garcetti, Mayor of Los Angeles, CA
  • Eric Holder, Former US Attorney General
  • Terry McAuliffe, Former Governor of Virginia
  • Bill de Blasio, Mayor of New York City
  • Van Jones, commentator and activist
  • Ana Kasparian, commentator on The Young Turks
  • Nomiki Konst, correspondent for The Young Turks[90]
  • John Leguizamo, actor
  • Harry J. Lennix, actor, writer, director, activist
  • Bill McKibben, environmentalist, author, journalist, leader of 350.org[91]
  • Alyssa Milano, actress and activist
  • Phil Radford, environmentalist and former Executive Director of Greenpeace
  • Jane O'Meara Sanders, social worker and political aide[92]
  • Nina Turner, former Ohio state senator, President of Our Revolution[93]
  • Steve Westly, former California State Controller
State legislators
  • Bilal Ali, State Delegate (Baltimore City)
  • Cheryl Kagan, State Senator (Montgomery County)
  • Shane Robinson, State Delegate (Montgomery County)
  • Jimmy Tarlau, State Delegate (Prince George's County)
  • Jheanelle Wilkins, State Delegate (Montgomery County)
  • Shirley Nathan-Pulliam, State Senator (Baltimore County)
  • Clarence Lam, State Delegate (Baltimore & Howard Cos.)
  • Eric Ebersole, State Delegate (Baltimore & Howard Cos.)
  • Pat Young, State Delegate (Baltimore County)
  • Charles Sydnor, State Delegate (Baltimore County)
  • Sandy Rosenburg, State Delegate (Baltimore City)
  • Mary Washington, State Senator (Baltimore City)
  • Talmadge Branch, State Delegate (Baltimore City)
  • Guy Guzzone, State Senator (Howard County)
  • Marc Korman, State Delegate (Montgomery County)
Local officials
  • Catharine Pugh, Mayor of Baltimore City
  • Vicki Almond, Baltimore County Councilwoman
  • Edward Burroughs, Prince George’s County Board of Education Member
  • Ryan Dorsey, Baltimore City Councilman
  • Jessica Fitzwater, Frederick County Councilmember
  • Don Mohler, Baltimore County Executive
  • Ike Leggett, Montgomery County Executive
  • Ryan Dorsey, Baltimore City Councilman
  • Bill Henry, Baltimore City Councilman
  • Sharon Middleton, Baltimore City Councilwoman
  • Edward Reisinger, Baltimore City Councilman
  • Robert Stokes, Baltimore City Councilman
  • Shannon Sneed, Baltimore City Councilwoman
  • Eric Costello, Baltimore City Councilman
  • Kristerfer Burnett, Baltimore City Councilman
  • Brandon Scott, Baltimore City Councilman, Candidate for Lt. Governor
  • Zeke Cohen, Baltimore City Councilman
Organizations
  • 350.org
  • African American Coalition of Howard County
  • Amalgamated Transit Union International (ATU)
  • American Postal Workers Union[94]
  • Blue America
  • CASA in Action
  • Communication Workers of America[182]
  • Democracy for America[95]
  • The Digital Left [96]
  • District of Columbia Nurses Association
  • Friends of the Earth Action[97]
  • Frostburg State College Democrats
  • Greater Accokeek Progressive Activists
  • Justice Democrats
  • Lower Shore Progressive Caucus
  • Maryland State Educators Association
  • National Capital Baptist Convention
  • National Nurses United
  • The People For Bernie Sanders
  • People's Action
  • Progressive Maryland[98]
  • Progressive Neighbors
  • Our Revolution[88]
  • The Sanders Institute
  • Service Employees International Union[99]
  • Southwest Baltimore County Democratic Club
  • Talbot Rising
  • UNITE HERE
  • United Food and Commercial Workers (UFCW)
  • Working Families Party[100]

}}{{Endorsements box
| title = Kevin Kamenetz (deceased)
| list =
U.S. Representatives
  • Dutch Ruppersberger, U.S. Representative (D-MD)[101]
State legislators
  • Ben Brooks, State Delegate (Baltimore County)[102]
  • Eric Ebersole, State Delegate (Baltimore and Howard Cos.)[102]
  • Dan K. Morhaim, State Delegate (Baltimore County)[102]
  • Shirley Nathan-Pulliam, State Senator (Baltimore County)[102]
  • Dana Stein, State Delegate (Baltimore County)[102]
  • Charles E. Sydnor III, State Delegate (Baltimore County)[102]
  • Pat Young, State Delegate (Baltimore County)[102]
Local officials
  • Cathy Bevins, member of the Baltimore County Council[102]
  • Julian E. Jones Jr., member of the Baltimore County Council[102]
Individuals
  • Peter Angelos, lawyer and majority owner of the Baltimore Orioles[16]

}}{{Endorsements box
| title = Rich Madaleno
| list =
U.S. Representatives
  • Jamie Raskin, U.S. Representative (D-MD)[103]
Attorney General
  • Doug Gansler, former Attorney General of Maryland
State Senators
  • Susan Lee, state senator
  • Will Smith, state senator
State Delegates
  • Al Carr, state delegate
  • Jeff Waldstreicher, state delegate
  • Sheila Hixson, state delegate
  • Ana Sol-Gutierrez, state delegate
  • Karen Young, state delegate
  • Jim Gilchrist, state delegate
  • Marice Morales, state delegate
  • Bonnie Cullison, state delegate
  • David Moon, state delegate
  • Anne Kaiser, state delegate
  • Eric Luedtke, state delegate
Local officials
  • David Lublin, former mayor of Chevy Chase[16]
  • Chris Trumbauer, Anne Arundel County Councilmember
  • Peter Benjamin, Garrett Park Mayor
  • Mary Flynn, Chevy Chase Mayor
  • Barney Rush, Chevy Chase Councilmember
  • Scott Fosler, Chevy Chase Councilmember and former Montgomery County Councilmember and former Chevy Chase Mayor
  • Kathy Strom, former Chevy Chase Mayor
  • Pat Burda, former Chevy Chase Mayor
  • Linna Barnes, former Chevy Chase Mayor
  • Vicky Taplin, former Chevy Chase Councilmember
  • Lance Hoffman, former Chevy Chase Councilmember
  • Pat Baptiste, former Village of Chevy Chase Mayor and former Montgomery County Planning Board member
  • Shirley Brandman, former Montgomery County Board of Education member
  • Meredith Wellington, former Montgomery County Planning Board member
Organizations
  • BWLDC LiUNA
  • Montgomery County Green Democrats
  • Gay & Lesbian Victory Fund[104]
Individuals
  • Joe Flacco, quarterback for the Baltimore Ravens

}}{{Endorsements box
| title = Alec Ross
| list =
Individuals
  • James Murdoch, businessman[16]
  • Eric Schmidt, businessman[16]
  • Robert Rubin, former United States Secretary of the Treasury[16]

}}{{Endorsements box
| title = Jim Shea
| list =
Elected officials
  • Karl Racine, Attorney General, Washington DC[16]
State Delegates
  • Cory McCray, state delegate
  • Antonio Hayes, state delegate
Local officials
  • Shannon Sneed, Member of Baltimore City Council
  • John Bullock, Member of Baltimore City Council
  • Kristerfer Burnett, Member of Baltimore City Council
  • Brandon Scott, Member of Baltimore City Council

}}{{Endorsements box
| title = Krish Vignarajah
| list =
Individuals
  • Ashley Judd, actress[16]
  • Robin Chase, businesswoman[16]
  • Federica Marchionni, businesswoman[16]
Organizations
  • Columbia Democratic Club [105]
  • Moms Demand Action for Gun Sense in America
  • Asian American Democratic Club of Montgomery County [106]
  • Muslim Democratic Club of Montgomery County [107]

}}

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size		 Margin
of error		Rushern
Baker		Valerie
Ervin		Ben
Jealous		Kevin
Kamenetz		Richard
Madaleno		Jim
Shea		Krish
Vignarajah		 Other Undecided
[https://htv-prod-media.s3.amazonaws.com/files/gonzales-maryland-poll-june-2018-1528799634.pdf Gonzales Research]June 4–10, 2018505± 4.5%25%7%23%–9%6%5%2%{{efn|group="DemocraticPolling"|Alec Ross with 2%, Ralph Jaffe and James Jones with <1%}}22%
[https://assets.documentcloud.org/documents/4500076/Baltimore-Sun-UB-poll-Maryland-Democratic.pdf OpinionWorks]May 29 – June 6, 2018500± 4.4%16%5%16%–4%4%4%7%{{efn|group="DemocraticPolling"|Alec Ross with 1%, someone else with 6%}}44%
[https://www.washingtonpost.com/local/md-politics/post-umd-poll-jealous-baker-lead-in-democratic-race-overshadowed-by-hogan/2018/06/04/b6ad4586-6800-11e8-bf8c-f9ed2e672adf_story.html University of Maryland]May 29 – June 3, 2018532± 6.0%16%8%21%–6%4%4%2%{{efn|group="DemocraticPolling"|Alec Ross with 2%}}39%
[https://marylandmatters.org/2018/03/01/new-poll-has-baker-the-frontrunner-in-democratic-primary-for-governor/ Mason-Dixon]February 20–24, 2018500± 4.5%26%–14%15%4%3%2%3%{{efn|group="DemocraticPolling"|Alec Ross with 2%, Ralph Jaffe 1%}}32%
Goucher CollegeFebruary 12–18, 2018409± 4.8%19%–10%12%2%2%2%6%[108]47%
Gonzales ResearchDecember 27, 2017 – January 5, 2018501± 4.5%24%–14%14%5%1%2%8%{{efn|group="DemocraticPolling"|Maya Rockeymoore 6%, Alec Ross with 1%, Ralph Jaffe with 0%}}33%
[https://www.washingtonpost.com/local/md-politics/poll-baker-holds-best-advantage-against-hogan-in-2018-potential-matchup-in-maryland-governors-race/2017/10/03/85a19aea-a880-11e7-b3aa-c0e2e1d41e38_story.html Mason-Dixon]September 27–30, 2017400± 5.0%28%–10%11%3%<1%1%1%{{efn|group="DemocraticPolling"|Alec Ross with 1%46%
[https://htv-prod-media.s3.amazonaws.com/files/gp-fall-2017-release-3-01-1506411198.pdf Goucher College]September 14–18, 2017324± 5.4%13%–6%8%2%2%1%22%{{efn|group="DemocraticPolling"|Doug Gansler 11%, Maya Rockeymoore 8%, Alec Ross with 1%. Other 2%}}44%
Notes
{{notelist|group="DemocraticPolling"}}

Results

{{Election box begin no change
| title=Democratic primary results[109]
}}{{Election box winning candidate with party link no change
| candidate = Ben Jealous
| party = Democratic Party (United States)
| votes = 231,895
| percentage = 39.6%
}}{{Election box candidate with party link no change
| party = Democratic Party (United States)
| candidate = Rushern Baker
| votes = 171,696
| percentage = 29.3%
}}{{Election box candidate with party link no change
| party = Democratic Party (United States)
| candidate = Jim Shea
| votes = 48,647
| percentage = 8.3%
}}{{Election box candidate with party link no change
| party = Democratic Party (United States)
| candidate = Krish O'Mara Vignarajah
| votes = 48,041
| percentage = 8.2%
}}{{Election box candidate with party link no change
| party = Democratic Party (United States)
| candidate = Rich Madaleno
| votes = 34,184
| percentage = 5.8%
}}{{Election box candidate with party link no change
| party = Democratic Party (United States)
| candidate = Kevin Kamentez/Valerie Ervin
| votes = 18,851
| percentage = 3.2%
}}{{Election box candidate with party link no change
| party = Democratic Party (United States)
| candidate = Alec Ross
| votes = 13,780
| percentage = 2.4%
}}{{Election box candidate with party link no change
| party = Democratic Party (United States)
| candidate = Ralph Jaffe
| votes = 9,405
| percentage = 1.6%
}}{{Election box candidate with party link no change
| party = Democratic Party (United States)
| candidate = James Jones
| votes = 9,188
| percentage = 1.6%
}}{{Election box total no change
| votes = 585,687
| percentage = 100.0%
}}{{Election box end}}

Green nomination

Candidates

Declared

  • Ian Schlakman, entrepreneur and former co-chair of the Maryland Green Party[110]
    • Running mate: Annie Chambers, reverend and Baltimore City Resident Advisory Board Member[110][111]

Results

Following the Maryland Green Party's nominating procedure, the delegates of the Coordinating Council, which is the party's State Central Committee, made the decision to nominate the gubernatorial ticket as no other candidate had filed by the party's March 30, 2018 deadline. More than one ticket seeking the nomination would have required the party to conduct a primary, an obligation not mandated by the State Board of Elections for non-principal parties.[112]

Green State Central Committee Designation[112]
{{small|April 20 - April 25
CandidateDelegates in favorDelegates againstDelegates not voting
Ian Schlakman / Annie Chambers1505

Libertarian convention

Candidates

Declared

  • Shawn Quinn, nominee for governor in 2014 and nominee for the House of Delegates in 2010[113]
    • Running mate: Christina Smith
CandidateVotes in favorVotes againstNot voting
Shawn Quinn / Christina Smith3210

General election

Controversies

More than 74,000 potentially voters were affected during the primaries, when the Motor Vehicle Administration was not able to convey information to voters due to problems with ByteGrid. This is a company that provides key services for Maryland elections, and was bought days before the 2018 primary elections by AltPoint Capital Partners, whose manager is Vladimir Potanin, a person who is close to Russian president, Vladimir Putin. This failure made voters unable to be registered and vote and where forced to fill provisional ballots.[114] No changes were announced for the 2018 gubernatorial election.[115][116]

Debates

Larry Hogan and Ben Jealous met for their one and only scheduled debate on September 24. The debate was livestreamed in the evening by the Maryland Public Television.[117]

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
FiveThirtyEight[118]{{sort|104|Solid R}}November 5, 2018
The Washington Post[119]{{sort|103|Likely R}}November 5, 2018
[120]{{efn>group="GeneralPredictions"|The Fox News Midterm Power Rankings uniquely does not contain a category for Safe/Solid races}}{{sort|103|Likely R}}November 5, 2018
Politico[121]{{sort|103|Likely R}}November 5, 2018
The Cook Political Report[122]{{sort|103|Likely R}}October 26, 2018
Governing[123]{{sort|103|Likely R}}November 5, 2018
Real Clear Politics[124]{{sort|103|Likely R}}November 5, 2018
Daily Kos[125]{{sort|103|Likely R}}November 5, 2018
Sabato's Crystal Ball[126]{{sort|103|Likely R}}November 5, 2018
Rothenberg Political Report[127]{{sort|103|Likely R}}November 1, 2018
Notes
{{notelist|group="GeneralPredictions"}}

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size		 Margin
of error		Larry
Hogan (R)		Ben
Jealous (D)		 Other Undecided
[https://assets.documentcloud.org/documents/4999221/2018-10-07-Maryland-Trend-for-Release.pdf University of Maryland]October 4–7, 2018648 LV± 4.5%58%38%0%3%
814 RV± 4.0%56%36%0%2%
[https://cdn.s3-media.wbal.com/Media/2018/10/09/8055e9a7-2458-4144-9faf-9ea82ae897be/original.pdf Gonzales Research]October 1–6, 2018806± 3.5%54%36%2%{{efn|group="GeneralPolling"|name=Quinn|Shawn Quinn (L) and Ian Schlakman (G) with 1%}}9%
Mason-DixonSeptember 24–26, 2018625± 4.0%52%37%2%{{efn|group="GeneralPolling"|name=Quinn}}9%
[https://www.goucher.edu/hughes-center/documents/Goucher_Poll_Sept_2018_Part_2.pdf Goucher College]September 11–16, 2018472± 4.5%54%32%2%{{efn|group="GeneralPolling"|name=Quinn}}9%
[https://htv-prod-media.s3.amazonaws.com/files/gonzales-maryland-poll-august-2018-1534219336.pdf Gonzales Research]August 1–8, 2018831± 3.5%52%36%1%{{efn|group="GeneralPolling"|Shawn Quinn (L) with 1%, Ian Schlakman (G) with 0%}}11%
[https://www.marylandmatters.org/single-post/2018/08/09/Jealous-Campaign-Heres-How-We-Win Garin-Hart-Yang (D-Jealous)]July 10–14, 2018601± 4.0%49%40%–11%
[https://htv-prod-media.s3.amazonaws.com/files/gonzales-maryland-poll-june-2018-1528799634.pdf Gonzales Research]June 4–10, 2018800± 3.5%51%34%–14%
[https://www.washingtonpost.com/local/md-politics/post-umd-poll-jealous-baker-lead-in-democratic-race-overshadowed-by-hogan/2018/06/04/b6ad4586-6800-11e8-bf8c-f9ed2e672adf_story.html University of Maryland]May 29 – June 3, 2018968± 4.5%51%39%–10%
[https://gallery.mailchimp.com/2a4aefccb064b559262c97fb9/files/17f317b2-8b1b-48b6-a08b-f8496a8fb6e1/APRIL2018_TUESDAY_Release_FINAL.01.pdf Goucher College]April 14–19, 2018617± 3.9%44%31%–22%
[https://cdn.s3-media.wbal.com/Media/2018/03/01/77131f95-e7a2-4de2-8d59-2ec18ff02aa1/original.pdf Mason-Dixon]February 20–22, 2018625± 4.0%50%33%–17%
Gonzales ResearchDecember 27, 2017 – January 5, 2018823± 3.5%49%36%–15%
[https://www.washingtonpost.com/local/md-politics/poll-baker-holds-best-advantage-against-hogan-in-2018-potential-matchup-in-maryland-governors-race/2017/10/03/85a19aea-a880-11e7-b3aa-c0e2e1d41e38_story.html Mason-Dixon]September 27–30, 2017625± 4.0%49%33%–18%
Notes
{{notelist|group="GeneralPolling"}}

　

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