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词条 2018 Tennessee gubernatorial election
释义

  1. Republican primary

     Candidates  Nominated  Eliminated in primary  Withdrawn  Declined  Endorsements  Polling  Results 

  2. Democratic primary

     Candidates  Nominated  Eliminated in primary  Declined  Endorsements  Polling  Results 

  3. Independents

     Candidates  Notes 

  4. General election

     Debates   Endorsements    Predictions   Polling  Results 

  5. References

  6. External links

{{Infobox election
| election_name = 2018 Tennessee gubernatorial election
| country = Tennessee
| type = presidential
| ongoing = no
| turnout =
| previous_election = 2014 Tennessee gubernatorial election
| previous_year = 2014
| next_election = 2022 Tennessee gubernatorial election
| next_year = 2022
| election_date = November 6, 2018
| image1 =
| nominee1 = Bill Lee
| party1 = Republican Party (United States)
| popular_vote1 = 1,336,106
| percentage1 = 59.6%
| image2 =
| nominee2 = Karl Dean
| party2 = Democratic Party (United States)
| popular_vote2 = 864,863
| percentage2 = 38.5%
| map_image = Tennessee Governor Election Results by County, 2018.svg
| map_size =
| map_caption = County results

Lee: {{legend0|#e27f7f|50–60%}} {{legend0|#d75d5d|60–70%}} {{legend0|#d72f30|70–80%}} {{legend0|#c21b18|80–90%}}

Dean: {{legend0|#7996e2|50–60%}} {{legend0|#6674de|60–70%}}


| title = Governor
| before_election = Bill Haslam
| before_party = Republican Party (United States)
| after_election = Bill Lee
| after_party = Republican Party (United States)
|}}{{ElectionsTN}}

The 2018 Tennessee gubernatorial election took place on November 6, 2018, to elect the next Governor of Tennessee. The primaries took place on August 2, with Republican Bill Lee and Democrat Karl Dean winning their respective party nominations.[1]

Incumbent Republican Governor Bill Haslam was term-limited and is prohibited by the Constitution of Tennessee from seeking a third consecutive term.

As of February 2019, this election saw the largest number of candidates (28) in a statewide election in United States history; the previous record was the 2016 United States presidential election in Colorado. This large surge in candidates was mostly due to the Libertarian Party of Tennessee's protest of Tennessee's party affiliation/ballot access laws. [2]

Bill Lee was elected with nearly 60% of the vote.

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominated

  • Bill Lee, businessman[3]

Eliminated in primary

  • Diane Black, U.S. Representative[4]
  • Randy Boyd, former Tennessee cabinet official[5]
  • Beth Harwell,Speaker of the Tennessee House of Representatives,[6]
  • Basil Marceaux, perennial candidate[7]
  • Kay White, realtor[8]

Withdrawn

  • Mae Beavers, former State Senator[9][10] (ran unsuccessfully for Wilson County Mayor)[11]
  • Mark Green, State Senator (ran successfully for Congress[12])

Declined

  • Marsha Blackburn, U.S. Representative (ran successfully for U.S. Senate)[13][14]
  • Tim Burchett, Mayor of Knox County (ran successfully for Congress)[15][16][17]
  • Joe Carr, former State Representative, perennial candidate[18][19]
  • Bob Corker, U.S. Senator[19][20][21]
  • Stephen Fincher, former U.S. Representative[19]
  • Alberto Gonzales, Dean of the Belmont University School of Law and former U.S. Attorney General
  • Bill Hagerty, United States Ambassador to Japan and former Tennessee cabinet official[22]
  • Tre Hargett, Tennessee Secretary of State[23]
  • Rob Mitchell, Rutherford County Property Assessor[24][25]
  • Mark Norris, Majority Leader of the Tennessee Senate, appointed as judge to federal district court,[26][22][27]
  • Andy Ogles, director of Tennessee chapter of Americans for Prosperity[22] (ran successfully for mayor of Maury County)[28]
  • Ron Ramsey, former Lieutenant Governor of Tennessee and candidate for governor in 2010[19][29]

Endorsements

{{Endorsements box|title=Beth Harwell|list=* Representative Harry Brooks, Tennessee House of Representatives, House Education Administration and Planning Committee Chair
  • Representative Dale Carr, Tennessee House of Representatives, House Local Government Subcommittee Chair
  • Representative Mike Carter, Tennessee House of Representatives, House Civil Justice Subcommittee Chair
  • Representative Jim Coley, Tennessee House of Representatives
  • Representative Jeremy Faison, Tennessee House of Representatives, House Government Operations Committee Chair
  • Representative Andrew Farmer, Tennessee House of Representatives, House Civil Justice Committee Chair
  • Representative John Forgety, Tennessee House of Representatives, House Education Instruction and Programs Committee Chair
  • Representative Patsy Hazlewood, Tennessee House of Representatives
  • Representative Gary Hicks, Tennessee House of Representatives
  • Representative John Holsclaw Jr., Tennessee House of Representatives, House Business and Utilities Subcommittee Chair
  • Representative Dan Howell, Tennessee House of Representatives, Joint Judiciary and Government Committee Chair, House Local Government Committee Vice-Chair
  • Representative Curtis Johnson, Tennessee House of Representatives, House Speaker Pro Tempore
  • Representative Pat Marsh, Tennessee House of Representatives, House Business and Utilities Committee Chair
  • Representative Steve McDaniel, Tennessee House of Representatives, House Rules Committee Chair, House Ethics Committee Chair, House Finance, Ways, and Means Study Subcommittee Chair
  • Representative Tim Rudd, Tennessee House of Representatives
  • Representative Charles Sargent, Tennessee House of Representatives, Finance, Ways, and Means Committee Chair
  • Representative Mike Sparks, Tennessee House of Representatives, House Calendar and Rules Committee Vice-Chair
  • Representative Rick Tillis, Tennessee House of Representatives
  • Representative Tim Wirgau, Tennessee House of Representatives, House Local Government Committee Chair
  • Senator Frank Niceley, Tennessee State Senate, Senate Energy, Agriculture, and Natural Resources 1st Vice-Chair, Senate Transportation and Safety Committee 2nd Vice-Chair
  • Tennessee Education Association[30]
  • [https://tseaonline.org/ Tennessee State Employees Association][30]
  • Tennessee Professional Fire Fighters Association[31]}}
{{Endorsements box
| title = Diane Black
| list =
  • Mike Pence, 48th Vice President of the United States[32]
  • Stephen Fincher, former U.S. Representative
  • Ron Ramsey, former Lieutenant Governor of Tennessee[33]
  • Rick Santorum, former U.S. Senator from Pennsylvania[34]
  • Steve Scalise, U.S. Representative and House Majority Whip (R-LA)[35]
  • Jordan Sekulow, radio talk show host and Executive Director of the American Center for Law & Justice[36]
  • Carol M. Swain, former Vanderbilt professor and conservative commentator[37]
  • Tennessee Right to Life[38]
  • National Right to Life[39]
  • Susan B. Anthony List[40]
  • National Rifle Association[41]
  • American Conservative Union[42]
  • Students For Trump[43]
  • Family Research Council[44]

}}{{Endorsements box
| title = Randy Boyd
| list =
  • Mike Huckabee, former Arkansas Governor and Presidential candidate in 2008 and 2016[45]
  • Joe Boyd Liggett, Mayor of Marshall County[46]
  • Jake Bynum, Mayor of Weakley County[46]
  • Mike Creasy, Mayor of Decatur County[46]
  • J. Michael Cross, Fentress County Executive[46]
  • Richard Daniel, Pickett County Executive[46]
  • Ben Danner, Overton County Executive[46]
  • Jim Durrett, Mayor of Montgomery County[47]
  • Brent Greer, Mayor of Henry County[46]
  • Denny Johnson, Mayor of Lake County[46]
  • Shaun Lawson, Mayor of Hickman County[46]
  • Mark Luttrell, Mayor of Shelby County[48]
  • Kenny McBride, Mayor of Carroll County[46]
  • Benny McGuire, Mayor of Obion County[46]
  • Bill Newman, Mayor of Lincoln County[46]
  • Denny Robinson, White County Executive[46]
  • Richard Stewart, Mayor of Franklin County[46]
  • Sloan Stewart, Lynchburg/Moore County Metro Executive[46]
  • Skip Taylor, Mayor of Fayette County[46]
  • Jessie Wallace, Humphreys County Executive[46]
  • Bill Webb, Mayor of Lewis County[46]
  • T.R. Williams, Lawrence County Executive[46]
  • Tom Witherspoon, Mayor of Gibson County[46]
  • Chris Young, Mayor of Dyer County[46]

}}{{Endorsements box
| title = Bill Lee
| list =
U.S. Representatives
  • Zach Wamp, Former U.S. Representative (R-TN)[49]
State-level Officials
  • Andy Holt, state representative[50]
  • Sheila Butt, state representative[51]
  • Jason Zachary, state representative[52]
  • Mae Beavers, former state senator, former gubernatorial candidate[53]
  • Joe Carr, former State Representative[54]
Notable Individuals
  • Michael W. Smith, Christian Singer[55][56]
  • Steven Curtis Chapman, Christian Singer[57]
  • Darrell Waltrip, American motorsports analyst and former NASCAR driver[57]
  • Mike Fisher, Former center for the Nashville Predators and husband of singer Carrie Underwood[57]
  • Ricky Skaggs, Country Music Singer[58]
  • Scott Hamilton, American Figure Skater and Olympic Gold Medalist[59]
Newspapers
  • Chattanooga Free Press[60]
  • Johnson City Press[61]
  • Dunlap News[62]

}}

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Diane
Black
Randy
Boyd
Beth
Harwell
Bill
Lee
Other Undecided
JMC AnalyticsJuly 18–21, 2018500± 4.4%19%20%16%26%1%[63]17%
[https://www.emerson.edu/sites/default/files/Files/Academics/ecp-tn-7.16_PR.pdf Emerson College]July 11–14, 2018266± 6.4%27%22%14%19%3%14%
[https://www.dataorbital.com/the-blog/2018/7/02/tn-governor-gop-primary-6s3h7 Data Orbital]June 27–30, 2018700± 3.7%24%23%10%19%24%
Triton Polling & Research (R)June 25–28, 20181,040± 3.1%27%33%7%20%13%
[https://www.scribd.com/document/379969969/TN-Gov-OnMessage-Inc-R-for-Diane-Black-May-2018 OnMessage Inc. (R-Black)]May 14–17, 2018600± 4.0%41%28%8%9%15%
Grassroots Targeting (R-Black)May 4–6, 201880041%26%6%11%15%
[https://www.scribd.com/document/379969969/TN-Gov-OnMessage-Inc-R-for-Diane-Black-May-2018 OnMessage Inc. (R-Black)]April 201833%30%5%13%
[https://www.scribd.com/document/379969969/TN-Gov-OnMessage-Inc-R-for-Diane-Black-May-2018 OnMessage Inc. (R-Black)]March 201831%31%10%10%
[https://www.tennessean.com/story/news/politics/2018/04/04/diane-black-narrow-lead-new-poll-education-aligned-group/483813002/ TargetPoint/GQR]March 7–14, 2018390± 5.0%25%20%6%7%2%[64]37%
North Star Onion Research (R-Lee)February 5–11, 2018600± 4.0%22%25%4%18%30%
[https://drive.google.com/file/d/0BygPDvU_T-LiNFE2QnU4UkhOTTgtWUQ4VVpzUEFmWHFzdEZr/view Triton Polling & Research (R)]December 12–18, 20171,028± 3.1%22%12%6%4%4%[65]53%

Results

{{Election box begin no change
| title = Republican primary results[66]
}}{{Election box winning candidate with party link no change
| candidate = Bill Lee
| party = Republican Party (United States)
| votes = 291,414
| percentage = 36.75
}}{{Election box candidate with party link no change
| candidate = Randy Boyd
| party = Republican Party (United States)
| votes = 193,054
| percentage = 24.35
}}{{Election box candidate with party link no change
| candidate = Diane Black
| party = Republican Party (United States)
| votes = 182,457
| percentage = 23.01
}}{{Election box candidate with party link no change
| candidate = Beth Harwell
| party = Republican Party (United States)
| votes = 121,484
| percentage = 15.32
}}{{Election box candidate with party link no change
| candidate = Kay White
| party = Republican Party (United States)
| votes = 3,215
| percentage = 0.41
}}{{Election box candidate with party link no change
| candidate = Basil Marceaux
| party = Republican Party (United States)
| votes = 1,264
| percentage = 0.16
}}{{Election box total no change
| votes = 792,888
| percentage = 100.0
}}{{Election box end}}

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominated

  • Karl Dean, former Mayor of Nashville, 2007–2015[67]

Eliminated in primary

  • Craig Fitzhugh, Minority Leader of the Tennessee House of Representatives, r[68]
  • Mezianne Vale Payne, retiree[69]

Declined

  • Andy Berke, Mayor of Chattanooga and former state senator[22]
  • Bill Freeman, businessman and candidate for Mayor of Nashville in 2015[70][71]

Endorsements

{{Endorsements box
| title = Karl Dean
| list =
Federal officials
  • Jim Cooper, U.S. Representative (D-TN)[72]
  • Steve Cohen, U.S. Representative (D-TN)[73]
  • Bob Clement, former U.S Representative (D-TN)
  • Lincoln Davis, former U.S. Representative (D-TN)
Labor unions
  • Memphis AFSCME Local 1733
  • Tennessee Pipe Trades; Mid-South Carpenters Regional Council
  • Road Sprinkler Fitters U.A. Local Union No. 66
  • Local Division of the International Brotherhood of Teamsters

}}

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Karl
Dean
Craig
Fitzhugh
Other Undecided
[https://www.emerson.edu/sites/default/files/Files/Academics/ecp-tn-7.16_PR.pdf Emerson College]July 11–14, 2018206± 7.3%44%14%9%33%
[https://www.tennessean.com/story/news/politics/2018/04/04/diane-black-narrow-lead-new-poll-education-aligned-group/483813002/ TargetPoint/GQR]March 7–14, 2018288± 5.8%41%11%44%

Results

{{Election box begin no change
| title = Democratic primary results[74]
}}{{Election box winning candidate with party link no change
| candidate = Karl Dean
| party = Democratic Party (United States)
| votes = 280,553
| percentage = 75.14
}}{{Election box candidate with party link no change
| candidate = Craig Fitzhugh
| party = Democratic Party (United States)
| votes = 72,553
| percentage = 23.42
}}{{Election box candidate with party link no change
| candidate = Mezianne Vale Payne
| party = Democratic Party (United States)
| votes = 20,284
| percentage = 5.44
}}{{Election box total no change
| votes = 373,390
| percentage = 100.0
}}{{Election box end}}

Independents

Candidates

  • Mark CoonRippy Brown (Independent){{efn|name=LPTN}}[106]
  • Sherry L. Clark (Libertarian){{efn|name=LPTN|Libertarian Party and Green Party do not have ballot access. Appears on ballot as "Independent."[75]}}[76]
  • Justin Cornett (Libertarian){{efn|name=LPTN}}[76]
  • Gabriel Fancher (Libertarian){{efn|name=LPTN}}[76]
  • Sean Bruce Fleming (Libertarian){{efn|name=LPTN}}[76]
  • William Andrew Helmstetter (Libertarian){{efn|name=LPTN}}[76]
  • Cory King (Libertarian){{efn|name=LPTN}}[76]
  • Matthew Koch (Libertarian){{efn|name=LPTN}}[76]
  • Yvonne Neubert (Green){{efn|name=LPTN}}
  • Alfred Shawn Rapoza (Libertarian){{efn|name=LPTN}}[76]
  • Chad Riden, comedian (Independent)[76]
  • Heather Scott (Libertarian){{efn|name=LPTN}}[76]
  • George Blackwell Smith IV (Libertarian){{efn|name=LPTN}}[76]
  • Jeremy Allen Stephenson (Libertarian){{efn|name=LPTN}}[76]
  • Tracy Yaste Tisdale (Libertarian){{efn|name=LPTN}}[76]
  • Mike Toews (Libertarian){{efn|name=LPTN}}[76]
  • Rick Tyler, candidate for TN-03 in 2016[7]
  • Vinnie Vineyard [76] (Libertarian){{efn|name=LPTN}}
  • Jaron D. Weidner (Libertarian){{efn|name=LPTN}}[76]
  • Joe B. Wilmoth (Independent)[76]
  • Patrick Whitlock (Independent)

Notes

{{notelist|group=noballot}}

General election

Debates

  • [https://www.c-span.org/video/?452451-1/tennessee-gubernatorial-debate Complete video of debate], October 2, 2018
  • [https://www.c-span.org/video/?452893-1/tennessee-gubernatorial-debate Complete video of debate], October 12, 2018

Endorsements

{{Endorsements box
| title = Bill Lee (R)
| list =
U.S. Executive Branch officials
  • Donald Trump, President of the United States[77]
  • Mike Pence, Vice President of the United States[78]
U.S. Senators
  • Lamar Alexander, U.S. Senator (R-TN)[79]
U.S. Representatives
  • Diane Black, U.S. Representative (R-TN) and Republican Candidate for Governor in 2018[80]
  • Marsha Blackburn, U.S. Representative (R-TN) and candidate for U.S. Senate in 2018[81]
  • Zach Wamp, Former U.S. Representative (R-TN)[49]
State-level Officials
  • Bill Haslam, Governor of Tennessee[82]
  • Andy Holt, state representative[50]
  • Sheila Butt, state representative[51]
  • Jay Reedy, state representative
  • Jason Zachary, state representative[52]
  • Mae Beavers, former state senator, former gubernatorial candidate[53]
  • Joe Carr, former State Representative[54]
Notable Individuals
  • Michael W. Smith, Christian Singer[55][56]
  • Steven Curtis Chapman, Christian Singer[57]
  • Darrell Waltrip, American motorsports analyst and former NASCAR driver[57]
  • Mike Fisher, Former center for the Nashville Predators and husband of singer Carrie Underwood[57]
  • Ricky Skaggs, Country Music Singer[58]
  • Scott Hamilton, American Figure Skater and Olympic Gold Medalist[59]
  • Randy Boyd, Businessman and Republican Candidate for Governor in 2018[83]
Organizations
  • Tennessee Professional Fire Fighters Association[84]
  • National Rifle Association[85]
  • Tennessee Police Benevolent Association[86]
Newspapers
  • Dunlap News[62]
  • Chattanooga Free Press[87]
  • Knoxville News Sentinel[88]

}}{{Endorsements box
| title = Karl Dean (D)
| list =
U.S. Representatives
  • Jim Cooper, U.S. Representative (D-TN)[72]
  • Steve Cohen, U.S. Representative (D-TN)[73]
  • Bob Clement, former U.S Representative (D-TN)
  • Lincoln Davis, former U.S. Representative (D-TN)
State officials
  • Terry McAuliffe, 72nd Governor of Virginia[89]
  • Martin O'Malley, 61st Governor of Maryland[90]
Local officials
  • Craig Fitzhugh, state representative and former candidate[91]
Labor unions
  • Memphis AFSCME Local 1733
  • Tennessee Pipe Trades; Mid-South Carpenters Regional Council
  • Road Sprinkler Fitters U.A. Local Union No. 66
  • Local Division of the International Brotherhood of Teamsters

}}

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report[92]{{sort|103|Likely R}}September 28, 2018
Rothenberg Political Report[93]{{sort|103|Safe R}}November 1, 2018
Sabato's Crystal Ball[94]{{sort|104|Safe R}}October 4, 2018
RealClearPolitics[95]{{sort|103|Likely R}}October 2, 2018
Daily Kos[96]{{sort|104|Safe R}}September 28, 2018
[97]{{efn>The Fox News Midterm Power Rankings uniquely does not contain a category for Safe/Solid races}}{{sort|103|Likely R}}October 9, 2018
Politico[98]{{sort|103|Likely R}}October 9, 2018
Governing[99]{{sort|103|Likely R}}October 2, 2018
The Washington Post[100]{{sort|103|Likely R}}October 16, 2018
FiveThirtyEight[101]{{sort|104|Solid R}}October 17, 2018
Notes
{{notelist}}

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Bill
Lee (R)
Karl
Dean (D)
Other Undecided
[https://www.targoz.com/market-matters-blog/2018/11/3/tennessee-poll-the-race-for-senate-is-too-close-to-call Targoz Market Research]October 28–31, 201848053%44%2%
[https://www.emerson.edu/news-events/emerson-college-today/emerson-poll-west-virginia-senate-race-tightens-texas-senate-race-remains-close-republicans-look-hold-three-house-seats-wv Emerson College]October 28–30, 2018621± 4.0%54%41%2%3%
[https://www.foxnews.com/politics/fox-news-tennessee-senate-poll-10-31-2018 Fox News]October 27–30, 2018718 LV± 3.5%54%37%2%7%
850 RV± 3.0%52%36%2%9%
[https://poppolling.com/wp-content/uploads/2018/10/TN-Statewide-Topline-Results-10.30.18.pdf Vox Populi Polling]October 27–29, 2018780± 3.5%56%44%
CNN/SSRSOctober 24–29, 2018764 LV± 4.3%52%42%0%4%
871 RV± 4.0%52%41%0%5%
[https://www.etsu.edu/cas/sociology/asrl/ East Tennessee State University]October 22–29, 2018495± 4.4%48%36%5%9%
Cygnal (R)October 26–27, 2018497± 4.4%59%36%3%2%
Marist CollegeOctober 23–27, 2018471 LV± 5.7%57%40%1%3%
764 RV± 4.4%56%39%1%4%
[https://www.vanderbilt.edu/csdi/toplines-midterm-poll-2018.pdf Vanderbilt University/SSRS]October 8–13, 2018800± 4.9%48%37%0%12%
[https://www.targoz.com/market-matters-blog/2018/10/15/the-race-to-elect-tennessees-next-senator-may-be-closer-than-many-expect Targoz Market Research]October 9–12, 2018558 LV56%44%
801 RV49%39%12%
[https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2018/upshot/elections-poll-tnsen-2.html NYT Upshot/Siena College]October 8–11, 2018593± 4.2%59%33%8%
[https://www.foxnews.com/politics/tennessee-poll-document-10-3 Fox News]September 29 – October 2, 2018666 LV± 3.5%53%36%1%10%
806 RV± 3.5%52%35%1%10%
SurveyMonkeySeptember 9–24, 20181,609± 3.3%46%35%19%
[https://poppolling.com/wp-content/uploads/2018/09/TN-Statewide-Survey-Toplines-Sept.-2018.pdf Vox Populi Polling]September 16–18, 2018567± 4.1%55%45%
CNN/SSRSSeptember 11–15, 2018723 LV± 4.3%52%43%0%3%
852 RV± 3.9%49%43%0%5%
[https://www.nashvillepost.com/politics/elections/article/21022750/competing-polls-show-blackburn-bredesen-with-lead Triton Polling & Research (R)]September 10–12, 20181,038± 3.0%54%37%9%
Fox NewsSeptember 8–11, 2018686 LV± 3.5%55%35%1%10%
809 RV± 3.5%52%34%2%12%
Marist CollegeAugust 25–28, 2018538 LV± 5.1%53%40%1%7%
730 RV± 4.5%51%39%1%9%
Gravis MarketingAugust 9–11, 2018620± 3.9%51%40%9%
Triton Polling & Research (R)January 21–24, 20181,003± 3.1%38%34%28%

 

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