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词条 2018 United States Senate election in New Mexico
释义

  1. Democratic primary

     Candidates  Declared  Results 

  2. Republican primary

     Candidates  Declared  Declined  Results 

  3. Libertarian primary

     Candidates  Declared  Withdrew nomination  Results 

  4. General election

     Debates  Endorsements  Predictions  Polling  Results 

  5. References

  6. External links

{{Infobox election
| election_name = United States Senate election in New Mexico, 2018
| country = New Mexico
| type = presidential
| ongoing = no
| previous_election = United States Senate election in New Mexico, 2012
| previous_year = 2012
| next_election = United States Senate election in New Mexico, 2024
| next_year = 2024
| election_date = November 6, 2018
| turnout = 54.9%
| image1 =
| nominee1 = Martin Heinrich
| party1 = Democratic Party (United States)
| popular_vote1 = 376,998
| percentage1 = 54.1%
| image2 =
| nominee2 = Mick Rich
| party2 = Republican Party (United States)
| popular_vote2 = 212,813
| percentage2 = 30.5%
| image3 =
| nominee3 = Gary Johnson
| party3 = Libertarian Party (United States)
| popular_vote3 = 107,201
| percentage3 = 15.4%
| map_image = New Mexico Senate Election Results by County, 2018.svg
| map_size = 200px
| map_caption = County results
Heinrich: {{legend0|#a5b0ff|40–50%}} {{legend0|#7996e2|50–60%}} {{legend0|#6674de|60–70%}} {{legend0|#584cde|70–80%}}

Rich: {{legend0|#ffb2b2|40–50%}} {{legend0|#e27f7f|50–60%}} {{legend0|#d75d5d|60–70%}}


| title = U.S. Senator
| before_election = Martin Heinrich
| before_party = Democratic Party (United States)
| after_election = Martin Heinrich
| after_party = Democratic Party (United States)
}}{{ElectionsNM}}

The 2018 United States Senate election in New Mexico took place on November 6, 2018, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of New Mexico, concurrently with other elections to the United States Senate, elections to the United States House of Representatives, and various state and local elections.

Incumbent Democratic Senator Martin Heinrich won reelection to a second term.[1] His opponents were Republican nominee and businessman Mick Rich and Libertarian nominee Gary Johnson, a two-term Republican Governor of New Mexico and two time candidate for President of the United States.

The candidate filing deadline was March 13, 2018. The Republican and Democratic primary elections were held June 5, 2018.[1] Johnson's results were the highest results for a Libertarian candidate in New Mexico history.

Democratic primary

Candidates

Declared

  • Martin Heinrich, incumbent U.S. Senator[2]

Results

{{Election box begin no change
| title = Democratic primary results[3]
}}{{Election box winning candidate with party link no change
| candidate = Martin Heinrich (incumbent)
| party = Democratic Party (United States)
| votes = 151,473
| percentage = 100
}}{{Election box total no change
| votes = 151,473
| percentage = 100
}}{{Election box end}}

Republican primary

Candidates

Declared

  • Mick Rich, businessman[4]

Declined

  • Aubrey Dunn Jr., New Mexico Commissioner of Public Lands and candidate for NM-02 in 2008 (ran as a Libertarian, later endorsed Gary Johnson)[5]
  • Steve Pearce, U.S. Representative, candidate for the U.S. Senate in 2000 and nominee for the U.S. Senate in 2008 (ran for Governor)[6]
  • Susana Martinez, Governor of New Mexico[7]

Results

{{Election box begin no change
| title = Republican primary results[3]
}}{{Election box winning candidate with party link no change
| candidate = Mick Rich
| party = Republican Party (United States)
| votes = 67,028
| percentage = 100
}}{{Election box total no change
| votes = 67,028
| percentage = 100
}}{{Election box end}}

Libertarian primary

On July 30, 2018, nominee Aubrey Dunn withdrew from the race. On August 4, former governor Gary Johnson was formally nominated by the Libertarian Party of New Mexico as Dunn's replacement.[8] Johnson accepted his party's nomination on August 13.[9]

Candidates

Declared

  • Gary Johnson, former Governor of New Mexico,[10] Libertarian nominee for President in 2012 and 2016

Withdrew nomination

  • Aubrey Dunn Jr., New Mexico Commissioner of Public Lands[11]

Results

{{Election box begin no change
| title = Libertarian primary results[3]
}}{{Election box winning candidate with party link no change
| candidate = Aubrey Dunn
| party = Libertarian Party (United States)
| votes = 619
| percentage = 100
}}{{Election box total no change
| votes = 619
| percentage = 100
}}{{Election box end}}

General election

Debates

  • [https://www.c-span.org/video/?452564-1/mexico-senate-debate Complete video of debate], October 12, 2018

Endorsements

{{Endorsements box
| title = Martin Heinrich (D)
| list =
U.S. Senators
  • Angus King, U.S. Senator (I-ME)[12]
Organizations
  • Alliance for Retired Americans[13]
  • End Citizens United[14]
  • JStreet[15]
  • League of Conservation Voters[16]
  • Natural Resources Defense Council[16]
  • Population Connection[17]
  • Sierra Club[18]
  • Southwest Regional Council of Carpenters[19]
  • United Automobile Workers[20]}}
{{Endorsements box
| title = Mick Rich (R)
| list =
Governors
  • Susana Martinez, Governor of New Mexico, former chair of the Republican Governors Association[21]
U.S. Representatives
  • Steve Pearce (NM-02)[22]
Individuals
  • Steve Bannon, former White House Chief Strategist and executive chair of Breitbart News[23]
Organizations
  • Associated Builders and Contractors[24]
  • National Right to Life Committee[25]
  • National Association of Wholesaler-Distributors[26]}}
{{Endorsements box
| title = Gary Johnson (L)
| list =
Governors
  • William Weld, former Governor of Massachusetts and 2016 Libertarian nominee for Vice-President[27]
U.S. Senators
  • Rand Paul, Republican U.S. Senator from Kentucky[28][29]
Statewide officials
  • Aubrey Dunn Jr., New Mexico Commissioner of Public Lands, former Libertarian Senate candidate[30]
State Representatives
  • Tweeti Blancett, former Republican State Representative[31]
  • Robert Perls, former Democratic State Representative[31]
Local officeholders
  • James "Jim" Gray, former presiding judge of the Orange County, California Superior Court and 2012 Libertarian nominee for Vice-President[32]
  • Mark Tippetts, former member of the Lago Vista, Texas city council and 2018 Libertarian nominee for Governor of Texas[33]
  • Eric Brakey, State Senator and Republican U.S. Senate candidate from Maine[34]
Journalists
  • Nick Gillespie, editor-at-large of Reason magazine[35]
Newspapers
  • Orange County Register[36]
Organizations
  • Libertarian Youth Caucus[37]
  • New Mexico Open Primaries[38]}}

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report[39]{{sort|096|Solid D}}November 1, 2018
Inside Elections[40]{{sort|098|Solid D}}November 1, 2018
Sabato's Crystal Ball[41]{{sort|098|Safe D}}November 1, 2018
Fox News[42]{{sort|098|Likely D}}November 1, 2018
CNN[43]{{sort|098|Solid D}}November 1, 2018
RealClearPolitics[44]{{sort|098|Safe D}}November 1, 2018
FiveThirtyEight[45]{{sort|098|Solid D}}November 1, 2018

^Highest rating given

Polling

On November 2, Carroll Strategies admitted to a mistake in their poll that had replaced Johnson's name with that of someone else, thus causing what was believed to have been a lower-than-expected total for Johnson. Carroll Strategies later apologized for the mistake,[46] and re-surveyed the race on the night of November 1.[47]

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Martin
Heinrich (D)
Mick
Rich (R)
Gary
Johnson (L)
Undecided
[https://researchco.ca/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/Tables_Midterms_05Nov2018.pdf Research Co.]November 1–3, 2018450± 4.6%47%33%11%9%
[https://www.kob.com/kobtvimages/repository/cs/files/new%20poll%20results.pdf Carroll Strategies]November 1, 20181,202± 2.8%51%38%8%3%
[https://www.abqjournal.com/1241736/herrell-torres-small-locked-in-tight-race-for-congress.html Research & Polling, Inc.]October 26 – November 1, 2018993± 3.1%51%31%12%6%
[https://www.emerson.edu/news-events/emerson-college-today/emerson-poll-democrats-favored-pick-governorships-mi-nm-hold-us-senate-seat-nj Emerson College]October 24–26, 2018 936± 3.4%48%32%16%5%
[https://www.krqe.com/news/politics-governement/elections/krqe-news-13-statewide-new-mexico-poll/1552195786 Pacific Market Research]October 19–24, 2018400± 4.9%40%28%22%11%
[https://electliberty.com/frequencies-sept-26/ NSON Opinion Strategy (L)]September 20–24, 201893236%10%28%26%
In Lux Research (L-Elect Liberty PAC)September 16–17, 201890038%10%28%24%
[https://www.abqjournal.com/1221446/heinrich-leads-in-threeway-senate-race.html Research & Polling, Inc.]September 7–13, 2018966± 3.1%47%26%16%
[https://electliberty.com/polls/ In Lux Research (L-Elect Liberty PAC)]August 201890038%13%28%21%
[https://www.emerson.edu/sites/default/files/Files/Academics/ecp-pr-nm-8.19.18.pdf Emerson College]August 17–18, 2018500± 4.6%39%11%21%30%
[https://majorityinstitute.com/latest/heinrich-leads-senate-pack-johnson-distant-third GQR Research (D-TMI)]August 2–5, 2018500± 4.4%48%33%17%2%
[https://www.scribd.com/document/385670682/NM-Sen-GBA-Strategies-for-Martin-Heinrich-August-2018 GBA Strategies (D-Heinrich)]August 1–5, 2018800± 3.5%47%29%22%
[https://drive.google.com/file/d/0BygPDvU_T-LiVmtyNktMWFlmSTdJM2tmN1FPcDJOMXl3ZzZN/view The Tarrance Group (R-Rich)]July 31 – August 2, 2018500± 4.5%44%30%20%6%
[https://electliberty.com/polls/ NSON Opinion Strategy (L)]July 201850039%25%23%12%

Results

{{Election box begin | title=United States Senate election in New Mexico, 2018}}{{Election box winning candidate with party link
|party = Democratic Party (United States)
|candidate = Martin Heinrich (incumbent)
|votes = 376,998
|percentage = 54.09%
|change = +3.08%
}}{{Election box candidate with party link
|party = Republican Party (United States)
|candidate = Mick Rich
|votes = 212,813
|percentage = 30.53%
|change = -14.75%
}}{{Election box candidate with party link
|party = Libertarian Party (United States)
|candidate = Gary Johnson
|votes = 107,201
|percentage = 15.38%
|change = N/A
}}{{Election box total
|votes = 697,012
|percentage = 100.0%
|change = N/A
}}{{Election box hold with party link no swing
|winner = Democratic Party (United States)
}}{{Election box end}}

References

1. ^{{Cite news|url=https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_Senate_election_in_New_Mexico,_2018|title=United States Senate election in New Mexico, 2018 - Ballotpedia|access-date=March 3, 2017|language=en-US}}
2. ^{{cite news|url=https://www.abqjournal.com/886157/udall-lujan-grisham-weigh-run-for-governor.html|title=Who wants to be New Mexico’s next governor?|work=Albuquerque Journal|last=Coleman|first=Michael|date=November 10, 2016|accessdate=November 10, 2016}}
3. ^{{cite web |title=New Mexico Election Results |url=http://electionresults.sos.state.nm.us/resultsSW.aspx?type=FED&map=CTY |publisher=New Mexico Secretary of State |language=en |date=June 6, 2018}}
4. ^{{cite web|url=http://www.kob.com/politics-news/new-mexico-construction-contractor-announces-us-senate-bid-mick-rich/4458452/|title=New Mexico construction contractor announces US Senate bid|date=April 19, 2017|accessdate=April 19, 2017|first=Morgan|last=Lee|work=KOB}}
5. ^{{cite web|url=http://nmpoliticalreport.com/800361/libertarian-party-gets-a-boost-in-nm/ |title=Libertarian Party gets a boost in NM|website=Nmpoliticalreport.com|accessdate=11 June 2018}}
6. ^{{cite news|url=http://www.ruidosonews.com/story/life/columnists/2016/11/23/keithleys-korner-turkey-talk-political-drama-horizon-2018/94338348/ |title=Turkey talk: Political drama on the horizon in 2018|work=Ruidoso News|last=Keithley|first=Tim|date=November 23, 2016|accessdate=November 23, 2016}}
7. ^{{cite news|title=New Mexico Governor Rules Out Senate Run|url=https://www.usnews.com/news/best-states/new-mexico/articles/2018-01-18/new-mexico-governor-rules-out-senate-run |accessdate=15 March 2018|work=U.S. News & World Report|date=18 January 2018}}
8. ^{{cite web |title=Libertarian Party courts Gary Johnson for Senate run |url=https://abcnews.go.com/Politics/wireStory/libertarian-party-courts-gary-johnson-senate-run-57038394 |website=Associated Press |publisher=Associated Press}}
9. ^{{cite web|last=Boyd|first=Dan|title=Gary Johnson makes it official: He’s running for U.S. Senate|url=https://www.abqjournal.com/1208890/gary-johnson-makes-it-official-hes-running-for-u-s-senate.html|work=Albuquerque Journal|date=August 14, 2018}}
10. ^{{cite web|title=Libertarian Party courts Gary Johnson for Senate run|url=https://abcnews.go.com/Politics/wireStory/libertarian-party-courts-gary-johnson-senate-run-57038394|website=Associated Press|publisher=Associated Press}}
11. ^{{cite web |last1=McLaughlin |first1=Jill |title=Aubrey Dunn withdraws from U.S. Senate race |url=https://www.lamonitor.com/content/aubrey-dunn-withdraws-us-senate-race |website=Los Alamos Monitor |publisher=Los Alamos Monitor |accessdate=30 July 2018}}
12. ^{{cite tweet|user=TeamHeinrich|number=1030488890790969345|date=August 17, 2018|title=Speaking of independent voices in the Senate, here’s @SenAngusKing on why we need Martin's. #nmpol #nmsen}}
13. ^{{cite web|title=Retirees Celebrate Social Security’s 83rd Anniversary by Endorsing Senator Heinrich - Retired Americans|url=https://retiredamericans.org/retirees-celebrate-social-securitys-83rd-anniversary-endorsing-senator-heinrich/|publisher=Retired Americans|date=August 23, 2018}}
14. ^{{cite web|url=http://endcitizensunited.org/press-releases/end-citizens-united-endorses-senator-martin-heinrich-re-election/|title=End Citizens United Endorses Senator Martin Heinrich for Re-election|publisher=End Citizens United|author=Tiffany Muller|date=July 6, 2017}}
15. ^{{cite web|title=2018 Senate Endorsees - JStreet|url=https://donate.jstreetpac.org/page/2018-senate-endorsees/}}
16. ^{{cite web|title=National Environmental Groups Endorse Martin Heinrich For U.S. Senate|url=https://martinheinrich.com/news/national-environmental-groups-endorse-martin-heinrich-u-s-senate//|website= Martin Heinrich for Senate|date=April 22, 2018}}
17. ^{{cite web|title=Population Connection Action Fund Endorsements|url=https://www.populationconnectionaction.org/2018-endorsements/|website=Population Connection}}
18. ^{{cite web|url=https://content.sierraclub.org/voterguide/endorsements|title=Sierra Club #ClimateVoter Guide: Endorsements|date=16 July 2012|website=Sierraclub.org|accessdate=11 June 2018}}
19. ^{{cite web |title= Carpenters 2018 Midterm New Mexico Endorsements |agency= Southwest Regional Council of Carpenters |url= https://www.swcarpenters.org/carpenters-2018-new-mexico-endorsements/ |website=Swcarpenters.org}}
20. ^{{cite web |title=New Mexico – Official UAW Endorsements |url=http://uawendorsements.org/map/newmexico/ |website=Uawendorsements.org |publisher=United Automobile Workers}}
21. ^{{cite tweet|user=MickRich4Senate|number=1037850089811787777|date=September 6, 2018|title=With Gov. Susana Martinez at the Carlsbad Mayor's Energy Summit. #NMpol #NMsen #Carlsbad #oil&gas}}
22. ^{{cite web|url=https://mickrichforsenate.com/steve-pearce-endorses-mick-rich-for-u-s-senate/|title=Steve Pearce Endorses Mick Rich for U.S. Senate|work=Mick Rich for U.S. Senate|date=September 20, 2018}}
23. ^{{cite web|url=http://nmpoliticalreport.com/2018/10/19/steve-bannon-mick-rich-is-a-real-populist/|title=Steve Bannon: Mick Rich is a ‘real populist’|work=NM Political Report|last=Lyman|first=Andy|date=October 19, 2018|accessdate=October 24, 2018}}
24. ^{{cite web|url=https://mickrichforsenate.com/associated-builders-contractors-endorses-mick-rich-u-s-senate/|title=Associated Builders and Contractors Endorses Mick Rich for U.S. Senate|work=Mick Rich for U.S. Senate|date=June 29, 2017}}
25. ^{{cite web|url=https://mickrichforsenate.com/national-right-to-life-committee-endorses-mick-rich/|title=National Right To Life Committee Endorses Mick Rich|work=Mick Rich for U.S. Senate|date=July 31, 2018}}
26. ^{{cite web|url=https://twitter.com/MickRich4Senate/status/1042169750472851458|title=I'm honored today to be endorsed by the National Association of Wholesaler-Distributors PAC. Thank you! I am the only conservative and pro-business candidate in New Mexico's race for U.S. Senate. #NMpol #NMsen|work=Twitter|author=Mick Rich}}
27. ^{{cite web|url=https://www.facebook.com/story.php?story_fbid=2194763157434725&id=1742663025978076|title=Bill Weld|website=Facebook|accessdate=24 August 2018}}
28. ^{{cite web|url=https://www.usnews.com/news/best-states/new-mexico/articles/2018-08-28/sen-rand-paul-backs-libertarian-senate-candidate|title=Sen. Rand Paul Backs Libertarian Senate Candidate|date=August 28, 2018|accessdate=August 28, 2018|work=The Associated Press}}
29. ^{{cite news |last1=Keller |first1=Megan |title=Rand Paul endorses Gary Johnson's Senate bid |url=https://thehill.com/homenews/senate/404027-rand-paul-endorses-gary-johnsons-senate-bid |accessdate=11 January 2019 |publisher=The Hill |date=August 28, 2018}}
30. ^{{cite web|url=https://amp.lcsun-news.com/amp/866761002|title=Aubrey Dunn|website=Las Cruces Sun News|accessdate=August 24, 2018}}
31. ^{{cite web |title=New Mexico Open Primaries |url=https://www.facebook.com/NMOpenPrimaries/posts/2320330694862431?__xts__[0]=68.ARCKU19Vi8IxHrc4NKxagTWH-AdE4butedUBBi-B4AjK-9qSa0ouY5WCm2GXOj7qnLCquCzy_SxM0Bp7bpk1yvpBs61wCDwGvq-8qmcyiI2Th-PvIsbIN1KPEd6OnMFVCYXf0ti7j2V-LFkl1jxL3UXMsv20R_fHYQkoolyAC5nyHyBEokwcbUzmjuQh5x4vRnx8QNjlPjkwJ_XxftBAdg9DQ4k&__tn__=C-R |website=Facebook |publisher=Facebook |accessdate=26 October 2018}}
32. ^{{cite web|url=https://www.garyjohnsonsenate.com/endorsements|title=Endorsements|website=Gary Johnson Official Campaign Site|accessdate=August 31, 2018}}
33. ^{{cite tweet|user=Mark4Gov |number=1034634255786287104|date=August 28, 2018|title=Thank you @RandPaul for supporting the very best candidate for senate in New Mexico, @GovGaryJohnson!!#principlesoverparty#riseofthelibertarians#endtwopartyrule}}
34. ^{{cite news|url=https://reason.com/blog/2018/08/31/eric-brakey-republican-senate-candidate|first=Matt|last=Welch|title=Eric Brakey, Republican Senate Candidate in Maine, Endorses Gary Johnson|authorlink=Matt Welch|work=Reason|date=August 31, 2018|accessdate=August 31, 2018}}
35. ^{{cite tweet|user=nickgillespie|number=1029470341649846272|date=August 14, 2018|title=Very excited at this news about @GovGaryJohnson running as @LPNational candidate for Senate in NM! Stand by for more @MattWelch coverage http://reason.com/blog/2018/08/14/its-happening-gary-johnson-running-for-s … @GovBillWeld}}
36. ^{{cite web|url=https://www.ocregister.com/2018/08/17/the-senate-could-use-more-libertarians-like-gary-johnson/|title=The Senate could use more libertarians like Gary Johnson|date=17 August 2018|website=Ocregister.com|accessdate=1 December 2018}}
37. ^{{cite web|url=https://www.facebook.com/LYCaucus/posts/2251222821764174?__xts__%5B0%5D=68.ARDi628ETLyOpTcW4kIb0HznfDKTd6vfu2rOq6EnQ1AzhYUkVn8o_4ffrC2caUDWW-zxoihe0HZtp3wslnB4sZ7tVjC8D-SMPWspcVbyapkdUNIi1ad6Nl1DXHCABHLfcC00l2fD0r4-9ZxTicmdLYbEFh74lUAHRJiILN-OHnOdX1SDBkQoTg&__tn__=C-R|title=Libertarian Youth Caucus|website=Facebook.com|accessdate=1 December 2018}}
38. ^{{cite web|url=https://www.facebook.com/NMOpenPrimaries/posts/2320330694862431?__tn__=C-R|title=New Mexico Open Primaries|website=Facebook.com|accessdate=1 December 2018}}
39. ^{{cite web|url=https://cookpolitical.com/ratings/senate-race-ratings|title=2018 Senate Race Ratings|website=The Cook Political Report|accessdate=September 10, 2018}}
40. ^{{cite web|url=https://insideelections.com/ratings/senate|title=2018 Senate Ratings|website=The Rothenberg Political Report|accessdate=September 10, 2018}}
41. ^{{cite web|url=http://www.centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/2018-senate/|title=2018 Crystal Ball Senate race ratings|website=Sabato's Crystal Ball|accessdate=September 10, 2018}}
42. ^{{cite web|url=http://www.foxnews.com/politics/midterms-2018.html|title=2018 Senate Power Rankings|accessdate=September 10, 2018}}
43. ^{{cite web|url=https://edition.cnn.com/election/2018/key-races/senate|title=Key Races: Senate|accessdate=September 10, 2018}}
44. ^{{cite web|url=https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2018/senate/2018_elections_senate_map.html|title=Battle for the Senate 2018|accessdate=September 10, 2018}}
45. ^{{Cite news|url=https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2018-midterm-election-forecast/senate/new-mexico/|title=New Mexico - 2018 Senate Forecast|last=Silver|first=Nate|date=2018-09-11|work=FiveThirtyEight|access-date=2018-11-01|language=en-US}}
46. ^{{cite web |last1=Wang |first1=Joy |title=After polling error, Gary Johnson's camp questions validity of new poll |url=https://www.kob.com/politics-news/after-polling-error-gary-johnsons-camp-questions-validity-of-new-poll/5132078/ |website=KOB4 |publisher=KOB4 |accessdate=2 November 2018}}
47. ^{{cite web |title=Heinrich maintains lead in new U.S. Senate poll |url=https://www.kob.com/politics-news/heinrich-maintains-lead-in-new-us-senate-poll/5131481/ |website=KOB4 |publisher=KOB4 |accessdate=4 November 2018}}

External links

  • [https://votesmart.org/election/2018/C/NM/2018-congressional Candidates] at Vote Smart
  • [https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_Senate_election_in_New_Mexico,_2018 Candidates] at Ballotpedia
  • [https://www.fec.gov/data/elections/senate/NM/2018/ Campaign finance] at FEC
  • [https://www.opensecrets.org/races/summary?cycle=2018&id=NMS1 Campaign finance] at Center for Responsive Politics
Official campaign websites
  • Gary Johnson (L) for Senate
  • Martin Heinrich (D) for Senate
  • [https://mickrichforsenate.com/ Mick Rich (R) for Senate]
{{United States elections, 2018}}{{Notable third party performances in United States elections}}{{DEFAULTSORT:United States Senate Election In New Mexico, 2018}}

3 : United States Senate elections in New Mexico|2018 United States Senate elections|2018 New Mexico elections

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