| 释义 |
- Background
- Electoral system
- Potential candidates
- Opinion polls Approval ratings
- See also
- References
- External links
{{Infobox Election
| election_name = 2021 Portuguese presidential election
| country = Portugal
| type = presidential
| ongoing = yes
| previous_election = 2016 Portuguese presidential election
| previous_year = 2016
| next_election =
| next_year =
| election_date = January 2021
| turnout =
| image1 =
| candidate1 =
| party1 =
| popular_vote1 =
| percentage1 =
| image2 =
| candidate2 =
| party2 =
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| title = President
| before_election = Marcelo Rebelo de Sousa
| before_party = Social Democratic Party (Portugal)
| posttitle = President-elect
| after_election =
| after_party =
}}{{Politics of Portugal}}Presidential elections will be held in Portugal in January 2021. The elections will elect the successor to the President Marcelo Rebelo de Sousa or re-elect him to a second term. Marcelo Rebelo de Sousa is allowed to run for a second term as President. BackgroundMarcelo Rebelo de Sousa was elected in January 2016 with 52% of the votes on the first round. He took the oath of office on March 9th, 2016 and since then, has been in a Cohabitation with Socialist Prime Minister António Costa, who has the support of the Left Bloc, the Communist Party and the Greens. In Portugal, the president is the head of state, has mostly ceremonial powers. However, the president does have some political influence and can dissolve the Parliament of Portugal if a crisis occurs. The president also has an official residence in the Belém Palace in Lisbon. Electoral systemUnder Portuguese law, a candidate must receive a majority of votes (50% plus one vote) to be elected. If no candidate achieved a majority in the first round, a runoff election (i.e., second round, held between the two candidates who received the most votes in the first round) has to be held. In order to stand for election, candidates had to each gather 7,500 signatures of support one month before the election, and submit them to the Constitutional Court of Portugal. Then, the Constitutional Court has to certified if the candidacies submitted met the requirements to appear on the ballot. The highest number of candidacies ever accepted was ten in 2016. Potential candidates - Marcelo Rebelo de Sousa, President since 2016; eligible for a second term;[1]
- António Sampaio da Nóvoa, Candidate in 2016; Polled second place with almost 23% of the votes;[2]
- José Sócrates, former PM (2005-2011); Currently charged with corruption;[3]
Opinion polls Approval ratings The table below lists the evolution of public opinion on the president's performance in office. Polling
firm | Fieldwork
date | Sample
size | Marcelo Rebelo de Sousa | |
|---|
| Approve | Disapprove | No opinion | Net |
|---|
| | |
|---|
| [https://www.eurosondagem.pt/inform/barometro%20orgaos%20poder.htm Eurosondagem] | 10–14 Mar 2019 | 1,020 | 69.0 | 9.0 | 22.0 | 60.0 | | [https://www.jornaldenegocios.pt/economia/politica/detalhe/popularidade-de-marcelo-cai-para-niveis-inferiores-aos-de-cavaco-silva?ref=HP_Destaquesduasnot%C3%ADcias Aximage] | 5–10 Feb 2019 | 602 | 67.1 | 24.2 | 8.7 | 42.9 | | [https://expresso.pt/politica/2019-01-11-Sondagem-Alianca-com-4-PSD-em-minimos-historicos-e-PS-em-queda#gs.fcqeAPbL Eurosondagem] | 2–9 Jan 2019 | 1,010 | 71.0 | 6.5 | 22.5 | 64.5 | | [https://www.jornaldenegocios.pt/economia/politica/detalhe/sondagem-popularidade-de-marcelo-esta-em-queda-acentuada?ref=HP_maislidas Aximage] | 4–7 Jan 2019 | 608 | 74.3 | 17.0 | 8.7 | 57.3 | | Aximage | 7–11 Dec 2018 | 602 | 77.7 | 11.5 | 10.8 | 66.2 | | [https://leitor.expresso.pt/diario/sexta-5/html/caderno1/temas-principais/PSD-a-cair-PS-a-crescer.-Costa-embalado-Marcelo-superstar Eurosondagem] | 7–14 Nov 2018 | 1,018 | 71.8 | 7.0 | 21.2 | 64.8 | | [https://www.jornaldenegocios.pt/economia/politica/detalhe/marcelo-mantem-popularidade-mais-baixa-desde-que-chegou-a-belem?ref=Pol%C3%ADtica_outros Aximage] | 9–12 Nov 2018 | 603 | 79.4 | 11.8 | 8.8 | 67.6 | | Aximage | 1–3 Oct 2018 | 601 | 79.5 | 11.3 | 9.2 | 68.2 | | [https://expresso.sapo.pt/dossies/diario/2018-09-14-Sondagem-PSD-aguenta-desgaste#gs.yShC9JE Eurosondagem] | 5–12 Sep 2018 | 1,008 | 73.0 | 8.7 | 18.3 | 64.3 | | Aximage | 1–2 Sep 2018 | 603 | 79.0 | 10.5 | 10.5 | 68.5 | | Aximage | 13–16 Jul 2018 | 600 | 80.5 | 8.8 | 10.7 | 71.7 | | [https://expresso.sapo.pt/dossies/diario/2018-07-13-Sondagem.-PS-a-tres-pontos-da-maioria-absoluta Eurosondagem] | 4–11 Jul 2018 | 1,011 | 72.5 | 8.3 | 19.2 | 64.2 | | Aximage | 9–12 Jun 2018 | 602 | 84.0 | 6.5 | 9.5 | 77.5 | | Aximage | 5–9 May 2018 | 600 | 87.0 | 4.9 | 8.1 | 82.1 | | [https://leitor.expresso.pt/diario/11-05-2018/html/caderno-1//temas-principais/ps-e-psd-caem-na-semana-dos-casos-socrates-e-pinho Eurosondagem] | 3–9 May 2018 | 1,008 | 73.0 | 9.0 | 18.0 | 64.0 | | Aximage | 8–12 Apr 2018 | 601 | 86.0 | 4.8 | 9.2 | 81.2 | | [https://expresso.sapo.pt/dossies/diario/2018-03-16-Sondagem-PS-a-beira-da-maioria-absoluta-PSD-com-maior-subida-desta-legislatura Eurosondagem] | 8–14 Mar 2018 | 1,010 | 72.0 | 8.1 | 19.9 | 63.9 | | [https://www.jornaldenegocios.pt/economia/politica/detalhe/sondagem-marcelo-e-tao-popular-no-cds-como-no-bloco?ref=Not%C3%ADcias%20no%20Minuto_outros Aximage] | 2–5 Mar 2018 | 605 | 88.2 | 4.4 | 7.4 | 83.8 | | [https://www.cmjornal.pt/multimedia/videos/detalhe/rui-rio-em-estado-de-graca-mas-longe-de-costa?ref=HP_Multimedia Aximage] | 3–6 Feb 2018 | 603 | 87.3 | 5.5 | 7.2 | 81.8 | | [https://expresso.sapo.pt/dossies/diario/2018-01-19-Sondagem-PS-soma-e-segue-PSD-nao-consegue-recuperar Eurosondagem] | 14–17 Jan 2018 | 1,018 | 71.8 | 8.2 | 20.0 | 63.6 | | [https://www.cmjornal.pt/multimedia/graficos/detalhe/barometro-politico-de-janeiro Aximage] | 6–9 Jan 2018 | 600 | 87.0 | 4.8 | 8.2 | 82.2 | | Eurosondagem | 6–12 Dec 2017 | 1,017 | 71.7 | 8.7 | 19.6 | 63.0 | | Aximage | 1–4 Dec 2017 | 603 | 84.8 | 6.9 | 8.3 | 77.9 | | Eurosondagem | 8–15 Nov 2017 | 1,010 | 70.0 | 7.5 | 22.5 | 62.5 | | Aximage | 4–6 Nov 2017 | 600 | 84.1 | 8.1 | 7.8 | 76.0 | | Aximage | 14–17 Oct 2017 | 603 | 87.0 | 6.0 | 7.0 | 81.0 | | Eurosondagem | 4–11 Oct 2017 | 1,011 | 69.1 | 7.1 | 23.8 | 62.0 | | [https://expresso.sapo.pt/politica/2017-09-08-Sondagem-Governo-com-maior-queda-de-popularidade-desde-tomada-de-posse Eurosondagem] | 31 Aug–6 Sep 2017 | 1,007 | 72.0 | 10.3 | 17.7 | 61.7 | | Aximage | 29–30 Aug 2017 | 597 | 87.4 | 6.2 | 6.4 | 81.2 | | Eurosondagem | 27 Jul–2 Aug 2017 | 1,011 | 71.0 | 9.5 | 19.5 | 61.5 | | Aximage | 6–11 Jul 2017 | 604 | 87.8 | 5.6 | 6.6 | 82.2 | | Eurosondagem | 28 Jun–5 Jul 2017 | 1,008 | 70.7 | 9.8 | 19.5 | 60.9 | | Aximage | 7–11 Jun 2017 | 601 | 89.2 | 4.9 | 5.9 | 84.3 | | Eurosondagem | 1–7 Jun 2017 | 1,010 | 70.0 | 9.4 | 20.6 | 60.6 | | Eurosondagem | 3–10 May 2017 | 1,005 | 69.0 | 8.5 | 22.5 | 60.5 | | Aximage | 5–8 May 2017 | 603 | 88.1 | 4.4 | 7.5 | 83.7 | | Eurosondagem | 30 Mar–5 Apr 2017 | 1,003 | 71.7 | 11.7 | 16.6 | 60.0 | | Aximage | 2–4 Apr 2017 | 600 | 88.8 | 3.9 | 7.3 | 84.9 | | Eurosondagem | 1–8 Mar 2017 | 1,011 | 72.0 | 13.8 | 14.2 | 58.2 | | Aximage | 4–6 Mar 2017 | 608 | 88.2 | 4.4 | 7.4 | 83.8 | | Aximage | 5–8 Feb 2017 | 601 | 92.6 | 2.8 | 4.6 | 89.8 | | Eurosondagem | 1–8 Feb 2017 | 1,017 | 69.0 | 14.0 | 17.0 | 55.0 | | Eurosondagem | 5–11 Jan 2017 | 1,010 | 70.0 | 13.1 | 16.9 | 56.9 | | Aximage | 6–9 Jan 2017 | 603 | 92.9 | 3.0 | 4.1 | 89.9 | | Eurosondagem | 7–14 Dec 2016 | 1,016 | 68.0 | 11.2 | 20.8 | 56.8 | | Aximage | 2–4 Dec 2016 | 605 | 92.8 | 3.1 | 4.1 | 89.7 | | UCP–CESOP | 19–22 Nov 2016 | 977 | 90.0 | 5.0 | 5.0 | 85.0 | | Eurosondagem | 2–9 Nov 2016 | 1,011 | 70.7 | 13.7 | 15.6 | 57.0 | | Aximage | 31 Oct–1 Nov 2016 | 601 | 92.2 | 3.0 | 4.8 | 89.2 | | Eurosondagem | 6–12 Oct 2016 | 1,010 | 69.4 | 11.0 | 19.6 | 58.4 | | Aximage | 1–3 Oct 2016 | 608 | 91.2 | 2.9 | 5.9 | 88.3 | | Eurosondagem | 7–14 Sep 2016 | 1,009 | 71.0 | 13.3 | 15.7 | 57.7 | | Aximage | 2–5 Sep 2016 | 603 | 91.1 | 3.1 | 5.8 | 88.0 | | Eurosondagem | 26 Jul–2 Aug 2016 | 1,005 | 70.0 | 12.5 | 17.5 | 57.5 | | Aximage | 15–17 Jul 2016 | 606 | 91.0 | 3.1 | 5.9 | 87.9 | | Eurosondagem | 30 Jun–6 Jul 2016 | 1,023 | 68.6 | 13.1 | 18.3 | 55.5 | | Eurosondagem | 1 Jun–7 Jun 2016 | 1,025 | 70.0 | 13.6 | 16.4 | 56.4 | | Aximage | 30 May–1 Jun 2016 | 606 | 87.9 | 4.5 | 7.6 | 83.4 | | Eurosondagem | 5–11 May 2016 | 1,031 | 68.4 | 12.1 | 19.5 | 56.3 | | Aximage | 7–9 May 2016 | 600 | 92.4 | 3.6 | 4.0 | 88.8 | | Eurosondagem | 7–13 Apr 2016 | 1,026 | 68.0 | 12.5 | 19.5 | 55.5 | | Aximage | 2–3 Apr 2016 | 601 | 87.9 | 6.2 | 5.9 | 81.7 | |
See also- President of Portugal
- Politics of Portugal
References1. ^[https://expresso.sapo.pt/politica/2017-01-22-Marcelo-Ate-setembro-de-2020-direi-se-sou-recandidato Marcelo: “Até setembro de 2020 direi se sou recandidato” ], Expresso (January 22, 2017).
2. ^[https://www.publico.pt/2018/01/24/video/se-ha-uma-coisa-que-aprendi-e-que-nunca-se-deve-dizer-nunca-a-nada-20180124-001551 “Se há uma coisa que aprendi é que nunca se deve dizer nunca a nada”], Público (January 24, 2018).
3. ^[https://expresso.sapo.pt/politica/2018-01-29-Socrates-pode-estar-a-pensar-fazer-de-uma-candidatura-presidencial-parte-da-estrategia-de-defesa-1 “Sócrates pode estar a pensar fazer de uma candidatura presidencial parte da estratégia de defesa” ], Expresso (January 29, 2018).
External links- Official results site, Portuguese Justice Ministry
- Portuguese Electoral Commission
- ERC - Official publication of polls
{{Portuguese presidential elections}}{{Portuguese elections}} 3 : 2021 elections in Europe|2021 in Portugal|Presidential elections in Portugal |