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词条 2007 Greek legislative election
释义

  1. Procedure

  2. Opinion polls, January–August 2007

  3. Events before the election

  4. Exit polls

  5. Results

  6. Results by region

  7. See also

  8. References

  9. Further reading

  10. External links

{{Infobox Election
| election_name = Greek legislative election, 2007
| country = Greece
| type = parliamentary
| ongoing = no
| previous_election = Greek legislative election, 2004
| previous_year = 2004
| previous_mps = Greek_legislative_election,_2004#The_result
| next_election = Greek legislative election, 2009
| next_year = 2009
| next_mps =
| seats_for_election = All 300 seats to the Hellenic Parliament
151 seats were needed for a majority
| election_date = 16 September 2007
| image1 =
| leader1 = Kostas Karamanlis
| leader_since1 = 21 March 1997
| party1 = New Democracy (Greece)
| leaders_seat1 =
| last_election1 = 165 seats, 45.4%
| seats1 = 152
| seat_change1 = {{decrease}}13
| popular_vote1 = 2,995,479
| percentage1 = 41.83%
| swing1 = {{decrease}} 3.57%
| image2 =
| leader2 = George Papandreou
| leader_since2 = 8 February 2004
| party2 = Panhellenic Socialist Movement
| leaders_seat2 =
| last_election2 = 117 seats, 40.5%
| seats2 = 102
| seat_change2 = {{decrease}}15
| popular_vote2 = 2,727,853
| percentage2 = 38.1%
| swing2 = {{decrease}} 2.4%
| image3 =
| leader3 = Aleka Papariga
| leader_since3 = 1991
| party3 = Communist Party of Greece
| leaders_seat3 =
| last_election3 = 12 seats, 5.9%
| seats3 = 22
| seat_change3 = {{increase}}10
| popular_vote3 = 583,815
| percentage3 = 8.15%
| swing3 = {{increase}} 2.25%
| image4 =
| leader4 = Alekos Alavanos
| leader_since4 = 2004
| party4 = Coalition of the Radical Left
| leaders_seat4 =
| last_election4 = 6 seats, 3.3%
| seats4 = 14
| seat_change4 = {{increase}}8
| popular_vote4 = 361,211
| percentage4 = 5.04%
| swing4 = {{increase}} 1.78%
| image5 =
| leader5 = Georgios Karatzaferis
| leader_since5 = 14 September 2000
| party5 = Popular Orthodox Rally
| leaders_seat5 =
| last_election5 = 0 seats, 2.2%
| seats5 = 10
| seat_change5 = {{increase}}10
| popular_vote5 = 271,764
| percentage5 = 3.80%
| swing5 = {{increase}} 1.61
| title = Prime Minister
| posttitle = Subsequent Prime Minister
| before_election = Kostas Karamanlis
| before_party = New Democracy (Greece)
| after_election = Kostas Karamanlis
| after_party = New Democracy (Greece)
}}
Greek Parliamentary election, 2007
← Previous elections

Distribution of parliament seats after the 2007 elections (Results).
{{legend|#1569C7|New Democracy: 152 seats }}{{legend|#2D902D|Panhellenic Socialist Movement: 102 seats }}{{legend|#960018|Communist Party of Greece: 22 seats }}{{legend|#FA8072|Coalition of the Radical Left: 14 seats }}{{legend|#000080|Popular Orthodox Rally: 10 seats }}
Date September 16, 2007
Previous prime minister Kostas Karamanlis
Next prime minister Kostas Karamanlis (holding position)
{{Politics of Greece}}

Parliamentary elections were held in Greece on Sunday, September 16, 2007, to elect the 300 members of the Hellenic Parliament. The leading party for a second term was New Democracy under the leadership of Kostas Karamanlis with 41.83%, followed by George Papandreou and Panhellenic Socialist Movement (PASOK) with 38.10%. New Democracy managed to secure an absolute but narrow majority of 152 out of 300 parliament seats. The populist Popular Orthodox Rally entered the parliament for the first time with 10 seats, while the parties of the left, the Communist Party of Greece (KKE) and the Coalition of the Radical Left (SYRIZA), enjoyed a significant increase in their votes. KKE got 8.15% of the votes (from 5.89) and secured 22 parliament seats (from 12) and SYRIZA got 5.04% of the votes (+1.78%) and 14 seats.

The difference of nearly four percentage points between the first two parties resulted in George Papandreou announcing that he would seek reaffirmation of his party leadership, with Evangelos Venizelos and Kostas Skandalidis also declaring candidacy for the post.

Procedure

There were concerns that the election could return a hung parliament, mainly due to the recently revised Greek electoral law. Although it preserved the 3% threshold necessary for a party to enter parliament, it decreased the number of seats automatically awarded to the leading party. Parliamentary majority was considered more difficult, especially after the early projection that five parties would cross this threshold for the first time after the metapolitefsi.

According to the electoral law, the first-past-the post party was automatically awarded a bonus of 40 parliamentary seats. The remaining 260 seats were divided among all parties that achieved a minimum 3% nationwide vote tally, strictly in proportion to their polling returns. Since a majority of 151 seats was required, the leading party should secure at least 111 seats (42.7% of 260) in order to be able to form a government. Karamanlis had stated that in the event that no party should manage to achieve a majority, he would seek a new election.[1] Papandreou had vaguely indicated that he may have pursued an alliance with the left, however the SYRIZA and KKE parties had categorically dismissed any possibility of participating in a coalition with any of the major parties.

No opinion polls were allowed to be published after September 1. The polls publicized prior to the election had concluded that:

  • The next Parliament would be a five-party Parliament.
  • New Democracy would hold a smaller lead over PASOK at around 2%.
  • The goal of a workable parliamentary majority hung in the brink, with some pollsters projecting 147-149 and some 151-153 seats for the leading party.

The law traditionally requires that voting begins at "sunrise" and ends at "sunset". In practice this is rounded up to the nearest top of the hour. Voting began at 7 am and concluded at 7 pm. 7 pm was also the time when media outlets publicized their exit polls and issued their predictions. According to SingularLogic, the information technology contractor of the Ministry of the Interior, initial returns would not reach statistical significance before 11 pm and firm estimates might not emerge until after midnight. Voting took place in 20,623 polling stations - mostly schools - throughout the country, each of which catered to 400-500 voters on average.

Opinion polls, January–August 2007

A collection of opinion polls taken before the elections is listed below. According to a law, which was voted by the Greek parliament, publication of opinion polls is forbidden in the fortnight prior to the election date. Therefore, the last day when opinion polls were published was September 1, 2007, and practically all opinion polling firms published their final public reports on August 31, 2007, in time for the evening news.

Polling FirmDate PublishedNDPASOKKKESYRIZA
[2]
LAOSOther NoneUnsure
Public Issue/VPRC14 January 200743.039.07.54.03.53.0
GPO15 January 200735.933.77.34.14.40.74.49.3
Kapa Research10 February 200737.535.97.43.63.212.4
Public Issue/VPRC11 February 200743.039.57.54.03.52.5
RASS25 February 200736.733.95.82.82.718.1
Public Issue/VPRC11 March 200743.039.57.04.53.52.5
Metron Analysis22 March 200737.135.97.03.13.613.3
ALCO30 March 200733.933.45.52.82.222.2
Kapa Research30 March 200736.935.97.03.43.912.9
GPO2 April 200736.034.27.04.04.50.93.99.5
Public Issue/VPRC13 April 200742.539.07.04.54.03.0
MRB27 April 200735.933.56.74.13.716.1
Public Issue/VPRC13 May 200742.539.56.55.03.53.0
MRB24 May 200735.733.76.34.44.715.2
Metron Analysis2 June 200733.432.06.83.64.419.8
Public Issue/VPRC8 June 200743.039.07.04.54.02.5
GPO4 June 200735.534.57.14.44.92.33.38.0
ALCO15 June 200734.234.06.32.93.51.62.514.7
MRB15 June 200736.334.07.04.43.714.6
Metron Analysis21 June 200736.835.86.43.83.813.4
Kapa Research30 June 200736.135.17.64.34.20.612.1
Public Issue/VPRC16 July 200742.538.57.54.53.53.5
GPO22 August 200736.234.67.14.24.65.87.5
Metron Analysis22 August 200731.029.57.04.33.52.56.815.4
MRB23 August 200736.834.86.84.54.01.32.89.0
Kapa Research26 August 200734.933.67.24.94.11,613.7
ALCO27 August 200735.034.26.53.43.60.84.111.8
MRB28 August 200735.233.27.34.43.92.24.36.7
Metron Analysis29 August 200729.728.18.14.73.62.610.517.4
GPO29 August 200736.034.87.04.54.92.110.7
ALCO29 August 200731.630.96.23.43.31.88.715.9
Public Issue/VPRC (vote projection)*31 August 200742.038.08.55.04.02.5
MRB31 August 200735.433.37.54.73.7
GPO31 August 200737.436.07.64.24.7
ALCO31 August 200731.530.86.53.73.6
  • Public Issue/VPRC noted that their report was a prediction based on the time-series of opinion polls they had conducted.

Events before the election

  • August 22, 2007: The Democratic Social Movement (DIKKI) (6th largest party in the previous elections) announced its electoral alliance with the Coalition of the Radical Left (SYRIZA).[3]
  • August 29, 2007: Opinion pollers MRB came under criticism from PASOK. Mathematical inconsistencies were alleged, such as response tallies summing up to more than 100%. MRB denied the allegations. MRB's parent company, Spot-Thompson Greece, are New Democracy's advertisers.{{Citation needed|date=September 2007}}
  • August 30, 2007: MRB came under more fire as it cancelled publication of its regular biannual "Trends" survey, citing extreme difficulty in obtaining accurate information in the fire-stricken areas. Critics said that this admission automatically rendered previous voting behavior MRB estimates from these areas unreliable;{{Citation needed|date=September 2007}} yet, the election results in the prefectures which were devastated by the fires (Ilia, Euboea and Arcadia), were marked by a loss in votes for both the main opposition party and the ruling party.
  • September 1, 2007: The Areios Pagos refused to certify Fofi Gennimata as a candidate for the PASOK nationwide list, citing non-eligibility because Mrs. Gennimata is elected the superprefect of Athens and Piraeus. This was criticised angrily by PASOK as an attempt to politicise the courts.[4]
  • September 2, 2007: The Areios Pagos:
    • refused to include the title of DIKKI in the electoral alliance of SYRIZA claiming that the internal procedures followed by DIKKI were flawed. This was criticised furiously by SYRIZA and DIKKI as inappropriate interference in party political activity on behalf of the courts.[5]
    • refused to allow the New Fascism ({{Lang-el|Νέος Φασισμός}}) party contest the election because of its provocative name.[6]
    • refused to allow the New Salvation Party - Christian Democracy to use the Cross as its logo on the grounds that it is a religious symbol.[6]
    • excluded seven other parties from the elections for failure to pay the required electoral deposit.[6]
  • September 6, 2007: NET state television, in simulcast with the major private TV stations, broadcast the debate among the leaders of ND, PASOK, Communist Party of Greece (KKE), SYRIZA, Popular Orthodox Rally (LAOS), and Democratic Revival, who were questioned by six reporters in six rounds of questions and follow-ups. Questions and responses were rotated and timed. The debate lasted approximately 2.5 hours and concluded with a two-minute speech by each leader. The debate format, agreed beforehand by the participating parties, met with criticism for being too rigid and formal, too protective of the politicians and not conducive to exhaustive scrutiny of their policies.{{Citation needed|date=September 2007}}

Exit polls

The Greek media outlets issued their exit polls at 19:00 local time.[7][8]

Media outletPolling FirmNDPASOKKKESYRIZALAOSOthers/
blank/
invalid
ERTRass42.2%38.5%7.5%5.0%3.5%3.3%
ANT11Metron Analysis40.4-42.8%36.8-39.2%7.4-8.8%4.8-6.0%3.2-4.2%2.8-3.6%
AlphaMRB40.8-42.8%37.5-39.5%7.5-8.5%4.5-6.0%3.5-4.5%2.0-3.5%
AlterALCO40.6-42.6%37.8-39.8%6.4- 8%4.6-5.8%3.5-4.5%2-3.5%
MegaGPO41-43%37.5-39.5%7.5-9%4.5-6%3.5-4%2.5-3%
SkaiV-PRC41-43%36-38%7.5-9.5%5-6%3.5-4.5%2.5-3.5%
StarKapa Research41.9%38.4%7.7%5.3%4.0%2.7%
exit poll average:all41.9%38.2%7.9%5.3%3.8%3.0%
Mega²GPO42.0%
153 seats
37.8%
101 seats
8.2%
22 seats
5.0%
13 seats
4.0%
11 seats
3.0%
-
1 Revised exit poll presented at 20:30 local time

² Statistical projection based on official returns, presented at 21:30 local time - claimed margin of error: 0.2%

Results

The following table shows the tallies with all the votes counted.

{{Greek legislative election, 2007}}{{Bar box
|title=Popular vote
|titlebar=#ddd
|width=600px
|barwidth=350px
|bars={{Bar percent|ND|{{New Democracy (Greece)/meta/color}}|41.84}}{{Bar percent|PASOK|{{Panhellenic Socialist Movement/meta/color}}|38.10}}{{Bar percent|KKE|{{Communist Party of Greece/meta/color}}|8.15}}{{Bar percent|SYRIZA|{{Coalition of the Radical Left/meta/color}}|5.04}}{{Bar percent|LAOS|{{Popular Orthodox Rally/meta/color}}|3.80}}{{Bar percent|OP|{{Ecologist Greens/meta/color}}|1.05}}{{Bar percent|Others|{{Other/meta/color}}|2.02}}
}}{{Bar box
|title=Parliament seats
|titlebar=#ddd
|width=600px
|barwidth=350px
|bars={{Bar percent|ND|{{New Democracy (Greece)/meta/color}}|50.67}}{{Bar percent|PASOK|{{Panhellenic Socialist Movement/meta/color}}|34.00}}{{Bar percent|KKE|{{Communist Party of Greece/meta/color}}|7.33}}{{Bar percent|SYRIZA|{{Coalition of the Radical Left/meta/color}}|4.67}}{{Bar percent|LAOS|{{Popular Orthodox Rally/meta/color}}|3.33}}
}}

At 1 am, September 17, 2007, PASOK leader George Papandreou conceded defeat and Prime Minister Kostas Karamanlis thanked the electorate for granting him and his party a renewed term in office. Papandreou also stated that he will seek his party's direct reaffirmation in his leadership, and Evangelos Venizelos, PASOK's informal #2, declared himself "present" in this process. Papandreou went on and retained his leadership.[9]

Results by region

Region ND
(%)
PASOK
(%)
KKE
(%)
SYRIZA
(%)
LAOS
(%)
Achaea 36.86 45.97 7.16 4.91 2.47
Aetolia-Akarnania 43.56 43.70 6.25 2.86 1.99
Argolida 48.90 37.44 4.83 3.53 3.14
Arkadia 46.65 38.67 5.36 4.03 3.15
Arta 47.34 38.71 6.69 3.94 1.60
Athens A 40.16 29.96 10.52 9.27 5.39
Athens B 35.27 34.05 12.11 8.94 5.04
Attica 39.25 36.27 9.24 5.80 5.82
Boeotia 40.98 40.45 7.92 4.40 3.54
Cephalonia 39.29 37.15 13.15 3.89 3.12
Chalkidiki 46.37 38.11 5.43 3.81 3.42
Chania 38.47 44.71 6.25 4.97 2.56
Chios 43.82 41.72 5.90 4.49 1.70
Corfu 40.06 36.44 14.89 4.04 2.08
Corinthia 43.55 41.51 4.37 4.18 3.58
Dodecanese 41.68 46.73 4.20 3.04 2.84
Drama 48.74 37.26 4.41 3.18 4.03
Elis 42.05 46.54 4.70 3.02 1.99
Euboea 40.61 42.02 7.22 4.28 3.35
Evros 48.05 39.76 4.33 2.27 3.39
Evrytania 44.61 45.64 3.35 2.40 2.22
Florina 48.17 39.26 5.28 2.89 2.55
Grevena 45.48 39.72 7.55 2.48 2.63
Imathia 42.83 39.04 7.58 3.15 4.64
Ioannina 43.38 38.78 7.99 4.69 2.42
Heraklion 33.54 54.63 4.40 4.35 1.33
Karditsa 48.02 37.81 7.41 2.86 2.14
Kastoria 54.32 32.44 4.09 3.75 3.32
Kavala 45.26 39.43 6.26 3.47 3.27
Kilkis 46.87 36.99 7.27 2.37 4.33
Kozani 46.66 39.78 5.64 3.00 2.12
Laconia 55.51 31.63 4.85 3.05 3.17
Larissa 43.46 36.82 10.06 3.85 3.53
Lasithi 36.70 52.71 3.49 4.19 1.09
Lefkada 42.52 37.59 10.74 5.17 1.64
Lemnos 39.42 37.68 13.99 3.97 2.48
Magnesia 43.32 36.39 9.36 4.31 3.63
Messenia 52.29 32.16 6.18 4.63 2.82
Naxos 45.50 37.87 5.58 5.31 2.77
Pella 47.35 39.31 4.59 2.32 4.26
Phocis 47.99 34.68 7.03 3.77 3.70
Phthiotis 49.58 36.67 5.22 3.22 3.40
Pieria 48.59 37.66 5.35 2.76 3.63
Piraeus A 42.34 32.57 8.95 6.76 5.24
Piraeus B 31.40 37.93 14.55 6.41 5.52
Preveza 45.98 38.88 7.66 3.83 1.78
Rethymno 46.50 43.84 3.39 3.59 1.12
Rhodope 45.75 45.90 2.86 1.94 1.57
Samos 37.99 32.54 18.13 5.21 2.62
Serres 52.82 33.10 5.01 2.93 3.96
Thesprotia 45.86 42.49 4.39 3.11 2.12
Thessaloniki A 37.38 34.63 10.31 6.12 6.22
Thessaloniki B 44.82 33.77 8.14 4.14 5.35
Trikala 45.68 39.27 8.49 2.75 2.03
Xanthi 39.97 48.90 3.53 2.51 2.76
Zakynthos 38.10 42.34 10.51 4.39 2.18

See also

  • Members of the Greek Parliament, 2007-
  • Panhellenic Socialist Movement leadership election, 2007

References

1. ^New general elections to be called if ruling party fails to secure majority in parliament: Greek PM
2. ^Most of the earlier polls refer to the Coalition of the Left of Movements and Ecology, which is part of the SYRIZA coalition.
3. ^22/8/2007 DIKKI press release {{webarchive|url=https://archive.is/20080122023805/http://www.dikki.org/Article.asp?W=1&ID=201 |date=2008-01-22 }}
4. ^3/9/2007 article by Phileleftheros
5. ^2/9/2007 DIKKI press release {{webarchive|url=https://archive.is/20070920131710/http://www.dikki.org/Article.asp?W=1&ID=207 |date=2007-09-20 }}
6. ^"Σε ποιους «έδειξε πόρτα» ο Αρειος Πάγος", in Eleftheros Typos, 3 September 2007
7. ^Exit poll results from in.gr
8. ^Exit poll results from the Ethnos daily newspaper
9. ^Antenna news, Θέμα ηγεσίας στο ΠΑΣΟΚ (leadership issue in PASOK), Retrieved 2007-09-17.

Further reading

  • Dinas, Elias (2008) 'The Greek general election of 2007: you cannot lose if your opponent cannot win,' West European Politics 31: 600-607.
  • Gemenis, Kostas (2008) 'The 2007 Parliamentary Election in Greece,' Mediterranean Politics 13: 95-101.
  • Gemenis, Kostas (2009) 'A Green comeback in Greece? The Ecologist Greens in the 2007 parliamentary election,' Environmental Politics 18: 128-134.
  • Karamichas, John (2007) 'The impact of the summer 2007 forest fires in Greece: recent environmental mobilizations, cyber-activism and electoral performance,' South European Society and Politics 12: 521-33.
  • Patrikios, Stratos and Georgios Karyotis (2008) 'The Greek Parliamentary Election of 2007,' Electoral Studies 27: 356-390.

External links

{{commons category|Greek legislative election, 2007}}
  • Ta Nea/Athens News election website {{en icon}}
  • Live election coverage from Athens International Radio {{en icon}}
{{Greek elections}}

5 : Parliamentary elections in Greece|2007 in Greek politics|2007 elections in Europe|2007 in Greece|September 2007 events in Europe

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