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词条 2008 United States Senate election in Alaska
释义

  1. Background

  2. ADL primary

      Candidates    Alaskan Independence    Democratic    Libertarian    Results  

  3. Republican primary

      Candidates    Campaign    Results  

  4. General election

      Candidates    Major    Minor    Predictions    Polling    Results  

  5. See also

  6. References

  7. External links

{{Use mdy dates|date=December 2017}}{{Infobox election
| election_name = United States Senate election in Alaska, 2008
| country = Alaska
| type = presidential
| ongoing = no
| previous_election = 2002 United States Senate election in Alaska
| previous_year = 2002
| next_election = 2014 United States Senate election in Alaska
| next_year = 2014
| election_date = November 4, 2008
| image_size = x150px
| image1 =
| nominee1 = Mark Begich
| party1 = Democratic Party (United States)
| popular_vote1 = 151,767
| percentage1 = 47.8%
| image2 =
| nominee2 = Ted Stevens
| party2 = Republican Party (United States)
| popular_vote2 = 147,814
| percentage2 = 46.5%
| title = U.S. Senator
| before_election = Ted Stevens
| before_party = Republican Party (United States)
| after_election = Mark Begich
| after_party = Democratic Party (United States)
}}{{Elections in Alaska}}

The 2008 United States Senate election in Alaska was held on November 4, 2008. Incumbent Republican U.S. Senator and former President pro tempore Ted Stevens ran for re-election to a seventh term in the United States Senate. It was one of the ten Senate races that U.S. Senator John Ensign of Nevada, the chairman of the National Republican Senatorial Committee, predicted as being most competitive.[1] The primaries were held on August 26, 2008.[2] Stevens was challenged by Democratic candidate Mark Begich, the mayor of Anchorage and son of former U.S. Representative Nick Begich.

On October 27, 2008, Stevens was convicted on seven charges of ethics violations and corruption.[3][4] If reelected, Stevens would have been the first convicted felon elected to the United States Senate.[5] On November 18, 2008, the Associated Press projected that Begich had defeated Stevens, making Stevens the longest-serving U.S. Senator ever to lose a re-election bid.[6] Stevens conceded the race to Begich on November 19. As of {{CURRENTYEAR}}, this is the most recent U.S. Senate election or statewide race in Alaska won by a Democrat.

Background

The FBI investigation and subsequent seven count indictment of Ted Stevens, as well as investigation of the state's only Representative, Don Young (R), generated some negative feelings in Alaska towards Republicans, even among Republican primary voters. Anchorage Mayor Mark Begich (son of the last Democratic Rep. from Alaska, Nick Begich) was courted by both the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee and the Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee. In February 2008, he announced the formation of an exploratory committee for the Senate seat. The possible Democratic field also included former Governor Tony Knowles, State Rep. Eric Croft and State Senators Hollis French and Johnny Ellis.[7] Former Minority Leader of the Alaska House of Representatives Ethan Berkowitz was considered a possible candidate, but he decided to challenge Don Young instead. Sensing discontentment within the GOP, conservative Republican Dave Cuddy announced his candidacy for U.S. Senate in December 2007.

Stevens was perceived by many as corrupt, but was also highly regarded by many Alaskans for his ability to steer federal funding toward the state; he was the longest-serving Republican in the Senate entering 2008 (first elected in 1968), and through his seniority he amassed a great deal of influence there. The selection of Alaskan Governor Sarah Palin as the vice-presidential running-mate of Republican presidential candidate John McCain in late August 2008 coincided with a substantial improvement in Stevens' performance in opinion polls. A poll in August showed Begich with a 17% lead, but in early September a poll from the same source showed Begich leading Stevens by only 3%. Begich's campaign and some observers attributed this change to Palin's popularity and the enthusiasm stimulated by her selection{{Citation needed | date=February 2010}}, although Palin's own reputation was partially based on her perceived opposition to Stevens or distance from him{{Citation needed | date=February 2010}}. The Stevens campaign disputed the low numbers shown in the August poll and said that the numbers had improved in September because Stevens had begun heavily campaigning. His campaign also presented the relationship between Palin and Stevens as positive, contrary to some portrayals.[8]

Stevens was convicted of seven felony counts of failing to report gifts on October 27, 2008. This was considered a serious setback in his already difficult bid for re-election; he had requested and received a quick trial in hopes of winning an acquittal before election day.[9] After the verdict, Stevens maintained his innocence and said that he was still running for re-election.[10]

ADL primary

The ADL ballot contained all of the primary candidates for the Alaska Democratic Party, the Alaskan Independence Party, and Libertarian Party of Alaska.

Candidates

Alaskan Independence

  • Bob Bird

Democratic

  • Mark Begich, Anchorage Mayor[11]
  • Ray Metcalfe, former State Representative and founder of the Republican Moderate Party of Alaska[12]
  • Frank Vondersaar, perennial candidate

Libertarian

  • Fredrick David Haase[13][14]

Results

{{Election box begin no change
| title = Alaska ADL senatorial primary, 2008[15]
}}{{Election box winning candidate with party link no change
| party = Democratic Party (Alaska)
| candidate = Mark Begich
| votes = 63,747
| percentage = 84.12%
}}{{Election box candidate with party link no change
| party = Democratic Party (Alaska)
| candidate = Ray Metcalfe
| votes = 5,480
| percentage = 7.23%
}}{{Election box winning candidate with party link no change
| party = Alaskan Independence Party
| candidate = Bob Bird
| votes = 4,216
| percentage = 5.56%
}}{{Election box winning candidate with party link no change
| party = Libertarian Party (United States)
| candidate = Fredrick Haase
| votes = 1,375
| percentage = 1.81%
}}{{Election box candidate with party link no change
| party = Democratic Party (Alaska)
| candidate = Frank Vondersaar
| votes = 965
| percentage = 1.27%
}}{{Election box total no change
| votes = 75,783
| percentage = 100.00%
}}{{Election box end}}

Republican primary

Candidates

  • Michael Corey
  • David Cuddy, former State Representative[16]
  • Gerald Heikes, minister
  • Rick Sikma, pastor
  • Ted Stevens, incumbent U.S. Senator since 1968
  • Vic Vickers, former assistant State Comptroller
  • Richard Wanda

Campaign

With three and a half weeks to go before the primary, Stevens still held a large polling lead over chief rival Dave Cuddy, 59% to 19%.[17] Political newcomer Vic Vickers said on July 28 that he expected to pour $750,000 of his own money into his bid to defeat Stevens.[18] According to Rasmussen polling of Alaskans, Cuddy "does nearly as well against Begich" as Stevens, trailing Begich 50% to 35%, while Vickers trailed the expected Democratic nominee 55% to 22%.[19]

Results

In the Republican primary on August 26, results from 70.5% of precincts showed Stevens winning with 63% of the vote; Cuddy had 28% and Vickers had 6%.[20]

{{Election box begin no change
| title = Republican primary results[15]
}}{{Election box winning candidate with party link no change
| candidate = Ted Stevens (incumbent)
| party = Republican Party (United States)
| votes = 66,900
| percentage = 63.52%
}}{{Election box candidate with party link no change
| candidate = David Cuddy
| party = Republican Party (United States)
| votes = 28,364
| percentage = 26.93%
}}{{Election box candidate with party link no change
| candidate = Vic Vickers
| party = Republican Party (United States)
| votes = 6,102
| percentage = 5.79%
}}{{Election box candidate with party link no change
| candidate = Michael Corey
| party = Republican Party (United States)
| votes = 1,496
| percentage = 1.42%
}}{{Election box candidate with party link no change
| candidate = Roderic Sikma
| party = Republican Party (United States)
| votes = 1,133
| percentage = 1.08%
}}{{Election box candidate with party link no change
| candidate = Rich Wanda
| party = Republican Party (United States)
| votes = 732
| percentage = 0.69%
}}{{Election box candidate with party link no change
| candidate = Gerald Heikes
| party = Republican Party (United States)
| votes = 599
| percentage = 0.57%
}}{{Election box total no change
| votes = 105,326
| percentage = 100.00%
}}{{Election box end}}

General election

Candidates

Major

  • Mark Begich (D), Mayor of Anchorage
  • Ted Stevens (R), incumbent U.S. Senator

Minor

  • Bob Bird (AI)
  • Fredrick "David" Haase (L)
  • Ted Gianoutsos (I)

Predictions

CQ Politics had rated this race as Leans Democrat.[21] The Cook Political Report considered it Lean Democrat.[22]The Rothenberg Political Report considered it a Lean Takeover.[23]

Polling

Research 2000
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Mark
Begich (D)
Ted
Stevens (R)
Research 2000December 3–6, 200747%41%
[https://web.archive.org/web/20080513183501/http://rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_senate_elections/alaska/election_2008_alaska_senate Rasmussen Reports]April 7, 200845%46%
[https://web.archive.org/web/20080612064515/http://newsminer.com/news/2008/jun/09/poll-begich-has-edge-stevens/ DSCC]May 6–10, 200851%44%
Research 2000May 12–14, 200848%43%
[https://web.archive.org/web/20080513183501/http://rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_senate_elections/alaska/election_2008_alaska_senate Rasmussen Reports]May 14, 200847%45%
[https://web.archive.org/web/20080513183501/http://rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_senate_elections/alaska/election_2008_alaska_senate Rasmussen Reports]June 16, 200844%46%
Research 2000July 14–16, 200847%45%
[https://web.archive.org/web/20080913174500/http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_senate_elections/alaska/alaska_senate_begich_opens_nine_point_lead_over_stevens Rasmussen Reports]July 17, 200852%44%
[https://web.archive.org/web/20080720121402/http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_senate_elections/alaska/election_2008_alaska_senate Rasmussen Reports]July 30, 200850%37%
Ivan Moore ResearchJuly 31, 200856%35%
[https://archive.is/20080917230727/http://www.anchoragepress.com/site/basicarticle.asp?ID=823 Ivan Moore Research]August 30 – September 2, 200849%46%
[https://web.archive.org/web/20080720121402/http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_senate_elections/alaska/election_2008_alaska_senate Rasmussen Reports]September 9, 200848%46%
Research 2000September 15–17, 200850%44%
[https://web.archive.org/web/20080720121402/http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_senate_elections/alaska/election_2008_alaska_senate Rasmussen Reports]October 6, 200848%49%
Research 2000October 14–16, 200848%46%
[https://web.archive.org/web/20080720121402/http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_senate_elections/alaska/election_2008_alaska_senate Rasmussen Reports]October 28, 200852%44%
October 28–30, 200858%36%

Results

Begich won the election by 3,953 votes. Incumbent Stevens had held a lead of over 3,000 votes after election night, but a tally of nearly 60,000 absentee and mail-in ballots released on November 12 erased that lead and reduced the vote margin separating the candidates to less than 0.5%,[24] with further counting, released on November 18, increasing the margin to more than 1% in favor of Begich. On November 19, 2008, Stevens conceded to Begich.[25]

{{Election box begin
| title = United States Senate election in Alaska, 2008[26]
}}{{Election box winning candidate with party link
| party = Democratic Party (United States)
| candidate = Mark Begich
| votes = 151,767
| percentage = 47.77%
| change = +37.26%
}}{{Election box candidate with party link
| party = Republican Party (United States)
| candidate = Ted Stevens (incumbent)
| votes = 147,814
| percentage = 46.52%
| change = -31.65%
}}{{Election box candidate with party link
| party = Alaskan Independence Party
| candidate = Bob Bird
| votes = 13,197
| percentage = 4.15%
| change = +1.22%
}}{{Election box candidate with party link
| party = Libertarian Party (United States)
| candidate = Fredrick Haase
| votes = 2,483
| percentage = 0.78%
| change = -0.25%
}}{{Election box candidate with party link
| party = Independent (United States)
| candidate = Ted Gianoutsos
| votes = 1,385
| percentage = 0.44%
| change =
}}{{Election box candidate
| party = Write-ins
| candidate =
| votes = 1,077
| percentage = 0.34%
| change =
}}{{Election box majority
| votes = 3,953
| percentage = 1.24%
| change = -66.42%
}}{{Election box turnout
| votes = 317,723
| percentage =
| change =
}}{{Election box gain with party link
| winner = Democratic Party (United States)
| loser = Republican Party (United States)
| swing =
}}{{Election box end}}

See also

  • List of United States Senators from Alaska

References

1. ^Kate Phillips, G.O.P. Leader Maps Senate Elections The New York Times, June 13, 2008
2. ^2008 Primary Election Information {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20080805100434/http://www.elections.alaska.gov/2008_prim_info.php |date=August 5, 2008 }} Division of Elections from the Alaska Secretary of State
3. ^[https://www.nytimes.com/aponline/washington/AP-StevensTrial.html Alaska Senator Found Guilty of Lying About Gifts], New York Times, October 27, 2008
4. ^{{cite news | url=http://www.latimes.com/news/nationworld/nation/wire/sns-ap-stevenstrial9thld,1,7085286.story | title=Alaska Sen. Ted Stevens found guilty of lying about gifts from contractor | accessdate=October 27, 2008 | date=October 27, 2008 | work=Los Angeles Times | archiveurl=https://web.archive.org/web/20081028225825/http://www.latimes.com:80/news/nationworld/nation/wire/sns-ap-stevenstrial9thld,1,7085286.story | archivedate=October 28, 2008 | deadurl=yes | df=mdy }}
5. ^Yardley, William. [https://www.nytimes.com/2008/11/06/us/politics/06alaska.html?hp "Senator Stevens hanging by a thread in Alaska."] The New York Times, November 5, 2008. Retrieved on November 5, 2008
6. ^{{cite news | title=Stevens loses Alaska Senate seat to Democrat | url=http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/27789536/ | work=Associated Press | publisher=MSNBC | date=November 18, 2008 | accessdate=November 18, 2008 }}
7. ^{{cite news | first=John | last=Nichols | title=Ted Stevens -- and Senate GOP -- In Trouble | url=http://www.commondreams.org/archive/2007/07/31/2889 | archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20080708214843/http://www.commondreams.org/archive/2007/07/31/2889/ | dead-url=yes | archive-date=July 8, 2008 | work=The Nation | date=July 30, 2007 | accessdate=March 17, 2014 }}
8. ^{{cite news | author=Josh Kraushaar | url=http://www.politico.com/story/2008/09/palin-popularity-buoys-stevens-013305 | title=Palin popularity buoys Stevens | work=Politico | date=September 10, 2008 | accessdate= July 18, 2016}}
9. ^{{cite news | author=John Bresnahan | url=http://www.politico.com/story/2008/10/messy-trial-ends-with-a-decisive-verdict-014819 | title=Jury: Stevens guilty on seven counts | work=Politico | date=October 27, 2008 | accessdate=July 18, 2016}}
10. ^{{cite news | author=Glenn Thrush and Daniel W. Reilly | url=http://www.politico.com/story/2008/10/stevens-vows-to-remain-a-candidate-015011 | title=Stevens vows to remain a candidate | work=Politico | date=October 27, 2008 | accessdate=July 18, 2016}}
11. ^{{cite news | url=http://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/1137-begichs-entry-tees-up-first-tough-reelection-race-in-stevenss-career | title=Begich’s entry tees up first tough reelection race in Stevens's career | author=Aaron Blake | date=February 27, 2008 | work=The Hill | accessdate=July 18, 2016}}
12. ^{{cite web | url=http://ballot-access.org/2007/12/03/founder-of-republican-moderate-party-of-alaska-will-run-as-a-democrat-for-us-senate/ | title=Founder of Republican Moderate Party of Alaska Will Run as a Democrat for US Senate | date=December 3, 2007 | work=Ballot Access News | accessdate=July 18, 2016}}
13. ^Fredrick "David" Haase - Libertarian. The Anchorage Daily News. August 19, 2008.
14. ^DavidforAlaska.com {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20080908013051/http://www.davidforalaska.com/ |date=September 8, 2008 }}.
15. ^{{cite web | url=http://www.elections.alaska.gov/08prim/data/results.pdf | title=Official Primary Election Results | date=September 18, 2008 | accessdate=December 3, 2008 | format=PDF | publisher=State of Alaska: Division of Elections | archiveurl=https://web.archive.org/web/20081127073932/http://www.elections.alaska.gov/08prim/data/results.pdf | archivedate=November 27, 2008 | deadurl=yes | df=mdy }}
16. ^Anchorage developer plans to challenge Stevens for Senate seat Fairbanks Daily News-Miner December 22, 2007. Retrieved December 26, 2007. {{Dead link | date=July 2016}}
17. ^{{cite news | title=Stevens Sinks in Alaska Senate Race | date=August 2, 2008 | url=http://politicalwire.com/archives/2008/08/02/stevens_sinks_in_alaska_senate_race.html | publisher=Political Wire | accessdate=August 4, 2008 | archivedate=August 6, 2008 | archiveurl=https://web.archive.org/web/20080806104634/http://politicalwire.com/archives/2008/08/02/stevens_sinks_in_alaska_senate_race.html | deadurl=yes | df=mdy }}
18. ^{{cite news | url=http://www.adn.com/2008/07/29/478115/newcomer-candidate-says-he-can.html | title=Newcomer candidate says he can beat Stevens | work=Anchorage Daily News | date=July 29, 2008 | accessdate=August 4, 2008 | archiveurl=https://web.archive.org/web/20120716225157/http://www.adn.com/2008/07/29/478115/newcomer-candidate-says-he-can.html | archivedate=July 16, 2012 | deadurl=yes | df=mdy }}
19. ^{{cite news | url=http://community.adn.com/adn/node/128088 | title=50% still regard Stevens favorably and don’t want him to resign | work=Alaska Daily News | date=July 31, 2008 | accessdate=August 4, 2008 | archivedate=August 30, 2008 | archiveurl=https://web.archive.org/web/20080830101934/http://community.adn.com/adn/node/128088 | deadurl=yes | df=mdy }}
20. ^{{cite news | author=Michael O'Brien | accessdate=July 18, 2016 | url=http://thehill.com/homenews/news/16047-stevens-wins-primary-young-locked-in-a-nail-biter | title=Stevens wins primary, Young locked in a nail biter | work=The Hill | date=August 27, 2008}}
21. ^Race Ratings Chart: Senate {{webarchive | url=https://web.archive.org/web/20101028234525/http://www.cqpolitics.com/wmspage.cfm?docID=ratings-senate | date=October 28, 2010 }} CQ Politics
22. ^{{cite web | url=https://www.cookpolitical.com/ratings/senate-race-ratings/139080 | title=2008 Senate Race Ratings | work=The Cook Political Report | date=October 9, 2008 | accessdate=July 18, 2016}}
23. ^{{cite web | url=http://www.insideelections.com/ratings/senate/2008-senate-ratings | title=2008 Senate Ratings | work=The Rothenberg Political Report | date=September 29, 2008 | accessdate=July 18, 2016}}
24. ^{{cite web | url=http://www.adn.com/elections/senate/story/587414.html | title=Begich takes lead in latest vote count | work=Anchorage Daily News | date=November 13, 2008 | accessdate=November 13, 2008 | first=Sean | last=Cockerham | archiveurl=https://web.archive.org/web/20081129170349/http://www.adn.com/elections/senate/story/587414.html | archivedate=November 29, 2008 | deadurl=yes | df=mdy }}
25. ^Stevens concedes; Begich savors first day of senate elect status Alaska Public Radio Network. Retrieved on November 19, 2008.
26. ^http://clerk.house.gov/member_info/electionInfo/2008election.pdf

External links

  • Alaska Division of Elections
  • U.S. Congress candidates for Alaska at Project Vote Smart
  • Alaska U.S. Senate race from Congress.org
  • [https://web.archive.org/web/20080504013527/http://www.cqpolitics.com/wmspage.cfm?docID=senate-AK Alaska, U.S. Senate] from CQ Politics
  • Alaska U.S. Senate race from The Green Papers
  • Alaska U.S. Senate from OurCampaigns.com
  • [https://web.archive.org/web/20080622071022/http://www.2008racetracker.com/page/AK-Sen Alaska U.S. Senate race] from 2008 Race Tracker
  • Campaign contributions from OpenSecrets.org
  • [https://web.archive.org/web/20080511165432/http://www.pollster.com/08-AK-Sen-GE-SvB.php Stevens vs Begich] graph of multiple polls from Pollster.com
  • [https://web.archive.org/web/20080910150304/http://www.adn.com/election/ 2008 Election] from The Anchorage Daily News newspaper
Official campaign websites
  • Mark Begich, Democratic candidate
  • Ted Gianoutsos, Veterans Party candidate
  • Vic Vickers, Republican candidate
{{United States elections, 2008}}

3 : 2008 Alaska elections|United States Senate elections in Alaska|2008 United States Senate elections

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