In the run up to the 2014 Ukrainian parliamentary election, various organisations carried out opinion polling to gauge voting intention in Ukraine. Results of such polls are displayed in this article.
The date range for these opinion polls are from the previous general election, held on 28 October 2012, to the day the next election was held, on 26 October 2014.
Poll results are listed in the table below in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first. The percentages that overcome the 5% election threshold[1] are displayed in bold, and the background shaded in the leading party's colour. In the instance that there is a tie, then no figure is bolded. The lead column on the right shows the percentage-point difference between the two parties with the highest figures. Poll results use the date the survey's fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. However, if such date is unknown, the date of publication will be given instead.
| Date | Polling firm | PoR | Fatherland | UDAR | Svoboda | CPU | Poroshenko Bloc | Radical | CP | SU | SR | name=Yatsenyuk / Turchynov August 2014 | Others | Lead |
|---|
| | | | | | | | | | |
|---|
| 12–21 Oct}} | Gorshenin Institute}} | name=Not Polled}} | 10.4 | name=UDAR August 2014}} | 3 | 2.8 | 24.2 | 7.4 | 5.4 | 4 | 5.3 | 7.9 | name = Late October 2014 undecided}} | 13.8 |
| 9–18 Oct}} | KIIS, Ilko Kucheriv Democratic Initiatives Foundation}} | name=Not Polled}} | 4.7 | name=UDAR August 2014}} | 2 | 2.8 | 20.5 | 8.6 | 3.3 | 3.75 | 5.8 | 6.8 | name = October 2014 undecided}} | 11.9 |
| 1–8 Oct}} | Rating}} | name=Not Polled}} | 6.9 | name=UDAR August 2014}} | ~4 | 4.5 | 33.5 | 12.8 | 4.6 | 7.8 | 5.4 | 8.9 | name=Opposition Bloc}} | 20.7 |
| 24 Sep – 5 Oct}} | GfK Ukraine}} | 8.7 | 29.9 | 7.6 | 7.3 | 7.0 | 21.2 |
| 19–22 Sep}} | Active Group}} | name=Not Polled}} | 6.3 | name=UDAR August 2014}} | 4 | 2.9 | 40.8 | 11.7 | 8.2 | 4.7 | 2.0 | 6.6 | 12.8 | 29.1 |
| 15–21 Sep}} | All-Ukrainian Sociological Service}}{{efn|name=Undecided vote}} | name=Not Polled}} | 11.7 | name=UDAR August 2014}} | 9.4 | 2.4 | 40.5 | 12.5 | 6.6 | 4.7 | 3.2 | 6.6 | 2.4 | 28 |
| 12–21 Sep}} | KIIS, Ilko Kucheriv Democratic Initiatives Foundation}} | name=Not Polled}} | 7.8 | 4.3 | 4.7 | 4.5 | 39.5 | 10.4 | 6.9 | 5.2 | 2.6 | 5.8 | 8.2 | 29.1 |
| 5–12 Sep}} | UISPP (NAPS)}} | 2.0 | 7.9 | 4.6 | 4.6 | 4.2 | 31.5 | 12.7 | 6.6 | 6.3 | 3.0 | 8.1 | 8.7 | 18.8 |
| 5–10 Sep}} | SOCIS}} | 1.9 | 8.1 | name=UDAR August 2014}} | 4.5 | 2.9 | 45.7 | 13.7 | 8.1 | 4.4 | 2.0 | 5.6 | 3.1 | 32.0 |
| 23 Aug – 2 Sep}} | KIIS}} | 3.8 | 6.1 | name=UDAR August 2014}} | 4.4 | 4.6 | 37.1 | 13.1 | 9.7 | 7.8 | 2.9 | 6.4 | 2.3 | 24.0 |
| 2014 parliamentary election campaign |
| 14–25 Aug}} | GfK Ukraine}} | 2 | 13{{efn>name=Yatsenyuk stay August 2014}} | 6 | 4 | 3 | 16 | 14 | 7 | 6 | 1 | name=Yatsenyuk NoP August 2014}} | 2 | 2 |
| 16–23 Jul}} | KIIS}} | 2.7 | 17.4 | 11.5 | 6.9 | 3.9 | 11.1 | 22.2 | 11.5 | 5.3 | 3.3 | - | 4.2 | 4.8 |
| 28 Jun – 10 Jul}} | Rating}} | 3.8 | 16.6{{efn>name=Fatherland July 2014}} | 8.7 | 4.8 | 4.4 | 27.8 | 11.5 | 5.3 | 4.0 | 1.0 | - | 7.6 | 11.2 |
| 2014 presidential election |
| 8–18 May}} | Democratic Initiative Foundation}} | name=Strong Ukraine May 2014}} | 10.4 | 6.8 | 3.1 | 5.2 | 22.4 | 4.5 | name=Not Polled}} | 4.2 | 1.2 | - | name=May 2014 undecided}} | 12 |
| 8–13 May}} | Rating}} | 9{{efn>name=Strong Ukraine}} | 17.4 | 13.1 | 6.6 | 6.3 | 26.6 | 7.2 | 6.8 | – | 0.8 | - | 6.2 | 9.2 |
| 25–29 Apr}} | Razumkov Centre}} | 11.6{{efn>name=Strong Ukraine}} | 20.3 | 12.2 | 5.2 | 6.5 | 31.1 | 5.7 | – | – | - | - | 7.4 | 10.8 |
| 14–26 Mar}} | International Republican Institute}}{{efn|name=Undecided vote}}{{efn|name=Rounding}} | 9.5 | 25.5 | 19 | 8 | 6.5 | 17.5 | – | – | – | - | - | 16 | 6.5 |
| 14–19 Mar}} | SOCIS, KIIS, Rating, Razumkov Centre}} | 13.6 | 22.2 | 16.4 | 5.2 | 6.9 | 21.6 | 5.7 | – | – | - | - | 8.5 | 0.6 |
| 1–6 Mar}} | Social Monitoring Centre{{efn>name=Undecided vote}} | 16.6 | 21.7 | 19.8 | 6.5 | 7.9 | 13.7 | 4.4 | – | – | - | - | 9.5 | 0.9 |
| 24 Feb – 4 Mar}} | [https://archive.is/20140305133518/http://www.socis.kiev.ua/ua/press/nove-sotsiolohichnoho-opytuvannja-stanom-z-25-ljutoho-po-4-bereznja-2014.html SOCIS] | 12.9 | 22.7 | 22.3 | 6.5 | 7.1 | 18.9 | 3.7 | – | – | - | - | 5.9 | 0.4 |
| 28 Feb – 3 Mar}} | KIIS{{efn>name=Undecided vote}} | 16.2 | 24 | 25.4 | 7.1 | 10.8 | 4.6 | 5.4 | – | – | - | - | 6.7 | 1.4 |
| 2014 Ukrainian revolution |
| 24 Jan – 1 Feb}} | [https://archive.is/20140207104534/http://www.socis.kiev.ua/ua/press/dani-spilnoho-zahalnoukrajinskoho-sotsiolohichnoho-doslidzhennja-tsentru-sotsialnykh-ta-marketyn.html SOCIS] | 29.2 | 21.4 | 23.4 | 5.6 | 5.8 | 9.8 | 1.1 | – | – | - | - | 3.5 | 5.8 |
| 17–26 Jan | [https://archive.is/20140131154914/http://www.socis.kiev.ua/ua/press/dani-zahalnoukrajinskoho-sotsiolohichnoho-doslidzhennja-monitorynhu-ukrajina-i-ukrajintsi.html SOCIS] | 29.2 | 20.2 | 23.8 | 6.7 | 7.6 | 9.4 | 0.7 | – | – | - | - | 2.3 | 5.4 |
| 2014 calendar year |
| 23–27 Dec | R&B Group{{efn>name=Undecided vote}} | 36.6 | 22.1 | 21.8 | 9.4 | 7.1 | – | – | – | – | - | - | 3.1 | 14.5 |
| 7–17 Dec | Rating{{efn>name=Undecided vote}} | 28.1 | 23.6 | 22.1 | 7.8 | 7.6 | 4.9 | 1.0 | – | – | - | - | 4.7 | 4.5 |
| 30 Sep – 8 Oct}} | Razumkov Centre{{efn>name=Undecided vote}} | 27.7 | 27.9 | 21 | 7 | 9.3 | – | 0.8 | – | – | - | - | 6.2 | 0.2 |
| 26 Sep – 6 Oct}} | Rating | 27.0 | 26 | 21 | 9 | 10 | – | – | – | – | - | - | 7.0 | 1.0 |
| 15–25 Sep | R&B Group{{efn>name=Undecided vote}} | 32.9 | 27.9 | 19.9 | 7.9 | 9.1 | – | – | – | – | - | - | 2.5 | 5.0 |
| 2013 calendar year |
| 28 October 2012}} | 2012 election results}} | 30 | 25.6 | 14 | 10.5 | 13.2 | – | 1.08 | – | – | - | - | 6.9 | 4.4 |
| Notes:{{notes | refs ={{efn | name = Undecided vote | This survey shows its poll results without disregarding those who are undecided or said they will abstain from voting (either physically or by voting blank). To obtain results comparable to other surveys and the official election results, the result shown in this table will be that obtained, with a simple rule of three, from disregarding undecided and/or abstaining voters from the totals offered in the survey.
}}{{efn | name = Rounding | Some opinion polls round their data so that in the end up showing a .0 or a .5 value. This practise is maintained for these polls when disregarding undecided and/or abstaining voters from the totals so as to avoid different interpretations of the same value.
}}{{efn | name = Strong Ukraine | Including Strong Ukraine.
}}{{efn | name = Strong Ukraine May 2014 | For the results of Strong Ukraine see SU section in this table.
}}{{efn | name = Not Polled | In this poll this party was either not polled as an independent party, or its results were categorised in its "Others"-section.
}}{{efn | name = May 2014 undecided | In this poll 23.1% of respondents had not decided whom to vote for and 11.8% had stated that they would not take part in the election.
}}{{efn | name = Fatherland July 2014 | In this poll Front for Change, which is part of the Fatherland coalition, was polled independently and received 3.4% of decided votes.
}}{{efn | name=UDAR August 2014 | In this poll UDAR and Yuri Lutsenko were polled along with the Bloc of Petro Poroshenko.
}}{{efn | name=Yatsenyuk / Turchynov August 2014 | A new party led by Arseniy Yatsenyuk and Oleksandr Turchynov that was formed after several people left Fatherland on 21 August 2014 (see People's Front).
}}{{efn | name=Yatsenyuk stay August 2014 | The party would gain this result if Arseniy Yatsenyuk would be on its party list
}}{{efn | name=Yatsenyuk NoP August 2014 | The possible results for a possible (new) party of Arseniy Yatsenyuk and Oleksandr Turchynov were not polled
}}{{efn | name=Opposition Bloc | In this poll, Opposition Bloc received 5.1%, thus overcoming the threshold required to enter the Rada.
}}{{efn | name = October 2014 undecided | In this poll 32% of respondents who intend to vote had not decided whom to vote for.
}}{{efn | name = Late October 2014 undecided | In this poll 19% of respondents who intend to vote had not decided whom to vote for and 3.5% were unable to answer the question.
}}
}} |
1. ^{{uk icon}} Poll: Council to pass seven parties, Ukrayinska Pravda (25 July 2014)