| 释义 |
- First round
- References
This page lists public opinion polls for the 2014 Ukrainian presidential election. First roundPoll results are listed in the table below in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed in bold, and the background shaded in the two leading candidates respective colours. In the instance that there is a tie, then no figure is bolded. If no candidate obtains an absolute majority in the first round, then the two highest polling candidates will contest a run-off second ballot.[1] The lead column on the right shows the percentage-point difference between the two candidates with the highest figures. Poll results use the date the survey's fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. However, if such date is unknown, the date of publication will be given instead. | Date | Polling firm | | | | | | | | | | Others | Lead |
|---|
Yanukovych
PoR | Tihipko
independent | Dobkin
PoR | Klitschko
UDAR | Tymoshenko
Fatherland | Tyahnybok
Svoboda | Symonenko
CPU | Poroshenko
independent | Lyashko
Radical |
|---|
| | | | | | | | |
|---|
| 13–19 May}} | Ukrainian National Academy of Pedagogic Sciences{{efn>name=Undecided vote}} | – | 8.0 | – | – | 13.3 | – | – | 45.0 | 7.6 | 6.7 | 31.7 | | 6–8 May}} | GfK}}{{efn|name=Undecided vote}} | – | 10.6 | 4.6 | – | 10.4 | 1.5 | 3.2 | 47.9 | 6.4 | 20.4 | 37.3 | | 25–29 Apr}} | Razumkov Centre}} | – | 6.7 | 4.2 | – | 14.8 | 1.9 | 4.5 | 47.7 | 5.0 | 15.2 | 33.9 | | Oleg Tsarov officially withdraws[2] | | 9–16 Apr}} | [https://archive.is/20140423195158/http://www.socis.kiev.ua/ua/press/rezultaty-doslidzhennja-ukrajina-prezydentski-vybory-2014-kviten.html SOCIS, KIIS, RATING, Razumkov Centre] | – | 7.4 | 6.0 | – | 14.0 | 2.1 | 5.6 | 48.4 | 4.6 | 11.9 | 34.4 | | 28 Mar – 2 Apr}} | Razumkov Centre, RATING | – | 8.8 | 5.2 | – | 19.1 | 2.3 | 4.6 | 42.3 | 5.5 | 12.2 | 23.2 | | Serhiy Tihipko is expelled from the Party of Regions[3] | | 31 Mar}} | Advanced Legal Initiatives{{efn>name=Undecided vote}} | – | 19.6 | 1.2 | – | 12.7 | 3.6 | 3.5 | 42.0 | 2.3 | 14.9 | 22.4 | | Mykhailo Dobkin is selected by Party of Regions as their Presidential nominee, Viktor Yanukovych is officially expelled from the Party of Regions | | Vitali Klitschko withdraws in order to run for the mayoralty of Kiev, and endorses Poroshenko | | 14–26 Mar}} | International Republican Institute{{efn>name=Undecided vote}}{{efn|name=Rounding}} | – | 7.0 | 3.0 | 13.0 | 14.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 27.0 | – | 18.0 | 13.0 | | 14–19 Mar}} | [https://web.archive.org/web/20140326180922/http://www.socis.kiev.ua/ua/press/rezultaty-sotsiolohichnoho-doslidzhennja-elektoralni-orijentatsiji-ukrajintsiv.html SOCIS, KIIS, RATING, Razumkov Centre] | – | 10.0 | 5.3 | 12.9 | 12.0 | 2.5 | 5.0 | 36.2 | 5.0 | 11.1 | 23.3 | | 4–18 Mar}} | GfK}}{{efn|name=Undecided vote}}{{efn|name=Rounding}} | – | 8.5 | 5.0 | 19.0 | 12.0 | 1.5 | 7.0 | 39.5 | – | 7.9 | 20.5 | | Viktor Yanukovych officially withdraws | | 1–6 Mar}} | Social Monitoring Centre}} | – | 11.4 | – | 14.2 | 15.5 | 3.7 | 6.4 | 13.7 | 3 | – | 1.3 | | 25 Feb – 4 Mar}} | [https://archive.is/20140305133518/http://www.socis.kiev.ua/ua/press/nove-sotsiolohichnoho-opytuvannja-stanom-z-25-ljutoho-po-4-bereznja-2014.html SOCIS] | – | 9.6 | – | 21.3 | 14.1 | 3.6 | 6.4 | 30.9 | – | 14.3 | 9.6 | | 28 Feb – 3 Mar}} | KIIS{{efn>name=Undecided vote}} | – | 13.3 | name=Multiple scenarios}} | 20.1 | 13.9 | 2.8 | 8.3 | 32.8 | – | 8.8 | 12.7 | | Yanukovych ouster and Crimean crisis | | 24 Jan – 1 Feb}} | [https://archive.is/20140207104534/http://www.socis.kiev.ua/ua/press/dani-spilnoho-zahalnoukrajinskoho-sotsiolohichnoho-doslidzhennja-tsentru-sotsialnykh-ta-marketyn.html SOCIS] | 29.2 | – | – | 22.8 | 19.1 | 2.8 | 4.3 | 15.9 | – | 6.0 | 6.4 | | 17–26 Jan | [https://archive.is/20140131154914/http://www.socis.kiev.ua/ua/press/dani-zahalnoukrajinskoho-sotsiolohichnoho-doslidzhennja-monitorynhu-ukrajina-i-ukrajintsi.html SOCIS] | 29.5 | – | – | 21.6 | 20.8 | 4.7 | 5.7 | 13.0 | – | 4.6 | 7.9 | | 2014 | | 23–27 Dec | R&B Group{{efn>name=Undecided vote}} | 36.0 | – | – | 19.9 | 11.2 | 5.7 | 5.4 | 11.0 | – | 10.7 | 16.1 | | 7–17 Dec | RATING{{efn>name=Undecided vote}} | 28.2 | – | – | 22.7 | 23.2 | 5.5 | 6.3 | 8.0 | – | 6.1 | 5.0 | | 26 Oct – 8 Nov}} | name=Undecided vote}}{{efn|name=Rounding}} | 31.0 | – | – | 30.0 | 17.0 | 6.0 | 9.0 | – | – | 7.0 | 1.0 | | 30 Sep – 8 Oct}} | Razumkov Centre{{efn>name=Undecided vote}} | 26.3 | – | – | 20.9 | 18.1 | 5.1 | 7.7 | 4.1 | – | 17.8 | 5.4 | | 26 Sep – 6 Oct}} | RATING{{efn>name=Undecided vote}}{{efn|name=Rounding}} | 28.0 | – | – | 25.0 | 22.0 | 8.0 | 8.0 | 2.0 | – | 6.0 | 3.0 | | 15–25 Sep | R&B Group{{efn>name=Undecided vote}} | 32.5 | – | – | 18.3 | 17.0 | 4.8 | 7.7 | 5.0 | – | 14.7 | 14.2 | | 21–30 May | KIIS{{efn>name=Undecided vote}} | 27.2 | – | – | 30.2 | – | 11.0 | 7.0 | – | – | 24.6 | 3.0 | | 2013 | | 21–24 Dec | name=Undecided vote}} | 32.6 | – | – | 16.6 | 18.6 | 7.4 | 8.8 | – | – | 16.0 | 14.0 | | 2012 | | 17 January 2010}} | 2010 election results}} | 35.3 | 13.1 | – | – | 25.1 | 1.4 | 3.5 | – | – | 21.6 | 10.2 |
Notes{{notes
| refs ={{efn
| name = Undecided vote
| This survey shows its poll results without disregarding those who are undecided or said they will abstain from voting (either physically or by voting blank). In order to obtain results comparable to other surveys and the official election results, the result shown in this table will be that obtained, with a simple rule of three, from disregarding undecided and/or abstaining voters from the totals offered in the survey.
}}{{efn
| name = Rounding
| Some opinion polls round their data so that in the end up showing a .0 or a .5 value. This practise is maintained for these polls when disregarding undecided and/or abstaining voters from the totals so as to avoid different interpretations of the same value.
}}{{efn
| name = Multiple scenarios
| In the event that Dobkin was PoR's nominee instead of Tihipko, Dobkin would receive 6.3%, Kiltschko would receive 20.5%, Tymoshenko would receive 15.4%, Tyahnybok would receive 3.9%, Symonenko would receive 9.5%, Poroshenko would receive 35.9%, and other candidates would receive 8.8%.
}}
}}References1. ^Q&A: Ukraine presidential election, BBC News (7 February 2010)
2. ^{{cite web|url=http://www.unian.net/politics/913018-tsarev-snyalsya-s-vyiborov-i-prizval-k-ih-boykotu.html |title=Царев снялся с выборов : Новости УНИАН |publisher=Unian.net |date=29 April 2014}}
3. ^{{cite web|url=http://www.kyivpost.com/content/politics/tigipko-accuses-party-of-regions-of-betraying-interests-of-ukraine-342400.html |title=Tigipko accuses Party of Regions of betraying interests of Ukraine |publisher=Kyivpost.com |date=7 April 2014}}
4 : Opinion polling for elections|2014 elections in Ukraine|Opinion polling in Ukraine|Presidential elections in Ukraine |