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词条 Opinion polling for the 2015 Finnish parliamentary election
释义

  1. Graphical summary

  2. Poll results

     Seats 

  3. Notes

In the run up to the 2015 Finnish legislative election, various organisations carried out opinion polling to gauge voting intention in Finland. Results of such polls are displayed in this article.

The date range for these opinion polls are from the previous general election, held on 17 April 2011, to the day the next election was held, on 19 April 2015.

Graphical summary

Poll results

Poll results are listed in the table below in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first. The highest percentage figure in each poll is displayed in bold, and the background shaded in the leading party's colour. In the instance that there is a tie, then no figure is shaded. The table uses the date the survey's fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. However, if that date is unknown, the date of publication will be given instead.

DatePolling Firm KOK SDP PS KESK VAS VIHR SFP KDOthersLead
23 Mar–15 Apr Taloustutkimus 16.9 15.1 16.724.0 8.3 8.8 4.6 3.5 2.07.1
8 Apr–12 Apr TNS Gallup 17.0 17.0 16.223.0 8.5 8.1 4.6 3.7 1.96.0
27 Mar–1 Apr Tietoykkönen 16.2 17.0 16.623.5 8.4 8.1 4.3 4.1 1.86.5
25 Feb–19 Mar Taloustutkimus 16.1 16.2 14.624.9 8.5 8.9 4.5 3.9 2.48.7
16 Feb–12 Mar TNS Gallup 16.8 16.9 15.224.7 8.4 8.6 4.2 3.3 1.97.8
5–11 Mar Tietoykkönen 17.3 16.4 16.823.5 8.3 8.2 4.1 3.6 1.76.2
2–24 Feb Taloustutkimus 16.2 16.8 15.424.9 8.8 8.8 4.0 3.3 1.88.1
19 Jan–12 Feb TNS Gallup 16.9 17.1 14.126.2 8.5 8.3 4.2 3.2 1.59.3
28 Jan-3 Feb Tietoykkönen 17.8 16.5 15.325.4 8.2 7.8 4.0 3.6 1.47.6
29 Dec–27 Jan Taloustutkimus 16.3 17.2 14.826.0 8.2 8.3 4.2 3.5 1.58.8
15 Dec–15 Jan TNS Gallup 17.2 16.5 14.525.9 8.8 8.4 4.1 3.3 1.38.7
2014
3–27 Dec Taloustutkimus 17.1 15.3 13.326.8 8.9 9.4 3.7 3.9 1.79.7
17 Nov-12 Dec TNS Gallup 16.7 16.9 14.226.1 8.1 8.9 4.2 3.5 1.49.2
3 Nov-2 Dec Taloustutkimus 17.3 16.1 14.326.7 8.9 8.3 4.0 3.3 1.19.4
23 Nov-26 Nov Tietoykkönen 17.7 15.8 15.726.6 8.4 8.1 3.1 2.9 1.78.9
21 Nov TNS Gallup 17.4 16.4 16.224.5 8.0 8.3 4.3 3.6 1.37.1
30 Sep-28 Oct Taloustutkimus 19.4 15.2 15.125.5 7.9 9.1 3.6 2.7 1.56.1
22 Sep-16 Oct TNS Gallup 19.4 16.2 16.122.3 8.7 8.2 4.2 3.6 1.32.9
10 Oct-16 Oct Tietoykkönen 18.5 15.1 16.523.4 8.0 8.9 4.2 3.8 1.64.9
2 Sep-25 Sep Taloustutkimus 20.4 15.2 16.623.3 8.3 7.8 4.6 3.0 0.82.9
21 Aug-26 Aug Tietoykkönen 20.8 14.7 16.021.3 9.9 8.4 4.1 3.1 1.70.5
5 Aug-28 Aug Taloustutkimus 21.2 15.8 17.121.3 8.2 8.1 3.7 3.4 1.20.1
15 Jul–12 Aug TNS Gallup22.1 14.9 15.9 19.9 9.3 8.7 4.5 3.4 1.32.2
1 Jul-30 Jul Taloustutkimus21.8 13.8 16.4 20.9 9.3 8.8 3.9 3.4 1.70.9
2 Jun–25 Jun Taloustutkimus20.3 14.8 17.9 19.5 9.3 9.0 4.2 3.8 1.20.8
26 May–11 Jun TNS Gallup20.5 14.9 17.2 20.3 9.0 8.5 4.4 3.9 1.30.2
5–27 May Taloustutkimus20.1 15.0 18.9 19.5 8.5 9.3 4.4 3.2 1.10.6
2–29 Apr Taloustutkimus 20.2 15.8 17.621.0 8.8 8.2 4.1 3.7 0.60.8
5 Mar–1 Apr Taloustutkimus 20.3 15.5 17.820.9 7.7 8.7 4.3 3.5 1.30.6
25 Feb–22 Mar TNS Gallup 19.5 16.3 17.221.5 7.5 8.9 4.3 3.5 1.32.0
3 Feb–4 Mar Taloustutkimus 19.4 15.5 16.922.8 7.7 9.0 4.2 3.4 1.13.4
13 Jan–8 Feb TNS Gallup 19.2 16.2 17.022.4 7.6 8.5 4.2 3.5 1.43.2
1–28 Jan Taloustutkimus 18.7 15.5 17.823.6 7.5 8.1 3.8 3.7 1.34.9
2013
27 Nov–23 Dec Taloustutkimus 19.1 15.9 17.423.9 7.0 8.2 3.8 3.1 1.64.8
19 Dec TNS Gallup 18.0 16.7 17.523.0 7.9 7.9 4.4 3.3 1.35.0
30 Oct–26 Nov Taloustutkimus 18.3 15.4 17.224.1 7.4 9.0 4.1 3.2 1.35.8
7–29 Oct Taloustutkimus 18.1 16.9 17.423.2 7.6 8.4 3.9 3.5 1.05.1
23 Oct TNS Gallup 18.2 16.2 18.921.8 7.7 8.3 4.4 3.4 1.12.9
9 Sep–2 Oct Taloustutkimus 18.4 15.3 18.822.6 7.2 9.3 3.9 3.3 1.23.8
6 Aug–4 Sep Taloustutkimus 18.3 15.0 19.323.8 7.7 8.4 3.8 2.8 0.94.5
15 Aug TNS Gallup 18.7 16.3 18.721.9 7.3 8.2 4.2 3.5 1.23.2
2–31 Jul Taloustutkimus 18.8 15.6 18.022.8 7.2 8.4 4.4 3.6 1.24.0
29 May–26 Jun Taloustutkimus 18.4 16.1 18.621.5 7.5 9.3 4.0 3.5 1.12.9
29 Apr–28 May Taloustutkimus 19.2 16.5 17.421.7 8.0 8.0 4.1 3.8 1.32.5
4–25 Apr Taloustutkimus 19.2 16.2 18.619.4 9.0 9.1 4.2 3.2 1.10.2
11–27 Mar Taloustutkimus19.8 18.0 18.4 18.3 8.5 9.0 4.1 3.1 0.81.4
11 Feb–7 Mar Taloustutkimus20.8 18.2 18.1 17.2 8.2 8.7 4.3 3.2 1.32.6
7–29 Jan Taloustutkimus21.9 18.7 17.7 17.1 7.9 8.9 3.9 3.1 0.83.2
2012
3–27 Dec Taloustutkimus21.0 17.9 18.0 17.8 7.9 8.7 4.3 3.4 1.03.0
1–24 Oct Taloustutkimus20.9 18.5 15.3 17.3 8.5 9.1 3.9 4.0 2.52.4
3–19 Sep Taloustutkimus21.5 19.9 17.2 15.9 7.8 8.9 4.3 3.2 1.31.6
7–29 Aug Taloustutkimus22.7 18.7 15.8 16.6 8.2 9.4 4.3 3.2 1.14.0
3 Jul–1 Aug Taloustutkimus20.8 20.3 17.5 15.5 8.0 8.5 4.4 3.7 1.30.5
4–27 Jun Taloustutkimus21.6 20.8 15.6 16.5 7.5 8.2 3.9 3.7 2.20.8
7–31 May Taloustutkimus21.7 20.5 15.9 16.7 7.7 8.8 3.7 3.6 1.41.2
3–26 Apr Taloustutkimus22.6 19.1 14.1 16.4 8.9 10.4 3.7 3.2 1.63.5
5–29 Mar Taloustutkimus22.6 17.3 15.8 16.7 8.1 11.0 3.5 3.7 1.35.3
30 Jan–23 Feb [https://web.archive.org/web/20150501003328/http://yle.fi/uutiset/keskustan_kannatus_reippaassa_nousussa_-_perussuomalaisten_lasku_jatkuu/5056078 Taloustutkimus]22.1 16.0 16.1 17.7 7.9 11.4 4.1 3.5 1.34.4
2–26 Jan [https://web.archive.org/web/20150501003342/http://yle.fi/uutiset/kokoomuksen_etumatka_muihin_puolueisiin_kasvaa/5053760 Taloustutkimus]23.1 16.3 17.4 15.6 9.0 9.6 3.8 4.1 1.15.8
2011
7–28 Dec Taloustutkimus22.7 16.4 19.9 16.2 8.5 7.6 3.9 3.6 1.22.8
9–17 Nov Taloustutkimus24.3 17.6 19.9 13.9 7.0 7.9 4.1 3.9 1.44.4
10 Oct–3 Nov Taloustutkimus24.4 17.1 21.4 13.1 7.4 7.7 4.1 3.7 1.13.0
15 Aug–13 Sep Taloustutkimus23.7 18.6 21.1 12.6 8.0 7.4 3.8 3.6 1.32.6
5 Jul–10 Aug Taloustutkimus 21.4 19.822.0 13.2 7.6 7.4 3.9 3.4 1.30.6
6–29 Jun Taloustutkimus 21.1 18.123.0 13.8 8.0 7.2 4.1 3.1 1.61.9
9–31 May Taloustutkimus21.5 18.8 20.6 14.3 7.7 7.6 4.3 3.8 1.40.9
17 Apr 2011 [https://web.archive.org/web/20110420061201/http://192.49.229.35/E2011/e/tulos/tulos_kokomaa.html Election Results]20.4 19.1 19.1 15.8 8.1 7.3 4.3 4.0 2.31.3

Seats

Opinion polls showing seat projections are displayed in the table below. The highest seat figures in each polling survey have their background shaded in the leading party's colour. In the instance that there is a tie, then no figure is shaded. 101 seats are required for an absolute majority in the Finnish Parliament.

101 seats needed for majority
DatePolling Firm KOK SDP PS KESK VAS VIHR SFP KDOthers
19 Apr 2015ScenariPolitici{{#tag:ref>Counted by ScenariPolitici, but based on various polls by different polling firms. Åland's MP is the other.|group=note}}363435511515851
21 Mar 2015Accuscore{{#tag:ref>Counted by Accuscore, but based on various polls by different polling firms. Åland's MP is the other.|group=note}}343536531614921
3 Nov 2014–19 Mar 2015Taloustutkimus{{#tag:ref>Not a single poll, but based on five separate Taloustutkimus polls. Åland's MP is the other.|group=note}}333531561715841
14 Mar 2015 Accuscore343436551614821
26 Feb 2015 Accuscore343436561614811
21 Feb 2015 Accuscore353435571514811
23 Jan 2015 Accuscore353336561515811
2 Jun–2 Dec 2014 Taloustutkimus423137501712821

Notes

2 : Opinion polling in Finland|Opinion polling for elections

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