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词条 Opinion polling for the 2017 French legislative election
释义

  1. Graphical summary

  2. First round

  3. Second round seat projections

  4. By second round configuration

      By first round vote    REM/MoDem–LR/UDI/DVD    PS/FI/DVG–REM/MoDem    REM/MoDem–FN  

  5. By constituency

      First round    Bouches-du-Rhône's 4th    Charente-Maritime's 1st    Eure's 1st    Gard's 2nd    Gironde's 2nd    Landes's 1st    Pas-de-Calais's 11th    Pyrénées-Atlantiques's 4th    Rhône's 6th    Paris's 2nd    Essonne's 1st    Hauts-de-Seine's 9th    Second round    Bouches-du-Rhône's 4th    Charente-Maritime's 1st    Eure's 1st    Gard's 2nd    Landes's 3rd    Pyrénées-Atlantiques's 4th    Rhône's 6th    Paris's 2nd    Essonne's 1st    Hauts-de-Seine's 9th  

  6. Pre-2017 polling

      First round    Second round seat projections  

  7. See also

  8. References

  9. External links

{{Use dmy dates|date=February 2018}}

This page lists public opinion polls conducted for the 2017 French legislative elections, which were held in two rounds on 11 and 18 June 2017.

Unless otherwise noted, all polls listed below are compliant with the regulations of the national polling commission (Commission nationale des sondages) and utilize the quota method.

Graphical summary

The averages in the graphs below were constructed using polls listed below conducted by the nine major French pollsters. The graphs are smoothed 14-day weighted moving averages, using only the most recent poll conducted by any given pollster within that range (each poll weighted based on recency).

No total for Europe Ecology – The Greens (EELV) was provided by the Ministry of the Interior in the 2017 legislative elections. According to statistics compiled by Laurent de Boissieu, 454 EELV candidates collected 3.41% of the vote in the first round.[1]

First round

The comparison for the French Communist Party and La France Insoumise with 2012 is made against the Left Front. Before their unification under the umbrella of the Union of Democrats and Independents, the New Centre, Radical Party, and Centrist Alliance were counted individually in 2012, and are included in the miscellaneous right total for that year, which would otherwise be 3.51%.

Polling firmFieldwork dateSample
size
{{abbr|Abs.|AbstentionEXGPCFFIECOEELVPSPRGDVGREMMoDemUDILRDVDUPRDLFFNEXDREGDIV
2017 election11 Jun 2017 51.30% 0.77% 2.72% 11.03%4.30% 7.44% 0.47% 1.60%28.21% 4.12% 3.03% 15.77% 2.76% (DIV) 1.17% 13.20% 0.30% 0.90% 2.21%
[https://www.ipsos.com/sites/default/files/files-fr-fr/doc_associe/svv1er_tour_9juin.pdf Ipsos]7–8 Jun 2017 1,112 40% 1% 2% 11.5% 3%8%31.5%22% 1.5% 17% 2.5%
Harris Interactive6–8 Jun 2017 931 1% 3% 12%3%7% 1%30%19% 2% 1% 17% 1%3%
OpinionWay6–8 Jun 2017 3,080 46% 1% 3% 12%3%7% 1%30%21% 2% 18% 2%
[https://www.ifop.com/wp-content/uploads/2018/03/3789-1-study_file.pdf Ifop-Fiducial]6–8 Jun 2017 1,003 39% 0.5% 3% 11% 3.5%8% 1%30%20% 2% 1.5% 18% 1.5%
[https://elabe.fr/wp-content/uploads/2017/06/08062017_bfmtv_les-francais-et-les-elections-legislatives-v2.pdf Elabe]5–8 Jun 2017 1,918 51% 0.5% 2% 11% 3%9%29%23% 2% 17% 3.5%
BVA2–5 Jun 2017 4,772 41% 1% 2% 12.5% 3%8% 1%30%20% 1.5% 2% 18% 1%
[https://www.ipsos.com/sites/default/files/files-fr-fr/doc_associe/enquetelegislatives2.pdf Ipsos]2–4 Jun 2017 1,126 40% 1% 2% 12.5% 2.5%8.5%29.5%23% 1.5% 17% 2.5%
Odoxa31 May–1 Jun 2017 697 48% 1% 3% 11% 3%8%33%19% 2.5% 18% 1.5%
Harris Interactive30 May–1 Jun 2017 885 2% 2% 11%3%8% 1%31%18% 2% 2% 18% <0.5%2%
OpinionWay30 May–1 Jun 2017 1,940 45% 1% 3% 13%2%9% 1%29%20% 2% 18% 2%
[https://www.ifop.com/wp-content/uploads/2018/03/3783-1-study_file.pdf Ifop]29–31 May 2017 2,802 38% 0.5% 2.5% 12% 3%7.5% 1%31%19% 1.5% 2% 18% 2%
[https://www.ipsos.com/sites/default/files/files-fr-fr/doc_associe/publication_rapport_eef2017_-vague_15_cevipof_ipsos_le_monde.pdf Ipsos]27–30 May 2017 8,778 39% 0.5% 2% 11.5% 3%8.5%31%22% 2% 18% 1.5%
[https://www.ipsos.com/sites/default/files/files-fr-fr/doc_associe/enquetelegislatives1.pdf Ipsos]26–28 May 2017 1,127 0.5% 2% 11.5% 3%9%29.5%22% 2.5% 18% 2%
[https://fr.kantar.com/elections/legislatives/2017/legislatives-2017-intentions-de-vote-30-mai-2017/ Kantar Sofres]24–28 May 2017 2,022 37% 1% 2% 12% 3.5%8% 1%31%18% 1.5% 0.5% 2.5% 17% 2%
Harris Interactive23–26 May 2017 905 2% 2% 14% 3%7%31%18% 3% 19% 1%
OpinionWay23–24 May 2017 2,103 1% 2% 15%10%28%20% 2% 19% 3%
[https://elabe.fr/wp-content/uploads/2017/05/24052017_bfmtv_les-francais-et-les-elections-legislatives.pdf Elabe]23–24 May 2017 1,011 49% 0.5% 2% 12% 2.5%6.5%33%20% 1.5% 19% 3%
[https://www.ifop.com/wp-content/uploads/2018/03/3768-1-study_file.pdf Ifop-Fiducial]18–19 May 2017 950 0.5% 1.5% 15% 2.5%7%31%19% 2.5% 18% 3%
Harris Interactive16–18 May 2017 940 1% 2% 16% 3%6%32%18% 3% 19%
OpinionWay16–18 May 2017 1,997 1% 2% 14%11%27%20% 2% 20% 3%
Harris Interactive15–17 May 2017 4,598 1% 2% 15% 3%6%32%19% 3% 19%
Harris Interactive9–11 May 2017 941 2% 2% 14% 3%7%29%20% 3% 20%
Harris Interactive7 May 2017 2,376 1% 2% 13% 3%8%26%22% 3% 22%
[https://fr.kantar.com/elections/legislatives/2017/les-francais-et-les-elections-legislatives-2017/ Kantar Sofres]4–5 May 2017 1,507 2% 1% 15% 3.5%9%24%22% 2.5% 21%
Ifop-Fiducial4–5 May 2017 1,405 1% 2% 16% 3%9%22% 2.5% 20% 1.5% 20% 3%
OpinionWay24 Apr–1 May 2017 5,032 1%10%13%26%24% 3% 19% 4%
2012 election10 Jun 2012 42.78% 0.98%6.91% (FG) 0.96% 5.46%29.35% 1.65% 3.40% 1.77% 27.12% 7.54% (DVD) 13.60% 0.19% 0.56% 0.52%

Second round seat projections

Projections marked with an asterisk (*) were constructed for 535 out of 577 constituencies, including only metropolitan France only and excluding Corsica as well as overseas territories and residents.[2]

The comparison for the French Communist Party and La France Insoumise with 2012 is made against the Left Front. Before their unification under the umbrella of the Union of Democrats and Independents, the New Centre, Radical Party, and Centrist Alliance were counted individually in 2012, and are included in the miscellaneous right total for that year, which would otherwise be 15.

Polling firmFieldwork dateSample
size
{{abbr|Abs.|AbstentionPCFFIPSPRGDVGEELVREMMoDemUDILRDVDDLFFNEXDREGDIV
2017 election18 Jun 2017 57.36% 10 17 30 3 12 1308 42 18 112 6 1 8 1 5 3
Odoxa14–15 Jun 2017 948 53%8–1725–35{{nowrap|430–460}}70–95 1–6 3–7
Harris Interactive13–15 Jun 2017 91414–2522–35{{nowrap|440–470}}60–801–6 3–7
OpinionWay13–15 Jun 2017 2,901 54%5–1520–30{{nowrap|440–470}}70–90 1–5 3–10
[https://www.ipsos.com/sites/default/files/files-fr-fr/doc_associe/svv1er_tour_9juin.pdf Ipsos]7–8 Jun 2017 1,11211–2122–32{{nowrap|397–427}}95–115 5–15 5–10
Harris Interactive6–8 Jun 2017 93115–2520–30{{nowrap|360–390}}125–1408–18 7–9
OpinionWay6–8 Jun 2017 3,08012–2215–25{{nowrap|370–400}}120–150 8–18 5–10
[https://www.ipsos.com/sites/default/files/files-fr-fr/doc_associe/enquetelegislatives2.pdf Ipsos]2–4 Jun 2017 1,12612–2225–35{{nowrap|385–415}}105–125 5–15 3–7
Odoxa31 May–1 Jun 2017 69715–2525–35{{nowrap|350–390}}120–160 5–15 5–10
Harris Interactive30 May–1 Jun 2017 88515–2530–44{{nowrap|330–360}}135–1508–22 7–9
OpinionWay30 May–1 Jun 2017 1,94024–3120–35{{nowrap|335–355}}145–165 7–17 5–10
[https://www.ifop.com/wp-content/uploads/2018/03/3783-1-study_file.pdf Ifop-Fiducial]29–31 May 2017 2,80215–2520–35{{nowrap|350–380}}133–153 9–16 8–12
[https://www.ipsos.com/sites/default/files/files-fr-fr/doc_associe/publication_rapport_eef2017_-vague_15_cevipof_ipsos_le_monde.pdf Ipsos]27–30 May 2017 8,77810–2025–35{{nowrap|395–425}}95–115 5–15 5–10
[https://fr.kantar.com/elections/legislatives/2017/legislatives-2017-intentions-de-vote-30-mai-2017/ Kantar Sofres]24–28 May 2017 2,02220–3040–50{{nowrap|320–350}}140–15510–15 5–10
OpinionWay*23–24 May 2017 2,10325–3025–30{{nowrap|310–330}}140–160 10–15
OpinionWay*16–18 May 2017 1,99720–2540–50{{nowrap|280–300}}150–170 10–15
OpinionWay*24 Apr–1 May 2017 5,0326–828–43{{nowrap|249–286}}200–210 15–25
2012 election17 Jun 2012 44.60%10 (FG)280 12 22 17 2 194 35 (DVD) 2 1 2 0

By second round configuration

Polling firmFieldwork dateSample
size
LeftREMRightFN
OpinionWay13–15 Jun 20172,901 41%59%
58% 42%
60% 40%

By first round vote

In each case, results were based on interviews in which respondents were presented with a list of candidates in their constituency.

REM/MoDem–LR/UDI/DVD

Polling firmFieldwork dateSample
size
First round voteREM/
MoDem
LR/UDI/
DVD
No vote
OpinionWay13–15 Jun 20172,901FI33% 8%59%
PS45% 10%45%
FN 8%30%62%

PS/FI/DVG–REM/MoDem

Polling firmFieldwork dateSample
size
First round votePS/FI/
DVG
REM/
MoDem
No vote
OpinionWay13–15 Jun 20172,901LR/UDI 18%50% 32%
FN28% 6%66%

REM/MoDem–FN

Polling firmFieldwork dateSample
size
First round voteREM/
MoDem
FNNo vote
OpinionWay13–15 Jun 20172,901FI27% 11%62%
PS64% 4% 32%
LR/UDI35% 32% 33%

By constituency

First round

Bouches-du-Rhône's 4th

Polling firmFieldwork dateSample
size
{{abbr|Abs.|AbstentionJean-Luc Mélenchon
{{small|FI
Patrick Mennucci
{{small|PS–EELV
Corinne Versini
{{small|REM
Solange Biaggi
{{small|LR–UDI
Jeanne Marti
{{small|FN
Others
2017 election11 Jun 2017 57.86%34.31% 12.43%22.66% 10.63% 10.92% 9.07%
Harris Interactive17–18 May 2017 61635% 13%26% 9% 12% 5%
[https://www.ifop.com/wp-content/uploads/2018/03/3765-1-study_file.pdf Ifop-Fiducial]17–18 May 2017 60238% 13%24% 10% 12% 3%

Charente-Maritime's 1st

Polling firmFieldwork dateSample
size
{{abbr|Abs.|AbstentionCédric Ruffié
{{small|FI
Jean-Marc Soubeste
{{small|EELV
Olivier Falorni
{{small|DVG
Otilia Ferreira
{{small|MoDem–REM
Bruno Léal
{{small|LR
Jean-Marc de Lacoste-Lareymondie
{{small|FN
Others
2017 election11 Jun 2017 48.84% 10.92% 3.91%36.54%26.99% 9.83% 7.03% 4.79%
[https://www.ifop.com/wp-content/uploads/2018/03/3785-1-study_file.pdf Ifop-Fiducial]2–6 Jun 2017 685 15% 3%34%25% 12% 8% 3%

Eure's 1st

Polling firmFieldwork dateSample
size
{{abbr|Abs.|AbstentionMichaël Després
{{small|FI
Bruno Le Maire
{{small|REM
Coumba Dioukhané
{{small|LR
Fabienne Delacour
{{small|FN
Others
2017 election11 Jun 2017 52.01% 11.43%44.46% 6.16%22.09% 15.86%
[https://www.ifop.com/wp-content/uploads/2018/03/3770-1-study_file.pdf Ifop-Fiducial]22–24 May 2017 603 16%48% 7%20% 9%

Gard's 2nd

Polling firmFieldwork dateSample
size
{{abbr|Abs.|AbstentionDanielle Floutier
{{small|FI
Béatrice Leccia
{{small|EELV
Marie Sara
{{small|MoDem–REM
Pascale Mourrut
{{small|LR
Gilbert Collard
{{small|FN
Others
2017 election11 Jun 2017 50.24% 13.07% 2.99%32.16% 14.22%32.27% 5.30%
[https://www.ifop.com/wp-content/uploads/2018/03/3780-1-study_file.pdf Ifop-Fiducial]30–31 May 2017 600 14% 3%31% 17.5%32% 2.5%

Gironde's 2nd

Polling firmFieldwork dateSample
size
{{abbr|Abs.|AbstentionServane Crussière
{{small|PCF
Aude Darchy
{{small|FI
Michèle Delaunay
{{small|PS
Pierre Hurmic
{{small|EELV
Catherine Fabre
{{small|REM
Anne Walryck
{{small|LR–UDI
Guillaume Boraud
{{small|DVD
Julie Rechagneux
{{small|FN
Others
2017 election11 Jun 2017 48.92% 1.90% 13.28% 10.69% 8.04%39.78%15.79% 1.22% 3.76% 5.54%
[https://www.ifop.com/wp-content/uploads/2018/03/3790-1-study_file.pdf Ifop-Fiducial]5–7 Jun 2017 691 2%17% 14% 5.5%35% 15% 1.5% 5% 5%

Landes's 1st

Polling firmFieldwork dateSample
size
{{abbr|Abs.|AbstentionCéline Piot
{{small|FI
Renaud Lagrave
{{small|PS
Geneviève Darrieussecq
{{small|MoDem–REM
Marie-Françoise Nadau
{{small|LR–UDI
Christophe Bardin
{{small|FN
Others
2017 election11 Jun 2017 45.72% 12.04%13.46%43.34% 11.60% 11.48% 8.07%
[https://www.ifop.com/wp-content/uploads/2018/03/3782-1-study_file.pdf Ifop-Fiducial]1–5 Jun 2017 68713% 12%43% 10% 12% 10%

Pas-de-Calais's 11th

Polling firmFieldwork dateSample
size
{{abbr|Abs.|AbstentionHervé Poly
{{small|PCF
Jean-Pierre Carpentier
{{small|FI
Philippe Kemel
{{small|PS
Marine Tondelier
{{small|EELV
Anne Roquet
{{small|REM
Alexandrine Pintus
{{small|LR–UDI
Marine Le Pen
{{small|FN
Others
2017 election11 Jun 2017 53.33% 5.00% 9.97% 10.83% 3.55%16.43% 4.18%46.02% 4.01%
[https://www.ifop.com/wp-content/uploads/2018/03/3784-1-study_file.pdf Ifop-Fiducial]1–3 Jun 2017 601 4% 13.5% 14.5% 2.5%15.5% 4%44% 2%

Pyrénées-Atlantiques's 4th

Polling firmFieldwork dateSample
size
{{abbr|Abs.|AbstentionRobert Bareille
{{small|PCF
Didier Bayens
{{small|FI
Bernard Uthurry
{{small|PS
Véronique Zenoni
{{small|EELV
Loïc Corrégé
{{small|REM
Jean Lassalle
{{small|Résistons!
Laurent Inchauspé
{{small|UDI
Marc Oxibar
{{small|LR
Gilles Hustaix
{{small|FN
Anita Lopepe
{{small|EH Bai
Others
2017 election11 Jun 2017 41.47% 3.35% 7.67% 12.63% 2.69%25.41%17.71% 5.42% 9.66% 4.28% 8.51% 2.68%
[https://www.ifop.com/wp-content/uploads/2018/03/3781-1-study_file.pdf Ifop-Fiducial]29 May–2 Jun 2017 689 4.5% 9% 16% 1.5%24.5%16% 3.5% 11.5% 5% 7% 1.5%

Rhône's 6th

Polling firmFieldwork dateSample
size
{{abbr|Abs.|AbstentionLaurent Legendre
{{small|FI
Najat Vallaud-Belkacem
{{small|PS
Béatrice Vessiller
{{small|EELV
Bruno Bonnell
{{small|REM
Emmanuelle Haziza
{{small|LR–UDI
Stéphane Poncet
{{small|FN
Others
2017 election11 Jun 2017 53.24% 14.71%16.54% 4.75%36.69% 10.67% 9.03% 7.60%
[https://www.ifop.com/wp-content/uploads/2018/03/3766-1-study_file.pdf Ifop-Fiducial]16–18 May 2017 601 17%19% 4%30% 13% 12% 5%

Paris's 2nd

Polling firmFieldwork dateSample
size
{{abbr|Abs.|AbstentionLorraine Questiaux
{{small|PCF
Anne-Françoise Prunières
{{small|FI
Marine Rosset
{{small|PS
Gilles Seignan
{{small|EELV
Gilles Le Gendre
{{small|REM
Nathalie Kosciusko-Morizet
{{small|LR–UDI
Henri Guaino
{{small|DVD
Jean-Pierre Lecoq
{{small|DVD
Pauline Betton
{{small|PCD
Manon Bouquin
{{small|FN
Others
2017 election11 Jun 2017 37.91% 1.35% 5.96% 6.11% 4.72%41.81%18.13% 4.51% 9.17% 1.26% 2.31% 4.66%
[https://www.ifop.com/wp-content/uploads/2018/03/3779-1-study_file.pdf Ifop-Fiducial]29–31 May 2017 552 1% 7.5% 7% 3%42%24% 3% 7% 1% 3% 1.5%

Essonne's 1st

Polling firmFieldwork dateSample
size
{{abbr|Abs.|AbstentionMichel Nouaille
{{small|PCF–EELV
Farida Amrani
{{small|FI
Manuel Valls
{{small|DVG
Alban Bakary
{{small|DVD
Caroline Varin
{{small|LR–UDI
Jean-Luc Raymond
{{small|DVD
David Soullard
{{small|DLF
Danielle Oger
{{small|FN
Dieudonné M'bala M'bala
{{small|SE
Others
2017 election11 Jun 2017 59.89% 7.58%17.61%25.45% 7.83% 11.93% 6.89% 2.40% 10.20% 3.84% 6.27%
[https://www.ifop.com/wp-content/uploads/2018/03/3771-1-study_file.pdf Ifop-Fiducial]22–23 May 2017 605 6.5%26%30% 2.5% 12% 0.5% 3% 12% 3% 4.5%

Hauts-de-Seine's 9th

The campaign of Marie-Laure Godin commissioned and released a PollingVox survey in this constituency, after which the campaign of Thierry Solère published an Ifop poll contradicting its findings.[3]

Polling firmFieldwork dateSample
size
{{abbr|Abs.|AbstentionFabienne Gambiez
{{small|PRG–UDE–PS
Aminata Niakate
{{small|EELV
Thierry Solère
{{small|LR–UDI
Marie-Laure Godin
{{small|DVD
Nina Smarandi
{{small|FN
Others
2017 election11 Jun 2017 46.66% 6.37% 5.01%42.60%31.38% 3.21% 11.43%
Ifop2–3 Jun 2017 597 8% 4.5%44%29% 4% 10.5%
[https://web.archive.org/web/20180226170837/https://twitter.com/aminataniakate/status/871340158607654912 PollingVox]24–31 May 2017 564 7%32%42% 9%

Second round

Bouches-du-Rhône's 4th

Polling firmFieldwork dateSample
size
{{abbr|Abs.|AbstentionJean-Luc Mélenchon
{{small|FI
Patrick Mennucci
{{small|PS–EELV
Corinne Versini
{{small|REM
2017 election18 Jun 2017 64.22%59.85% 40.15%
Harris Interactive17–18 May 2017 61656% 44%
[https://www.ifop.com/wp-content/uploads/2018/03/3765-1-study_file.pdf Ifop-Fiducial]17–18 May 201760253% 47%
61% 39%

Charente-Maritime's 1st

Polling firmFieldwork dateSample
size
{{abbr|Abs.|AbstentionCédric Ruffié
{{small|FI
Olivier Falorni
{{small|DVG
Otilia Ferreira
{{small|MoDem–REM
2017 election18 Jun 2017 56.58%69.02% 30.98%
[https://www.ifop.com/wp-content/uploads/2018/03/3785-1-study_file.pdf Ifop-Fiducial]2–6 Jun 201768555% 45%
20%41% 39%

Eure's 1st

Polling firmFieldwork dateSample
size
{{abbr|Abs.|AbstentionBruno Le Maire
{{small|REM
Fabienne Delacour
{{small|FN
2017 election18 Jun 2017 57.74%64.53% 35.47%
[https://www.ifop.com/wp-content/uploads/2018/03/3770-1-study_file.pdf Ifop-Fiducial]22–24 May 2017 60376% 24%

Gard's 2nd

Polling firmFieldwork dateSample
size
{{abbr|Abs.|AbstentionMarie Sara
{{small|MoDem–REM
Pascale Mourrut
{{small|LR
Gilbert Collard
{{small|FN
2017 election18 Jun 2017 51.79% 49.84%50.16%
[https://www.ifop.com/wp-content/uploads/2018/03/3780-1-study_file.pdf Ifop-Fiducial]30–31 May 201760056% 44%
41% 22% 37%

Landes's 3rd

Polling firmFieldwork dateSample
size
{{abbr|Abs.|AbstentionBoris Vallaud
{{small|PS
Jean-Pierre Steiner
{{small|REM
2017 election18 Jun 2017 46.78%50.75% 49.25%
[https://www.ifop.com/wp-content/uploads/2018/03/3793-1-study_file.pdf Ifop-Fiducial]13–14 Jun 2017 651 46%54%

Pyrénées-Atlantiques's 4th

Polling firmFieldwork dateSample
size
{{abbr|Abs.|AbstentionBernard Uthurry
{{small|PS
Loïc Corrégé
{{small|REM
Jean Lassalle
{{small|Résistons!
2017 election18 Jun 2017 46.63% 47.21%52.79%
[https://www.ifop.com/wp-content/uploads/2018/03/3781-1-study_file.pdf Ifop-Fiducial]29 May–2 Jun 2017 689 31%35% 34%

Rhône's 6th

Polling firmFieldwork dateSample
size
{{abbr|Abs.|AbstentionLaurent Legendre
{{small|FI
Najat Vallaud-Belkacem
{{small|PS
Bruno Bonnell
{{small|REM
2017 election18 Jun 2017 59.58% 39.82%60.18%
[https://www.ifop.com/wp-content/uploads/2018/03/3766-1-study_file.pdf Ifop-Fiducial]16–18 May 2017601 40%60%
38%62%

Paris's 2nd

Polling firmFieldwork dateSample
size
{{abbr|Abs.|AbstentionGilles Le Gendre
{{small|REM
Nathalie Kosciusko-Morizet
{{small|LR–UDI
2017 election18 Jun 2017 48.47%54.53% 45.47%
[https://www.ifop.com/wp-content/uploads/2018/03/3779-1-study_file.pdf Ifop-Fiducial]29–31 May 2017 55268% 32%

Essonne's 1st

Polling firmFieldwork dateSample
size
{{abbr|Abs.|AbstentionFarida Amrani
{{small|FI
Manuel Valls
{{small|DVG
2017 election18 Jun 2017 63.45% 49.70%50.30%
[https://www.ifop.com/wp-content/uploads/2018/03/3771-1-study_file.pdf Ifop-Fiducial]22–23 May 2017 60550%50%

Hauts-de-Seine's 9th

The campaign of Marie-Laure Godin commissioned and released a PollingVox survey in this constituency, after which the campaign of Thierry Solère published an Ifop poll contradicting its findings.[3]

Polling firmFieldwork dateSample
size
{{abbr|Abs.|AbstentionThierry Solère
{{small|LR–UDI
Marie-Laure Godin
{{small|DVD
2017 election18 Jun 2017 55.62%56.53% 43.47%
[https://web.archive.org/web/20180226170837/https://twitter.com/aminataniakate/status/871340158607654912 PollingVox]24–31 May 2017 564 43%57%

Pre-2017 polling

First round

Before their unification under the umbrella of the Union of Democrats and Independents, the New Centre, Radical Party, and Centrist Alliance were counted individually in 2012, and are included in the miscellaneous right total for that year, which would otherwise be 3.51%. The total for miscellaneous candidates in 2012 also includes regionalist, ecologist, and far-right candidates who were not counted separately in the CSA poll, and would otherwise be 0.52%.

Polling firmFieldwork dateSample
size
{{abbr|Abs.|AbstentionEXGFGMRCPSPRGDVGEELVMoDemUDIUMPDVDDLFFNDIV
CSA18–20 Nov 2014 955 1% 8%18% 7%12%24% 1% 23% 6%
2012 election10 Jun 2012 42.78% 0.98% 6.91% (DVG)29.35% 1.65% 3.40% 5.46% 1.77% 27.12% 7.54% (DVD) 13.60% 2.23%

Second round seat projections

Before their unification under the umbrella of the Union of Democrats and Independents, the New Centre, Radical Party, and Centrist Alliance were counted individually in 2012, and are included in the miscellaneous right total for that year, which would otherwise be 15. The total for miscellaneous candidates in 2012 also includes regionalist and far-right candidates who were not counted separately in the CSA poll, and would otherwise be 0.

Polling firmFieldwork dateSample
size
{{abbr|Abs.|AbstentionFGMRCPSPRGDVGEELVMoDemUDIUMPDVDDLFFNDIV
CSA18–20 Nov 2014 95556–66485–505 14–24 1–3
2012 election17 Jun 2012 44.60% 10 (DVG)280 12 22 17 2 194 35 (DVD) 2 3

See also

  • Opinion polling for the French presidential election, 2017
  • Opinion polling for the French legislative election, 2012
  • Opinion polling for the French legislative election, 2007

References

1. ^{{cite web|author=Laurent de Boissieu|title=Plaidoyer pour la rationalisation de l’offre électorale|url=http://www.revuepolitique.fr/plaidoyer-pour-la-rationalisation-de-loffre-electorale/|publisher=Revue politique et parlementaire|date=2 January 2018|accessdate=26 February 2018}}
2. ^{{cite web|title=Législatives 2017 : « En Marche » vers une majorité ?|url=https://www.opinion-way.com/fr/component/edocman/?task=document.viewdoc&id=1618&Itemid=0|publisher=OpinionWay|date=3 May 2017|accessdate=26 February 2018}}
3. ^{{cite news|author=Jean-Baptiste Garat|title=Édouard Philippe en campagne pour Solère, un candidat LR «constructif»|url=http://www.lefigaro.fr/elections/legislatives/2017/06/05/38001-20170605ARTFIG00230-edouard-philippe-en-campagne-pour-solere-un-candidat-lr-constructif.php|newspaper=Le Figaro|date=5 June 2017|accessdate=26 February 2018}}

External links

  • Notices of the French polling commission {{fr}}

2 : Opinion polling in France|Opinion polling for elections

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