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词条 Opinion polling for the 2019 Australian federal election
释义

  1. Graphical summary

  2. Voting intention

  3. Preferred prime minister, and satisfaction

  4. See also

  5. References

{{2019 Australian federal election sidebar}}

In the leadup to the 2019 federal election, a number of polling companies have conducted regular opinion polls for various news organisations. These polls collect data on party's primary vote, and contain an estimation of the two-party-preferred vote. They also ask questions about views of the electorate about the major party leaders.

Graphical summary

{{multiple images|align=left
|image1=Australian federal election polling - 46th parliament - two party preferred.svg
|width1=310
|caption1=Two-party-preferred vote.
|image2=Australian federal election polling - 46th parliament - primary.svg
|width2=310
|caption2=Primary vote.
|footer=Aggregate data of voting intention from all opinion polling since the last election. Local regression trends for each party are shown as solid lines.}}{{clear}}{{Use dmy dates|date=May 2017}}{{Use dmy dates|date=May 2018}}

Voting intention

House of Representatives (lower house) polling
Date FirmPrimary voteTPP vote
L/NPALPGRNOTHL/NPALP
4–7 April 2019Newspoll[1]38%37%9%6%10%48%52%
3–6 April 2019Ipsos[2]37%34%13%5%11%47%53%
25–28 March 2019Galaxy[3]33%34%9%8%3% UAP, 2% CON, 3% Other}}47%53%
20–25 March 2019Essential[4]39%36%10%7%8%48%52%
6–11 March 2019Essential[5]37%38%8%7%10%47%53%
7–10 March 2019Newspoll[6]36%39%9%7%9%46%54%
20–24 Feb 2019Essential[7]38%37%9%6%10%48%52%
21–24 Feb 2019Newspoll[8]37%39%9%5%10%47%53%
12–15 Feb 2019Ipsos[9]38%33%13%5%11%49%51%
6–11 Feb 2019Essential[10]34%38%10%7%11%45%55%
7–10 Feb 2019Newspoll[11]37%39%9%5%10%47%53%
23–30 Jan 2019Essential[12]38%36%10%7%9%48%52%
24–27 Jan 2019Newspoll[13]37%38%9%6%10%47%53%
9–13 Jan 2019Essential[14]38%38%10%7%7%47%53%
13–16 Dec 2018Essential[15]37%36%11%7%9%47%53%
13–15 Dec 2018Ipsos[16]36%37%13%6%9%46%54%
6–9 Dec 2018Newspoll[17]35%41%9%7%8%45%55%
29 Nov – 2 Dec 2018Essential[18]38%39%10%6%7%46%54%
23–25 Nov 2018Newspoll[19]34%40%9%8%9%45%55%
15-18 Nov 2018Essential[20]37%35%11%7%10%48%52%
15–17 Nov 2018Ipsos[21]37%34%13%5%11%48%52%
8–11 Nov 2018Newspoll[22]35%40%9%6%10%45%55%
1–4 Nov 2018Essential[23]36%39%10%6%9%46%54%
25–28 Oct 2018Newspoll[24]36%39%9%6%10%46%54%
19–21 Oct 2018Essential[25]38%37%10%7%8%47%53%
10–13 Oct 2018Newspoll[26]37%38%11%6%8%47%53%
10–13 Oct 2018Ipsos[27]35%35%15%5%10%45%55%
5–7 Oct 2018Essential[28]37%36%12%5%10%47%53%
22–24 Sep 2018Essential[29]37%36%12%5%10%47%53%
20–23 Sep 2018Newspoll[30]36%39%10%6%9%46%54%
12–15 Sep 2018Ipsos[31]34%31%15%7%13%47%53%
8–10 Sep 2018Essential[32]36%37%10%8%9%46%54%
6–9 Sep 2018Newspoll[33]34%42%10%6%8%44%56%
25–26 Aug 2018Roy Morgan[34]36.5%36%13%2.5%12%46%54%
24–26 Aug 2018Essential[35]35%39%10%7%9%45%55%
24–25 Aug 2018Newspoll[36]33%41%10%7%9%44%56%
24 Aug 2018Scott Morrison replaces Malcolm Turnbull as Liberal leader and Prime Minister
15-18 Aug 2018Ipsos[37]33%35%13%8%11%45%55%
12 Aug 2018Newspoll[38]37%35%10%9%9%49%51%
6 Aug 2018ReachTEL[39]37%34%12%8%8%48%52%
29 Jul 2018Newspoll[40]39%36%10%7%8%49%51%
17 Jul 2018Essential[41]40%36%10%6%8%49%51%
16 Jul 2018Newspoll[42]38%36%10%7%9%49%51%
3 Jul 2018Essential[43]40%37%11%6%6%48%52%
2 Jul 2018Newspoll[44]39%37%9%6%9%49%51%
21–24 Jun 2018Ipsos[45]35%35%12%6%12%47%53%
14–17 Jun 2018Newspoll[46]38%38%10%6%8%48%52%
14–17 Jun 2018Essential[47]38%35%11%7%9%48%52%
2 Jun 2018ReachTEL[48]35%34%11%9%11%48%52%
31 May – 3 Jun 2018Essential[49]36%37%10%8%9%46%54%
24–27 May 2018Newspoll[50]38%38%9%8%7%48%52%
17–20 May 2018Essential[51]40%36%10%8%7%49%51%
10–13 May 2018Essential[52]38%36%10%7%8%48%52%
10–13 May 2018Newspoll[53]39%38%9%6%8%49%51%
10–12 May 2018Ipsos[54]36%37%11%5%11%46%54%
3–6 May 2018Essential[55]38%37%10%6%9%47%53%
30 Apr 2018ReachTEL[56]36%35%11%6%12%48%52%
19–22 Apr 2018Essential[57]37%36%11%8%8%47%53%
22 Apr 2018Newspoll[58]38%37%9%7%9%49%51%
5–8 Apr 2018Essential[59]38%37%10%7%8%47%53%
5–8 Apr 2018Newspoll[60]38%37%10%7%8%48%52%
3–5 Apr 2018Ipsos[61][62]36%34%12%8%10%48%52%
24 Mar – 1 Apr 2018Roy Morgan[63]38.5%37.5%11%3%10%49%51%
28 Mar 2018ReachTEL[64]34%36%10%7%13%46%54%
22–25 Mar 2018Essential[65]38%36%9%8%9%48%52%
22–25 Mar 2018Newspoll[66]37%39%9%7%8%47%53%
17–25 Mar 2018Roy Morgan[67]40%35%12%3.5%9.5%49%51%
8–11 Mar 2018Essential[68]36%38%9%8%9%46%54%
3–11 Mar 2018Roy Morgan[69]36%36%13.5%3%11.5%46%54%
1–4 Mar 2018Newspoll[70]37%38%9%7%9%47%53%
22–25 Feb 2018Essential[71]35%35%10%8%12%47%53%
24 Feb 2018ReachTEL[72]33%37%11%7%12%46%54%
15–18 Feb 2018Newspoll[73]36%37%10%8%9%47%53%
8–11 Feb 2018Essential[74]36%37%10%6%11%46%54%
1–3 Feb 2018Newspoll[75]38%37%10%5%10%48%52%
26–28 Jan 2018Essential[76]35%36%10%8%11%46%54%
25 Jan 2018ReachTEL[77]34%36%10%8%12%48%52%
11–15 Jan 2018Essential[78]37%38%9%6%10%47%53%
19 Dec 2017Essential[79]37%38%9%7%9%47%53%
14–17 Dec 2017Newspoll[80]36%37%10%7%10%47%53%
12 Dec 2017Essential[81]35%38%10%7%9%46%54%
7–10 Dec 2017YouGov[82]34%35%11%8%13%50%50%
5 Dec 2017Essential[83]35%38%9%8%10%45%55%
30 Nov − 3 Dec 2017Newspoll[84]36%37%10%8%9%47%53%
29 Nov 2017ReachTEL[85]33%36%10%9%12%47%53%
28 Nov 2017Essential[86]36%38%9%8%9%46%54%
23–27 Nov 2017YouGov[87]32%32%10%11%16%47%53%
21 Nov 2017Essential[88]35%38%9%8%10%46%54%
14 Nov 2017YouGov[89]31%34%11%11%14%48%52%
14 Nov 2017Essential[90]36%38%9%8%10%46%54%
13 Nov 2017Newspoll[91]34%38%9%10%9%45%55%
30 Oct 2017Essential[92]36%37%10%7%9%46%54%
26–29 Oct 2017Newspoll35%37%10%9%9%46%54%
24 Oct 2017Essential[93]37%36%9%8%10%48%52%
12–15 Oct 2017Newspoll36%37%10%9%8%46%54%
4 Oct 2017Essential[94]36%38%10%7%10%46%54%
1 Oct 2017ReachTEL[95]36%38%9%8%9%47%53%
26 Sep 2017Essential[96]37%37%10%7%9%47%53%
21–24 Sep 2017Newspoll[97]36%38%9%8%9%46%54%
19 Sep 2017Essential[98]38%36%10%8%8%48%52%
14–18 Sep 2017YouGov[99]34%35%11%9%11%50%50%
12 Sep 2017Essential[100]36%37%10%9%8%46%54%
6–9 Sep 2017Ipsos[101][102]35%34%14%1%15%47%53%
5 Sep 2017Essential[100]36%37%10%8%9%47%53%
31 Aug – 4 Sep 2017YouGov[103]34%32%12%9%13%50%50%
28 Aug – 2 Sep 2017Newspoll[104]37%38%9%8%8%47%53%
29 Aug 2017Essential[105]37%36%10%8%9%47%53%
23 Aug 2017ReachTEL[106]34.5%36.7%10.3%10.4%8.2%48%52%
22 Aug 2017Essential[107]37%37%9%8%9%47%53%
17–21 Aug 2017YouGov[108]34%33%10%10%13%51%49%
17–20 Aug 2017Newspoll[109]35%38%9%9%9%46%54%
15 Aug 2017Essential[110]37%39%9%8%7%46%54%
8 Aug 2017Essential[111]37%39%9%8%7%46%54%
3–6 Aug 2017Newspoll[112]36%36%11%8%9%47%53%
1 Aug 2017Essential[113]38%36%10%8%8%48%52%
25 Jul 2017Essential[114]38%37%10%7%8%47%53%
20–24 Jul 2017YouGov[115]36%33%10%8%13%50%50%
20–23 Jul 2017Newspoll[116]36%37%9%9%9%47%53%
19 Jul 2017ReachTEL[117]37.2%35.1%8.8%11.7%7.2%49%51%
18 Jul 2017Essential[118]36%38%10%7%9%46%54%
6–11 Jul 2017YouGov[119]36%33%12%7%12%52%48%
6–9 Jul 2017Newspoll[120]35%36%10%11%8%47%53%
29 June 2017ReachTEL[121]36.4%35.4%10.2%9.6%8.3%48%52%
22–27 Jun 2017YouGov[122]33%34%12%7%14%49%51%
15–18 Jun 2017Newspoll[123]36%37%9%11%7%47%53%
14 June 2017Essential[124]38%36%10%8%8%48%52%
26–29 May 2017Newspoll[125]36%36%10%9%9%47%53%
23 May 2017Essential[126]37%38%10%6%9%46%54%
12–15 May 2017Newspoll[127]36%36%10%9%9%47%53%
11 May 2017ReachTEL[128]38%34.1%10.9%11%6%47%53%
10–11 May 2017Ipsos[129]37%35%13%2%13%47%53%
26–30 Apr 2017Essential[130]38%37%9%7%9%47%53%
20–23 Apr 2017Newspoll[131]36%35%9%10%10%48%52%
13–16 Apr 2017Essential[132]36%37%10%8%10%46%54%
6–9 Apr 2017Essential[133]37%36%10%8%9%47%53%
1–4 Apr 2017Essential[134]37%36%10%8%9%47%53%
30 Mar – 2 Apr 2017Newspoll[135]36%36%10%10%8%47%53%
24–27 Mar 2017Essential[136]35%37%10%8%11%46%54%
22–25 Mar 2017Ipsos[137][138]33%34%16%2%15%45%55%
17–20 Mar 2017Essential[139]34%37%9%10%9%45%55%
16–19 Mar 2017Newspoll[140]37%35%9%10%9%48%52%
10–13 Mar 2017Essential[141]35%36%9%11%9%47%53%
3–6 Mar 2017Essential[142]37%37%9%9%8%47%53%
23–26 Feb 2017Newspoll[143]34%37%10%10%9%45%55%
16–19 Feb 2017Essential[144]36%34%10%10%10%48%52%
9–12 Feb 2017Essential[145]36%35%9%10%9%48%52%
2–5 Feb 2017Newspoll[146]35%36%10%8%11%46%54%
20–23 Jan 2017Essential[147]35%37%10%9%8%46%54%
13–16 Jan 2017Essential[148]38%37%9%8%8%47%53%
12 Jan 2017ReachTEL[149]37.1%35.0%9.8%10.6%7.5%46%54%
9–12 Dec 2016Essential[150]37%37%9%7%9%47%53%
1–4 Dec 2016Newspoll[151]39%36%10%5%10%48%52%
25–28 Nov 2016Essential[152] 39% 36% 9% 7% 9% 49%51%
24–26 Nov 2016Ipsos[153]36%30%16%7%9%49%51%
17–20 Nov 2016Newspoll[154]38%38%10%4%10%47%53%
11–14 Nov 2016Essential[155] 37% 37% 11% 6% 9% 47%53%
3–6 Nov 2016Newspoll[156]39%38%10%13%47%53%
20–23 Oct 2016Newspoll[157]39%37%10%5%9%48%52%
14–17 Oct 2016Essential[158] 37% 37% 11% 5% 9% 47%53%
7–10 Oct 2016Essential[159] 38% 36% 10% 6% 10% 48%52%
6–9 Oct 2016Newspoll[160]39%36%10%6%9%48%52%
22–25 Sep 2016Newspoll[161]38%37%10%15%48%52%
9–12 Sep 2016Essential[162]38%37%10%5%11%48%52%
8–11 Sep 2016Newspoll[163]41%36%9%14%50%50%
26–29 Aug 2016Essential[164] 40% 37% 10% 13% 49%51%
25–28 Aug 2016Newspoll[165]41%36%9%14%50%50%
19–22 Aug 2016Essential[166] 39% 36% 10% 15% 49%51%
12–15 Aug 2016Essential[167] 39% 37% 10% 14% 48%52%
5–8 Aug 2016Essential[168] 40% 37% 10% 13% 48%52%
27 Jul – 1 Aug 2016Essential[169] 39% 37% 10% 14% 48%52%
20–24 Jul 2016Essential[170] 39% 37% 10% 14% 48%52%
13–17 Jul 2016Essential[171] 39% 36% 10% 15% 49%51%
6–10 Jul 2016Essential[172] 41% 36% 10% 13% 49%51%
30 Jun – 3 Jul 2016Essential[173] 41% 37% 10% 12% 50% 50%
2 July 2016 election42.0%34.7%10.2%1.3%11.8%50.4%49.6%
28 Jun – 1 Jul 2016Newspoll[174]42%35%10%13%50.5%49.5%
30 Jun 2016ReachTEL[175]42.8%34.6%10.7%12%51%49%
27–30 Jun 2016Essential[176]42.5%34.5%11.5%12%50.5%49.5%
28–29 Jun 2016Galaxy[177]43%36%10%11%51%49%
26–29 Jun 2016Ipsos[178]40%33%13%14%50%50%
{{-}}
1. ^{{cite web |last1=Benson |first1=Simon |title=Newspoll: Coalition within striking distance |url=https://https://www.theaustralian.com.au/nation/newspoll |website=The Australian |accessdate=7 April 2019}}
2. ^{{cite web |last1=Crowe |first1=David |title=Ipsos poll: 53-47 result puts Morrison government on course for major election defeat |url=https://www.smh.com.au/politics/federal/ipsos-poll-53-47-result-puts-morrison-government-on-course-for-major-election-defeat-20190407-p51bpq.html |website=The Sydney Morning Herald |accessdate=7 April 2019 |language=en |date=7 April 2019}}
3. ^{{cite web |title=#Galaxy Poll Federal Primary Votes: L/NP 33 ALP 34 GRN 9 ON 8 UAP 3 CON 2 Other 3 Don't Know 8 #auspol |url=https://twitter.com/GhostWhoVotes/status/1114283544069562369 |website=@GhostWhoVotes |accessdate=5 April 2019 |language=en |date=5 April 2019}}
4. ^{{cite news |last1=Murphy |first1=Katharine |title=Coalition trails but Labor's vote softens slightly in NSW – Guardian Essential poll |url=https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/2019/mar/26/coalition-trails-but-labors-vote-softens-slightly-in-nsw-guardian-essential-poll |accessdate=26 March 2019 |work=The Guardian |date=25 March 2019}}
5. ^https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/2019/mar/12/labor-comfortably-ahead-of-coalition-in-guardian-essential-poll
6. ^{{cite web |last1=Benson |first1=Simon |title=Newspoll: Coalition notches up 50th consecutive loss |url=https://www.theaustralian.com.au/national-affairs/newspoll-coalition-notches-up-50th-consecutive-loss/news-story/8f6a779bb1f5fa5939caf7bda8106a8b |website=The Australian |accessdate=10 March 2019}}
7. ^{{cite web|title=The Essential Report|url=https://www.essentialvision.com.au/wp-content/uploads/2019/02/Essential-Report-250219-D1.pdf|date=26 February 2019}}
8. ^{{cite web |last1=Benson |first1=Simon |title=Newspoll: Boat battle fails to lift polls for Coalition |url=https://www.theaustralian.com.au/national-affairs/newspoll-boat-battle-fails-to-lift-polls-for-coalition/news-story/581288bd3a5c12eabdddcd66fcef52c8 |website=The Australian |accessdate=24 February 2019}}
9. ^{{cite web |last1=Crowe |first1=David |title=Ipsos poll: Support for Labor falls after clash over refugees and border security |url=https://www.smh.com.au/politics/federal/ipsos-poll-support-for-labor-falls-after-clash-over-refugees-and-border-security-20190217-p50ycu.html |website=The Sydney Morning Herald |accessdate=20 February 2019 |language=en |date=17 February 2019}}
10. ^{{cite web|title=The Essential Report|url=https://www.essentialvision.com.au/wp-content/uploads/2019/02/Essential-Report-110219-D1.pdf|date=4 February 2019}}
11. ^{{cite web|title=Newspoll: Coalition steadies but loss looms|url=https://www.theaustralian.com.au/national-affairs/newspoll-coalition-staring-at-bruising-poll-defeat/news-story/be027b742362f8cd3705f91c336b3718|date=11 February 2019}}
12. ^{{cite web|title=The Essential Report|url=https://www.essentialvision.com.au/wp-content/uploads/2019/02/Essential-Report-290119-D1.pdf|date=4 February 2019}}
13. ^{{cite web |title=Newspoll: Coalition ends year with poll slump|url=https://www.theaustralian.com.au/national-affairs/newspoll-coalition-ends-year-with-poll-slump/news-story/b7ea62ddbfd298bbfeb05ea8daa8c308|website=the Australian|language=en}}
14. ^{{cite web|title=The Essential Report|url=https://www.essentialvision.com.au/wp-content/uploads/2019/01/Essential-Report-140119.pdf|date=14 January 2019}}
15. ^{{cite web|title=The Essential Report|url=https://www.essentialvision.com.au/wp-content/uploads/2018/12/Essential-Report-181218.pdf|date=18 December 2018}}
16. ^{{cite web |title=Ipsos poll: Australians not convinced by Labor's flagship negative gearing reforms|url=https://www.smh.com.au/politics/federal/ipsos-poll-australians-not-convinced-by-labor-s-flagship-negative-gearing-reforms-20181216-p50mjn.html|website=The Sydney Morning Herald|language=en}}
17. ^{{cite web |title=Newspoll: Coalition ends year with poll slump|url=https://www.theaustralian.com.au/national-affairs/newspoll-coalition-ends-year-with-poll-slump/news-story/b7ea62ddbfd298bbfeb05ea8daa8c308|website=the Australian|language=en}}
18. ^{{cite web|title=The Essential Report|url=https://www.essentialvision.com.au/wp-content/uploads/2018/12/Essential-Report-041218.pdf|date=4 December 2018}}
19. ^{{cite web |title=Newspoll: Coalition slides but Scott Morrison gains popularity|url=https://www.theaustralian.com.au/national-affairs/newspoll-coalition-slides-but-scott-morrison-gains-popularity/news-story/1972b14dd892a090650e94f93d38fc02|website=the Australian|accessdate=25 November 2018 |language=en}}
20. ^{{cite web|title=The Essential Report|url=https://www.essentialvision.com.au/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/Essential-Report-201118.pdf|date=20 November 2018}}
21. ^{{cite web |title=Fairfax-Ipsos poll: Voters want cuts to power prices and carbon emissions |url=https://www.afr.com/news/voters-put-price-before-emissions-but-not-by-a-lot-20181118-h180uh |website=Financial Review |accessdate=18 November 2018 |date=18 November 2018}}
22. ^{{cite web |last1=Benson |first1=Simon |title=Coalition and PM continue to slide down slippery poll |url=https://www.theaustralian.com.au/news/nation/coalition-and-pm-continue-to-slide-down-slippery-poll/news-story/9e6e3c8cd42f6f1a8db2ee227301e828 |website=The Australian |accessdate=11 November 2018 |date= |language=en}}
23. ^{{cite web|title=The Essential Report|url=https://www.essentialvision.com.au/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/Essential-Report-061118.pdf|date=6 November 2018}}
24. ^{{cite web |last1=Benson |first1=Simon |title=Newspoll: Scott Morrison takes significant personal hit in wake of Wentworth by-election |url=https://www.theaustralian.com.au/national-affairs/newspoll-scott-morrison-takes-significant-personal-hit-in-wake-of-wentworth-byelection/news-story/bb4ba993cebe589c497a49003b384d54?nk=8cda7c7c17126dd58856ca055576a5f7-1540722859 |website=The Australian |accessdate=28 October 2018}}
25. ^{{cite web|title=The Guardian Essential Report, 23 October results|url=https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/ng-interactive/2018/oct/23/the-guardian-essential-report-23-october-results|date=23 October 2018}}
26. ^{{cite web |title=Scott Morrison takes fight to Bill Shorten |url=https://www.theaustralian.com.au/national-affairs/newspoll-scott-morrison-takes-fight-to-bill-shorten/news-story/6dfa1063c4a1c070178de4147d980210 |website=The Australian |date=14 October 2018}}
27. ^{{cite web |title=Latest Fairfax-Ipsos polls puts Labor ahead of Coalition 55:45 |url=https://www.afr.com/news/fairfaxipsos-labor-leads-coalition-5545-20181013-h16ly6 |website=Financial Review |date=14 October 2018}}
28. ^{{cite web|title=The Guardian Essential Report, 8 October results|url=https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/ng-interactive/2018/oct/09/the-guardian-essential-report-8-october-results|date=8 October 2018}}
29. ^{{cite web|title=The Guardian Essential Report, 25 September results|url=https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/ng-interactive/2018/sep/25/the-guardian-essential-report-25-september-results|date=25 September 2018}}
30. ^{{cite web|title=First sign of electoral recovery as Scott Morrison cements lead|url=https://www.theaustralian.com.au/national-affairs/first-sign-of-electoral-recovery-as-scott-morrison-cements-lead/news-story/19caffb178b7d38d7482e8f6d98b679c|date=24 September 2018}}
31. ^{{cite web|title=Fairfax-Ipsos poll: Scott Morrison ahead of Bill Shorten on leadership qualities but lags behind Malcolm Turnbull|url=https://www.theage.com.au/politics/federal/fairfax-ipsos-poll-scott-morrison-ahead-of-bill-shorten-on-leadership-qualities-but-lags-behind-malcolm-turnbull-20180916-p5044t.html|date=16 September 2018}}
32. ^{{cite web|title=Federal voting intention|url=http://www.essentialvision.com.au/federal-voting-intention-114|date=11 September 2018}}
33. ^{{cite web|title=Coalition faces election wipeout with 40th straight loss|url=https://www.theaustralian.com.au/national-affairs/newspoll-coalition-faces-election-wipeout-with-40th-straight-loss/news-story/6af0bb063357212982062540914ac9ab|date=9 September 2018}}
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35. ^{{cite web|title=The Essential Report|url=http://www.essentialvision.com.au/wp-content/uploads/2018/08/Essential-Report-280818.pdf|date=28 Aug 2018}}
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146. ^{{cite news |title=Newspoll: Hanson on the rise as Coalition support dives |url=http://www.theaustralian.com.au/national-affairs/newspoll-hanson-on-the-rise-as-coalition-support-dives/news-story/7e0b701bfa1fcd912a3ef44dd1fa1b37|publisher=The Australian|date=6 February 2017 |accessdate=6 February 2017}}
147. ^{{cite web|url=http://www.essentialvision.com.au/wp-content/uploads/2017/01/Essential-Report_170124.pdf|title=The Essential Report|website=Essential Vision| format=PDF|date=24 January 2017|accessdate=24 January 2017}}
148. ^{{cite web|url=http://www.essentialvision.com.au/wp-content/uploads/2017/01/Essential-Report_170117.pdf|title=The Essential Report|website=Essential Vision| format=PDF|date=17 January 2017|accessdate=17 January 2017}}
149. ^{{cite news|url=http://www.news.com.au/national/politics/centrelink-and-sussan-ley-controversy-hit-turnbull-in-polls/news-story/824de9a4531a681782dfccb8ae8f4cef|title=Centrelink and Sussan Ley controversy hit Turnbull in polls|date=16 January 2017 |agency=AAP}}
150. ^{{cite report|url=http://www.essentialvision.com.au/wp-content/uploads/2016/12/Essential-Report_161213.pdf|title=Essential Report|date=13 December 2016 |accessdate=14 December 2016}}
151. ^{{cite news |title=Newspoll: fix economy say voters as PM support falls to lowest level |url=http://www.theaustralian.com.au/national-affairs/newspoll-fix-economy-say-voters-as-pm-support-falls-to-lowest-level/news-story/12f2659c283aff92940fff5525b8f04d|publisher=The Australian|date=5 December 2016 |accessdate=6 December 2016}}
152. ^{{cite web|url=http://www.essentialvision.com.au/wp-content/uploads/2016/11/Essential-Report_161129.pdf|title=The Essential Report|website=Essential Vision| format=PDF|date=29 November 2016|accessdate=29 November 2016}}
153. ^{{cite news |title=Crashing to zero: Malcolm Turnbull's support evaporates in Fairfax-Ipsos poll |url=http://www.theage.com.au/federal-politics/political-news/crashing-to-zero-malcolm-turnbulls-support-evaporates-in-fairfaxipsos-poll-20161127-gsykvw.html|publisher=The Age|date=27 November 2016|author=Mark Kenny}}
154. ^{{cite news |title=Newspoll: Another Labor win as Turnbull loses his economic touch |url=http://www.theaustralian.com.au/national-affairs/newspoll/newspoll-another-labor-win-as-turnbull-loses-his-economic-touch/news-story/c587b4df4a3f655feb96eeecffa3a0a2|publisher=The Australian|date=21 November 2016 |accessdate=22 November 2016}}
155. ^{{cite web|url=http://www.essentialvision.com.au/wp-content/uploads/2016/11/Essential-Report_161115.pdf|title=The Essential Report|website=Essential Vision| format=PDF|date=15 November 2016|accessdate=21 November 2016}}
156. ^{{cite news |title=Newspoll: Labor vote highest since Turnbull became PM |url=http://www.theaustralian.com.au/national-affairs/newspoll/newspoll-labor-vote-highest-since-turnbull-became-pm/news-story/06bad63df71b3b54043b8c5a21f7e6a1|publisher=The Australian|date=8 November 2016 |accessdate=8 November 2016}}
157. ^{{cite news |title=Turnbull hits lowest rating as Labor maintains lead, says Newspoll |url=http://www.theaustralian.com.au/national-affairs/newspoll/turnbull-hits-lowest-rating-as-labor-maintains-lead-says-newspoll/news-story/597f0c5e467b37f7f81269ac11f1e6cf|publisher=The Australian|date=24 October 2016 |accessdate=25 October 2016}}
158. ^{{cite web|url=http://www.essentialvision.com.au/wp-content/uploads/2016/10/Essential-Report_161018_FINAL.pdf|title=The Essential Report|website=Essential Vision| format=PDF|date=18 October 2016|accessdate=18 October 2016}}
159. ^{{cite web|url=http://www.essentialvision.com.au/wp-content/uploads/2016/10/Essential-Report_161018_FINAL.pdf|title=The Essential Report|website=Essential Vision| format=PDF|date=11 October 2016|accessdate=11 October 2016}}
160. ^{{cite news |title=Newspoll: Labor still leading, 100 days since election |url=http://www.theaustralian.com.au/national-affairs/newspoll-labor-still-leading-100-days-since-election/news-story/4e5bfd043153de2dfbfb877c822909d2|publisher=The Australian|date=9 October 2016 |accessdate=10 October 2016}}
161. ^{{cite news |title=Newspoll: biggest lead for Labor in Malcolm Turnbull era |url=http://www.theaustralian.com.au/national-affairs/newspoll/newspoll-biggest-lead-for-labor-in-malcolm-turnbull-era/news-story/f5db2c0c9a4f3362e9060f035fdaac22|publisher=The Australian|date=27 September 2016 |accessdate=26 September 2016}}
162. ^{{cite web|title=The Essential Report 13 September 2016|url=http://www.essentialvision.com.au/wp-content/uploads/2016/09/Essential-Report_160913.pdf|website=Essential Vision|publisher=Essential Research|accessdate=14 September 2016}}
163. ^{{cite web|url=http://www.theaustralian.com.au/national-affairs/newspoll/newspoll-turnbull-trails-shorten-with-coalition-and-alp-in-tie/news-story/30cf1b393b8511a89152e71a718235f9 |title=Newspoll: Turnbull trails Shorten with Coalition and ALP in tie |publisher=The Australian |date=12 September 2016 |accessdate=2016-09-13}}
164. ^{{cite web|url=http://www.essentialvision.com.au/wp-content/uploads/2016/08/Essential-Report_160830.pdf |title=The Essential Report |format=PDF |date=30 August 2016 |accessdate=2016-08-31}}
165. ^{{cite web|url=http://www.theaustralian.com.au/national-affairs/newspoll/newspoll-malcolm-turnbull-in-plunge-to-new-low/news-story/69066af7603eeaad7442a7383bd34fa8 |title=Newspoll: Malcolm Turnbull in plunge to new low |publisher=The Australian |date=30 August 2016 |accessdate=2016-08-30}}
166. ^{{cite web|url=https://crikey-uploads.s3.amazonaws.com/blogs.dir/6/files/2016/08/Essential-Report_160823.pdf |title=The Essential Report |format=PDF |date=23 August 2016 |accessdate=2016-08-31}}
167. ^{{cite web|url=http://www.essentialvision.com.au/wp-content/uploads/2016/08/Essential-Report_160816.pdf |title=The Essential Report |format=PDF |date=16 August 2016 |accessdate=2016-08-18}}
168. ^{{cite web|url=http://www.essentialvision.com.au/wp-content/uploads/2016/08/Essential-Report_160809.pdf |title=The Essential Report |format=PDF |date=9 August 2016 |accessdate=2016-08-11}}
169. ^{{cite web|url=http://www.essentialvision.com.au/wp-content/uploads/2016/08/Essential-Report_160802.pdf |title=Essential: 2 August 2016 |format=PDF |date=2 August 2016 |accessdate=2016-08-11}}
170. ^{{cite web|url=http://www.essentialvision.com.au/wp-content/uploads/2016/07/Essential-Report_160726.pdf |title=The Essential Report |format=PDF |date= |accessdate=2016-08-11}}
171. ^{{cite web|url=http://www.essentialvision.com.au/wp-content/uploads/2016/07/Essential-Report_160719.pdf |title=The Essential Report |format=PDF |date= |accessdate=2016-08-11}}
172. ^{{cite web|url=https://crikey-uploads.s3.amazonaws.com/blogs.dir/6/files/2016/07/Essential-Report_160712.pdf |title=The Essential Report |format=PDF |date= |accessdate=2016-08-11}}
173. ^{{cite web|url=http://www.essentialvision.com.au/wp-content/uploads/2016/07/Essential-Report_160705.pdf |title=The Essential Report |format=PDF |date= |accessdate=2016-08-11}}
174. ^{{cite web|url=http://www.theaustralian.com.au/federal-election-2016/federal-election-2016-turnbull-clings-to-narrow-lead/news-story/ec670a4d0b0e5643bfeb868266061734 |title=Turnbull clings to narrow lead |publisher=The Australian |date=2 July 2016 |accessdate=2016-08-11}}
175. ^{{cite web|url=https://www.reachtel.com.au/blog/7-news-national-poll-30june16 |title=1 July 2016 ReachTEL |publisher=Reachtel.com.au |date=1 July 2016 |accessdate=2016-08-11}}
176. ^{{cite web|url=http://www.essentialvision.com.au/wp-content/uploads/2016/07/Essential-Report_160701.pdf |title=The Essential Report |format=PDF |date=1 July 2016 |accessdate=2016-08-11}}
177. ^{{cite web|url=https://blogs.crikey.com.au/pollbludger/2016/06/30/fairfax-ipsos-50-50-3/|title=Fairfax-Ipsos: 50-50; Galaxy: 51-49 to Coalition – The Poll Bludger|date=30 June 2016|language=en-US|access-date=2016-06-30}}
178. ^{{cite web|url=http://www.theage.com.au/federal-politics/federal-election-2016/fairfaxipsos-poll-dead-heat-on-election-eve-20160630-gpvmom.html|title=Fairfax-Ipsos poll: Dead heat on election eve as final poll points to cliffhanger|date=30 June 2016|website=theage.com.au|access-date=2016-06-30}}
179. ^[https://www.ipsos.com/en-au/budget-well-received-no-bounce-morrison Budget well received, but no bounce for Morrison]
180. ^{{cite web|title=Rise in support for both Turnbull and Coalition |url=https://www.ipsos.com/en-au/rise-support-both-turnbull-and-coalition|date=25 July 2018}}
181. ^{{cite web|title=Newspoll|url=https://www.theaustralian.com.au/national-affairs/newspoll-malcolm-turnbull-leaves-bill-shorten-in-the-dust/news-story/7a3b6110427fa43d00597bf7f04bd49c|date=16 July 2018}}
182. ^{{cite web|title=The Guardian Essential Report|url=https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/ng-interactive/2018/may/08/the-guardian-essential-report-8-may-results|work=The Guardian|accessdate=10 May 2018}}
183. ^{{cite web|last1=Bowe|first1=William|title=Newspoll: 55-45 to Labor|url=https://blogs.crikey.com.au/pollbludger/2017/02/26/newspoll-55-45-to-labor-4/|website=Crikey|publisher=Crikey|accessdate=26 February 2017}}
184. ^{{cite web|url=http://www.essentialvision.com.au/wp-content/uploads/2016/06/Essential-Report_160628.pdf |title=Essential: 28 June 2016 |format=PDF |date=28 June 2016 |accessdate=11 August 2016}}

Preferred prime minister, and satisfaction

Leadership polling
Date FirmPreferred prime ministerMorrisonShorten
Morrison Shorten Satisfied Dissatisfied Satisfied Dissatisfied
3–6 Apr 2019Ipsos[179]46% 35%48%39%36%51%
17 Feb 2019Ipsos48% 38%49%40%40%52%
7–10 Feb 2019Newspoll44% 35%43%45%36%51%
13–15 Dec 2018Ipsos[16]46% 37%47%39%41%50%
8–11 Nov 2018Newspoll[22]42% 36%39%47%35%50%
25–28 Oct 2018Newspoll[24]43% 35%41%44%37%50%
19–21 Oct 2018Essential[25]42% 27%43%28%33%28%
22–24 Sep 2018Essential[29]39% 27%37%31%35%31%
20–23 Sep 2018Newspoll[30]45% 32%44%39%32%54%
8–10 Sep 2018Essential[32]39% 27%37%31%35%43%
6–9 Sep 2018Newspoll[33]42% 36%41%39%37%51%
24–25 Aug 2018Newspoll[36] 33%39%
24 Aug 2018Scott Morrison replaces Malcolm Turnbull as Liberal leader
Turnbull ShortenTurnbullShorten
9–12 Aug 2018Newspoll[38]44% 32%36%55%32%56%
26–29 Jul 2018Newspoll[40]48% 29%42%48%32%57%
18–21 Jul 2018Ipsos[180]57% 30%55%38%38%54%
16 July 2018Newspoll[181]48% 29%39%50%33%55%
10–13 May 2018Newspoll[53]46% 32%41%49%32%56%
3–6 May 2018Essential[182]40% 26%40%42%37%41%
4–6 Mar 2018Essential[130]37% 35%----
26–30 Apr 2017Essential[130]45% 31%35%47%33%47%
20–23 Apr 2017Newspoll[131]42% 33%32%57%33%53%
30 Mar – 2 April 2017Newspoll[135]41% 32%30%59%32%54%
22–25 Mar 2017Ipsos[137]45% 33%----
17–20 Mar 2017Essential[139]43% 29%----
16–19 Mar 2017Newspoll[140]43% 29%30%57%29%57%
10–13 Mar 2017Essential[141]38% 26%33%50%30%49%
23–26 Feb 2017Newspoll[183]40% 33%29%59%30%56%
2–5 Feb 2017Newspoll[146]42% 30%35%54%32%54%
1–4 Dec 2016Newspoll[151]41% 32%32%55%34%51%
24–26 Nov 2016Ipsos[153]51% 30%45%45%37%53%
17–20 Nov 2016Newspoll[154]43% 33%34%54%36%51%
3–6 Nov 2016Newspoll[156]42% 32%30%58%36%51%
20–23 Oct 2016Newspoll[157]42% 32%29%57%36%51%
6–9 Oct 2016Newspoll[160]45% 30%31%56%35%51%
9–12 Sep 2016Essential[162]41% 26%35%43%36%41%
8–11 Sep 2016Newspoll[163]43% 31%34%53%35%52%
25–28 Aug 2016Newspoll[165]43% 32%34%52%36%50%
5–8 Aug 2016Essential[168]40% 30%38%43%37%41%
6–10 Jul 2016Essential[172]39% 31%37%48%39%41%
2 July 2016 election
28 Jun – 1 July 2016Newspoll[174]48% 31%40%47%36%51%
30 June 2016ReachTEL[175]52.9% 47.1%----
26–29 Jun 2016Ipsos[178]49% 35%49%41%42%50%
23–26 Jun 2016Essential[184]40% 29%40%40%37%39%
^ Remainder were "uncommitted" to either leader.
{{-}}

See also

  • 2019 Australian federal election
  • Electorate opinion polling for the Australian federal election, 2019

References

{{reflist|colwidth=30em}}{{2019 Australian federal election}}

3 : 2019 Australian federal election|Opinion polling in Australia|Opinion polling for future elections

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