| 词条 | 2004 United States presidential election in Wisconsin | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 释义 |
| election_name = United States presidential election in Wisconsin, 2004 | country = Wisconsin | type = presidential | ongoing = no | previous_election = United States presidential election in Wisconsin, 2000 | previous_year = 2000 | next_election = United States presidential election in Wisconsin, 2008 | next_year = 2008 | election_date = November 2, 2004 | image1 = | nominee1 = John Kerry | party1 = Democratic Party (United States) | home_state1 = Massachusetts | running_mate1 = John Edwards | electoral_vote1 = 10 | popular_vote1 = 1,489,504 | percentage1 = 49.70% | image2 = | nominee2 = George W. Bush | party2 = Republican Party (United States) | home_state2 = Texas | running_mate2 = Dick Cheney | electoral_vote2 = 0 | popular_vote2 = 1,478,120 | percentage2 = 49.32% | map_image = WisconsinPresidentialElection2004.svg | map_size = 310px | map_caption = County Results{{col-start}}{{col-2}}Kerry{{legend|#b9d7ff|40-50%}}{{legend|#86b6f2|50-60%}}{{legend|#4389e3|60-70%}}{{legend|#0645B4|80-90%}}{{col-2}}Bush{{legend|#f2b3be|40-50%}}{{legend|#e27f90|50-60%}}{{legend|#cc2f4a|60-70%}}{{col-end}} | title = President | before_election = George W. Bush | before_party = Republican Party (United States) | after_election = George W. Bush | after_party = Republican Party (United States) }} The 2004 United States presidential election in Wisconsin took place on November 2, 2004, and was part of the 2004 United States presidential election. Voters chose 10 representatives, or electors to the Electoral College, who voted for president and vice president. Wisconsin was won by Democratic nominee John Kerry by a 0.4% margin of victory. Prior to the election, most news organizations considered this a toss-up, or swing state. The state had similar demographics and was a showdown state just like its bordering states: Michigan, Minnesota, and Iowa. On election day, Senator Kerry barely carried the state over President George W. Bush. The results were nearly identical to the 2000 election, when Al Gore squeaked by Bush. As of the 2016 Presidential Election, this would be the most recent time when Wisconsin did not back the overall winning candidate of the Electoral College. Additionally, this was only the third time since 1960 (the other years occurring four years earlier in 2000, along with 1988) it would vote for the losing candidate. Primaries
CampaignPredictions{{ElectionsWI}}There were 12 news organizations who made state-by-state predictions of the election. Here are their last predictions before election day.[1]
PollingPre-election polling had Bush and Kerry winning polls, with neither candidate grasping a strong lead. The last 3 poll average showed Bush leading 49% to 46%.[2] FundraisingBush raised $1,993,040.[3] Kerry raised $1,130,602.[4] Advertising and visitsBush visited the state 12 times. Kerry visited the state 14 times.[5] A total of between $1.3 million to $3.6 million was spent each week.[6] AnalysisWisconsin has voted for the Democratic presidential nominee in the last four elections before the sixth time in 2004. The urban centers of Milwaukee and Madison tend to vote strongly Democratic. The suburbs of those cities are politically diverse, but tend to vote Republican. Counties in the western part of the state tend to be liberal, a tradition passed down from Scandinavian immigrants. The rural areas in the northern and eastern part of the state are the most solidly Republican areas in Wisconsin.{{Citation needed|date=October 2008}} The CNN exit polls showed a dead heat between the two. However, the deciding factor for Kerry's victory was union members who voted for him with 62%, while non-members (83% of the population) voted for Bush with just 52% of the vote.[7] Results
Results breakdownBy county
By congressional districtBush and Kerry each won four congressional districts.[8]
Electors{{Main|List of United States presidential electors, 2004}}Technically the voters of Wisconsin cast their ballots for electors: representatives to the Electoral College. Wisconsin is allocated 10 electors because it has 8 congressional districts and 2 senators. All candidates who appear on the ballot or qualify to receive write-in votes must submit a list of 10 electors, who pledge to vote for their candidate and his or her running mate. Whoever wins the majority of votes in the state is awarded all 10 electoral votes. Their chosen electors then vote for president and vice president. Although electors are pledged to their candidate and running mate, they are not obligated to vote for them. An elector who votes for someone other than his or her candidate is known as a faithless elector. The electors of each state and the District of Columbia met on December 13, 2004, to cast their votes for president and vice president. The Electoral College itself never meets as one body. Instead the electors from each state and the District of Columbia met in their respective capitols. The following were the members of the Electoral College from the state. All 10 were pledged for Kerry/Edwards.
References1. ^http://www.dcpoliticalreport.com/members/2004/Pred2.htm#NW{{dead link|date=July 2016 |bot=InternetArchiveBot |fix-attempted=yes }} 2. ^http://uselectionatlas.org/USPRESIDENT/GENERAL/CAMPAIGN/2004/polls.php?fips=55 3. ^George W Bush - $374,659,453 raised, '04 election cycle, Republican Party, President 4. ^John F Kerry - $345,826,176 raised, '04 election cycle, Democratic Party, President 5. ^CNN.com Specials 6. ^CNN.com Specials 7. ^CNN.com Election 2004 8. ^Swing State Project: Presidential Results by Congressional District, 2000-2008 See also{{State Results of the 2004 U.S. presidential election}}{{United States presidential election, 2004}} 3 : 2004 United States presidential election by state|United States presidential elections in Wisconsin|2004 Wisconsin elections |
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