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词条 Bruce Bueno de Mesquita
释义

  1. Biography

  2. Publications

  3. Family

  4. References

  5. External links

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Bruce Bueno de Mesquita ({{IPAc-en|m|ə|ˈ|s|k|iː|t|ə}}; born November 24, 1946) is a political scientist, professor at New York University, and senior fellow at Stanford University's Hoover Institution.

Biography

Bueno de Mesquita graduated from Stuyvesant High School in 1963, earned his BA degree from Queens College, New York in 1967 and then his MA and PhD from the University of Michigan. He specializes in international relations, foreign policy, and nation building. He is one of the authors of the selectorate theory, and is also the director of New York University's Alexander Hamilton Center for Political Economy.{{citation needed|date=June 2015}}

He has founded a company, Mesquita & Roundell,[1] that specializes in making political and foreign-policy forecasts. Bueno de Mesquita is discussed in an August 16, 2009 Sunday New York Times Magazine article entitled "Can Game Theory Predict When Iran Will Get the Bomb?'"[2] In December 2008 he was also the subject of a History Channel two-hour special entitled "The Next Nostradamus".

Publications

  • {{cite book|title=The War Trap|year=1981|pages=226|publisher=Yale University Press|location=New Haven|isbn=0-300-03091-6}}
  • Forecasting Political Events: The Future of Hong Kong (with David Newman and Alvin Rabushka). New Haven: Yale University Press, 1985. {{ISBN|9780300042795}} {{OCLC|11970890}}
  • Predicting Politics. Columbus, OH: Ohio State University Press, 2002. {{ISBN|9780814259849}} {{OCLC|804351067}}
  • {{cite book|title=The Logic of Political Survival|year=2003|pages=480|publisher=MIT Press|location=Cambridge|isbn=0-262-52440-6}} (with Alastair Smith, Randolph M. Siverson, James D. Morrow)
  • {{cite book|title=The Strategy of Campaigning: Lessons from Ronald Reagan and Boris Yeltsin|url=http://www.press.umich.edu/titleDetailDesc.do?id=93352|year=2007|pages=356|publisher=University of Michigan Press|location=Ann Arbor|isbn=978-0-472-03319-5}} (with Kiron K. Skinner, Serhiy Kudelia, Condoleezza Rice)
  • {{cite book|title=The Predictioneer's Game: Using the Logic of Brazen Self-Interest to See and Shape the Future|year=2009|pages=272|publisher=Random House|isbn=1-4000-6787-1|oclc=290470064}}
  • {{cite book|title=Why Bad Behavior is Almost Always Good Politics|year=2011|pages=272|publisher=Random House|isbn=9781610390446|oclc=701015473}}
  • {{cite book|title=Greed, Power, and the Conflicts That Made Or Greatest Presidents"|year=2016|pages=291|publisher=PublicAffairs|isbn=9781610396622}}

Family

Bueno de Mesquita has three children and six grandchildren. His son, Ethan Bueno de Mesquita, is a political scientist working at the Harris School of Public Policy at the University of Chicago.

References

1. ^{{cite web|last=Rehmeyer|first=Julie|title=Mathematical Fortune-Telling |url=http://www.sciencenews.org/view/generic/id/9041/title/Math_Trek__Mathematical_Fortune-Telling|work=ScienceNews|accessdate=May 12, 2011}}
2. ^{{cite news|last=Thompson|first=Clive|title=Can Game Theory Predict When Iran Will Get the Bomb?|url=https://www.nytimes.com/2009/08/16/magazine/16Bruce-t.html|accessdate=May 12, 2011|newspaper=New York Times|date=August 12, 2009}}

External links

  • Bruce Bueno de Mesquita's under faculty at NYU
  • Bruce Bueno de Mesquita's biography at Hoover
  • [https://www.npr.org/templates/story/story.php?storyId=120201554 To See The Future, Use The Logic Of Self-Interest] – NPR audio clip
  • {{C-SPAN|brucebuenodemesquita}}
  • {{TED speaker}}
    • {{TED talk|bruce_bueno_de_mesquita_predicts_iran_s_future.html|Bruce Bueno de Mesquita predicts Iran's future}} (TED2009)
  • The New Nostradamus – on the use by Bruce Bueno de Mesquita of rational choice theory in political forecasting
  • Example of Model Applied To Iran’s Nuclear Program
  • {{cite web|last=Roberts|first=Russ|title=Bruce Bueno de Mesquita Podcasts|url=http://www.econtalk.org/archives/_featuring/bruce_bueno_de_mesquita/|work=EconTalk|publisher=Library of Economics and Liberty|authorlink=Russ Roberts}}
  • Compilation of criticisms of Bueno de Mesquita's models
{{Authority control}}{{DEFAULTSORT:Bueno de Mesquita, Bruce}}

9 : Game theorists|Living people|1946 births|American political scientists|Queens College, City University of New York alumni|University of Michigan alumni|Scientists from New York City|Guggenheim Fellows|New York University faculty

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