词条 | Losing streak |
释义 |
In sports, a losing streak or cold streak is an uninterrupted string of contests (whether games, matches, etc.) lost by a team or individual. A losing streak is thus the opposite of a winning streak. A losing streak can last as few as two games, or it may last much longer. Existence and causationMost quantitative studies of winning and losing streaks, and the associated concept of psychological momentum, have failed to find any evidence that "streaks" actually exist, except as a matter of random chance.[1] A team with low ability is more likely to lose frequently, and a team with high ability is more likely to win, but once ability is controlled for, there is no evidence that a "winning" or "losing" streak affects the result of the match.[2] In fact, one study of European association football matches using a Monte Carlo methodology found that once ability was accounted for, a team was actually slightly less likely to win or lose when it had experienced the same result in the previous match.[1] Despite the apparent nonexistence of streaks in quantitative terms, many scholars in the field have pointed to the importance of understanding qualitative, psychological aspects of streaks.[2] A series of losses can have a negative effect on team morale even if it has no direct effect on the outcome of the next game.[3] Studies in sports management suggest that some managers are able to interrupt losing streaks (and prolong winning streaks) through managerial strategies such as changing the lineup or rotation of players.[4] Similarly, effective mental strategies may enable individual athletes to resist the psychological effects of a "losing streak" by staying focused on the task at hand.[5] In team sports, effective strategies for combating negative momentum may include team cohesion activities and increasing the use of positive body language.[6] To the extent that they exist, losing streaks may arise from the loser effect: an increased probability of losing at time T, based on losing at time T−1, T−2, etc. This means that one has a slightly higher probability of losing the next match because one lost the previous one.[7] The outcome of a match does not solely depend on the strength of the opponents, but also on how much effort one or the other is willing to invest. The loser effect rises from the tendency to hold back on the next match after losing. On the other hand, the winner effect encourages the opponent who won the previous match to invest more in the next fight. This phenomenon is well known in the study of animal behavior, where the winner and loser effects help to keep the level of conflicts low in group living animals.[8] Distinction from winless streakA losing streak and a winless streak are distinctively different, as a winless streak may include:
Tie games can also be included in an unbeaten streak, as in soccer. Longest losing streaksList of the longest individual losing streaks of all time in each sport: American football
Association football
Australian rules football
Auto racing
Canadian football
Baseball
Basketball
Cricket
Esports
Hockey
Lacrosse
===Professional wrestling===
Rugby League
Tennis
See also
References1. ^1 {{Cite journal|journal=European Journal of Operational Research|volume=148|year=2003|pages=247–256|title=Persistence in sequences of football match results: A Monte Carlo analysis|first1=Stephen|last1=Dobson|last2=Goddard|first2=John|doi=10.1016/S0377-2217(02)00681-1|ref=harv}} 2. ^1 {{Cite journal|title=A Review of Psychological Momentum in Sports: Why qualitative research is needed|first=Lee|last=Crust|author2=Nesti, Mark |volume=8|issue=1|url=http://www.athleticinsight.com/Vol8Iss1/Momentum.htm|journal=Athletic Insight}} 3. ^{{Cite news|work=Live Science|url=http://www.livescience.com/5120-reality-momentum-sports.html|title=The Reality of Momentum in Sports|date=2008-10-06|first=Dan|last=Peterson}} 4. ^{{Cite book|url=https://books.google.com/books?id=Zc4I59XJ0v0C&pg=PA119|page=119|title=Sports Economics: Current Research|chapter=Streak management|year=1999|isbn=9780275963309|first=Rodney|last=Fort|author2=Rosenman, Robert }} 5. ^{{cite journal|journal=Sports Performance Bulletin|first=Lee|last=Crust|title=Sports psychology: the role of momentum in sports performance|url=http://www.pponline.co.uk/encyc/sports-psychology-the-role-of-momentum-in-sports-performance-42066}} 6. ^{{Cite book|chapter=Momentum in Sport|first=Stewart|last=Cotterill|title=Team Psychology in Sports: Theory and Practice|year=2012|isbn=9780415670579|url=https://books.google.com/books?id=_SM0kXAqTj4C|ref=harv|page=117}} 7. ^{{Cite web|url=http://fightingthesharks.com/winner-loser-effect/|title=Winner and loser effect|work=Fighting the Sharks|accessdate=30 May 2014}} 8. ^{{Cite web|url=http://beheco.oxfordjournals.org/content/early/2014/05/12/beheco.aru078.full|title=Winning, losing, and reaching out|work=Behavioral Ecology|accessdate=30 May 2014}} 9. ^NCAA FBS Records, 2012 10. ^{{cite news|last=Albright|first=Bill|title=Lock Haven Skid at 50 after Last-Second TD|url=http://www.sungazette.com/page/content.detail/id/584805/Lock-Haven-skid-at-50-after-last-second-TD.html?nav=5017|accessdate=3 November 2012}} 11. ^{{Cite web|url=http://www.goearlham.com/sports/fball/2013-14/schedule|title=2013 Earlham Football Schedule|last=|first=|date=|work=Earlham Athletics|archive-url=|archive-date=|dead-url=|accessdate=20 October 2018}} 12. ^{{Cite web|url=http://www.espn.com/college-football/story/_/id/25268382/d-iii-earlham-college-quakers-suspend-football-program-53-straight-losses|title=D-III Earlham College Quakers suspend football program after 53 straight losses|last=|first=|date=|publisher=ESPN.com|archive-url=|archive-date=|dead-url=|accessdate=13 November 2018}} 13. ^http://www.sprintfootball.com/single-post/2016/04/12/Princeton-drops-Sprint-Football 14. ^http://www.semiprofootball.org/minor/records/teamgame.htm 15. ^{{Cite web|url=https://www.bangkokpost.com/news/sports/1343035/finally-a-win-for-super-power|title=Finally a win for Super Power|work=Bangkok Post|date=16 October 2017|accessdate=13 November 2017|archive-url=https://archive.is/20171113161501/https://www.bangkokpost.com/news/sports/1343035/finally-a-win-for-super-power|archive-date=13 November 2017|quote=the victory ended their 27-match losing streak|deadurl=yes|df=}} 16. ^https://www.fourfourtwo.com/features/6-most-disastrous-premier-league-runs-all-time 17. ^ St Kilda also lost 51 consecutive matches in 1896–1899: their last three matches in the VFA and their first 48 matches in the VFL. 18. ^ This was Glenelg's first 56 matches in the SANFL competition. 19. ^[https://web.archive.org/web/20130927063601/http://waflfootyfacts.net/streaks_all_teams.html WAFL Footy Facts: Consecutive Games Lost] 20. ^Death of J.D. McDuffie 21. ^{{cite web|url=https://www.cfl.ca/page/stats_teamrec_streaks|title=Regular Season All-Time Records - CFL.ca - Official Site of the Canadian Football League|work=CFL.ca}} 22. ^1 2 {{Cite web|url=http://www.baseball-almanac.com/recbooks/games_lost_records.shtml|title=Games Lost by Teams Records|work=Baseball Almanac}} 23. ^{{cite web|url=https://www.baseball-reference.com/teams/BAL/1915-schedule-scores.shtml|title=1915 Baltimore Terrapins|work=Baseball-Reference.com}} 24. ^Longest losing streaks in sports history - Cheat Sheet.com 25. ^{{cite news|last=Scherr|first=Rich|title=Towson men's basketball team ends record losing streak|url=http://www.baltimoresun.com/sports/college/basketball/mens/bal-towson-basketball-ends-losing-streak-0128,0,1116047.story|accessdate=28 January 2012|newspaper=The Baltimore Sun|date=28 January 2012}} 26. ^{{cite web|url=http://www.espn.com/womens-college-basketball/story/_/id/22310228/chicago-state-sets-d-women-record-59th-loss-row}} 27. ^{{cite web|title=Caltech ends 26-year league drought|url=https://www.ncaa.com/news/basketball-men/2011-02-23/caltech-ends-26-year-league-drought|work=NCAA.com|accessdate=10 January 2012}} 28. ^{{cite web|title=Inside Schreiner: Women's Basketball|url=http://www.schreiner.edu/inside/mar05/sports.html|work=Inside Schreiner|accessdate=10 January 2012}} 29. ^{{cite news|last=Garcia|first=Marlen|title=Towson's losing streak reaches record proportions|url=https://www.usatoday.com/sports/college/mensbasketball/colonial/story/2012-01-05/towson-losing-streak-basketball/52396886/1|work=USA Today|accessdate=5 January 2012|date=6 January 2012}} 30. ^{{cite web|url=http://www.eutecticsports.com/schedule/1/1.php|title=Saint Louis College of Pharmacy|last=|first=|date=|work=www.eutecticsports.com|archive-url=|archive-date=|dead-url=|access-date=}} 31. ^{{Cite web|url=http://www.dakstats.com/WebSync/Pages/Team/TeamStats.aspx?association=10&sg=MBB&sea=NAIMBB_2017&team=588&tab=2|title=DakStats WebSync|website=www.dakstats.com|access-date=2018-03-12}} 32. ^{{cite news|title=Memorable Losing Streaks|url=http://sportsillustrated.cnn.com/vault/gallery/featured/GAL1163362/15/20/index.htm|work=Sports Illustrated|accessdate=12 January 2012}} 33. ^http://www.rugby-league.com/the_rfl/about_the_rfl/history__heritage/all_time_records 34. ^Suffered a 21-match losing streak which dropped to 237th in the rankings and earned the nickname "the Charlie Brown of tennis". External links
1 : Terminology used in multiple sports |
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