请输入您要查询的百科知识：

　

词条 Opinion polling for the 2008 New Zealand general election
释义

  1. Party vote and key events in the leadup to the 2008 election

     Graphical summary  Individual polls 

  2. Preferred Prime Minister

     Graphical summary  Individual polls 

  3. See also

  4. Notes

  5. References

{{See also|Opinion polling for the 2011 New Zealand general election}}{{Use dmy dates|date=November 2012}}

Opinion polling has been commissioned throughout the duration of the 48th New Zealand Parliament and in the leadup to the 2008 election by various organisations, the main four being Television New Zealand, TV3, The New Zealand Herald and Roy Morgan Research. The sample size, margin of error and confidence interval of each poll varies by organisation and date.

Party vote and key events in the leadup to the 2008 election

Refusals are generally excluded from the party vote percentages, while question wording and the treatment of "don't know" responses and those not intending to vote may vary between survey firms.

Graphical summary

Individual polls

PollDateLabourNationalNZ FirstMāoriGreenACTUnited
Future		Prog
2005 election result17 September 2005 41.1 39.1 5.7 2.1 5.3 1.5 2.7 1.2
Roy Morgan Research[1]17 September–2 October 2005 36.5 41.5 4.5 3 9 1.5 3 1
Roy Morgan Research[1]4–16 October 2005 39 40.5 5 2 7 1.5 3.5 1
Roy Morgan Research[1]18–31 October 2005 37.5 40 6 1 9 1 3.5 0.5
3 News TNS[1] 27 October–2 November 2005 44 37 3.5 2.5 7 1.5 2.5 0.7
One News Colmar Brunton[2] 20 November 2005 40 44 4 2 7 1 1
Herald-DigiPoll[3] 30 November 2005[4] 43.8 41.7 3.8 1.5 5.3 1.5 1.3
One News Colmar Brunton[5] 11 December 2005 37 46 4 2.1 7
Roy Morgan International[6] 13–23 January 2006 39 40.5 4.5 1.5 8.5 1.5 3.0 0.0
Sunday Star-Times/BRC[7] 16–25 January 2006 42 43 4 1 6 1 1
3 News TNS[1] 26 January–2 February 2006 44 38 3.4 1.7 7 1.2 1.5 0.5
One News Colmar Brunton[8] 19 February 2006 42 45 4 2 6 1 1
3 News TNS[1] 23–29 March 2006 43 40 4.3 3 6 1.1 1.9 0.2
Herald-DigiPoll[9] 10 April 2006 43.4 44.6 3.9 2.1 5.2 1.1 1.5
3 News TNS[1] 4–10 May 2006 42 41 3.8 2.2 6 1.8 1.9 0.2
18 May 2006 {{dash}} 2006 New Zealand budget presented to Parliament.
One News Colmar Brunton[10] 22–25 May 2006 38 47 4 3 5 1.1 1.4 0.1
3 News TNS[1] 29 June–5 July 2006 46 39 3.8 1.3 6 0.8 1.1 0.4
One News Colmar Brunton[11] 16 July 2006 43 45 2 2 4 2 0.8
One News Colmar Brunton[12] 7–10 August 2006 43 45 3 2.6 3 0.9 1.5 0.4
Herald-DigiPoll[13] 31 August 2006[14] 38.7 46.4 2.8 3.4 5.8 0.7 1.1 0.2
3 News TNS[1] 24–30 August 2006 43 40 3.2 2.8 7 1 1.2 0.2
Roy Morgan Research[15] 28 August–10 September 2006 41 38 5.5 3 8.5 1.5 2 0.5
13 September 2006 – National Party leader Don Brash takes leave to sort out marital problems amidst rumours he had an affair.[16]
PollDateLabourNationalNZ FirstMāoriGreenACTUnited FutureProg
Herald-DigiPoll[17] 22–24 September 2006 38 45.7 2.8 4.1 6.8 1.4 0.7 0.3
One News Colmar Brunton[18] 18–21 September 2006 38 49 – 3 6 – – –
Roy Morgan Research[19] 16 September–1 October 2006 36 41.5 7 2.5 8.5 1.5 2.5 –
Roy Morgan Research[20] 2–15 October 2006 40 40 5 1.5 8.5 2 1.5 0.5
One News Colmar Brunton[21] 16–19 October 2006 36 49 2.5 2.4 6 0.5 0.9 0.2
Roy Morgan Research[22] 16–29 October 2006 38.5 41 3 2.5 8 1.5 3 –
3 News TNS[23] 26 October–1 November 2006 42 40 2.4 3.4 7 1.5 1.9 0.2
Roy Morgan Research[24] 30 October–12 November 2006 38.5 42.5 5 2.5 7.5 0.5 1.5 0.5
Roy Morgan Research[25] 13–26 November 2006 37.5 42.5 4.5 2 8 1.5 3 –
27 November 2006 – John Key becomes leader of the National Party.
Herald-DigiPoll[26] 14 November–2 December 2006 41.7 42.8 3.4 2 6.1 1 1.6 0.4
Roy Morgan Research[27] 27 November–12 December 2006 37.5 44.5 4 1 9.5 0.5 2 0.5
Roy Morgan Research[28] 3–21 January 2007 41 41 4 2 7.5 1.5 1 0.5
3 News TNS[29] 25 January–1 February 2007 44 41 2.8 2 8 0.8 0.8 0.1
Roy Morgan Research[30] 23 January–5 February 2007 39.5 41.5 4 2 8 1.5 2.5 0.5
13 February 2007 – Taito Phillip Field is expelled from the Labour Party caucus after saying he would stand for election at the 2008 election, either with Labour or as an independent.
PollDateLabourNationalNZ FirstMāoriGreenACTUnited FutureProg
One News Colmar Brunton[31] 12–15 February 2007 39 46 2.2 3.1 7 1.3 0.5 0.4
Roy Morgan Research[32] 6–18 February 2007 36 48.5 3 1.5 8.5 1 1.5 –
Roy Morgan Research[33] 19 February–4 March 2007 36 45 2 3.5 8.5 2.5 1.5 0.5
Roy Morgan Research[34] 5–18 March 2007 37.5 45 4 3.5 7.5 1 1.5 –
One News Colmar Brunton[35] 17–22 March 2007 37 46 2 3.4 7 1.5 1.6 0.1
3 News TNS[36] 22–28 March 2007 44 42 1.2 3.4 5.6 1.2 0.7 0.2
Roy Morgan Research[37] 19 March–2 April 2007 35.5 46 3.5 2.5 9.5 1 1 –
Roy Morgan Research[38] 3–16 April 2007 33.5 45.5 6 2 8.5 1 2 –
One News Colmar Brunton[39] 14–19 April 2007 39 49 2 1.7 6 1 0.6 0.2
Roy Morgan Research[40] 23 April–6 May 2007 36 49.5 4.5 1.5 6 0.5 1.5 –
3 News TNS[41] 3–9 May 2007 36 48 2.4 3.7 8 0.5 0.6 0.1
16 May 2007 – Parliament passes the Crimes (Substituted Section 59) Amendment Act 2007.
17 May 2007 {{dash}} 2007 New Zealand budget presented to Parliament.
Roy Morgan Research[42] 7–20 May 2007 32 49 4.5 2.5 7 1.5 1.5 –
Herald-DigiPoll[43] 18–24 May 2007 33.6 50.9 3.2 1.7 6.1 0.7 0.8 0.4
One News Colmar Brunton[44] 19–24 May 2007 31 56 2.1 2.9 6 0.4 1 0.2
Roy Morgan Research[45] 21 May–3 June 2007 33.5 50.5 3.5 1.5 6.5 0.5 2 0.5
7 June 2007 – The Reserve Bank intervenes in the currency market by selling New Zealand Dollars in an attempt halt the increase in value of the currency.
PollDateLabourNationalNZ FirstMāoriGreenACTUnited FutureProg
Roy Morgan Research[46] 4–17 June 2007 36 49.5 3 1.5 6.5 1.5 0.5 0.5
Herald-DigiPoll[47] 4–22 June 2007 40.1 48.2 3 2.4 4 0.6 0.3 –
Roy Morgan Research[48] 18 June–1 July 2007 34 48.5 2.5 2 8.5 1 1.5 1
1 July 2007 – Introduction of several government policies, including 20 hours funded childcare for 3 and 4 year olds and the Kiwisaver retirement savings scheme.
One News Colmar Brunton[49] 30 June–5 July 2007 36 52 2.3 2.6 5 0.3 0.6 0.4
3 News TNS[50] 5–11 July 2007 36 48 2.6 2.7 6 1.2 1.1 –
UMR Research[59] c. 15 July 200736 50 2.3 2.6 7.1 0.4 0.8 –
Roy Morgan Research[51] 2–15 July 2007 36 47 5 2 6.5 1.5 1 0.5
Herald-DigiPoll[52] 5–19 July 2007 42 48.5 2 1.8 4 0.4 0.3 –
Roy Morgan Research[53] 16–29 July 2007 35 49 4 3 6 0.5 0.5 0.5
One News Colmar Brunton[54] 4–9 August 2007 36 53 2.6 1 5 1.2 0.5 0.2
UMR Research[59] c. 15 August 2007 35 49 2.9 2.1 7.7 0.6 1.1 –
Roy Morgan Research[55] 30 July–12 August 2007 31 50.5 4 3 7 1.5 2 0.5
Roy Morgan Research[56] 20 August–2 September 2007 34 48 2.5 3 9.5 1 0.5 0.5
3 News TNS[1] 30 August–5 September 2007 37 47 3.2 1.8 7 1.5 0.1 –
Fairfax Media–Nielsen[57] 15 September 2007 36 50 3 2 6 1 1 0
One News Colmar Brunton[58] 8–13 September 2007 39 49 2.9 2.8 5 0.8 0.5 0.3
Roy Morgan Research[59] 3–16 September 2007 35 49 2.5 3 7.5 1.5 1 –
UMR Research[60] 13–19 September 2007 34 51 2.8 2.6 6.7 0.9 0.4 –
Herald-DigiPoll[61] 29 September 2007[4] 39.6 44.8 3.1 2.8 7.2 1.1 0.4 0.2
Roy Morgan Research[62] 17–30 September 2007 33 48.5 3 2.5 9.5 1 1.5 0.5
One News Colmar Brunton[63] 6–11 October 2007 37 49 1.9 2.8 6 0.6 0.4 0.1
Roy Morgan Research[64] 1–14 October 2007 39 45.5 3 2 7.5 0.5 1.5 –
UMR Research[65] 11–15 October 2007 38 49 2.6 1.2 6.9 0.8 0.5 –
15 October 2007 – Operation 8 police raids on activists.
PollDateLabourNationalNZ FirstMāoriGreenACTUnited FutureProg
Herald-DigiPoll[66] 8–28 October 2007 38.8 51.2 1.8 1.8 5.4 0.2 0.2 –
Roy Morgan Research[67] 15–28 October 2007 40.5 45 3.5 1.5 6.5 1 1.5 –
Roy Morgan Research[68] 29 October–11 November 2007 34 48 5.5 2.5 7.5 1 1 –
12 November 2007 – The New Zealand Herald dedicates its front page to criticism of the Electoral Finance Bill under headline "Democracy under attack".
Herald-DigiPoll[69] 8–26 November 2007 38.1 51.3 2.1 3 3.5 0.7 0.4 0.3
Fairfax Media–Nielsen[70] 17 November 2007[4] 40 45 3 3 5 1 1 0
Roy Morgan Research[71] 12–25 November 2007 35 48 5 2.5 6.5 1.5 0.5 0.5
3 News TNS[1] 8–13 December 2007 36 51 2.2 2.8 4.8 0.9 0.7 –
One News Colmar Brunton[72] 8–13 December 2007 35 54 2.2 1.7 4.6 0.8 0.5 0.1
Roy Morgan Research[73] 26 November–9 December 2007 34.5 47.5 5 2 6 1.5 0.5 0.5
Roy Morgan Research[74] 3–20 January 2008 33.5 52 3.5 2 6.5 1 0.5 0.5
Herald-DigiPoll[75] 10–24 January 2008 38.7 47.5 3 1 9.1 0.7 0 0
3 News TNS[1] 23–30 January 2008 35 49 3 3 7 0.5 0.5 –
29 January, 30 January 2008 – John Key and Helen Clark open their election year campaigns with speeches focusing on youth issues.
PollDateLabourNationalNZ FirstMāoriGreenACTUnited FutureProg
Roy Morgan Research[76] 21 January–3 February 2008 36.5 45.5 4 2 9 2 0.5 0.5
One News Colmar Brunton[77] 9–14 February 2008 34 53 1.7 3.3 6 0.9 0.2 –
Roy Morgan Research[78] 4–17 February 2008 32.5 51.5 3 3 8 0.5 0.5 0.5
Fairfax Media–Nielsen[79] 13–19 February 2008 32 55 3 2 6 1 0 0
3 News TNS[1] 19–26 February 2008 35 51 3 2 7 1 0.1 0.1
Herald-DigiPoll[80] 11–28 February 2008 36.5 54.5 2.1 1.5 4.4 0.4 0.4 0
Roy Morgan Research[81] 18 February–2 March 2008 35 49.5 4 2 7 1 0.5 0.5
One News Colmar Brunton[82] 8–13 March 2008 35 50 2.5 3.3 7 0.9 0.3 0.1
Roy Morgan Research[83] 3–16 March 2008 34 51 3 2 6.5 1.5 1 0.5
Herald-DigiPoll[84] 6–27 March 2008 39.3 49.9 1.1 3.7 3.9 1.1 0 –
Roy Morgan Research[85] 24 March–6 April 2008 34.5 47 4 3 9 1.5 0.5 0.5
3 News TNS[86] 10–16 April 2008 38 48 3.4 2.9 5.8 0.5 0.3 –
One News Colmar Brunton[87] 12–17 April 2008 35 54 1.5 3.2 3.7 1.1 0.2 0.1
Roy Morgan Research[88] 7–20 April 2008 35.5 50 3.5 2.5 6.5 1.5 0.5 –
Fairfax Media–Nielsen[89] 9–22 April 2008 34 52 3 3 6 0 1 1
Herald-DigiPoll[90] 5–26 April 2008 37.2 52.1 1.5 2.9 5.2 0.4 0.1 0
PollDateLabourNationalNZ FirstMāoriGreenACTUnited FutureProg
Roy Morgan Research[91] 21 April–4 May 2008 35.5 49.5 4.5 2 6.5 1 1 –
Fairfax Media–Nielsen[92] 7–13 May 2008 29 56 5 2 6 1 0 0
17 May 2008 {{dash}} 2008 New Zealand budget presented to Parliament.
Roy Morgan Research[93] 5–18 May 2008 35 49 4 2.5 7.5 1 .5 –
Herald-DigiPoll[94] 5–28 May 2008 36.2 51.5 1.9 2.2 6.4 0.7 0.4 0
3 News TNS[95] 23–29 May 2008 35 50 3.9 2 5.8 1 0.2 0.1
One News Colmar Brunton[96] 24–29 May 2008 29 55 4.4 2.5 7 1.2 0.2 0.1
Roy Morgan Research[97] 19 May–1 June 2008 32 50.5 4 3 7 1.5 1 –
Roy Morgan Research[98] 2–15 June 2008 31.5 52.5 4 2 7 2 0.5 –
Fairfax Media–Nielsen[99] 11–17 June 2008 30 54 3 2 7 1 1 –
One News Colmar Brunton[100] 14–19 June 2008 29 55 3.2 4.4 7 0.8 0.4 0
Herald-DigiPoll[101] 6–25 June 2008 32.4 54.9 3.3 1.8 5.9 0.8 0.1 –
Roy Morgan Research[102] 16–29 June 2008 30.5 51.5 4 2.5 8 2 1 –
PollDateLabourNationalNZ FirstMāoriGreenACTUnited FutureProg
Roy Morgan Research[103] 30 June–13 July 2008 31 52 6.5 1 7.5 0.5 1 –
Fairfax Media–Nielsen[104] 9–15 July 2008 35 51 4 2 5 1 0 –
One News Colmar Brunton[105] 12–17 July 2008 35 52 2.4 1.7 6 1.2 0.3 0
3 News TNS[106] Released 18 July 2008 35 48 4 2 7 1 0.3 0
Herald-DigiPoll[107] Released 29 July 2008 30.8 55.4 4.1 2.6 5.5 0.2 0.9 –
Roy Morgan Research[108] 14–27 July 2008 32.5 47.5 5 3 8 2.5 0.5 –
Roy Morgan Research[109] 28 July–10 August 2008 34 48 6.5 2 7.5 1.5 0 –
Fairfax Media–Nielsen[110] 6–12 August 2008 35 54 3 2 4 1 0 –
One News Colmar Brunton[111] 9–14 August 2008 37 51 2.6 3.1 3.5 0.6 0.7 0.1
3 News TNS[112] 14–20 August 2008 37 48 3 2 6 2 1 0
Roy Morgan Research[113] 18–31 August 2008 38 44.5 2.5 3.5 8 1.5 1 –
Herald-DigiPoll[114] 3–25 August 2008 36.3 50 2.1 3.1 5.1 2.3 0 –
One News Colmar Brunton[115] 6–11 September 2008 35 53 1.8 1.8 5 2 0 0
11 September 2008 – Parliament passes a law creating the New Zealand Emissions Trading Scheme.[116]
12 September 2008 – Helen Clark announces the election will be held 8 November 2008.[117]
PollDateLabourNationalNZ FirstMāoriGreenACTUnited FutureProg
Roy Morgan Research[118] 1–14 September 2008 36.5 47.5 5 1.5 6.5 1.5 0.5 –
Fairfax Media–Nielsen[119] 10–16 September 2008 34 52 3 3 5 1 – –
Herald-DigiPoll[120] 15–24 September 2008 35.7 51.4 2.8 1.9 4.9 1.1 0.4 0.4
3 News TNS[121] 18–24 September 2008 36 49 3 2 5 2 0 0
One News Colmar Brunton[122] 27 September–2 October 2008 33 52 2.0 2.5 7 1.5 0.7 0.3
Roy Morgan Research[123] 22 September –5 October 2008 37.5 40.5 4 2 9 3.5 1 1
3 News TNS[124] Released 10 October 2008 39 45 2.7 2.5 6.7 1.8 0.1 0.1
One News Colmar Brunton[125] 4–9 October 2008 33 51 2.6 2.8 8 1.6 0.1 0.3
Fairfax Media–Nielsen[126] 8–14 October 2008 33 51 3 2 7 1 1 0
One News Colmar Brunton[127] 11–16 October 2008 36 50 2.1 2.1 5 2.1 0.5 0.5
3 News TNS[128] Released 23 October 2008 37.4 45.1 3.5 2.3 8.8 1.7 0.2 0.1
PollDateLabourNationalNZ FirstMāoriGreenACTUnited FutureProg
Roy Morgan Research[129] 6–19 October 2008 32 43 4.5 2.5 11.5 3.5 0.5 0.5
Herald-DigiPoll[130] 15–22 October 2008 37.0 50.4 2.1 2.4 5.4 1.2 0.2 0.3
One News Colmar Brunton[131] 18–23 October 2008 35.0 47.0 3.0 3.0 8.0 2.0 0.4 0.0
3 News TNS[132] Released 6 November 2008 33.1 46.0 3.4 2.7 9.0 2.8 0.2 0.3
One News Colmar Brunton[133] 1–5 November 2008 35.0 47.0 2.4 1.3 9.0 2.5 0.4 0.4
Herald-DigiPoll[134] 29 October–5 November 2008 36.4 47.9 3.9 2.3 5.8 1.8 0.7 0.2
Fairfax Media–Nielsen[135] Released 7 November 2008 31 49 3 3 8 4 1 –
Roy Morgan Research[136] 20 October–2 November 2008 34.5 42 4.5 2.5 10 4 1 –
2008 election result[137] 8 November 2008 33.99 44.93 4.07 2.39 6.72 3.65 0.87 0.91

Preferred Prime Minister

Graphical summary

Individual polls

PollDateHelen
Clark		Don
Brash		John
Key		Winston
Peters
TV3–TNS[1] 27 October – 2 November 2005 43 19 – 8
TV3–TNS[1] 26 January – 2 February 2006 39 16 – 7
TV3–TNS[1] 23–29 March 2006 38 15 – 6
TV3–TNS[1] 4–10 May 2006 34 18 – 6
TV3–TNS[1] 29 June – 5 July 2006 38 13 0 6
TV3–TNS[1] 24–30 August 2006 38 17 0 5
Herald–DigiPoll[13] 31 August 2006[4] 52.4 22.4 8.5 5
Herald–DigiPoll[17] 22–24 September 2006 50.8 25.9 9.2 4.8
TV3–TNS[23] 26 October–1 November 2006 35 15 – –
Herald–DigiPoll[26] 14 November–2 December 2006 54.2 3.9 28.5 –
TV3–TNS[29] 25 January–1 February 2007 35 1 24 5
One News–Colmar Brunton[31] 12–15 February 2007 32 – 27 3
One News–Colmar Brunton[35] 17–22 March 2007 32 – 29 4
TV3–TNS[36] 22–28 March 2007 37 1 28 4
One News–Colmar Brunton[39] 14–19 April 2007 37 1 29 3
TV3–TNS[41] 3–9 May 2007 30 1 32 5
Herald–DigiPoll[43] 18–24 May 2007 42.1 – 45.5 5.4
One News–Colmar Brunton[44] 19–24 May 2007 27 0.3 38 2
PollDateHelen
Clark		Don
Brash		John
Key		Winston
Peters
One News–Colmar Brunton[49] 30 June–5 July 2007 29 0.5 35 2
TV3–TNS[1] 5–11 July 2007 31 1 31 4
Herald–DigiPoll[52] 5–19 July 2007 48.7 – 37.9 7
One News–Colmar Brunton[54] 4–9 August 2007 30 0.7 33 4
TV3–TNS[1] 30 August – 5 September 2007 28 1 32 6
Fairfax Media Poll[57] 15 September 2007[4] 34 – 41 3
One News–Colmar Brunton[58] 8–13 September 2007 33 0.3 31 4
Herald–DigiPoll[61] 29 September 2007[4] 46.8 – 42.2 –
One News–Colmar Brunton[63] 6–11 October 2007 33 0.2 33 3
Herald–DigiPoll[66] 8–28 October 2007 50.8 – 37.3 5
Fairfax Media Poll[70] 17 November 2007[4] 38 – 36 –
Herald–DigiPoll[69] 8–26 November 2007 48.7 – 36.7 8.1
TV3–TNS[1] 5–12 December 2007 28 – 33 6
One News–Colmar Brunton[72] 8–13 December 2007 30 0.2 35 2
Herald–DigiPoll[75] 10–24 January 2008 49.7 – 39.2 3.8
TV3–TNS[1] 23–30 January 2008 29 – 33 6
One News–Colmar Brunton[77] 9–14 February 2008 27 0.4 36 4
Fairfax Media–Nielsen[79] 13–19 February 2008 29 – 44 –
TV3–TNS[1] 19–26 February 2008 28 – 35 5
Herald–DigiPoll[80] 11–28 February 2008 44.3 0.2 46.3 3.3
One News–Colmar Brunton[82] 8–13 March 2008 31 – 36 5
Herald–DigiPoll[84] 6–27 March 2008 45.6 – 45.9 3.9
PollDateHelen
Clark		Don
Brash		John
Key		Winston
Peters
TV3–TNS[86] 10–16 April 2008 32 – 29 6
One News–Colmar Brunton[87] 12–17 April 2008 29 – 35 4
Fairfax Media–Nielsen[89] 9–22 April 2008 33 – 42 –
Herald–DigiPoll[90] 5–26 April 2008 45.3 – 48 –
Fairfax Media–Nielsen[92] 7–13 May 2008 28 – 45 5
Herald–DigiPoll[94] 5–28 May 2008 42.3 – 44.6 6.7
TV3–TNS[95] 23–29 May 2008 29 – 35 6
One News–Colmar Brunton[96] 24–29 May 2008 28 – 36 6
Fairfax Media–Nielsen[99] 11–17 June 2008 30 – 43 2
One News–Colmar Brunton[100] 14–19 June 2008 27 0.2 38 4
Fairfax Media–Nielsen[104] 9–15 July 2008 32 – 39 3
One News–Colmar Brunton[105] 12–17 July 2008 31 0.3 38 4
TV3–TNS[106] Released 18 July 2008 28 – 32 6
Herald–DigiPoll[107] Released 29 July 2008 44 – 47.1 4.9
Fairfax Media–Nielsen[110] 6–12 August 2008 31 – 43 2
One News–Colmar Brunton[111] 9–14 August 2008 33 – 36 3
TV3–TNS[112] 14–20 August 2008 31 – 34 3
Herald–DigiPoll[114] 3–25 August 2008 45 – 46.6 5.6
PollDateHelen
Clark		Don
Brash		John
Key		Winston
Peters
One News-Colmar Brunton[115] 6–11 September 2008 31 0.1 40 3
Fairfax Media–Nielsen[119] 10–16 September 2008 30 – 41 2
Herald–DigiPoll[120] 15–24 September 2008 43.1 – 45.5 4
TV3–TNS[112] Released 28 September 2008 32 – 34 –
One News-Colmar Brunton[122] 27 September–2 October 2008 31 – 41 3
TV3–TNS[138] Released 10 October 2008 31.6 – 31 –
One News-Colmar Brunton[125] 4–9 October 2008 31 – 39 2
Fairfax Media–Nielsen[126] 8–14 October 2008 35 – 43 –
One News-Colmar Brunton[127] 11–16 October 2008 34 0.1 40 2
TV3–TNS[128] Released 23 October 2008 36.3 – 36.3 –
Herald–DigiPoll[130] 15–22 October 2008 45.4 – 44.8 4.0
One News-Colmar Brunton[131] 18–23 October 2008 37 - 38 3
One News-Colmar Brunton[133] 1–5 November 2008 36 – 40 1

See also

  • Opinion polling for the 2005 New Zealand general election
  • Opinion polling for the 2011 New Zealand general election
  • Candidates in the 2008 New Zealand general election by electorate

Notes

1. ^1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 {{cite web|url=http://img2.scoop.co.nz/media/pdfs/0804/3poll200408.pdf |title=3 News Poll |publisher=3 News (MediaWorks New Zealand) |date=20 April 2008 |accessdate=23 October 2010}}
2. ^{{cite news|title=NATIONAL FINANCE SPOKESMAN MAKES APPEARANCE IN POPULARITY STAKES|newspaper=New Zealand Press Association|date=20 November 2005}}
3. ^{{cite news|url=http://www.nzherald.co.nz/nz/news/article.cfm?c_id=1&objectid=10360422 |title=Labour stays tops in poll to end year|first=Ruth |last=Berry |newspaper=The New Zealand Herald |publisher=APN News & Media |date=17 December 2005 |accessdate=13 October 2013}}
4. ^1 2 3 4 5 6 Dates surveyed unavailable: date shown is date polled released to media.
5. ^{{cite news|title=The Green Party, on 7 percent, and New Zealand First on 4 percent, were both...|newspaper=New Zealand Press Association|date=16 December 2005}}
6. ^{{cite news|title=NATS AHEAD IN NEW POLL|newspaper=New Zealand Press Association |date=29 January 2006}}
7. ^{{cite news|title=There was also a Sunday Star-Times/BRC opinion poll out today.|newspaper=New Zealand Press Association |date=29 January 2006}}
8. ^{{cite news|title=NATS STILL AHEAD IN LATEST POLL|newspaper=New Zealand Press Association |date=19 February 2006}}
9. ^{{cite news|last=Young|first=Audrey|title=Key overtakes Peters in PM stakes|url=http://www.nzherald.co.nz/nz/news/article.cfm?c_id=1&objectid=10376794|accessdate=14 October 2013|newspaper=New Zealand Herald|date=10 April 2006}}
10. ^{{cite web|url=http://tvnz.co.nz/view/page/411368/727753 |title=One News Colmar Brunton poll: May 2006 |publisher=ONE News (Television New Zealand) |date=28 May 2006 |accessdate=23 October 2010}}
11. ^{{cite news|title=GAP CLOSING BUT NATIONAL STILL IN FRONT -- NEW POLL SHOWS|newspaper=New Zealand Press Association|date=16 July 2006}}
12. ^{{cite web|url=http://tvnz.co.nz/view/page/411368/814527 |title=ONE News Colmar Brunton Poll: Aug 2006 |publisher=ONE News (Television New Zealand) |date=13 August 2006 |accessdate=23 October 2010}}
13. ^1 {{cite news|url=http://www.nzherald.co.nz/feature/story.cfm?c_id=1500936&objectid=10398968 |title=National storms to poll lead |first=Paula |last=Oliver |newspaper=The New Zealand Herald |publisher=APN News & Media |date=31 August 2006 |accessdate=23 October 2010}}
14. ^Dates surveyed unavailable: date shown is date polled released to media.
15. ^{{cite web|url=http://www.roymorgan.com/news/polls/2006/4086/ |title=In New Zealand: Labour Government Support Up 2.5%, Nationals Down 6% |publisher=Roy Morgan Research |date=16 September 2006 |accessdate=23 October 2010}}
16. ^{{cite news |url=https://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/australasia/dirty-politics-sex-and-smears-down-under-416569.html |title=Dirty politics: Sex and smears, down under |first=Kathy |last=Marks |newspaper=The Independent |date=19 September 2006 |accessdate=23 October 2010}}
17. ^1 {{cite news|url=http://www.nzherald.co.nz/nz/news/article.cfm?c_id=1&objectid=10402966 |title=Hefty majority of voters rejects PM's use of 'cancerous' |first1=Paula |last1=Oliver |first2=Ruth |last2=Berry |newspaper=The New Zealand Herald |publisher=APN News & Media |date=26 September 2006 |accessdate=23 October 2010}}
18. ^{{cite web|url=http://tvnz.co.nz/view/page/488120/835035 |title=ONE News Colmar Brunton Poll: Sept 2006 |publisher=ONE News (Television New Zealand) |date=24 September 2010 |accessdate=23 October 2010}}
19. ^{{cite web|url=http://www.roymorgan.com/news/polls/2006/4092/ |title=In New Zealand: National Ahead Of Labour As Speculation Engulfs PM Clark's Private Life – Minor Party Support Continues To Rise |publisher=Roy Morgan Research |date=7 October 2006 |accessdate=23 October 2010}}
20. ^{{cite web |publisher=Roy Morgan Research |date=21 October 2006 |url=http://www.roymorgan.com/news/polls/2006/4095/ |title=In New Zealand: Labour Up 4% To 40% – National Party Support Also 40% |accessdate=19 June 2011}}
21. ^{{cite web|publisher=ONE News (Television New Zealand) |date=23 October 2006 |url=http://tvnz.co.nz/view/page/488120/867517 |title=ONE News Colmar Brunton Poll: Oct 2006 |accessdate=19 June 2011}}
22. ^{{cite web |publisher=Roy Morgan Research |date=4 November 2006 |url=http://www.roymorgan.com/news/polls/2006/4101/ |title=In New Zealand: National Hold A Small Lead Over Labour |accessdate=19 June 2011}}
23. ^1 {{cite news |author=TV3 |url= http://www.nzherald.co.nz/section/story.cfm?c_id=1&objectid=10409325 |title=Poll fuels speculation of National coup |work=The New Zealand Herald |publisher=APN News & Media |date=6 November 2006 |accessdate=19 June 2011}}
24. ^{{cite web |publisher=Roy Morgan Research |date=18 November 2006 |url=http://www.roymorgan.com/news/polls/2006/4108/ |title=In New Zealand: National Extend Their Lead Over Labour |accessdate=19 June 2011}}
25. ^{{cite web |publisher=Roy Morgan Research |date=2 December 2006 |url=http://www.roymorgan.com/news/polls/2006/4114/ |title=New Zealand Nationals Extend Lead to 5% |accessdate=19 June 2011}}
26. ^1 {{cite news |work=The New Zealand Herald |publisher=APN News & Media |date=5 December 2006 |url=http://www.nzherald.co.nz/section/1/story.cfm?c_id=1&objectid=10413832 |title=Key's takeover puts brakes on Labour rise |first=Paula |last=Oliver |accessdate=19 June 2011}}
27. ^{{cite web |publisher=Roy Morgan Research |date=19 December 2006 |url=http://www.roymorgan.com/news/polls/2006/4119/ |title=In New Zealand: National Support Up 2% To 44.5% |accessdate=19 June 2011}}
28. ^{{cite web |publisher=Roy Morgan Research |date=30 January 2007 |url=http://www.roymorgan.com/news/polls/2007/4134/ |title=In New Zealand: Support For Labour Up 3.5% In January |accessdate=19 June 2011}}
29. ^1 {{cite web |publisher=TV3. (MediaWorks New Zealand) |date=5 February 2007 |url=http://tv3.co.nz/News/NationalNews/tabid/184/articleID/20362/Default.aspx |title=Poll good news for Green Party and Key |archiveurl=https://web.archive.org/web/20071119143946/http://tv3.co.nz/News/NationalNews/tabid/184/articleID/20362/Default.aspx |archivedate=19 November 2007}}
30. ^1 2 3 {{cite web |url=http://www.roymorgan.com/news/polls/2007/4138/ |publisher=Roy Morgan Research |date=13 February 2007 |title=In New Zealand: Labour Support Down 1.5% In Past Fortnight To 39.5% |accessdate=19 July 2011}}
31. ^1 ONE News, 19 February 2007, ONE News report, Party source, Preferred Prime Minister
32. ^Roy Morgan Research, 27 February 2007 Source
33. ^Roy Morgan Research, 14 March 2007 Source
34. ^Roy Morgan Research, 24 March 2007 Source
35. ^1 ONE News, 25 March 2007, ONE News report, Party support, Preferred Prime Minister
36. ^1 Scoop.co.nz, 1 April 2007, {{cite web|url= http://img.scoop.co.nz/media/pdfs/0704/3_News_TNS_Poll_March_2007_Press_Release.pdf |title=Source }} {{small|(139 KB)}}
37. ^Roy Morgan Research, 13 April 2007, Source
38. ^Roy Morgan Research, 24 April 2007, Source
39. ^1 ONE News, 22 April 2007, ONE News report, Party support, Preferred Prime Minister
40. ^Roy Morgan Research, 15 May 2007 Source
41. ^1 TV3, 13 May 2007, {{cite web|url= http://www.tns-global.co.nz/corporate/Doc/0/UVR0GNS8TPEK3FECO43P2IPK5C/PollMay132007.pdf |title=Source }} {{small|(137 KB)}}
42. ^Roy Morgan Research, 25 May 2007 Source
43. ^1 The New Zealand Herald, 26 May 2007 Source
44. ^1 ONE News, 27 May 2007, ONE News report, Party support, Preferred PM
45. ^Roy Morgan Research, 15 June 2007 Source
46. ^Roy Morgan Research, 27 June 2007 Source
47. ^The New Zealand Herald, 25 June 2007 Source
48. ^Roy Morgan Research, 11 July 2007 Source
49. ^1 ONE News, 8 July 2007, ONE News report, Party support, Preferred Prime Minister
50. ^TV3 (New Zealand), 15 July 2007 {{cite web|url= http://www.tns-global.co.nz/corporate/Doc/0/SIFHOFV9S7L4B4P670HB772J79/PollJul152007.pdf |title=Source }} {{small|(138 KB)}}
51. ^Roy Morgan Research, 24 July 2007 Source
52. ^1 The New Zealand Herald, 23 July 2007 Source
53. ^Roy Morgan Research, 8 August 2007 Source
54. ^1 ONE News, 12 August 2007, ONE News report, Party support, Preferred Prime Minister
55. ^Roy Morgan Research, 21 August 2007 Source
56. ^Roy Morgan Research, 13 September 2007 Source
57. ^1 Fairfax Media, 15 September 2007 Source
58. ^1 ONE News, 16 September 2007, ONE News report, Party support, Preferred Prime Minister
59. ^Roy Morgan Research, 25 September 2007 Source
60. ^UMR Research, 19 September 2007 {{cite web|url= http://www.umr.co.nz/Reports/UMR%20Poll%20September%202007.pdf |title=Source }} {{small|(112 KB)}}
61. ^1 The New Zealand Herald, 29 September 2007 Source; Curia newsletter, September 2007
62. ^Roy Morgan Research, 9 October 2007 Source
63. ^1 ONE News, 14 October 2007, ONE News report, Party support, Preferred Prime Minister
64. ^Roy Morgan Research, 26 October 2007 Source
65. ^1 2 UMR Research, 15 October 2007 {{cite web|url= http://www.umr.co.nz/Reports/UMR%20Poll%20October%202007.pdf |title=Source }} {{small|(111 KB)}}
66. ^1 The New Zealand Herald, 30 October 2007 Source, source
67. ^Roy Morgan Research, 9 November 2007 Source
68. ^Roy Morgan Research, 20 November 2007 Source
69. ^1 The New Zealand Herald, 28 November 2007 Source
70. ^1 Fairfax Media, 17 November 2007 Source
71. ^Roy Morgan Research, 4 December 2007 Source
72. ^1 ONE News, 17 December 2007, ONE News report Party support, Preferred Prime Minister
73. ^Roy Morgan Research, 18 December 2007 Source
74. ^Roy Morgan Research, 25 January 2008 Source
75. ^1 The New Zealand Herald, 26 January 2008 Source
76. ^Roy Morgan Research, 11 February 2008 Source
77. ^1 ONE News, 17 February 2008, ONE News report, Party support, Preferred Prime Minister
78. ^Roy Morgan Research, 22 February 2008 Source
79. ^1 {{cite web|url=http://www.stuff.co.nz/national/282462|title=Labour poll-axed|work=The Dominion Post|publisher=Fairfax Media|date=23 February 2008|archiveurl=https://www.webcitation.org/5qp5mm8Pa|archivedate=28 June 2010|accessdate=28 June 2010}}
80. ^1 The New Zealand Herald, 3 March 2008 Source
81. ^Roy Morgan Research, 7 March 2008 Source
82. ^1 ONE News, 17 March 2008, ONE News report, Party support, Preferred Prime Minister
83. ^Roy Morgan Research, 20 March 2008 Source
84. ^1 The New Zealand Herald, 29 March 2008 Source
85. ^Roy Morgan Research, 11 April 2008 Source
86. ^1 Scoop.co.nz, 20 April 2008, {{cite web|url= http://img.scoop.co.nz/media/pdfs/0804/3poll200408.pdf |title=Source }} {{small|(143 KB)}}
87. ^1 ONE News, 20 April 2008, ONE News report, Party support, Preferred Prime Minister
88. ^Roy Morgan Research, 24 April 2008 Source
89. ^1 Fairfax Media, 26 April 2008 Source; Curia newsletter, Issue 21, April 2008.
90. ^1 The New Zealand Herald, 30 April 2008 Source; Curia newsletter, Issue 21, April 2008.
91. ^Roy Morgan Research, 9 May 2008 Source
92. ^1 Fairfax Media, 17 May 2008 Source
93. ^Roy Morgan Research, 22 May 2008 Source
94. ^1 The New Zealand Herald, 30 May 2008 Source
95. ^1 Scoop.co.nz, 4 June 2008, {{DOClink|Source|519 KB}}
96. ^1 ONE News, 1 June 2008, ONE News report, Party support, Preferred Prime Minister
97. ^Roy Morgan Research, 5 June 2008 Source
98. ^Roy Morgan Research, 19 June 2008 Source
99. ^1 Fairfax Media, 21 June 2008 Source
100. ^1 ONE News, 22 June 2008, ONE News report, Party support, Preferred Prime Minister
101. ^The New Zealand Herald, 28 June 2008 Source
102. ^Roy Morgan Research, 4 July 2008 Source
103. ^Roy Morgan Research, 18 July 2008 Source
104. ^1 Fairfax Media, 19 July 2008 Source
105. ^1 ONE News, 20 July 2008, ONE News report, Party support, Preferred Prime Minister
106. ^1 Curia Blog
107. ^1 The New Zealand Herald, 29 July 2008 Source
108. ^Roy Morgan Research, 1 August 2008 Source
109. ^Roy Morgan Research, 15 August 2008 Source
110. ^1 Fairfax Media, 16 August 2008 National Business Review article, Stuff.co.nz
111. ^1 ONE News, 17 August 2008, Source, {{cite web|url= http://images.tvnz.co.nz/tvnz_images/news2008/colmar_brunton/aug08/aug%202008_partyvote.pdf |title=Party support }}, {{cite web|url= http://images.tvnz.co.nz/tvnz_images/news2008/colmar_brunton/aug08/aug%202008_preferredpm.pdf |title=Preferred Prime Minister }}
112. ^1 2 Curia Blog
113. ^Roy Morgan Research, 4 September 2008 Source
114. ^1 The New Zealand Herald, 28 August 2008 Source
115. ^1 ONE News, 14 September 2008, ONE News report, {{DOClink|Party support}}, {{DOClink|Preferred Prime Minister}}
116. ^{{cite web|url=http://decision08.co.nz/Electorates/ElectoratesDisplay/tabid/65/cat/50/Default.aspx |work=Radio New Zealand | title=Emissions trading scheme bill passes |accessdate=7 October 2008}}
117. ^{{cite web|url=http://www.nzherald.co.nz/politics/news/article.cfm?c_id=280&objectid=10531965&ref=rss |title=Poll all about trust, says Clark |date=13 September 2008|accessdate=25 September 2008 |publisher=New Zealand Herald}}
118. ^Roy Morgan Research, 17 September 2008 Source
119. ^1 Fairfax Media, 20 September 2008 Source and Date range
120. ^1 The New Zealand Herald, 26 September 2008 Source
121. ^Curia Blog and Angus Reid
122. ^1 ONE News, 5 October 2008, ONE News report, {{DOClink|Party support}}, {{DOClink|Preferred Prime Minister}}
123. ^Roy Morgan Research, 17 September 2008 Source
124. ^TV3 Report
125. ^1 ONE News, 12 October 2008, ONE News report, {{DOClink|Party support & Preferred Prime Minister}}
126. ^1 Fairfax Media, 17 October 2008 Source
127. ^1 ONE News, 19 October 2008, ONE News report, {{cite web|url= http://images.tvnz.co.nz/tvnz_images/news2008/colmar_brunton/oct08/Oct_1116_2008_Poll_Report.pdf |title=Party support & Preferred Prime Minister }}
128. ^1 TV3 Report Curiablog
129. ^Roy Morgan Research, 24 October 2008 Source
130. ^1 The New Zealand Herald, 24 October 2008 Source
131. ^1 ONE News, 26 October 2008, One News Report,Colmar Brunton Website
132. ^TV3 Report Curiablog
133. ^1 ONE News, 6 November 2008, ONE News report, {{cite web|url= http://images.tvnz.co.nz/tvnz_images/news2008/colmar_brunton/election_08_polls/nov_1-5_2008_poll_report.pdf |title=ONE News Colmar Brunton Poll Nov 1 – Nov 5 }}
134. ^The New Zealand Herald, 7 November 2008 Source
135. ^Fairfax Media, 7 November 2008 Source
136. ^Roy Morgan Research, 7 November 2008 Source
137. ^{{cite web|url=http://2008.electionresults.govt.nz/partystatus.html |title=Official Count Results – Overall Status |publisher=New Zealand Ministry of Justice |accessdate=25 November 2008 |deadurl=yes |archiveurl=https://web.archive.org/web/20090209051141/http://2008.electionresults.govt.nz/partystatus.html |archivedate=9 February 2009 }}
138. ^ 

References

{{Reflist}}{{Navboxes|
|list1={{NZ general polling}}{{electorates of New Zealand}}{{New Zealand elections}}
}}

3 : 2008 New Zealand general election|Opinion polling in New Zealand|Opinion polling for elections
随便看

　

开放百科全书收录14589846条英语、德语、日语等多语种百科知识，基本涵盖了大多数领域的百科知识，是一部内容自由、开放的电子版国际百科全书。

　

Copyright © 2023 OENC.NET All Rights Reserved
京ICP备2021023879号 更新时间：2024/9/20 21:31:08