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词条 2008 United States presidential election in North Dakota
释义

  1. Caucuses

  2. Campaign

     Predictions  Polling  Fundraising  Advertising and visits 

  3. Analysis

  4. Results

  5. Results breakdown

     By congressional district  By county 

  6. Electors

  7. References

  8. See also

{{Main|United States presidential election, 2008}}{{Infobox election
| election_name = United States presidential election in North Dakota, 2008
| country = North Dakota
| type = presidential
| ongoing = no
| previous_election = United States presidential election in North Dakota, 2004
| previous_year = 2004
| next_election = United States presidential election in North Dakota, 2012
| next_year = 2012
| election_date = November 4, 2008
| image1 =
| nominee1 = John McCain
| party1 = Republican Party (United States)
| home_state1 = Arizona
| running_mate1 = Sarah Palin
| electoral_vote1 = 3
| popular_vote1 = 168,887
| percentage1 = 53.15%
| image2 =
| nominee2 = Barack Obama
| party2 = Democratic Party (United States)
| home_state2 = Illinois
| running_mate2 = Joe Biden
| electoral_vote2 = 0
| popular_vote2 = 141,403
| percentage2 = 44.50%
| map_image = North dakota presidential election results 2008.svg
| map_size = 375px
| map_caption = County Results{{col-start}}{{col-2}}McCain{{legend|#f2b3be|40-50%}}{{legend|#e27f90|50-60%}}{{legend|#cc2f4a|60-70%}}{{legend|#d40000|70-80%}}{{col-2}}Obama{{legend|#86b6f2|50-60%}}{{legend|#4389e3|60-70%}}{{legend|#1666cb|70-80%}}{{legend|#0645b4|80-90%}}{{col-end}}
| title = President
| before_election = George W. Bush
| before_party = Republican Party (United States)
| after_election = Barack Obama
| after_party = Democratic Party (United States)
}}{{ElectionsND}}

The 2008 United States presidential election in North Dakota took place on November 4, 2008, and was part of the 2008 United States presidential election. Voters chose 3 representatives, or electors to the Electoral College, who voted for president and vice president.

North Dakota was won by Republican nominee John McCain by an 8.7% margin of victory. Prior to the election, most news organizations considered this a state McCain would win, or otherwise considered as a red state. The state has not been won by a Democratic presidential nominee since Lyndon B. Johnson's landslide election in 1964. Polls showed Republican John McCain and Democrat Barack Obama running unusually close in a state that gave George W. Bush a 27.4% margin of victory over John Kerry in 2004. In the end, McCain kept North Dakota in the GOP column but by a much smaller margin than Bush's landslide in 2004.

Caucuses

  • North Dakota Democratic caucuses, 2008
  • North Dakota Republican caucuses, 2008

Campaign

Predictions

There were 17 news organizations who made state-by-state predictions of the election. Here are their last predictions before election day:

  1. D.C. Political Report: Republican&91;1&93;
  2. Cook Political Report: Toss-up&91;2&93;
  3. Takeaway: Leaning McCain&91;3&93;
  4. Election Projection: Leaning McCain&91;4&93;
  5. Electoral-vote.com: Leaning Republican&91;5&93;
  6. Washington Post: Leaning McCain&91;6&93;
  7. Politico: Solid McCain&91;7&93;
  8. Real Clear Politics: Toss-up&91;8&93;
  9. FiveThirtyEight.com: Solid McCain&91;6&93;
  10. CQ Politics: Toss-up&91;9&93;
  11. New York Times: Leaning Republican&91;10&93;
  12. CNN: Toss-up&91;11&93;
  13. NPR: Leaning McCain&91;6&93;
  14. MSNBC: Toss-up&91;6&93;
  15. Fox News: Republican&91;12&93;
  16. Associated Press: Republican&91;13&93;
  17. Rasmussen Reports: Safe Republican&91;14&93;

Polling

{{Main|Statewide opinion polling for the United States presidential election, 2008#North Dakota|l1=Statewide opinion polling for the United States presidential election, 2008: North Dakota}}

Pre-election polls showed a complete toss up. The final 3 polls averaged gave Obama leading 45% to 44%, leaving a lot of undecided voters.[15]

Fundraising

John McCain raised a total of $184,405 in the state. Barack Obama raised $191,551.[16]

Advertising and visits

Obama and his interest groups spent $448,361. McCain and his interest groups spent $71,972.[17] Obama visited the state once, in Fargo, North Dakota, while the Republican ticket didn't visit the state once.[18]

Analysis

North Dakota has been considered a reliably red state for the past 40 years, having voted for the Republican presidential nominee of every election since 1968. In 2008, however, polls taken before September surprisingly showed the two candidates running neck-to-neck. While the polls varied throughout the campaign, McCain's selection of the socially conservative Governor Sarah Palin of Alaska as his vice presidential running mate played well in North Dakota, a state that has the lowest percentage of nonreligious citizens in the country. After Palin joined the ticket in late August, McCain then took a double digit lead in the state until October, when polling once again showed a close race between the two candidates in the Peace Garden State.[19]

On Election Day 2008, however, McCain captured North Dakota by a fairly safe margin of approximately 8.65 points, despite the latest polling showing him just one point ahead of Obama.[20] Still, the statewide result was significantly closer than in 2004 when Bush carried the state by a much larger margin of more than 27 percent.[21] McCain did well throughout the western and central parts of the state, while Obama won several counties in the east including the most populous counties of Cass County (which contains the state's largest city of Fargo) and Grand Forks County (which includes the college town of Grand Forks).

At the same time, popular incumbent Republican Governor John Hoeven was reelected to a second term in a landslide three-to-one victory over Democrat Tim Mathern and Independent DuWayne Hendrickson. Hoeven received 74.44% of the vote while Mathern took in 23.53% and Hendrickson with the remaining 2.03%. Democrats, however, made gains at the state level, picking up three seats in the North Dakota House of Representatives and six seats in the North Dakota Senate.

{{As of|2016|11|alt=As of the 2016 presidential election}}, this is the last election in which Cass County, Grand Forks County, Mountrail County, Towner County, Traill County, Nelson County, and Eddy County voted for the Democratic candidate.

Results

United States presidential election in North Dakota, 2008[22]
PartyCandidateRunning mateVotesPercentageElectoral votes
Republican John McCain Sarah Palin168,88753.15%3
Democratic Barack Obama Joe Biden141,40344.50%0
Independent Ralph Nader Matt Gonzalez4,1991.32%0
Write-insWrite-ins1,1230.35%0
Libertarian Bob Barr Wayne Allyn Root1,0670.34%0
Constitution Chuck Baldwin Darrell Castle1,0590.33%0
Totals317,738100.00%3
Voter turnout (Voting age population)65.6%

Results breakdown

By congressional district

Due to the state's low population, only one congressional district is allocated. This district, called the At-Large district, because it covers the entire state, and thus is equivalent to the statewide election results.

District McCain Obama Representative
At-large 53.1% 44.5%Earl Pomeroy

By county

County Obama% Obama# McCain% McCain# Others% Others# Total
Adams County 34.23% 435 62.00% 788 03.78% 48 1,271
Barnes County 48.14% 2,741 49.63% 2,826 02.23% 127 5,694
Benson County 66.09% 1,569 32.56% 773 01.35% 32 2,374
Billings County 22.85% 114 75.15% 375 02.00% 10 499
Bottineau County 39.45% 1,387 58.56% 2,059 01.99% 70 3,516
Bowman County 29.15% 478 67.50% 1,107 03.35% 55 1,640
Burke County 30.33% 286 67.87% 640 01.80% 17 943
Burleigh County 37.35% 15,600 60.91% 25,443 01.75% 729 41,772
Cass County 52.68% 37,622 45.60% 32,566 01.72% 1,231 71,419
Cavalier County 43.66% 930 52.96% 1,128 03.38% 72 2,130
Dickey County 39.85% 1,044 58.21% 1,525 01.95% 51 2,620
Divide County 41.03% 464 55.70% 630 03.27% 37 1,131
Dunn County 32.06% 527 65.69% 1,080 02.25% 37 1,644
Eddy County 50.04% 583 47.04% 548 02.92% 34 1,165
Emmons County 29.72% 546 66.96% 1,230 03.32% 61 1,837
Foster County 41.61% 687 55.36% 914 03.03% 50 1,651
Golden Valley County 24.00% 210 73.37% 642 02.63% 23 875
Grand Forks County 51.69% 16,104 46.61% 14,520 01.70% 529 31,153
Grant County 21.07% 280 44.17% 587 34.76% 462 1,329
Griggs County 45.51% 598 51.90% 682 02.59% 34 1,314
Hettinger County 30.12% 406 66.25% 893 03.64% 49 1,348
Kidder County 34.36% 422 61.24% 752 04.40% 54 1,228
LaMoure County 38.73% 868 58.46% 1,310 02.81% 63 2,241
Logan County 28.29% 299 68.68% 726 03.03% 32 1,057
McHenry County 40.60% 981 56.87% 1,374 02.52% 61 2,416
McIntosh County 37.79% 579 59.79% 916 02.42% 37 1,532
McKenzie County 34.36% 933 64.09% 1,740 01.55% 42 2,715
McLean County 39.42% 1,867 58.42% 2,767 02.15% 102 4,736
Mercer County 33.57% 1,476 63.43% 2,789 03.00% 132 4,397
Morton County 38.29% 5,079 59.33% 7,869 02.38% 316 13,264
Mountrail County 50.27% 1,477 47.86% 1,406 01.87% 55 2,938
Nelson County 51.77% 907 45.66% 800 02.57% 45 1,752
Oliver County 31.92% 332 65.58% 682 02.50% 26 1,040
Pembina County 45.18% 1,494 52.07% 1,722 02.75% 91 3,307
Pierce County 37.03% 792 60.82% 1,301 02.15% 46 2,139
Ramsey County 48.59% 2,314 49.58% 2,361 01.83% 87 4,762
Ransom County 56.35% 1,371 41.02% 998 02.63% 64 2,433
Renville County 37.52% 505 59.36% 799 03.12% 42 1,346
Richland County 46.45% 3,513 51.57% 3,900 01.98% 150 7,563
Rolette County 75.06% 3,403 23.05% 1,045 01.90% 86 4,534
Sargent County 57.86% 1,115 40.37% 778 01.76% 34 1,927
Sheridan County 28.52% 229 69.12% 555 02.37% 19 803
Sioux County 83.09% 1,145 15.60% 215 01.31% 18 1,378
Slope County 25.79% 106 72.26% 297 01.95% 8 411
Stark County 34.35% 3,802 63.45% 7,024 02.20% 244 11,070
Steele County 59.50% 614 39.15% 404 01.36% 14 1,032
Stutsman County 41.46% 4,056 56.20% 5,499 02.34% 229 9,784
Towner County 51.88% 621 44.78% 536 03.34% 40 1,197
Traill County 52.86% 2,136 45.66% 1,845 01.48% 60 4,041
Walsh County 47.62% 2,325 49.47% 2,415 02.91% 142 4,882
Ward County 39.59% 10,144 58.78% 15,061 01.62% 416 25,621
Wells County 35.38% 841 61.76% 1,468 02.86% 68 2,377
Williams County 31.16% 2,921 67.12% 6,291 01.72% 161 9,373

Electors

{{Main|List of United States presidential electors, 2008}}

Technically the voters of North Dakota cast their ballots for electors: representatives to the Electoral College. North Dakota is allocated 3 electors because it has 1 congressional districts and 2 senators. All candidates who appear on the ballot or qualify to receive write-in votes must submit a list of 3 electors, who pledge to vote for their candidate and his or her running mate. Whoever wins the majority of votes in the state is awarded all 3 electoral votes. Their chosen electors then vote for president and vice president. Although electors are pledged to their candidate and running mate, they are not obligated to vote for them.[23] An elector who votes for someone other than his or her candidate is known as a faithless elector.

The electors of each state and the District of Columbia met on December 15, 2008, to cast their votes for president and vice president. The Electoral College itself never meets as one body. Instead the electors from each state and the District of Columbia met in their respective capitols.

The following were the members of the Electoral College from the state. All 3 pledged to John McCain and Sarah Palin:[24][25][26]

  1. Theresa Tokach - replaced Richard Elkin
  2. Susan Wefald
  3. Leon Helland

References

1. ^D.C.'s Political Report: The complete source for campaign summaries
2. ^Presidential | The Cook Political Report {{webarchive |url=https://web.archive.org/web/20150505003043/http://www.cookpolitical.com/presidential#belowMap |date=May 5, 2015 }}
3. ^Vote 2008 - The Takeaway - Track the Electoral College vote predictions {{webarchive |url=https://web.archive.org/web/20090422070127/http://vote2008.thetakeaway.org/2008/09/20/track-the-electoral-college-vote-predictions/ |date=April 22, 2009 }}
4. ^Election Projection: 2008 Elections - Polls, Projections, Results
5. ^Electoral-vote.com: President, Senate, House Updated Daily
6. ^1 2 3 Based on Takeaway
7. ^POLITICO's 2008 Swing State Map - POLITICO.com
8. ^RealClearPolitics - Electoral Map
9. ^CQ Politics | CQ Presidential Election Maps, 2008 {{webarchive |url=https://web.archive.org/web/20081029000000/http://innovation.cq.com/prezMap08/ |date=October 29, 2008 }}
10. ^{{cite news| url=http://elections.nytimes.com/2008/president/whos-ahead/key-states/map.html?scp=1&sq=electoral%20college%20map&st=cse | title=Electoral College Map | work=The New York Times | accessdate=2010-05-26}}
11. ^{{cite news| url=http://politicalticker.blogs.cnn.com/2008/10/ | work=CNN | title=October – 2008 – CNN Political Ticker - CNN.com Blogs | accessdate=2010-05-26}}
12. ^{{cite news| url=http://www.foxnews.com/oreilly/winning-the-electoral-college/ | title=Winning the Electoral College | work=Fox News | date=2010-04-27}}
13. ^roadto270
14. ^Election 2008: Electoral College Update - Rasmussen Reports™
15. ^Election 2008 Polls - Dave Leip's Atlas of U.S. Presidential Elections
16. ^Presidential Campaign Finance
17. ^{{cite news| url=http://www.cnn.com/ELECTION/2008/map/ad.spending/ | work=CNN | title=Map: Campaign Ad Spending - Election Center 2008 from CNN.com | accessdate=2010-05-26}}
18. ^{{cite news| url=http://www.cnn.com/ELECTION/2008/map/candidate.visits/ | work=CNN | title=Map: Campaign Candidate Visits - Election Center 2008 from CNN.com | accessdate=2010-05-26}}
19. ^{{cite web|url=http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2008/president/nd/north_dakota_mccain_vs_obama-618.html|title=RealClearPolitics - Election 2008 - North Dakota|accessdate=2008-11-19}}
20. ^{{cite news|url=http://www.cnn.com/ELECTION/2008/results/individual/#mapPND|title=CNN Election Center 2008 - North Dakota|accessdate=2008-11-19}}
21. ^{{cite web|url=http://www.electoral-vote.com/|title=Electoral-vote.com|accessdate=2008-11-19}}
22. ^{{cite web|url=http://www.uselectionatlas.org/RESULTS/state.php?year=2008&fips=38&f=0&off=0&elect=0|title=Atlas of U.S. Presidential Election|accessdate=January 13, 2013}}
23. ^{{cite web|url=http://www.sos.ca.gov/elections/elections_ec.htm |title=Electoral College |accessdate=2008-11-01 |publisher=California Secretary of State |deadurl=yes |archiveurl=https://web.archive.org/web/20081030041546/http://www.sos.ca.gov/elections/elections_ec.htm |archivedate=October 30, 2008 }}
24. ^http://www.nd.gov/sos/forms/pdf/presidential-candidates.pdf
25. ^[https://www.archives.gov/federal-register/electoral-college/2008-certificates/vote-north-dakota-01.html U. S. Electoral College 2008 Certificate]
26. ^KFYR-TV North Dakota's NBC News Leader {{webarchive |url=https://web.archive.org/web/20090113142222/http://www.kfyrtv.com/News_Stories.asp?news=25201 |date=January 13, 2009 }}

See also

{{United States presidential election, 2008}}{{2008 U.S. presidential election state results}}{{DEFAULTSORT:United States Presidential Election In North Dakota, 2008}}

3 : 2008 United States presidential election by state|United States presidential elections in North Dakota|2008 North Dakota elections
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