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词条 2010 United States Senate election in Missouri
释义

  1. Republican primary

      Candidates    Polling    Results  

  2. Democratic primary

      Candidates    Results  

  3. Other primaries

      Constitution    Candidates    Declared    Libertarian    Candidates    Declared  

  4. General election

      Candidates    Campaign    Debates    Predictions    Polling    Fundraising    Results  

  5. See also

  6. References

  7. External links

{{Use mdy dates | date=December 2017}}{{Infobox election
| election_name = United States Senate election in Missouri, 2010
| country = Missouri
| type = presidential
| ongoing = Yes
| previous_election = United States Senate election in Missouri, 2004
| previous_year = 2004
| next_election = United States Senate election in Missouri, 2016
| next_year = 2016
| election_date = November 2, 2010
| image_size = x150px
| image1 =
| nominee1 = Roy Blunt
| party1 = Republican Party (United States)
| popular_vote1 = 1,054,160
| percentage1 = 54.2%
| image2 =
| nominee2 = Robin Carnahan
| party2 = Democratic Party (United States)
| popular_vote2 = 789,736
| percentage2 = 40.6%
| map_image = Missouri Senatorial Election Results by County, 2010.svg
| map_size = 250px
| map_caption = County results
| title = U.S. Senator
| before_election = Kit Bond
| before_party = Republican Party (United States)
| after_election = Roy Blunt
| after_party = Republican Party (United States)}}{{ElectionsMO}}

The 2010 United States Senate election in Missouri took place on November 2, 2010 alongside 36 other elections to the United States Senate in other states as well as elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections. Primary elections were held on August 3, 2010. Incumbent Republican U.S. Senator Kit Bond decided to retire instead of seeking a fifth term. Republican nominee Roy Blunt won the open seat.[1]

Republican primary

Candidates

  • Roy Blunt, U.S. Representative since 1997
  • Davis Conway
  • Tony Laszacs
  • Hector Maldonado
  • Kristi Nichols
  • R.L. Praprotnik
  • Chuck Purgason, State Senator
  • Deborah Solomon
  • Mike Vontz

Polling

Poll source Dates administered Roy Blunt Chuck Purgason Undecided
Public Policy Polling November 13–15, 200953% 16% 31%
Public Policy Polling March 27–28, 201048% 18% 34%

Results

{{Election box begin no change
| title = Republican primary results[2]
}}{{Election box winning candidate with party link no change
| candidate = Roy Blunt
| party = Republican Party (United States)
| votes = 411,040
| percentage = 70.9%
}}{{Election box candidate with party link no change
| candidate = Chuck Purgason
| party = Republican Party (United States)
| votes = 75,663
| percentage = 13.1%
}}{{Election box candidate with party link no change
| candidate = Kristi Nichols
| party = Republican Party (United States)
| votes = 40,744
| percentage = 7.0%
}}{{Election box candidate with party link no change
| candidate = Deborah Solomon
| party = Republican Party (United States)
| votes = 15,099
| percentage = 2.6%
}}{{Election box candidate with party link no change
| candidate = Hector Maldonado
| party = Republican Party (United States)
| votes = 8,731
| percentage = 1.5%
}}{{Election box candidate with party link no change
| candidate = Davis Conway
| party = Republican Party (United States)
| votes = 8,525
| percentage = 1.5%
}}{{Election box candidate with party link no change
| candidate = R.L. Praprotnik
| party = Republican Party (United States)
| votes = 8,047
| percentage = 1.4%
}}{{Election box candidate with party link no change
| candidate = Tony Laszacs
| party = Republican Party (United States)
| votes = 6,309
| percentage = 1.1%
}}{{Election box candidate with party link no change
| candidate = Mike Vontz
| party = Republican Party (United States)
| votes = 5,190
| percentage = 0.9%
}}{{Election box total no change
| votes = 579,348
| percentage = 100.00%
}}{{Election box end}}

Democratic primary

Candidates

  • Robin Carnahan, Missouri Secretary of State
  • Richard Charles Tolbert
  • Francis Vangeli

Results

{{Election box begin no change
| title = Democratic primary results[2]
}}{{Election box winning candidate with party link no change
| candidate = Robin Carnahan
| party = Democratic Party (United States)
| votes = 266,349
| percentage = 83.9%
}}{{Election box candidate with party link no change
| candidate = Richard Charles Tolbert
| party = Democratic Party (United States)
| votes = 33,731
| percentage = 10.6%
}}{{Election box candidate with party link no change
| candidate = Francis Vangeli
| party = Democratic Party (United States)
| votes = 17,511
| percentage = 5.5%
}}{{Election box total no change
| votes = 317,591
| percentage = 100.00%
}}{{Election box end}}

Other primaries

Constitution

Candidates

Declared
  • Jerry Beck
  • Joe Martellaro
  • Mike Simmons
{{Election box begin no change
| title = Constitution Party primary results[2]
}}{{Election box winning candidate with party link no change
| candidate = Jerry Beck
| party = Constitution Party (United States)
| votes = 819
| percentage = 43.5%
}}{{Election box candidate with party link no change
| candidate = Mike Simmons
| party = Constitution Party (United States)
| votes = 554
| percentage = 29.4%
}}{{Election box candidate with party link no change
| candidate = Joe Martello
| party = Constitution Party (United States)
| votes = 511
| percentage = 27.1%
}}{{Election box total no change
| votes = 1,884
| percentage = 100.00%
}}{{Election box end}}

Libertarian

Candidates

Declared
  • Jonathan Dine
  • Cisse Spragins
{{Election box begin no change
| title = Libertarian primary results[2]
}}{{Election box winning candidate with party link no change
| candidate = Jonathan Dine
| party = Libertarian Party (United States)
| votes = 2,069
| percentage = 58.6%
}}{{Election box candidate with party link no change
| candidate = Cisse Spragins
| party = Libertarian Party (United States)
| votes = 1,460
| percentage = 41.4%
}}{{Election box total no change
| votes = 3,529
| percentage = 100.00%
}}{{Election box end}}

General election

Candidates

  • Roy Blunt (R), U.S. Representative
  • Robin Carnahan (D), Missouri Secretary of State
  • Jerry Beck (C)
  • Jonathan Dine (L)
  • Mark S. Memoly (write-in)
  • Frazier Glenn Miller (write-in), perennial candidate
  • Jeff Wirick (write-in)
  • Richie L. Wolfe (write-in)

Campaign

Carnahan and national Democrats have heavily criticized Blunt for his support of bailouts, calling him "Bailout Blunt."[3] Blunt criticized her for supporting President Obama's stimulus package, the cap-and-trade energy bill, and the health care reform bill.[4]

Carnahan was endorsed by the Kansas City Star,[5] the St. Louis Post-Dispatch,[6] and the St. Louis American.[7]

Blunt was endorsed by the Quincy Herald-Whig[8] and the St. Joseph News-Press.[9]

Debates

  • October 14: Televised on Kansas City Public Television in Kansas City, Missouri.[10]
  • October 18: Missouri Press Association convention in Lake of the Ozarks State Park.[11]
  • October 29: Televised on KTVI in St. Louis.[12]

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
Cook Political ReportLeans R[13] October 25, 2010
RothenbergLean R[14] October 22, 2010
Swing State ProjectLeans R{{Citation needed | date=October 2010}}
RealClearPoliticsLikely R[15] October 25, 2010
Sabato's Crystal BallLikely R[16] October 21, 2010
CQ PoliticsLeans R[17] October 25, 2010
Rasmussen ReportsSafe R[13] October 25, 2010

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin
of error		 Roy Blunt (R) Robin Carnahan (D) Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling January 10–11, 2009 867 ± 3.3% 44%45% –– 11%
Wilson Strategies (R) March 7–9, 2009 600 ± 4.0% 44%47% –– 9%
[https://web.archive.org/web/20090517031528/http://www.democracycorps.com/strategy/2009/05/a-carnahan-advantage-in-missouri-senate-race Democracy Corps (D)] April 28–30, 2009 800 ± 3.5% 44%53% –– 3%
[https://web.archive.org/web/20101026175953/http://archcitychronicle.com/node/1026 Momentum Analysis (D)] September 19, 2009 802 ± 3.5% 45%48% –– 7%
Rasmussen Reports September 21, 2009 500 ± 4.5% 46% 46% 2% 5%
Public Policy Polling November 13–15, 2009 763 ± 3.6% 42%43% –– 15%
Rasmussen Reports December 15, 2009 500 ± 4.5% 44%46% 4% 6%
YouGovPolimetrix January 6–11, 2010 500 –– 39%43% –– 19%
Rasmussen Reports January 19, 2010 500 ± 4.5%49% 43% 3% 5%
Rasmussen Reports February 10, 2010 500 ± 4.5%49% 42% 3% 6%
Rasmussen Reports March 9, 2010 500 ± 4.5%47% 41% 4% 8%
Public Policy Polling March 27–28, 2010 495 ± 4.4%45% 41% –– 13%
Rasmussen Reports April 6, 2010 500 ± 4.5%48% 42% 3% 7%
Rasmussen Reports May 3, 2010 500 ± 4.5%50% 42% 4% 4%
Rasmussen Reports June 2, 2010 500 ± 4.5%45% 44% 4% 6%
Rasmussen Reports June 28, 2010 500 ± 4.5%48% 43% 3% 6%
Rasmussen Reports July 13, 2010 750 ± 4.0%47% 45% 2% 6%
Mason Dixon July 19–21, 2010 625 ± 4.0%48% 42% –– 10%
Rasmussen Reports July 27, 2010 750 ± 4.0%49% 43% 4% 4%
Rasmussen Reports August 10, 2010 750 ± 4.0%50% 43% 3% 4%
Public Policy Polling August 14–15, 2010 –– ± 3.73%45% 38% 8% 9%
Rasmussen Reports August 23, 2010 750 ± 4.0%51% 40% 5% 4%
Rasmussen Reports September 7, 2010 750 ± 4.0%53% 43% 2% 2%
Rasmussen Reports September 21, 2010 750 ± 4.0%52% 44% 2% 3%
Fox News/Pulse Opinion Research October 2, 2010 1,000 ± 3.0%50% 42% 5% 3%
CNN/Time/Opinion Research October 1–5, 2010 1,398 ± 2.5%53% 40% 4% ––
Rasmussen Reports October 5, 2010 750 ± 4.0%51% 43% 3% 2%
Fox News/Pulse Opinion Research October 16, 2010 1,000 ± 3.0%49% 43% 5% 3%
Public Policy Polling October 17–18, 2010 646 ± 3.9%46% 41% 6% 7%
Rasmussen Reports October 19, 2010 750 ± 4.0%52% 43% 4% 3%
Mason-Dixon October 18–20, 2010 625 ± 4.0%49% 40% 3% 8%
[https://web.archive.org/web/20110714173849/http://blogs.news-leader.com/mopolitics/files/2010/10/KOLRPoll-2.pdf KSN3/Missouri State University] October 20–27, 2010 821 ± 3.8%54% 41% 3% 2%

Fundraising

Candidate (party) Receipts Disbursements Cash on hand Debt
Roy Blunt (R) $8,203,670 $4,537,049 $4,003,030 $0
Robin Carnahan (D) $7,297,929 $3,658,278 $3,639,651 $0
Source: Federal Election Commission[18]

Results

{{Election box begin
| title = United States Senate election in Missouri, 2010[19]
}}{{Election box winning candidate with party link
| candidate = Roy Blunt
| party = Republican Party (United States)
| votes = 1,054,160
| percentage = 54.23%
| change = -1.86%
}}{{Election box candidate with party link
| candidate = Robin Carnahan
| party = Democratic Party (United States)
| votes = 789,736
| percentage = 40.63%
| change = -2.17%
}}{{Election box candidate with party link
| candidate = Jonathan Dine
| party = Libertarian Party (United States)
| votes = 58,663
| percentage = 3.02%
| change = +2.29%
}}{{Election box candidate with party link
| candidate = Jerry Beck
| party = Constitution Party (United States)
| votes = 41,309
| percentage = 2.13%
| change = +1.74%
}}{{Election box majority
| votes = 264,424
| percentage = 13.60%
| change =
}}{{Election box total
| votes = 1,943,868
| percentage = 100.00%
| change =
}}{{Election box hold with party link
| winner = Republican Party (United States)
| loser =
| swing =
}}{{Election box end}}

See also

  • United States Senate elections, 2010
  • Missouri state auditor election, 2010
  • Missouri Senate elections, 2010

References

1. ^[https://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2010/11/02/AR2010110207558.html Missouri election results 2010: Robin Carnahan defeated by Roy Blunt, Washington Post, 2 November 2010]
2. ^1 2 3 {{cite web | url=http://www.sos.mo.gov/enrweb/statewideresults.asp?eid=283 | title=Missouri Senate Primary results | work=Missouri SOS | date=August 3, 2010 | accessdate=August 3, 2010}}
3. ^Congressman 'Bailout' Blunt Tries to Redefine His Role in the $700 Billion Bailout | Fired Up! Missouri {{webarchive | url=https://web.archive.org/web/20100916044330/http://www.firedupmissouri.com/content/congressman-bailout-blunt-tries-redefine-his-role-700-billion-bailout | date=September 16, 2010 }}
4. ^Blunt's 2nd ad attacks Carnahan on Obama event
5. ^Recommendations for Missouri’s top races, editorial board, Kansas City Star, October 24, 2010
6. ^Carnahan for Senate: Part of the solution, not the problem, editorial board, St. Louis Post-Dispatch, October 22, 2010
7. ^American endorses Robin Carnahan and Barbara Fraser{{dead link | date=July 2016 | bot=InternetArchiveBot | fix-attempted=yes }}, editorial board, St. Louis American, October 21, 2010
8. ^Roy Blunt for Senate {{webarchive | url=https://web.archive.org/web/20101023142759/http://www.royblunt.com/news.php?id=28 | date=October 23, 2010 }}
9. ^Roy Blunt for Senate {{webarchive | url=https://web.archive.org/web/20101023142758/http://www.royblunt.com/news.php?id=30 | date=October 23, 2010 }}
10. ^[https://www.google.com/hostednews/ap/article/ALeqM5hK0EMHSA6IOdO-2FT7SrAlsbsoLAD9IRLPEO2?docId=D9IRLPEO2] {{Dead link | date=February 2011}}
11. ^Senate candidate heavyweights debate at lake - Camdenton, MO - Serving Missouri's Lake of the Ozarks region including Osage Beach, Camdenton, Lake Ozark, Eldon and Sunrise Bea... {{webarchive | url=https://web.archive.org/web/20110713182041/http://www.lakenewsonline.com/news/x1389369414/Senate-candidate-heavyweights-debate-at-lake | date=July 13, 2011 }}
12. ^Blunt and Carnahan Fire Up Supporters - KTVI {{webarchive | url=https://web.archive.org/web/20101107163614/http://www.fox2now.com/news/ktvi-blunt-carnahan-fire-up-supporters-102910,0,5528248.story | date=November 7, 2010 }}
13. ^1 {{Cite web | url=http://cookpolitical.com/senate | title=Senate | publisher=Cook Political Report | accessdate=October 25, 2010}}
14. ^{{Cite web | url=http://rothenbergpoliticalreport.com/ratings/senate | title=Senate Ratings | publisher=Rothenberg Political Report | accessdate=October 25, 2010}}
15. ^{{Cite web | url=http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2010/senate/2010_elections_senate_map.html | title=Battle for the Senate | publisher=RealClearPolitics | accessdate=October 25, 2010}}
16. ^{{Cite web | url=http://www.centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/articles/category/2010-senate | title=2010 Senate Ratings | publisher=Sabato's Crystal Ball | accessdate=October 25, 2010}}
17. ^{{Cite web | url=http://www.cqpolitics.com/wmspage.cfm?docID=ratings-senate | title=Race Ratings Chart: Senate | publisher=CQ Politics | accessdate=October 25, 2010 | deadurl=yes | archiveurl=https://web.archive.org/web/20101028234525/http://www.cqpolitics.com/wmspage.cfm?docID=ratings-senate | archivedate=October 28, 2010 }}
18. ^{{cite web | url=http://www.fec.gov:80/DisclosureSearch/HSRefreshCandList.do?category=stateS_all&stateName=MO&election_yr=2010 | title=2010 House and Senate Campaign Finance for Missouri | publisher=fec.gov | accessdate=August 19, 2010}}
19. ^http://www.sos.mo.gov/enrweb/statewideresults.asp?eid=300

External links

  • Elections from the Missouri Secretary of State
    • Official candidate lists
  • U.S. Congress candidates for Missouri at Project Vote Smart
  • Missouri U.S. Senate 2010 from OurCampaigns.com
  • Campaign contributions from Open Secrets
  • [https://archive.is/20130131133416/http://www.pollster.com/polls/mo/10-mo-sen-ge-bvc.php 2010 Missouri Senate General Election: Roy Blunt (R) vs Robin Carnahan (D)] graph of multiple polls from Pollster.com
  • Election 2010: Missouri Senate from Rasmussen Reports
  • 2010 Missouri Senate - Blunt vs. Carnahan from Real Clear Politics
  • [https://archive.is/20130120075614/http://www.cqpolitics.com/wmspage.cfm?docID=senate-2010-MO 2010 Missouri Senate Race] from CQ Politics
  • Race profile from The New York Times
  • [https://web.archive.org/web/20100723133356/http://midwestdemocracyproject.org/ News coverage] from The Midwest Democracy Project at The Kansas City Star
  • News coverage at the St. Louis Post-Dispatch
Official campaign websites
  • Roy Blunt for U.S. Senate
  • Robin Carnahan for U.S. Senate
  • [https://web.archive.org/web/20100910075339/http://electbeckussenate.com/ Jerry Beck for U.S. Senate]
  • [https://web.archive.org/web/20100612161720/http://spraginsforsenate.com/ Cisse Spragins for U.S. Senate]
  • Hector Maldonado for U.S. Senate
{{United States elections, 2010}}

3 : 2010 United States Senate elections|United States Senate elections in Missouri|2010 Missouri elections
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