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词条 2010 United States Senate election in North Dakota
释义

  1. Background

  2. Democratic-NPL primary

      Candidates    Results  

  3. Republican primary

      Candidates    Results  

  4. Libertarian primary

      Candidates    Results  

  5. General election

      Candidates    Campaign    Predictions    Polling    Fundraising    Results  

  6. References

  7. External links

{{Use mdy dates | date=December 2017}}{{Infobox election
| election_name = 2010 United States Senate election in North Dakota
| country = North Dakota
| type = presidential
| ongoing = Yes
| previous_election = 2004 United States Senate election in North Dakota
| previous_year = 2004
| next_election = 2016 United States Senate election in North Dakota
| next_year = 2016
| election_date = November 2, 2010
| image1 =
| nominee1 = John Hoeven
| party1 = Republican Party (United States)
| popular_vote1 = 181,689
| percentage1 = 76.1%
| image2 =
| nominee2 = Tracy Potter
| party2 = North Dakota Democratic-NPL Party
| popular_vote2 = 52,955
| percentage2 = 22.2%
| map_image = North Dakota R Sweep.svg
| map_size = 250px
| map_caption = County Results

Hoeven: {{legend0|#e27f7f|50–60%}} {{legend0|#d75d5d|60–70%}} {{legend0|#d72f30|70–80%}} {{legend0|#c21b18|80–90%}} {{legend0|#a80000|90–100%}}


| title = U.S. Senator
| before_election = Byron Dorgan
| before_party = Democratic Party (United States)
| after_election = John Hoeven
| after_party = Republican Party (United States)
}}{{ElectionsND}}

The 2010 United States Senate election in North Dakota took place on November 2, 2010, alongside other elections to the United States Senate in other states as well as elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections. Incumbent Democratic U.S. Senator Byron Dorgan announced in January 2010 that he would not seek reelection. Republican Governor John Hoeven won the open seat.

Background

Incumbent Byron Dorgan never had a difficult time getting elected, as he obtained 59%, 63%, and 68% in his three senate election bids, respectively. However, in December 2009, Rasmussen Reports conducted a hypothetical matchup of Governor John Hoeven against the incumbent. Hoeven led by a large margin, 58% to Dorgan's 36%. Polls showed that 61% of the state still had a favorable view of Dorgan, and if pitted against State Senator Duane Sand, the incumbent led 52% to 37%.[1]

Several prominent members of the North Dakota Democratic-NPL Party expressed an interest in the U.S. Senate race once Senator Dorgan announced that he would not run again. Among those people were Joel Heitkamp, a former North Dakota state senator and current radio talk show host of News and Views on KFGO Radio in Fargo, N.D. His sister, former North Dakota Attorney General Heidi Heitkamp of Bismarck, N.D., also considered running, but declined to enter the race as well.

Others who had indicated an interest in the race were businesswoman Kristin Hedger and national progressive talk show host Ed Schultz. Hedger was the Democratic candidate for North Dakota Secretary of State in the 2006 general election, which she lost to the incumbent, Republican Alvin Jaeger.

While flattered to have been asked, Schultz said he had to decline in that he would have been forced to give up his nightly television program on MSNBC The Ed Show as well as his daily progressive national radio show, The Ed Schultz Show, in order to run.

Also, Federal Communications Commission regulations decree that equal and free air time would have had to be given to whomever Schultz's opponents would have been in the election in order to allow them to respond to anything that Schultz would have said about them on his programs.

Democratic-NPL primary

Candidates

  • Tracy Potter, state senator[2]

Results

{{Election box begin no change
| title = Democratic-NPL primary results[3]
}}{{Election box winning candidate with party link no change
| candidate = Tracy Potter
| party = North Dakota Democratic-NPL Party
| votes = 26,211
| percentage = 99.6%
}}{{Election box candidate with party link no change
| candidate = Write-in
| party = North Dakota Democratic-NPL Party
| votes = 95
| percentage = 0.4%
}}{{Election box total no change
| votes = 26,306
| percentage = 100.0%
}}{{Election box end}}

Republican primary

Candidates

  • John Hoeven, Governor[4]

Results

{{Election box begin no change
| title = Republican primary results[3]
}}{{Election box winning candidate with party link no change
| candidate = John Hoeven
| party = Republican Party (United States)
| votes = 64,978
| percentage = 99.8%
}}{{Election box candidate with party link no change
| candidate = Timothy Beattie
| party = Republican Party (United States)
| votes = 130
| percentage = 0.2%
}}{{Election box total no change
| votes = 65,108
| percentage = 100.0%
}}{{Election box end}}

Libertarian primary

Candidates

  • Keith Hanson[5]

Results

{{Election box begin no change
| title = Libertarian primary results[3]
}}{{Election box winning candidate with party link no change
| candidate = Keith Hanson
| party = Libertarian Party (United States)
| votes = 532
| percentage = 97.6%
}}{{Election box candidate with party link no change
| candidate = Write-in
| party = Libertarian Party (United States)
| votes = 13
| percentage = 2.4%
}}{{Election box total no change
| votes = 545
| percentage = 100.0%
}}{{Election box end}}

General election

Candidates

  • Keith Hanson (L), engineer
  • John Hoeven (R), governor
  • Tracy Potter (D), state senator

Campaign

Hoeven was challenged in the race by North Dakota State Senator Tracy Potter of Bismarck. Potter received the endorsement of the North Dakota Democratic-NPL Party at its state convention on March 27, 2010. Governor Hoeven and Senator Potter advanced to the November 2, 2010 general election following balloting in North Dakota's primary election, which was held on June 8, 2010. Neither candidate faced any significant opposition in the primary election.

Aggregate polling indicated that Hoeven had large leads against Potter. Hoeven was enormously popular and enjoyed instant name recognition throughout the state of North Dakota. Hoeven was elected to an unprecedented third consecutive four-year term as governor in November 2008. Hoeven's election in 2010 to the U.S. Senate appeared to be all but a sure thing even before the campaign officially started. The immensely popular Hoeven enjoyed double-digit leads in opinion polling relative to the U.S. Senate race since earlier this year.[6][7]

John Hoeven was sworn into the U.S. Senate on January 3, 2011.

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
Cook Political ReportSolid R[8] October 26, 2010
RothenbergSafe R[9] October 22, 2010
Swing State ProjectSafe R{{Citation needed | date=October 2010}}
RealClearPoliticsSafe R[10] October 26, 2010
Sabato's Crystal BallSafe R[11] October 21, 2010
CQ PoliticsSafe R[12] October 26, 2010

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin
of error		John
Hoeven (R)		Tracy
Potter (D)		 Other Undecided
Rasmussen Reports (report) February 9–10, 2010 500 ± 4.5%71% 17% 4% 8%
Rasmussen Reports (report) March 23, 2010 500 ± 4.5%68% 25% 2% 5%
Rasmussen Reports (report) April 20, 2010 500 ± 4.5%69% 24% 2% 5%
Rasmussen Reports (report) May 18–19, 2010 500 ± 4.5%72% 23% 2% 3%
Rasmussen Reports (report) June 15–16, 2010 500 ± 4.5%73% 19% 2% 6%
Rasmussen Reports (report) July 21, 2010 500 ± 4.5%69% 22% 2% 7%
Rasmussen Reports (report) August 10, 2010 500 ± 4.5%69% 25% 1% 5%
Rasmussen Reports (report) September 20–21, 2010 500 ± 4.5%68% 25% 2% 5%
Rasmussen Reports (report) October 20, 2010 500 ± 4.5%72% 25% 0% 3%

Fundraising

Candidate (party) Receipts Disbursements Cash on hand Debt
John Hoeven (R) $3,419,202 $2,246,827 $1,172,375 $100,000
Tracy Potter (D) $117,739 $82,505 $35,332 $13,601
Source: Federal Election Commission[13]

Results

{{Election box begin
| title = General election results[14]}}{{Election box winning candidate with party link
| party = Republican Party (United States)
| candidate = John Hoeven
| votes = 181,689
| percentage = 76.08%
| change = +44.36%
}}{{Election box candidate with party link
| party = North Dakota Democratic-NPL Party
| candidate = Tracy Potter
| votes = 52,955
| percentage = 22.17%
| change = -46.11%
}}{{Election box candidate with party link
| party = Libertarian Party (United States)
| candidate = Keith Hanson
| votes = 3,890
| percentage = 1.63%
| change = N/A
}}{{Election box majority
| votes = 128,734
| percentage = 53.91%
| change =
}}{{Election box turnout
| votes = 238,534
| percentage = 100.00%
| change =
}}{{Election box gain with party link
| winner = Republican Party (United States)
| loser = North Dakota Democratic-NPL Party
| swing =
}}{{Election box end}}

References

1. ^{{cite web | url=http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2010/election_2010_senate_elections/north_dakota/2010_north_dakota_senate_hoeven_58_dorgan_36 | title=2010 North Dakota Senate: Hoeven 58%, Dorgan 36% - Rasmussen Reports | publisher=Rasmussenreports.com | accessdate=August 21, 2010}}
2. ^{{cite web | url=http://www.bismarcktribune.com/news/local/govt-and-politics/election2010/article_7e41c5b8-126f-11df-b9de-001cc4c03286.html | title=Potter seeks center in Senate race | publisher=Bismarcktribune.com | date=February 5, 2010 | accessdate=June 14, 2010}}
3. ^1 2 {{cite web | url=http://results.sos.nd.gov/resultsSW.aspx?text=Race&type=SW&map=CTY | title=North Dakota Secretary of State | publisher=ND Secretary of State | accessdate=June 9, 2010}}
4. ^{{cite web | url=http://www.bismarcktribune.com/news/local/govt-and-politics/article_65226d46-ff26-11de-a363-001cc4c002e0.html | title=Hoeven ends suspense, enters Senate race | publisher=Bismarcktribune.com | date=January 11, 2010 | accessdate=June 14, 2010}}
5. ^{{cite news | title=Hoeven raises $1.37M in donations for N.D. Senate campaign | publisher=Grand Forks Herald | agency=Associated Press | first=Dale | last=Wetzel | url=http://www.grandforksherald.com/event/article/id/157847/group/Elections%202010 }}
6. ^{{cite web | last=Rudin | first=Ken | url=https://www.npr.org/blogs/politicaljunkie/2009/11/early_look_at_2010_senate_race.html | title=Early Look At 2010 Senate Races: GOP Shows Improvement Since June | publisher=NPR | date=November 11, 2009 | accessdate=June 14, 2010}}
7. ^{{cite web | last=Silver | first=Nate | url=http://www.fivethirtyeight.com/2010/03/democrats-now-project-to-hold-average.html | title=Politics Done Right: Senate Forecast Update, 3/24 | publisher=FiveThirtyEight | date=March 24, 2010 | accessdate=June 14, 2010}}
8. ^{{Cite web | url=http://cookpolitical.com/senate | title=Senate | publisher=Cook Political Report | accessdate=October 26, 2010}}
9. ^{{Cite web | url=http://rothenbergpoliticalreport.com/ratings/senate | title=Senate Ratings | publisher=Rothenberg Political Report | accessdate=October 26, 2010}}
10. ^{{Cite web | url=http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2010/senate/2010_elections_senate_map.html | title=Battle for the Senate | publisher=RealClearPolitics | accessdate=October 26, 2010}}
11. ^{{Cite web | url=http://www.centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/articles/category/2010-senate | title=2010 Senate Ratings | publisher=Sabato's Crystal Ball | accessdate=October 26, 2010}}
12. ^{{Cite web | url=http://www.cqpolitics.com/wmspage.cfm?docID=ratings-senate | title=Race Ratings Chart: Senate | publisher=CQ Politics | accessdate=October 26, 2010 | deadurl=yes | archiveurl=https://web.archive.org/web/20101028234525/http://www.cqpolitics.com/wmspage.cfm?docID=ratings-senate | archivedate=October 28, 2010 }}
13. ^{{cite web | url=http://www.fec.gov:80/DisclosureSearch/HSRefreshCandList.do?category=stateS_all&stateName=ND&election_yr=2010 | title=2010 House and Senate Campaign Finance for North Dakota | publisher=fec.gov | accessdate=June 7, 2010}}
14. ^{{cite web|title=Official Results General Election|url=http://results.sos.nd.gov/resultsCTY.aspx?eid=22&text=Race&type=SW&rid=1&osn=110&map=CTY|website=North Dakota Secretary of State|accessdate=February 21, 2018|date=November 2, 2010}}

External links

  • North Dakota - Elections and Voting
  • U.S. Congress candidates for North Dakota at Project Vote Smart
  • North Dakota U.S. Senate 2010 from OurCampaigns.com
  • Campaign contributions from Open Secrets
  • 2010 North Dakota Senate General Election: All Head-to-Head Matchups graph of multiple polls from Pollster.com
  • Election 2010: North Dakota Senate from Rasmussen Reports
  • 2010 North Dakota Senate Race from Real Clear Politics
  • 2010 North Dakota Senate Race from CQ Politics
  • Race profile from The New York Times
Official campaign websites
  • Keith Hanson for U.S. Senate
  • John Hoeven for U.S. Senate
  • Tracy Potter for U.S. Senate
  • Paul Sorum for U.S. Senate
{{United States elections, 2010}}{{NDUSSenateElections}}

3 : 2010 North Dakota elections|2010 United States Senate elections|United States Senate elections in North Dakota
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