释义 |
- Background
- Democratic primary Candidates Polling Results
- Republican primary Candidates Declared Withdrew Declined Polling Results
- General election Candidates Debates Fundraising Top contributors Top industries Predictions Polling Results
- See also
- References
- External links
{{Use mdy dates|date=December 2017}}{{Infobox election | election_name = United States Senate election in New Jersey, 2012 | country = New Jersey | type = presidential | ongoing = no | previous_election = United States Senate election in New Jersey, 2006 | previous_year = 2006 | next_election = United States Senate election in New Jersey, 2018 | next_year = 2018 | election_date = November 6, 2012 | image1 = | nominee1 = Bob Menendez | party1 = Democratic Party (United States) | popular_vote1 = 1,987,680 | percentage1 = {{percentage|1987680|3376649|1}} | image2 = | nominee2 = Joe Kyrillos | party2 = Republican Party (United States) | popular_vote2 = 1,329,534 | percentage2 = {{percentage|1329534|3376649|1}} | map_image = 2012_NJ_Senate_Map.svg | map_size = 125px | map_caption = County results Menendez: {{legend0|#7996e2|50–60%}} {{legend0|#6674de|60–70%}} {{legend0|#584cde|70–80%}} Kyrillos: {{legend0|#e27f7f|50–60%}}
| title = U.S. Senator | before_election = Bob Menendez | before_party = Democratic Party (United States) | after_election = Bob Menendez | after_party = Democratic Party (United States) }}{{ElectionsNJ}}The 2012 United States Senate election in New Jersey took place on November 6, 2012, concurrently with the 2012 U.S. presidential election as well as other elections to the United States Senate and House of Representatives and various state and local elections. Incumbent Democratic U.S. Senator Bob Menendez won re-election to a second full term. This was the first time since 1976 that a candidate for this seat received over 55% of the vote. Background Bob Menendez became the first Hispanic-American U.S. senator to represent New Jersey in January 2006 when former U.S. senator Jon Corzine appointed him to the seat after having resigned to become governor of New Jersey, following his election in November 2005.[1] In November 2006, after a tough and painful election, Menendez defeated Republican state senator Thomas Kean, Jr. with 53.3% of the vote. Democratic primary Candidates - Bob Menendez, incumbent U.S. Senator[2]
Polling Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Bob Menendez | Someone else | Unsure |
---|
Fairleigh Dickinson University | March 5–11, 2012 | 404 | ±5.0% | 30% | 37% | 33% |
Results {{Election box begin no change | title = Democratic primary results[3] }}{{Election box winning candidate with party link no change | candidate = Bob Menendez (Incumbent) | party = Democratic Party (United States) | votes = 235,321 | percentage = 100 }}{{Election box total no change | votes = 235,321 | percentage = 100 }}{{Election box end}} Republican primary Candidates Declared - David Brown, inventor[3]
- Joseph Kyrillos, State Senator[4]
- Bader Qarmout, businessman and adjunct professor at the County College of Morris[5]
- Joseph Rudy Rullo, businessman[6]
Withdrew - Ian Linker, attorney[7]
- Anna Little, former mayor of Highlands and candidate for NJ-06 in 2010[8]
Declined - Diane Allen, state senator, candidate for the U.S. Senate in 2002 and former news broadcaster[9]
- Chris Christie, Governor of New Jersey and former U.S. Attorney[10][11]
- John Crowley, biotechnology executive[12]
- Michael Doherty, state senator[13]
- Tim Smith, financial services firm executive and member of the Roxbury Township Council[14]
- Jay Webber, State Assemblyman and former New Jersey Republican State Committee chairman[15][16]
Polling Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Michael Doherty | Kim Guadagno | Woody Johnson | Tom Kean Jr. | Joseph Kyrillos | Anna Little | Tim Smith | Other | Undecided |
---|
Public Policy Polling | July 15–18, 2011 | 300 | ±5.7% | 7% | 10% | 9% | 36% | 3% | 4% | 2% | — | 30% |
Results {{Election box begin no change | title = Republican primary results[17] }}{{Election box winning candidate with party link no change | candidate = Joseph Kyrillos | party = Republican Party (United States) | votes = 161,146 | percentage = 77.1 }}{{Election box candidate with party link no change | candidate = David Brown | party = Republican Party (United States) | votes = 18,671 | percentage = 8.9 }}{{Election box candidate with party link no change | candidate = Joseph Rullo | party = Republican Party (United States) | votes = 16,690 | percentage = 8.0 }}{{Election box candidate with party link no change | candidate = Bader Qarmout | party = Republican Party (United States) | votes = 12,637 | percentage = 6.0 }}{{Election box total no change | votes = 209,144 | percentage = 100% }}{{Election box end}} General election Candidates - Bob Menendez (Democratic), incumbent U.S. Senator
- Joe Kyrillos (Republican), state senator
- Inder "Andy" Soni (America First)
- Ken Wolski (Green), medical marijuana activist and former nurse[18]
- Gwen Diakos (Jersey Strong Independents), civilian defense contractor[3][19]
- Kenneth R. Kaplan (Libertarian), commercial real estate broker[20]
- Eugene Martin LaVergne (Independent)
- Daryl Mikell Brooks (Reform Nation), activist
- Robert "Turk" Turkavage (Responsibility Fairness Integrity), former FBI agent
- Greg Pason (Socialist), National Secretary of the Socialist Party USA and perennial candidate[21]
- J. David Dranikoff (Totally Independent Candidate), businessman
Debates Three debates were scheduled. The first debate took place on October 4, 2012, at Montclair State University. Menendez and Kyrillos participated. The second took place on October 10 at NJ 101.5 studios, Trenton NJ[22] The third was to take place on October 17 at Mercer County Community College[23] - External links
- Complete video and transcript at C-SPAN, first debate, October 4, 2012
- Complete video and transcript at C-SPAN, second debate, October 13, 2012
Fundraising Candidate (party) | Receipts | Disbursements | Cash on hand | Debt |
---|
Bob Menendez (D) | $10,243,864 | $2,325,178 | $10,345,365 | $0 | Joseph Kyrillos (R) | $3,106,536 | $1,132,232 | $1,974,302 | $50,236 | Kenneth R. Kaplan (L) | $800 | $0 | $800 | $0 | Source: Federal Election Commission[24][25][26] |
Top contributors [27] Bob Menendez | Contribution | Joseph Kyrillos | Contribution |
---|
Lowenstein Sandler | $116,160 | McElroy, Deutsch, Mulvaney & Carpenter, LLP | $133,098 | Greenberg Traurig | $78,250 | Allied Management Inc | $22,000 | NORPAC | $70,550 | Connell Foley | $18,250 | Prudential Financial | $66,800 | Maser Consulting | $17,250 | DeCotiis, FitzPatrick & Cole | $48,150 | B&L Tire | $15,000 | Kindred Healthcare | $48,000 | Berkeley College | $15,000 | Verizon Communications | $47,050 | CJ Hesse | $15,000 | Medco Health Solutions | $41,249 | GlobalTel | $15,000 | DLA Piper | $41,000 | Langer Transport Corp | $15,000 | Dade Medical College | $40,000 | Fgi Finance | $14,000 |
Top industries [28] Bob Menendez | Contribution | Joe Kyrillos | Contribution |
---|
Lawyers/Law Firms | $1,633,843 | Lawyers/Law Firms | $312,845 | Real Estate | $1,096,684 | Retired | $103,900 | Lobbyists | $578,182 | Financial Institutions | $98,200 | Financial Institutions | $532,651 | Real Estate | $98,150 | Health Professionals | $524,810 | Health Professionals | $62,100 | Retired | $411,525 | Business Services | $60,250 | Construction Services | $388,550 | Construction Services | $54,300 | Pharmaceuticals/Health Products | $353,250 | Universities | $51,250 | Insurance | $338,550 | General Contractors | $39,500 | Leadership PACs | $328,244 | Misc Business | $38,550 |
Predictions Source | Ranking | As of |
---|
The Cook Political Report[29] | {{sort|097|Likely D}} | November 1, 2012 | Sabato's Crystal Ball[30] | {{sort|097|Likely D}} | November 5, 2012 | Rothenberg Political Report[31] | {{sort|096|Safe D}} | November 2, 2012 | Real Clear Politics[32] | {{sort|097|Likely D}} | November 5, 2012 |
Polling Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Bob Menendez (D) | Joseph Kyrillos (R) | Other | Undecided |
---|
Fairleigh Dickinson University | January 3–9, 2011 | 802 | ±3.5% | 41% | 29% | — | 30% | Public Policy Polling | July 15–18, 2011 | 480 | ±4.5% | 48% | 29% | — | 23% | Farleigh Dickinson University | September 19–25, 2011 | 800 | ±3.5% | 49% | 28% | — | 22% | Farleigh Dickinson University | January 2–8, 2012 | 800 | ±3.5% | 43% | 31% | — | 26% | Rutgers-Eagleton | February 9–11, 2012 | 914 | ±3.3% | 44% | 22% | 1% | 26% | Survey USA | February 24–26, 2012 | 533 | ±4.3% | 46% | 31% | — | 23% | Quinnipiac | February 21–27, 2012 | 1,396 | ±2.6% | 49% | 34% | 1% | 14% | Farleigh Dickinson University | March 5–11, 2012 | 396 | ±2.6% | 43% | 33% | — | 23% | Quinnipiac | April 3–9, 2012 | 1,607 | ±2.4% | 44% | 35% | 1% | 20% | Fairleigh Dickenson/PublicMind | April 30 – May 6, 2012 | 400 | ±5% | 42% | 33% | — | 24% | Quinnipiac | May 9–14, 2012 | 1,582 | ±2.5% | 45% | 35% | 2% | 19% | Quinnipiac | July 9–14, 2012 | 1,623 | ±2.5% | 47% | 34% | 1% | 16% | Monmouth University | July 18–22, 2012 | 535 LV | ±2.5% | 44% | 35% | 1% | 19% | Monmouth University | July 23–27, 2012 | 849 RV | ±2.5% | 45% | 33% | 1% | 22% | Rutgers-Eagleton | August 23–25, 2012 | 688 LV | ±3.7% | 47% | 35% | 8% | 10% | Quinnipaic University | August 27 – September 2, 2012 | 1,471 LV | ±2.5% | 50% | 40% | — | 10% | Quinnipaic University | September 6–12, 2012 | 706 LV | ±2.5% | 50% | 36% | — | 16% | Philadelphia Inquirer | September 9–12, 2012 | 600 LV | ±2.5% | 43% | 32% | — | 12% | Monmouth University | September 19–23, 2012 | 613 LV | ±2.5% | 49% | 34% | — | 15% | Philadelphia Inquirer | October 4–8, 2012 | 604 LV | ±4% | 49% | 35% | — | 15% | Quinnipiac | October 10–14, 2012 | 1,319 LV | ±2.7% | 55% | 37% | — | 15% | [https://www.scribd.com/doc/110776632/NJ-Sen-Stockton-College-Oct-2012 Stockton] | October 12–18, 2012 | 811 LV | ±3.5% | 52% | 30% | — | 18% | SurveyUSA | October 17–18, 2012 | 577 LV | ±4.2% | 53% | 33% | 5% | 9% | Philadelphia Inquirer | October 23–25, 2012 | 601 LV | ±4% | 50% | 32% | — | 18% |
Hypothetical polling |
---|
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Bob Menendez (D) | Jennifer Beck (R) | Other | Undecided |
---|
Fairleigh Dickinson University | January 3–9, 2011 | 802 | ±3.5% | 42% | 29% | — | 29% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Bob Menendez (D) | Lou Dobbs (R) | Other | Undecided |
---|
Public Policy Polling | January 6–9, 2011 | 520 | ±4.3% | 47% | 35% | — | 18% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Bob Menendez (D) | Lou Dobbs (I) | Other | Undecided |
---|
Fairleigh Dickinson University | January 4–10, 2010 | 801 | ±3.5% | 37% | 34% | — | 28% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Bob Menendez (D) | Michael Doherty (R) | Other | Undecided |
---|
Fairleigh Dickinson University | Feb. 23 – March 1, 2010 | 801 | ±3.5% | 40% | 27% | 8% | 25% | Fairleigh Dickinson University | January 3–9, 2011 | 802 | ±3.5% | 40% | 30% | — | 30% | Public Policy Polling | July 15–18, 2011 | 480 | ±4.5% | 48% | 35% | — | 17% | Farleigh Dickinson University | September 19–25, 2011 | 800 | ±3.5% | 49% | 30% | — | 22% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Bob Menendez (D) | Kim Guadagno (R) | Other | Undecided |
---|
Fairleigh Dickinson University | January 3–9, 2011 | 802 | ±3.5% | 47% | 26% | — | 27% | Public Policy Polling | January 6–9, 2011 | 520 | ±4.3% | 45% | 30% | — | 24% | Public Policy Polling | July 15–18, 2011 | 480 | ±4.5% | 48% | 34% | — | 18% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Bob Menendez (D) | Woody Johnson (R) | Other | Undecided |
---|
Public Policy Polling | July 15–18, 2011 | 480 | ±4.5% | 48% | 30% | — | 22% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Bob Menendez (D) | Tom Kean Jr. (R) | Other | Undecided |
---|
Fairleigh Dickinson University | Jan. 23 – February 1, 2010 | 801 | ±3.5% | 35% | 45% | 2% | 15% | Fairleigh Dickinson University | Feb. 23 – March 1, 2010 | 801 | ±3.5% | 38% | 39% | 6% | 17% | Fairleigh Dickinson University | January 3–9, 2011 | 802 | ±3.5% | 44% | 34% | — | 22% | Public Policy Polling | January 6–9, 2011 | 520 | ±4.3% | 41% | 39% | — | 19% | Public Policy Polling | July 15–18, 2011 | 480 | ±4.5% | 44% | 39% | — | 16% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Bob Menendez (D) | Anna Little (R) | Other | Undecided |
---|
Farleigh Dickinson University | January 2–8, 2012 | 800 | ±3.5% | 43% | 31% | — | 26% | Survey USA | February 24–26, 2012 | 533 | ±4.3% | 48% | 29% | — | 23% | {{Election box end}} Results {{Election box begin | title=United States Senate election in New Jersey, 2012[33]}}{{Election box winning candidate with party link | party = Democratic Party (United States) | candidate = Bob Menendez (incumbent) | votes = 1,987,680 | percentage = 58.87% | change = +5.50% }}{{Election box candidate with party link | party = Republican Party (United States) | candidate = Joseph Kyrillos | votes = 1,329,534 | percentage = 39.37% | change = -4.97% }}{{Election box candidate with party link | party = Libertarian Party (United States) | candidate = Kenneth R. Kaplan | votes = 16,803 | percentage = 0.50% | change = -0.15% }}{{Election box candidate with party link | party = Green Party (United States) | candidate = Ken Wolski | votes = 15,801 | percentage = 0.47% | change = N/A }}{{Election box candidate with party link | party = Independent (United States) | candidate = Gwen Diakos | votes = 9,359 | percentage = 0.28% | change = N/A }}{{Election box candidate with party link | party = Independent (United States) | candidate = J. David Dranikoff | votes = 3,834 | percentage = 0.11% | change = N/A }}{{Election box candidate with party link | party = Independent (United States) | candidate = Inder "Andy" Soni | votes = 3,593 | percentage = 0.11% | change = N/A }}{{Election box candidate with party link | party = Independent (United States) | candidate = Robert "Turk" Turkavage | votes = 3,532 | percentage = 0.10% | change = N/A }}{{Election box candidate with party link | party = Socialist Party USA | candidate = Greg Pason | votes = 2,249 | percentage = 0.07% | change = -0.04% }}{{Election box candidate with party link | party = Independent (United States) | candidate = Eugene M. LaVergne | votes = 2,198 | percentage = 0.07% | change = N/A }}{{Election box candidate with party link | party = Independent (United States) | candidate = Daryl Brooks | votes = 2,066 | percentage = 0.06% | change = -0.17% }}{{Election box total | votes = 3,376,649 | percentage = 100.0% | change = N/A }}{{Election box hold with party link no swing | winner = Democratic Party (United States) }}{{Election box end}} See also - United States Senate elections, 2012
- United States House of Representatives elections in New Jersey, 2012
References 1. ^{{cite web|url=https://www.nytimes.com/2005/12/08/politics/08senate.html|title=Corzine Is Said to Have Picked a Replacement|date=December 8, 2005|accessdate=December 29, 2010|work=The New York Times|first=David W.|last=Chen}} 2. ^Menendez for Senate 2012 3. ^1 {{cite web|url=http://www.app.com/article/20120410/NJNEWS1002/304100006/Menendez-unopposed-Senate-primary-after-rival-rejected|title=Menendez unopposed in Senate primary after rival rejected|date=April 10, 2012|accessdate=April 15, 2012|work=Asbury Park Press|first=Michael|last=Symons}} 4. ^{{cite web|url=http://www.nj.com/news/index.ssf/2012/01/nj_sen_joseph_kyrillos_to_seek.html|title=N.J. Sen. Joseph Kyrillos to seek U.S. Senate seat|date=January 19, 2012|accessdate=January 19, 2012|work=The Star-Ledger|first=Matt|last=Friedman}} 5. ^{{cite web|url=http://www.njherald.com/story/16943896/green-resident-launches-long-shot-bid-for-us-senate|title=Local man launches bid for U.S. Senate|date=February 15, 2012|accessdate=February 17, 2012|work=New Jersey Herald|first=Rob|last=Jennings}} 6. ^{{cite web|url=http://www.nj.com/news/index.ssf/2012/02/gov_christie_makes_fundraising.html|title=Gov. Christie makes campaign appearance for N.J. Sen. Joe Kyrillos' U.S. Senate bid|date=February 16, 2012|accessdate=February 20, 2012|work=The Star-Ledger|first=Jenna|last=Portnoy}} 7. ^{{cite web|url=http://www.politickernj.com/51116/linker-ends-his-conservative-bid-us-senate|title=Linker ends his conservative bid for the U.S. Senate|date=September 21, 2011|accessdate=October 23, 2011|work=PolitickerNJ|first=Max|last=Pizarro}} 8. ^{{cite web|url=http://www.politickernj.com/55644/winners-and-losers-conventions-edition|title=Winners and Losers: Conventions Edition|date=March 18, 2012|accessdate=March 19, 2012|work=Politicker NJ}} 9. ^Sen. Diane Allen on lessons from the campaign trail | NJ.com 10. ^{{cite web|url=http://www.northjersey.com/news/opinions/christie_113010.html|title=Opinion: Will Christie wage battle to defeat Menendez in 2012?|date=November 30, 2010|accessdate=December 29, 2010|work=The Record|first=Mark|last=Greenbaum}} 11. ^{{cite web|url=http://www.nj.com/news/index.ssf/2010/11/gov_christie_us_sen_menendez_p.html|title=Gov. Christie, U.S. Sen. Menendez expected to clash in long-awaited N.J. political battle|date=November 3, 2010|accessdate=December 29, 2010|work=The Star-Ledger|first=Josh|last=Margolin}} 12. ^Crowley Won't Run For Senate - Hotline On Call 13. ^{{cite web|url=http://www.politickernj.com/54731/doherty-formally-backs-kyrillos-senate|title=Doherty formally backs Kyrillos for Senate|date=February 10, 2012|accessdate=February 17, 2012|work=PolitickerNJ|first=Max|last=Pizarro}} 14. ^{{cite web|url=http://blog.nj.com/njv_auditor/2011/12/field_is_clearing_for_kyrillos.html|title=Field is clearing for Kyrillos run for U.S. Senate|date=December 18, 2011|accessdate=December 19, 2011|work=The Star-Ledger}} 15. ^{{cite web|url=http://thehill.com/blogs/ballot-box/senate-races/133281-new-jersey-gop-lacking-a-name-to-face-a-more-vulnerable-menendez|title=New Jersey GOP lacking a name to face a more vulnerable Menendez|date=December 12, 2010|accessdate=December 29, 2010|work=The Hill|first=Shane|last=D'Aprile}} 16. ^{{cite web|url=http://www.nj.com/news/index.ssf/2011/01/nj_assemblyman_jay_webber_resi.html|title=N.J. Assemblyman Jay Webber resigns as Republican state chairman|date=January 5, 2011|accessdate=January 5, 2011|work=The Star-Ledger|first=Matt|last=Friedman}} 17. ^1 Bot generated title --> 18. ^{{cite web|url=http://www.ahherald.com/newsbrief-mainmenu-2/monmouth-county-news/12753-nj-greens-pick-ken-wolski-as-candidate-for-us-senate|title=NJ Greens Pick Ken Wolski as Candidate for U.S. Senate|date=March 13, 2012|accessdate=April 15, 2012|work=Atlantic Highlands Herald}} 19. ^{{cite web|url=http://www.politickernj.com/51517/tinton-falls-resident-challenge-menendez-primary|title=Tinton Falls resident to challenge Menendez in primary|date=October 6, 2011|accessdate=October 23, 2011|work=PolitickerNJ|first=Darryl R.|last=Isherwood}} 20. ^{{cite web|url=http://kenforsenate.com|title=Ken Kaplan for U.S. Senate}} 21. ^{{cite web|url=http://socialistpartymoc.org/2012/02/16/socialist-party-moc-nominates-pat-noble-for-red-bank-board-of-education/|title=Socialist Party MOC Nominates Pat Noble for Red Bank Board of Education|date=February 16, 2012|accessdate=April 15, 2012|work=Socialist Party of Monmouth and Ocean Counties}} 22. ^{{cite web|url=http://nj1015.com/nj-101-5-to-host-us-senate-debate/|title=NJ 101.5 to Host US Senate Debate|date=September 17, 2012}} 23. ^{{cite web|url=http://njdebate.org|title=NJ U.S. Senate Debate Planned|date=October 5, 2012}} 24. ^Menendez Campaign Finances 25. ^Kyrillos Campaign Finances 26. ^R. Kaplan 27. ^Center for Responsive Politics 28. ^Contributors by Industry (opensecrets.org) 29. ^{{cite web | title=2012 Senate Race Ratings for November 1, 2012 | url=https://www.cookpolitical.com/ratings/senate-race-ratings/139117 | website=The Cook Political Report | accessdate=September 20, 2018}} 30. ^{{cite web | title=2012 Senate | url=http://www.centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/2012-senate/ | website=Sabato's Crystal Ball | accessdate=September 20, 2018}} 31. ^{{cite web | title=2012 Senate Ratings | url=http://www.insideelections.com/ratings/senate/2012-senate-ratings-november-2-2012 | work=Senate Ratings | publisher=The Rothenberg Political Report | accessdate=September 20, 2018}} 32. ^{{cite web | title=2012 Elections Map - Battle for the Senate 2012 | url=https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2012/senate/2012_elections_senate_map.html| publisher=Real Clear Politics | accessdate=September 20, 2018}} 33. ^{{cite web |url=http://www.nj.gov/state/elections/2012-results/2012-official-general-results-us-senate.pdf |title=Official List Candidates for US Senate - For GENERAL ELECTION 11/06/2012 |publisher=New Jersey Secretary of State |date=December 6, 2012 |accessdate=November 7, 2013}}
External links - New Jersey Division of Elections
- Campaign contributions at OpenSecrets.org
- Outside spending at Sunlight Foundation
- Candidate issue positions at On the Issues
- Official campaign websites (Archived)
- [https://web.archive.org/web/20120220041203/http://kenforsenate.com Ken Kaplan for U.S. Senate]
- [https://web.archive.org/web/20120607062251/http://www.diakos2012.com Gwen Diakos for U.S. Senate]
- [https://web.archive.org/web/20121001154642/http://www.joekyrillos.com/?splash=off Joe Kyrillos for U.S. Senate]
- [https://web.archive.org/web/20121001154630/https://www.menendezfornj.com/ Bob Menendez for U.S. Senate]
- [https://web.archive.org/web/20121025091937/http://votepason2012.org/ Greg Pason for U.S. Senate]
{{United States elections, 2012}} 3 : United States Senate elections in New Jersey|2012 United States Senate elections|2012 New Jersey elections |
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