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词条 2012 United States Senate election in New Mexico
释义

  1. Background

  2. Democratic primary

      Candidates    Declared    Withdrew    Declined    Polling    Endorsements   Results 

  3. Republican primary

      Candidates    Declared    Withdrew    Declined    Polling    Endorsements   Results 

  4. General election

      Candidates   Debates   Fundraising   Top contributors  Top industries   Predictions    Polling   Results 

  5. See also

  6. References

  7. External links

{{Use mdy dates|date=January 2018}}{{Infobox election
| election_name = United States Senate election in New Mexico, 2012
| country = New Mexico
| type = presidential
| ongoing = no
| previous_election = United States Senate election in New Mexico, 2006
| previous_year = 2006
| next_election = United States Senate election in New Mexico, 2018
| next_year = 2018
| election_date = {{Start date|2012|11|6}}
| image_size = x150px
| image1 = Martin Heinrich, official portrait, 112th Congress crop.jpg
| nominee1 = Martin Heinrich
| party1 = Democratic Party (United States)
| popular_vote1 = 395,717
| percentage1 = 51.0%
| image2 = Heather Wilson official portrait (cropped).jpg
| nominee2 = Heather Wilson
| party2 = Republican Party (United States)
| popular_vote2 = 351,259
| percentage2 = 45.3%
| map_image = New Mexico Senate Election Results by County, 2012.svg
| map_size = 200px
| map_caption = County Results
Heinrich:
{{legend0|#a5b0ff|40–50%}}{{legend0|#7996e2|50–60%}} {{legend0|#6674de|60–70%}} {{legend0|#584cde|70–80%}}
Wilson:
{{legend0|#ffb2b2|40–50%}} {{legend0|#e27f7f|50–60%}} {{legend0|#d75d5d|60–70%}} {{legend0|#d72f30|70–80%}}
| title = U.S. Senator
| before_election = Jeff Bingaman
| before_party = Democratic Party (United States)
| after_election = Martin Heinrich
| after_party = Democratic Party (United States)
}}{{ElectionsNM}}

The 2012 United States Senate election in New Mexico took place on November 6, 2012, concurrently with the 2012 U.S. presidential election as well as other elections to the United States Senate and House of Representatives as well as various state and local elections. Incumbent Democratic U.S. Senator Jeff Bingaman decided to retire instead of running for reelection to a sixth term.[1] Democratic U.S. Representative Martin Heinrich won the open seat.

Background

Incumbent Jeff Bingaman won re-election to a fifth term with 70.61% of the vote against Allen McCulloch in the 2006 U.S. senatorial election in New Mexico.

Democratic primary

Candidates

Declared

  • Hector Balderas, state Auditor[2]
  • Martin Heinrich, U.S. Representative[3]

Withdrew

  • Martin Chávez, former Albuquerque mayor and 1998 Democratic gubernatorial nominee (withdrew to run for U.S. House)[4][5]
  • Andres Valdez, anti-police brutality Social Justice activist[6]

Declined

  • Jeff Bingaman, incumbent U.S. senator[1]
  • Diane Denish, former New Mexico lieutenant governor and 2010 Democratic gubernatorial nominee[7][8]
  • Ben Ray Luján, U.S. representative[9]

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Hector
Balderas
Martin
Heinrich
Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling June 23–26, 2011 400 ± 4.9% 24%47% 29%
Magellan Strategies July 17–18, 2011 636 ± 3.9% 21%54% 25%
Public Policy Polling December 10–12, 2011 309 ± 5.6% 30%47% 23%
Public Policy Polling April 19–22, 2012 270 ± 6% 27%51% 22%
Albuquerque Journal/Research & Polling May 21–24, 2012 741 ± 3.6% 26%51% 23%

Endorsements

{{Endorsements box
| title = Martin Heinrich
| list =
Federal officials
  • Raúl Grijalva, U.S. Representative for {{ushr|Arizona|7

|}}[10]
Statewide officials
  • Patricia Madrid, former Attorney General
New Mexico state senators
  • Dede Feldman
  • Tim Keller
  • Cisco McSorley
  • Jerry Ortiz y Pino
New Mexico state representatives
  • J. Paul Taylor
  • Joni Guiterrez
  • Bill O'Neill
  • Jeff Steinborn
  • Mimi Stewart
  • Danice Picraux
  • Eliseo Alcon
  • Eleanor Chavez
New Mexico Mayors
  • David Coss, Mayor of Santa Fe
  • Joe Maestas, former Mayor of Española
  • Bob Rosebrough, former Mayor of Gallup

Source:[11]

Unions
  • American Federation of State, County and Municipal Employees
  • International Association of Machinists
  • International Brotherhood of Teamsters
  • New Mexico Building and Construction Trades Council
  • New Mexico Communication Workers for America
  • Service Employees International Union
  • United Steelworkers of America
  • United Transportation Union
  • United Food and Commercial Workers
Organizations
  • NARAL Pro-Choice America[12]
  • Planned Parenthood[13]
  • Sierra Club
  • Defenders of Wildlife
  • League of Conservation Voters
  • Council for a Livable World
  • National Committee to Preserve Social Security and Medicare

Source:[14]


}}{{Endorsements box
| title = Hector Balderas
| list =
Statewide officials
  • Diane Denish, former New Mexico Lieutenant Governor
New Mexico state senators
  • Mary Kay Papen
  • Phil Griego
  • Cynthia Nava
  • Carlos Cisneros
  • David Ulibarri
  • Richard Martinez
  • Bernadette Sanchez
New Mexico state representatives
  • Jim Trujillo
  • Antonio Lujan
  • Joseph Cervantes
  • Miguel Garcia
  • Mary Helen Garcia
  • Lucky Varela
  • Thomas Garcia
New Mexico Mayors
  • Steve Brockett, former Mayor of Alamogordo
  • Robert Vialpando, Mayor of Los Lunas
  • Tony Jaramillo, Mayor of Socorro
  • Darren Cordova, Mayor of Taos
  • Danny Cruz, Mayor of Springer

Source:[15]


}}

Results

{{Election box begin no change
| title = Democratic primary results[16]
}}{{Election box winning candidate with party link no change
| candidate = Martin Heinrich
| party = Democratic Party (United States)
| votes = 83,432
| percentage = 58.9
}}{{Election box candidate with party link no change
| candidate = Hector Balderas
| party = Democratic Party (United States)
| votes = 58,128
| percentage = 41.1
}}{{Election box total no change
| votes = 141,560
| percentage = 100
}}{{Election box end}}

Republican primary

Candidates

Declared

  • Greg Sowards, businessman[17]
  • Heather Wilson, former U.S. Representative and candidate for the U.S. Senate in 2008[18]

Withdrew

  • Bill English, businessman[19]
  • John Sanchez, Lieutenant Governor of New Mexico[20]

Declined

  • Janice Arnold-Jones, former state representative[18]
  • Gary Johnson, former governor (ran for President)[21]
  • Steve Pearce, U.S. Representative, candidate for the U.S. Senate in 2000, and nominee for the U.S. Senate in 2008[22]

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Bill
English
John
Sanchez
Greg
Sowards
Heather
Wilson
Other Undecided
Magellan Strategies April 26–27, 2011 801 ± 3.5% 17% 2%59% 11% 11%
Public Policy Polling June 23–26, 2011 400 ± 4.9% 4% 24% 8%52% 12%
Magellan Strategies July 17–18, 2011 799 ± 3.5% 2% 21% 5%56% 16%
Public Policy Polling December 10–12, 2011 300 ± 5.7% 3% 20% 6%55% 16%
Albuquerque Journal May 21–24, 2012 504 ± 4.4% 20%66% 14%
}
  • William T. Redmond, former U.S. Representative for {{ushr|New Mexico|3

|}}
  • Ari Fleischer, former White House Press Secretary for George W. Bush
Statewide officials
  • John Sanchez, lieutenant governor
  • Jack Stahl, former lieutenant governor
New Mexico state senators
  • Minority Leader Stuart Ingle
  • Minority Whip Bill Payne
  • Steven Neville
  • Bill Sharer
  • Clint Harden
  • John Ryan
  • Mark Boitano
  • Gay Kernan
  • Vernon Asbill
  • Sander Rue
  • Bill Burt
  • Sue Wilson Beffort
  • Carroll Leavell
  • Rod Adair
New Mexico state representatives
  • Minority Leader Tom Taylor
  • David Chavez
  • Bill Gray
  • Jim Hall
  • Conrad James
  • Dave Doyle
  • Nora Espinoza
  • Nate Gentry
  • Jimmie Hall
  • Jane Powdrell-Culbert
  • Larry Larranaga
  • Bill Rehm
  • Dianne Miller Hamilton
  • Jim Smith
  • James White
  • Tim Lewis
  • Dennis Roch
  • Anna Crook
  • Shirley Tyler
  • Tom Anderson
  • Zachary Cook
  • Alonzo Baldonado
  • Paul Bandy
  • James Strickler
  • Don Bratton
  • Don Tripp
  • Cathryn Novich-Brown
  • Bob Wooley
New Mexico Mayors
  • Richard J. Berry, Mayor of Albuquerque
  • Scott Eckstein, Mayor of Bloomfield and Commissioner of San Juan County
  • Tommy Roberts, Mayor of Farmington
  • Bryan Olguin, Mayor of Peralta
  • Louis Huning, former Mayor of Los Lunas
  • Bill Standley, former Mayor of Farmington
  • Gary Kanin, former Mayor of Corrales

Source:[23]


}}

Results

{{Election box begin no change
| title = Republican primary results[16]
}}{{Election box winning candidate with party link no change
| candidate = Heather Wilson
| party = Republican Party (United States)
| votes = 63,631
| percentage = 70.0
}}{{Election box candidate with party link no change
| candidate = Greg Sowards
| party = Republican Party (United States)
| votes = 27,214
| percentage = 30.0
}}{{Election box total no change
| votes = 90,845
| percentage = 100
}}{{Election box end}}

General election

Candidates

  • Martin Heinrich (D), U.S. Representative
  • Heather Wilson (R), former U.S. Representative and candidate for the U.S. Senate in 2008
  • Jon Barrie (Independent American Party), alternative medicine practitioner and Air Force veteran[24]

Debates

  • Complete video of debate, C-SPAN, October 17, 2012
  • Complete video of debate, C-SPAN, October 25, 2012

Fundraising

Candidate (party) Receipts Disbursements Cash on hand Debt
Martin Heinrich (D)$3,883,992$2,174,712$1,763,753$89,424
Heather Wilson (R)$4,048,847$2,416,328$1,632,517$0
Jon Barrie (I)$705$1,150$0$445
Source: Federal Election Commission[25][26][27]

Top contributors

[28]
Martin Heinrich Contribution Heather Wilson Contribution
League of Conservation Voters $108,634 Elliott Management Corporation $29,413
JStreetPAC $67,860 Mewbourne Oil Co $25,000
University of New Mexico $24,221 Kelly PAC $15,000
Robbins Geller Rudman & Dowd LLP $23,000 Blue Cross & Blue Shield $14,050
Council for a Livable World $20,044 Devon Energy $13,250
National Rural Letter Carriers' Association $19,000 Murray Energy $12,800
Comcast Corporation $11,250 Yates Petroleum $12,600
Presbyterian Healthcare Services $11,150 Livingston Group $12,249
Intel Corp $10,500 Publix Super Markets $11,000
American Optometric Association $10,250 Westport Construction $10,500

Top industries

[29]
Martin Heinrich Contribution Heather Wilson Contribution
Lawyers/Law Firms $322,120 Retired $355,880
Retired $270,598 Oil & Gas $217,500
Lobbyists $156,480 Leadership PACs $206,225
Environmental organizations $145,365 Financial Institutions $163,888
Leadership PACs $100,000 Lobbyists $113,549
Health Professionals $95,729 Lawyers/Law Firms $106,852
Pro-Israel $83,860 Real Estate $95,990
Public Sector Unions $67,000 Misc Finance $72,407
Democratic/Liberal $64,300 Business Services $72,078
Casinos/Gambling $58,550 Mining $69,200

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[30]{{sort|098|Lean D}} November 1, 2012
Sabato's Crystal Ball[31]{{sort|097|Likely D}} November 5, 2012
Rothenberg Political Report[32]{{sort|098|Lean D}} November 2, 2012
Real Clear Politics[33]{{sort|097|Likely D}} November 5, 2012

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Martin
Heinrich (D)
Heather
Wilson (R)
Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling February 4–6, 2011 545 ± 4.2%50% 39% 11%
Public Policy Polling June 23–26, 2011 732 ± 3.6%47% 42% 11%
Public Policy Polling December 10–12, 2011 500 ± 4.4%47% 40% 13%
Rasmussen Reports February 14, 2012 500 ± 4.5%45% 43% 5% 7%
Rasmussen Reports April 3, 2012 500 ± 4.5%46% 42% 7% 6%
Public Policy Polling April 19–22, 2012 526 ± 4.3%48% 43% 9%
Public Policy Polling July 13–16, 2012 724 ± 3.6%48% 43% 9%
Rasmussen Reports August 21, 2012 500 ± 4.5%48% 41% 5% 7%
Albuquerque Journal September 3–6, 2012 667 ± 3.8%49% 42% 8%
Public Policy Polling September 7–9, 2012 1,122 ± 2.9%50% 41% 9%
[https://web.archive.org/web/20121004035556/http://weaskamerica.com/2012/10/01/western-front/ We Ask America] September 25–27, 2012 1,258 ± 2.85%52% 41% 7%
Public Policy Polling October 2–3, 2012 778 ± n/a%51% 41% 8%
Rasmussen Reports October 8, 2012 500 ± 4.5%52% 39% 4% 5%
Albuquerque Poll Journal October 9–11, 2012 658 ± 3.8%48% 39% 4% 9%
Public Policy Polling October 23–24, 2012 727 ± n/a%52% 44% 3%
Albuquerque Poll Journal October 23–25, 2012 662 ± 3.8%50% 42% 3% 6%

 

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