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词条 2012 United States Senate election in New York
释义

  1. Background

  2. Democratic primary

      Candidates  

  3. Republican primary

      Candidates    Declared    Withdrew    Polling    Endorsements    Results  

  4. General election

      Candidates    Debates    Fundraising    Top contributors    Top industries    Predictions    Polling    Results  

  5. See also

  6. References

  7. External links

{{Use mdy dates|date=December 2017}}{{Infobox election
| election_name = 2012 United States Senate election in New York
| country = New York
| type = presidential
| ongoing = no
| previous_election = 2010 United States Senate special election in New York
| previous_year = 2010 (special)
| next_election = 2018 United States Senate election in New York
| next_year = 2018
| election_date = November 6, 2012
| image_size = 160x180px
| turnout = 53.2% (voting eligible)[1]
| image1 =
| nominee1 = Kirsten Gillibrand
| party1 = Democratic Party (United States)
| popular_vote1 = 4,822,330
| percentage1 = 72.2%
| image2 =
| nominee2 = Wendy Long
| party2 = Republican Party (United States)
| popular_vote2 = 1,758,702
| percentage2 = 26.3%
| map_image = 2012 Senate Election NY.svg
| map_size = 300px
| map_caption = County results
Gillibrand: {{legend0|#7996e2|50–60%}} {{legend0|#6674de|60–70%}} {{legend0|#584cde|70–80%}} {{legend0|#3933e5|80–90%}} {{legend0|#0E0496|>90%}}
Long: {{legend0|#ffb2b2|40–50%}} {{legend0|#e27f7f|50–60%}}
| title = U.S. Senator
| before_election = Kirsten Gillibrand
| before_party = Democratic Party (United States)
| after_election = Kirsten Gillibrand
| after_party = Democratic Party (United States)
}}{{ElectionsNY}}

The 2012 United States Senate election in New York took place on November 6, 2012, concurrently with the U.S. presidential election as well as other elections to the United States Senate and House of Representatives as well as various state and local elections.

Incumbent Democratic U.S. Senator Kirsten Gillibrand won re-election to her first full term. She was opposed in the general election by Wendy Long (who ran on the Republican and Conservative Party tickets) and by three minor party candidates. Gillibrand was re-elected with 72% of the vote, by a margin of 46%, the highest margin for any statewide candidate in New York. She performed 9 points better than President Barack Obama did in the presidential race in New York. She carried 60 out of 62 counties statewide. There was one debate, held in October 2012, in which Gillibrand and Long debated various issues such as the economy, abortion rights, the debt and deficit, foreign policy, jobs, and tax and regulatory policy.

Background

Governor David Paterson appointed then-U.S. Representative Kirsten Gillibrand to serve as U.S. Senator from New York until the 2010 special election, succeeding former U.S. Senator Hillary Clinton, who resigned to serve as U.S. Secretary of State in the Obama administration. Gillibrand won the special election in 2010 with 62.95% of the vote over former U.S. Representative Joseph DioGuardi.

Democratic primary

Candidates

  • Kirsten Gillibrand, incumbent U.S. Senator[2]

Gillibrand has also been endorsed by the Independence Party of New York and the Working Families Party, and also appeared on the ballot lines of both of those parties in the general election.[3][4]

Republican primary

Candidates

Declared

  • Wendy E. Long, attorney[5]
  • George Maragos, Nassau County Comptroller[6]
  • Bob Turner, U.S. Representative, New York's 9th congressional district[7]

The 2012 New York State Republican Convention took place on March 16, 2012.[8] Candidates Wendy Long, George Maragos, and Congressman Bob Turner each reached the threshold of 25% of the weighted vote necessary to qualify for the June 26 primary ballot; however, none of the candidates achieved a majority.[9] Long prevailed by a sizeable margin in the June 26 Republican primary, receiving 50.9% of the vote; Turner received 35.6% and Maragos 13.5%.[10]

Long was designated as the nominee for the Conservative Party of New York State, and appeared on its ballot line in the general election as well as the Republican Party line.[4][11]

Withdrew

  • Joe Carvin, Rye Town Supervisor,[12] withdrew on March 16, 2012[13] to run for the House of Representatives against Nita Lowey.

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		 Wendy
Long		 George
Maragos		 Bob
Turner		 Other Undecided
Quinnipiac March 28 – April 2, 2012 372 ±5.1% 11% 7%19% 2%61%
Siena College April 1–4, 2012 218 ±6.6% 10% 5%19% —66%
Siena College May 6–10, 2012 205 ±6.8% 12% 6%15% —67%
Siena College June 3–6, 2012 201 ±6.9% 11% 3%16% —70%

Endorsements

{{Endorsements box | colwidth = 35em
| title = Endorsements for Wendy Long
| list =
  • John Bolton, former US Ambassador to the United Nations
  • John Faso, 2006 gubernatorial candidate
  • Steve Forbes, publisher and former Presidential candidate
  • Sean Hannity, talk radio/television host
  • Laura Ingraham, talk radio host
  • Brian Kolb, State Assembly Minority Leader
  • Rick Lazio, former US Congressman from New York
  • National Organization for Marriage
  • The New York Post
  • Grover Norquist
  • Carl Paladino, 2010 gubernatorial candidate
  • Dennis Vacco, former New York State Attorney General

}}{{Endorsements box | colwidth = 35em
| title = Endorsements for Bob Turner
| list =
  • Rudy Giuliani, former mayor of New York City, 2008 presidential candidate, and Time Person of the Year for 2001
  • Martin Golden, New York State Senator from the 22nd District
  • Rush Limbaugh, talk radio host

}}

Source: Update for US Senate Election NY 2012: http://www.elections.ny.gov/NYSBOE/elections/2012/General/USSenator_07292013.pdf

Results

{{Election box begin no change
| title = Republican primary results[14]
}}{{Election box winning candidate with party link no change
| candidate = Wendy Long
| party = Republican Party (United States)
| votes = 75,924
| percentage = 50.2%
}}{{Election box candidate with party link no change
| candidate = Bob Turner
| party = Republican Party (United States)
| votes = 54,196
| percentage = 35.9%
}}{{Election box candidate with party link no change
| candidate = George Maragos
| party = Republican Party (United States)
| votes = 21,002
| percentage = 13.9%
}}{{Election box total no change
| votes = 151,122
| percentage = 100.0%
}}{{Election box end}}

General election

Candidates

  • Colia Clark (Green), civil rights activist and candidate for the U.S. Senate in 2010[15]
  • Chris Edes (Libertarian), Member of the New York Civil Liberties Union Board of Directors[16]
  • Kirsten Gillibrand (Democratic, Working Families, Independence), incumbent U.S. Senator
  • Wendy Long (Republican, Conservative), attorney
  • John Mangelli (Common Sense Party), Long Island foreclosure defense attorney
  • Scott Noren (Independent), oral surgeon (had previously sought the Democratic nomination)[15][17]
  • Tim Sweet (Independent-Republican), former social worker, journalist, pastor, businessman, author, and actor[18]

Debates

October 17, 2012 Saratoga Springs, NY

  • Complete video of debate, C-SPAN, October 17, 2012

Fundraising

Candidate (party) Receipts Disbursements Cash on hand Debt
Kirsten Gillibrand (D) $13,778,867 $3,734,097 $10,541,156 $0
Wendy Long (R) $336,976 $240,564 $96,411 $250,077
Chris Edes (L) $2,017 $668 $1,348 $0
John Mangelli (I) $43,819 $43,820 $0 $22,120
Source: Federal Election Commission[19][20][21][22]

Top contributors

[23]
Kirsten Gillibrand Contribution Wendy Long Contribution
Boies, Schiller & Flexner $394,664 Citizens United $10,000
Davis Polk & Wardwell $314,600 Susan B. Anthony List $10,000
Corning Inc. $150,650 Davis, Polk & Wardwell $8,500
JPMorgan Chase & Co $143,800 Kirkland & Ellis $7,000
Morgan Stanley $140,800 Wachtell, Lipton, Rosen & Katz $6,000
National Amusements Inc. $126,850 Alta Partners $5,500
Goldman Sachs $117,400 Actimize $5,000
Blackstone Group $106,700 Carlyle Group $5,000
Sullivan & Cromwell $100,750 Credit Suisse Group $5,000
Simpson, Thacher & Bartlett $95,700 Crow Holdings $5,000

Top industries

[24]
Kirsten Gillibrand Contribution Wendy Long Contribution
Lawyers/law firms $4,050,294 Lawyers/law firms $38,550
Financial Institutions $2,748,640 Financial institutions $31,750
Real estate $1,257,504 Real estate $26,250
Retired $921,738 Retired $25,050
Women's issues $853,517 Misc. finance $16,000
Entertainment industry $764,677 Women's issues $15,150
Lobbyists $723,596 Republican/Conservative $11,250
Misc. finance $644,953 Education $7,250
Business services $621,286 Misc. business $7,000
Insurance $518,275 Construction services $5,000

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[25]{{sort|096|Solid D}} November 1, 2012
Sabato's Crystal Ball[26]{{sort|096|Safe D}} November 5, 2012
Rothenberg Political Report[27]{{sort|096|Safe D}} November 2, 2012
Real Clear Politics[28]{{sort|096|Safe D}} November 5, 2012

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		 Kirsten
Gillibrand (D)		 Wendy
Long (R)		 Other Undecided
Quinnipiac March 28 – April 2, 2012 1,597 ±2.5%58% 25% 1% 13%
Siena College April 1–4, 2012 808 ±3.4%63% 23% — 14%
Siena College May 6–10, 2012 766 ±3.5%60% 26% — 14%
Quinnipiac May 22–28, 2012 1,504 ±2.5%58% 24% 1% 15%
Siena College June 3–6, 2012 807 ±3.4%65% 22% — 12%
Siena College July 10–15, 2012 758 ±3.6%62% 25% — 13%
Quinnipiac July 17–23, 2012 1,779 ±2.3%57% 24% 1% 16%
Siena College August 14–19, 2012 671 ±3.8%65% 22% — 13%
Quinnipiac September 4–9, 2012 1,468 ±2.5%64% 27% — 9%
Marist October 18–21, 2012 565 ±4.1%68% 24% — 8%
[https://web.archive.org/web/20121030003928/http://siena.edu/uploadedfiles/home/parents_and_community/community_page/sri/sny_poll/SNY%20october%202012%20Poll%20Release%20--%20final.pdf Siena College] October 22–24, 2012 750 ±3.6%67% 24% — 8%
SurveyUSA October 23–25, 2012 554 ±4.1%64% 22% 7% 7%
{{hidden begin|toggle=left|title=Hypothetical polling}}
with George Maragos
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		 Kirsten
Gillibrand (D)		 George
Maragos (R)		 Other Undecided
[https://web.archive.org/web/20111119120328/http://www.siena.edu/uploadedfiles/home/parents_and_community/community_page/sri/sny_poll/SNY%20November%202011%20Poll%20Release%20--%20FINAL.pdf Siena College] November 8–13, 2011 803 ±3.5%65% 17% — 18%
Siena College January 8–12, 2012 805 ±3.5%63% 22% — 15%
[https://web.archive.org/web/20120711223128/http://www.siena.edu/uploadedfiles/home/parents_and_community/community_page/sri/sny_poll/SNY_February_2012_Poll_Release_FINAL.pdf Siena College] January 29 – February 1, 2012 807 ±3.4%63% 20% — 17%
SurveyUSA February 24–26, 2012 518 ±4.4%53% 23% — 25%
[https://web.archive.org/web/20120914075130/http://www.siena.edu/uploadedfiles/home/parents_and_community/community_page/sri/SNY%20March%207%202012_ReleaseFINAL.pdf Siena College] February 26–29, 2012 808 ±3.4%68% 19% — 13%
Quinnipiac March 28 – April 2, 2012 1,597 ±2.5%57% 23% 2% 15%
Siena College April 1–4, 2012 808 ±3.4%65% 21% — 14%
Siena College May 6–10, 2012 766 ±3.5%60% 25% — 15%
Quinnipiac May 22–28, 2012 1,504 ±2.5%57% 24% 1% 16%
Siena College June 3–6, 2012 807 ±3.4%65% 23% — 13%
with Bob Turner
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		 Kirsten
Gillibrand (D)		 Bob
Turner (R)		 Other Undecided
Quinnipiac March 28 – April 2, 2012 1,597 ±2.5%57% 27% 1% 13%
Siena College April 1–4, 2012 808 ±3.4%65% 24% — 11%
Siena College May 6–10, 2012 766 ±3.5%59% 25% — 15%
Quinnipiac May 22–28, 2012 1,504 ±2.5%56% 26% 0% 15%
Siena College June 3–6, 2012 807 ±3.4%63% 25% — 11%
with Marc Cenedella
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		 Kirsten
Gillibrand (D)		 Marc
Cenedella (R)		 Undecided
Siena College January 29 – February 1, 2012 807 ±3.4%65% 18% 17%
with Harry Wilson
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		 Kirsten
Gillibrand (D)		 Harry
Wilson (R)		 Undecided
[https://web.archive.org/web/20111119120328/http://www.siena.edu/uploadedfiles/home/parents_and_community/community_page/sri/sny_poll/SNY%20November%202011%20Poll%20Release%20--%20FINAL.pdf Siena College] November 8–13, 2011 803 ±3.5%63% 21% 16%
Siena College January 8–12, 2012 805 ±3.5%63% 23% 14%
{{hidden end}}

Results

{{Election box begin| title=2012 United States Senate election in New York[29]}}{{Election box candidate with party link
| candidate = Kirsten Gillibrand
| party = Democratic Party (United States)
| votes = 4,432,525
| percentage = 66.38%
| change = +11.38%
}}{{Election box candidate with party link
| candidate = Kirsten Gillibrand
| party = Working Families Party
| votes = 251,292
| percentage = 3.76%
| change = -0.29%
}}{{Election box candidate with party link
| candidate = Kirsten Gillibrand
| party = Independence Party of New York
| votes = 138,513
| percentage = 2.07%
| change = -1.83%
}}{{Election box candidate
| candidate = Kirsten Gillibrand (incumbent)
| party = Total
| votes = 4,822,330
| percentage = 72.21%
| change = +9.26%
}}{{Election box candidate with party link
| candidate = Wendy Long
| party = Republican Party (United States)
| votes = 1,517,578
| percentage = 22.73%
| change = -6.96%
}}{{Election box candidate with party link
| candidate = Wendy Long
| party = Conservative Party of New York State
| votes = 241,124
| percentage = 3.61%
| change = -1.81%
}}{{Election box candidate
| candidate = Wendy Long
| party = Total
| votes = 1,758,702
| percentage = 26.34%
| change = -8.77%
}}{{Election box candidate with party link
| party = Green Party (United States)
| candidate = Colia Clark
| votes = 42,591
| percentage = 0.64%
| change = -0.15%
}}{{Election box candidate with party link
| party = Libertarian Party (United States)
| candidate = Chris Edes
| votes = 32,002
| percentage = 0.48%
| change = +0.07%
}}{{Election box candidate with party link
| party = Independent (United States)
| candidate = John Mangelli
| votes = 22,041
| percentage = 0.33%
| change = N/A
}}{{Election box total
| votes = 6,677,666
| percentage = 100.0%
| change = N/A
}}{{Election box hold with party link no swing
| winner = Democratic Party (United States)
}}{{Election box end}}

See also

  • United States Senate elections, 2012
  • United States House of Representatives elections in New York, 2012
  • New York state elections, 2012

References

1. ^{{cite web |url=http://elections.gmu.edu/Turnout_2012G.html |title=2012 General Election Turnout Rates |publisher=George Mason University |author=Dr. Michael McDonald |date=February 9, 2013 |accessdate=April 6, 2013 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20130424003112/http://elections.gmu.edu/Turnout_2012G.html |archive-date=April 24, 2013 |dead-url=yes |df=mdy-all }}
2. ^{{cite news|url=http://www.buffalonews.com/wire-feeds/state/article240192.ece|title=Day after win, NY Sen. Gillibrand is running again|date=November 3, 2010|accessdate=December 28, 2010|agency=Associated Press|first=Michael|last=Hill}}
3. ^{{cite web|url=http://www.capitaltonight.com/2012/03/state-independence-party-backs-gillibrand/|title=State Independence Party Backs Gillibrand|date=March 12, 2012|accessdate=May 6, 2012|work=Capital Tonight|first=Michael|last=Johnson}}
4. ^1 {{cite news|url=http://www.syracuse.com/news/index.ssf/2012/03/new_york_democrats_back_kirste.html|title=New York Democrats back Kirsten Gillibrand for US Senate; Conservatives pick Wendy Long|date=March 19, 2012|accessdate=May 6, 2012|work=The Post-Standard|agency=Associated Press}}
5. ^{{cite web|url=http://www.capitaltonight.com/2012/01/a-new-challenger-to-gillibrand/|title=A New Challenger To Gillibrand?|date=January 29, 2012|accessdate=January 30, 2012|work=Capital Tonight|first=Liz|last=Benjamin}}
6. ^{{cite web|url=http://pearlriver.patch.com/articles/us-senate-hopeful-speaks-to-rockland-republicans|title=U.S. Senate Hopeful Speaks to Rockland Republicans - Pearl River, NY Patch|author=|date=|website=patch.com}}
7. ^{{cite web|url=http://www.politicker.com/2012/03/13/bob-turner-announces-u-s-senate-campaign-against-kirsten-gillibrand/|title=Bob Turner Announces U.S. Senate Campaign Against Kirsten Gillibrand|date=March 13, 2012|accessdate=March 13, 2012|work=Politicker|first=Colin|last=Campbell}}
8. ^Seiler, Casey (February 19, 2012). Save the date: GOP plans March 16 convention. Capitol Confidential (Albany Times-Union). Retrieved February 19, 2012.
9. ^Benjamin, Liz (March 16, 2012). Three-Way GOP Primary For US Senate. Capital Tonight. Retrieved March 16, 2012.
10. ^{{cite news|url=https://online.wsj.com/article/AP3ee080e11183422da069a5a159256e37.html |title=Long wins NY Senate GOP primary to face Gillibrand |date=June 27, 2012 |work=Wall Street Journal |publisher=News Corporation |accessdate=June 27, 2012 |deadurl=yes |archiveurl=https://web.archive.org/web/20120628012110/http://online.wsj.com/article/AP3ee080e11183422da069a5a159256e37.html |archivedate=June 28, 2012 }}
11. ^{{cite news|url=https://online.wsj.com/article/AP3ee080e11183422da069a5a159256e37.html|title=Long wins NY Senate GOP primary to face Gillibrand|last=|first=|date=|work=WSJ.com|access-date=|via=|deadurl=yes|archiveurl=https://web.archive.org/web/20120628012110/http://online.wsj.com/article/AP3ee080e11183422da069a5a159256e37.html|archivedate=June 28, 2012}}
12. ^{{cite web|url=http://blog.timesunion.com/capitol/archives/118067/joe-carvin-of-rye-also-challenging-gillibrand/|title=Joe Carvin of Rye also challenging Gillibrand|date=February 29, 2012|accessdate=February 29, 2012|work=Albany Times Union|first=Jimmy|last=Vielkind}}
13. ^Benjamin, Elizabeth (March 16, 2012). Carvin Out Of US Senate Race (Updated). Capital Tonight. Retrieved March 16, 2012.
14. ^{{cite web|url=http://www.politico.com/2012-election/map/#/Senate/2012/Primary/NY|title=2016 Election Results: President Live Map by State, Real-Time Voting Updates|author=|date=|website=Election Hub}}
15. ^1 {{cite web|url=http://irregulartimes.com/index.php/archives/2012/04/16/liberal-alternatives-to-kirsten-gillibrand/|title=Liberal Alternatives To Kirsten Gillibrand|date=April 16, 2012|accessdate=May 6, 2012|work=Irregular Times}}
16. ^{{cite web|url=http://www.vote-for-chris.net/|title=Vote For Chris|author=|date=|website=www.vote-for-chris.net}}
17. ^{{cite web|url=http://www.wetmtv.com/news/local/story/Ithaca-Man-to-Run-for-U-S-Senate/veCHjNj1-EmAqzLW0OrsDg.cspx|title=Ithaca Man to Run for U.S. Senate|date=January 24, 2011|accessdate=January 24, 2011|work=WETM-TV|first=Sara|last=Sultanik}}
18. ^{{cite web|url=http://www.collegian.psu.edu/archive/2011/02/01/Senate_Alum.aspx|title=Alumnus vies for New York senate - The Daily Collegian Online|author=|date=|website=psu.edu}}
19. ^{{cite web|url=http://www.fec.gov/disclosurehs/HSCandDetail.do%7cKirsten|title=Gillibrand Campaign Finances|author=|date=|website=fec.gov}}
20. ^{{cite web|url=http://www.fec.gov/disclosurehs/HSCandDetail.do%7cWendy|title=Long Campaign Finances|author=|date=|website=fec.gov}}
21. ^{{cite web|url=http://www.fec.gov/disclosurehs/HSCandDetail.do%7cJohn|title=Mangelli Campaign Finances|author=|date=|website=fec.gov}}
22. ^{{cite web|url=http://www.fec.gov/disclosurehs/HSCandDetail.do%7cChris|title=Edes Campaign Finances|author=|date=|website=fec.gov}}
23. ^{{cite web|url=http://www.opensecrets.org/races/contrib.php?cycle=2012&id=NYS1|title=New York Senate Race|author=|date=|website=opensecrets.org}}
24. ^{{cite web|url=http://www.opensecrets.org/races/indus.php?cycle=2012&id=NYS1%7CTop|title=Kansas District 04 Race|author=|date=|website=opensecrets.org}}
25. ^{{cite web | title=2012 Senate Race Ratings for November 1, 2012 | url=https://www.cookpolitical.com/ratings/senate-race-ratings/139117 | website=The Cook Political Report | accessdate=September 20, 2018}}
26. ^{{cite web | title=2012 Senate | url=http://www.centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/2012-senate/ | website=Sabato's Crystal Ball | accessdate=September 20, 2018}}
27. ^{{cite web | title=2012 Senate Ratings | url=http://www.insideelections.com/ratings/senate/2012-senate-ratings-november-2-2012 | work=Senate Ratings | publisher=The Rothenberg Political Report | accessdate=September 20, 2018}}
28. ^{{cite web | title=2012 Elections Map - Battle for the Senate 2012 | url=https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2012/senate/2012_elections_senate_map.html| publisher=Real Clear Politics | accessdate=September 20, 2018}}
29. ^https://www.elections.ny.gov/NYSBOE/elections/2012/General/USSenator_07292013.pdf

External links

  • [https://web.archive.org/web/20121019134915/http://www.elections.ny.gov/ New York State Board of Elections]
  • Campaign contributions at OpenSecrets.org
  • Outside spending at Sunlight Foundation
  • Candidate issue positions at On the Issues
Official campaign websites
  • Colia Clark for U.S. Senate
  • Kirsten Gillibrand for U.S. Senate
  • Wendy Long for U.S. Senate
  • Scott Noren for U.S. Senate
{{United States elections, 2012}}{{New York elections}}

3 : 2012 United States Senate elections|United States Senate elections in New York (state)|2012 New York (state) elections
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