| 释义 |
- Background
- Democratic primary Candidates Results
- Republican primary Candidates On ballot Withdrew Declined Campaign Polling Results
- General election Candidates Debates Fundraising Top contributors Top industries Predictions Polling Results
- See also
- References
- External links
{{Use mdy dates|date=December 2017}}{{Infobox election
| election_name = United States Senate election in Pennsylvania, 2012
| country = Pennsylvania
| type = presidential
| ongoing = no
| previous_election = 2006 United States Senate election in Pennsylvania
| previous_year = 2006
| next_election = 2018 United States Senate election in Pennsylvania
| next_year = 2018
| election_date = November 6, 2012
| image_size = x150px
| turnout = 59.4% (voting eligible)[1]
| image1 = Bob Casey, official Senate photo portrait, c2008.jpg
| nominee1 = Bob Casey Jr.
| party1 = Democratic Party (United States)
| popular_vote1 = 3,021,364
| percentage1 = 53.7%
| image2 = Tom Smith PA cropped.jpg
| nominee2 = Tom Smith
| party2 = Republican Party (United States)
| popular_vote2 = 2,509,132
| percentage2 = 44.6%
| map_image = Pennsylvania Senate Election Results by County, 2012.svg
| map_size = 200px
| map_caption = County ResultsCasey: {{legend0|#a5b0ff|40-50%}} {{legend0|#7996e2|50–60%}} {{legend0|#6674de|60–70%}} {{legend0|#584cde|70–80%}} {{legend0|#3933e5|80–90%}}
Smith: {{legend0|#ffb2b2|40–50%}} {{legend0|#e27f7f|50–60%}} {{legend0|#d75d5d|60–70%}} {{legend0|#d72f30|70–80%}}
| title = U.S. Senator
| before_election = Bob Casey, Jr.
| before_party = Democratic Party (United States)
| after_election = Bob Casey, Jr.
| after_party = Democratic Party (United States)
}}{{ElectionsPA}}The 2012 United States Senate election in Pennsylvania was held on November 6, 2012, alongside a presidential election, other elections to the United States Senate in other states, as well as elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections. Incumbent Democratic U.S. Senator Bob Casey, Jr. ran for and won re-election to a second term, defeating Republican nominee Tom Smith, and Libertarian nominee Rayburn Smith. The requisite primary elections occurred on April 24, 2012, during which the Republicans and Democrats selected nominees for the general election. The Republican primary was a five-way contest. Tom Smith, the eventual nominee, faced David A. Christian, Sam Rohrer, Marc Scaringi, and Steve Welch. The Democratic primary was not heavily contested. Incumbent Bob Casey, Jr., defeated Joseph Vodvarka by a wide margin. The Libertarian Party nominated Rayburn Smith. Casey led most pre-election polls and eventually defeated his opponents to win re-election to a second term in the U.S. Senate. In so doing, Casey became the first Democratic Senator from Pennsylvania elected to a second term in 50 years. Background On November 7, 2006, Bob Casey, Jr., the State Treasurer and son of former Governor Bob Casey, Sr., defeated two-term incumbent Republican Senator Rick Santorum with 58.64% of votes cast. Santorum's margin of defeat was the largest for an incumbent Republican Senator in Pennsylvania history; it was also the first time a Democrat was elected to a full Senate term from Pennsylvania since Joseph Clark was re-elected in 1962. The 2012 election would also become the first time a Democrat won re-election to the U.S. Senate from Pennsylvania since the 1962 election. Pennsylvania is considered a battleground state; since the 1970 election of Governor Milton Shapp, partisan control of the governorship has alternated between Democratic and Republican. Additionally, Republicans have controlled the State Senate since 1995, while Democrats assumed control of the State House following the 2006 election, only to lose control in the 2010 election. Democrats had won the state in every presidential election from 1992 to 2012. Democratic primary Candidates - Bob Casey, Jr., incumbent U.S. Senator[2][3]
- Joseph Vodvarka, spring maker[4]
Results {{Election box begin no change
| title = Democratic primary results[5]
}}{{Election box winning candidate with party link no change
| candidate = Bob Casey, Jr. (Incumbent)
| party = Democratic Party (United States)
| votes = 565,488
| percentage = 80.9
}}{{Election box candidate with party link no change
| candidate = Joseph Vodvarka
| party = Democratic Party (United States)
| votes = 133,683
| percentage = 19.1
}}{{Election box total no change
| votes = 699,171
| percentage = 100
}}{{Election box end}} Republican primary Candidates On ballot - David Christian, businessman and veterans' advocate[5]
- John Kensinger, pharmacist[6]
- Sam Rohrer, former state representative[7]
- Marc Scaringi, attorney and former legislative aide to Rick Santorum[3]
- Tom Smith, farmer and businessman[8]
- Steve Welch, businessman[9]
Withdrew - Tim Burns, businessman and unsuccessful candidate for the 12th district in the 2010 special and general elections[10]
- Laureen Cummings, Tea Party activist[11]
- John Vernon, retired Army colonel[12]
Declined - Jake Corman, state senator[13]
- Charlie Dent, U.S. representative[14]
- Jim Gerlach, U.S. representative[3][15]
- Keith Loiselle, businessman[16]
- Glen Meakem, radio host[3][15]
- Pat Meehan, U.S. representative[17]
- Tim Murphy, U.S. representative[18]
- Dominic Pileggi, State Senate Majority Leader[19]
- Mark Schweiker, former Pennsylvania governor[20]
- Bill Shuster, U.S. representative[14]
- Mike Turzai, State House Majority Leader[3]
- Kim Ward, state senator[21]
- Joe Watkins, MSNBC contributor[16]
Campaign In January 2012, the Pennsylvania Republican Party officially endorsed Steve Welch for U.S. Senate.[22] The largest state newspaper, Philadelphia Inquirer, also endorsed Welch. He was also endorsed by the Pittsburgh Post-Gazette. However, he was criticized for changing his party registration. In 2008, he became a Democrat so he could vote for Barack Obama in the 2008 Democratic presidential primary. In 2006, he donated money to Democratic Congressman Joe Sestak. Tom Smith spent nearly $3 million in the first three months of 2012, outspending Welch 2-1. Smith has spent a wide majority of it in television advertising.[23] Like Welch, Smith has also registered as a Democrat. However, unlike Welch who was a registered Democrat for only a few years, Smith was a Democrat for 42 years.[24] Smith was a Plumcreek Township Supervisor and allegedly raised taxes 9 times (including the real estate, earned income, and per capita taxes).[25] Over the past decade, he donated over $185,000 to Republican candidates. The only Democrat he donated to was Congressman Jason Altmire, a moderate Blue Dog.[26] Sam Rohrer, a former State Representative, ran for statewide office again after losing to State Attorney General Tom Corbett in the 2010 Republican primary for Pennsylvania Governor. Rohrer was endorsed by various tea party organizations, as well as U.S. Congresswoman Michele Bachmann and 2012 Republican presidential candidate Herman Cain.[27] David Christian, a Vietnam war veteran and businessman, also ran. He previously ran for congress in 1984 and 1986. He was endorsed by the Pittsburgh Tribune-Review.[28] Polling | Poll source | Date(s)
administered | Sample
size | Margin of
error | Tim
Burns | David
Christian | Laureen
Cummings | John
Kensinger | Sam
Rohrer | Marc
Scaringi | Tom
Smith | John
Vernon | Steve
Welch | Other | Undecided |
|---|
| Public Policy Polling | November 17–20, 2011 | 400 | ±4.9% | 15% | — | 2% | — | 25% | 0% | 3% | 1% | 1% | 8% | 43% | | [https://web.archive.org/web/20120213072514/http://pittsburghlive.com/x/pittsburghtrib/news/regional/s_780935.html Tribune-Review/WPXI-TV] | February 2–6, 2012 | 500 | ±4.4% | — | 1% | — | 3% | 10% | 1% | 8% | — | 1% | — | 72% | | Public Policy Polling | March 8–11, 2012 | 564 | ±4.1% | — | 10% | — | — | 16% | 8% | 12% | — | 5% | — | 48% | | Franklin & Marshall College | March 20–25, 2012 | 505 | ±4.2% | — | 1% | — | — | 7% | 1% | 9% | — | 1% | — | 81% |
Results {{Election box begin no change
| title = Republican primary results[29][30]
}}{{Election box winning candidate with party link no change
| candidate = Tom Smith
| party = Republican Party (United States)
| votes = 299,726
| percentage = 39.5
}}{{Election box candidate with party link no change
| candidate = Sam Rohrer
| party = Republican Party (United States)
| votes = 169,118
| percentage = 22.3
}}{{Election box candidate with party link no change
| candidate = Steve Welch
| party = Republican Party (United States)
| votes = 158,181
| percentage = 20.9
}}{{Election box candidate with party link no change
| candidate = David Christian
| party = Republican Party (United States)
| votes = 79,581
| percentage = 10.5
}}{{Election box candidate with party link no change
| candidate = Marc Scaringi
| party = Republican Party (United States)
| votes = 51,908
| percentage = 6.8
}}{{Election box total no change
| votes = 758,514
| percentage = 100
}}{{Election box end}} General election Candidates - Bob Casey, Jr. (Democratic), incumbent U.S. Senator
- Tom Smith (Republican), businessman
- Rayburn Smith (Libertarian)[31]
Debates - Complete video of debate, 6ABC, October 16, 2012
- Complete video and transcript of debate, C-SPAN, October 26, 2012
Fundraising | Candidate (party) | Receipts | Disbursements | Cash on hand | Debt |
|---|
| Bob Casey, Jr. (D) | $7,664,686 | $2,754,060 | $6,226,560 | $5,261 | | Tom Smith (R) | $7,954,211 | $5,673,558 | $2,280,655 | $6,475,000 | | Source: Federal Election Commission[32][33] |
Top contributors [34]| Bob Casey, Jr. | Contribution | Tom Smith | Contribution |
|---|
| Comcast Corp | $95,175 | Rosebud Mining | $26,000 | | Blank Rome LLP | $65,500 | Tj Smith Trucking | $15,000 | | Reed Smith LLP | $61,800 | Penneco Oil Co | $12,500 | | Cozen O'Connor | $44,975 | Transportation Equipment Supply Co | $11,500 | | University of Pennsylvania | $44,450 | R&S Machine Co | $10,250 | | Buchanan, Ingersoll & Rooney | $43,098 | Citizens United | $10,000 | | K&L Gates | $42,650 | Mepco LLC | $10,000 | | Pride Mobility Products | $40,250 | Snyder Armclar Gas | $10,000 | | Blue Cross & Blue Shield | $39,950 | Stitt Management | $10,000 | | National Amusements Inc. | $39,250 | Penn Waste | $10,000 |
Top industries [35]| Bob Casey, Jr. | Contribution | Tom Smith | Contribution |
|---|
| Lawyers/Law Firms | $2,095,026 | Retired | $104,725 | | Lobbyists | $407,472 | Mining | $87,800 | | Real Estate | $389,559 | Republican/Conservative | $43,500 | | Health Professionals | $336,023 | Oil & Gas | $40,750 | | Financial Institutions | $335,998 | Misc Business | $35,300 | | Retired | $329,132 | Financial Institutions | $25,500 | | Pharmaceuticals/Health Products | $313,597 | Misc Manufacturing & Distributing | $19,650 | | Hospitals/Nursing Homes | $296,737 | Leadership PACs | $19,000 | | Entertainment Industry | $237,825 | Misc Energy | $18,000 | | Insurance | $221,750 | Trucking | $15,250 |
Predictions | Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|
| The Cook Political Report[36] | {{sort|098|Lean D}} | November 1, 2012 | | Sabato's Crystal Ball[37] | {{sort|098|Lean D}} | November 5, 2012 | | Rothenberg Political Report[38] | {{sort|097|Likely D}} | November 2, 2012 | | Real Clear Politics[39] | {{sort|098|Lean D}} | November 5, 2012 |
Polling| Poll source | Date(s)
administered | Sample
size | Margin of
error | Bob
Casey, Jr. (D) | Tom
Smith (R) | Other | Undecided |
|---|
| Angus Reid Public Opinion | November 2–4, 2012 | 507 | ± 4.2% | 53% | 46% | 1% | — | | Public Policy Polling | November 2–3, 2012 | 790 | ± 3.5% | 52% | 44% | — | 3% | | Muhlenberg College/Morning Call | November 1–3, 2012 | 430 | ± 5% | 48% | 42% | 2% | 9% | | Tribune-Review/Susquehanna | October 29–31, 2012 | 800 | ± 3.4% | 46% | 45% | 2% | 8% | | Franklin & Marshall College | October 23–28, 2012 | 547 | ± 4.2% | 46% | 36% | 4% | 13% | | Philadelphia Inquirer | October 23–25, 2012 | 600 | ± 4% | 49% | 42% | — | 9% | | Rasmussen Reports | October 24, 2012 | 500 | ± 4.5% | 46% | 45% | — | 9% | | [https://www.scribd.com/doc/111056294/Pennsylvania-Pharos-Research-Oct-2012 Pharos Research] | October 19–21, 2012 | 760 | ± 3.6% | 52% | 42% | — | 6% | | Muhlenberg College Poll | October 17–21, 2012 | 444 | ± 5% | 45% | 37% | 2% | 16% | | Angus Reid Public Opinion | October 18–20, 2012 | 559 | ± 4.2% | 51% | 45% | 4% | — | | Quinnipiac | October 12–14, 2012 | 1,519 | ± 2.5% | 48% | 45% | — | 7% | | Public Policy Polling | October 12–14, 2012 | 500 | ± 4.4% | 50% | 39% | — | 11% | | Muhlenberg | October 10–14, 2012 | 438 | ± 5% | 41% | 39% | 1% | 18% | | Susquehanna Polling | October 11–13, 2012 | 1,376 | ± 2.6% | 46% | 48% | 1% | 5% | | Rasmussen Reports | October 9, 2012 | 500 | ± 4.5% | 49% | 45% | 1% | 5% | | Philadelphia Inquirer | October 4–8, 2012 | 600 | ± 4% | 48% | 38% | — | 14% | | Susquehanna Polling | October 4–6, 2012 | 725 | ± 3.7% | 46% | 44% | — | 9% | | Siena Poll | October 1–5, 2012 | 545 | ± 4.2% | 44% | 35% | — | 16% | | Muhlenberg College | September 22–26, 2012 | 427 | ± 5% | 44% | 36% | 7% | 13% | | Quinnipiac/CBS/NYT Poll | September 18–24, 2012 | 1,180 | ± 3% | 49% | 43% | — | — | | [https://edisk.fandm.edu/FLI/keystone/pdf/keysep12_1.pdf Franklin & Marshall] | September 18–23, 2012 | 392 | ± 4.9% | 48% | 38% | — | 8% | | Rasmussen Reports | September 19, 2012 | 500 | ± 4.5% | 49% | 42% | 2% | 7% | | Muhlenberg College | September 10–16, 2012 | 640 | ± 4% | 45% | 33% | 5% | 18% | | Philadelphia Inquirer | August 21–23, 2012 | 601 | ± 4% | 53% | 34% | — | 13% | | MCall/Muhlenburg Poll | August 20–22, 2012 | 422 | ± 5% | 49% | 30% | — | 18% | | [https://edisk.fandm.edu/FLI/keystone/pdf/keyaug12_1.pdf Franklin & Marshall College] | August 7–12, 2012 | 681 | ± 3.8% | 35% | 23% | 2% | 39% | | Quinnipiac | July 24–30, 2012 | 1,168 | ± 2.9% | 55% | 37% | — | 8% | | Public Policy Polling | July 21–23, 2012 | 758 | ± 3.6% | 46% | 36% | — | 18% | | Rasmussen Reports | July 18, 2012 | 500 | ± 4.5% | 49% | 38% | — | 9% | | We Ask America | July 9–10, 2012 | 1,227 | ± 2.8% | 53% | 39% | — | 8% | | Quinnipiac | June 19–25, 2012 | 1,252 | ± 2.8% | 49% | 32% | 1% | 17% | | Quinnipiac | June 5–10, 2012 | 997 | ± 3.1% | 51% | 32% | 1% | 14% | | [https://edisk.fandm.edu/FLI/keystone/pdf/keyjun12_1.pdf Franklin & Marshall College] | May 29–June 4, 2012 | 412 | ± 4.8% | 42% | 21% | 2% | 35% | | Rasmussen Reports | May 21, 2012 | 500 | ± 4.5% | 48% | 41% | 3% | 7% | | Public Policy Polling | May 17–20, 2012 | 671 | ± 3.8% | 49% | 33% | — | 19% | | Public Policy Polling | March 8–11, 2012 | 689 | ± 3.7% | 49% | 31% | — | 20% | | Public Policy Polling | November 17–20, 2011 | 500 | ± 4.4% | 48% | 32% | — | 20% |
| Hypothetical polling |
|---|
- Republican Primary
| Poll source | Date(s)
administered | Sample
size | Margin of
error | Jake
Corman | Laureen
Cummings | Charlie
Dent | Jim
Gerlach | Tim
Murphy | Rick
Santorum | Marc
Scaringi | Mark
Schweiker | Kim
Ward | Other/
Undecided |
|---|
| Public Policy Polling | June 30 – July 5, 2011 | 376 | ± 5.1% | 9% | 5% | 4% | 7% | 9% | 47% | 1% | — | 0% | 18% | | Public Policy Polling | January 3–5, 2011 | 400 | ± 4.9% | 3% | — | 8% | 9% | 7% | 45% | 1% | 8% | 1% | 19% | | 9% | — | 10% | 14% | 13% | — | 1% | 18% | 2% | 33% |
- General election
| Poll source | Date(s)
administered | Sample
size | Margin of
error | Bob
Casey, Jr. (D) | Republican | Depends on
the candidate | Undecided |
|---|
| Quinnipiac | March 7–12, 2012 | 1256 | ± 2.8% | 46% | 34% | 8% | 12% | | Morning Call | February 15–21, 2012 | 625 | ± 4% | 40% | 25% | 20% | 14% |
| Poll source | Date(s)
administered | Sample
size | Margin of
error | Bob
Casey, Jr. (D) | Tim
Burns (R) | Other | Undecided |
|---|
| Public Policy Polling | November 17–20, 2011 | 500 | ± 4.4% | 49% | 34% | — | 17% |
| Poll source | Date(s)
administered | Sample
size | Margin of
error | Bob
Casey, Jr. (D) | David
Christian (R) | Other | Undecided |
|---|
| Public Policy Polling | March 8–11, 2012 | 689 | ± 3.7% | 50% | 32% | — | 18% |
| Poll source | Date(s)
administered | Sample
size | Margin of
error | Bob
Casey, Jr. (D) | Jake
Corman (R) | Other | Undecided |
|---|
| Public Policy Polling | June 30 – July 5, 2011 | 545 | ± 4.2% | 51% | 35% | — | 14% | | Public Policy Polling | April 7–10, 2011 | 593 | ± 4.0% | 51% | 35% | — | 14% |
| Poll source | Date(s)
administered | Sample
size | Margin of
error | Bob
Casey, Jr. (D) | Laureen
Cummings (R) | Other | Undecided |
|---|
| Public Policy Polling | June 30 – July 5, 2011 | 545 | ± 4.2% | 51% | 31% | — | 18% | | Public Policy Polling | April 7–10, 2011 | 593 | ± 4.0% | 51% | 32% | — | 17% |
| Poll source | Date(s)
administered | Sample
size | Margin of
error | Bob
Casey, Jr. (D) | Charlie
Dent (R) | Other | Undecided |
|---|
| Public Policy Polling | April 7–10, 2011 | 593 | ± 4.0% | 51% | 31% | — | 18% | | Municipoll | February 21–23, 2011 | 670 | ± 3.79.% | 51% | 32% | — | 17% | | Public Policy Polling | January 3–5, 2011 | 547 | ± 4.2% | 51% | 31% | — | 18% |
| Poll source | Date(s)
administered | Sample
size | Margin of
error | Bob
Casey, Jr. (D) | Jim
Gerlach (R) | Other | Undecided |
|---|
| Public Policy Polling | June 30 – July 5, 2011 | 545 | ± 4.2% | 49% | 33% | — | 17% | | Public Policy Polling | April 7–10, 2011 | 593 | ± 4.0% | 50% | 32% | — | 19% | | Municipoll | February 21–23, 2011 | 670 | ± 3.79.% | 48% | 34% | — | 17% | | Public Policy Polling | January 3–5, 2011 | 547 | ± 4.2% | 49% | 33% | — | 18% |
| Poll source | Date(s)
administered | Sample
size | Margin of
error | Bob
Casey, Jr. (D) | Tim
Murphy (R) | Other | Undecided |
|---|
| Public Policy Polling | June 30 – July 5, 2011 | 545 | ± 4.2% | 47% | 35% | — | 18% |
| Poll source | Date(s)
administered | Sample
size | Margin of
error | Bob
Casey, Jr. (D) | Sam
Rohrer (R) | Other | Undecided |
|---|
| Public Policy Polling | March 8–11, 2012 | 689 | ± 3.7% | 49% | 34% | — | 17% | | Public Policy Polling | November 17–20, 2011 | 500 | ± 4.4% | 47% | 36% | — | 16% |
| Poll source | Date(s)
administered | Sample
size | Margin of
error | Bob
Casey, Jr. (D) | Rick
Santorum (R) | Other | Undecided |
|---|
| Morning Call | February 15–21, 2012 | 625 | ± 4% | 44% | 36% | 7% | 12% | | Public Policy Polling | November 17–20, 2011 | 500 | ± 4.4% | 49% | 39% | — | 11% | | Public Policy Polling | June 30 – July 5, 2011 | 545 | ± 4.2% | 48% | 39% | — | 13% | | Public Policy Polling | April 7–10, 2011 | 593 | ± 4.0% | 49% | 37% | — | 13% | | Municipoll | February 21–23, 2011 | 670 | ± 3.79.% | 50% | 38% | — | 12% | | Public Policy Polling | January 3–5, 2011 | 547 | ± 4.2% | 48% | 41% | — | 10% | | Public Policy Polling | June 19–21, 2010 | 609 | ± 4.0% | 51% | 39% | — | 10% |
| Poll source | Date(s)
administered | Sample
size | Margin of
error | Bob
Casey, Jr. (D) | Marc
Scaringi (R) | Other | Undecided |
|---|
| Public Policy Polling | March 8–11, 2012 | 689 | ± 3.7% | 49% | 29% | — | 22% | | Public Policy Polling | June 30 – July 5, 2011 | 545 | ± 4.2% | 47% | 29% | — | 24% | | Public Policy Polling | April 7–10, 2011 | 593 | ± 4.0% | 51% | 28% | — | 21% | | Public Policy Polling | January 3–5, 2011 | 547 | ± 4.2% | 50% | 27% | — | 22% |
| Poll source | Date(s)
administered | Sample
size | Margin of
error | Bob
Casey, Jr. (D) | Mark
Schweiker (R) | Other | Undecided |
|---|
| Public Policy Polling | January 3–5, 2011 | 547 | ± 4.2% | 47% | 34% | — | 18% |
| Poll source | Date(s)
administered | Sample
size | Margin of
error | Bob
Casey, Jr. (D) | Kim
Ward (R) | Other | Undecided |
|---|
| Public Policy Polling | April 7–10, 2011 | 593 | ± 4.0% | 50% | 29% | — | 21% |
| Poll source | Date(s)
administered | Sample
size | Margin of
error | Bob
Casey, Jr. (D) | Steve
Welch (R) | Other | Undecided |
|---|
| Public Policy Polling | March 8–11, 2012 | 689 | ± 3.7% | 49% | 31% | — | 22% | | Public Policy Polling | November 17–20, 2011 | 500 | ± 4.4% | 47% | 33% | — | 20% |
{{Election box end}} Results Despite many predictions of a close race, the election was not close. Casey, the incumbent, despite being seen as somewhat vulnerable, went into election night with most analysts thinking he would win. Casey would win by more than expected. This can be traced to several factors. Casey trounced Smith in Philadelphia County home of Philadelphia. Casey also won the surrounding collar counties of, Bucks, Chester, Delaware, and Montgomery, which are seen as vital in state wide elections in Pennsylvania. Casey also performed well in Allegheny County home of Pittsburgh. Casey also performed well in Erie. Casey also performed strongly in the Scranton area. Smith did well in rural counties, but it wasn't enough to overcome the lead Casey had built in the huge population centers. Casey was sworn in for his second term beginning at noon on January 3, 2013. {{Election box begin | title=United States Senate election in Pennsylvania, 2012[40]}}{{Election box winning candidate with party link | party = Democratic Party (United States) | candidate = Bob Casey, Jr. (incumbent) | votes = 3,021,364 | percentage = 53.69% | change = -4.95%
}}{{Election box candidate with party link | party = Republican Party (United States) | candidate = Tom Smith | votes = 2,509,132 | percentage = 44.59% | change = +3.31%
}}{{Election box candidate with party link | party = Libertarian Party (United States) | candidate = Rayburn Smith | votes = 96,926 | percentage = 1.72% | change = N/A
}}{{Election box total | votes = 5,627,422 | percentage = 100.0% | change = N/A
}}{{Election box hold with party link no swing | winner = Democratic Party (United States)
}}{{Election box end}} See also - United States Senate elections, 2012
- United States House of Representatives elections in Pennsylvania, 2012
References 1. ^{{cite web |url=http://elections.gmu.edu/Turnout_2012G.html |title=2012 General Election Turnout Rates |publisher=George Mason University |author=Dr. Michael McDonald |date=February 9, 2013 |accessdate=April 6, 2013 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20130424003112/http://elections.gmu.edu/Turnout_2012G.html |archive-date=April 24, 2013 |dead-url=yes |df=mdy-all }}
2. ^{{cite web|url=http://www.mcall.com/news/nationworld/pennsylvania/mc-dc-casey-2012-20101120,0,5867038.story|title=Mellow Casey has to up profile for re-election|date=November 21, 2010|accessdate=November 25, 2010|work=The Morning Call|first=Colby|last=Itkowitz}}
3. ^1 2 3 4 {{cite web|url=http://www.post-gazette.com/pg/10330/1106213-454.stm|title=Murrysville native planning for 2010 run against Casey|date=November 26, 2010|accessdate=November 26, 2010|work=Pittsburgh Post-Gazette|first=Daniel|last=Malloy}}
4. ^{{cite news|last=Itkowitz|first=Colby|title=Petitions filed for Pa. primary|url=http://www.mcall.com/news/nationworld/blog_pennsylvania_ave/mc-pennsylvania-primary-ballot-20120215,0,1998861.story|accessdate=February 22, 2012|newspaper=The Allentown Morning Call|date=February 15, 2012}}
5. ^{{cite news|title=2012: David Christian Enters U.S. Senate Race|url=http://pike.mygopsite.net/2011/09/15/2012-david-christian-enters-u-s-senate-race/|accessdate=September 24, 2011|newspaper=Pike County Republican Committee|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20111115153930/http://pike.mygopsite.net/2011/09/15/2012-david-christian-enters-u-s-senate-race/|archive-date=November 15, 2011|dead-url=yes|df=mdy-all}}
6. ^{{cite web|url=http://tribune-democrat.com/local/x1953746857/Hopeful-runs-for-Senate|title=New Paris pharmacist seeks GOP nomination|date=September 28, 2011|accessdate=September 30, 2011|work=The Tribune-Democrat|first=Sandra K.|last=Reabuck}}
7. ^{{cite news|last=Levy|first=Marc|title=Sam Rohrer to run for Casey's Senate seat|url=http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/45166461/ns/local_news-delaware_valley_pa_nj/t/sam-rohrer-run-caseys-senate-seat/#.TrcOx_Ssc9c|accessdate=November 6, 2011|newspaper=MSNBC|date=November 4, 2011}}
8. ^{{cite web|url=http://www.goerie.com/article/20110929/NEWS02/309289863/Armstrong-County-Republican-announces-candidacy-for-US-Senate-in-Erie|title=Armstrong County Republican announces candidacy for U.S. Senate in Erie|date=September 29, 2011|accessdate=September 30, 2011|work=Erie Times-News|first=John|last=Guerriero}}
9. ^{{cite web|url=http://www.politicspa.com/exclusive-welch-to-enter-senate-race/27742/|title=Welch to Enter Senate Race|date=September 13, 2011|accessdate=September 14, 2011|work=PoliticsPA|first=Keegan|last=Gibson}}
10. ^{{cite web|url=http://www.politicspa.com/burns-exits-senate-race/31520/|title=Burns Exits Senate Race|date=February 2, 2012|accessdate=February 2, 2011|work=PoliticsPA}}
11. ^{{cite web|url=http://www.politicspa.com/cummings-drops-out-of-senate-race-endorses-burns/30781/|title=Cummings Drops Out of Senate Race, Endorses Burns|date=January 14, 2012|accessdate=January 16, 2012|work=Politics PA|first=Keegan|last=Gibson}}
12. ^{{cite web|url=http://www.politicspa.com/vernon-endorses-burns-for-senate/30835/|title=Vernon Endorses Burns for Senate|date=January 16, 2012|accessdate=January 17, 2012|work=Politics PA|first=Tara|last=Jerry}}
13. ^http://www.statecollege.com/news/local-news/corman-not-running-for-us-senate-in-2012-he-says-797097/
14. ^1 {{cite web|url=http://www.mcall.com/news/local/mc-dent-casey-121010,0,3717021.story|title=Dent versus Casey?|date=December 10, 2010|accessdate=December 10, 2010|work=The Morning Call|first=Colby|last=Itkowitz}}
15. ^1 {{cite web|url=http://hotlineoncall.nationaljournal.com/archives/2010/11/gop-sees-opport.php|title=GOP Looking For A Casey Challenger|date=November 16, 2010|accessdate=November 25, 2010|work=National Journal|first=Jeremy P.|last=Jacobs|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20120212063234/http://hotlineoncall.nationaljournal.com/archives/2010/11/gop-sees-opport.php|archive-date=February 12, 2012|dead-url=yes|df=mdy-all}}
16. ^1 {{cite web|url=http://www.politico.com/blogs/davidcatanese/0811/Is_Casey_closer_to_a_serious_challenger.html?showall|title=Is Casey closer to a serious challenger?|date=August 4, 2011|accessdate=August 8, 2011}}
17. ^http://www.delcotimes.com/articles/2011/09/16/news/doc4e72bc962d92c253852817.txt?viewmode=fullstory
18. ^{{cite web|url=http://www.observer-reporter.com/or/washingtoncounty11/08-31-2011-tim-murphy-visit|title=U.S. Rep. Murphy says he won't run for Senate next year|date=August 31, 2011|accessdate=September 2, 2011|work= Observer-Reporter |first=Brad|last=Hundt}}
19. ^{{cite web|url=http://hotlineoncall.nationaljournal.com/archives/2011/12/pileggi-wont-ch.php|title=Pileggi Won't Challenge Casey in Pa.|date=December 5, 2011|accessdate=December 5, 2011|work=National Journal|first=Sean|last=Sullivan}}
20. ^{{cite web|url=http://www.politicspa.com/schweiker-senate-run-"not-in-the-cards"/20152|title=Schweiker: Senate Run "Not in the Cards"|date=January 14, 2011|accessdate=January 15, 2011|work=PoliticsPA}}
21. ^{{cite web|url=http://www.politicspa.com/breaking-state-senator-kim-ward-exploring-challenge-to-bob-casey-in-2012/19227|title=EXCLUSIVE: State Senator Kim Ward Emerges as Potential Challenger to Bob Casey|date=December 8, 2010|accessdate=December 9, 2010|work=PoliticsPA}}
22. ^{{cite news|last=Levy|first=Mark|title=Pa. GOP endorses Welch to challenge Sen. Casey|url=http://lancasteronline.com/article/local/577102_Pa--GOP-endorses-Welch-to-challenge-Sen--Casey.html|accessdate=April 28, 2012|newspaper=Associated Press|date=January 29, 2012}}
23. ^{{cite news|title=Smith outspends, outraises Welch in US Senate race|url=http://www.yorkdispatch.com/penn/ci_20390442/smith-outspends-outraises-welch-us-senate-race|accessdate=April 28, 2012|newspaper=Associated Press|date=April 13, 2012}}
24. ^{{cite news|last=Gibson|first=Keegan|title=Where's Tom Smith?|url=http://www.politicspa.com/wheres-tom-smith/34170/|accessdate=April 28, 2012|newspaper=PoliticsPA|date=April 16, 2012}}
25. ^{{cite news|last=Gibson|first=Keegan|title=Smith Tax Votes Play in Senate Campaign|url=http://www.politicspa.com/smith-tax-votes-play-in-senate-campaign/33188/|accessdate=April 28, 2012|newspaper=PoliticsPA|date=March 26, 2012}}
26. ^{{cite news|last=Gibson|first=Keegan|title=Sen. Candidate Smith a Heavyweight GOP Donor|url=http://www.politicspa.com/sen-candidate-smith-is-heavyweight-gop-donor/26926/|accessdate=April 28, 2012|newspaper=PoliticsPA|date=August 17, 2011}}
27. ^{{cite news|last=Gibson|first=Keegan|title=Bachmann Endorses Rohrer|url=http://www.politicspa.com/bachmann-endorses-rohrer/33353/|accessdate=April 28, 2012|newspaper=PoliticsPA|date=March 28, 2012}}
28. ^{{cite web|title=Primary 2012: Nominate Christian|url=http://www.pittsburghlive.com/x/pittsburghtrib/opinion/s_791016.html|publisher=Pittsburgh Tribune-Review|accessdate=April 28, 2012}}
29. ^1 {{cite web|title=2012 General Primary: United States Senator|url=http://www.electionreturns.state.pa.us/ElectionsInformation.aspx?FunctionID=13&ElectionID=45&OfficeID=2|publisher=PA Department of State|accessdate=April 25, 2012}}
30. ^{{cite news|last=Brennan|first=Kevin|title=Smith Wins Pennsylvania Senate Primary|url=http://hotlineoncall.nationaljournal.com/archives/2012/04/smith-wins-penn.php|accessdate=April 25, 2012|newspaper=National Journal|date=April 24, 2012|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20120427235749/http://hotlineoncall.nationaljournal.com/archives/2012/04/smith-wins-penn.php|archive-date=April 27, 2012|dead-url=yes|df=mdy-all}}
31. ^{{cite web|title=11/6/2012 2012 GENERAL ELECTION GENERAL CANDIDATE LIST|url=http://www.portal.state.pa.us:80/portal/server.pt/gateway/PTARGS_0_160329_1216969_0_0_18/CandidateList.pdf|publisher=Pennsylvania Department of State|accessdate=August 27, 2012}}
32. ^Campaign Finances
33. ^Campaign Finances
34. ^href="bword://Center for Responsive Politics">Center for Responsive Politics
35. ^by industry, opensecrets.org
36. ^{{cite web | title=2012 Senate Race Ratings for November 1, 2012 | url=https://www.cookpolitical.com/ratings/senate-race-ratings/139117 | website=The Cook Political Report | accessdate=September 22, 2018}}
37. ^{{cite web | title=2012 Senate | url=http://www.centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/2012-senate/ | website=Sabato's Crystal Ball | accessdate=September 22, 2018}}
38. ^{{cite web | title=2012 Senate Ratings | url=http://www.insideelections.com/ratings/senate/2012-senate-ratings-november-2-2012 | work=Senate Ratings | publisher=The Rothenberg Political Report | accessdate=September 22, 2018}}
39. ^{{cite web | title=2012 Elections Map - Battle for the Senate 2012 | url=https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2012/senate/2012_elections_senate_map.html| publisher=Real Clear Politics | accessdate=September 22, 2018}}
40. ^https://electionreturns.pa.gov/General/SummaryResults?ElectionID=27&ElectionType=G&IsActive=0
External links - Pennsylvania Department of State
- Campaign contributions at OpenSecrets.org
- Outside spending at Sunlight Foundation
- Issue positions at On the Issues
- Official campaign websites (Archived)
- [https://web.archive.org/web/20121031155411/http://www.bobcasey.com/ Bob Casey, Jr. for U.S. Senate]
- [https://web.archive.org/web/20121025194018/http://tomsmithforsenate.com/ Tom Smith for U.S. Senate]
{{United States elections, 2012}} 3 : 2012 Pennsylvania elections|2012 United States Senate elections|United States Senate elections in Pennsylvania |
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