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词条 2013 Nova Scotia general election
释义

  1. Timeline

  2. Campaign

  3. Party standings

     Results by party  Results by region 

  4. Retiring incumbents

  5. Nominated candidates

     Annapolis Valley  South Shore  Fundy-Northeast  Central Halifax  Suburban Halifax  Dartmouth/Cole Harbour/Eastern Shore  Central Nova  Cape Breton 

  6. Opinion polls

  7. Analysis

  8. References

  9. External links

{{Use mdy dates|date=October 2013}}{{Infobox election
| election_name = 2013 Nova Scotia general election
| country = Nova Scotia
| type = legislative
| ongoing = no
| party_colour = no
| party_name = no
| previous_election = Nova Scotia general election, 2009
| previous_year = 2009
| previous_mps = 61st General Assembly of Nova Scotia
| election_date = October 8, 2013
| elected_mps = members
| next_election = Nova Scotia general election, 2017
| next_year = 2017
| next_mps = 63rd General Assembly of Nova Scotia
| seats_for_election= 51 seats in the Nova Scotia House of Assembly
| majority_seats = 26
| opinion_polls = #Opinion polls
| turnout = 59.08%
| image1 =
| colour1 = {{Canadian party colour|NS|Liberal|nohash}}
| leader1 = Stephen McNeil
| party1 = {{Canadian party colour|NS|Liberal|name}}
| leader_since1 = April 28, 2007
| leaders_seat1 = Annapolis
| last_election1 = 11 seats, 27.20%
| seats_before1 = 12
| seats1 = 33
| seat_change1 = {{increase}}21
| popular_vote1 = 190,112
| percentage1 = 45.71%
| swing1 = {{increase}}18.51pp
| image2 =
| colour2 = {{Canadian party colour|NS|PC|nohash}}
| leader2 = Jamie Baillie
| party2 = {{Canadian party colour|NS|PC|name}}
| leader_since2 = October 26, 2010
| leaders_seat2 = Cumberland South
| last_election2 = 10 seats, 24.54%
| seats_before2 = 7
| seats2 = 11
| seat_change2 = {{increase}}4
| popular_vote2 = 109,452
| percentage2 = 26.31%
| swing2 = {{increase}}1.77pp
| image3 =
| colour3 = {{Canadian party colour|NS|NDP|nohash}}
| leader3 = Darrell Dexter
| party3 = {{Canadian party colour|NS|NDP|name}}
| leader_since3 = June 2, 2002
| leaders_seat3 = Cole Harbour
ran in Cole Harbour-Portland Valley (lost)
| last_election3 = 31 seats, 45.24%
| seats_before3 = 31
| seats3 = 7
| seat_change3 = {{decrease}}24
| popular_vote3 = 111,622
| percentage3 = 26.84%
| swing3 = {{decrease}}18.40pp
| map_image = Nova_Scotia_Provincial_Election_2013_-_Results_By_Riding.svg
| map_size = 420px
| map_caption = Popular vote by riding. As this is an FPTP election, seat totals are not determined by popular vote, but instead via results by each riding. Riding names are listed at the bottom of the map.
| title = Premier
| before_election = Darrell Dexter
| before_party = {{Canadian party colour|NS|NDP|name}}
| posttitle = Premier-designate
| after_election = Stephen McNeil
| after_party = {{Canadian party colour|NS|Liberal|name}}
}}

The 2013 Nova Scotia general election, formally the 39th Nova Scotia general election, was held on October 8, 2013, to elect members to the Nova Scotia House of Assembly.

The result of the election was a Liberal victory under the leadership of Stephen McNeil, with the Liberals winning their first election since 1998. The Progressive Conservatives under the leadership of Jamie Baillie improved on their 2009 results and formed the official opposition, despite winning fewer votes than the New Democratic Party (NDP). The NDP, which had won power for the first time in 2009 under the leadership of Darrell Dexter was reduced to third place and became the first one-term government since 1882. Dexter was defeated in the riding he contested in Cole Harbour-Portland Valley by Liberal candidate Tony Ince.

Timeline

  • June 24, 2009 – The New Democratic Party under Darrell Dexter win 31 out of 52 seats. The Progressive Conservatives are reduced to 10 seats and Rodney MacDonald announces that he will step down as leader. Karen Casey is named as interim leader.[1]
  • September 4, 2009 – Antigonish MLA Angus MacIsaac resigns his seat, citing family reasons.
  • September 10, 2009 – Former Premier Rodney MacDonald resigns his Inverness seat in the legislature.
  • October 20, 2009 – By-elections are held in Inverness and Antigonish. PC candidate Allan MacMaster and NDP candidate Maurice Smith are elected, respectively.
  • February 9, 2010 – Richard Hurlburt resigns from the legislature following revelations that he had spent his constituency allowance on a generator and a 40" television, which together cost over $11,000.[2]
  • March 11, 2010 – Dave Wilson resigns from the legislature and is later charged and pleaded guilty.
  • March 25, 2010 – Trevor Zinck is suspended from the NDP caucus over problems with his constituency expenses.[3]
  • June 22, 2010 – Two byelections are held to replace Hurlburt and Wilson in Yarmouth and Glace Bay, respectively. Zach Churchill is elected in Yarmouth and Geoff MacLellan is elected in Glace Bay.
  • August 16, 2010 – Karen Casey announces her resignation as interim leader of the Progressive Conservatives.[4]
  • August 18, 2010 – Jamie Baillie is chosen as leader of the Progressive Conservative Party.
  • October 26, 2010 – Jamie Baillie wins a byelection and represents the constituency of Cumberland South.
  • January 10, 2011 – PC MLA Karen Casey crosses the floor to join the Liberal caucus.
  • February 14, 2011 – Trevor Zinck is announced as one of four people facing criminal charges in connection with the RCMP investigation into 2010s MLA expense scandal. Zinck is charged with fraud exceeding $5,000, breach of trust by a public officer, and 2 counts of theft over $5,000.[5]
  • March 25, 2011 – Cape Breton North PC MLA Cecil Clarke resigns his seat to run in the 2011 federal election.
  • June 21, 2011 – PC candidate Eddie Orrell wins the by-election in Cape Breton North.
  • April 19, 2012 – Former MLA Dave Wilson is sentenced to 9 months in jail and to a period of 18 months probation for his role in the expenses scandal.[6]
  • June 5, 2012 – The Atlantica Party is deregistered by Elections Nova Scotia.[7]
  • July 27, 2012 – Former MLA Richard Hurlburt is sentenced to 12 months of house arrest, followed by 12 months of probation for his role in the expenses scandal.[8]
  • September 25, 2012 – The Nova Scotia Electoral Boundaries Commission released their final report on riding redistribution, which recommends dropping one seat in the legislature.[9]
  • December 6, 2012 – The law to implement new electoral boundaries in the province was passed in the legislature.[10]
  • May 29, 2013 – Manning MacDonald resigns his seat in the legislature as MLA for Cape Breton South.[11]
  • June 19, 2013 – Trevor Zinck resigns his seat in the legislature after he pleaded guilty to charges of fraud and breach of trust.[12]
  • September 7, 2013 – Premier Darrell Dexter calls a general election for October 8, 2013.

Campaign

The election campaign began the week after Labour Day, when the Legislature would normally have been expected to return to work, had there been no election campaign. As criticism or defence of government policy would dominate the agenda, and by convention electoral mandates are understood to last about four years, despite a lack of fixed election dates, the timing was not controversial.

The Muskrat Falls or Lower Churchill Project, its associated Maritime Link, and electricity policy generally, immediately emerged as the key issue in the early campaign.      . Liberals emphasized Nova Scotia Power's (NSPI) dominance of power generation, and its ability to exclude alternatives through its near-monopoly ownership of the distribution network, covering 129/130 Nova Scotians. They also promised to remove a conservation charge, named for demand response programs that never materialized (though many passive conservation programs run by Efficiency Nova Scotia did prove effective) – instead proposing that NSPI pay for it from its return. Liberals and Conservatives criticized NSPI's unaccountable 9.2% guaranteed rate of return even for unwise investments. Conservatives acknowledged that it was under pressure to meet a tough renewable standard (which they would relax) but also promised to freeze rates. The NDP government continued to defend Muskrat Falls as the only viable alternative to replace coal-fired power, even though this project was before the Nova Scotia Utilities Review Board as of the election call, remained unchanged and this was reflected in their campaign materials – they criticized the Liberal plan as likely to lead to higher power rates. The basis for these criticisms was unclear. However, a similar attempt to open generation competition in New Brunswick failed, in part because New Brunswick Power retained monopoly control of the distribution and transmission network, which intimidates competitors and makes it easy in practice to exclude them.

Other issues in the campaign:

  • A proposed passenger ferry from Yarmouth, Nova Scotia to Portland, Maine, re-instituting summer service that ran for decades until the 1990s, replacing a car-focused service that ran to Bar Harbor, Maine until the NDP government cancelled it. This was of particular interest to South Shore candidates, especially Yarmouth. Associated issues include the collapse of all public transit on the South Shore (with the withdrawal of TryTown from operating public buses from Yarmouth to Halifax) and a general lack of transport strategy, that could leave some of the 130,000 passengers per year stranded. It remained unclear as of election time whether an announced deal to resume service May 1, 2014, had held, and what other transport policy applied   Darrell Dexter had referred to stories from Yarmouth about the impact of the loss of ferries a "mythology" [https://web.archive.org/web/20130224140908/http://www.ns.dailybusinessbuzz.ca/Provincial-News/2013-01-04/article-3150386/NS%3A-Premier-defends-controversial-ferry-comments/1] which effectively made this a campaign issue before the campaign had begun.

Party standings

33117
Liberal Progressive Conservative New Democratic

Results by party

PartyParty leader# of
candidates
SeatsPopular vote
2009DissolutionElected% Change#%Change{{Canadian party colour|NS|Liberal|row}}LiberalStephen McNeil51111233+200.0%190,11245.71%+18.51pp{{Canadian party colour|NS|PC|row}}Progressive ConservativeJamie Baillie5110711+10.0%109,45226.31%+1.77pp{{Canadian party colour|NS|NDP|row}}New DemocraticDarrell Dexter5131317-77.4%111,62226.84%-18.40pp{{Canadian party colour|NS|Green|row-name}}John Percy160000.0%3,5280.85%-1.49pp{{Canadian_politics/party_colours/Independents/row}}Independents70000.0%1,2380.30%-0.38pp
 Vacant1 
Total176525251-0.02%415,952100.00%0.00%

Results by region

Party nameHRMC.B.ValleyS. ShoreFundyCentralTotal
Parties winning seats in the legislature{{Canadian party colour|NS|NDP|row}}New Democratic Party Seats:22-21-7{{Canadian party colour|NS|NDP|row}} Popular vote:31.29%25.16%17.40%24.68%26.26%31.51%26.84%{{Canadian party colour|NS|Liberal|row}}Liberal Seats:183433233{{Canadian party colour|NS|Liberal|row}} Popular vote:48.72%46.89%52.02%43.55%40.68%28.71%45.71%{{Canadian party colour|NS|PC|row}}Progressive Conservative Seats:-3212311{{Canadian party colour|NS|PC|row}} Popular vote:18.62%27.69%27.58%30.76%32.01%39.78%26.31%
Parties not winning seats in the legislature{{Canadian party colour|NS|Green|row-name}} Popular vote:0.98%0.00%2.11%1.01%1.05%0.00%0.85%{{Canadian_politics/party_colours/Independents/row}}Independents Popular vote:0.39%0.26%0.89%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.3%
Total seats:208666551

Retiring incumbents

Liberal
  • Wayne Gaudet, Clare[13]
  • Harold "Junior" Theriault, Digby-Annapolis[14]
New Democratic
  • Vicki Conrad, Queens[15]
  • Howard Epstein, Halifax Chebucto[16]
  • Bill Estabrooks, Timberlea-Prospect[17]
  • Marilyn More, Dartmouth South-Portland Valley[18]
  • Michele Raymond, Halifax Atlantic[19]
  • Graham Steele, Halifax Fairview[17]

Nominated candidates

{{Cleanup|section|reason=Add new ridings, sort parties by last election result|date=April 2013}}

Annapolis Valley

{{Canadian politics/candlist header|province=NS|NDP|Liberal|PC|Green|Independent}}
|-
|bgcolor=whitesmoke|Annapolis
|
|Henry Spurr
|{{Canadian party colour|NS|Liberal|background}}|
|Stephen McNeil
|
|Ginny Hurlock[20]
|
|Ron Neufeld
|
|
|{{Canadian party colour|NS|Liberal|background}}|
|Stephen McNeil
|-
|rowspan=3 bgcolor=whitesmoke|Clare-Digby
|rowspan=3|
|rowspan=3|Dean Kenley
|rowspan=3 {{Canadian party colour|NS|Liberal|background}}|
|rowspan=3|Gordon Wilson
|rowspan=3|
|rowspan=3|Paul Emile LeBlanc[22]
|rowspan=3|
|rowspan=3|
|rowspan=3|
|rowspan=3|Ian Thurber
|{{Canadian party colour|NS|Liberal|background}}|
|Wayne Gaudet†
|-
|colspan=2 align="center"|merged district
|-
|{{Canadian party colour|NS|Liberal|background}}|
|Harold Theriault†
|-
|bgcolor=whitesmoke|Hants West
|
|Brian Stephens
|
|Claude O'Hara
|{{Canadian_politics/party_colours/Progressive Conservatives}}|
|Chuck Porter
|
|Torin Buzek
|
|
|{{Canadian_politics/party_colours/Progressive Conservatives}}|
|Chuck Porter
|-
|bgcolor=whitesmoke|Kings North
|
|Jim Morton
|
|Stephen Pearl
|{{Canadian_politics/party_colours/Progressive Conservatives}}|
|John Lohr[21]
|
|Mary Lou Harley
|
|
|{{Canadian_politics/party_colours/NDP}}|
|Jim Morton
|-
|bgcolor=whitesmoke|Kings South
|
|Ramona Jennex
|{{Canadian party colour|NS|Liberal|background}}|
|Keith Irving
|
|Shane Buchan [22]
|
|Sheila Richardson
|
|
|{{Canadian_politics/party_colours/NDP}}|
|Ramona Jennex
|-
|bgcolor=whitesmoke|Kings West
|
|Bob Landry
|{{Canadian party colour|NS|Liberal|background}}|
|Leo Glavine
|
|Jody Frowley
|
|Barbara Lake
|
|
|{{Canadian party colour|NS|Liberal|background}}|
|Leo Glavine
|}

South Shore

{{Canadian politics/candlist header|province=NS|NDP|Liberal|PC|Green|Independent}}
|-
|bgcolor=whitesmoke|Argyle-Barrington
|
|Kenn Baynton
|
|Kent Blades
|{{Canadian_politics/party_colours/Progressive Conservatives}}|
|Chris d'Entremont
|
|
|
|
|{{Canadian_politics/party_colours/Progressive Conservatives}}|
|Chris d'Entremont
|-
|bgcolor=whitesmoke|Chester-St. Margaret's
|{{Canadian_politics/party_colours/NDP}}|
|Denise Peterson-Rafuse
|
|Tim Harris
|
|Janet Irwin [22]
|
|
|
|
|{{Canadian_politics/party_colours/NDP}}|
|Denise Peterson-Rafuse
|-
|bgcolor=whitesmoke|Lunenburg
|
|Pam Birdsall
|{{Canadian party colour|NS|Liberal|background}}|
|Suzanne Lohnes-Croft
|
|Brian Pickings
|
|
|
|
|{{Canadian_politics/party_colours/NDP}}|
|Pam Birdsall
|-
|bgcolor=whitesmoke|Lunenburg West
|
|Gary Ramey
|{{Canadian party colour|NS|Liberal|background}}|
|Mark Furey
|
|David Mitchell [22]
|
|Robert Pierce
|
|
|{{Canadian_politics/party_colours/NDP}}|
|Gary Ramey
|-
|rowspan=3 bgcolor=whitesmoke|Queens-Shelburne
|rowspan=3 {{Canadian party colour|NS|NDP|background}}|
|rowspan=3|Sterling Belliveau
|rowspan=3|
|rowspan=3|Benson Frail
|rowspan=3|
|rowspan=3|Bruce Inglis[22]
|rowspan=3|
|rowspan=3|Madeline Taylor
|rowspan=3|
|rowspan=3|
|{{Canadian_politics/party_colours/NDP}}|
|Sterling Belliveau
|-
|colspan=2 align="center"|merged district
|-
|{{Canadian_politics/party_colours/NDP}}|
|Vicki Conrad†
|-
|bgcolor=whitesmoke|Yarmouth
|
|Charles Webster
|{{Canadian party colour|NS|Liberal|background}}|
|Zach Churchill
|
|John Cunningham
|
|Vanessa Goodwin-Clairmont
|
|
|{{Canadian party colour|NS|Liberal|background}}|
|Zach Churchill
|}

Fundy-Northeast

{{Canadian politics/candlist header|province=NS|NDP|Liberal|PC|Green|Independent}}
|-
|bgcolor=whitesmoke|Colchester-Musquodoboit Valley
|
|Gary Burrill
|
|Tom Martin
|{{Canadian_politics/party_colours/Progressive Conservatives}}|
|Larry Harrison[23]
|
|
|
|
|{{Canadian_politics/party_colours/NDP}}|
|Gary Burrill
|-
|bgcolor=whitesmoke|Colchester North
|
|Jim Wyatt
|{{Canadian party colour|NS|Liberal|background}}|
|Karen Casey
|
|John MacDonald [22]
|
|
|
|
|{{Canadian party colour|NS|Liberal|background}}|
|Karen Casey
|-
|bgcolor=whitesmoke|Cumberland North
|
|Brian Skabar
|{{Canadian party colour|NS|Liberal|background}}|
|Terry Farrell
|
|Judith Giroux [22]
|
|Jason Blanch
|
|
|{{Canadian_politics/party_colours/NDP}}|
|Brian Skabar
|-
|bgcolor=whitesmoke|Cumberland South
|
|Larry Duchesne
|
|Kenny Jackson
|{{Canadian_politics/party_colours/Progressive Conservatives}}|
|Jamie Baillie [22]
|
|Bruce McCulloch
|
|
|{{Canadian_politics/party_colours/Progressive Conservatives}}|
|Jamie Baillie
|-
|bgcolor=whitesmoke|Hants East
|
|John MacDonell
|{{Canadian party colour|NS|Liberal|background}}|
|Margaret Miller
|
|Kim Williams[24]
|
|
|
|
|{{Canadian_politics/party_colours/NDP}}|
|John MacDonell
|-
|bgcolor=whitesmoke|Truro–Bible Hill–Millbrook–Salmon River
|{{Canadian party colour|NS|NDP|background}}|
|Lenore Zann
|
|Barry Mellish
|
|Charles Cox [25]
|
|
|
|
|{{Canadian_politics/party_colours/NDP}}|
|Lenore Zann
|}

Central Halifax

{{Canadian politics/candlist header|province=NS|NDP|Liberal|PC|Green|Independent}}
|-
|bgcolor=whitesmoke|Clayton Park West
|
|Blake Wright
|{{Canadian party colour|NS|Liberal|background}}|
|Diana Whalen
|
|Jaime D. Allen
|
|
|
|
|{{Canadian party colour|NS|Liberal|background}}|
|Diana Whalen
|-
|bgcolor=whitesmoke|Fairview-Clayton Park
|
|Abad Khan
|{{Canadian party colour|NS|Liberal|background}}|
|Patricia Arab
|
|Travis Price
|
|Raland Kinley
|
| Katie Campbell
|{{Canadian party colour|NS|other|background}}|
|New Riding
|-
|bgcolor=whitesmoke|Halifax Armdale
|
|Drew Moore
|{{Canadian party colour|NS|Liberal|background}}|
|Lena Diab
|
|Irvine Carvery
|
|
|
|
|{{Canadian_politics/party_colours/NDP}}|
|Graham Steele†
|-
|bgcolor=whitesmoke|Halifax Chebucto
|
|Gregor Ash
|{{Canadian party colour|NS|Liberal|background}}|
|Joachim Stroink[26]
|
|Christine Dewell [25]
|
|
|
|Michael Marshall
|{{Canadian_politics/party_colours/NDP}}|
|Howard Epstein†
|-
|bgcolor=whitesmoke|Halifax Citadel-Sable Island
|
|Leonard Preyra
|{{Canadian party colour|NS|Liberal|background}}|
|Labi Kousoulis
|
|Andrew Black
|
|Brynn Horley
|
|Frederic Boileau-Cadieux
|{{Canadian_politics/party_colours/NDP}}|
|Leonard Preyra
|-
|bgcolor=whitesmoke|Halifax Needham
|{{Canadian party colour|NS|NDP|background}}|
|Maureen MacDonald
|
|Chris Poole
|
|Mary Hamblin[27]
|
|Kris MacLellan
|
|
|{{Canadian_politics/party_colours/NDP}}|
|Maureen MacDonald
|}

Suburban Halifax

{{Canadian politics/candlist header|province=NS|NDP|Liberal|PC|Green|Independent}}
|-
|bgcolor=whitesmoke|Bedford
|
|Mike Poworoznyk
|{{Canadian party colour|NS|Liberal|background}}|
|Kelly Regan
|
|Joan Christie[28]
|
|Ian Charles
|
|
|{{Canadian party colour|NS|Liberal|background}}|
|Kelly Regan
|-
|bgcolor=whitesmoke|Halifax Atlantic
|
|Tanis Crosby
|{{Canadian party colour|NS|Liberal|background}}|
|Brendan Maguire
|
|Ryan Brennan
|
|
|
|
|{{Canadian_politics/party_colours/NDP}}|
|Michèle Raymond†
|-
|bgcolor=whitesmoke|Hammonds Plains-Lucasville
|
|Peter Lund
|{{Canadian party colour|NS|Liberal|background}}|
|Ben Jessome
|
|Gina Byrne[29]
|
|
|
|Jonathan Dean
|{{Canadian party colour|NS|other|background}}|
|New Riding
|-
|bgcolor=whitesmoke|Sackville-Beaver Bank
|
|Mat Whynott
|{{Canadian party colour|NS|Liberal|background}}|
|Stephen Gough
|
|Sarah Reeves [30]
|
|
|
|
|{{Canadian_politics/party_colours/NDP}}|
|Mat Whynott
|-
|bgcolor=whitesmoke|Sackville-Cobequid
|{{Canadian party colour|NS|NDP|background}}|
|Dave Wilson
|
|Graham Cameron
|
|Peter Mac Isaac[31]
|
|John Percy
|
|
|{{Canadian_politics/party_colours/NDP}}|
|Dave Wilson
|-
|bgcolor=whitesmoke|Timberlea-Prospect
|
|Linda Moxsom-Skinner
|{{Canadian party colour|NS|Liberal|background}}|
|Iain Rankin
|
|Bruce Pretty
|
|Thomas Trappenberg
|
|
|{{Canadian_politics/party_colours/NDP}}|
|Bill Estabrooks†
|-
|bgcolor=whitesmoke|Waverley-Fall River-Beaver Bank
|
|Percy Paris
|{{Canadian party colour|NS|Liberal|background}}|
|Bill Horne[32]
|
|Brian Wong[33]
|
|
|
|
|{{Canadian_politics/party_colours/NDP}}|
|Percy Paris
|}

Dartmouth/Cole Harbour/Eastern Shore

{{Canadian politics/candlist header|province=NS|NDP|Liberal|PC|Green|Independent}}
|-
|bgcolor=whitesmoke|Cole Harbour-Eastern Passage
|
|Becky Kent
|{{Canadian party colour|NS|Liberal|background}}|
|Joyce Treen[34]
|
|Lloyd Jackson
|
|
|
|
|{{Canadian_politics/party_colours/NDP}}|
|Becky Kent
|-
|bgcolor=whitesmoke|Cole Harbour-Portland Valley
|
|Darrell Dexter
|{{Canadian party colour|NS|Liberal|background}}|
|Tony Ince
|
|Greg Frampton
|
|
|
|
|{{Canadian_politics/party_colours/NDP}}|
|Darrell Dexter
|-
|bgcolor=whitesmoke|Dartmouth East
|
|Deborah Stover
|{{Canadian party colour|NS|Liberal|background}}|
|Andrew Younger
|
|Mike MacDonell
|
|
|
|
|{{Canadian party colour|NS|Liberal|background}}|
|Andrew Younger
|-
|bgcolor=whitesmoke|Dartmouth North
|
|Steve Estey
|{{Canadian party colour|NS|Liberal|background}}|
|Joanne Bernard
|
|Sean Brownlow
|
|
|
|
|{{Canadian party colour|NS|vacant|background}}|
|Vacant
|-
|bgcolor=whitesmoke|Dartmouth South
|
|Mary Vingoe
|{{Canadian party colour|NS|Liberal|background}}|
|Allan Rowe
|
|Gord Gamble[35]
|
|
|
|Jim Murray
|{{Canadian_politics/party_colours/NDP}}|
|Marilyn More†
|-
|bgcolor=whitesmoke|Eastern Shore
|
|Sid Prest
|{{Canadian party colour|NS|Liberal|background}}|
|Kevin Murphy[36]
|
|Stephen Brine
|
|
|
|
|{{Canadian_politics/party_colours/NDP}}|
|Sid Prest
|-
|bgcolor=whitesmoke|Preston-Dartmouth
|
|Andre Cain
|{{Canadian party colour|NS|Liberal|background}}|
|Keith Colwell
|
|Andrew Mecke
|
|
|
|
|{{Canadian party colour|NS|Liberal|background}}|
|Keith Colwell
|}

Central Nova

{{Canadian politics/candlist header|province=NS|NDP|Liberal|PC|Green|Independent}}
|-
|bgcolor=whitesmoke|Antigonish
|
|Maurice Smith
|{{Canadian party colour|NS|Liberal|background}}|
|Randy Delorey[37]
|
|Darren Thompson
|
|
|
|
|{{Canadian_politics/party_colours/NDP}}|
|Maurice Smith
|-
|bgcolor=whitesmoke|Guysborough–Eastern Shore–Tracadie
|
|Jim Boudreau
|{{Canadian party colour|NS|Liberal|background}}|
|Lloyd Hines[38]
|
|Neil DeCoff
|
|
|
|
|{{Canadian_politics/party_colours/NDP}}|
|Jim Boudreau
|-
|bgcolor=whitesmoke|Pictou Centre
|
|Ross Landry
|
|Bill Muirhead
|{{Canadian_politics/party_colours/Progressive Conservatives}}|
|Pat Dunn[39]
|
|
|
|
|{{Canadian_politics/party_colours/NDP}}|
|Ross Landry
|-
|bgcolor=whitesmoke|Pictou East
|
|Clarrie MacKinnon
|
|Francois Rochon
|{{Canadian_politics/party_colours/Progressive Conservatives}}|
|Tim Houston[40]
|
|
|
|
|{{Canadian_politics/party_colours/NDP}}|
|Clarrie MacKinnon
|-
|bgcolor=whitesmoke|Pictou West
|
|Charlie Parker
|
|Glennie Langille
|{{Canadian_politics/party_colours/Progressive Conservatives}}|
|Karla MacFarlane[41]
|
|
|
|
|{{Canadian_politics/party_colours/NDP}}|
|Charlie Parker
|}

Cape Breton

{{Canadian politics/candlist header|province=NS|NDP|Liberal|PC|Green|Independent}}
|-
|bgcolor=whitesmoke|Cape Breton Centre
|{{Canadian party colour|NS|NDP|background}}|
|Frank Corbett
|
|David Wilton[42]
|
|Edna Lee[43]
|
|
|
|
|{{Canadian_politics/party_colours/NDP}}|
|Frank Corbett
|-
|bgcolor=whitesmoke|Cape Breton-Richmond
|
|Bert Lewis
|{{Canadian party colour|NS|Liberal|background}}|
|Michel Samson
|
|Joe Janega[44]
|
|
|
|
|{{Canadian party colour|NS|Liberal|background}}|
|Michel Samson
|-
|bgcolor=whitesmoke|Glace Bay
|
|Mary Beth MacDonald
|{{Canadian party colour|NS|Liberal|background}}|
|Geoff MacLellan
|
|Tom Bethell
|
|
|
|
|{{Canadian party colour|NS|Liberal|background}}|
|Geoff MacLellan
|-
|bgcolor=whitesmoke|Inverness
|
|Michelle Smith
|
|Jackie Rankin[45]
|{{Canadian_politics/party_colours/Progressive Conservatives}}|
|Allan MacMaster
|
|
|
|
|{{Canadian_politics/party_colours/Progressive Conservatives}}|
|Allan MacMaster
|-
|bgcolor=whitesmoke|Northside-Westmount
|
|Cecil Snow
|
|John Higgins[46]
|{{Canadian_politics/party_colours/Progressive Conservatives}}|
|Eddie Orrell
|
|
|
|
|{{Canadian_politics/party_colours/Progressive Conservatives}}|
|Eddie Orrell
|-
|bgcolor=whitesmoke|Sydney River-Mira-Louisbourg
|
|Delton McDonald
|
|Josephine Kennedy[47]
|{{Canadian_politics/party_colours/Progressive Conservatives}}|
|Alfie MacLeod
|
|
|
|
|{{Canadian_politics/party_colours/Progressive Conservatives}}|
|Alfie MacLeod
|-
|rowspan=3 bgcolor=whitesmoke|Sydney-Whitney Pier
|rowspan=3 {{Canadian party colour|NS|NDP|background}}|
|rowspan=3|Gordie Gosse
|rowspan=3|
|rowspan=3|Derek Mombourquette[48]
|rowspan=3|
|rowspan=3|Leslie MacPhee
|rowspan=3|
|rowspan=3|
|rowspan=3|
|rowspan=3|
|{{Canadian_politics/party_colours/NDP}}|
|Gordie Gosse
|-
|colspan=2 align="center"|merged district
|-
|
|Vacant
|-
|bgcolor=whitesmoke|Victoria-The Lakes
|
|John Frank Toney
|{{Canadian party colour|NS|Liberal|background}}|
|Pam Eyking[49]
|
|Keith Bain
|
|
|
|Stemer MacLeod
|{{Canadian_politics/party_colours/Progressive Conservatives}}|
|Keith Bain
|}

Opinion polls

{{clear}}
Polling FirmLast Day of PollingLinkNS|NDP|background}} align="center" style="width: 70px"| NDPNS|Liberal|background}} align="center" style="width: 70px"| LiberalNS|PC|background}} align="center" style="width: 70px"| PCNS|Green|background}} align="center" style="width: 70px"| Green
Election 2013{{sort|13-10-08|October 8, 2013}}HTML{{Dead link|date=November 2018 |bot=InternetArchiveBot |fix-attempted=yes }}26.8445.7126.310.85
Forum Research13-10-07|October 7, 2013}}PDF2648233
Forum Research13-10-06|October 6, 2013}}PDF2847232
Abacus Data13-10-06|October 6, 2013}}PDF2646271
Forum Research13-10-05|October 5, 2013}}PDF2847232
Abacus Data13-10-05|October 5, 2013}}PDF2748241
Forum Research13-10-07|October 4, 2013}}PDF2846242
Abacus Data13-10-03|October 3, 2013}}PDF2846251
Corporate Research Associates13-10-03|October 3, 2013}}HTML3147202
Corporate Research Associates13-10-03|October 3, 2013}}[https://www.scribd.com/doc/173360791/The-Chronicle-Herald-CRA-daily-trending-poll HTML]2952172
Abacus Data13-10-02|October 2, 2013}}PDF2850221
Corporate Research Associates13-10-02|October 2, 2013}}HTML2754172
Abacus Data13-10-01|October 1, 2013}}PDF2651231
Corporate Research Associates13-10-01|October 1, 2013}}HTML2855162
Corporate Research Associates13-09-30|September 30, 2013}}[https://www.scribd.com/doc/172411848/The-Chronicle-Herald-CRA-daily-poll-Oct-1 HTML]2756152
Corporate Research Associates13-09-29|September 29, 2013}}[https://www.scribd.com/doc/172096395/The-Chronicle-Herald-CRA-daily-poll-Sept-30 HTML]2457172
Corporate Research Associates13-09-28|September 28, 2013}}[https://www.scribd.com/doc/171850918/Herald-CRA-poll-for-Sept-29 HTML]2656172
Corporate Research Associates13-09-27|September 27, 2013}}[https://www.scribd.com/doc/171652954/Trending-Graphs-Sept-28 HTML]2655162
Corporate Research Associates13-09-26|September 26, 2013}}[https://www.scribd.com/doc/171406044/Daily-Chronicle-Herald-CRA-poll-Sept-27 HTML]2756162
Corporate Research Associates13-09-25|September 25, 2013}}HTML2953172
Corporate Research Associates13-09-24|September 24, 2013}}HTML2751202
Corporate Research Associates13-09-23|September 23, 2013}}[https://www.scribd.com/doc/170584460/N-S-Election-Poll-Sept-24-2013 HTML]2949202
Corporate Research Associates13-09-22|September 22, 2013}}[https://www.scribd.com/doc/170268024/Herald-CRA-poll-Sept-23 HTML]2949212
Corporate Research Associates13-09-21|September 21, 2013}}[https://www.scribd.com/doc/170012875/Herald-CRA-poll-Sept-22 HTML]2948212
Corporate Research Associates13-09-20|September 20, 2013}}[https://www.scribd.com/doc/169850017/Herald-CRA-poll-Sept-21 HTML]2947212
Corporate Research Associates13-09-19|September 19, 2013}}[https://www.scribd.com/doc/169850017/Herald-CRA-poll-Sept-21 HTML]2847232
Corporate Research Associates13-09-18|September 18, 2013}}HTML2848232
Corporate Research Associates13-08-31|August 31, 2013}}PDF3141253
Corporate Research Associates13-05-30|May 30, 2013}}PDF2645263
Corporate Research Associates13-03-03|March 3, 2013}}PDF3239245
Corporate Research Associates12-11-30|November 30, 2012}}PDF2941273
Corporate Research Associates12-09-02|September 2, 2012}}PDF3141225
Corporate Research Associates12-06-04|June 4, 2012}}PDF3533284
Corporate Research Associates12-02-26|February 26, 2012}}PDF4427253
Corporate Research Associates11-11-29|November 29, 2011}}PDF4522294
Corporate Research Associates11-08-31|August 31, 2011}}PDF4126304
Corporate Research Associates11-05-30|May 30, 2011}}PDF4222314
Corporate Research Associates11-03-03|March 3, 2011}}PDF3435264
Corporate Research Associates10-11-23|November 23, 2010}}PDF3831264
Corporate Research Associates10-08-31|August 31, 2010}}PDF3735217
Corporate Research Associates10-05-31|May 31, 2010}}PDF3735244
Corporate Research Associates10-02-24|February 24, 2010}}PDF4626225
Corporate Research Associates09-12-01|December 1, 2009}}HTML5322214
Corporate Research Associates09-08-29|August 29, 2009}}PDF6018166
Election 2009{{sort|09-06-09|June 9, 2009}}PDF45.2427.2024.542.34

Analysis

On election night, the Liberal Party formed a majority government by a comfortable margin. This was the first time the Liberals had formed government in Nova Scotia since 1999, and their first majority government victory since the 1993 election. From mid 2012, the Liberals had led every public poll and entered the campaign with a 20-point lead over the New Democratic Party (NDP).

While the Liberals had been relatively successful in the Annapolis Valley and on Cape Breton Island during the 2009 election, they were completely shut out of the South Shore, Fundy, and Central Nova Scotia. More importantly, the NDP had dominated the Halifax metropolitan area, winning 14 out of 20 seats. In 2009, the NDP had been able to count on a large number of ridings in and around Halifax, while achieving historic gains across the province, including in traditionally Progressive Conservative (PC) and Liberal areas of rural Nova Scotia. In 2009, the PCs fell from first place to third place in the Legislature, and were completely shut out of the Halifax metropolitan area.

In the 2013 election, NDP support collapsed across the province, as it lost all of its seats in Central Nova Scotia, three of its seats in Fundy, and three of its seats on the South Shore. However, the most important shift was in the Halifax metropolitan area, where NDP support dropped from 54.07% in 2009 to 31.29% in 2013. The party wound up losing 13 of its seats, as the Liberals won 18 of 20 seats in and around Halifax. Strong NDP areas in 2009, like Dartmouth, Central Halifax, and suburban areas north and east of the Harbour swung from the NDP to the Liberals. Among the casualties was Dexter, who lost his own seat to Liberal challenger Tony Ince by 21 votes. He was the first premier since Ernest Armstrong to be defeated in his own riding.

The NDP had very poor vote concentration in the 2013 election. In Halifax, where it won 31.29% of the vote, it won only two seats. While the party finished second in the popular vote ahead of the PCs, its support was spread out around the province and not concentrated in enough areas to translate into seats. Combined with its collapse in Halifax, this left the NDP with only seven seats to the Tories' 11.

References

1. ^{{cite news|url=http://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/nova-scotia/former-n-s-health-minister-chosen-interim-tory-leader-1.802858|title=Former N.S. health minister chosen interim Tory leader|publisher=CBC.ca|accessdate=April 1, 2014|last=|first=|date=June 24, 2009}}
2. ^Hurlburt resigns amid spending flap, CBC News, February 9, 2010.
3. ^"Zinck admits to drinking, gambling problems". CBC News, March 25, 2010.
4. ^{{cite web|url=http://www.trurodaily.com/News/Local/2010-08-16/article-1673608/Bailiie-to-lead-Progressive-Conservative-party-/1|title=Bailiie to lead Progressive Conservative party |publisher=Truro Daily News|accessdate=August 19, 2010|last=Jason|first=Malloy|date=August 16, 2009}}
5. ^"MLA spending probe in N.S. gets 4 charged". CBC News, February 14, 2011.
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8. ^{{cite web|title=Former N.S. cabinet minister gets house arrest|url=http://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/nova-scotia/story/2012/07/27/ns-hurlburt-sentencing.html|publisher=CBC News|accessdate=July 28, 2012|date=July 27, 2012}}
9. ^Final Report {{webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20130123154721/http://nselectoralboundaries.ca/pubs/Electoral-Boundaries-Report-en.pdf |date=January 23, 2013 }} Nova Scotia Electoral Boundaries Commission
10. ^Contentious electoral map becomes law in N.S. CBC News
11. ^"Vacationing Liberal MLA resigns seat". CBC News, May 29, 2013. Retrieved June 20, 2013.
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14. ^"Theriault Not Reoffering in Digby-Annapolis" {{webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20160304100234/http://nsliberalcaucus.ca/news/view/600 |date=March 4, 2016 }}. Nova Scotia Liberal Caucus Office, June 29, 2012. Retrieved June 29, 2012.
15. ^Queens MLA not reoffering in next election The Queens County Advance
16. ^"MLA Howard Epstein not reoffering in next election". CBC News, January 15, 2013. Retrieved January 17, 2013.
17. ^"MacDonald takes over as finance minister". The Chronicle Herald, May 30, 2012. Retrieved May 30, 2012.
18. ^NDP MLA Marilyn More won't reoffer CBC.ca
19. ^"MLA Michele Raymond not reoffering". CBC News, November 23, 2012. Retrieved November 23, 2012.
20. ^"Hurlock gets PC nod". The Spectator, May 31, 2013.
21. ^[https://archive.today/20130620050317/http://www.pcparty.ns.ca/page/news/ezlist_item_4d022c9c-1f22-4345-b477-85fc1c54f7b0.aspx%23.UbJ5rzaNTX4#.UbJ5rzaNTX4 Lohr wins PC nomination in Kings North]. June 6, 2013.
22. ^"Bruce Inglis gets PC nomination". The Queens County Advance, June 4, 2013.
23. ^"Reverend acclaimed PC candidate in Colchester-Musquodoboit Valley". Truro Daily News, March 24, 2013. Retrieved May 7, 2013.
24. ^[https://archive.today/20130731160753/http://www.pcparty.ns.ca/page/news/ezlist_item_5c476a65-de9e-4377-b3e8-59ba3d5f78a3.aspx%23.Ufk1RjaNTX4#.Ufk1RjaNTX4 "Williams wins PC nomination in Hants East"], July 30, 2013.
25. ^PC Nova Scotia: Our Events. The Progressive Conservative Association of Nova Scotia, July 8, 2012. Retrieved August 7, 2012.
26. ^{{cite web|url=http://www.liberal.ns.ca/liberals-nominate-joachim-stroink-for-halifax-chebucto/|archive-url=https://archive.today/20130115150147/http://www.liberal.ns.ca/liberals-nominate-joachim-stroink-for-halifax-chebucto/|dead-url=yes|archive-date=January 15, 2013|title=Liberals Nominate Joachim Stroink for Halifax Chebucto|author=|date=|website=liberal.ns.ca|accessdate=April 15, 2018}}
27. ^[https://archive.today/20130628052145/http://www.pcparty.ns.ca/page/news/ezlist_item_2e159ee0-4909-4f37-826f-f10be90eb868.aspx?_s=http://www.pcparty.ns.ca/page/news.aspx%23.UabznjaNTX4#.UabznjaNTX4 Hamblin secures PC nomination in Halifax Needham]. May 29, 2013.
28. ^"Christie to run for Tories in Bedford". The Chronicle Herald, June 19, 2013.
29. ^[https://archive.today/20130704030212/http://www.pcparty.ns.ca/page/news/ezlist_item_d7321caf-624d-467b-bfe2-c82780352a23.aspx%23.UdTj5jaNTX4#.UdTj5jaNTX4 "Byrne secures nomination for Baillie's PC team"]. July 2, 2013.
30. ^http://pcparty.ns.ca/reeves-secures-pc-nod-in-sackville-beaver-bank/
31. ^Peter MacIsaac candidate bio {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20130901174545/http://pcparty.ns.ca/candidate/sackville-cobequid/ |date=September 1, 2013 }}. Retrieved August 31, 2013.
32. ^[https://archive.today/20130628051731/http://www.liberal.ns.ca/liberals-nominate-bill-horne-in-waverley-fall-river-beaver-bank/ Liberals nominate Bill Horne in Waverley-Fall River-Beaver Bank]. April 26, 2013.
33. ^[https://archive.today/20130628065115/http://www.pcparty.ns.ca/page/news/ezlist_item_9390c027-d82d-4fc7-83de-a544e1525f32.aspx?_s=http://www.pcparty.ns.ca/page/news.aspx%23.UYBvTTaNTX4#.UYBvTTaNTX4 Brian Wong to run for Baillie’s Tories in Waverley-Fall River-Beaver Bank]. November 1, 2012.
34. ^[https://archive.today/20130624185249/http://www.liberal.ns.ca/joyce-treen-to-represent-liberals-in-cole-harbour-eastern-passage/ Joyce Treen to represent Liberals in Cole Harbour-Eastern Passage]. June 20, 2013.
35. ^[https://archive.today/20130628051607/http://www.pcparty.ns.ca/page/news/ezlist_item_6e6bae7e-869c-4d3b-a2a3-832586220d9f.aspx?_s=http://www.pcparty.ns.ca/page/news.aspx%23.UYBtIzaNTX4#.UYBtIzaNTX4 Gamble secures PC nomination in Dartmouth South]. April 18, 2013.
36. ^Eastern Shore Liberals nominate Kevin Murphy {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20130629095647/http://www.liberal.ns.ca/eastern-shore-liberals-nominate-kevin-murphy/ |date=June 29, 2013 }}. May 7, 2013.
37. ^Delorey nominated as Liberal candidate in Antigonish. The Casket, August 18, 2013.
38. ^[https://archive.today/20130628051614/http://www.liberal.ns.ca/liberals-nominate-lloyd-hines-in-east-nova/ Liberals nominate Lloyd Hines in East Nova]. April 26, 2013.
39. ^[https://archive.today/20130628052626/http://www.pcparty.ns.ca/page/news/ezlist_item_138152e4-766f-4263-82bb-c2aa34488b96.aspx?_s=http://www.pcparty.ns.ca/page/news.aspx%23.UYBuSTaNTX4#.UYBuSTaNTX4 Dunn secures Progressive Conservative nomination in Pictou Centre]. January 29, 2013.
40. ^[https://archive.today/20130628051604/http://www.pcparty.ns.ca/page/news/ezlist_item_ee298e6e-4bd1-4523-a9f2-a58f96b6bd59.aspx?_s=http://www.pcparty.ns.ca/page/news.aspx%23.UYBtpzaNTX4#.UYBtpzaNTX4 Tim Houston wins Progressive Conservative nomination in Pictou East]. November 28, 2012.
41. ^[https://archive.today/20130628051805/http://www.pcparty.ns.ca/page/news/ezlist_item_b145f844-91a3-4e39-9c32-803f576fed88.aspx?_s=http://www.pcparty.ns.ca/page/news.aspx%23.UYButjaNTX4#.UYButjaNTX4 Karla MacFarlane to run for Baillie’s Progressive Conservatives in Pictou West]. July 5, 2012.
42. ^[https://archive.today/20130628051618/http://www.liberal.ns.ca/wilton-gets-liberal-nod-in-cape-breton-centre/ Wilton Gets Liberal Nod in Cape Breton Centre]. September 30, 2012.
43. ^[https://archive.today/20130628052227/http://www.pcparty.ns.ca/page/news/ezlist_item_557b8323-d698-4063-a229-bbd1b8912449.aspx?_s=http://www.pcparty.ns.ca/page/news.aspx%23.UYBsAjaNTX4#.UYBsAjaNTX4 Lee, MacLeod secure Progressive Conservative nominations]. January 26, 2013.
44. ^[https://archive.today/20130802014454/http://www.1015thehawk.com/index.php/2013080262411/Local-News/joe-janega-to-represent-tories-in-cape-breton-richmond.html Joe Janega to represent Tories in Cape Breton-Richmond]. 101.5 FM The Hawk, August 2, 2013.
45. ^Inverness Liberal-Jackie Rankin {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20131001220930/http://www.liberal.ns.ca/candidates/inverness/ |date=October 1, 2013 }}. Retrieved April 30, 2013.
46. ^[https://archive.today/20130628054104/http://www.liberal.ns.ca/liberals-nominate-john-higgins-in-northside-westmount/ Liberals nominate John Higgins in Northside-Westmount]. April 22, 2013.
47. ^Liberals nominate Josephine Kennedy in Sydney River-Mira-Louisbourg {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20130614025638/http://www.liberal.ns.ca/liberals-nominate-josephine-kennedy-in-sydney-river-mira-louisbourg/ |date=June 14, 2013 }}. April 28, 2013.
48. ^Sydney Liberal-Derek Mombourquette. Retrieved April 30, 2013.
49. ^[https://archive.today/20130628054317/http://www.liberal.ns.ca/liberals-nominate-pam-eyking-in-victoria-the-lakes/ Liberals nominate Pam Eyking in Victoria-The Lakes]. April 27, 2013.

External links

  • Elections Nova Scotia
    • Elections Nova Scotia - October 8, 2013 Nova Scotia Provincial General Election
  • Nova Scotia Votes 2013 (CBC News)
  • 2013 NS Votes (The Chronicle Herald)
  • 62nd Nova Scotia General Election (ThreeHundredEight.com)
  • [https://web.archive.org/web/20120407055257/http://www.electionalmanac.com/ea/nova-scotia/ Nova Scotia Election 2013 (Election Almanac)]
{{NS Elections}}{{Nova Scotia politics}}{{Nova Scotia provincial electoral districts}}

4 : 2013 elections in Canada|2013 in Nova Scotia|Elections in Nova Scotia|October 2013 events

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