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词条 2014 Victorian state election
释义

  1. Results

     Legislative Assembly  Legislative Council  Seats changing hands 

  2. Key dates

  3. Background

  4. Registered parties

  5. Redistribution

  6. Issues

  7. Candidates and retiring MPs

     Retiring MPs  Labor  Liberal  National 

  8. Polling

  9. Newspaper endorsements

  10. Election validity court challenge

  11. References

{{Use Australian English|date=July 2014}}{{Use dmy dates|date=March 2012}}{{Infobox election
| election_name = Victorian state election, 2014
| country = Victoria
| type = parliamentary
| ongoing = no
| previous_election = Victorian state election, 2010
| previous_year = 2010
| next_election = 2018 Victorian state election
| next_year = 2018
| seats_for_election = All 88 seats in the Victorian Legislative Assembly
45 seats needed for a majority
All 40 seats in the Victorian Legislative Council
| election_date = 29 November 2014
| image1 =
| leader1 = Daniel Andrews
| leader_since1 = 3 December 2010
| party1 = Australian Labor Party (Victorian Branch)
| leaders_seat1 = Mulgrave
| popular_vote1 = 1,278,436
| percentage1 = 38.10%
| swing1 = {{increase}}1.84%
| last_election1 = 36.25%, 43 seats
| seats_before1 = 43 seats
| seats_needed1 = {{increase}}2
| seats1 = 47 seats
| seat_change1 ={{increase}}4
| image2 =
| leader2 = Denis Napthine
| leader_since2 = 6 March 2013
| party2 = Liberal/National coalition
| leaders_seat2 = South-West Coast
| popular_vote2 = 1,409,282
| percentage2 = 42.00%
| swing2 = {{decrease}}2.78%
| last_election2 = 44.78%, 45 seats
| seats_before2 = 44 seats
| seats_needed2 = {{increase}}1
| seats2 = 38 seats
| seat_change2 = {{decrease}}7
| colour3 =10c25b
| image3 =
| leader3 = Greg Barber
| leader_since3 = 25 November 2006
| party3 = Australian Greens Victoria
| leaders_seat3 = MLC for Northern Metropolitan Region
| popular_vote3 = 385,190
| percentage3 = 11.48%
| swing3 = {{increase}}0.27%
| last_election3 = 11.21%, 0 seats
| seats_before3 = 0 seats
| seats_needed3 = {{increase}}2
| seats3 = 2 seats
| seat_change3 ={{increase}}2
| 1blank = TPP
| 1data1 = 51.99%{{increase}}3.57%
| 1data2 = 48.01%{{decrease}}3.57%
| 1data3 =
| map_image = Victoria_State_Election_2014_(First_Party_Preference_%26_Two-Party_Prefered_Vote).svg
| map_size = 430px
| map_caption = The left side map shows the first party preference by electorate. The right side map shows the final two-party preferred vote result by electorate.
| title = Premier
| before_election = Denis Napthine
| before_party = Liberal/National coalition
| posttitle = Premier after election
| after_election = Daniel Andrews
| after_party = Australian Labor Party (Victorian Branch)
}}

The 2014 Victorian state election, held on Saturday, 29 November 2014, was for the 58th Parliament of Victoria. All 88 seats in the Victorian Legislative Assembly and 40 seats in the Victorian Legislative Council were up for election. The incumbent centre-right Coalition minority government, led by Liberal Party leader and Premier Denis Napthine and National Party leader and Deputy Premier Peter Ryan, was defeated by the centre-left Labor Party opposition, led by Daniel Andrews. The Greens won two lower house seats, their first Legislative Assembly seats in a Victorian state election, whilst increasing their share of upper house seats. The new Andrews Ministry was sworn in on 4 December 2014.

Voting is compulsory in Victoria. Elections for the Legislative Assembly use instant-runoff voting (called preferential voting in Australia) in single-member electorates (called districts). Elections for the Legislative Council use partial proportional representation, using single transferable vote (also called preferential voting) in multi-member electorates (called regions). Members of the Legislative Council are elected from eight electoral regions each returning five members, making the quota for election in each region 16.67%. The election was conducted by the Victorian Electoral Commission (VEC).

The election marked the first time since 1955 that a Victorian state government had been defeated after only one parliamentary term. Furthermore, the Nationals were reduced to a total of ten seats in the Legislative Assembly and Legislative Council, one short of official status in the legislature.[1] Following the election, both Napthine and Ryan resigned as leaders of the Liberal and National parties, respectively.

Results

Legislative Assembly

{{see also|Results of the Victorian state election, 2014 (Legislative Assembly)|Members of the Victorian Legislative Assembly, 2014–2018}}{{Australian elections/Title row
| title = Victorian state election, 29 November 2014[2][3]
| house = Legislative Assembly
| series = Victorian state election
| back = 2010
| forward = 2018
| enrolled = 3,806,301
| total_votes = 3,540,545
| turnout % = 93.02
| turnout chg = +0.06
| informal = 184,838
| informal % = 5.22
| informal chg = +0.26
}}{{Australian elections/Party summary|
|government = yes
|party_id = Labor VIC
|votes = 1,278,436
|votes % = 38.10
|votes chg = +1.84
|seats = 47
|seats chg = +4*
}}{{Australian elections/Party summary|
|party_id = Liberal VIC
|votes = 1,223,663
|votes % = 36.47
|votes chg = −1.57
|seats = 30
|seats chg = −5
}}{{Australian elections/Party summary|
|party_id = Greens VIC
|votes = 385,240
|votes % = 11.48
|votes chg = +0.27
|seats = 2
|seats chg = +2
}}{{Australian elections/Party summary|
|party_id = Nationals VIC
|votes = 185,619
|votes % = 5.53
|votes chg = −1.21
|seats = 8
|seats chg = −2
}}{{Australian elections/Party summary|
|party_id = Country Alliance
|votes = 43,052
|votes % = 1.28
|votes chg = −0.07
|seats = 0
|seats chg =±0
}}{{Australian elections/Party summary|
|party_id = Family First
|votes = 37,194
|votes % = 1.11
|votes chg = −1.18
|seats = 0
|seats chg =±0
}}{{Australian elections/Party summary|
|party_id = Australian Christians
|votes = 26,560
|votes % = 0.79
|votes chg = +0.79
|seats = 0
|seats chg =±0
}}{{Australian elections/Party summary|
|party_id = Rise Up Australia
|votes = 20,795
|votes % = 0.62
|votes chg = +0.62
|seats = 0
|seats chg =±0
}}{{Australian elections/Party summary|
|party_id = Voice for the West
|votes = 16,584
|votes % = 0.49
|votes chg = +0.49
|seats = 0
|seats chg =±0
}}{{Australian elections/Party summary|
|party_id = Sex Party
|votes = 8,930
|votes % = 0.27
|votes chg = −0.28
|seats = 0
|seats chg =±0
}}{{Australian elections/Party summary|
|party_id = Animal Justice
|votes = 7,778
|votes % = 0.23
|votes chg = +0.23
|seats = 0
|seats chg =±0
}}{{Australian elections/Party summary|
|party_id = Democratic Labour
|votes = 2,799
|votes % = 0.08
|votes chg = −0.81
|seats = 0
|seats chg =±0
}}{{Australian elections/Party summary|
|party_id = Shooters and Fishers
|votes = 2,622
|votes % = 0.08
|votes chg = +0.08
|seats = 0
|seats chg =±0
}}{{Australian elections/Party summary|
|party_id = Socialist Alliance
|votes = 1,728
|votes % = 0.05
|votes chg = −0.00
|seats = 0
|seats chg =±0
}}{{Australian elections/Party summary|
|party_id = People Power Victoria
|votes = 1,375
|votes % = 0.04
|votes chg = +0.04
|seats = 0
|seats chg =±0
}}{{Australian elections/Party summary|
|party_id = The Basics
|votes = 1,043
|votes % = 0.03
|votes chg = +0.03
|seats = 0
|seats chg =±0
}}{{Australian elections/Party summary|
|party_id = Independent
|votes = 112,289
|votes % = 3.35
|votes chg = +0.74
|seats = 1
|seats chg = +1
}}{{Australian elections/Total row |
|total_votes = 3,355,707
|total_seats = 88
}}{{Australian elections/2PP summary |
|party id 1 = Labor VIC
|2pp votes 1 = 1,745,194
|2pp % 1 = 51.99
|2pp chg 1 = +3.57
|party id 2 = Liberal VIC
|party 2 = Liberal/National
|2pp votes 2 = 1,611,715
|2pp % 2 = 48.01
|2pp chg 2 = −3.57
}}
| colspan=7 |* Labor also retained four of the five Labor seats which were made notionally Liberal by the 2013 redistribution.
|}

Legislative Council

{{see also|Results of the Victorian state election, 2014 (Legislative Council)}}{{Australian elections/Title row
| title = Victorian state election, 29 November 2014[2]
| house = Legislative Council
| series = Victorian state election
| back = 2010
| forward = 2018
| enrolled = 3,806,301
| total_votes = 3,540,168
| turnout % = 93.01
| turnout chg = +0.08
| informal = 121,497
| informal % = 3.43
| informal chg = +0.05
}}{{Australian elections/Party summary|
|party_id = Labor VIC
|votes = 1,143,883
|votes % = 33.46
|votes chg = −1.90
|seats = 14
|seats chg = −2
}}{{Australian elections/Party summary|
|party_id = Liberal VIC
|party = Liberal (metropolitan)
|votes = 711,718
|votes % = 20.82
|votes chg = -3.83
|seats = 10
|seats chg = -2
}}{{Australian elections/Party summary|
|party_id = Liberal Nationals
|party = Liberal/National
|votes = 523,510
|votes % = 15.31
|votes chg = -3.20
|seats =  
|seats chg =  
}}{{Australian elections/Party summary|
|party_id = Liberal VIC
|party =   Liberal (country)
|votes =
|votes % =
|votes chg =
|seats = 4
|seats chg = -2
}}{{Australian elections/Party summary|
|party_id = Nationals VIC
|party =   National
|votes =
|votes % =
|votes chg =
|seats = 2
|seats chg = -1
}}{{Australian elections/Party summary|
|party_id = Greens VIC
|votes = 367,625
|votes % = 10.75
|votes chg = −1.25
|seats = 5
|seats chg = +2
}}{{Australian elections/Party summary|
|party_id = Liberal Democrats
|votes = 104,516
|votes % = 3.06
|votes chg = +3.06
|seats = 0
|seats chg = ±0
}}{{Australian elections/Party summary|
|party_id = Sex Party
|votes = 89,748
|votes % = 2.63
|votes chg = +0.71
|seats = 1
|seats chg = +1
}}{{Australian elections/Party summary|
|party_id = Democratic Labour
|votes = 79,308
|votes % = 2.32
|votes chg = −0.02
|seats = 1
|seats chg = +1
}}{{Australian elections/Party summary|
|party_id = Palmer United Party
|votes = 66,679
|votes % = 1.95
|votes chg = +1.95
|seats = 0
|seats chg = ±0
}}{{Australian elections/Party summary|
|party_id = Family First
|votes = 62,431
|votes % = 1.83
|votes chg = −1.03
|seats = 0
|seats chg = ±0
}}{{Australian elections/Party summary|
|party_id = Animal Justice
|votes = 58,133
|votes % = 1.70
|votes chg = +1.70
|seats = 0
|seats chg = ±0
}}{{Australian elections/Party summary|
|party_id = Shooters and Fishers
|votes = 56,536
|votes % = 1.65
|votes chg = +1.65
|seats = 2
|seats chg = +2
}}{{Australian elections/Party summary|
|party_id = Australian Christians
|votes = 35,164
|votes % = 1.03
|votes chg = +1.03
|seats = 0
|seats chg = ±0
}}{{Australian elections/Party summary|
|party_id = Country Alliance
|votes = 23,164
|votes % = 0.68
|votes chg = −0.97
|seats = 0
|seats chg = ±0
}}{{Australian elections/Party summary|
|party = Australian Cyclists
|votes = 20,703
|votes % = 0.61
|votes chg = +0.61
|seats = 0
|seats chg = ±0
}}{{Australian elections/Party summary|
|party_id = Rise Up Australia
|votes = 17,674
|votes % = 0.52
|votes chg = +0.52
|seats = 0
|seats chg = ±0
}}{{Australian elections/Party summary|
|party_id = Voluntary Euthanasia
|votes = 16,772
|votes % = 0.49
|votes chg = +0.49
|seats = 0
|seats chg = ±0
}}{{Australian elections/Party summary|
|party_id = People Power Victoria
|votes = 12,022
|votes % = 0.35
|votes chg = +0.35
|seats = 0
|seats chg = ±0
}}{{Australian elections/Party summary|
|party_id = Voice for the West
|votes = 11,064
|votes % = 0.32
|votes chg = +0.32
|seats = 0
|seats chg = ±0
}}{{Australian elections/Party summary|
|party_id =
|party = Vote 1 Local Jobs
|votes = 7,108
|votes % = 0.21
|votes chg = +0.21
|seats = 1
|seats chg = +1
}}{{Australian elections/Party summary|
|party_id = The Basics
|votes = 6,340
|votes % = 0.19
|votes chg = +0.19
|seats = 0
|seats chg = ±0
}}{{Australian elections/Party summary|
|party_id = Independent
|votes = 4,573
|votes % = 0.13
|votes chg = −0.20
|seats = 0
|seats chg = ±0
}}{{Australian elections/Total row |
|total_votes = 3,418,671
|total_seats = 40
}}
|}Legislative Council Seats Table{{col-begin|width=auto}}{{col-break}}
Legislative Council RegionSeats held
Eastern Metropolitan RegionLabor}} |  Greens}} |  Liberal}} |  Liberal}} |  Liberal}} |  
Eastern Victoria RegionLabor}} |  Labor}} |  Shooters, Fishers and Farmers}} |  National}} |  Liberal}} |  
Northern Metropolitan RegionLabor}} |  Labor}} |  Greens}} |  Sex Party}} |  Liberal}} |  
Northern Victoria RegionLabor}} |  Labor}} |  Shooters, Fishers and Farmers}} |  National}} |  Liberal}} |  
South Eastern Metropolitan RegionLabor}} |  Labor}} |  Greens}} |  Liberal}} |  Liberal}} |  
Southern Metropolitan RegionLabor}} |  Greens}} |  Liberal}} |  Liberal}} |  Liberal}} |  
Western Metropolitan RegionLabor}} |  Labor}} |  Greens}} |  Democratic Labour}} |  Liberal}} |  
Western Victoria RegionLabor}} |  Labor}} |  Vote 1 Local Jobs}} |  Liberal}} |  Liberal}} |  
{{col-break|gap=5em}}
Labor}} |   Labor
Liberal}} |   Liberal
National}} |   National
Greens}} |   Green
Shooters, Fishers and Farmers}} |   Shooters, Fishers and Farmers
Sex Party}} |   Sex Party
Democratic Labour}} |   Democratic Labour
Vote 1 Local Jobs}} |   Vote 1 Local Jobs
{{col-end}}

Seats changing hands

Following the election, the seats of Frankston and Prahran were initially too close to call, with around a hundred votes separating candidates.[4] Prahran was a three-way contest between Labor, Liberal, and the Greens, and this seat proved to be the tightest contest among all the lower house seats.[4][5] The VEC declared Prahran had been won by the Greens on 9 December, whereby the Greens overtook the ALP from third place, to defeat the Liberal incumbent in the final distribution of preferences. The Greens' win was confirmed in the recount held the following day.[6]

Seats changing hands[7]
SeatPre-2014SwingPost-2014
Party Member Margin* Margin MemberParty
BentleighLiberal}}| Liberal Elizabeth Miller0.91.70.8 Nick Staikos LaborLabor}}|
CarrumLiberal}}| Liberal Donna Bauer0.31.00.7 Sonya Kilkenny LaborLabor}}|
FrankstonIndependent}}| Independent Geoff Shaw0.40.90.5 Paul Edbrooke LaborLabor}}|
MelbourneLabor}}|  Labor Jennifer Kanis4.77.12.4 Ellen Sandell GreensGreens}}| 
MordiallocLiberal}}| Liberal Lorraine Wreford1.53.62.1 Tim Richardson LaborLabor}}|
PrahranLiberal}}| Liberal Clem Newton-Brown4.75.10.4 Sam Hibbins GreensGreens}}|
SheppartonNational}}| National Jeanette Powell25.928.52.6 Suzanna Sheed IndependentIndependent}}|
* This margin is notional, being calculated by Antony Green to take account of the 2013 redistribution. As such, it may vary from 2010 election results.

The seats of Bellarine, Monbulk, Ripon, and Yan Yean were won by Labor at the 2010 election, but redistributions in 2013 made them notionally Liberal seats.[8][9][10][11] Similarly, the redistribution largely replaced Ballarat West with Wendouree; Ballarat West was also won by Labor at the 2010 election, but notionally Liberal post-redistribution.[12]

Seat2010 Election2013 RedistributionSwing2014 Election
Party Member MarginParty Member Margin Margin MemberParty
BellarineLabor}}|  Labor Lisa Neville1.4Liberal}}|  Liberal Notional2.58.05.5 Lisa Neville LaborLabor}}| 
MonbulkLabor}}| Labor James Merlino1.9Liberal}}| Liberal Notional1.16.04.9 James Merlino LaborLabor}}|
RiponLabor}}| Labor Joe Helper2.7Liberal}}| Liberal Notional1.6−0.61.0 Louise Staley LiberalLiberal}}|
WendoureeLabor}}| Labor Sharon Knight*1.1Liberal}}| Liberal New Seat0.16.05.9 Sharon Knight LaborLabor}}|
Yan YeanLabor}}| Labor Danielle Green4.1Liberal}}| Liberal Notional0.13.43.3 Danielle Green LaborLabor}}|
* Sharon Knight held the abolished seat of Ballarat West, which was largely replaced with Wendouree by the redistribution.

Key dates

Terms are fixed at four years unless dissolved earlier by the Governor. The election occurred in line with the fixed-term provisions laid out in the Electoral Act 2002.[13]

Key dates for the election were:[14]

  • 4 November: Writs issued by the Governor of Victoria
  • 5 November: Opening of nominations for all candidates
  • 13 November: Close of nominations for party candidates
  • 14 November: Close of nominations for independents
  • 29 November: Election day (polls open 8am to 6pm)

Background

{{see also|Pre-election pendulum for the Victorian state election, 2014}}

The Coalition won the 2010 Victorian state election, winning 45 seats in the 88-member lower house, a swing of 12 seats, defeating the 11-year Labor government which won 43 seats.

Labor suffered a swing of 5.96 percent, a larger swing than the 1992 landslide that brought the Jeff Kennett-led Coalition to power. This led Paul Austin of the Sydney Morning Herald to speculate that Labor was headed for a long period in the political wilderness.[15] However, by 2012, Labor had gradually whittled away a large Coalition advantage in opinion polling. By the time the writs were dropped, Labor had been leading most opinion polls for almost two years, though Andrews consistently trailed as preferred premier.

With a Coalition MP as Speaker, the government operated with a one-seat margin of 44 seats, until the resignation of Geoff Shaw, the member for Frankston, from the Liberal Party on 6 March 2013.[16] This meant the government had only 43 votes on the floor of the parliament, equal to Labor's total. Partly due to Shaw's defection, Premier Ted Baillieu resigned later on 6 March and was succeeded as Liberal leader and Premier by Ports Minister Denis Napthine. Shaw initially guaranteed the Napthine Government support on matters of supply and confidence, allowing it to stay in office as a minority government, although later statements indicated that he had rescinded that earlier statement and was considering assisting an ALP Opposition vote of no confidence in the Napthine administration. If this had happened, his actions could have precipitated an early state election.[17][18]

The government operated with a two-seat margin in the 40-member upper house where all members are up for re-election every term, with 21 Coalition, 16 Labor and 3 Greens members.[19][20]

Labor retained seats at the Broadmeadows, Niddrie, Melbourne and Lyndhurst by-elections.

Casual vacancies were created in various Legislative Council seats by the departures of Labor MPs Martin Pakula (Western Metropolitan—who moved to the Legislative Assembly seat of Lyndhurst)[21] and Candy Broad (Northern Victoria), and Liberal MPs Donna Petrovich[22] (Northern Victoria) and Philip Davis[23] (Eastern Victoria). Their seats were filled by Cesar Melhem,[24] Marg Lewis, Amanda Millar,[25] and Andrew Ronalds[26] respectively, each being appointed by a joint sitting of Parliament.

Registered parties

Twenty-one parties were registered with the Victorian Electoral Commission (VEC), and all fielded candidates at the 2014 state election:[27]

{{Col-begin}}{{Col-2}}
  • Animal Justice Party
  • Australian Christians
  • Australian Country Alliance
  • Australian Cyclists Party
  • Labor Party
  • Australian Sex Party
  • Democratic Labor Party of Australia[28]
  • Family First Party
  • Liberal Democratic Party
  • Liberal Party
  • National Party
{{Col-2}}
  • Palmer United Party
  • People Power Victoria – No Smart Meters
  • Rise Up Australia Party
  • Shooters and Fishers Party
  • Socialist Alliance
  • The Australian Greens
  • The Basics Rock'n'Roll Party
  • Voice for the West
  • Voluntary Euthanasia Party
  • Vote 1 Local Jobs
{{Col-end}}

Additionally, two other parties applied for registration prior to the election,[29][30] but failed to achieve registration by the deadline: No East West Link and Save the Planet.

Redistribution

A redistribution of Victoria's state electoral boundaries took place from 2012 to 2013. The final boundaries were gazetted on 17 October 2013 and were used for the 2014 state election.[31]

Fifteen electorates were abolished, namely Ballarat East (Labor), Ballarat West (Labor), Benalla (Nationals), Clayton (Labor), Derrimut (Labor), Doncaster (Liberal), Keilor (Labor), Kilsyth (Liberal), Lyndhurst (Labor), Mitcham (Liberal), Murray Valley (Nationals), Rodney (Nationals), Scoresby (Liberal), Seymour (Liberal) and Swan Hill (Nationals).[31]

The fifteen new seats are Buninyong (Labor, largely replacing Ballarat East), Clarinda (Labor, largely replacing Clayton), Croydon (Liberal, largely replacing Kilsyth), Eildon (Liberal, combining sections of abolished Seymour with areas of existing Gembrook), Euroa (Nationals, largely replacing Benalla), Keysborough (Labor, largely replacing Lyndhurst), Murray Plains (Nationals, largely replacing Swan Hill and parts of Rodney), Ovens Valley (Nationals, largely replacing Murray Valley), Ringwood (Liberal, largely replacing Mitcham), Rowville (Liberal, largely replacing Scoresby), St Albans (Labor, largely replacing Derrimut), Sunbury (Labor, created from parts of Macedon and Yuroke), Sydenham (Labor, largely replacing Keilor), Wendouree (Liberal, largely replacing Ballarat West), and Werribee (Labor, formed from parts of Lara and Tarneit).[31]

Five electorates changed parties notionally with the new boundaries, including Wendouree, a notional Liberal seat created from the Labor seat of Ballarat West. According to ABC psephologist Antony Green, the Labor-held seats of Bellarine, Monbulk, Ripon and Yan Yean became notionally Liberal.[31] This meant that Labor needed a notional five-seat swing to win government.

Issues

Much of the Labor campaign was focused on the Napthine Government's {{AUD}}18 billion East West Link toll road project, which Labor opposed, and said it would halt if it won power. In early November Prime Minister Tony Abbott, in one of his few Victorian appearances for the Liberals during the campaign, described the election as "a referendum on the East West Link".[32] Public transport also featured strongly during the campaign, with the parties presenting rival inner-city rail tunnel projects and competing plans to remove railway level crossings to ease road congestion.[33]

With unemployment at its highest level since 2001, jobs and the economy became a key issue and both sides promised major job creation schemes: the Coalition said it would create 200,000 jobs over five years and Labor said it would create 100,000 jobs within two years.[33] Other major issues raised during the election were the long-running Ambulance Victoria industrial dispute and slow ambulance response times, urban planning laws, education and law and order. Both major parties promised to build new and bigger hospitals.

Labor election advertising aimed to capitalise on the unpopularity of Australia's Liberal Prime Minister and unpopular federal Liberal policies, while much of the Coalition advertising depicted Andrews as a leader with close ties to the Construction, Forestry, Mining and Energy Union.[34][35]

On environmental issues neither the Coalition nor Labor presented comprehensive policies, although Labor promised to repeal some of the Coalition's legislation, such as on cattle grazing in the Alpine National Park and leases in national parks. A key topic was the proposal for a new Great Forest National Park, that was opposed by the Coalition and wasn't supported by Labor. The Greens supported the new park, as well as stronger action on climate change and phase-out of coal fired power stations.[36]

Candidates and retiring MPs

{{main|Candidates of the Victorian state election, 2014}}

As the close of nominations on 14 November 2014, there were a total of 896 candidates in the election (a 26 per cent increase to the 711 candidates in the 2010 election). There were 545 candidates contesting the 88 seats of the Victorian Legislative Assembly (up from 501, an 8.6 per cent increase); and 351 candidates contesting the 40 seats in the Legislative Council (up from 206, a 68 per cent increase). Labor and the Greens contested every electorate. There were 92 candidates from the Liberal–National Coalition for the lower house, with four "three-cornered contests" where both Liberal and National candidates contested the same seat (Buninyong, Eildon, Euroa and Ripon).[37]

Retiring MPs

Members who chose not to renominate are as follows:

Labor

  • Ann Barker MLA (Oakleigh) – announced 25 November 2013[38]
  • Liz Beattie MLA (Yuroke) – announced 25 November 2013[39]
  • Christine Campbell MLA (Pascoe Vale) – announced 13 November 2013[40]
  • Joanne Duncan MLA (Macedon) – announced 4 November 2013[41]
  • Joe Helper MLA (Ripon) – announced 3 December 2012[42]
  • Justin Madden MLA (Essendon) – announced 15 November 2013[43]
  • John Pandazopoulos MLA (Dandenong) – announced 26 November 2013[44]
  • Ian Trezise MLA (Geelong) – announced 3 February 2014[45]
  • Kaye Darveniza MLC (Northern Victoria) – announced 29 November 2013[46]
  • John Lenders MLC (Southern Metropolitan) – announced 18 November 2013[47]
  • Marg Lewis MLC (Northern Victoria) – appointed to a casual vacancy but did not contest preselection[48]
  • Johan Scheffer MLC (Eastern Victoria)
  • Matt Viney MLC (Eastern Victoria) – announced 15 November 2013[43]

Liberal

  • Ted Baillieu MLA (Hawthorn) – announced 22 August 2014[49]
  • Nicholas Kotsiras MLA (Bulleen) – announced 12 January 2014[50]
  • Andrew McIntosh MLA (Kew) – announced 17 December 2013[51]
  • Ken Smith MLA (Bass) – announced 13 January 2014[52]
  • Andrea Coote MLC (Southern Metropolitan) – announced 19 January 2014[53]
  • David Koch MLC (Western Victoria) – announced 14 March 2014[54]
  • Jan Kronberg MLC (Eastern Metropolitan) – announced 19 March 2014[55]

National

  • Hugh Delahunty MLA (Lowan) – announced 10 February 2014[56]
  • Jeanette Powell MLA (Shepparton) – announced 8 February 2014[57]
  • Bill Sykes MLA (Benalla) – announced 9 January 2014[58]

Polling

Legislative Assembly (lower house) polling
DateFirmPrimary voteTPP vote
LIBNATALPGRNOTHL/NPALP
29 Nov 2014 Election36.46%5.53%38.1%11.48%8.42%48.01%51.99%
25–28 Nov 2014Ipsos[59]42%*35%15%8%48%52%
24–27 Nov 2014Newspoll36%4%39%12%9% 48%52%
27 Nov 2014ReachTEL[60]34.5%5.2%38.3%13.5%8.5%48%52%
26–27 Nov 2014Roy Morgan[61]44%*36%13.5%6.5%50%50%
25–26 Nov 2014Galaxy[62]40%*39%13%8%48%52%
7–24 Nov 2014Essential[63]40%*39%13%8%47%53%
21–24 Nov 2014Roy Morgan[64]39.5%*33.5%17.5%9.5%48%52%
19–20 Nov 2014Roy Morgan[65]35%*35.5%19.5%10%45%55%
18–19 Nov 2014Galaxy[66]35%5%39%13%8%48%52%
7–10 Nov 2014Roy Morgan[67]38%*36%18.5%7.5%46.5%53.5%
6–9 Nov 2014Ipsos[68]39%*39%16%8%44%56%
27–30 Oct 2014Newspoll35%4%41%13%7% 46%54%
24–27 Oct 2014Roy Morgan[69]37.5%*34%18.5%10%47.5%52.5%
23–26 Oct 2014Ipsos[70]39%*37%17%9%44%56%
23 Oct 2014ReachTEL[71]34.7%3.9%37.5%13.3%10.5%47%53%
22–24 Oct 2014Galaxy[72]35%5%38%13%9%48%52%
26–29 Sep 2014Roy Morgan[73]37.5%*34%18%10.5%46%54%
14–15 Aug 2014Galaxy[72]35%5%38%12%10%48%52%
Jul–Aug 2014Newspoll32%3%37%16%12% 45%55%
May–Jun 2014Newspoll33%4%38%16%9% 46%54%
26–27 Feb 2014Galaxy[72]37%5%39%12%7%49%51%
Jan–Feb 2014Newspoll35%3%39%13%10% 47%53%
21 Nov 2013ReachTEL[74]39.1%4.3%35.8%11%9.9%—
Sep–Oct 2013Newspoll36%3%38%14%9% 47%53%
Jul–Aug 2013Newspoll37%4%38%13%8% 49%51%
May–Jun 2013Newspoll40%3%35%12%10%51% 49%
30 May 2013ReachTEL[75]37.9%5.7%32.5%13.6%10.4%—
12 Apr 2013ReachTEL[76]45.2%4.3%35.3%11.5%3.8%—
Mar–Apr 2013Newspoll38%5%37%12%8%50%50%
7 Mar 2013ReachTEL[77]40.1%4.8%36.9%12.3%6%—
6 March 2013 Denis Napthine becomes Liberal leader and Victorian Premier
22 Feb 2013ReachTEL[78]37.6%6.6%34.9%12.6%8.2%—
Jan–Feb 2013Newspoll35%4%38%13%10% 47%53%
25 Jan 2013ReachTEL[79]34.4%3.5%36.8%12.4%13.1%—
Nov–Dec 2012Newspoll33%3%38%16%10% 45%55%
Sep–Oct 2012Newspoll35%2%41%13%9% 45%55%
Jul–Aug 2012Newspoll37%4%35%13%11%50%50%
5–13 June 2012Roy Morgan[80]44.5%*33.5%15.5%6.5%52%48%
Mar–Apr 2012Newspoll37%5%32%17%9%51% 49%
20–28 Mar 2012Roy Morgan[80]45.5%*35.5%12.5%6.5%53%47%
Jan–Feb 2012Newspoll42%3%33%14%8%53% 47%
Nov–Dec 2011Newspoll40%3%34%15%8%51% 49%
Sep–Oct 2011Newspoll43%4%30%15%8%55% 45%
Jul–Aug 2011Newspoll44%4%28%15%9%57% 43%
5–10 Apr 2011Roy Morgan[80]48%*31%11.5%9.5%57%43%
3 December 2010 Daniel Andrews becomes Labor leader and leader of the opposition
30 Nov–1 Dec 2010Roy Morgan[80]46%*32%14%8%57%43%
27 Nov 2010 election38.0%6.7%36.3%11.2%7.8%51.6%48.4%
23–25 Nov 2010Newspoll40%5%33%15%7%51.1% 48.9%
22–25 Nov 2010Roy Morgan[80]44.5%*35.5%13%7%51%49%
* Indicates a combined Liberal/National primary vote.
Newspoll polling is published in The Australian and sourced from here
 Better Premier and satisfaction polling*
DateFirmBetter PremierNapthineAndrews
Napthine Andrews Satisfied Dissatisfied Satisfied Dissatisfied
25–28 Nov 2014Ipsos[59]44% 42%49%40%42%43%
24–27 Nov 2014Newspoll41% 37%41%45%38%43%
26–27 Nov 2014Roy Morgan[61]50.5% 49.5%not asked
25–26 Nov 2014Galaxy[62]41% 38%not asked
21–24 Nov 2014Roy Morgan[64]51.5% 48.5%not asked
19–20 Nov 2014Roy Morgan[65] 47.5%52.5%not asked
18–19 Nov 2014Galaxy[66]42% 30%not asked
7–10 Nov 2014Roy Morgan[67]51.5% 48.5%not asked
6–9 Nov 2014Ipsos[68]42% 39%46%37%40%37%
27–30 Oct 2014Newspoll47% 33%46%41%36%45%
24–27 Oct 2014Roy Morgan[69]52% 48%not asked
23–26 Oct 2014Ipsos[70]45% 36%47%38%37%42%
22–24 Oct 2014Galaxy[72]43% 27%not asked
26–29 Sep 2014Roy Morgan[73]51% 49%not asked
14–15 Aug 2014Galaxy[72]41% 33%not asked
Jul–Aug 2014Newspoll41% 31%40%43%32%41%
May–Jun 2014Newspoll42% 29%44%40%35%37%
26–27 Feb 2014Galaxy[72]40% 32%not asked
Jan–Feb 2014Newspoll39% 28%43%35%32%33%
21–Nov 2013ReachTEL[74]† 47.5%52.5%not asked
Sep–Oct 2013Newspoll41% 27%42%36%35%31%
Jul–Aug 2013Newspoll47% 25%53%31%38%32%
May–Jun 2013Newspoll49% 26%53%26%35%34%
30–May 2013ReachTEL[75]†51.6% 48.4%not asked
12–Apr 2013ReachTEL[76]†52% 48%not asked
Mar–Apr 2013Newspoll43% 24%50%19%42%28%
7–Mar 2013ReachTEL[77]† 46.5%53.5%not asked
6 March 2013 Napthine replaces BaillieuBaillieuAndrewsBaillieuAndrews
22–Feb 2013ReachTEL[78]† 41.3%58.7%not asked
Jan–Feb 2013Newspoll38% 31%31%53%30%36%
25–Jan 2013ReachTEL[79]† 44.4%55.6%not asked
Nov–Dec 2012Newspoll39% 30%33%48%32%34%
Sep–Oct 2012Newspoll39% 30%31%53%29%36%
Jul–Aug 2012Newspoll40% 26%32%50%28%36%
5–13 June 2012Roy Morgan[80]41% 33.5%29%53.5%28%35%
Mar–Apr 2012Newspoll46% 23%36%45%28%35%
20–28 Mar 2012Roy Morgan[80]53.5% 22%40%38%20%36%
Jan–Feb 2012Newspoll51% 19%41%38%23%36%
Nov–Dec 2011Newspoll53% 18%49%33%30%32%
Sep–Oct 2011Newspoll56% 19%52%29%29%33%
Jul–Aug 2011Newspoll57% 16%52%29%27%34%
5–10 Apr 2011Roy Morgan[80]60% 14%50.5%23%25%26.5%
3 December 2010 Andrews replaces BrumbyBaillieuBrumbyBaillieuBrumby
30 Nov–1 Dec 2010Roy Morgan[80]48.5% 25.5%40%13%30%31%
27 Nov 2010 election––––––
23–25 Nov 2010Newspoll 38%48%44%44%38%52%
23–25 Nov 2010Roy Morgan[80] 39%43.5%40%39%34%46.5%
* Remainder were "uncommitted" or "other/neither".
† Participants were forced to choose.
Newspoll polling is published in The Australian and sourced from here
{{Clear}}

Polling that is conducted by Newspoll and published in The Australian is conducted via random telephone number selection in city and country areas. Sampling sizes usually consist of around 1100–1200 electors. The declared margin of error is ±3 percentage points.

Newspaper endorsements

Dailies Sundays
NewspaperEndorsement NewspaperEndorsement
The Age{{party name with colour|Liberal Party of Australia}}[81] The Sunday Age{{party name with colour|Australian Labor Party}}[82]
The Australian{{party name with colour|Liberal Party of Australia}}[83]
The Australian Financial Review{{party name with colour|Liberal Party of Australia}}[84]
Herald Sun{{party name with colour|Liberal Party of Australia}}[85] Sunday Herald Sun{{party name with colour|Liberal Party of Australia}}[86]

Election validity court challenge

In January 2015, unsuccessful Palmer United Party candidate Maria Rigoni petitioned the Supreme Court of Victoria to declare the 2014 election invalid, alleging that the Victorian Electoral Commission had breached the Electoral Act whilst conducting the election. Rigoni argued that the unprecedented high level of early voting demonstrated that the VEC had not applied or enforced the rule requiring applicants for an early or postal votes to declare a valid reason to an electoral officer that they were unable to vote on polling day.[87]

Lawyers acting for the VEC asked the court to dismiss the case as an abuse of process, however Justice Jack Forrest disagreed, and set the case to proceed to trial on 25 February 2015.[88] On 24 March, Justice Gregory Garde of the Supreme Court of Victoria dismissed Rigoni's case, ruling that there was no evidence presented to the court that the VEC's early voting procedures had any effect on the result.[89]

References

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60. ^{{cite web|title=7 News - Victorian poll - 27 November 2014|url=https://www.reachtel.com.au/blog/7-news-victorian-poll-27november2014|website=ReachTEL|accessdate=28 November 2014|date=28 November 2014}}
61. ^1 {{cite web|title=ALP favoured to win Victorian Election but late surge to Liberals continues. A close election will be decided on minor party preferences |url=http://www.roymorgan.com.au/findings/5959-morgan-poll-victorian-state-election-november-28-2014-201411271232|website=Roy Morgan Research|accessdate=27 November 2014|date=28 November 2014}}
62. ^1 {{cite news|title=Voters united in Link support |url=http://www.heraldsun.com.au/news/victoria-state-election-2014/victorian-election-2014-voters-united-in-link-support/story-fnocxssc-1227137560265|newspaper=Herald Sun|accessdate=28 November 2014|date=28 November 2014}}
63. ^{{cite web|title=Essential Report - Victorian State Election|url=http://blogs.crikey.com.au/pollbludger/files/2014/11/Essential-Report_141125_Victoria.pdf|website=Essential Research|accessdate=28 November 2014|date=28 November 2014}}
64. ^1 {{cite web|title=Liberals fight-back in Victoria with a week to go as ALP & Greens drop|url=http://www.roymorgan.com.au/findings/5944-morgan-poll-victorian-voting-intention-november-24-2014-201411240214|website=Roy Morgan Research|accessdate=24 November 2014|date=24 November 2014}}
65. ^1 {{cite web|title=Dan Andrews set to be new Victorian Premier in a week’s time|url=http://www.roymorgan.com/findings/5939-victorian-voting-intention-november-21-2014-201411210056|website=Roy Morgan Research|accessdate=21 November 2014|date=21 November 2014}}
66. ^1 {{cite web|title=18/19 Nov 2014: Labor maintains lead|url=http://www.galaxyresearch.com.au/1819-nov-2014/|website=Galaxy Research|accessdate=21 November 2014|date=November 2014}}
67. ^1 {{cite web|title=ALP increases lead and set to win Victorian Election with 3 weeks to go |url=http://www.roymorgan.com/findings/5919-morgan-poll-victorian-voting-intention-november-10-2014-201411100547|website=Roy Morgan Research|accessdate=15 November 2014|date=10 November 2014}}
68. ^1 {{cite news|last1=Gordon|first1=Josh|title=Victorian election: Poll shows Napthine government remains in losing position|url=http://www.theage.com.au/victoria/victoria-state-election-2014/victorian-election-poll-shows-napthine-government-remains-in-losing-position-20141113-11m6uz.html|accessdate=14 November 2014|work=The Age|location=Melbourne|date=14 November 2014}}
69. ^1 {{cite web|title=ALP set to win Victorian Election with a month to go|url=http://www.roymorgan.com/findings/5896-victorian-state-voting-intention-october-2014-201410270725|website=Roy Morgan Research|accessdate=4 November 2014|date=27 October 2014}}
70. ^1 {{cite news|last1=Gordon|first1=Josh|title=Victoria state election poll shows Labor leading Napthine government|url=http://www.theage.com.au/victoria/victoria-state-election-2014/victoria-state-election-poll-shows-labor-leading-napthine-government-20141029-11dqr1.html|accessdate=4 November 2014|work=The Age|location=Melbourne|date=30 October 2014}}
71. ^{{cite web|title=7 News - Victorian poll - 23 October 2014|url=https://www.reachtel.com.au/blog/7-news-victorian-poll-23october2014|website=ReachTEL|accessdate=4 November 2014|date=24 October 2014}}
72. ^1 2 3 4 5 {{cite web|title=LABOR MAINTAINS LEAD IN VICTORIA|url=http://www.galaxyresearch.com.au/22-24-october/|website=Galaxy Research|accessdate=15 November 2014|date=October 2014}}
73. ^1 {{cite web|title=ALP in ‘Box Seat’ for Victorian State Election. Coalition still ahead in NSW & Queensland|url=http://www.roymorgan.com/findings/5836-morgan-poll-state-voting-intention-nsw-vic-qld-qa-sa-tas-201410010501|website=Roy Morgan Research|accessdate=15 November 2014|date=1 October 2014}}
74. ^1 {{cite web|title=7 News Melbourne - Victorian State Poll - November 2013|url=https://www.reachtel.com.au/blog/7-news-melbourne-victorian-state-poll-november-2013|website=ReachTEL|accessdate=15 November 2014|date=25 November 2013}}
75. ^1 {{cite web|title=7 News Melbourne - Victorian State Poll - May 2013|url=https://www.reachtel.com.au/blog/7-news-melbourne-victorian-state-poll-may-2013|website=ReachTEL|accessdate=15 November 2014|date=3 June 2013}}
76. ^1 {{cite web|title=7 News Melbourne - Victorian State Poll - April 2013|url=https://www.reachtel.com.au/blog/7-news-melbourne-victorian-state-poll-april-2013|website=ReachTEL|accessdate=15 November 2014|date=14 April 2013}}
77. ^1 {{cite web|title=7 News Melbourne - Victorian State Poll - March 2013|url=https://www.reachtel.com.au/blog/7-news-melbourne-victorian-state-poll-march-2013|website=ReachTEL|accessdate=15 November 2014|date=8 March 2013}}
78. ^1 {{cite web|title=7 News Melbourne - Victorian State Poll - February 2013|url=https://www.reachtel.com.au/blog/7-news-melbourne-victorian-state-poll-february-2013|website=ReachTEL|accessdate=15 November 2014|date=24 February 2013}}
79. ^1 {{cite web|title=7 News Melbourne - Victorian State Poll - January 2013|url=https://www.reachtel.com.au/blog/7-news-melbourne-victorian-state-poll-january-2013|website=ReachTEL|accessdate=15 November 2014|date=27 January 2013}}
80. ^1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 {{cite web|title=Victorian Coalition Lead Slightly Reduced - L-NP (52%) CF. ALP (48%)|url=http://www.roymorgan.com/findings/finding-4795-201302122340|website=Roy Morgan Research|accessdate=15 November 2014|date=15 June 2012}}
81. ^{{cite news|url=http://www.theage.com.au/comment/the-age-editorial/coalition-has-the-best-policies-for-the-state-20141127-11vjq3.html |title=Coalition has the best policies |work=The Age|date=28 November 2014|accessdate=28 November 2014|location=Melbourne}}
82. ^{{cite news|url=http://www.theage.com.au/comment/the-age-editorial/change-is-needed-after-tawdry-years-20141122-3ky29.html |title=Change is needed after tawdry years |work=The Sunday Age|date=23 November 2014|accessdate=23 November 2014|location=Melbourne}}
83. ^{{cite news|url=http://www.theaustralian.com.au/opinion/editorials/mediocre-contest-provides-no-imperative-for-change/story-e6frg71x-1227137492707 |title=Mediocre contest provides no imperative for change|work=The Australian|date=28 November 2014|accessdate=28 November 2014|location=Sydney}}
84. ^{{cite news|url=http://www.afr.com/p/opinion/labor_not_fit_for_return_in_victoria_OylveqOVCUtExItqp2YmtJ |title=Labor not fit for return in Victoria |work=The Australian Financial Review|date=27 November 2014|accessdate=28 November 2014}}
85. ^{{cite news|url=http://www.heraldsun.com.au/news/opinion/victorian-election-2014-dangerous-time-to-change/story-fni0ffsx-1227137555015|title=Dangerous time to change|work=Herald Sun|location=Melbourne|date=28 November 2014|accessdate=27 November 2014}}
86. ^{{cite news|url=http://www.heraldsun.com.au/news/opinion/its-a-matter-of-trust/story-fni0ffsx-1227131718837 |title=It's a matter of trust|work=Sunday Herald Sun|location=Melbourne|date=23 November 2014|accessdate=23 November 2014}}
87. ^{{cite news|title=Victorian election was 'invalid', Palmer United Party candidate Maria Rigoni says|url=http://www.abc.net.au/news/2015-01-07/pup-candidate-says-victorian-election-was-invalid/6004096|accessdate=22 January 2015|work=ABC News|date=7 January 2015}}
88. ^{{cite news|last1=Russell|first1=Mark|title=Trial set for Palmer United Party candidate's challenge to Victorian election|url=http://www.theage.com.au/victoria/trial-set-for-palmer-united-party-candidates-challenge-to-victorian-election-20150121-12uta0.html|accessdate=22 January 2015|work=The Age|publisher=Fairfax Media|date=21 January 2015}}
89. ^{{cite news|title=Judge dismisses PUP candidate Maria Rigoni's bid to have Victorian election result declared invalid|url=http://www.abc.net.au/news/2015-03-24/judge-dismisses-pup-bid-to-victorian-elected-declared-invalid/6343460|accessdate=31 March 2015|work=ABC News|date=24 March 2015}}
{{Victorian elections}}{{Politics of Australia}}

4 : Elections in Victoria (Australia)|2014 elections in Australia|2010s in Victoria (Australia)|November 2014 events
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