“Advanced Football Analytics”的意思、由来-开放百科全书

Advanced Football Analytics features a variety of analytical techniques and applications. The site predicts game outcomes and rates teams using a logistic regression model based on team efficiency statistics. It also features a live in-game win probability model that estimates the chances either opponent will win a game in progress. Advanced Football Analytics uses its win probability model to analyze strategic coaching decisions such as whether to kick or attempt first down conversions.

Research topics include game theory applications, luck and randomness,^[9] play calling, home field advantage, run-pass balance, and the relative importance of various facets of performance (offensive passing, offensive rushing, defensive passing, etc.). Also featured is research on weather factors, team payroll, and the NFL Draft.

The site has pioneered other analytical concepts such as Air Yards, which is the distance forward of the line of scrimmage that a pass travels. It removes the contribution of Yards After Catch (YAC) run by a receiver.

Advanced Football Analytics also features a catalog of unique individual player stats. Each player's contribution toward his team's wins, known as Win Probability Added (WPA), is available for each season since 2000. Expected Points Added (EPA), success rate (SR), and many other innovative metrics are available.

During the NFL off-season, Burke has posted original research related to other North American professional sports leagues.^[10]

See also

External links

References

1. ^{{cite news|url=http://fifthdown.blogs.nytimes.com/2009/07/29/q-a-with-brian-burke-of-advanced-nfl-stats/|title=Q&A With Brian Burke of Advanced NFL Stats| accessdate=2009-01-17|newspaper=The New York Times | first=Toni | last=Monkovic}}
2. ^{{cite news|url=http://www.boston.com/sports/football/patriots/articles/2009/11/17/belichick_had_the_numbers_on_his_side/|title=Belichick Had the Numbers on His Side|accessdate=2010-03-08|newspaper=The Boston Globe | first=Adam | last=Kilgore | date=2009-11-17| archiveurl= https://web.archive.org/web/20100121130934/http://www.boston.com/sports/football/patriots/articles/2009/11/17/belichick_had_the_numbers_on_his_side/| archivedate= 21 January 2010 | deadurl= no}}
3. ^{{cite web|url=http://blogs.chron.com/texanschick/2008/12/advanced_nfl_stats_sums_up_the.html|title=Houston Chronicle-'Advanced NFL Stats' sums up the Texans season| accessdate=2009-01-17|publisher=chron.com| archiveurl= https://web.archive.org/web/20090101224232/http://blogs.chron.com/texanschick/2008/12/advanced_nfl_stats_sums_up_the.html| archivedate= 1 January 2009 | deadurl= no}}
4. ^{{cite news|url=https://blogs.wsj.com/numbersguy/how-unlikely-was-the-historic-11-10-score-458/|title=Wall Street Journal-How Unlikely Was the Historic 11-10 Score?| accessdate=2009-01-17|publisher=wsj.com | first=Carl | last=Bialik | date=2008-11-18| archiveurl= https://web.archive.org/web/20090101022222/https://blogs.wsj.com/numbersguy/how-unlikely-was-the-historic-11-10-score-458/| archivedate= 1 January 2009 | deadurl= no}}
5. ^{{cite news|url=http://fifthdown.blogs.nytimes.com/author/brian-burke/|title=Brian Burke - New York Times Fifth Down| accessdate=2010-03-08|publisher=nytimes.com| archiveurl= https://web.archive.org/web/20100226113333/http://fifthdown.blogs.nytimes.com/author/brian-burke/| archivedate= 26 February 2010 | deadurl= no}}
6. ^{{cite news|url=https://www.nytimes.com/2010/02/09/sports/football/09gambles.html?scp=6&sq=brian%20burke%20sean%20payton&st=cse|title=Saints’ Risky Decisions Were Both Calculated and Crucial| accessdate=2010-03-08|publisher=The New York Times | first=Brian | last=Burke | date=2010-02-09}}
7. ^{{cite news|url=http://voices.washingtonpost.com/redskinsinsider/statistical-analysis/|title=Washington Post Redskins Insider| accessdate=2010-11-17|publisher=washingtonpost.com }}
8. ^{{cite news|url=http://sportsillustrated.cnn.com/2010/writers/peter_king/01/31/mmqb/index.html |title=Peter King Monday Morning QB |accessdate=2010-03-08 |publisher=sportsillustrated.cnn.com |date=2010-02-01 |archiveurl=https://web.archive.org/web/20100204093259/http://sportsillustrated.cnn.com/2010/writers/peter_king/01/31/mmqb/index.html |archivedate=4 February 2010 |deadurl=no }}
9. ^{{cite news|url=http://fifthdown.blogs.nytimes.com/2008/12/24/jets-were-one-of-the-luckiest-teams/|title=New York Times-Jets Were One of the Luckiest Teams| accessdate=2009-01-17|publisher=nytimes.com | first=Toni | last=Monkovic | date=2008-12-24| archiveurl= https://web.archive.org/web/20090129105927/http://fifthdown.blogs.nytimes.com/2008/12/24/jets-were-one-of-the-luckiest-teams/| archivedate= 29 January 2009 | deadurl= no}}
10. ^{{cite news|url=https://blogs.wsj.com/dailyfix/2009/04/27/the-count-refining-the-concept-of-a-must-win-game/|title=The Wall Street Journal, "The Count: Refining the Concept of a Must-Win Game"| accessdate=2016-10-17|publisher=wsj.com | first=Carl | last=Bialik | date=2009-04-27}}