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词条 Bruce G. Blair
释义

  1. Education and background

  2. Books

  3. Publications

  4. References

  5. External links

Bruce G. Blair (born 1947)[1] is a nuclear security expert and a research scholar at the Program on Science and Global Security at Princeton University's Woodrow Wilson School of Public and International Affairs. Joining the program in May 2013, he focuses on technical and policy steps on the path toward the verifiable elimination of nuclear weapons, specifically on deep bilateral nuclear arms reductions, multilateral arms negotiations and de-alerting of nuclear arsenals.[2] He is co-founder of Global Zero, an international non-partisan group consisting of 300 world leaders, over 150 student chapters and millions of supporters worldwide dedicated to achieving the elimination of nuclear weapons.[3]

Blair is an expert on United States and Russian security policies, specializing in nuclear forces and command and control systems.[4] He has frequently testified before Congress[5][6][7][8][9] In 2011, he was appointed to the U.S. Secretary of State's International Security Advisory Board, a small group of experts that provides the Department of State with independent insight and advice on all aspects of international security, disarmament and arms control.[10] He has also taught security studies as a visiting professor at Yale and Princeton universities. In 1999, he was awarded a MacArthur Fellowship Prize for his research, work and leadership on de-alerting nuclear forces.[11] In 2008, he was selected as a finalist for the Skoll Social Entrepreneur Award.

Blair's expertise has helped make nuclear and global affairs issues accessible to the public in various media outlets. He was an executive producer of Countdown to Zero,[12] a documentary film on nuclear weapons.[13] He also created and was the executive producer of the PBS weekly television series Superpower: Global Affairs Television (2002–2004), and was the executive producer for Azimuth Media and its weekly PBS television series, Foreign Exchange, which was first hosted by Fareed Zakaria (2005–2007) and subsequently by Daljit Dhaliwal (2008–2009).

He published the Washington ProFile (Russian), Washington Observer (Chinese), Washington Prism (Persian), Taqrir Washington (Arabic) and China Security.[14] He was also the executive producer of two television documentaries, CNN Presents’ Deadlock: Russia’s Forgotten War[15] and the PBS FRONTLINE’s Missile Wars[16] in 2002.

He is the author of numerous books and articles on security issues in such publications as Scientific American, National Interest, The New York Times and The Washington Post. His books include Strategic Command and Control (Brookings, 1985), winner of the Edgar S. Furniss Award for its contribution to the study of national security; Crisis Stability and Nuclear War (Oxford, 1988; co-editor); The Logic of Accidental Nuclear War (Brookings, 1993); and Global Zero Alert for Nuclear Forces (Brookings, 1995).[17]

Education and background

Blair earned a Ph.D. in operations research at Yale University in 1984.[18] He received his B.S. in communications from the University of Illinois in 1970.

Prior to his position at Princeton, Blair was the president of the World Security Institute,[19] a non-profit organization.[19] He was a senior fellow in the Foreign Policy Studies Program at the Brookings Institution from 1987 to 2000.[20][21] Previously, he served as a project director at the Congressional Office of Technology Assessment from 1982 to 1985, where he worked on a study of the U.S.'s ability to communicate with its strategic forces.[22] From 1970 to 1974, Blair served in the U.S. Air Force as a Minuteman ICBM launch control officer and support officer for the Strategic Air Command’s Airborne Command Post.[23]

Books

  • Global Nuclear Arms Control (forthcoming)
  • Global Zero Alert for Nuclear Forces (Washington, DC: Brookings, 1995).
  • The Logic of Accidental Nuclear War (Washington, DC: Brookings, 1993).
  • Crisis Stability and Nuclear War, co-editor with Kurt Gottfried (Oxford, 1988).
  • Crisis Stability and Nuclear War, co-editor with Condoleezza Rice, et al. (Ithaca, NY: Cornell University, 1987).
  • Strategic Command and Control: Redefining the Nuclear Threat (Washington, DC: Brookings, 1985).
  • Progress in Arms Control? Selected Readings from Scientific American, co-editor with Bruce Russett (San Francisco: Freeman, 1979).

Publications

  • Can Disarmament Work?, Foreign Affairs, co-authored with Matt Brown and Richard Burt, Josef Joff and James W. Davis, July/August 2011.
  • One Hundred Nuclear Wars: Stable Deterrence between the United States and Russia at Reduced Nuclear Force Levels Off Alert in the Presence of Limited Missile Defenses, Routledge Taylor & Francis Group, co-authored with Victor Esin, Matthew McKinzie, Valery Yarynich and Pavel Zolotarev, August 9, 2011.
  • [https://www.nytimes.com/2010/12/07/opinion/07blair.html?_r=0 Bombs Away], The New York Times, co-authored with Damon Bosetti and Brian Weeden, December 6, 2010.
  • Could Terrorists Launch America’s Nuclear Missiles?, TIME, November 11, 2010.
  • Smaller and Safer: A New Plan For Nuclear Postures, Foreign Affairs, co-authored with Victor Esin, Matthew McKinzie, Valery Yarynich and Pavel Zolotarev, September/October 2010.
  • De-Alerting Strategic Forces,” in Reykjavik Revisited: Steps Toward a World Free of Nuclear Weapons, George P. Shultz, Sidney D. Drell, and James E. Goodby, eds., (Stanford, CA: Hoover Institution Press, 2008).
  • Increasing warning and decision time (‘De-Alerting’),” (International Conference, Achieving the Vision of a World Free of Nuclear Weapons, Oslo, February 26–27, 2008).
  • “[https://www.globalzero.org/wp-content/uploads/2019/03/BB_A-Rebuttal-of-the-U.S.-Statement-on-the-Alert-Status-of-U.S.-Nuclear-Forces_11.06.2007.pdf A Rebuttal of the U.S. Statement on the Alert Status of U.S. Nuclear Forces],” Bruce Blair’s Nuclear Column, Center for Defense Information, November 6, 2007.
  • Primed and Ready,” Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists, January/February 2007.
  • “[https://www.globalzero.org/wp-content/uploads/2019/03/BB_The-Fallacy-Nuclear-Primacy_Fall-2006.pdf The Fallacy of Nuclear Primacy]” China Security, co-authored with Chen Yali (Washington, D.C.: World Security Institute), Autumn 2006.
  • The Oil Weapon: Myth of China’s Vulnerability,” China Security, co-authored with Chen Yali and Eric Hagt (Washington, D.C.: World Security Institute, Summer 2006).
  • “[https://www.globalzero.org/wp-content/uploads/2019/03/BB_Editors-Notes-Space-Security-Dilemma_2006.pdf Editors’ Notes: The Space Security Dilemma],” China Security, co-authored with Chen Yali (Washington, D.C: World Security Institute, Issue No. 2 (2006).
  • “[https://www.globalzero.org/wp-content/uploads/2019/03/BB_Gen-Zhu-and-Chinese-Nuclear-Preemption_2005.pdf General Zhu and Chinese Nuclear Preemption],” China Security (Washington, D.C: World Security Institute, Issue No. 1(2005).
  • Iran and the Rogues: America’s Nuclear Obsession,” Bruce Blair’s Nuclear Column, Center for Defense Information, September 19, 2005.
  • “[https://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/articles/A30535-2004Sep17.html The Wrong Deterrence: The Threat of Loose Nukes Is One of Our Own Making],” The Washington Post, September 19, 2004.
  • The Logic of Intelligence Failure,” Forum on Physics and Society, American Physical Society, April 2004. (Also presented at the 10th International Castiglioncello Conference: “Unilateral Actions and Military Interventions: The Future of Nonproliferation,” April 1, 2004.)
  • “[https://www.globalzero.org/wp-content/uploads/2019/03/BB_Keeping-Presidents-in-the-Nuclear-Dark-Episode-2-The-SIOP-Option-that-Wasnt_April-May-02.17.2004.pdf Keeping Presidents in the Nuclear Dark (Episode #2: The SIOP Option that Wasn’t)],” Bruce Blair's Nuclear Column, Center for Defense Information, February 17, 2004.
  • “[https://www.globalzero.org/wp-content/uploads/2019/03/BB_Keeping-Presidents-in-the-Nuclear-Dark-Episode-1-The-Case-of-the-Missing-Permissive-Action-Links_02.11.2004.pdf Keeping Presidents in the Nuclear Dark (Episode #1: The Case of the Missing Permissive Action Links)],” Bruce Blair's Nuclear Column, Center for Defense Information, February 11, 2004.
  • “[https://www.globalzero.org/wp-content/uploads/2019/03/BB_Rogue-States-Nuclear-Red-Herrings_03.09.2004.pdf Rogue States: Nuclear Red-Herrings],” Bruce Blair's Nuclear Column, Center for Defense Information, December 5, 2003.
  • “[https://www.globalzero.org/wp-content/uploads/2019/03/BB_We-Keep-Building-Nukes-for-All-the-Wrong-Reasons_05.25.2003.pdf We Keep Building Nukes for All the Wrong Reasons],” The Washington Post, May 25, 2003.
  • “[https://www.globalzero.org/wp-content/uploads/2019/03/BB_Nuclear-Recollections-DM-Apirl-May-2003.pdf Nuclear Recollections],” The Defense Monitor, April/May 2003.
  • “[https://www.globalzero.org/wp-content/uploads/2019/03/BB_The-Folly-of-Nuclear-War-Gaming-for-Korea-and-South-Asia_04.30.2003.pdf The Folly of Nuclear War-Gaming for Korea and South Asia],” Bruce Blair's Nuclear Column, Center for Defense Information, April 30, 2003.
  • “[https://www.globalzero.org/wp-content/uploads/2019/03/BB_Hair-Trigger-Nukes-Risk-Catastrophic-Terrorism_05.01.2003.pdf Hair-Trigger Missiles Risk Catastrophic Nuclear Terrorism],” Bruce Blair's Nuclear Column, Center for Defense Information, April 29, 2003.
  • “[https://www.globalzero.org/wp-content/uploads/2019/03/bb_Nuclear-Time-Warp_5.3.2003.pdf Nuclear Time Warp],” The Defense Monitor, May 2002.
  • “[https://www.nytimes.com/2001/10/22/opinion/the-ultimate-hatred-is-nuclear.html The Ultimate Hatred is Nuclear],” The New York Times, October 22, 2001.
  • “[https://www.globalzero.org/wp-content/uploads/2019/03/BB_Nukes-A-Lesson-From-Russia_07.11.2001.pdf Nukes: A Lesson from Russia],” The Washington Post, July 11, 2001.
  • Toward True Security: Ten Steps The Next President Should Take to Transform U.S. Nuclear Weapons Policy, with Richard L. Garwin, Frank von Hippel, et al. (Cambridge, MA: UCS Publications, February 2008).
  • [https://fas.org/ssp/docs/010600-posture.pdf Toward True Security: A U.S. Nuclear Posture for the Decade], with Richard L. Garwin, Frank von Hippel, and others (Cambridge, MA: UCS Publications, June 2001).
  • "[https://www.nytimes.com/2000/06/12/opinion/trapped-in-the-nuclear-math.html?pagewanted=all&src=pm Trapped in the Nuclear Math],” The New York Times, June 13, 2000.
  • “[https://fas.org/nwp/pubs/LongerFuse.htm A Longer Nuclear Fuse],” with Frank von Hippel, The Washington Post, June 6, 2000.
  • Some Sensible Options for U.S. Missile Defense,” Moscow Times, June 3, 2000.
  • Russia’s Aging War Machine: Economic Weakness and the Nuclear Threat,” co-authored with Cliff Gaddy, The Brookings Review, June 22, 1999.
  • The Nuclear Turning Point: A Blueprint for Deep Cuts and De-alerting of Nuclear Weapons, co-authored with Harold Feiveson, ed., Frank von Hippel, and others (Washington, DC: Brookings Institution Press, 1999).
  • Loose Cannon,” National Interest, Summer 1998.
  • “[https://fas.org/irp/threat/missile/rumsfeld/pt2_blair.htm The Plight of the Russian Military and Nuclear Control],” in Report of the Commission To Assess The Ballistic Missile Threat To The United States, July 15, 1998.
  • “[https://fas.org/news/russia/1997/068l-062297-idx.html From Nuclear Deterrence to Mutual Safety],” with Sam Nunn, The Washington Post, June 22, 1997.
  • Accidental Nuclear War – A Post-Cold War Assessment,” with L. Farrow and others, New England Journal of Medicine, April 30, 1998.
  • Redoubling Nuclear Weapons Reduction,” with Harold Feiveson and Frank von Hippel, The Washington Post, November 12, 1997.
  • “[https://www.nytimes.com/1994/05/21/opinion/dismantle-armageddon.html Dismantle Armageddon],” with Henry W. Kendall, The New York Times, May 21, 1994.
  • Russia’s Doomsday Machine,” The New York Times, October 8, 1993.
  • Lighten Up on Ukraine,” The New York Times, June 1, 1993.

References

1. ^{{cite web | url=http://viaf.org/viaf/200786561/ | title=VIAF: Bruce Blair | accessdate=2013-12-09}}
2. ^{{cite web|title=Bruce G. Blair|url=http://www.princeton.edu/sgs/faculty-staff/bruce-blair/|publisher=Princeton University}}
3. ^{{cite web|title=Dr. Bruce Blair|url=http://www.globalzero.org/ru/our-movement/leaders/dr-bruce-blair|publisher=Global Zero|accessdate=20 Dec 2013}}
4. ^{{cite web|last=Mintz|first=Morton|title=Hair-Raising Hair Triggers|url=http://prospect.org/article/hair-raising-hair-triggers|publisher=The American Prospect|accessdate=19 Dec 2013|date=5 Dec 2002}}
5. ^{{cite web|title=Statement of Bruce Blair to the House National Security Subcommittee|url=http://www.nukefix.org/97-3-13Blair.html|accessdate=21 December 2013|date=13 March 1997}}
6. ^{{cite web|title=Testimony to the House Armed Services Subcommittee on Strategic Forces|url=http://docs.house.gov/meetings/AS/AS29/20130319/100368/HHRG-113-AS29-Wstate-BlairB-20130319.pdf|accessdate=2 January 2014|date=19 March 2013}}
7. ^{{cite web|last=Lynch|first=Colum|title=U.S. Official is Faulted for Nuclear Weapons Claim|url=https://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2007/10/31/AR2007103102801.html|publisher=The Washington Post|accessdate=21 December 2013|date=1 November 2007}}
8. ^{{cite book|last=Schell|first=Jonathan|title=The Gift of Time: Case for Abolishing Nuclear Weapons Now|url=https://archive.org/details/giftoftimecasefo00sche#maincontent|archive-date=June 4, 2010|publisher=Granta|isbn=0805059601|author-link=Jonathan Schell|year=1998}}
9. ^{{cite web|last=Broad|first=William J.|title=Russia Has 'Doomsday' Machine, U.S. Expert Says|url=https://www.nytimes.com/1993/10/08/world/russia-has-doomsday-machine-us-expert-says.html?pagewanted=all&src=pm|publisher=The New York Times|accessdate=22 December 2013|date=8 October 1993}}
10. ^{{cite web|title=ISAB: Current Board Members|url=https://www.state.gov/t/avc/isab/c27632.htm|publisher=The Office of Web Management, Bureau of Public Affairs|accessdate=2 January 2014}}
11. ^{{cite web|title=Brookings Senior Fellow Bruce Blair Wins 'No Strings Attached' MacArthur Award|url=http://www.brookings.edu/about/media-relations/news-releases/1999/19990623blair|publisher=Brookings Institution|accessdate=19 Dec 2013|date=23 June 1999}}
12. ^{{cite web|title=Bruce Blair - IMDb|url=https://www.imdb.com/name/nm2007257/|accessdate=19 Dec 2013}}
13. ^{{cite press release | title=Countdown to Zero | publisher=dogwoof | year=2010 | url=http://goodwithfilm.com/library/films/downloads/CTZfinalnotes.pdf | accessdate=2013-12-09}}
14. ^{{cite web|title=Bruce Blair Biography|url=http://www.allamericanspeakers.com/speakers/Bruce-Blair/10475|publisher=All American Speakers|accessdate=2 January 2014}}
15. ^{{cite web|title=Deadlock: Russia's Forgotten War|url=http://www-cgi.cnn.com/CNN/Programs/presents/index.chechnya.new.html|publisher=CNN|accessdate=2 January 2014|year=2005}}
16. ^{{cite web|title=Missile Wars|url=https://www.pbs.org/wgbh/pages/frontline/shows/missile/|publisher=Frontline: PBS|accessdate=2 January 2014}}
17. ^{{cite web|title=Brookings Senior Fellow Bruce Blair Wins "No Strings Attached" MacArthur Award|url=http://www.brookings.edu/about/media-relations/news-releases/1999/19990623blair|publisher=Brookings Institution|accessdate=19 December 2013|format=23 June 1999}}
18. ^{{cite web | title=Bruce G. Blair | publisher=Princeton University | url=http://www.princeton.edu/sgs/faculty-staff/bruce-blair/ | accessdate=2013-12-09}}
19. ^{{cite web|url=http://worldsecurityinstitute.org/aboutus.htm |title=World Security Institute: About Us |accessdate=2013-12-09 |archivedate=June 25, 2012 |deadurl=yes |archiveurl=https://web.archive.org/web/20120625033447/http://worldsecurityinstitute.org/aboutus.htm }}
20. ^{{cite web|title=Interview - Bruce Blair|url=https://www.pbs.org/wgbh/pages/frontline/shows/russia/interviews/blair.html|publisher=PBS Frontline|accessdate=21 December 2013}}
21. ^{{cite web|title=More Missteps: Air Force official in charge of nukes left open blast door, sources say|url=http://www.foxnews.com/politics/2013/10/23/missteps-handling-nation-nuclear-arsenal/|publisher=Fox News|accessdate=21 December 2013}}
22. ^{{cite web|last=Gordon|first=Michael R.|title=Tug of War, With a Twist, On Secrets|url=https://www.nytimes.com/1986/05/15/us/tug-of-war-with-a-twist-on-secrets.html|publisher=The New York Times|accessdate=21 December 2013|date=1986-05-15}}
23. ^{{cite book|last=Hoffman|first=David|title=The Dead Hand: The Untold Story of the Cold War Arms Race and its Dangerous Legacy|year=2009|publisher=Random House LLC|pages=365–66}}

External links

  • Global Zero
{{Authority control}}{{U.S. anti-nuclear}}{{DEFAULTSORT:Blair, Bruce G.}}

7 : American anti–nuclear weapons activists|1947 births|University of Illinois at Urbana–Champaign alumni|Yale University alumni|MacArthur Fellows|United States Air Force officers|Living people

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