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词条 Groundhog Day
释义

  1. History

     Punxsutawney beginnings  Punxsutawney today 

  2. Other locations

  3. Origins

     Germany  Groundhog as badger  Bear-rat  Simpler Candlemas lore  British and Gaelic calendars 

  4. Accuracy

     Statistics  Pseudoscientific evaluation 

  5. Characteristics of groundhogs

  6. Similar customs

  7. Explanatory notes

  8. References

      Citations    Sources  

  9. Further reading

  10. External links

{{short description|Traditional method of weather prediction}}{{other uses}}{{Use mdy dates|date=February 2018}}{{Infobox holiday
|holiday_name = Groundhog Day
|type=Cultural
|image = Groundhogday2005.jpg
|caption = Groundhog Day 2005 in Punxsutawney, Pennsylvania, United States
|observedby =Canada
United States
|duration = 1 day
|frequency = Annual
|date = February 2 {{if|eq|{{CURRENTMONTH}}{{CURRENTDAY2}}|0202|(Today)}}
|mdy = yes
|celebrations = Announcing whether a groundhog sees its shadow after it emerges from its burrow
|significance = Predicts the arrival of spring
| relatedto = Candlemas
}}Groundhog Day (Pennsylvania German: Grund'sau dåk, Grundsaudaag, Grundsow Dawg, Murmeltiertag; Nova Scotia: Daks Day[1]) is a popular tradition celebrated in Canada and the United States on February 2. It derives from the Pennsylvania Dutch superstition that if a groundhog (Marmota monax, also called "woodchuck"; Deitsch: Grundsau, Grunddax, Dax) emerging from its burrow on this day sees its shadow due to clear weather, it will retreat to its den and winter will persist for six more weeks, and if it does not see its shadow because of cloudiness, spring will arrive early. While the tradition remains popular in modern times, studies have found no consistent correlation between a groundhog seeing its shadow or not and the subsequent arrival time of spring-like weather.[2]

The weather lore was brought from German-speaking areas where the badger (German: Dachs) is the forecasting animal. This appears to be an enhanced version of the lore that clear weather on the Christian Holy Day of Candlemas forebodes a prolonged winter.

The Groundhog Day ceremony held at Punxsutawney in western Pennsylvania, centering around a semi-mythical groundhog named Punxsutawney Phil, has become the most attended. Grundsow Lodges in Pennsylvania Dutch Country in the southeastern part of the state celebrate them as well. Other cities in the United States and Canada have also adopted the event.

History

The observance of Groundhog Day in the United States first occurred in German communities in Pennsylvania, according to known records.

The earliest mention of Groundhog Day is an entry on February 2, 1840, in the diary of James L. Morris of Morgantown, in Pennsylvania Dutch Country, according to the book on the subject by Don Yoder. This was a Welsh enclave but the diarist was commenting on his neighbors who were of German stock.{{Efn|February 2, 1840, read: "Today the Germans say the groundhog comes out of his winter quarters and if he sees his shadow he returns in and remains there 40 days."}}{{Refn|group="lower-alpha"|Some sources stated that Morris's entry of February 4, 1841, was the oldest. It read: "Last Tuesday, the 2nd, was Candlemas day, the day on which, according to the Germans, the Groundhog peeps out of his winter quarters and if he sees his shadow he pops back for another six weeks nap, but if the day be cloudy he remains out, as the weather is to be moderate."[3]}}[4][5]

Punxsutawney beginnings

The first reported news of a Groundhog Day observance was arguably made by the Punxsutawney Spirit newspaper of Punxsutawney, Pennsylvania, in 1886:{{Efn|Some books attribute this positively to Clymer Freas.}} "up to the time of going to press, the beast has not seen its shadow". However, it was not until the following year in 1887 that the first Groundhog Day considered "official" was commemorated here,{{sfnp|Davis|1985|p=110}} with a group making a trip to the Gobbler's Knob part of town to consult the groundhog. People have gathered annually at the spot for the event ever since.{{sfnp|Davis|1985|p=109}}[6]

Clymer Freas (1867–1942){{Efn|Also styled H. C. Freas, H. Clymer Freas, or Clymer H. Freas}} who was city editor at the Punxsutawney Spirit is credited as the "father" who conceived the idea of "Groundhog Day".{{sfnp|Yoder|2003|p=10}}{{Refn|group="lower-alpha"|Other contemporaries of Freas (his colleagues at the paper and fellow-members of the club, etc.) have been given credit for the promotion of Groundhog Day: W. O. Smith, another editor of the paper and later elected to U. S. Congress, cartoonist C. M. Payne, and John P. Cowan of the Pittsburgh Gazette.{{sfnp|Davis|1985}}}} It has also been suggested that Punxsutawney was where all the Groundhog Day events originated, from where it spread to other parts of the United States and Canada.[7]

The Groundhog Day celebrations of the 1880s were carried out by the Punxsutawney Elks Lodge. The lodge members were the "genesis" of the Groundhog Club formed later, which continued the Groundhog Day tradition. But the lodge started out being interested in the groundhog as a game animal for food. It had started to serve groundhog at the lodge, and had been organizing a hunting party on a day each year in late summer.{{sfnp|Davis|1985|p=106}}

The chronologies given are somewhat inconsistent in the literature. The first "Groundhog Picnic" was held in 1887 according to a book for popular reading by an academic,{{sfnp|Yoder|2003|p=10}} but given as post-circa-1889 by a local historian in a journal. The historian states that around 1889 the meat was served in the lodge's banquet, and the organized hunt started after that.{{sfnp|Davis|1985|p=106}}

Either way, the Punxsutawney Groundhog Club was formed in 1899, and continued the hunt and "Groundhog Feast", which took place annually in September.[8]{{sfnp|Yoder|2003|p=11}} The "hunt" portion of it became increasingly a ritualized formality, because the practical procurement of meat had to occur well ahead of time for marinating. A drink called the "groundhog punch" was also served.{{Efn|a combination of vodka, milk, eggs and orange juice, among many other ingredients.}}{{sfnp|Davis|1985|p=107}}[8] The flavor has been described as a "cross between pork and chicken".[9] The hunt and feast did not attract enough outside interest, and the practice discontinued.[8]

The groundhog was not named Phil until 1961, possibly as an indirect reference to Prince Philip, Duke of Edinburgh.[10]

Punxsutawney today

The largest Groundhog Day celebration is held in Punxsutawney, Pennsylvania, where crowds as large as 40,000 gather each year[11] (nearly eight times the year-round population of the town).{{sfnp|Yoder|2003|p=9}} The average draw had been about 2,000 until the year after the movie Groundhog Day, which is set at the festivities in Punxsutawney, screened in 1993, after which attendance rose to about 10,000.[8] The official Phil is pretended to be a supercentenarian, having been the same forecasting beast since 1887.[8]

In 2019, the 133rd year of the tradition, the groundhog was summoned to come out at 7:25 am on February 2, but did not see its shadow.[12] Fans of Punxsutawney Phil awaited his arrival starting at 6:00 a.m., thanks to a live stream provided by Visit Pennsylvania. The live stream has been a tradition for the past several years, allowing more people than ever to watch the animal meteorologist.[13]

Other locations

The Slumbering Groundhog Lodge, which was formed in 1907, has carried out the ceremonies that take place in Quarryville, Pennsylvania.{{sfnp|Davis|1985|p=105}} It used to be a contending rival to Punxsutawney over the Groundhog Day fame. It employs a taxidermic specimen (stuffed woodchuck).[14]

In southeastern Pennsylvania, Groundhog Lodges (Grundsow Lodges) celebrate the holiday with fersommlinge,{{sfnp|Yoder|2003|p=xii}} social events in which food is served, speeches are made, and one or more g'spiel (plays or skits) are performed for entertainment. The Pennsylvania German dialect is the only language spoken at the event, and those who speak English pay a penalty, usually in the form of a nickel, dime, or quarter per word spoken, with the money put into a bowl in the center of the table.[15]

In Midwest America, Sun Prairie, Wisconsin, is the self-proclaimed "Groundhog Capital of the World".[16] This title taken in response to The Punxsutawney Spirit 1952 newspaper article describing Sun Prairie as a “remote two cow village buried somewhere in the wilderness…”[17] In 2015, Jimmy the groundhog bit the ear of Mayor Jon Freund [18] and the story quickly went viral worldwide. The next day a mayoral proclamation absolved Jimmy XI of any wrongdoing.[19]

Staten Island Chuck is the official weather-forecasting woodchuck for New York City.[20] Dunkirk Dave (a stage name for numerous groundhogs that have filled the role since 1960) is the local groundhog for Western New York, handled by Bob Will, a typewriter repairman who runs a rescue shelter for groundhogs.[21][22]

In Raleigh, NC, an annual event at the North Carolina Museum of Natural Sciences includes Sir Walter Wally. According to museum officials, Wally has been correct 58% of the time vs. Punxsutawney Phil's 39%. [23]

In Washington, D.C., the Dupont Circle Groundhog Day event features Potomac Phil, another taxidermic specimen. From his first appearance in 2012 to 2018, Phil's spring predictions invariably agreed with those of the more lively Punxsutawney Phil, who made his predictions half an hour earlier. In addition, Phil always predicted correctly six more months of political gridlock. However, after being accused of collusion in 2018, Potomac Phil contradicted Punxsutawney Phil in 2019 and, further, predicted two more years of political insanity.[24]

In the American South, the General Beauregard Lee of Lilburn, Georgia (later Butts County, Georgia), is known to have the most accurate prediction, standing at 94%.{{citation needed|date=February 2018}} The University of Dallas in Irving, Texas has boasted of hosting the second largest Groundhog celebration in the world.[25]

The day is observed with various ceremonies at other locations in North America beyond the United States,{{sfnp|Yoder|2003|p=33}} including Wiarton Willie of Wiarton, Ontario,[26] and Shubenacadie Sam in Nova Scotia which, due to Nova Scotia's Atlantic Time Zone, makes the first Groundhog Day prediction in North America.[27] "Daks Day" (from the German dachs) is Groundhog Day in the dialect of Lunenburg, Nova Scotia.[1]

In French Canada, Fred la marmotte of Val-d'Espoir[28][34] has been the representative forecaster for the province of Quebec since 2009.[29][30] A study also shows that in Quebec, the marmot or groundhog (siffleux) are regarded as Candlemas weather-predicting beasts in some scattered spots, but the bear is the more usual animal.[31]{{Refn|group="lower-alpha"|There were beliefs in Switzerland and France that the marmot predicted the weather, according to MacMillan.[38] "S. S. R." also speculated there might be similar lore for the European marmot, Arctomys alpinus.[39]}}

In 2017, Groundhog Day was scheduled to be observed at zoos in Moscow, Saint Petersburg, and Samara, Russia.[32]

Origins

The Pennsylvania Dutch were immigrants from German-speaking areas of Europe. The Germans already had a tradition of marking Candlemas (February 2) as "Badger Day" (Dachstag), where if a badger emerging found it to be a sunny day thereby casting a shadow, it foreboded the prolonging of winter by four more weeks.

Germany

Candlemas is a primarily Catholic festival but also known in the German Protestant (Lutheran) church. In folk religion, various traditions and superstitions continue to be linked with the holiday, although this was discouraged by the Protestant Reformers in the 16th century.{{sfnp|Yoder|2003|p=42}} Notably, several traditions akin to weather lores use Candlemas' weather to predict the start of spring.

The weather-predicting animal on Candlemas was usually the badger, although regionally the animal was the bear or the fox.{{sfnp|Yoder|2003|pp=52–53}} The original weather-predicting animal in Germany had been the bear, another hibernating mammal, but when they grew scarce the lore became altered.{{sfnp|Yoder|2003|p=54}}

Similarity to the groundhog lore has been noted for the German formula "Sonnt sich der Dachs in der Lichtmeßwoche, so geht er auf vier Wochen wieder zu Loche" (If the badger sunbathes during Candlemas-week, for four more weeks he will be back in his hole).{{Efn|Noted by Uwe Johnson; the formula was printed in the {{illm|Voß un Haas|nds}} "Fox and Hare" calendars of Mecklenburg.}}[33] A slight variant is found in a collection of weather lore (bauernregeln, lit. "farmers' rules") printed in Austria in 1823.[34]

Groundhog as badger

So the same tradition as the Germans, except that winter's spell would be prolonged for six weeks instead of four, was maintained by the Pennsylvanians on Groundhog Day.{{sfnp|Yoder|2003|p=52}} In Germany, the animal was dachs or badger. For the Pennsylvania Dutch, it became the dox which in Deitsch referred to "groundhog".{{Efn|"Of course everybody knows that February 2 is groundhog day. If the dox (the dialect word for groundhog) sees its shadow on this day, the belief is that six weeks of bad weather will follow".}}[3][35]

The standard term for "groundhog" was grun′daks (from German dachs), with the regional variant in York County being grundsau, a direct translation of the English name, according to a 19th-century book on the dialect.[36] The form was a regional variant according to one 19th century source.[36] However, the weather superstition that begins "Der zwet Hær′ning is Grund′sau dåk. Wânn di grundau îr schâtte sent ... ("February second is Groundhog day. If the groundhog sees its shadow ...)" is given as common to all 14 counties in Dutch Pennsylvania Country, in a 1915 monograph.{{Efn|The letter "â" is actually "a with circumflex below".}}[37]

In The Thomas R. Brendle Collection of Pennsylvania German Folklore, Brendle preserved the following lore from the local Pennsylvania German dialect:

Wann der Dachas sei Schadde seht im Lichtmess Marye, dann geht er widder in's Loch un beleibt noch sechs Woche drin. Wann Ilchtmess Marye awwer drieb is, dann bleibt der dachs haus un's watt noch enanner Friehyaahr. (When the groundhog sees his shadow on the morning of February 2, he will again go into his hole and remain there for six weeks. But if the morning of February 2 is overcast, the groundhog will remain outside and there will be another spring.)[38]

The form grundsow has been used by the lodge in Allentown and elsewhere.{{sfnp|Yoder|2003|pp=67, 76}} Brendle also recorded the name "Grundsaudag" (Groundhog day in Lebanon County) and "Daxdaag" (Groundhog day in Northampton County).[39]

Bear-rat

The groundhog was once also known by the obsolete Latin alias Arctomys monax. The genus name signified "bear-rat".[39]{{sfnp|Yoder|2003|pp=54–57}} The European marmot is of the same genus and was formerly called Arctomys alpinus. It was speculated that the European counterpart might have lore similar to the groundhog attached to it.[40]{{Refn|group="lower-alpha"|Signed "S. S. R." of Lancaster, Pennsylvania. Note that S. S. Rathvon wrote the editorial "The Ground-Hog" and "More of the Ground-hogs" where he refers to the creature as "Old Arctomyx" in the editorial in the March 1884 issue of the {{plain link|url=https://books.google.com/books?id=7uJFAAAAYAAJ&pg=PT51|name=Lancaster Farmer}} XV:3.}}

Simpler Candlemas lore

{{See also|weather lore}}

The German version, with the introduction of the badger (or other beasts) was an expansion on a more simple tradition that if the weather was sunny and clear on Candlemas Day people expected winter to continue.{{sfnp|Yoder|2003|p=52}} The simpler version is summarized in the English (Scots dialect) couplet that runs "If Candlemas is fair and clear / There'll be {{linktext|twa}} winters in the year",{{Efn|A couplet the same as this except "two winters" in standard English is given in {{harvp|Davis|1985|p=103}}, alongside two other variants.}}{{Refn|group="lower-alpha"|"Second Winter"[6] appears to be a neologism that paraphrases "two winters".}} with equivalent phrases in French and German.[38] And the existence of a corresponding Latin couplet has been suggested as evidence of the great antiquity of this tradition.{{Refn|group="lower-alpha"|"Si Sol splenescat Maria purificante / Major erit glacies post festum quam fuit ante". Note that Maria purificante or The Purification of the Blessed Virgin Mary is the reference to Candlemas day, since this is the biblical event that Candlemas is supposed to commemorate.[4]}}[38]

In fact, the Christian Candlemas itself was an assimilation of the Roman rite for the goddess Februa with a procession on February 2, to honor her, according to Yoder. The Roman calendar, in turn, had Celtic origins. Candlemas concurs with Imbolc, one of the Celtic 'cross-quarter days', the four days which marked the midpoints between solstice and equinox.{{sfnp|Yoder|2003|pp=52, 42–43}}[4]

British and Gaelic calendars

Scholar Rhys Carpenter in 1946 emphasized that the Badger Day tradition was strong in Germany, but absent in the British Isles (England, Scotland, Wales, or Ireland), and he referred to this as a reason that the U.S. Groundhog Day was not brought by immigrants from these places.{{sfnp|Yoder|2003|p=53}}

There did exist a belief among Roman Catholics in Britain that the hedgehog predicted the length of winter, or so it has been claimed, but without demonstration of its age, in a publication by the Scotland-born American journalist Thomas C. MacMillan in 1886,[41] and American writer/journalist Samuel Adams Drake's book published in 1900.[42]{{Efn|Drake also states that the German lore about the badger predicting the winter's duration was firmly accepted in New England. The groundhog, badger/bear, and hedgehog are all noted as paralleling each other.}}

In the Gaelic calendar of Ireland, Scotland and the Isle of Man, Brigid's Day (February 1) is a day for predicting the weather.[43][44] While in Scotland the animal that heralds spring on this day is a snake,[45] and on the Isle of Man a large bird,[46] in Ireland folklorist Kevin Danaher records lore of hedgehogs being observed for this omen:

{{quote|In Irish folk tradition St. Brighid's Day, 1 February, is the first day of Spring, and thus of the farmer's year. ... To see a hedgehog was a good weather sign, for the hedgehog comes come out of the hole in which he has spent the winter, looks about to judge the weather, and returns to his burrow if bad weather is going to continue. If he stays out, it means that he knows the mild weather is coming.[43]|}}

Accuracy

In Pennsylvania, Punxsutawney Phil has become a popular tradition. On February 2, people within the city will gather to find out whether or not Phil's shadow is revealed. With that, he will allegedly determine whether spring will soon begin by not seeing his shadow, or if winter will ensue for six more weeks.

Statistics

Punxsutawney Phil's statistics are kept by the Pennsylvania's Groundhog Club which cares for the animal. Phil has predicted 103 forecasts for winter and just 17 for an early spring.[47] Most assessments of Phil's accuracy have given accuracy lower than would be expected with random chance, with Stormfax Almanac giving an estimate of 39%,[48] and meteorologist Tim Roche of Weather Underground giving a 36% accuracy rate between 1969 and 2016 (a range chosen because local weather data was most reliable from 1969 onward) and a 47% record in that time span when predicting early spring.[47] The National Centers for Environmental Information, using a basic metric of above-normal temperatures for early spring and below-normal temperatures for more winter, placed Punxsutawney Phil's accuracy at 40% for the ten-year period preceding 2019.[49] Other poor results from analysis are reported by the Farmer's Almanac (which itself has been known for forecasts of questionable accuracy) as "exactly 50 percent" accuracy,[50] and The National Geographic Society reporting only 28% success.[51] But a Middlebury College team found that a long-term analysis of temperature high/low predictions were 70% accurate, although when the groundhog predicted early spring it was usually wrong.[52] Canadian meteorologist Cindy Day has estimated that Nova Scotia's "Shubenacadie Sam" has an accuracy rate of about 45% compared to 25% for Wiarton Willy in Ontario.[53]

Part of the problem with pinning down an accuracy rate for the groundhog is that what constitutes an early spring is not clearly defined. Other groundhogs such as Staten Island Chuck do use an objective formula (in Chuck's case, a majority of days that reach {{convert|40|F|C}} in New York City between Groundhog Day and the March equinox) to assess accuracy.[54]

Pseudoscientific evaluation

Prediction based on an animal's behavior used to be given more credence in the past when stores of food became scarce as winter progressed.[55]

One theory states that the groundhog naturally comes out of hibernation in central Pennsylvania in early February because of the increasing average temperature. Under this theory, if German settlement had been centered further north, Groundhog Day would take place at a later date.[56] However, the observed behavior of groundhogs in central New Jersey was that they mostly come out of their burrows in mid-March, regardless of Groundhog Day weather.[57]

Characteristics of groundhogs

{{More|Groundhog}}

Groundhogs are creatures within the rodent family that weigh between 12 and 15 pounds and can live up to 8 years.[58] These animals are omnivores, but commonly feast on grass, vegetables, and fruit. Groundhogs have the ability to climb trees and, much like beavers, swim. Each fall, groundhogs go into hibernation until March. When the animals emerge from hibernation, their initial purpose is to find a mate.

Similar customs

{{See also|Weather lore#animal signs|Weather lore#February}}

In Croatia and Serbia, Orthodox Christians have a tradition that on February 2 (Candlemas) or February 15 (Sretenje, The Meeting of the Lord), the bear will awaken from winter dormancy, and if it sees (meets) its own shadow in this sleepy and confused state, it will get scared and go back to sleep for an additional 40 days, thus prolonging the winter. Thus, if it is sunny on Sretenje, it is a sign that the winter is not over yet. If it is cloudy, it is a good sign that the winter is about to end.[59]

Similarly in Germany, on the 27 June, they recognize the Seven Sleepers' Day (Siebenschläfertag). If it rains that day, the rest of summer is supposedly going to be rainy. As well, in the United Kingdom, the 15th of July is known as St. Swithin's day.[78] It was traditionally believed that, if it rained on that day, it would rain for the next 40 days and nights.[60]

Explanatory notes

{{notelist}}

References

Citations

1. ^{{citation|last=Poteet |first=Lewis J. |title=The South Shore Phrase Book |edition=New, revised, and expanded |place=Hantsport |publisher=Lancelot Press |year=2004 |origyear=1988 |url=https://books.google.com/books?id=z1wyJRyDk3UC&pg=PT36}}
2. ^{{Cite web|url=https://www.livescience.com/49665-groundhog-day-predictions.html|title=Groundhog Day: How Often Does Punxsutawney Phil Get It Right?|first=Tanya|last=Lewis|date=February 2, 2017|website=Live Science}}
3. ^{{citation|last=Shoemaker |first=Alfred L. |title=February Lore |volume=5 |number=11 |date=February 1, 1954|url=https://books.google.com/books?id=-r3WAAAAMAAJ&dq=%22James+L.+Morris+%22}} ([https://dspace.fandm.edu/handle/11016/24337 download])
4. ^{{cite journal|ref=harv|last=Kruesi |first=Margaret |title=Reviewed Work: Groundhog Day by Don Yoder |journal=Journal of American Folklore |volume=120 |number=477| date=Summer 2007 |url=|pages=367–368}} {{jstor|20487565}}
5. ^{{harvp|Yoder|2003|pp=49, 54, 143}}, diary printed in "Folklore from the Diary of James L. Morris, 1845–1646", Pennsylvania Dutchman 3:17 (February 1, 1952)"
6. ^{{Cite web|url=http://time.com/4650202/groundhog-day-history-2/|title=This Is the Story Behind Groundhog Day|website=Time|access-date=December 21, 2017}}
7. ^{{harvp|Yoder|2003}}, Chapter II, "Punxsutawney to the World"
8. ^{{Cite web|url=http://time.com/3685895/groundhog-day-history/|title=The Original Groundhog Day Involved Eating the Groundhog|website=Time|access-date=December 21, 2017}}
9. ^Pittsburgh Gazette, September 27, 1903, cited by {{harvp|Davis|1985}}, p. 106, note 12.
10. ^Lucas Reilly and Austin Thompson (February 1, 2019). Why is Punxsutawney's Groundhog Called Phil? Mental Floss. Retrieved February 2, 2019.
11. ^{{cite web|url=http://www.americandaily.org/document/070202%20Groundhog%20Day.htm |title=Happy Groundhog Day to You! |accessdate=February 5, 2009 |author=Park, PhD, David |date=February 2, 2006 |deadurl=bot: unknown |archiveurl=https://web.archive.org/web/20090205210344/http://www.americandaily.org/document/070202%20Groundhog%20Day.htm |archivedate=February 5, 2009 |df=mdy-all }}
12. ^Serena McMahon. [https://www.npr.org/2019/02/02/690926238/groundhog-day-2019-punxsutawney-phil-predicts-an-early-spring "Groundhog Day 2019: Punxsutawney Phil Predicts An Early Spring."] NPR.org. 2 February 2019. Retrieved 2 February 2019.
13. ^{{Cite news|url=https://www.travelandleisure.com/travel-news/what-time-does-groundhog-come-out|title=What Time Does the Groundhog Come Out on Groundhog Day?|last=https://plus.google.com/+travelandleisure/posts|work=Travel + Leisure|access-date=2018-10-05|language=en}}
14. ^{{cite journal|last=Carlson |first=Peter |title=His Moment In the Sun |journal=The Washington Post |volume=23 |date=February 3, 2004 |url=https://www.washingtonpost.com/archive/lifestyle/2004/02/03/his-moment-in-the-sun/ba54b852-684f-475b-aa7e-91bba6dc1467/ |page=}}
15. ^{{cite book |last=Rosenberger |first=Homer Tope |title=The Pennsylvania Germans: 1891–1965 |location=Lancaster, PA |publisher=Pennsylvania German Society |year=1966 |pages=194–199 |oclc=1745108}}
16. ^{{Cite web|url=http://kowb1290.com/pennsylvania-not-the-groundhog-capital-of-the-world/|title=Pennsylvania- Not the Groundhog Capital of the World?|first=Wesley|last=Kempton|website=KOWB, AM 1290}}
17. ^{{Cite web|url=https://newspaperarchive.com/altoona-mirror-jan-26-1952-p-1/|title=Altoona Mirror Newspaper Archives, Jan 26, 1952|website=newspaperarchive.com}}
18. ^{{Cite web|url=https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gCpQOWMovLE|title=Jimmy the Groundhog bites Sun Prairie mayor|via=YouTube}}
19. ^{{Cite web|url=https://www.fdlreporter.com/story/news/local/2015/02/03/sun-prairie-mayor-pardons-jimmy-groundhog/22835565/|title=Sun Prairie mayor pardons Jimmy the Groundhog|website=Action Reporter Media}}
20. ^{{cite news|first= Eli|last=Rosenberg|date=February 2, 2016 |archiveurl=https://web.archive.org/web/20160214203421/http://www.nytimes.com/2016/02/03/nyregion/on-groundhog-day-staten-island-chuck-no-shadow-early-spring-prediction.html?_r=0 |archivedate=February 14, 2016|accessdate=February 14, 2016 |url=https://www.nytimes.com/2016/02/03/nyregion/on-groundhog-day-staten-island-chuck-no-shadow-early-spring-prediction.html?_r=0 |title=Staten Island Groundhog Makes Star Turn, This Year Without de Blasio|work=N.Y./Region |publisher=The New York Times|location=New York, New York}}
21. ^{{cite web|url=http://www.foxnews.com/us/2018/02/02/punxsutawney-phil-and-7-other-famous-groundhogs-should-know.html|title=Punxsutawney Phil and seven other famous groundhogs you should know|work=Fox News|date=February 2, 2018|accessdate=February 2, 2018}}
22. ^{{cite news|url=http://buffalonews.com/2018/02/01/sean-kirst-for-dunkirk-daves-devoted-caretaker-every-day-is-groundhog-day/|first=Sean|last=Kirst|title=Sean Kirst: For Dunkirk Dave's caretaker, every day is Groundhog Day|work=The Buffalo News|date=February 2, 2018|accessdate=February 1, 2018}}
23. ^{{Cite web|url=https://www.wral.com/no-more-winter-sir-walter-wally-predicts-early-spring/17309168/|title=No more winter: Sir Walter Wally predicts early spring :|last=WRAL|date=2018-02-02|website=WRAL.com|language=en|access-date=2019-02-02}}
24. ^(1) {{cite news|first=Sadie|last=Dingfelder|date=February 1, 2018|url=https://www.washingtonpost.com/express/wp/2018/02/01/a-groundhog-day-scandal-potomac-phil-denies-rumors-of-collusion/|title=A Groundhog Day scandal? Potomac Phil denies rumors of collusion|work=Express|publisher=The Washington Post|accessdate=February 3, 2019}}
(2) {{cite news|first=Dana|last=Hedgpeth|date=February 2, 2018|url=https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/local/wp/2018/02/02/d-c-s-groundhog-makes-his-prediction-6-more-weeks-of-winter/?utm_term=.aa1585f616ab|title=D.C.’s groundhog makes his prediction — 6 more weeks of winter|work=Local|publisher=The Washington Post|accessdate=February 3, 2019}}
(3) {{cite web|url=https://wtop.com/dc/2018/02/potomac-phil-shadowy-predictions/slide/1/|title=WATCH: DC’s least-animated pundit offers some shadowy predictions|first=Jack|last=Pointer|date=February 2, 2018|location=Washington, D.C.|publisher=WTOP|accessdate=February 3, 2019}}
(4) {{cite web|first=Alejandro|last=Alvarez|date=February 2, 2019|url=https://wtop.com/dc/2019/02/potomac-phil-defies-punxsutawney-with-prediction-of-his-own/slide/1/|title=Potomac Phil defies Punxsutawney with prediction of his own|location=Washington, D.C.|publisher=WTOP|accessdate=February 3, 2019}}
(4) {{cite web|url=https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=IssE4QjTeX8|author=GW Hatchet Video|title=Potomac Phil predicts long winter at Dupont Circle Groundhog Day celebration|date=February 2, 2019|via=YouTube|accessdate=February 3, 2019}}
25. ^{{cite book|url=https://books.google.com/books?id=4mc4PN1nxFEC|page=298|title=Colleges in the Midwest: Compare Colleges in Your Region|accessdate= February 1, 2013|edition=24|publisher=Peterson's|year=2009|isbn=9780768926903}}
26. ^{{cite news |url=http://www.huffingtonpost.ca/2014/02/02/hopeful-canadians-look-to_n_4711653.html |newspaper=Canadian Press |title=Hopeful Canadians look to Groundhog Day for predictions of an early spring |date=February 2, 2014 |accessdate=February 20, 2014}}
27. ^{{cite news |url=http://www.kingscountynews.ca/Living/2014-01-30/article-3596355/Shubenacadie-Sam-prepping-for-Groundhog-Day/1 |newspaper=King's County Register |title=Shubenacadie Sam prepping for Groundhog Day |date=January 30, 2014 |accessdate=February 20, 2014}}
28. ^{{cite news|url=https://montrealgazette.com/travel/Groundhog+Quebec+groundhog+disagrees+Shubenacadie+Wiarton+Willie/6090473/story.html| title=Groundhog Day: Quebec groundhog disagrees with Shubenacadie Sam, Wiarton Willie|newspaper=The Gazette|location=Montreal, CA|date= February 2, 2012 |archiveurl=https://web.archive.org/web/20120205001825/http://www.montrealgazette.com/travel/Groundhog+Quebec+groundhog+disagrees+Shubenacadie+Wiarton+Willie/6090473/story.html |archivedate=February 2, 2012}}
29. ^{{cite web|url=http://ici.radio-canada.ca/regions/est-quebec/2015/02/02/002-gaspesie-marmotte-printemps.shtml|title=Fred la marmotte : encore six semaines d'hiver!|work=Radio-Canada|date=February 2, 2015|accessdate=February 2, 2015|quote=la marmotte officielle du Québec}}
30. ^{{cite web|url=http://ici.radio-canada.ca/nouvelle/1014454/jour-marmotte-science-folklore-eve-christian |title=Le jour de la marmotte, science ou folklore?|work=Radio-Canada|date=February 2, 2017|accessdate=December 26, 2015|quote=}}
31. ^{{cite book|ref=harv|last=Rodrigue |first=Denise |title=Le cycle de Pâques au Québec et dans l'Ouest de la France |place= |publisher=Presses Université Laval |year=1983 |url=https://books.google.com/books?id=WrLxBNnh_XoC&pg=PA36|pages=34, 36 |isbn=9782763769035}}
32. ^{{cite web|title=Groundhog Day 2017: Furry Forecasters Around the World |url=https://sputniknews.com/art_living/201702021050285501-groundhog-weather-forecast-world/|work=sputniknews.com |date=February 2, 2017 |accessdate=February 2, 2017}}
33. ^Uwe Johnson, cited by {{citation|last=Grambow |first=Jürgen |title=Möglichkeiten einer intellektuellen Kritik an diesem Mecklenburg |work=Johnson-Jahrbuch |volume=1 |place= |publisher=Vandenhoeck & Ruprecht|year=1994|url=https://books.google.com/books?id=xr8YqZnpxqcC&pg=PA77 |page=77 |isbn=}}
34. ^Lewenau, Joseph Arnold Ritter von (1823), [https://books.google.com/books?id=YI01RgDZT0sC&pg=PA20 Der angewandte Fresenius; oder, Sammlung geordneter allgemeiner Witterungs- und sogenannter Bauernregeln], Vienna, J.G. Mösle, p. 20: "Wenn sich der Dachs zu Lichtmeß sonnt, so gehet er wieder auf vier Wochen in sein Loch. (If the badger is in the sun at Candlemas, he will have to go back into his hole for another four weeks)"
35. ^dachs is glossed as meaning "raccoon, groundhog, or short-legged dog" in : {{citation|last=Lambert |first=Marcus Bachman |title=Pennsylvania-German Dictionary |journal=Pennsylvania-German Society |year=1924 |url=https://books.google.com/books?id=kWxIAAAAYAAJ&pg=RA2-PA35 |page=35}}
36. ^{{citation|last=Haldeman |first=Samuel Stehman |title=Pennsylvania Dutch: A Dialect of South German with an Infusion of English |publisher=Reformed Church Publication Board |year=1872 |url=https://books.google.com/books?id=5REVAAAAMAAJ&pg=PA5 |pages=5–6}}
37. ^{{cite book|ref=harv|last=Fogel |first=Edwin Miller |title=Beliefs and Superstitions of the Pennsylvania Germans |volume=18 |place=Philadelphia |publisher=American Germanica Press |year=1915 |url=https://books.google.com/books?id=TeaAAAAAMAAJ&pg=PA236|page=236}}
38. ^{{cite book|page=82|entry=1337|title=The Thomas R. Brendle Collection of Pennsylvania German Folklore|volume=1|editor=C. Richard Beam|author=Thomas R. Brendle|publisher=Historic Schaefferstown, Inc.|year=1995|ISBN=1-880976-11-0}}
39. ^Brendle p. 86
40. ^{{citation|author=S.S.R. |title=Arctomyx monax |journal=American Notes and Queries |volume=4 |date=February 15, 1890 |url=https://books.google.com/books?id=_KFDAQAAMAAJ&pg=PA188 |page=188}}
41. ^{{cite book|ref=harv|editor-last=MacMillan |editor-first=Thomas C. |editor-link=Thomas C. MacMillan (politician) |others=|title=Ground-Hog Day ― Candlemas |work=The Inter Ocean Curiosity Shop for the year 1885 |edition=3 |place=Chicago |publisher=The Inter Ocean Publishing Company |year=1886 |url=https://books.google.com/books?id=rkcxAQAAMAAJ&pg=PA69 |pages=68–69}}
42. ^{{cite book|ref=harv|last=Drake |first=Samuel Adams |author-link=Samuel Adams Drake |others=Frank T. Merill (illustr.) |title=The Myths and Fables of To-day |place=Boston |publisher=Lee and Shepard |year=1900 |url=https://books.google.com/books?id=1p4bV8dYtcwC&pg=PA43 |pages=43–44}}
43. ^{{citation|last=Danaher|first=Kevin |author-link=Kevin Danaher|title=The Year in Ireland |place= Cork |publisher=Mercier |year=1972 |pages=13–14 |isbn=1-85635-093-2|quote=In Irish folk tradition St. Brighid's Day, 1 February, is the first day of Spring, and thus of the farmer's year. ... To see a hedgehog was a good weather sign, for the hedgehog comes come out of the hole in which he has spent the winter, looks about to judge the weather, and returns to his burrow if bad weather is going to continue. If he stays out, it means that he knows the mild weather is coming.}}
44. ^{{citation|last=Minard|first=Antone |title=Imbolc |work=The Celts |volume=1 |place= |publisher=ABC-CLIO |year=2012|url=https://books.google.com/books?id=3cHdQC1cXLEC&pg=PA444 |page=444 |isbn=978-1-5988-4964-6}}
45. ^{{Verse translation|{{lang|gd|Thig an nathair as an toll /Là donn Brìde, /Ged robh trì troighean dhen t-sneachd /Air leac an làir.}}|The serpent will come from the hole /On the brown Day of Bríde, /Though there should be three feet of snow /On the flat surface of the ground. – Carmichael, Alexander (1900) Carmina Gadelica: Hymns and Incantations, Ortha Nan Gaidheal, Volume I, p. 169 The Sacred Texts Archive
46. ^Briggs, Katharine (1976) An Encyclopedia of Fairies. New York, Pantheon Books. pp. 57–60. "On the Isle of Man, where She is known as Caillagh ny Groamagh, the Cailleach is said to have been seen on St. Bride's day in the form of a gigantic bird, carrying sticks in her beak."
47. ^{{Cite news|url=https://www.livescience.com/32974-punxsutawney-phil-weather-prediction-accuracy.html|title=How Accurate Are Punxsutawney Phil's Groundhog Day Forecasts?|work=Live Science|access-date=December 21, 2017}}
48. ^{{Cite web|title = Groundhog Day History from Stormfax® 2016|url = http://www.stormfax.com/ghogday.htm|website = www.stormfax.com|access-date = 2016-02-18|last = Stormfax}}
49. ^[https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/news/groundhog-day-forecasts-and-climate-history Groundhog Day forecasts and climate history]. National Centers for Environmental Prediction (February 2, 2019). Retrieved February 2, 2019.
50. ^Thomas, R. B. (1998), The Farmer's Almanac, p. 67, cited in {{harvp|Aaron|Boyd|Curtis|Sommers|2001|p=28}}
51. ^Allison, Christine (1995), 365 days of gardening, p. 353, cited in {{harvp|Aaron|Boyd|Curtis|Sommers|2001|p=28}}
52. ^{{citation|last1=Aaron |first1=Michael A. |last2=Boyd |first2=Brewster B., Jr. |last3=Curtis |first3=Melanie J. |last4=Sommers |first4=Paul M. |date=January 2001 |title=Punxsutawney's Phenomenal Phorecaster |journal=The College Mathematics Journal |volume=32 |number=1 |jstor=2687216 |pages=26–29 |doi=10.2307/2687216}}.
53. ^{{Cite web|url=http://thechronicleherald.ca/novascotia/1541732-shubenacadie-sam-unlikely-to-see-his-shadow|title=Tom Ayers, "Shubenacadie Sam unlikely to see his shadow", Chronicle Herald, January 31, 2018a}}
54. ^{{Cite web|url=https://www.silive.com/news/2017/02/groundhog_day_2017_staten_isla.html|title=Groundhog Day 2017 results: Staten Island Chuck calls for an early spring|first=Diane|last=C|date=February 2, 2017|website=silive.com}}
55. ^{{Cite news|url=https://www.smithsonianmag.com/smart-news/short-history-groundhog-day-180958018/|title=A Short History of Groundhog Day|last=Lewis|first=Danny|work=Smithsonian|access-date=December 21, 2017|language=en}}
56. ^Coin, Glenn (February 1, 2015). Groundhog Day 2016: Do you trust a rodent to predict the weather? Syracuse Post-Standard. Retrieved February 1, 2016.
57. ^{{Cite web|url=https://caucus99percent.com/content/happy-groundhog-dayagain|title=Happy Groundhog Day ... again?|website=caucus99percent.com|access-date=October 31, 2017}}
58. ^{{Cite news|url=http://www.history.com/this-day-in-history/first-groundhog-day|title=First Groundhog Day — Feb 02, 1887 - HISTORY.com|work=HISTORY.com|access-date=December 21, 2017}}
59. ^{{citation|last=Lodge |first=Olive |title=Peasant Life in Yugoslavia |place= |publisher=Ams Press Inc|year=1942 |url=https://books.google.com/books?id=QaoMAAAAIAAJ&q=Croatia+%22bear%22 |page=142}}
60. ^{{citation|last=Keever |first=Homer M. |title=Iredell, Piedmont County |place= |publisher=Iredell County Bicentennial Commission|year=1976 |url=https://books.google.com/books?id=DUcTAAAAYAAJ&dq=%22Seven+Sleepers%22+groundhog&focus=searchwithinvolume&q=%22Seven+Sleepers%224 |page=26}}

Sources

{{refbegin}}
  • {{citation|last=Davis |first=Christopher R. |title=Totemism and Civic Boosterism in Punxsutawney, Pennsylvania, 1899–1909 |journal=The Western Pennsylvania Historical Magazine |volume=68 |number=2|date=April 1985 |url = https://journals.psu.edu/wph/article/view/3942/3759 }}
  • {{cite book|ref=harv|last=Yoder|first=Don|title=Groundhog Day|location=Mechanicsburg, Pennsylvania|publisher=Stackpole Books|year=2003|isbn=0811700291|oclc=52542605 |url = https://books.google.com/books?id=eFKO9FKPjOwC }}
{{refend}}

Further reading

{{Refbegin}}
  • Old, W. C., and P. Billin-Frye (2004). The Groundhog Day Book of Facts and Fun. Morton Grove, IL: Albert Whitman.
  • Pulling, A. F. (2001). Around Punxsutawney. Charleston, S.C.: Arcadia.
{{Refend}}

External links

  • Groundhog Day – The Official Website of the Punxsatawney Groundhog Club
  • Groundhogstuff.com. The Official Punxsutawney Phil Souvenir Shop located in Punxsutawney, PA.
  • Short Punxsutawney Groundhog Day Documentary: A Holiday for Everyone
  • Groundhog Days in Woodstock, IL
  • Wiarton Willie Festival – Wiarton, Ontario
  • [https://www.imdb.com/title/tt0107048/ Groundhog Day (1993) movie on IMDb]
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