| 词条 | Jacques Drèze |
| 释义 |
| name = Jacques H. Drèze | school_tradition = Mathematical economics | color = | image = | image_size = | caption = | birth_date = {{birth year and age|1929}}[1] | birth_place = Verviers, Belgium | death_date = | death_place = | nationality = Belgium | institution = Center for Operations Research and Econometrics, Université catholique de Louvain University of Chicago (1963-1968) Cornell University (1971-1977) | field = Economic theory Economic policy Econometrics Statistics Operations research | alma_mater = Université de Liège (Licencié) Columbia University (Ph.D.) | influences = Kenneth J. Arrow Robert J. Aumann Edmond Malinvaud Franco Modigliani Leonard Jimmie Savage | opposed = | influenced = Roger J-B Wets | known_for = Drèze equilibrium with price rationing Disequilibrium macroeconomics and econometrics Policies to combat unemployment Public economics Bayesian simultaneous equations | awards = President, Econometric Society (1970) President, International Economic Association (1996-1999) (Inaugural) President, European Economic Association (1985-1986) Walras-Bowley Lecture (1976) Yrjö Jahnsson Lecturer (1983) Foreign Honorary Member of the American Economic Association Foreign Associate, National Academy of Sciences{{when|date=March 2018}} Foreign Honorary Member, American Academy of Arts and Sciences Foreign Member, Royal Dutch Academy of Arts and Sciences Corresponding Fellow, British Academy (1990)[2] | doctoral_advisor = William Vickrey | academic_advisors = | doctoral_students = Franz Palm | notable_students = | signature = | repec_prefix = e | repec_id = pdr61 }} Jacques H. Drèze (born 1929) is a Belgian economist noted for his contributions to economic theory, econometrics, and economic policy as well as for his leadership in the economics profession. Drèze was the first President of the European Economic Association in 1986 and was the President of the Econometric Society in 1970. Jacques Drèze is also the father of five sons. One son is the economist, Jean Drèze, who is known for his work on poverty and hunger in India (some of which has been in collaboration with Amartya K. Sen); another son, Xavier Drèze, was professor of Marketing at UCLA. Contributions to economicsDrèze's contributions to economics combine policy-relevance and mathematical techniques. Indeed, models basically play the same role in economics as in fashion: they provide an articulated frame on which to show off your material to advantage ... ; a useful role, but fraught with the dangers that the designer may get carried away by his personal inclination for the model, while the customers may forget that the model is more streamlined than reality.[3] Economics of uncertainty and insurancePreferences depending on the state of natureBetween games of strategy and games against nature, there remains a middle ground where uncertainties are partially controllable by the decision-maker---situations labelled "games of strength and skill" by von Neumann and Morgenstern, or "moral hazard" in subsequent work. Such problems of moral hazard have been discussed by Jacques Drèze in his dissertation, leading to the 1961 paper (8), whose analysis was generalized in 1987 (76), and simplified in 2004 (123). Drèze's theory allows for preferences depending on the state of the environment. Rational behaviour is again characterised by subjective expected utility maximisation, where the utility is state-dependent, and the maximisation encompasses the choice of an optimal subjective probability from an underlying feasible set. Willingness to payWith reference to state-dependent preferences and moral hazard, a natural application of long-standing interest to economists concerns the provision of safety, for instance through road investments that are aimed at saving lives. In this area, Jacques Drèze introduced in 1962 (12) the "willingness-to-pay" approach, which is now widely adopted. That approach rests on individual preferences aggregated as per the theory of public goods. The willingness to pay approach thus fits squarely in economic theory. Essays on Economic Decisions Under UncertaintyThe work of Jacques Drèze on the economics of uncertainty through the mid-eighties is collected in his volume of Essays on Economic Decisions under Uncertainty (B2), published in 1987. The book is organised in seven parts, covering successively decision theory, market allocation, consumption, production, the firm under incomplete markets, labor and public decisions. Under market allocation comes an important paper (21) on the interpretation and properties of the general equilibrium model pioneered in Arrow (1953). The more significant piece in the next part is a classic paper with Franco Modigliani on savings and portfolio choice under uncertainty (28). There follow three papers on industry equilibrium (17, 42, 62). General equilibrium economics with price rationing: Drèze equilibria{{see also|General equilibrium}}Price rigiditiesIn the early seventies, motivated by the potential role of price rigidities for enhancing risk-sharing efficiency, Jacques Drèze undertook to define equilibria with price rigidities and quantity constraints and to study their properties in a general equilibrium context. His 1975 paper (36, circulated in 1971) introduces the so-called "Drèze equilibrium" at which supply (resp. demand) is constrained only when prices are downward (resp. upward) rigid, whereas a preselected commodity (e.g. money) is never rationed. Existence is proved for arbitrary bounds on prices, through an original approach repeatedly used ever since. That paper is a widely cited classic. It was followed by several others (51, 55, 63, 75), exploring properties of the new concept. Of particular significance to future developments is a joint paper with Pierre Dehez (55), which establishes the existence of Drèze equilibria with no rationing of the demand side. These are called "supply-constrained equilibria". They correspond to the empirically relevant macroeconomic situations. Macroeconomic consequences of microeconomicsIn the meantime, Jean-Pascal Bénassy (1975) and Yves Younès (1975) had approached the same problem from a macroeconomic angle, for the more restrictive case of fixed prices. There developed a lively interest in fixed price economies, and specifically in a three-good macroeconomic model, first formulated by Robert Barro and Herschel Grossman (1971) and then studied extensively by Edmond Malinvaud (1977). That model invited empirical estimation. The new statistical challenges posed by "disequilibrium econometrics" were attacked at CORE by two students of Jacques Drèze, namely Henri Sneessens (1981) and Jean-Paul Lambert (1988). Following a joint paper by Drèze and Sneessens (71), a major project (the European Unemployment Program) directed by Jacques Drèze and Richard Layard led to estimation of a common disequilibrium model in ten countries (B4, 93, 94). The results of that successful effort were to inspire policy recommendations in Europe for several years.[5] Supply-constrained equilibriaThe next steps in the theoretical research came with the work of John Roberts on supply-constrained equilibria at competitive prices, and then with the dissertation of Jean-Jacques Herings at Tilburg (1987, 1996). In both cases, there appear results on existence of a continuum of Drèze equilibria. Following the work of Roberts and Herings, Drèze (113) proved existence of equilibria with arbitrarily severe rationing of supply. Next, in a joint paper with Herings and others (132), Drèze established the generic existence of a continuum of Pareto-ranked supply-constrained equilibria for a standard economy with some fixed prices. An intuitive explanation of that surprising result is this: if some prices are fixed and the remaining are flexible, the level of the latter prices relative to the former introduces a degree of freedom that accounts for the multiplicity of equilibria; globally, less rationing is associated with a higher price level; the multiplicity of equilibria thus formalises a trade-off between inflation and unemployment, comparable to a Phillips curve. In this analysis, the continuum is interpreted as reflecting co-ordination failures, not short-run price dynamics à la Phillips. The fact that price-wage rigidities can sustain co-ordination failures adds a new twist to explanations of involuntary unemployment. At the same time, multiple equilibria create problems for the definition of expectations, and introduce a new dimension of uncertainty. Increasing returns, externalities, and nonconvexities{{see also|Marginal cost|Economy of scale}}Starting with a paper in Econometrica by Dierker, Guesnerie and Neuefeind (1985), a theory of general equilibrium has developed for economies with non-convex production sets, where firms follow well-defined pricing rules. In particular, existence theorems of increasing generality cover (to some extent, because of various differences in assumptions) the case of Ramsey-Boiteux pricing. Those interested primarily in applications might express skepticism, perhaps even horrified skepticism, upon realizing that 90 pages of a serious economics journal---a 1988 issue of The Journal of Mathematical Economics---were devoted to existence proofs of equilibrium in non-convex economies, under alternative formulations of the assumption that marginal cost pricing entails bounded losses at normalized prices. Still, I think that economic research must cover the whole spectrum from concrete applications to that level of abstraction.[6] Incomplete markets and money{{Empty section|date=January 2011}}Theory of the firmFinance and the diversification of riskDrèze gave a public lecture on "Human Capital and Risk Bearing" (48). The innovative idea here is the transposition of the reasoning underlying the theory of "implicit labour contracts" to the understanding of wage rigidities and unemployment benefits. When markets are incomplete, so that workers cannot insure the risks associated with their future terms of employment, competitive clearing of spot labour markets is not second-best efficient: wage rigidities cum unemployment benefits offer scope for improvement. The lecture develops this theme informally. The conclusion, stated with specific reference to labour markets, has more general validity. It applies to any situation where the uninsurable uncertainty about future prices results in welfare costs. Even though price rigidities entail a loss of productive efficiency, this can be more than offset by a gain of efficiency in risk-sharing. What may be specific to the labour market is the realistic possibility of controlling (minimum) wages and organising unemployment compensation. The analysis implies that the claim that wage flexibility is efficient requires qualification. For "price-wage rigidities", the presence of rigidities receives an explanation in Section Seven of Drèze's lecture: Under incomplete markets, wage rigidities contribute to risk-sharing efficiency. The theme of the 1979 lecture (48) is taken up in several papers (91, 95, 101), exploring the definition and implementation of second-best wage rigidities. Since then, Jacques Drèze has examined ways of reconciling flexibility of labour costs to firms with risk-sharing efficiency of labour incomes, if needed through wage subsidies (119, 125, 131). Labor managed firms{{main|Labor managed firm#An economic model: The labor-managed firm}}Disequilibrium{{main|Microeconomic foundations of macroeconomics}}{{see also|Edmond Malinvaud}}Drèze has suggested that research needs both to search for "microeconomic foundations for macroeconomics" and to consider the "macroconomic consequences of microecononomics", and Drèze had contributed to the latter project of macroeconomic consequences of microeconomics TheoryIn the early seventies, motivated by the potential role of price rigidities for enhancing risk-sharing efficiency, Jacques Drèze undertook to define equilibria with price rigidities and quantity constraints and to study their properties in a general equilibrium context. His 1975 paper (36, circulated in 1971) introduces the so-called "Drèze equilibrium" at which supply (resp. demand) is constrained only when prices are downward (resp. upward) rigid, whereas a preselected commodity (e.g. money) is never rationed. Existence is proved for arbitrary bounds on prices, through an original approach repeatedly used ever since. That paper is a widely cited classic. It was followed by several others (51, 55, 63, 75), exploring properties of the new concept. Of particular significance to future developments is a joint paper with Pierre Dehez (55), which establishes the existence of Drèze equilibria with no rationing of the demand side. These are called "supply-constrained equilibria". They correspond to the empirically relevant macroeconomic situations. In the meantime, Jean-Pascal Bénassy (1975) and Yves Younès (1975) had approached the same problem from a macroeconomic angle, for the more restrictive case of fixed prices. There developed a lively interest in fixed price economies, and specifically in a three-good macroeconomic model, first formulated by Robert Barro and Herschel Grossman (1971) and then studied extensively by Edmond Malinvaud (1977). That model invited empirical estimation. The new statistical challenges posed by "disequilibrium econometrics" were attacked at CORE by two students of Jacques Drèze, namely Henri Sneessens (1981) and Jean-Paul Lambert (1988). Following a joint paper by Drèze and Sneessens (71), a major project (the European Unemployment Program) directed by Jacques Drèze and Richard Layard led to estimation of a common disequilibrium model in ten countries (B4, 93, 94). The results of that successful effort were to inspire policy recommendations in Europe for several years. The next steps in the theoretical research came with the work of John Roberts on supply-constrained equilibria at competitive prices, and then with the dissertation of Jean-Jacques Herings at Tilburg (1987, 1996). In both cases, there appear results on existence of a continuum of Drèze equilibria. Following these leads, Drèze (113) proved existence of equilibria with arbitrarily severe rationing of supply. Next, in a joint paper with Herings and others (132), the generic existence of a continuum of Pareto-ranked supply-constrained equilibria was established for a standard economy with some fixed prices. An intuitive explanation of that surprising result is this: if some prices are fixed and the remaining are flexible, the level of the latter prices relative to the former introduces a degree of freedom that accounts for the multiplicity of equilibria; globally, less rationing is associated with a higher price level; the multiplicity of equilibria thus formalises a trade-off between inflation and unemployment, comparable to a Phillips curve. Econometrics and the European Unemployment ProgrammeTwo young French economists, Jean-Pascal Bénassy (1975) and Yves Younès (1975), approached the same problem from a macroeconomic angle, for the more restrictive case of fixed prices. There developed a lively interest in fixed-price economies, and specifically in a three-good macroeconomic model, first formulated by Robert Barro and Herschel Grossman (1971) and then studied extensively by Edmond Malinvaud (1977). That model invited empirical estimation. The new statistical challenges posed by "disequilibrium econometrics" were attacked at CORE by two students of Jacques Drèze, namely Henri Sneessens (1981) and Jean-Paul Lambert (1988), whose dissertations were published and widely read. Drèze and Sneessens proposed and estimated a disequilibrium model of Belgium's open economy (71). This model became the prototypical model estimated by the European Unemployment Programme, which under the guidance of Drèze and Richard Layard developed similar models for ten countries (B4, 93, 94). The results of that successful effort were to inspire policy recommendations in Europe for several years.[5] Economic policy{{see also|Unemployment|New Keynesian|Edmond Malinvaud|Richard Layard}}Following the emergence of European unemployment in the 1970s, Jacques Drèze worked with Franco Modigliani on macroeconomic policies. There resulted a paper (56), which contains some methodological innovations (an early formulation of the "union-wage model", and Bayesian synthesis of classical estimates from several models). It also contains an innovative discussion of work sharing, a topic to which Drèze returned in (73). In the 1980s and early 1990s, Drèze wrote about the policy front, campaigning for two-sided policies of demand stimulation and supply-side restructuring (100). With Edmond Malinvaud, Drèze organized a group of thirteen Belgian and French economists who wrote "Growth and employment: the scope for a European initiative" (103, 104): This position paper advocated an ambitious program of public investments coupled with elimination of social security contributions by employees on minimum wages. That paper has influenced the programs of reduced contributions on low wages introduced recently in several countries, especially France and Belgium. The logic of these two-handed policies stands out more sharply in the light of the work on co-ordination failures (124, section 6). These failures are more naturally remedied through demand stimulation. But the failures are apt to be recurrent, so that deficit spending could lead to continued growth of the public debt. Accordingly, demand stimulation should take the form of socially profitable investments, with returns covering the debt service. Substituting profitable investments and variable social security contributions for deficit spending and straight wage rigidities, the proposed two-handed policies differ from either orthodox Keynesianism or New Keynesian policies. Public economics{{see also|Public economics|Jean-Jacques Laffont|Anthony Barnes Atkinson|Joseph Stiglitz}}I am impressed by the depth and breadth of knowledge that a serious public economist dreams of commanding. The methodological spectrum includes at one end practical and institutional aspects of public utility pricing, taxation or health care provision, which give the field its substantive content. The real problems encountered in these and many other areas offer scope for the general equilibrium mathematical analysis of second-best policies. At the far end of the spectrum is abstract modelling of economies with non-convex technologies or uncertainty and incomplete markets. Confronted by this spectrum, duly illustrated here, I feel neither despairing nor resigned to narrow specialization, but probably over-extended.[6] Bayesian econometrics of simultaneous equations{{see also|Bayesian statistics|Simultaneous equation methods (econometrics)|Structural equation modeling|Arnold Zellner}}One important by-product of the theory of rational decisions under uncertainty has been the emergence of the Bayesian approach to statistics, which views problems of statistical decision as no different from other decision problems, and problems of statistical inference as concerned with the revision of subjective probabilities on the basis of observations. Bayesian analysis of structural econometric models raises specific difficulties, linked to the so-called "identification problem", readily illustrated by a single market: we observe prices and quantities at the intersection of supply and demand, whereas we wish to estimate the demand and supply curves. The development of suitable Bayesian methods for this problem followed circulation in 1962 of a Discussion Paper by Jacques Drèze, fully developed in several subsequent papers (34, 39, 41, 61). The "Drèze Prior" is introduced in (39). LeadershipJacques Drèze has been involved in helping to found several institutions that have strengthened economic research in Europe, notably the Center for Operations Research and Econometrics (CORE), the European Doctoral Program in Quantitative Economics (EDP) and the European Economic Association (EEA). CORECORE was created in 1966, and rapidly grew into a leading research centre of international significance. Jacques Drèze was the instigator, the organiser, the first Director and a long-time President of CORE. His outside connections were critical in gathering outside support and in attracting foreign members or visitors. As expressed by Robert Aumann, CORE is "a unique breeding ground; a place where cross-fertilisation leads to the conception of new ideas, as well as a womb – a warm, supportive environment in which these ideas can grow and mature". The research output at CORE since 1966 consists to date of some 110 books, 125 doctoral dissertations, 1700 published articles; Discussion Papers now average 85 per year. Also, CORE has served as a model, emulated in other European countries, often at the hands of former CORE members or visitors: Bonn, for GREQAM in Marseille, CentER at Tilburg or Delta in Paris. Doctoral study and the European Doctoral Program in Quantitative EconomicsIt is also at CORE, and again at the initiative of Jacques Drèze, that EDP was conceived in 1975. Two ideas came together:
These ideas were realised under EDP, where several universities organise a joint doctoral program, with all students attending at least two institutions and having access to supervisors from both. Some 120 students have graduated under this program, which again has been emulated by others in Europe. European Economic Association{{main|European Economic Association}}In 1985 the EEA was conceived by Jean Gabszewicz and Jacques Thisse, both of CORE. The first secretary was CORE's Louis Phlips and Jacques Drèze was the first President. Today the EEA sponsors the Journal of the European Economic Association (JEEA), holds annual meetings, and organizes summer schools for young researchers. Personal biography{{see also|Jean Drèze}}Born in Verviers (Belgium) in 1929, Jacques Drèze did undergraduate economics at the nearby Université de Liège, and then a Ph.D. at Columbia University, with a thesis on "Individual Decision Making under Partially Controllable Uncertainty" supervised by William Vickrey. After a first academic job at Carnegie Mellon University in Pittsburgh, he joined Université Catholique de Louvain in 1958, and has been there ever since—apart from visiting appointments at Northwestern University, the University of Chicago, and Cornell University—until his retirement from teaching and administration in 1989. Since his nominal retirement, he remains active in research. In 1980 he became Foreign Member of the Royal Netherlands Academy of Arts and Sciences.[7] Jacques Drèze has five sons,[8] including the economist and anti-hunger activist Jean Drèze, who has collaborated on three books with Amartya K. Sen. His first son, Benoît Drèze is a Belgian politician. Another son, Xavier Drèze, was a marketing professor at UCLA. Notes1. ^From uncertainty to macroeconomics and back: An interview with Jacques Drèze, by Omar Licandro and Pierre Dehez 2. ^{{Cite web | url=https://www.britac.ac.uk/users/professor-jacques-dreze | title=Professor Jacques Dreze}} 3. ^*JHD. "(Uncertainty and) The Firm in General Equilibrium Theory". The Economic Journal, Vol. 95, Supplement: Conference Papers (1985), pp. 1-20. 4. ^ John Roberts, "Equilibrium without Market Clearing", page 147, in Cornet and Tulkens. 5. ^1 Dehez 2006. 6. ^1 {{cite news|first=Jacques H.|last=Dréze||year=1995|title=Forty years of public economics: A personal perspective|journal=Journal of Economic Perspectives|volume=9|number=2|pages=111–130}} 7. ^{{cite web|author= |url=https://www.knaw.nl/en/members/foreign-members/4052 |title=Jacques Drèze |publisher=Royal Netherlands Academy of Arts and Sciences |date= |accessdate=17 July 2015}} 8. ^Five sons are listed in the dedication to *JHD. 1989. Labour Management, Contracts and Capital Markets: A General Equilibrium Approach. [1983 Yrjö Jahnsson Lectures]. Basil Blackwell BibliographyBooks by Jacques DrèzeThese enumerated citations and comments were based on the curriculum vitae of Jacques Drèze (2009-03-06):
Selected articles by Jacques DrèzeThese enumerated citations and comments come from the curriculum vitae of Jacques Drèze (2009-03-06):
Vision and projects
Unemployment
Dissertations of Ph.D. students
Economic policy, especially for Europe
Theory of the firm, especially labor in the firm
Public economics
Planning and regional economics
Statistics and Bayesian econometrics: Simultaneous equations and the Louvain School
Colleagues
CORE
References
24 : Members of the United States National Academy of Sciences|Fellows of the American Academy of Arts and Sciences|Corresponding Fellows of the British Academy|Members of the Royal Netherlands Academy of Arts and Sciences|Fellows of the Econometric Society|General equilibrium theorists|Public economists|New Keynesian economists|Macroeconomists|Financial economists|Econometricians|Belgian operations researchers|Columbia University alumni|University of Liège alumni|Belgian statisticians|Belgian economists|Belgian academics|People from Verviers|Walloon people|Living people|Presidents of the Econometric Society|Bayesian statisticians|1929 births|Bayesian econometricians |
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