| 词条 | Morgan Kelly (economist) |
| 释义 |
| name = Morgan Kelly | image = | alt = | caption = | birth_name = | birth_date = | birth_place = | monuments = | residence = | nationality = | other_names = | citizenship = | education = | alma_mater = Trinity College, Dublin, Yale University | occupation = Academic | employer = University College Dublin (UCD) | organization = | known_for = Predicting the end of the Irish property bubble | notable_works = | style = | influences = | influenced = | home_town = | awards = | signature = | signature_alt = | signature_size= | website = | footnotes = | box_width = }} Morgan Kelly is Professor of Economics at University College Dublin (UCD). Described by The Irish Times as the country's official soothsayer,[1] Kelly has notably predicted the bursting of the Irish property bubble. BackgroundKelly studied at Trinity College, Dublin and Yale University in the United States. He was Assistant Professor at Cornell University, College Lecturer at UCD and is now Professor at UCD. He has refereed numerous international economic journals.[2] Predictions{{main|Irish property bubble}}Kelly predicted in 2006 that property prices were going to crash by 50% based on empirical evidence of past property crashes. Kelly has garnered praise from fellow economists for his prediction of the collapse of the property market.[3] In July 2007, Taoiseach Bertie Ahern implicitly criticised Kelly for his articles predicting a property crash: Sitting on the sidelines, cribbing and moaning is a lost opportunity. I don't know how people who engage in that don't commit suicide because frankly the only thing that motivates me is being able to actively change something.[4] Ahern subsequently apologised for the reference to suicide in his remark.[5][6] Kelly takes the view that the Irish state should not have put itself forward as guarantor for the Irish banks in September 2008.[7] As of May 2011, Kelly suggests that bankruptcy for the state of Ireland is a possibility.[8] References1. ^{{cite news|url=http://www.irishtimes.com/newspaper/finance/2010/1231/1224286534463.html|title=A handful of winners and a lot of losers populated Ireland's bleak landscape this year|newspaper=The Irish Times|publisher=Irish Times Trust}} 2. ^{{cite web|url=http://www.ucd.ie/economics/staff/profmorgankelly/|title=UCD School of Economics|work=University College Dublin}} 3. ^{{cite news|first=Morgan|last=Kelly|url=http://www.irishtimes.com/business/how-the-housing-corner-stones-of-our-economy-could-gointo-a-rapid-freefall-1.1042463|title=How the housing corner stones of our economy could go into a rapid freefall|newspaper=The Irish Times|date=28 December 2006|accessdate=21 April 2015}} 4. ^{{cite news|first=Peter|last=McDermott|url=http://irishecho.com/?p=22147|location=New York|oclc=4988765|title=Less dogma, more dialogue needed in economics|newspaper=The Irish Echo|date=14 December 2010}} 5. ^Freefall, RTÉ Television. Broadcast September 2010. 6. ^{{cite news|first=Claire|last=Murphy|url=http://www.herald.ie/national-news/bertie-blames-banks-for-all-our-cash-woes-2314206.html|title=Bertie blames banks for all our cash woes|newspaper=Evening Herald|publisher=herald.ie|date=27 August 2010|accessdate=27 August 2010}}) 7. ^{{cite news|first=Morgan|last=Kelly|url=http://www.irishtimes.com/newspaper/opinion/2010/1108/1224282865400.html|title=Op-Ed piece|newspaper=The Irish Times|publisher=Irish Times Trust|date=10 November 2010|accessdate=10 November 2010}} 8. ^{{cite news|first=Morgan|last=Kelly|url=http://www.irishtimes.com/newspaper/opinion/2011/0507/1224296372123_pf.html|title=Op-Ed piece|newspaper=The Irish Times|publisher=Irish Times Trust|date=14 May 2011|accessdate=14 May 2011}} External links
10 : Year of birth missing (living people)|Living people|Post-2008 Irish economic downturn|Academics of University College Dublin|Alumni of Trinity College Dublin|Cornell University faculty|Irish columnists|Irish economists|The Irish Times people|Yale University alumni |
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