请输入您要查询的百科知识：

　

词条 Web Bot
释义

  1. Methodology

  2. Predictions

     Claimed hits  Misses 

  3. Reception

  4. See also

  5. References

  6. External links

{{about|the prediction software|internet-based programs|Internet bot}}{{Use dmy dates|date=January 2012}}

Web Bot is an internet bot computer program whose developers claim is able to predict future events by tracking keywords entered on the internet. It was developed in 1997, originally to predict stock market trends.[1] The creator of the Web Bot Project, Clif High, along with his associate George Ure, keep the technology and algorithms largely secret and sell the predictions via the website.

Methodology

Internet bots monitor news articles, blogs, forums, and other forms of Internet chatter. Words in the lexicon are assigned numeric values for emotional quantifiers such as duration, impact, immediacy, intensity, and others. The lexicon is dynamic, and changes according to shifts in emotional tension, and how humans communicate those changes using the Internet. As of 2008, there were about 300,000 keywords in the lexicon, along with emotional context,[2] which are fed into a computer-generated modelspace.

The operators of Web Bot interpret the bot's results and make a report called the "ALTA report" available on their website to paying subscribers. ALTA stands for "asymmetric language trend analysis".[3] Many believe the predictions are pseudoscientific and too vague to be meaningful.[4] Despite this, the creators have made many claims after the fact that their reports have predicted important events.

Predictions

Claimed hits

  • Northeast Blackout of 2003[5]
  • 2004 Indian Ocean earthquake[5][6]
  • Hurricane Katrina and its devastation[5][7]

Misses

  • The Web Bot gained most of its notoriety for contributing to the 2012 phenomenon by predicting a cataclysm that would devastate the planet on 21 December 2012, possibly a reversing of Earth's magnetic poles or a small series of nuclear attacks leading up to a major attack during the year. The prediction did not call for a complete end of the world.[8][9][10]
  • Web Bot predicted that a massive earthquake would occur in December 2008 in Vancouver, British Columbia, Canada and the Pacific Northwest, but no such event happened.[11]
  • A prediction that the US dollar would completely collapse in 2011, and that Israel would bomb Iran, with the administration of U.S. President Barack Obama being thrown into major chaos.[12]

Reception

The History Channel has discussed Web Bot in its special Doomsday 2012 and on other shows that feature predictions about the end of the world, such as the Nostradamus Effect.[13] A The Globe and Mail journalist noted that {{quote|"What interests me more than the bot's accuracy (of which I'm skeptical), is the relentless negativity of its projections. According to the bot, the future is always bleak and steadily worsening."[11]}} Tom Chivers in the Daily Telegraph notes three criticisms of the project: {{quote|"the internet might plausibly reveal group knowledge about the stock market or, conceivably, terror attacks [but] it would be no more capable of predicting a natural disaster than would a Google search, ... the predictions are so vague as to be meaningless, [and] the prophecies become self-distorting."[1]}}

See also

  • Global Consciousness Project
  • Google Flu Trends
  • Google Trends
  • Predictive analytics

References

1. ^1 {{cite news|url=https://www.telegraph.co.uk/technology/news/6227357/Web-bot-project-makes-prophecy-of-2012-apocalypse.html|title='Web-bot project' makes prophecy of 2012 apocalypse|last=Chivers|first=Tom|date=24 September 2009|work=The Daily Telegraph |location=London |accessdate=4 October 2009 }}
2. ^{{cite news|url=http://www.jpost.com/HealthAndSci-Tech/InternetAndTechnology/Article.aspx?id=125783|title=Digital World: I have seen the future, and it's on the Web|last=Shamah|first=David|date=23 December 2008|work=The Jerusalem Post|accessdate=4 October 2009}}
3. ^{{cite web |url=http://www.halfpasthuman.com/altaprocess.html |title=ALTA Process |author= |date=8 May 2011 |website=Half Past Human: Adventures in Future Viewing |publisher= |accessdate=10 April 2016 |quote=}}
4. ^{{cite web|url=http://www.dailycommonsense.com/web-bot-what-is-it-can-it-predict-stuff/ |title=Web Bot, What is it? Can it Predict Stuff? |publisher=Daily Common Sense |deadurl=yes |archiveurl=https://web.archive.org/web/20091012193312/http://www.dailycommonsense.com/web-bot-what-is-it-can-it-predict-stuff/ |archivedate=12 October 2009 }}
5. ^1 2 {{cite news|url=https://www.thestar.com/entertainment/Television/article/414923|title=Decoding the End of Days|work=Toronto Star|accessdate=25 October 2009 | first=Vinay | last=Menon | date=16 April 2008}}
6. ^{{cite web|url=http://www.newkerala.com/nkfullnews-1-118770.html |title=World's expiry date: 21 December 2012? |publisher=NewKerala.com |accessdate=3 October 2009 |deadurl=yes |archiveurl=https://web.archive.org/web/20090928052351/http://www.newkerala.com/nkfullnews-1-118770.html |archivedate=28 September 2009 }}
7. ^{{cite web|url=http://www.ethiopianreview.com/scitech/12308 |title='Web-bot project' makes prophecy of 2012 apocalypse |publisher=Ethiopian Review |accessdate=4 October 2009 |deadurl=yes |archiveurl=https://web.archive.org/web/20091119080609/http://www.ethiopianreview.com/scitech/12308 |archivedate=19 November 2009 }}
8. ^{{cite web|url=http://www.expressindia.com/latest-news/Worlds-expiry-date-21-December-2012/521526/ |title=World's expiry date: 21 December 2012? |publisher=ExpressIndia |accessdate=3 October 2009 |deadurl=yes |archiveurl=https://web.archive.org/web/20100329041221/http://www.expressindia.com/latest-news/Worlds-expiry-date-21-December-2012/521526/ |archivedate=29 March 2010 }}
9. ^{{cite web|url=http://www.theepochtimes.com/n2/content/view/24061/|title= 2012 Disaster Film Director Admits he Scared Himself |publisher=The Epoch Times|accessdate=25 October 2009}}
10. ^{{cite web|url=http://www.eldia.com.ar/edis/20080427/revistadomingo15.htm|title=El Nostradamus virtual (in Spanish)|publisher=El Día|accessdate=25 October 2009}}
11. ^1 {{cite news|url=https://www.theglobeandmail.com/life/article651047.ece |title=Vanwaterworld? Hold the Armageddon talk |last=Taylor |first=Timothy |date=January 2009 |work=The Globe and Mail |location=Canada |accessdate=4 October 2009 |deadurl=yes |archiveurl=https://web.archive.org/web/20100329060911/http://www.theglobeandmail.com/life/article651047.ece |archivedate=29 March 2010 }}
12. ^{{cite web|url=http://seekingalpha.com/article/167241-the-market-s-current-psychological-map|title=The Market's Current Psychological Map|publisher=Seeking Alpha|accessdate=25 October 2009}}
13. ^{{cite web|url=http://www.history.com/shows.do?action=detail&episodeId=396904 |title=History TV Shows |publisher=History.com |accessdate=4 January 2012}}{{Failed verification|date=August 2015|reason=Doomsday 2012 isn't listed anymore. Probably not on the network anymore.}}

External links

  • Half Past Human, official website of the Web Bot reports
{{Authority control}}

4 : 1997 software|Prediction|Pseudoscience|Web crawlers
随便看

　

开放百科全书收录14589846条英语、德语、日语等多语种百科知识，基本涵盖了大多数领域的百科知识，是一部内容自由、开放的电子版国际百科全书。

　

Copyright © 2023 OENC.NET All Rights Reserved
京ICP备2021023879号 更新时间：2024/9/22 10:38:35