“WOBA”的意思、由来-开放百科全书

In baseball, wOBA (/wʌ-bɑː/, or weighted on-base average)^[1] is a statistic, based on linear weights,^[2] designed to measure a player's overall offensive contributions per plate appearance. It is formed from taking the observed run values of various offensive events, dividing by a player's plate appearances, and scaling the result to be on the same scale as on-base percentage. Unlike statistics like OPS, wOBA attempts to assign the proper value for each type of hitting event. It was created by Tom Tango and his coauthors for The Book: Playing the Percentages in Baseball.^[3]

Usage

In 2008, sabermetrics website FanGraphs began listing the current and historical wOBA for all players in Major League Baseball.^[4] It forms the basis of the offensive component of their Wins above replacement (WAR) metric. Sites such as The Hardball Times have studied wOBA and found it to perform comparably to or better than other similar tools (OPS, Runs created, etc.) used in sabermetrics to estimate runs.^[5]^[6] The Book uses wOBA in numerous studies to test the validity of many aspects of baseball conventional wisdom.

The benefit of wOBA compared to other offensive value statistics is that it values {{em|how}} the runner reached base, not just {{em|if}} they reached base.^[7] Events like Home Runs, walks, singles, etc. are given their own weight (or coefficient) within the linear formula. The coefficients change each year^[8], and are based on how often the specific event occurs in Major League Baseball over the course of a season.

Mathematically, we can use wOBA to infer a few more things about a player's production and baseball as a whole. When using the formula (shown below), the numerator side on its own will give us a prediction of how many runs a player is worth to his team.^[9]

Current Formula

Scale

There is no widely agreed upon scale for wOBA. This table serves as an aggregate summary of other wOBA scales available online.^[10]^[11]

Original Formula

Citations

1. ^{{Cite web|url=https://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/the-language-of-fangraphs/|title=The Language Of Fangraphs {{!}} FanGraphs Baseball|access-date=2018-12-07}}
2. ^{{cite web|url=https://www.fangraphs.com/library/principles/linear-weights/|title=Linear Weights - FanGraphs Sabermetrics Library|website=www.fangraphs.com}}
3. ^{{cite web|url=http://www.insidethebook.com/woba.shtml|title=wOBA - Weighted On Base Average|website=www.insidethebook.com}}
4. ^{{cite web|url=http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/index.php/the-joy-of-woba/|title=The Joy of wOBA - FanGraphs Baseball|website=www.fangraphs.com}}
5. ^{{cite web|url=https://www.fangraphs.com/tht/the-great-run-estimator-shootout-part-1/|title=The great run estimator shootout (part 1) - The Hardball Times|website=www.fangraphs.com}}
6. ^{{cite web|url=https://www.fangraphs.com/tht/the-great-run-estimator-shootout-part-2/|title=The great run estimator shootout (part 2) - The Hardball Times|website=www.fangraphs.com}}
7. ^{{Cite web|url=http://m.mlb.com/glossary/advanced-stats/weighted-on-base-average|title=What is a Weighted On-base Average (wOBA)? {{!}} Glossary|website=Major League Baseball|language=en-US|access-date=2018-11-09}}
8. ^¹{{Cite web|url=https://www.fangraphs.com/guts.aspx?type=cn|title=Guts! {{!}} FanGraphs Baseball|access-date=2018-11-09}}
9. ^{{Cite web|url=https://www.fangraphs.com/library/offense/woba/|title=wOBA {{!}} FanGraphs Sabermetrics Library|website=www.fangraphs.com|access-date=2018-11-09}}
10. ^¹{{Cite web|url=https://www.blessyouboys.com/2010/1/19/1258772/saber-101-weighted-on-base-average|title=Saber 101: Weighted On-Base Average (wOBA)|last=Rogers|first=Mike|date=2010-01-19|website=Bless You Boys|access-date=2018-12-07}}
11. ^{{Cite web|url=https://www.fangraphs.com/library/the-beginners-guide-to-deriving-woba/|title=The Beginner’s Guide To Deriving wOBA {{!}} FanGraphs Sabermetrics Library|access-date=2018-12-07}}

Usage

Current Formula

Scale

Original Formula

Citations

References