词条 | 2014 Fisher state by-election | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
释义 |
A by-election for the seat of Fisher in the South Australian House of Assembly was held on 6 December 2014. The by-election was triggered by the death of independent MP Bob Such on 11 October 2014. Originally elected to Fisher for the Liberal Party of Australia at the 1989 election, defeating the one-term Australian Labor Party MP Philip Tyler, Such left the party in 2000.[1][2] Though the Liberals were favourites to win the traditionally Liberal seat,[3] Labor's Nat Cook won the by-election by five votes, a 50.02 percent two-party-preferred vote from a 7.27-point swing away from the Liberals, resulting in a change from minority to majority government.[4][5][6] Despite this, the Jay Weatherill Labor government kept crossbench MPs Geoff Brock and Martin Hamilton-Smith in cabinet, giving the government a 26 to 21 parliamentary majority.[4] ABC psephologist Antony Green described the by-election as a "very poor result for the Liberal Party in South Australia both state and federally", and that a fourth term government gaining a seat at a by-election was unprecedented in Australian history.[7] Much of the anti-Liberal swing was attributed to the unpopularity of then Prime Minister Tony Abbott, and additionally, the remark from then Defence Minister David Johnston several days before the Fisher by-election, where he stated he wouldn't trust South Australia's Australian Submarine Corporation to "build a canoe".[8][9][10][11]Dates
Candidates
Two-party-preferred history{{main|Electoral results for the district of Fisher}}The two-party-preferred vote in Fisher while Such was an independent:[6]
PollingOne opinion poll was conducted and released by the in-house polling group at The Advertiser, Adelaide's main newspaper. Between one and two weeks prior to the by-election, 400 voters were polled in the seat. Voters were randomly selected at the sole pre-poll booth at Happy Valley Shopping Centre, as well as at Aberfoyle Hub. Primary votes saw 34.25 (−0.85) percent to Liberal, 30 percent to Woodyatt, 20.5 (+2.8) percent to Labor, with a collective 15 percent for the remaining five candidates. The Advertiser claimed that a Liberal primary vote below 40 percent and the high vote for Woodyatt with Labor remaining in third place, preferences could have seen Fisher retained by an independent, Woodyatt.[13] South Australian Newspoll at the time of the by-election recorded a statewide six percent two-party swing from Liberal to Labor. Result{{Election box begin ||title=Fisher state by-election, 6 December 2014[14][15][16][17] }}{{Election box candidate AU party| |candidate = Heidi Harris |party = Liberal SA |votes = 7,413 |percentage = 36.1 |change = +1.0 }}{{Election box candidate AU party| |candidate = Nat Cook |party = Labor SA |votes = 5,495 |percentage = 26.7 |change = +9.0 }}{{Election box candidate minor party| |candidate = Dan Woodyatt |color = #888888 |party = Independent Continue Such's Legacy |votes = 4,789 |percentage = 23.3 |change = +23.3 }}{{Election box candidate minor party| |candidate = Dan Golding |color = #888888 |party = Independent Honest True Local |votes = 880 |percentage = 4.3 |change = +4.3 }}{{Election box candidate minor party| |candidate = Rob de Jonge |color = #888888 |party = Independent Leading the Community |votes = 809 |percentage = 3.9 |change = +3.9 }}{{Election box candidate AU party| |candidate = Malwina Wyra |party = SA Greens |votes = 708 |percentage = 3.4 |change = −1.3 }}{{Election box candidate AU party| |candidate = Bob Couch |party = Stop Population Growth Now |votes = 270 |percentage = 1.3 |change = +1.3 }}{{Election box candidate minor party| |candidate = Jeanie Walker |color = #888888 |party = Independent Australian Democrats |votes = 195 |percentage = 0.9 |change = +0.9 }}{{Election box formal| |votes = 20,559 |percentage = 96.1 |change = −1.5 }}{{Election box informal| |votes = 841 |percentage = 3.9 |change = +1.5 }}{{Election box turnout| |votes = 21,400 |percentage = 82.9 |change = −10.5 }}{{Election box 2pp}}{{Election box candidate AU party| |party = Labor SA |candidate = Nat Cook |votes = 10,284 |percentage = 50.02 |change = +7.27 }}{{Election box candidate AU party| |party = Liberal SA |candidate = Heidi Harris |votes = 10,275 |percentage = 49.98 |change = −7.27 }}{{Election box gain AU party| |winner = Labor SA |loser = Independent |swing = +7.27 }}{{Election box end}}{{Election box begin | |title=Distribution of Preferences - 6th count }}{{Election box candidate AU party| |candidate = Heidi Harris |party = Liberal SA |votes = 8,128 |percentage = 39.5 |change = }}{{Election box candidate AU party| |candidate = Nat Cook |party = Labor SA |votes = 6,325 |percentage = 30.8 |change = }}{{Election box candidate AU party| |candidate = Dan Woodyatt |party = Independent |votes = 6,106 |percentage = 29.7 |change = }}{{Election box end}} Though the Liberals were favourites to win the traditionally Liberal seat,[3] Labor's Nat Cook won the by-election by five votes with Woodyatt preferences, a 50.02 percent two-party-preferred vote from a 7.27 percent swing away from the Liberals, resulting in a change from minority to majority government. Despite this, the Jay Weatherill Labor government kept crossbench MPs Geoff Brock and Martin Hamilton-Smith in cabinet, giving the government a 26 to 21 parliamentary majority. The Liberals were successful in requesting a re-count which occurred on 15 December.[4][5][6][18][19] Labor achieved majority government at a state level one week prior at the 2014 Victorian election. ABC psephologist Antony Green described the by-election as a "very poor result for the Liberal Party in South Australia both state and federally", and that a fourth term government gaining a seat at a by-election was unprecedented in Australian history.[7] Much of the anti-Liberal swing was attributed to the unpopularity of then Prime Minister Tony Abbott, and additionally, the remark from then Defence Minister David Johnston several days before the by-election, where he stated he wouldn't trust South Australia's Australian Submarine Corporation to "build a canoe".[8][9][10][11]Former Liberal leader Iain Evans in Davenport resigned from parliament on 30 October 2014 which triggered a 2015 Davenport by-election for 31 January.[20][21][22][23] Just a couple of days before the Davenport by-election, Abbott's infamous knighting of Prince Philip occurred.[24][25] Liberal Sam Duluk won the seat despite a five percent two-party swing, turning the historically safe seat of Davenport in to a two-party marginal seat for the first time.[26] ABC psephologist Antony Green described it as "another poor result for the South Australian Liberal Party".[27] See also
References1. ^{{cite news|last1=Wills|first1=Daniel|title=Voters to go to the polls in Bob Such's seat of Fisher on December 6 as Liberal Iain Evans also retires and triggers Davenport by-election|url=http://www.couriermail.com.au/news/national/voters-to-go-to-the-polls-in-bob-suchs-seat-of-fisher-on-december-6-as-liberal-iain-evans-also-retires-and-triggers-davenport-byelection/story-fnii5yv5-1227096128690|accessdate=20 October 2014|work=The Courier-Mail|date=20 October 2014}} 2. ^{{cite news|title=South Australia set for two by-elections, in Fisher and Davenport state electorates|url=http://www.abc.net.au/news/2014-10-20/two-sa-by-elections-fisher-davenport-sam-duluk-iain-evans-such/5827412|accessdate=20 October 2014|work=ABC News|publisher=Australian Broadcasting Corporation|date=20 October 2014}} 3. ^1 By-election for Bob Such's seat of Fisher expected to put pressure on Weatherill Government: ABC 13 October 2014 4. ^1 2 Fisher by-election win for Labor gives Weatherill Government majority in SA: ABC 13 December 2014 5. ^1 Labor claims victory in Fisher by-election: The Advertiser 13 December 2014 6. ^1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 2014 Fisher By-election: Antony Green ABC 7. ^1 Likely Shock Labor By-Election Win in SA: The Conversation 4 December 2014 8. ^1 Defence Minister says he 'wouldn't trust' Australian Submarine Corporation to build a canoe: ABC 25 November 2014 9. ^1 Is Tony Abbott the hazard for Liberals in Fisher by-election?: The Advertiser 30 November 2014 10. ^1 Abbott government forced into sub-mission after shock loss in South Australia: Sydney Morning Herald 9 December 2014 11. ^1 Federal Libs blamed for big swing to Labor in SA: The New Daily 8 December 2014 12. ^[https://indaily.com.au/news/2019/01/24/cakewalk-for-labor-in-jays-old-haunt/ Cakewalk for Labor in Jay's old haunt: InDaily 24 January 2019] 13. ^1 Polling gives independent candidate Dan Woodyatt strong position in Fisher by-election: The Advertiser 1 December 2014 14. ^Results, 2014 Fisher by-election: Antony Green ABC 15. ^Results, 2014 Fisher by-election: ECSA 16. ^Polling booth results, 2014 Fisher by-election: ECSA 17. ^Final results, 2014 Fisher by-election: ECSA {{webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20141213032713/http://www.ecsa.sa.gov.au/elections/2014-by-election-of-fisher/final-results |date=2014-12-13 }} 18. ^Commentary, 2014 Fisher by-election: Antony Green ABC 19. ^Fisher by-election live: The Poll Bludger 20. ^Iain Evans to quit, Senior Liberal will retire from SA politics and force by-election: ABC 6 June 2014 21. ^Speaker Michael Atkinson defends decision to separate two SA by-elections: ABC 21 October 2014 22. ^Departing SA Liberal Iain Evans takes final swipe at parliamentary colleagues: ABC 30 October 2014 23. ^Davenport by-election date in South Australia set for January 31: ABC 13 November 2014 24. ^Davenport by-election: Tony Abbott's decision to knight Prince Phillip could affect voters: ABC 29 January 2015 25. ^Large swing to Labor at SA by-election another warning to PM Abbott: Nine News 2 February 2015 26. ^Liberals withstand swing to win by-election in South Australian seat of Davenport: ABC 31 January 2015 27. ^2015 Davenport by-election commentary: Antony Green ABC External links
3 : 2014 elections in Australia|South Australian state by-elections|2010s in South Australia |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
随便看 |
|
开放百科全书收录14589846条英语、德语、日语等多语种百科知识,基本涵盖了大多数领域的百科知识,是一部内容自由、开放的电子版国际百科全书。