| 词条 | 2014 Griffith by-election | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 释义 |
| election_name = Griffith by-election, 2014 | country = Australia | type = Parliamentary | ongoing = no | previous_election = Australian federal election, 2013 | previous_year = 2013 | election_date = {{Start date|2014|2|8|df=y}} | next_election = Australian federal election, 2016 | next_year = 2016 | turnout = 82.03% {{decrease}} 11.11 | registered = | seats_for_election = The Griffith seat in the House of Representatives | candidate1 = Terri Butler | image1 = | party1 = Australian Labor Party | popular_vote1 = 30,023 | percentage1 = 38.63% | swing1 = {{decrease}}1.73 | candidate2 = Bill Glasson | image2 = | party2 = Liberal National Party of Queensland | popular_vote2 = 34,491 | percentage2 = 44.38% | swing2 = {{increase}}2.16 | 1blank = TPP | 1data1 = 51.76% | 1data2 = 48.24% | 2blank = TPP swing | 2data1 = {{decrease}}1.25 | 2data2 = {{increase}}1.25 | map_image = File:Division of Griffith 2010.png | map_size = | map_caption = The Division of Griffith covered inner southern Brisbane suburbs. | title = MP | before_election = Kevin Rudd | before_party = Labor | after_election = Terri Butler | after_party = Labor }} A by-election for the Australian House of Representatives seat of Griffith occurred on Saturday 8 February 2014. Terri Butler retained the seat for Labor with a 51.8 (−1.2) percent two-party vote against Liberal National Party candidate Bill Glasson.[1] BackgroundFormer Prime Minister Kevin Rudd announced on 13 November 2013 that he would step down from the parliament after his party's defeat at the 2013 election. The division of Griffith is located in the inner suburbs of Queensland's capital city, Brisbane. Since the seat's creation in 1934, Griffith has changed parties eight times. Labor's Kevin Rudd had held the seat since regaining it for Labor in 1998, having previously unsuccessfully contested the seat in 1996. Rudd retained Griffith at the 2013 election with 53 percent of the two-party-preferred vote from primary votes of Liberal 42.2 percent, Labor 40.4 percent, Greens 10.2 percent, Palmer 3.4 percent, with the remaining seven candidates on a collective 3.8 percent. Rudd's support was highest in Griffith at the 2007 election with 62.3 percent of the two-party vote when he led Labor to government. At the 2010 election he retained his seat with 58.5 percent of the two-party vote. The tender of the resignation to the Speaker took place on 22 November 2013.[2] The writ for the election was issued on 6 January 2014.[3] Electoral rolls closed 8pm 13 January 2014, candidate nominations closed midday 16 January 2014, with declaration of candidate nominations and ballot order draw occurring midday 17 January 2014. The by-election occurred between 8am and 6pm on 8 February 2014.[4] It was the first by-election for the House of Representatives since the Bradfield and Higgins by-elections in December 2009, the second longest interval between by-elections. CandidatesThe 11 candidate nominations in ballot paper order were:[1][5]
The Palmer United Party, Rise Up Australia Party and Socialist Alliance did not re-contest Griffith at the by-election.[10] Betting/pollingUpon the 6 January announcement of the by-election date, odds from Sportingbet favoured Labor at $1.18 against $4.25 for the LNP.[15] Queensland federal statewide Newspoll conducted from October to December 2013 indicated a three percent two-party swing from the LNP to Labor since the 2013 election,[16] while Nielsen conducted in November 2013 indicated a 12 percent two-party swing from the LNP to Labor.[17][18] The last and only time a federal government won a by-election from an opposition was at the 1920 Kalgoorlie by-election. Political analysts predicted that Labor would retain Griffith.[19][20] Two-party-preferred history{{main|Electoral results for the Division of Griffith}}
Result{{Election box begin ||title=Griffith by-election, 2014: Griffith[21] }}{{Election box candidate AU party| |candidate = Bill Glasson |party = Liberal National |votes = 34,491 |percentage = 44.38 |change = +2.16 }}{{Election box candidate AU party| |candidate = Terri Butler |party = Labor |votes = 30,023 |percentage = 38.63 |change = −1.73 }}{{Election box candidate AU party| |candidate = Geoff Ebbs |party = Greens |votes = 7,635 |percentage = 9.82 |change = −0.36 }}{{Election box candidate AU party| |candidate = Melanie Thomas |party = Pirate |votes = 1,172 |percentage = 1.51 |change = +1.51 }}{{Election box candidate AU party| |candidate = Ray Sawyer |party = Katter's Australian Party |votes = 821 |percentage = 1.06 |change = +0.37 }}{{Election box candidate AU party| |candidate = Christopher Williams |party = Family First |votes = 729 |percentage = 0.94 |change = +0.20 }}{{Election box candidate AU party| |candidate = Timothy Lawrence |party = Stable Population |votes = 666 |percentage = 0.86 |change = +0.67 }}{{Election box candidate AU party| |candidate = Travis Windsor |party = Independent |votes = 656 |percentage = 0.84 |change = +0.84 }}{{Election box candidate AU party| |candidate = Anthony Ackroyd |party = Bullet Train for Australia |votes = 602 |percentage = 0.77 |change = +0.77 }}{{Election box candidate AU party| |candidate = Karel Boele |party = Independent |votes = 504 |percentage = 0.65 |change = +0.65 }}{{Election box candidate AU party| |candidate = Anne Reid |party = Secular |votes = 424 |percentage = 0.55 |change = +0.04 }}{{Election box formal| |votes = 77,723 |percentage = 96.82 |change = +1.58 }}{{Election box informal| |votes = 2,552 |percentage = 3.18 |change = −1.58 }}{{Election box turnout| |votes = 80,275 |percentage = 82.03 |change = −11.11 }}{{Election box 2pp}}{{Election box candidate AU party| |candidate = Terri Butler |party = Labor |votes = 40,229 |percentage = 51.76 |change = −1.25 }}{{Election box candidate AU party| |candidate = Bill Glasson |party = Liberal National |votes = 37,494 |percentage = 48.24 |change = +1.25 }}{{Election box hold AU party| |winner = Labor |swing = −1.25 }}{{Election box end}} Results are final. The ABC's Antony Green said at 8pm on election night that Terri Butler had retained the seat for Labor.[22] See also
External links
References1. ^1 2 3 4 5 6 {{cite web|title=2014 Griffith by-election|url=http://www.abc.net.au/elections/federal/2014/griffith/|publisher=Australian Broadcasting Corporation|accessdate=13 January 2014}} {{Aus by-elections 44th parl}}2. ^The Age 22 November 2013 - With formal resignation, Kevin Rudd irritates Coalition one more time 3. ^{{cite web|url=http://www.comlaw.gov.au/Details/C2014G00014|title=Issue of Writ for Griffith by-election 2014|publisher=Department of the House of Representatives|date=6 January 2014}} 4. ^Key Dates, 2014 Griffith by-election: AEC 5. ^2014 Griffith by-election candidates: AEC 6. ^{{cite news|last=Bochenski|first=Natalie|title=Local publisher Ebbs runs again for Griffith|url=http://www.brisbanetimes.com.au/queensland/local-publisher-ebbs-runs-again-for-griffith-20131215-2zf14.html|accessdate=15 December 2013|newspaper=The Brisbane Times|date=15 December 2013}} 7. ^[https://www.facebook.com/chriswilliams4griffith/info Chris Williams Family First candidate: Facebook] 8. ^Karel Boele: PeopleDecide website 9. ^{{cite news |url=http://www.theaustralian.com.au/national-affairs/alp-targets-pm-using-local-poll/story-fn59niix-1226803568220# |title=ALP 'targets' PM using local poll |work=The Australian |date=17 January 2014 }} 10. ^1 Griffith by-election more than a two-horse race: SMH 16 January 2014 11. ^{{cite news|title=Labor endorses lawyer Terri Butler to contest Rudd seat of Griffith|url=http://www.abc.net.au/news/2013-12-15/labor-endorses-lawyer-terri-butler-to-contest-rudd-seat-of-grif/5157386|accessdate=15 December 2013|newspaper=ABC News|date=15 December 2013}} 12. ^{{cite news|title=Australian Motorcycle Business Chamber|url=http://motorbikewriter.com/australian-motorcycle-business-chamber-forms/|last=Hinchliffe|first=Mark|publisher=Motorbike News|date=21 October 2013}} 13. ^Travis Windsor website 14. ^{{cite news|url=http://www.brisbanetimes.com.au/queensland/bill-glasson-will-stand-for-lnp-in-kevin-rudds-seat-of-griffith-20131117-2xoyx.html|title=Bill Glasson will stand for LNP in Kevin Rudd's seat of Griffith|publisher=Brisbane Times|date=18 November 2013}} 15. ^By-election for Kevin Rudd's former seat to be on February 8: The Australian 6 January 2014 16. ^Oct-Dec 2013 Quarterly aggregates: Newspoll 17. ^Nov 2013 federal poll: Nielsen 18. ^Labor storms ahead: SMH 26 November 2013 19. ^By-election for Griffith could shake historical trend: The World Today, ABC 4 February 2014 20. ^Liberal Party resigned to byelection loss in Griffith: Australian Financial Review 5 February 2014 21. ^{{cite web |url=http://vtr.aec.gov.au/HouseDivisionFirstPrefs-17552-163.htm |title=2014 Griffith by-election results |publisher=Australian Electoral Commission |date=2014 |deadurl=yes |archiveurl=https://web.archive.org/web/20140211194720/http://vtr.aec.gov.au/HouseDivisionFirstPrefs-17552-163.htm |archivedate=2014-02-11 |df= }} 22. ^Griffith by-election: Labor's Terri Butler wins despite swing to LNP candidate Bill Glasson: ABC 8 February 2014 2 : 2014 elections in Australia|Queensland federal by-elections |
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