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词条 2015 United States gubernatorial elections
释义

  1. Race summary

  2. Election predictions

  3. Term-limited Democratic incumbent

     Steve Beshear (Kentucky) 

  4. Term-limited Republican incumbent

     Bobby Jindal (Louisiana) 

  5. Republican incumbent re-elected

     Phil Bryant (Mississippi) 

  6. References

  7. External links

{{Infobox election
| election_name = 2015 United States gubernatorial elections
| country = United States
| type = legislative
| seats_for_election = 3 governorships
| election_date = November 3 and 21, 2015
| flag_year = 1960
| ongoing = no
| previous_election = 2014 United States gubernatorial elections
| previous_year = 2014
| next_election = 2016 United States gubernatorial elections
| next_year = 2016
| image1 =
| party1 = Republican Party (United States)
| last_election1 = 34 governorships (31 states)
| seats_before1 = 34 (31 states)
| seats_after1 = 34 (31 states)
| seats1 = 2
| seat_change1 = {{steady}}
| popular_vote1 = 1,494,011
| percentage1 = 52.52%[1]
| leader1 = Bill Haslam
| leaders_seat1 = Tennessee
| image2 =
| party2 = Democratic Party (United States)
| last_election2 = 22 governorships (18 states)
| seats_before2 = 22 (18 states)
| seats_after2 = 22 (18 states)
| seat_change2 = {{steady}}
| popular_vote2 = 1,305,187
| percentage2 = 45.88%
| seats2 = 1
| leader2 = Steve Bullock
| leaders_seat2 = Montana
|party4 = Independent (United States)
|last_election4 = 2 governorships (1 state)
| seats4 = 0
| seats_before4 = 2 (1 state)
| seats_after4 = 2 (1 state)
| seat_change4 = {{steady}}
| popular_vote4 = 35,597
| percentage4 = 1.25%
| map_image = 2015 gubernatorial election results.svg
| map_size = 320px
| map_caption = Results of the November 2015 elections:
{{legend0|#0000ff|Democratic gain}} {{legend0|#ff0000|Republican gain}}
{{legend0|#000080|Democratic hold}} {{legend0|#800000|Republican hold}}
}}

United States gubernatorial elections were held in three states in 2015 as part of the 2015 United States elections. In Kentucky and Mississippi the elections were held on Tuesday, November 3, and in Louisiana, as no candidate received a majority of votes at the primary election on Saturday, October 24, 2015, a runoff election was held on Saturday, November 21. The last regular gubernatorial elections for all three states were in 2011.

Race summary

State Incumbent Party First elected Incumbent status Candidates
Kentucky Steve BeshearDemocratic2007Incumbent term-limited.
Republican gain
√ Matt Bevin (R) 53%
Jack Conway (D) 44%
Drew Curtis (I) 4%
Louisiana Bobby JindalRepublican 2007Incumbent term-limited.
Democratic gain
√ John Bel Edwards (D) 56%
David Vitter (R) 44%
Mississippi Phil BryantRepublican 2011 Re-elected[2] √ Phil Bryant (R) 67%
Robert Gray (D) 32%

Election predictions

State PVI Incumbent Last
race
Cook
Aug. 26,
2015
[3]
DKE
Oct. 29,
2015
[4]
Roth.
Aug. 21
2015
[5]
Sab.
Oct. 29,
2015
[6]
Median
prediction
Winner
Kentucky

| {{party shading/Republican}} | {{sort|113|R+13}}

Steve Beshear (D)
{{small|(Term-limited)}}
55.6%

| style="background:#fff" | {{sort|100|Tossup}}

| style="background:#fff" | {{sort|100|Tossup}}

| style="background:#ddf" | {{sort|099|Tilt D}}

| style="background:#ccf" | {{sort|098|Lean D}}

| style="background:#ddf" | {{sort|099|Tilt D}}

Matt Bevin (R)
Louisiana

| {{party shading/Republican}} | {{sort|112|R+12}}

Bobby Jindal (R)
{{small|(Term-limited)}}
65.8%

| style="background:#ccf" | {{sort|098|Lean D}}

| style="background:#fff" | {{sort|100|Tossup}}

| style="background:#fff" | {{sort|100|Tossup}}

| style="background:#ccf" | {{sort|098|Lean D}}

| style="background:#ddf" | {{sort|099|Tilt D}}

John Bel Edwards (D)
Mississippi

| {{party shading/Republican}} | {{sort|109|R+9}}

Phil Bryant (R)61.0%

| style="background:#f66" | {{sort|104|Safe R}}

| style="background:#f66" | {{sort|104|Safe R}}

| style="background:#f66" | {{sort|104|Safe R}}

| style="background:#f66" | {{sort|104|Safe R}}

| style="background:#f66" | {{sort|104|Safe R}}

Phil Bryant (R)

Term-limited Democratic incumbent

Steve Beshear (Kentucky)

{{main|Kentucky gubernatorial election, 2015}}

Two-term incumbent Democrat Governor Steve Beshear, was unable to run for a third term in 2015 due to term limits established under the Kentucky Constitution. To succeed Beshear, Democrats nominated Attorney General of Kentucky Jack Conway. Conway's running mate was State Representative Sannie Overly.[7] For the Republicans, businessman and candidate for the U.S. Senate in 2014 Matt Bevin ran on a ticket with Tea Party activist and 2014 State House candidate Jenean Hampton.[8] Bevin narrowly defeated Agriculture Commissioner James Comer to win the Republican nomination. Drew Curtis, the founder of Fark.com, ran as an independent, polling well enough to appear in the Bluegrass Poll gubernatorial debate.[9] Bevin ultimately defeated Conway, winning 53% of the vote to Conway's 44%.

Term-limited Republican incumbent

Bobby Jindal (Louisiana)

{{main|Louisiana gubernatorial election, 2015}}

Two-term incumbent Republican Governor Bobby Jindal was term-limited in 2015 and thus unable to seek reelection. Under Louisiana's jungle primary system, all candidates, regardless of party, appear on the same ballot. Since no candidate received 50% plus one vote during the primary election, a runoff election was held on November 21, 2015 between Republican David Vitter and Democrat John Bel Edwards, the top two candidates in the primary. Edwards won the runoff election with 56.1% of the vote, while Vitter received 43.9%, becoming the first Democrat to win a statewide election in Louisiana since 2008.

Three Republicans ran for the office: Public Service Commissioner and former Lieutenant Governor of Louisiana Scott Angelle,[10][10] incumbent Lieutenant Governor Jay Dardenne[11] and U.S. Senator David Vitter.[12] Potential Republican candidates included former Secretary of the Louisiana Department of Veterans Affairs and former U.S. Representative Rodney Alexander,[13] Louisiana State Treasurer John Neely Kennedy,[14] State Senator Gerald Long[15] and former governor, former U.S. Representative and candidate for president in 2012 Buddy Roemer.[16]

Three Democrats ran: 2011 candidate Cary Deaton,[17] Minority Leader of the Louisiana House of Representatives John Bel Edwards[18][19] and minister Jeremy Odom.[20]

The blanket primary election was held on October 24, 2015. Edwards finished first with 40% of the vote, while Vitter finished second with 23%. As no candidate won a majority of the vote, a runoff election between Edwards and Vitter was held on November 21, 2015.[21]

Republican incumbent re-elected

Phil Bryant (Mississippi)

{{main|Mississippi gubernatorial election, 2015}}

One-term incumbent Republican Governor Phil Bryant nominated for a second and final term.[2][22] He had won a resounding victory over his Democratic opponent four years earlier, carrying 61% of the vote. Truck driver Robert Gray was nominated by the Democrats to oppose Bryant in the general election.[22] Bryant won the election in a landslide, winning 67% of the vote to Gray's 32%.

References

1. ^http://uselectionatlas.org/RESULTS/index.html
2. ^{{cite news|last1=AP|title=Gov. Bryant outlines priorities in State of the State|url=http://www.clarionledger.com/story/news/2015/01/20/gov-bryant-outlines-priorities-in-state-of-the-state/22072015/|accessdate=January 24, 2015|publisher=The Clarion-Ledger|date=January 20, 2015}}
3. ^{{cite web|title=2015/2016 GOVERNORS RACE RATINGS|url=http://cookpolitical.com/governor/charts/race-ratings|website=Cook Political Report|accessdate=December 12, 2014}}
4. ^{{cite web|title=Election Outlook: 2016 Race Ratings|url=http://www.dailykos.com/election-outlook/2016-race-ratings#gubernatorial |website=Daily Kos|accessdate=October 21, 2015}}
5. ^{{cite web|title=2016 Race Ratings|url=http://media.cq.com/raceratings/|website=Roll Call|publisher=Roll Call|accessdate=January 13, 2015}}
6. ^{{cite web|title=2016 Governor|url=http://www.centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/2016-governor/|website=Sabato's Crystal Ball|publisher=UVA Center for Politics|accessdate=January 24, 2015}}
7. ^{{cite web|url=http://mycn2.com/politics/jack-conway-set-to-announce-2015-ticket-for-governor-with-rep-sannie-overly |title=Jack Conway set to announce 2015 ticket for governor with Rep. Sannie Overly |publisher=Mycn2.com |author=Ryan Alessi |date=May 5, 2014 |accessdate=May 6, 2014}}
8. ^{{cite web|url=http://www.nationaljournal.com/politics/matt-bevin-to-make-shock-run-for-kentucky-governor-20150127|title=Matt Bevin to Make Shock Run for Kentucky Governor|publisher=National Journal|last=Bruggeman|first=Karyn|date=January 27, 2015|accessdate=January 27, 2015}}
9. ^{{cite news|last1=Youngman|first1=Sam|title=Drew Curtis will join debate on Kentucky Sports Radio, but other fall debates look iffy|url=http://www.kentucky.com/2015/09/21/4049434_drew-curtis-will-join-debate-on.html?rh=1|accessdate=September 29, 2015|publisher=Kentucky.com}}
10. ^{{cite web|url=http://www.nola.com/politics/index.ssf/2014/10/scott_angelle_to_run_for_gover.html|title=Scott Angelle to run for governor in 2015|date=October 2, 2014|accessdate=October 2, 2014|work=The Times-Picayune|first=Cole|last=Avery}}
11. ^{{cite web|url=http://www.nola.com/politics/index.ssf/2013/03/lt_gov_jay_dardenne_intends_to.html|title=Lt. Gov. Jay Dardenne 'intends' to run for governor in 2015|date=March 20, 2013|accessdate=May 13, 2013|work=The Times-Picayune|first=Jeff|last=Adelson}}
12. ^{{cite web|url=http://atr.rollcall.com/david-vitter-announces-run-for-governor/|title=David Vitter Announces Run for Governor|date=January 21, 2014|accessdate=January 21, 2014|work=Roll Call}}
13. ^{{cite news|url=http://www.thetowntalk.com/article/20130813/NEWS01/130813010/Alexander-says-he-may-run-governor-Louisiana-2015|title=Alexander says he may run for Louisiana governor in 2015|work=The Town Talk|date=August 13, 2013|accessdate=August 15, 2013|archive-url=https://archive.is/20130815131656/http://www.thetowntalk.com/article/20130813/NEWS01/130813010/Alexander-says-he-may-run-governor-Louisiana-2015|archive-date=August 15, 2013|dead-url=yes|df=mdy-all}}
14. ^{{cite web|url=http://www.bayoubuzz.com/buzz/item/12786-louisiana-poll-vitter-edges-georges-jindals-popularity-jobs-and-economy-tops |title=Louisiana poll: Vitter edges Georges, Jindal's popularity, jobs and economy tops |publisher=Bayoubuzz.com |date=June 20, 2012 |accessdate=February 5, 2013}}
15. ^{{cite news|url=http://theadvocate.com/columnists/3485330-55/inside-politics-for-sunday-85|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20141028074229/http://theadvocate.com/columnists/3485330-55/inside-politics-for-sunday-85|dead-url=yes|archive-date=October 28, 2014|title=Long weighs bid for governor in 2015|work=The Advocate|date=August 11, 2012|accessdate=January 30, 2013}}
16. ^{{cite web|author=Greater New Orleans |url=http://www.nola.com/politics/index.ssf/2013/12/louisiana_governor_growth_roem.html |title=Buddy Roemer to spearhead long-term policy initiative ahead of 2015 election |publisher=NOLA.com |date=December 12, 2013 |accessdate=December 18, 2013}}
17. ^{{cite web|author=WWLTV.com |url=http://www.wwltv.com/news/politics/Edwards-running-to-correct-what-he-calls-Jindals-mistakes-217101781.html |title=Edwards running to correct what he calls Jindal's mistakes | wwltv.com New Orleans |publisher=Wwltv.com |date=July 26, 2013 |accessdate=December 18, 2013}}
18. ^{{cite web|url=http://www.bestofneworleans.com/gambit/saved-by-the-bel/Content?oid=2193333|title=Saved by the Bel?|date=May 6, 2013|accessdate=May 13, 2013|work=Gambit|first=Jeremy|last=Alford}}
19. ^{{cite news|url=http://www.nola.com/politics/index.ssf/2013/02/john_bel_edwards_announces_he.html|title=John Bel Edwards announces he is running for governor in 2015|first=Jeff|last=Adelson|work=The New Orleans Times-Picayune|date=February 10, 2013|accessdate=February 21, 2013}}
20. ^{{cite news|url=http://www.knoe.com/story/24875263/natchitoches-minister-makes-run-for-governor|title=Natchitoches minister makes run for governor|work=KNOE.com|date=March 4, 2014|accessdate=March 5, 2014|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20141028042737/http://www.knoe.com/story/24875263/natchitoches-minister-makes-run-for-governor|archive-date=October 28, 2014|dead-url=yes|df=mdy-all}}
21. ^{{cite news|last1=Deslatte|first1=Melinda|title=Republican David Vitter reaches Louisiana governor's runoff against Democrat John Bel Edwards|url=https://www.usnews.com/news/politics/articles/2015/10/24/democrat-john-bel-edwards-heads-to-louisiana-governor-runoff|accessdate=26 October 2015|agency=AP|publisher=US News and World Report|date=25 October 2015}}
22. ^{{cite news |last=Pettus |first=Emily Wagster |date=August 5, 2015 |title=Truck Driver Wins Dem Nomination for Mississippi Governor |url=http://abcnews.go.com/Politics/wireStory/truck-driver-wins-dem-nomination-mississippi-governor-32891452 |newspaper=ABC News |agency=AP |access-date= }}

External links

{{United States elections, 2015}}{{USGovElections}}{{DEFAULTSORT:United States Gubernatorial Elections, 2015}}

3 : Gubernatorial elections in the United States by year|2015 United States gubernatorial elections|November 2015 events in the United States

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