| 释义 |
- Democratic primary Candidates Declared Declined Results
- Republican primary Candidates Declared Declined Polling Results
- Independent Party primary Candidates Declared Declined Results
- Minor parties
- General election Debates Predictions Polling Results
- References
- External links
{{Infobox Election
| election_name = Oregon gubernatorial special election, 2016
| flag_image = Flag of Oregon.svg
| type = presidential
| ongoing = no
| previous_election = Oregon gubernatorial election, 2014
| previous_year = 2014
| next_election = Oregon gubernatorial election, 2018
| next_year = 2018
| election_date = November 8, 2016
| image1 =
| nominee1 = Kate Brown
| party1 = Democratic Party (United States)
| alliance1 = Working Families Party
| popular_vote1 = 985,027
| percentage1 = 50.6%
| image2 =
| nominee2 = Bud Pierce
| party2 = Republican Party (United States)
| alliance2 = none
| popular_vote2 = 845,609
| percentage2 = 43.4%
| map_image = Oregon Governor Election Results by County, 2016.svg
| map_size = 250px
| map_caption = County Results
Brown: {{legend0|#7996e2|50–60%}} {{legend0|#6674de|60–70%}} {{legend0|#584cde|70–80%}} Pierce: {{legend0|#ffb2b2|40–50%}} {{legend0|#e27f7f|50–60%}} {{legend0|#d75d5d|60–70%}} {{legend0|#d72f30|70–80%}}
| title = Governor
| before_election = Kate Brown
| before_party = Democratic Party (United States)
| after_election = Kate Brown
| after_party = Democratic Party (United States)
}}{{ElectionsOR}}The 2016 Oregon special gubernatorial election took place on November 8, 2016, to elect the Governor of Oregon, concurrently with the 2016 U.S. presidential election, as well as elections for the U.S. Senate and U.S. House of Representatives, and various state and local elections. The election determined who would fill the remaining two years of the term of Democratic governor John Kitzhaber, who was re-elected in 2014 and resigned in February 2015. Incumbent Democratic governor Kate Brown, who as Oregon Secretary of State succeeded to the governorship, ran for election to the office. In primary elections held on May 17, Brown easily captured the Democratic nomination, and the Republicans picked Salem oncologist Bud Pierce. Brown won the election and became the first openly LGBT person elected to a term as governor in U.S. history. Democratic primaryCandidatesDeclared- Julian Bell, critical care and pulmonary medicine specialist[1]
- Kate Brown, incumbent governor[2]
- Chet Chance, professional driver[3]
- Kevin M. Forsythe, Walmart employee[3]
- Steve Johnson, health worker[3][4]
- Dave Stauffer, environmental engineer[3]
Declined- Brad Avakian, State Labor Commissioner (running for secretary of state)[8][5]
- Tina Kotek, Speaker of the Oregon House of Representatives[6]
- Ted Wheeler, state treasurer (running for Mayor of Portland)[6][7]
Results{{Election box begin no change
| title = Oregon gubernatorial special election, 2016 Democratic primary[8]
}}{{Election box winning candidate with party link no change
| candidate = Katherine Brown (Incumbent)
| party = Democratic Party (United States)
| votes = 494,890
| percentage = 83.03
}}{{Election box candidate with party link no change
| candidate = Julian Bell
| party = Democratic Party (United States)
| votes = 49,313
| percentage = 8.27
}}{{Election box candidate with party link no change
| candidate = Dave Stauffer
| party = Democratic Party (United States)
| votes = 16,108
| percentage = 2.70
}}{{Election box candidate with party link no change
| candidate = Steve Johnson
| party = Democratic Party (United States)
| votes = 13,363
| percentage = 2.24
}}{{Election box candidate with party link no change
| candidate = Kevin M. Forsythe
| party = Democratic Party (United States)
| votes = 10,147
| percentage = 1.70
}}{{Election box candidate with party link no change
| candidate = Chet Chance
| party = Democratic Party (United States)
| votes = 5,636
| percentage = 0.95
}}{{Election box candidate with party link no change
| candidate = Write-ins
| party = Democratic Party (United States)
| votes = 6,595
| percentage = 1.11
}}{{Election box total no change
| votes = 596,052 | percentage = 100
}}{{Election box end}}Republican primaryCandidatesDeclared- Allen Alley, former chairman of the Oregon Republican Party, nominee for Oregon State Treasurer in 2008 and candidate for governor in 2010[9]
- Bruce Cuff, real estate broker and candidate for governor in 2014[10]
- Bob Forthan, perennial candidate[10]
- Bob Niemeyer, engineering company owner and candidate for OR-01 in 2014[11]
- Bud Pierce, physician[12][13][14][15]
Declined- Shane Bemis, Mayor of Gresham[16]
- Knute Buehler, state representative and nominee for secretary of state in 2012[17][18]
- Sid Leiken, Lane County Commissioner, former mayor of Springfield and candidate for Oregon's 4th congressional district in 2010 (running for secretary of state)[19]
- Julie Parrish, state representative[16][20]
- Dennis Richardson, former state representative and nominee for governor in 2014 (running for secretary of state)[21]
- Sherrie Sprenger, state representative[22]
- Monica Wehby, pediatric neurosurgeon and nominee for the U.S. Senate in 2014[23]
Polling| Poll source | Date(s)
administered | Sample
size | Margin of
error | Allen
Alley | Bruce
Cuff | Bob
Forthan | Bob
Neimeyer | Bud
Pierce | Undecided |
|---|
| DHM Research | May 6–9, 2016 | 324 | ± 5.7% | 22% | 3% | 1% | 5% | 25% | 44% |
Results{{Election box begin no change
| title = Oregon gubernatorial special election, 2016 Republican primary[8]
}}{{Election box winning candidate with party link no change
| candidate = William C. Pierce
| party = Republican Party (United States)
| votes = 171,158
| percentage = 47.66
}}{{Election box candidate with party link no change
| candidate = Allen Alley
| party = Republican Party (United States)
| votes = 103,388
| percentage = 28.79
}}{{Election box candidate with party link no change
| candidate = Bruce Cuff
| party = Republican Party (United States)
| votes = 41,598
| percentage = 11.58
}}{{Election box candidate with party link no change
| candidate = Bob Niemeyer
| party = Republican Party (United States)
| votes = 35,669
| percentage = 9.93
}}{{Election box candidate with party link no change
| candidate = Bob Forthan
| party = Republican Party (United States)
| votes = 4,290
| percentage = 1.19
}}{{Election box candidate with party link no change
| candidate = Write-ins
| party = Republican Party (United States)
| votes = 3,020
| percentage = 0.84
}}{{Election box total no change
| votes = 359,123 | percentage = 100
}}{{Election box end}}Independent Party primaryThe Independent Party of Oregon officially qualified as a major party on August 17, 2015.[24] CandidatesDeclared- Patrick Barney[3]
- Cliff Thomason, realtor[3]
Declined- Betsy Johnson, Democratic state senator[25]
Results{{Election box begin no change
| title = Oregon gubernatorial special election, 2016 Independent primary[8]
}}{{Election box winning candidate with party link no change
| candidate = Cliff Thomason
| party = Independent Party of Oregon
| votes = 9,806
| percentage = 34.89
}}{{Election box candidate with party link no change
| candidate = Patrick Barney
| party = Independent Party of Oregon
| votes = 6,840
| percentage= 24.34
}}{{Election box candidate with party link no change
| candidate = Write-ins
| party = Independent Party of Oregon
| votes = 11,460
| percentage = 40.77
}}{{Election box total no change
| votes = 28,106 | percentage = 100
}}{{Election box end}}Minor parties- Aaron Donald Auer (Constitution Party), candidate for governor in 2014[26][27]
- James Foster (Libertarian Party), candidate for OR-01 in 2014[26][28]
General electionDebates- [https://www.c-span.org/video/?416931-1/oregon-gubernatorial-debate Complete video of debate], October 13, 2016
- [https://www.c-span.org/video/?416804-1/oregon-governors-debate Complete video of debate], October 20, 2016
Predictions | Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|
| The Cook Political Report[29] | {{sort|097|Likely D}} | November 3, 2016 | | Sabato's Crystal Ball[30] | {{sort|096|Safe D}} | November 7, 2016 | | Rothenberg Political Report[31] | {{sort|096|Safe D}} | November 3, 2016 | | Daily Kos[32] | {{sort|096|Safe D}} | November 7, 2016 | | Real Clear Politics[33] | {{sort|097|Likely D}} | November 1, 2016 |
Polling| Poll source | Date(s)
administered | Sample
size | Margin of
error | Kate
Brown (D) | Bud
Pierce (R) | Cliff
Thomason (I) | James
Foster (L) | Other | Undecided |
|---|
| [https://drive.google.com/file/d/0BxxpEMTW3kArTFlBMU1iNjU1dmM/view SurveyMonkey] | November 1–7, 2016 | 1,595 | ± 4.6% | 56% | 41% | — | — | — | 3% | | [https://drive.google.com/file/d/0BxxpEMTW3kArck4xWGRaUEVid1U/view SurveyMonkey] | October 31–November 6, 2016 | 1,483 | ± 4.6% | 56% | 40% | — | — | — | 4% | | [https://drive.google.com/file/d/0BxxpEMTW3kArUGZzeTA3UTZOcWM/view SurveyMonkey] | October 28–November 3, 2016 | 1,150 | ± 4.6% | 56% | 40% | — | — | — | 4% | | [https://drive.google.com/file/d/0BxxpEMTW3kArX25Ba3RrWkZsQTg/view SurveyMonkey] | October 27–November 2, 2016 | 934 | ± 4.6% | 55% | 41% | — | — | — | 4% | | [https://drive.google.com/file/d/0BxxpEMTW3kAreDluOWJFc0xsSzA/view SurveyMonkey] | October 26–November 1, 2016 | 809 | ± 4.6% | 54% | 41% | — | — | — | 5% | | [https://drive.google.com/file/d/0B99Qs2h04TA7UGZ3aDZjeFBBNW8/view SurveyMonkey] | October 25–31, 2016 | 743 | ± 4.6% | 54% | 42% | — | — | — | 4% | | FOX 12 Oregon/DHM Research | October 24–29, 2016 | 504 | ± 4.4% | 42% | 33% | 4% | 3% | 4% | 15% | | Clout Research (R) | October 20–21, 2016 | 928 | ± 3.2% | 45% | 43% | — | — | 6% | 6% | | KGW Oregonian/Riley Research | October 4–14, 2016 | 608 | ± 4.0% | 48% | 34% | — | — | — | 13% | | Oregon Public Broadcasting/DHM Research | October 6–13, 2016 | 600 | ± 4.0% | 46% | 33% | 4% | 3% | — | 12% | | KATU-TV/SurveyUSA | October 10–12, 2016 | 654 | ± 3.9% | 46% | 42% | — | — | 4% | 8% | | [https://icitizen.com/insights/oregon-poll-results-september-2016/ iCitizen] | September 2–7, 2016 | 610 | ± 4.0% | 44% | 27% | 3% | 3% | — | 23% | | [https://www.scribd.com/document/323304290/DHM-Oregon-Statewide-Survey-Media-Advisory-Annotated-Questionnaire-September-2016#from_embed KATU-TV/DHM Research] | September 1–6, 2016 | 517 | ± 4.3% | 43% | 35% | — | — | — | 18% | | Clout Research (R) | July 9–13, 2016 | 701 | ± 3.7% | 43% | 42% | 5% | 2% | — | 7% | | [https://icitizen.com/insights/oregon-poll-results-june-2016/ iCitizen] | June 23–27, 2016 | 555 | ± 4.0% | 42% | 35% | — | — | — | 23% | | Action Solutions→ | June 1–2, 2016 | 600 | ± 5.7% | 39% | 37% | — | — | — | 24% | | Moore Information | April 20, 2015 | 500 | ± 4.0% | 45% | 27% | — | — | — | 28% |
→ Indicates an internal poll conducted on behalf of Bud Pierce. | Hypothetical polling |
|---|
- with Allen Alley
| Poll source | Date(s)
administered | Sample
size | Margin of
error | Kate
Brown (D) | Allen
Alley (R) | Other | Undecided |
|---|
| Moore Information | April 20, 2015 | 500 | ± 4.0% | 47% | 32% | — | 21% |
- with Shane Bemis
| Poll source | Date(s)
administered | Sample
size | Margin of
error | Kate
Brown (D) | Shane
Bemis (R) | Other | Undecided |
|---|
| Moore Information | April 20, 2015 | 500 | ± 4.0% | 45% | 26% | — | 28% |
- with Dennis Richardson
| Poll source | Date(s)
administered | Sample
size | Margin of
error | Kate
Brown (D) | Dennis
Richardson (R) | Other | Undecided |
|---|
| Moore Information | April 20, 2015 | 500 | ± 4.0% | 48% | 41% | — | 12% |
{{election box end}} Results {{Election box begin | title = Oregon gubernatorial special election, 2016 [34]}{{Election box winning candidate with party link | candidate = Kate Brown (incumbent) | party = Democratic Party (United States) | votes = 985,027 | percentage = 50.62% | change = +0.73%
}}{{Election box candidate with party link | candidate = Bud Pierce | party = Republican Party (United States) | votes = 845,609 | percentage = 43.45% | change = -0.68%
}}{{Election box candidate with party link | party = Independent Party of Oregon | candidate = Cliff Thomason | votes = 47,481 | percentage = 2.44% | change = N/A
}}{{Election box candidate with party link | party = Libertarian Party (United States) | candidate = James Foster | votes = 45,191 | percentage = 2.32% | change = +0.83%
}}{{Election box candidate with party link | party = Constitution Party of Oregon | candidate = Aaron Donald Auer | votes = 19,400 | percentage = 1.00% | change = -0.08%
}}{{Election box candidate with party link | party = n/a | candidate = Write-ins | votes = 3,338 | percentage = 0.17% | change = -0.28%
}}{{Election box total | votes = 1,946,046 | percentage = 100.0% | change = N/A
}}{{Election box hold with party link no swing | winner = Democratic Party (United States)
}}{{Election box end}}References1. ^{{cite web|url=http://www.eugeneweekly.com/20151001/news-briefs/climate-change-fuels-run-governor|title=Climate Change Fuels a Run For Governor|work=Eugene Weekly|last=Mortensen|first=Camilla|date=October 1, 2015|accessdate=October 6, 2015}}
2. ^Theriault, Denis C. (September 18, 2015) "Kate Brown makes clear she's running for governor", The Oregonian. Retrieved September 18, 2015.
3. ^1 2 3 4 5 {{cite web|url=http://www.oregonlive.com/politics/index.ssf/2016/03/candidate_list_final_2016.html|title=Election 2016: Who's running for office in Oregon? Portland? We've got your list right here|work=The Oregonian|date=March 9, 2016|accessdate=April 7, 2016|first=Ian|last=Kullgren}}
4. ^http://sbjforgovernor.org
5. ^{{cite web|url=http://www.oregonlive.com/politics/index.ssf/2015/10/oregon_labor_commissioner_anno.html|title=Oregon labor commissioner announces run for secretary of state|work=The Oregonian|last=Theriault|first=Denis C.|date=October 6, 2015|accessdate=October 6, 2015}}
6. ^1 2 {{cite web|url=http://www.politico.com/story/2015/02/kate-brown-oregon-governor-115198.html|title=Meet Kate Brown|work=Politico|last=Topaz|first=Jonathan|date=February 13, 2015|accessdate=October 6, 2015}}
7. ^{{cite web|url=http://www.oregonlive.com/portland/index.ssf/2015/09/ted_wheeler_im_running_for_may.html|title=Ted Wheeler: 'I'm running for mayor of Portland'|work=The Oregonian|last=Schmidt|first=Brad|date=September 9, 2015|accessdate=October 6, 2015}}
8. ^1 2 {{cite web|url=http://sos.oregon.gov/voting/Documents/P16Abstract.pdf|title=May 17, 2016 Primary Election Results|publisher=Oregon Secretary of State|accessdate=June 18, 2016}}
9. ^{{cite web|url=http://www.oregonlive.com/politics/index.ssf/2016/03/shakeup_in_governors_race_alle.html|title=Shakeup in governor's race: Allen Alley wants Republican nomination|date=March 7, 2016|accessdate=March 7, 2016|first=Denis C. |last=Theriault|newspaper=The Oregonian}}
10. ^1 {{cite web|url=http://www.kgw.com/news/politics/report-allen-alley-running-for-oregon-governor/65007643|work=KGW|title=Report: Allen Alley running for Oregon governor|first=Gordeon|last=Friedman|date=March 2, 2016|accessdate=March 3, 2016}}
11. ^{{cite web|url=http://www.oregonlive.com/politics/index.ssf/2015/09/another_republican_has_filed_f.html|title=Another Republican has filed for the 2016 Oregon governor's race|work=The Oregonian|last=Theriault|first=Denis C.|date=September 29, 2015|accessdate=October 6, 2015}}
12. ^{{Cite web|url = http://www.hemoncofsalem.com/about/meet-our-practitioners/bud-pierce|title = About Our Clinic|date = |access-date = 2016-01-28|website = Hematology Oncology of Salem|publisher = |last = |first = }}
13. ^{{Cite web|url = https://www.thelundreport.org/content/pierce-pitches-moderate-gop-bid-governor-physician%E2%80%99s-office|title = The Lund Report|date = Sep 24, 2015|access-date = 2016-01-28|website = The Lund Report|publisher = |last = Gray|first = Chris}}
14. ^{{cite web|url=http://www.oregonlive.com/politics/index.ssf/2015/03/republican_doctor_from_salem_c.html|title=Republican doctor from Salem contemplates gubernatorial run|date=March 16, 2015|accessdate=March 16, 2015|first=Ian K.|last=Kullgren|work=The Oregonian}}
15. ^{{cite web|url=http://koin.com/2015/09/18/kate-brown-confirms-shell-run-for-governor/|title=Kate Brown confirms she'll run for governor|date=September 18, 2015|accessdate=September 18, 2015|work=The Associated Press}}
16. ^1 {{cite web|url=http://www.dailyastorian.com/da/capital-bureau/20150419/middle-ground-republican-could-give-brown-a-race|title=Middle-ground Republican could give Brown a race|date=April 19, 2015|accessdate=April 21, 2015|first=Steve|last=Forrester|work=The Daily Astorian}}
17. ^{{cite web|url=http://www.bendbulletin.com/home/3334758-151/buehler-says-he-may-run-for-oregon-governor|title=Buehler says he may run for Oregon governor in 2016|date=July 13, 2015|accessdate=July 13, 2015|first=Taylor W.|last=Anderson|work=The Bulletin}}
18. ^{{cite web|url=http://www.oregonlive.com/politics/index.ssf/2015/08/knute_buehler_says_he_wont_run.html|title=Knute Buehler says he won't run for governor, wants to stay in House|work=The Oregonian|last=Theriault|first=Denis C.|date=August 25, 2015|accessdate=October 6, 2015}}
19. ^{{cite web|url=http://registerguard.com/rg/news/local/33248072-75/lane-county-commissioner-sid-leiken-out-of-oregon-governors-race.html.csp|title=Lane County Commissioner Sid Leiken out of Oregon governor's race, seeks Secretary of State post instead|date=June 30, 2015|accessdate=July 13, 2015|first=Elon|last=Glucklich|work=The Register-Guard}}
20. ^{{cite web|url=https://twitter.com/SaulAHubbard/status/590629743520829441|title=GOP Rep. Julie Parrish announces that she won't run for statewide office in 2016, despite speculation that she will #orleg #orpol|date=April 21, 2015|accessdate=April 21, 2015|first=Saul|last=Hubbard|publisher=Twitter}}
21. ^{{cite web|url=http://www.bendbulletin.com/home/3459797-151/dennis-richardson-not-interested-in-running-in-2016|title=Dennis Richardson ‘not interested in running’ in 2016|work=The Bend Bulletin|last=Anderson|first=Taylor W.|date=August 28, 2015|accessdate=October 6, 2015}}
22. ^{{cite web|url=http://www.oregonlive.com/politics/index.ssf/2015/04/election_2016_linn_county_repu.html|title=Election 2016: Linn County Republican says she's been 'approached' for governor's race|date=April 23, 2015|accessdate=April 23, 2015|first=Denis C.|last=Theriault|work=The Oregonian}}
23. ^{{cite web|url=http://www.oregonlive.com/politics/index.ssf/2015/09/monica_wehby_says_she_wont_run.html|title=Monica Wehby says she won't run for governor in 2016 after all|publisher=OregonLive|date=September 2, 2015}}
24. ^{{cite web|url=http://www.oregonlive.com/portland/index.ssf/2015/08/independent_party_of_oregon_qu.html|title=Independent Party of Oregon qualifies as a major party|date=August 17, 2015|accessdate=August 18, 2015|first=Jeff|last=Mapes|work=The Oregonian}}
25. ^{{cite web|url=http://www.eastoregonian.com/eo/capital-bureau/20150816/johnson-tour-sparks-speculation-shes-running-for-governor|title=Johnson tour sparks speculation she's running for governor|date=August 16, 2015|accessdate=August 18, 2015|first=Hillary|last=Borrud|work=East Oregonian}}
26. ^1 {{cite web|url=https://secure.sos.state.or.us/orestar/jsp/cf/CFSearchPDFReport.jsp?sort=asc&by=BALLOT_NAME|title=Candidate Filings|format=pdf|accessdate=July 30, 2016}}
27. ^{{cite web|url=http://www.constitutionpartyoregon.net/Aaron%20Auer%20Bio.htm|title=Aaron Donald Auer|publisher=Constitution Party of Oregon|accessdate=July 30, 2016}}
28. ^{{cite web|url=http://www.lporegon.org/index.php/2016-elections/2016-candidate-statements/24-governor/85-james-foster|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20160518023055/http://www.lporegon.org/index.php/2016-elections/2016-candidate-statements/24-governor/85-james-foster|dead-url=yes|archive-date=May 18, 2016|title=James Foster|publisher=Libertarian Party of Oregon|accessdate=July 30, 2016}}
29. ^{{cite web | title=2016 Governor Race ratings | url=https://www.cookpolitical.com/ratings/governor-race-ratings/139364 | website=The Cook Political Report | accessdate=October 15, 2018}}
30. ^{{cite web | title=Our Final 2016 picks | url=http://crystalball.centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/articles/our-final-2016-picks/ | website=Sabato's Crystal Ball | accessdate=October 15, 2018}}
31. ^{{cite web | title=Gubernatorial Ratings | url=http://www.insideelections.com/ratings/governor/2016-gubernatorial-ratings-november-3-2016 | publisher=The Rothenberg Political Report | accessdate=October 15, 2018}}
32. ^{{cite web | title=Elections 2015-16 | url=https://elections.dailykos.com/app/elections/2016/office/governor | website=Daily Kos | accessdate=October 15, 2018}}
33. ^{{cite web | title=2016 Election Maps - 2016 Governor Races | url=https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/governor/2016_elections_governor_map.html| publisher=Real Clear Politics | accessdate=October 15, 2018}}
34. ^{{cite web|title=November 8, 2016, General Election Abstract of Votes |url=http://sos.oregon.gov/elections/Documents/results/november-2016-results.pdf |publisher=Oregon Secretary of State|accessdate=January 3, 2017}}
External linksNominees- Aaron Donald Auer (C) for Governor
- Kate Brown (D) for Governor
- James Foster (L) for Governor
- Bud Pierce (R) for Governor
- Cliff Thomason (I) for Governor
Primary candidates- Julian Bell (D) for Governor
- Steve Johnson (D) for Governor
- Chet Chance (D) for Governor
- Allen Alley (R) for Governor
- Bob Niemeyer (R) for Governor
- Patrick Barney (I) for Governor
{{United States elections, 2016}}{{Oregon elections}}{{DEFAULTSORT:United States Gubernatorial Elections, 2016}} 5 : Oregon gubernatorial elections|2016 United States gubernatorial elections|LGBT history in Oregon|2016 Oregon elections|Special elections in the United States |
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