词条 | 2019 Israeli legislative election | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
释义 |
| ongoing = yes | election_name = Elections for the 21st Knesset | country = Israel | previous_election = 2015 | next_election = | election_date = 9 April 2019 | party1 = Likud | party_leader1 = {{nowrap|Benjamin Netanyahu}} | percentage1 = | seats1 = | seats1_before = 30 | party2 = Israeli Labor Party | party_leader2 = Avi Gabbay | percentage2 = | seats2 = | seats2_before = 19 | party3 = Blue and White | party_leader3 = Benny Gantz | color3 = {{Blue and White/meta/color}} | percentage3 = | seats3 = | seats3_before = 11 | party4 = Kulanu | party_leader4 = Moshe Kahlon | percentage4 = | seats4 = | seats4_before = 10 | party5 = Shas | party_leader5 = Aryeh Deri | percentage5 = | seats5 = | seats5_before = 7 | party6 = Ra'am–Balad | color6 = {{United Arab List/meta/color}} | party_leader6 = Mansour Abbas | percentage6 = | seats6 = | seats6_before = 7 | party7 = United Torah Judaism | party_leader7 = Yaakov Litzman | percentage7 = | seats7 = | seats7_before = 6 | party8 = Hadash–Ta'al | color8 = {{Hadash/meta/color}} | party_leader8 = Ayman Odeh | percentage8 = | seats8 = | seats8_before = 6 | party9 = {{nowrap|United Right}} | party_leader9 = Rafi Peretz | color9 = {{Union of Right-Wing Parties/meta/color}} | percentage9 = | seats9 = | seats9_before = 5 | party10 = Meretz | party_leader10 = Tamar Zandberg | percentage10 = | seats10 = | seats10_before = 5 | party11 = Yisrael Beiteinu | party_leader11 = Avigdor Lieberman | percentage11 = | seats11 = | seats11_before = 5 | party12 = New Right (Israel) | color12 = | party_leader12 = Naftali Bennett | percentage12 = | seats12 = | seats12_before = 3 | party13 = Gesher | color13 = {{Gesher/meta/color}} | party_leader13 = Orly Levy | percentage13 = | seats13 = | seats13_before = 1 | title = Prime Minister | before_election = Benjamin Netanyahu | before_party = Likud | before_image = Benjamin Netanyahu 2018.jpg | after_election = | after_party = | after_image = }} Early legislative elections will be held in Israel on 9 April 2019 to elect the members of the twenty-first Knesset.[1] The elections had been due in November 2019, but were brought forward following a dispute between members of the ruling coalition government over a bill on national service for the ultra-Orthodox population. BackgroundDefense Minister Avigdor Lieberman had opposed a draft law (supported by the ultra-Orthodox parties) which would allow full-time Torah students exemptions from serving in the IDF.[2] Meretz and Yesh Atid submitted a proposal on 12 March 2018 seeking the dissolution of the Knesset.[3] Early elections were averted at that point in time.[4] Lieberman would eventually leave the government over the cease-fire with Hamas in Gaza.[5][6] This leaves the governing coalition with 61 seats (out of 120 in total).[7] The Jewish Home announced on 16 November that it will leave the government, as Naftali Bennett (the head of the party) was not given Lieberman's former Defense Ministry post.[8] Reports were that Netanyahu would not be giving the post to Bennett and was to meet with other coalition leaders on 18 November to determine a date for early election.[9] However, after further discussion, Bennett decided to stay on as education minister, narrowly avoiding the collapse of the Netanyahu government again.[10] However, continued dysfunction over various issues, including military service for the ultra-Orthodox, caused parliament to dissolve and early elections to be called for 9 April 2019.[11] Had early elections not been called, the regularly-scheduled elections would have taken place seven months later on 5 November 2019. Electoral system{{further information|Elections in Israel}}The 120 seats in the Knesset are elected by closed list proportional representation in a single nationwide constituency. The electoral threshold for the election is 3.25%. In most cases, this implies a minimum party size of four seats, but on some occasions, a party can end up with three.[12] Surplus-vote agreements{{further|D'Hondt method}}Two party lists can sign an agreement that allows them to compete for leftover seats as though they are running together. The Bader–Ofer method disproportionately favors larger lists, meaning that such an alliance is more likely to receive leftover seats than both of its comprising lists would be individually. If the alliance receives leftover seats, the Bader–Ofer calculation is then applied privately to determine how the seats are divided among the two allied lists.[13] The following agreements were signed by parties prior to the election:
Parliament factions{{main list|List of political parties in Israel}}The table below lists the parliamentary factions represented in the 20th Knesset.
Public expression of interest
Withdrawals
Campaigns{{main|Party lists for the 2019 Israeli legislative election}}Some parties, like Likud, Labor, the Jewish Home, Zehut, and Meretz, have systems in which the leadership and most candidates on their lists are elected in primary elections. Blue and White (Israel Resilience Party/Yesh Atid/Telem)Benny Gantz's Israel Resilience Party and Moshe Ya'alon's Telem unveiled its party slate on 19 February 2019.[46] Yair Lapid's Yesh Atid party unveiled its party slate on 18 February 2019.[47] On 21 February 2019, the three parties agreed to run on a united list named Blue and White.[48]United Right (The Jewish Home/Tkuma/Otzma Yehudit)The Jewish Home held its leadership primaries on 27 April 2017; Naftali Bennett won with 80.3% of the vote, Yonatan Branski received 12.2%, and Yitzhak Zagha received 7.47%.[49] In the aftermath of the formation of the New Right and Bennett's leaving, the Jewish Home cancelled its primaries.[50] Rafi Peretz was elected leader of the Jewish Home on 4 February.[51]{{clear}}The Tkuma party held its leadership primaries on 14 January 2019; Bezalel Smotrich defeated Uri Ariel.[52] On 14 February 2019, Jewish Home agreed to run on a joint list with the Tkuma party. Jewish Home leader Rafi Peretz will head the joint list. Tkuma chair Bezalel Smotrich will be the number two.[30] On 20 February 2019, they agreed to include Otzma Yehudit in their list, to be titled the United Right.[31][53] The inclusion of Otzma Yehudit prompted strong criticism.[54][55][56] LaborThe Labor Party held its leadership primaries on 10 July 2017; Avi Gabbay defeated Amir Peretz in the run-off, with Isaac Herzog being defeated during the first round of voting.[57] The party held primaries on 11 February 2019 to choose members for its slate.[58] {{clear}}LikudThe Likud leadership primary election was originally scheduled for 23 February 2016 following Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu's proposal,[59] and later cancelled by a party court on the basis that the Likud constitution did not require a vote when there was only one candidate.[60][61] Likud held the primary for the rest of its list on 5 February 2019, which resulted in several of Netanyahu's rivals winning senior spots.[62][63] Voting irregularities surfaced in the primary results. In some cases, specific candidates received more votes in some locales than the total number of ballots cast in those locales. The Likud party investigated the matter.[64] In the final results, Knesset speaker Yuli Edelstein came in first place, followed by Yisrael Katz, Gilad Erdan, Gideon Sa'ar, and Miri Regev.[65] On 28 February 2019, the Attorney General decided to indict Prime Minister Netanyahu on three charges which include bribery, fraud and breach of trust. These include trading legislation for favorable press coverage.[66] MeretzMeretz held its leadership primaries on 22 March 2018; Tamar Zandberg won with 71% of the vote, Avi Buskila received 29%.[67] Meretz held its primary on 14 February 2019.[68] Yisrael BeiteinuAvigdor Lieberman's Yisrael Beiteinu released its party slate on 19 February 2019.[69]ZehutThe Zehut party held Israel's first open primaries on 29 January 2019, in which all Israeli voters (including those living abroad) were able to vote via a secure online website. About 12,000 people voted in these primaries, which determined the order of the candidates who won in the party's internal primaries in September 2017.[70][71] Opinion polls{{main|Opinion polling for the 2019 Israeli legislative election}}{{Graph:Chart|width=480|height=300|xAxisTitle=Date|yAxisTitle=Seats|legend=|type=line|interpolate=monotone |xType=date |xAxisMax=1554768000000 |yAxisMin=25 |x= 2019/02/21, 2019/02/22, 2019/02/24, 2019/02/27, 2019/02/28, 2019/03/01, 2019/03/03, 2019/03/05, 2019/03/07, 2019/03/08, 2019/03/11, 2019/03/13, 2019/03/14, 2019/03/17, 2019/03/19, 2019/03/20, 2019/03/22, 2019/03/24, 2019/03/26, 2019/03/27, 2019/03/28, 2019/03/29, 2019/03/31 |y1Title=Blue & White |y1= 35.5, 34, 35.5, 36, 36.5, 36.5, 38, 34.5, 32.33, 35, 31, 32, 32, 30, 29, 31.5, 30, 31.5, 30, 30, 30.4, 31, 31 |y2Title=Likud |y2= 29.83, 27, 30, 29, 29, 29.5, 30, 30, 27.67, 29, 28, 32, 27, 31, 32, 28, 28, 28, 28, 31, 28.8, 29, 29.5 |colors=#00c3f3,#1f5aa5 }}{{Graph:Chart|width=480|height=300|xAxisTitle=Date|yAxisTitle=Seats *|legend=|type=line |interpolate=monotone |xType=date |xAxisMax=1554768000000 |yAxisMin=0 |x= 2019/02/21, 2019/02/22, 2019/02/24, 2019/02/27, 2019/02/28, 2019/03/01, 2019/03/03, 2019/03/05, 2019/03/07, 2019/03/08, 2019/03/11, 2019/03/13, 2019/03/14, 2019/03/17, 2019/03/19, 2019/03/20, 2019/03/22, 2019/03/24, 2019/03/26, 2019/03/27, 2019/03/28, 2019/03/29, 2019/03/31 |y1Title=Labor |y1= 7.17, 6, 8.5, 8, 6.5, 6, 8, 7.75, 9.33, 8, 7, 10, 8.5, 9, 8, 9.5, 8.67, 10, 9, 9, 8.8, 8, 8.5 |y2Title=Hadash–Ta'al |y2= 8.33, 6, 7, 7, 9, 8, 9, 8.5, 8, 9, 7, 9, 6.5, 8, 9, 7.5, 7.33, 7, 7.5, 8, 7, 7, 8 |y3Title=URWP |y3= 5.83, 7, 6.5, 5, 8, 6, 7, 6, 7.33, 7, 7, 7, 7, 6, 7, 5.5, 6.33, 6.5, 5, 7, 6.2, 7, 5 |y4Title=UTJ |y4= 6.67, 6, 7, 7, 6.5, 7, 7, 6.75, 7.33, 8, 6, 7, 7, 6, 6, 7, 6.67, 6.5, 7, 7, 6.4, 7, 6 |y5Title=Shas |y5= 5.33, 4, 6, 4, 5.5, 6, 4, 5, 5, 6, 5, 6, 5.5, 6, 4, 5, 4.67, 5.5, 6, 4, 5.4, 6, 5.5 |y6Title=New Right |y6= 6.67, 6, 7.5, 8, 7, 6, 6, 5.5, 6.67, 6, 6, 7, 5, 6, 6, 6, 6.33, 5, 6, 6, 6.2, 6, 5.5 |y7Title=Meretz |y7= 4, 5, 5.5, 4, 5.5, 6, 6, 5, 5.67, 7, 6, 6, 6, 6, 6, 4.5, 5.67, 4.5, 5, 5, 5.4, 5, 5.5 |y8Title=Ra'am–Balad |y8= 4.16, 8, 3.7, 4, 1.5, 4.5, 2.64, 3.48, 3.47, , 5, 3.12, 3.2, 4, 3, 4, 4, 4, 3.46, 2.28, 3.68, , 3.26 |y9Title=Kulanu |y9= 3.51, 4, 3.2, 4, 4.5, 4.5, 5, 5, 4, 5, 4, 3.24, 4.5, 2.52, 4, 4.5, 4.33, 4.06, 5, 4, 4.4, 5, 4.5 |y10Title=Zehut |y10= 2.62, , 3.06, , 3.54, 2.76, 3.48, 3.28, 3.91, , 4, 4, 4.5, 4, 4, 4.5, 4.67, 5, 5, 5, 5.2, 5, 5 |y11Title=Yisrael Beiteinu |y11= 4.5, 4, 3.8, 4, 3.2, 2.58, 2.52, 3.25, 2.53, , 4, 3.48, 4.5, 4, 5, 3.32, 4.33, 3.44, 3.26, 4, 3.68, 4, 4 |y12Title=Gesher |y12= 3.02, , 3, 1.2, 3, 3.18, 3.36, 3.07, 2.32, , 2.76, 2.04, 2.58, 1.32, 3.48, 2.34, 3.68, 2.96, 3.56, 3.12, 2.52, , 2.28 |y13Title=Threshold (3.25%) |y13= 3.9, 3.9, 3.9, 3.9, 3.9, 3.9, 3.9, 3.9, 3.9, 3.9, 3.9, 3.9, 3.9, 3.9, 3.9, 3.9, 3.9, 3.9, 3.9, 3.9, 3.9, 3.9, 3.9 |colors=#EE1C25,#F9D104,#8CC74B,#003366,#000000,#28459F,#40AE49,#F6600C,#00AFEF,#6AC7DF,#2F4F4F,#ED0963,#808080 }}
See also
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2019|accessdate=4 February 2019}} 52. ^{{cite news|url=https://www.jpost.com/Israel-News/Smotrich-hopes-to-head-religious-Zionist-bloc-after-big-win-over-Ariel-577355|author=Lahar Harkov|work=The Jerusalem Post|date=14 January 2019|accessdate=19 February 2019|title=Smotrich hopes to head religious-Zionist bloc after big win over Ariel}} 53. ^{{cite web|url=http://www.israelnationalnews.com/News/News.aspx/259430|title='Union of the Right-Wing Parties' submits Knesset list|work=Israel National News|author=Hezki Baruch|date=21 February 2019|accessdate=21 February 2019}} 54. ^{{Cite news|url=https://www.haaretz.com/us-news/.premium-ajc-changes-course-denounces-far-right-party-courted-by-netanyahu-1.6959216|title=Prominent Jewish Group Changes Course, Denounces Far-right Party Courted by Netanyahu|last=Tibon|first=Amir|date=22 February 2019|work=Haaretz|access-date=22 February 2019|language=en}} 55. ^{{Cite 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Beytenu candidates, leaves out veteran lawmakers|first=Alexander|last=Fulbright|work=The Times of Israel|date=20 February 2019}} 70. ^{{cite news|url=https://www.timesofisrael.com/with-first-open-primaries-moshe-feiglins-zehut-looks-for-a-public-identity/|author=Raoul Wootliff|work=The Jerusalem Post|date=29 January 2019|accessdate=8 February 2019|title=With first open primaries, Moshe Feiglin’s ‘Zehut’ looks for a public identity}} 71. ^{{cite news|url=https://www.20il.co.il/אלו-תוצאות-הפריימריז-של-מפלגת-זהות//|author=Eliran Tal|work=Channel 20 News Israel|date=30 January 2019|accessdate=8 February 2019|title=אלו תוצאות הפריימריז של מפלגת זהות}} External links
5 : 2010s in Israeli politics|2019 elections in Asia|2019 in Israel|April 2019 events in Asia|Legislative elections in Israel |
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