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词条 2019 New South Wales state election
释义

  1. Results

     Legislative Assembly  Legislative Council 

  2. Background

     Lower house and by-elections  Upper house 

  3. Campaign

     Issues  Debates  Preferences 

  4. Registered parties

  5. Retiring MPs

     Labor  Liberal  Nationals  Shooters, Fishers and Farmers 

  6. Date

     Key dates 

  7. Polling

     Graphical summary  Polling tables 

  8. Newspaper endorsements

      Sunday editions   Weekday editions  Alternative newspapers 

  9. See also

  10. Notes

  11. References

  12. External links

{{Use dmy dates|date=November 2018}}{{Use Australian English|date=June 2015}}{{Infobox election
| election_name = 2019 New South Wales state election
| country = New South Wales
| type = parliamentary
| ongoing = no
| previous_election = 2015 New South Wales state election
| previous_year = 2015
| next_election = 2023 New South Wales state election
| next_year = 2023
| seats_for_election = All 93 seats in the Legislative Assembly
and 21 (of the 42) seats in the Legislative Council
47 Assembly seats were needed for a majority
| election_date = 23 March 2019
| opinion_polls = #Polling
| image1 =
| leader1 = Gladys Berejiklian
| leader_since1 = 23 January 2017
| party1 = Liberal/National coalition
| leaders_seat1 = Willoughby
| popular_vote1 = 1,892,816
| percentage1 = 41.58%
| swing1 = {{decrease}} 4.05
| last_election1 = 54 seats{{efn|This figure includes the seat of Wollondilly, which was made vacant on 17 December 2018 by the resignation of Jai Rowell of the Liberal Party.}}
| seats_needed1 = {{steady}}
| seats1 = 48 seats
| seat_change1 = {{decrease}} 6{{efn|Compared with results at 2015 election. The National Party held 16 seats at the dissolution of parliament following the Orange by-election.}}
| image2 =
| leader2 = Michael Daley
| leader_since2 = 10 November 2018
| party2 = Australian Labor Party (New South Wales Branch)
| leaders_seat2 = Maroubra
| popular_vote2 = 1,516,143
| percentage2 = 33.31%
| swing2 = {{decrease}} 0.77
| last_election2 = 34 seats
| seats_needed2 = {{increase}} 13
| seats2 = 36 seats
| seat_change2 = {{increase}} 2

| image4 =


| leader4 = No leader
| leader_since4 =
| colour4 = 10c25b
| party4 = Greens
| leaders_seat4 =
| popular_vote4 = 435,401
| percentage4 = 9.57%
| swing4 = {{decrease}} 0.72
| last_election4 = 3 seats
| seats_needed4 = {{increase}} 44
| seats4 = 3 seats
| seat_change4 = {{steady}}| image5 =
| leader5 = No leader
| leader_since5 =
| colour5 = E52B50
| party5 = Shooters, Fishers and Farmers
| leaders_seat5 =
| popular_vote5 = 157,636
| percentage5 = 3.46%
| swing5 = {{increase}} 3.46
| last_election5 = 0 seats
| seats_needed5 = {{increase}} 46
| seats5 = 3 seats{{efn|Compared with results at 2015 election. SFF held 1 seat at the dissolution of parliament following the Orange by-election.}}
| seat_change5 = {{increase}} 3| 1blank = 2015 TPP
| 1data1 = 54.32%
| 1data2 = 45.68%
| 1data4 =
| 1data5 =
| 2blank =
| 2data1 =
| 2data2 =
| 2data4 =
| 2data5 =
| map_image =
| map_size =
| map_caption =
| title = Premier
| before_election = Gladys Berejiklian
| before_party = Liberal/National coalition
| posttitle = Elected Premier
| after_election = Gladys Berejiklian
| after_party = Liberal/National coalition
}}

The 2019 New South Wales state election was held on Saturday 23 March 2019 to elect the 57th Parliament of New South Wales, including all 93 seats in the Legislative Assembly and 21 of the 42 seats in the Legislative Council. The election was conducted by the New South Wales Electoral Commission (NSWEC).

The two-term incumbent Liberal/National Coalition Government led by Premier Gladys Berejiklian and Deputy Premier John Barilaro was re-elected to a third four-year term with a reduced majority in the Legislative Assembly, where government is formed. The main Opposition Labor Party under Michael Daley won an increased share of the vote in most districts, though the party was unable to successfully gain support in key races. Minor parties the Greens and the Shooters, Fishers and Farmers Party, as well as several independent MPs, also contested the election.

ABC election analyst Antony Green called the election for the Coalition at about 8:15pm, over two hours after the 6:00pm close of polling booths.[1] However, it took a further two full days of official vote counting by the electoral commission before the ABC election computer was able to project that the Coalition had retained majority government.[2] Ultimately, the Coalition won 48 seats (35 Liberal, 13 National), suffering a loss of six seats from the 2015 election, providing the incumbent government with a slim two-seat majority. The Labor Party won 36 seats, an increase of two seats. Labor, and to a larger extent the Coalition, both suffered primary vote swings against them. Minor parties the Greens and the Shooters, Fishers and Farmers each won three seats, and they were joined on the crossbench by three independents.[3]

It was the first time that the Coalition won a third consecutive term in office in New South Wales since the 1971 state election. Berejiklian became the first woman to lead a party to a state election victory in New South Wales, as well as the third woman to lead a party to a victory at a state election in Australia (after Queensland's Anna Bligh and Annastacia Palaszczuk) and the first non-Labor woman to do so.[4][5]

Though less than 50 per cent of the upper house vote has been counted so far, the Coalition appears to have suffered a significant primary vote swing against them. Furthermore, while early seat predictions by the ABC election computer are provisional and extremely speculative, it is allocating 16 of 42 seats to be held by the Coalition. In this event, the government would require the additional support of at least six non-government members to reach an upper house majority, compared to the 2015 result for the Coalition where they held 20 of 42 seats and therefore required at least two non-government members for a majority.[3]

Daley had initially indicated that he would stay on as leader despite the loss. However, facing the prospect of a leadership spill, Daley announced two days after the election that he would stand down as leader and contest a subsequent leadership election, to be held after the upcoming federal election. Deputy leader Penny Sharpe will serve as interim leader of the party in the intervening period.[6]

New South Wales has compulsory voting, with optional preferential voting in single-member seats for the lower house and single transferable vote with optional preferential above-the-line voting in the proportionally represented upper house.

Results

Legislative Assembly

{{seealso|Results of the 2019 New South Wales state election (Legislative Assembly)}}
Legislative Assembly (IRV) – Turnout 89.43% (CV) – Informal 3.46%[7][8]
PartyVotes%SwingSeatsChange
 Coalition
Liberal|width:1px}} |  Liberal 1,456,010 31.99 −3.10 35 {{decrease}} 2
Nationals|width:1px}} |  National 436,806 9.60 −0.95 13 {{decrease}} 4
Coalition total1,892,81641.58−4.0548{{decrease 6
Labor|width:1px}} |  Labor1,516,14333.31−0.7736{{increase}} 2
Greens}} |  Greens 435,401 9.57 −0.72 3 {{steady}}
Shooters}} |  Shooters, Fishers and Farmers 157,636 3.46 +3.46 3 {{increase}} 3
Sustainable Australia}} |  Sustainable Australia 69,831 1.53 +1.53 0{{steady}}
Keep Sydney Open}} |  Keep Sydney Open 69,076 1.52 +1.52 0 {{steady}}
Animal Justice}} |  Animal Justice 68,802 1.51 +1.39 0 {{steady}}
One Nation}} |  One Nation 49,948 1.10 +1.10 0 {{steady}}
Christian Democrats}} |  Christian Democratic 36,575 0.80 −2.31 0 {{steady}}
Australian Conservatives}} |  Conservatives 22,590 0.50 +0.50 0{{steady}}
Liberal Democratic Party}} | Liberal Democrats 10,530 0.23 +0.23 0 {{steady}}
Small Business NSW}}|  Small Business 3,355 0.07 +0.07 0 {{steady}}
Socialist Alliance}} |  Socialist Alliance 1,208 0.03 −0.05 0 {{steady}}
Flux}} |  Flux 698 0.02 +0.02 0 {{steady}}
Independent}}|  Independents 217,277 4.77 +0.43 3 {{increase}} 1
 Total4,551,88693
Two-party-preferred vote
Liberal National}} |  Coalition
Labor}} |  Labor
Compared with results from 2015 election.
Seats changing hands[9]
Seat2015 electionSwing2019 election
Party Member Margin Margin MemberParty
BarwonNational}}| National Kevin Humphries12.8819.496.60 Roy Butler SFFShooters}}|
CoogeeLiberal}}| Liberal Bruce Notley-Smith2.924.561.64 Marjorie O'Neill LaborLabor}}|
LismoreNational}}| National Thomas George0.231.571.35 Janelle Saffin LaborLabor}}|
MurrayNational}}| National Austin Evans22.65*26.193.54 Helen Dalton SFFShooters}}|
*At the 2017 Murray by-election, while the Nationals retained the seat on a 3.3-point margin
despite a very large swing, their 22.7-point margin in 2015 is used for swing calculations.

Note: At the 2016 Orange and 2018 Wagga Wagga by-elections, the remaining two of the six total seats
lost by the Coalition since 2015 occurred from even larger swings, both won by two new crossbenchers.

Legislative Council

Legislative Council (STV) – Quota 104,893 – 46.76% counted (CV) – Informal 6.38%[10][11]
PartyVotes%Swing2019 seats{{efn|Though early seat predictions by the ABC election computer are provisional and extremely speculative, it is allocating 16 of 42 seats to be held by the Coalition. In this event, the government would require the additional support of at least 6 non-government members to reach an upper house majority, compared to the 2015 result for the Coalition where they held 20 of 42 seats and therefore required at least 2 non-government members for a majority.[3]2015 seatsTotal seatsChange
 Coalition
Liberal National|width:1px}} |  Liberal/National joint ticket 848,476 36.77 −5.85
Liberal|width:1px}} |  Liberal 5 6 11 {{decrease}} 2
Nationals|width:1px}} |  National 2 3 5 {{decrease}} 2
Coalition total848,47636.77−5.857916{{decrease 4
Labor|width:1px}} |  Labor670,60229.06−2.036713{{increase}} 1
Greens}} |  Greens 229,164 9.93 +0.01 2 2 4 {{decrease}} 1
One Nation}} |  One Nation 144,180 6.25 +6.25 1 0 1 {{increase}} 1
Shooters}} |  Shooters, Fishers and Farmers 93,274 4.04 +0.15 1 1 2 {{steady}}
Liberal Democratic Party}} |  Liberal Democrats 56,063 2.43 +2.43 0 0 0 {{steady}}
Christian Democrats}} |  Christian Democratic 54,127 2.35 −0.58 0 1 1 {{decrease}} 1
Keep Sydney Open}} |  Keep Sydney Open 50,985 2.21 +2.21 0 0 0 {{steady}}
Animal Justice}} |  Animal Justice 42,820 1.86 +0.08 0 1 1 {{steady}}
Sustainable Australia}} |  Sustainable Australia 34,870 1.51 +1.51{{steady}}
Voluntary Euthanasia}}|  Voluntary Euthanasia 23,257 1.01 +0.06{{steady}}
Small Business NSW}}|  Small Business 15,644 0.68 +0.68{{steady}}
Australian Conservatives}} |  Conservatives 13,132 0.57 +0.57 {{steady}}
Flux}} |  Flux 8,829 0.38 +0.38{{steady}}
Socialist Alliance}} |  Socialist Alliance 7,488 0.32 +0.13 {{steady}}
Independent}}|  Group L 5,606 0.24 +0.24 {{steady}}
Independent}}|  Group G 3,551 0.15 +0.15 {{steady}}
Building Australia}}|  Advance Australia 2,133 0.09Combined vote totals of Building Australia and the Motorist Party, of which Advance Australia is a merger}}{{steady}}
Independent}}|  Group S 2,029 0.09 +0.09 {{steady}}
Independent}}|  Group H 207 0.01 +0.01 {{steady}}
Independent}}|  Ungrouped 1,206 0.05 +0.02{{steady}}
 Seats in doubt 4 4
 Total2,307,643212142
Results are not final. Results current as of 10:00am, 7 April 2019.

While early seat predictions by the ABC election computer are provisional and extremely speculative, it is allocating 16 of 42 seats to be held by the Coalition. In this event, the government would require the additional support of at least six non-government members to reach an upper house majority, compared to the 2015 result for the Coalition where they held 20 of 42 seats and therefore required at least two non-government members for a majority.[3]

Background

{{seealso|New South Wales state election, 2015}}

Lower house and by-elections

{{seealso|Pre-election pendulum for the 2019 New South Wales state election}}

At the 2015 election, the Coalition retained government with a reduced majority of 54 seats from 69 seats in the 2011 election. In the course of the previous parliamentary term, the Coalition had been reduced to 61 seats due to ICAC proceedings that resulted in the departure of eight MPs from the Liberal Party. The Labor Party gained 11 seats at the election, for a total of 34 seats. The Greens gained a record three seats whilst independents Greg Piper and Alex Greenwich both retained their seats.

Several by-elections were held after the 2015 election. In most of these, the party holding the seat did not change. There were two exceptions to this. In the 2016 Orange by-election, Philip Donato of the Shooters, Fishers and Farmers Party won the seat, previously held by the Nationals. In the 2018 Wagga Wagga by-election, independent candidate Joe McGirr won the seat, previously held by the Liberal Party.

Upper house

The 2015 election saw the incumbent Liberal/National coalition gain one seat in the Legislative Council to have a total of 20 seats, despite a 5.1-point swing against them. The Labor Party lost two seats, bringing their total down to 12; the Greens, Shooters and Fishers, and Christian Democrats saw no gains or losses in the election: these parties won five seats, two seats and two seats, respectively. The only gain came from the Animal Justice Party.

Campaign

{{seealso|Candidates of the 2019 New South Wales state election}}

The Liberal Party campaign was launched by Premier Gladys Berejiklian on 10 March. The event was attended by Prime Minister Scott Morrison, former Prime Minister John Howard, and former New South Wales Premiers Mike Baird, Barry O'Farrell, John Fahey, and Nick Greiner. Berejiklian announced that, if re-elected, the government would spend $2 billion over four years to construct two metro rail line: one from the Sydney CBD to Parramatta and one from St Marys station to the planned Western Sydney Airport. She also pledged to build or upgrade 29 hospitals and clinics state-wide, including redevelopments of the Bankstown Lidcombe Hospital and John Hunter Hospital at a cost of $1.3 billion and $780 million, respectively. Another $917 million was pledged for the construction of eight new schools and the upgrade of 31 others. Another $120 million is to be spent expanding before and after school care to "ensure that every public primary school student in NSW can access before and after school care from 7 am to 6 pm."[12]

The Labor Party campaign was launched by Opposition Leader Michael Daley on 10 March. The event was attended by federal Labor leader and Leader of the Opposition Bill Shorten, as well as former New South Wales Premiers Kristina Keneally, Bob Carr, and Barrie Unsworth. Daley committed to spending $2.7 billion over ten years to fund public schools, recruiting 5,000 new teachers and aiming to make New South Wales the first state to commit to the Gonski school funding model. $250 million was pledged in funding for mental health care, with Daley stating that Labor will hire more nurses in mental health wards and introduce nurse-to-patient ratios. Labor also committed to banning conversion therapy and decriminalization of abortion and also to have abortion performed within public hospitals[13] if elected. A $1 billion water fund was announced for the purpose of upgrading water infrastructure and protecting the water supply of regional communities, particularly in times of drought.[14][15]

On 19 March, a September 2018 video surfaced in which opposition leader Daley made negative comments about Asian immigration in Sydney: "Our young children will flee and who are they being replaced with? They are being replaced by young people from typically Asia with PhDs... So there's a transformation happening in Sydney now where our kids are moving out and foreigners are moving in and taking their jobs."[16][17] Daley apologised for his comments, stating "What I was referring to was housing affordability in Sydney ... I could've expressed myself better, no offence was meant."[18]

Labor's preference deals with the Shooters, Fishers and Farmers Party was criticised by Premier Berejiklian, who suggested that a Labor government supported by the Shooters could lead to looser gun laws.[22] Daley responded by pledging to resign from parliament if gun laws were changed, even if the measures were passed by the Coalition.[19]

In light of the National Party's preference deal with the Liberal Democrats, Labor leader Daley accused Berejiklian of hypocrisy for criticising Labor's preference deals with the Shooters Party while her own coalition partner offered preferences to the Liberal Democrats, whose platform includes even more extreme positions on gun laws than the Shooters.[20] Berejiklian stated that the deal was not comparable as it only concerned the upper house, and would not affect government formation, which occurs in the lower house.[21]

Issues

The incumbent Liberal government planned to continue with the demolition of the Sydney Football Stadium and, if re-elected, to replace it with a new $730 million venue.[22] The Labor Party oppose the demolition.[23] The issue was thrust into the limelight by Peter FitzSimons, a local media figure, who remarked that he believed that the Government would not win the election unless they cancelled the stadium rebuild.

On 9 March, Labor unveiled its plan for a "war on waste", seeking to ban single-use plastic bags, phase out single-use plastic, and reduce waste and create jobs by investing $140 million in recycling initiatives.[24]

Pauline Hanson's One Nation under the leadership of Mark Latham ran on a platform which opposed immigration, congestion, overdevelopment and renewable power, and proposed DNA tests for Aboriginal welfare recipients[25] and banning the burqa in Government buildings.[26]

Debates

The first debate of the campaign was held on 8 March on the ABC. It featured Premier Gladys Berejiklian and Opposition Leader Michael Daley, and was moderated by Brigid Glanville.[27] Subjects discussed included the demolition of the Sydney Football Stadium, cost of living in Sydney, transportation, infrastructure, and the Murray–Darling basin. In their final remarks, Berejiklian pledged to continue the current course and finish pending projects, while Daley emphasised his commitment to regional voters and promised assistance for dairy farmers.[28]

A second debate was held on 20 March on Sky News featuring Premier Gladys Berejiklian and Opposition Leader Michael Daley, moderated by David Speers. An audience of 100 undecided voters asked questions to the two leaders. Issues discussed included stadium funding, climate change, domestic violence, TAFE funding, the M4 motorway toll. When questioned on Labor's planned TAFE funding increase, Daley was unable to provide a precise figure. Berejiklian was also unable to clarify whether motorists would be charged a toll to travel on the M4 from Parramatta to Penrith. The audience were subsequently asked who they were more inclined to vote for after the debate. 50 favoured Berejiklian, while 25 favoured Daley; a further 25 were undecided.[29][30]

Preferences

In February 2019, it was reported that Shooters, Fishers and Farmers Party and Pauline Hanson's One Nation sent preferences each other's way in the upper house.[31]

Labor leader Michael Daley said the party's head office, instead of the leader's, would decide preference deals on a "seat-by-seat basis". While refusing to rule out Labor dealing with the Shooters, Fishers and Farmers, Daley said Labor would not accept a preference deal with One Nation "because they are a racist party".[32]

The National Party made preference deals with the Liberal Democrats and Christian Democratic Party in the Legislative Council, suggesting that voters give them second and third preferences respectively.[33]

Registered parties

18 parties are registered with the New South Wales Electoral Commission (NSWEC).[34] All eighteen parties nominated candidates for election to the Legislative Council.[35]

{{Col-begin}}{{Col-2}}
  • Advance Australia Party
  • Animal Justice Party
  • Australian Conservatives
  • Australian Labor Party
  • Christian Democratic Party (Fred Nile Group)
  • Country Labor Party
  • Flux Party
  • Greens NSW
  • Keep Sydney Open
{{Col-2}}
  • Liberal Democratic Party
  • Liberal Party of Australia
  • National Party of Australia
  • Pauline Hanson's One Nation
  • Shooters, Fishers and Farmers Party
  • Small Business Party
  • Socialist Alliance
  • Sustainable Australia
  • Voluntary Euthanasia Party
{{Col-end}}

Retiring MPs

The seat of Wollondilly was vacated following the resignation of Liberal MP Jai Rowell on 17 December 2018.[36]

Members who chose not to renominate for the 2019 election were as follows:

Labor

  • Luke Foley MP (Auburn) – announced 9 November 2018[37]
  • Ernest Wong MLC – lost preselection 12 June 2018[38]

Liberal

  • Greg Aplin MP (Albury) – announced 1 August 2018[39]
  • Glenn Brookes MP (East Hills) – announced 4 August 2018[40]
  • Pru Goward MP (Goulburn) – announced 19 December 2018[41]
  • Chris Patterson MP (Camden) – announced 28 September 2018[42]
  • David Clarke MLC – announced retirement September 2018[43]
  • Scot MacDonald MLC – announced 12 November 2018[44]

Nationals

  • Andrew Fraser MP (Coffs Harbour) – announced 14 June 2018[45]
  • Thomas George MP (Lismore) – announced 30 June 2017[46]
  • Troy Grant MP (Dubbo) – announced 12 July 2018[47]
  • Kevin Humphries MP (Barwon) – announced 1 June 2017[48]
  • Rick Colless MLC – did not nominate for endorsement

Shooters, Fishers and Farmers

  • Robert Brown MLC – lost preselection 5 February 2019[49]

Date

The parliament has fixed four-year terms with the election held on the fourth Saturday in March,[50] though the Governor may dissolve the house sooner on the advice of the Premier.

Key dates

Key dates for the election were:[51]

  • 25 February: Lodgment of nominations opened
  • 1 March: Legislative Assembly expired
  • 4 March: Issue of Writs
  • 6 March: Close of nominations
  • 11 March: Early voting began
  • 23 March: Election day (polls opened 8am to 6pm)
  • 27 March: Last day for receipt of postal votes
  • 3 April: Estimated Legislative Assembly declaration of results
  • 12 April: Estimated Legislative Council declaration of results

Polling

Graphical summary

{{multiple images|align=left
|image1=NSW state election 2018 polling - two-party preferred votes.svg
|width1=310
|caption1=Two-party-preferred vote.
|image2=NSW state election 2018 polling - primary votes.svg
|width2=310
|caption2=Primary vote.
|footer=Aggregate data of voting intention from all opinion polling since the last election. A local regression trend is shown in a solid line.}}{{clear}}

Polling tables

Legislative Assembly polling
DateFirmPrimary voteTPP vote
LIBNATALPGRNOTHL/NPALP
23 March 2019 Galaxy (Exit Poll)41%36%9%14%50%50%
22 March 2019 Newspoll41%35%10%14%51%49%
19 March 2019 YouGov-Galaxy[52]41%38%9%1%8% Other, 3% SFF}}50%50%
10 March 2019 Newspoll[53]40%36%10%5%9%50%50%
10 March 2019 ReachTel[54][55]35.7%34.1%9.6%5.6%5.8% Other, 4.6% SFF}}49%51%
18 February 2019 Essential[56]39%36%9%8%9%49%51%
30 January 2019 Newspoll[57]39%36%10%6%9%50%50%
29–30 November 2018 YouGov-Galaxy[58]37% 39% 9% 8% 15%48%52%
29 November 2018* Fairfax-ReachTEL[59]36.5% 34.1% 9.6%7.5% 16.6%49%51%
10 November 2018 Michael Daley succeeds Luke Foley as leader of the Labor Party
7 November 2018 Mark Latham is named as leader of One Nation NSW
10 September 2018* Fairfax-ReachTEL[60]35.1% 31.5% 10.5%4.2% 17.3%50%50%
15 March 2018 Fairfax-ReachTEL[61]41.9% 32.5% 9.4%5.1% 10%52%48%
6 March 2018 Newspoll38% 34% 11% 17%50%50%
October–December 2017 Essential[62]40% 39% 9% 12%49%51%
5 October 2017 Fairfax-ReachTEL[63]37.6% 31% 9.1% 22.3%52%48%
February–March 2017 Newspoll[64]40% 34% 10% 16%51%49%
23 January 2017 Gladys Berejiklian becomes Liberal leader and New South Wales Premier
19 January 2017 Fairfax-ReachTEL[65]42.7% 28% 8.4% 20.9%55%45%
18 January 2017 Mike Baird announces resignation as Liberal leader and New South Wales Premier
December 2016 Fairfax-ReachTEL[66]40.6% 32.4% 8% 19%53%47%
October 2016 Roy Morgan[67]37% 31.5% 14% 17.5%48.5%51.5%
August–September 2016 Newspoll[68]42% 36% 11% 11%51%49%
August 2016 Roy Morgan[69]39% 30.5% 13% 17.5%50.5%49.5%
27 August 2016 Fairfax-ReachTEL[70]39.4% 34.9% 8% 9.6% 50% 50%
May 2016 Roy Morgan[71]46% 29% 17% 8%53.5% 46.5%
March 2016 Roy Morgan[72]46% 27% 15.5% 11.5%55%45%
29 Jan – 1 February 2016 Roy Morgan[73]52% 24.5% 14.5% 9%59.5% 40.5%
4–7 Dec 2015 Roy Morgan[74]52% 22.5% 15% 10.5%60.5% 39.5%
16 October 2015 Roy Morgan[75]54% 24.5% 13.5% 8%60.5% 39.5%
September 2015 Newspoll[76]47% 33% 11% 9%56% 44%
28–31 Aug 2015 Roy Morgan[77]49%* 25% 17.5% 8.5%57% 43%
25 June 2015 Roy Morgan[78]49.5%* 27.5% 14% 9%57% 43%
27 May 2015 Roy Morgan[79]53.5%* 29.5% 12% 5%58.5% 41.5%
15 April 2015 Roy Morgan[80]47.5%* 31.0% 12.5% 9.0%54.5% 45.5%
28 March 2015 election35.1%10.5%34.1%10.3%9.9%54.3%45.7%
23–26 March 2015 Newspoll[81] 35% 9% 34% 11% 11%55% 45%[82]
* Indicates a combined Liberal/National primary vote.
Newspoll polling is published in The Australian and sourced from here  
  • The ReachTEL poll on 10 September 2018 includes 5.9% of undecided voters.
  • The ReachTEL poll on 29 November 2018 includes 3.1% of undecided voters.
  • The YouGov-Galaxy poll on 28-29 November 2018 includes 5% of undecided voters.
Better Premier and satisfaction polling*
DateFirmBetter PremierBerejiklianDaley
Berejiklian Daley Satisfied Dissatisfied Satisfied Dissatisfied
22 March 2019 Newspoll43% 35%43%42%32%49%
7 March 2019 UComms/ReachTEL 46.7%53.3%not asked
March 2019 Galaxy38% 36%not asked
10 March 2019 Newspoll41% 34%44%38%37%38%
7 March 2019 UComms/ReachTEL 46.7%53.3%not asked
10 November 2018 Daley replaces Foley as Opposition Leader Berejiklian FoleyBerejiklianFoley
10 September 2018 Fairfax-ReachTEL49.8%50.2%not asked
6 March 2018 Newspoll43% 25%not asked
15 March 2018 Fairfax-ReachTEL52.3% 47.7%not asked
5 October 2017 Fairfax-ReachTEL52.1% 47.9%not asked
February–March 2017 Newspoll43% 21%44%21%32%36%
23 January 2017 Berejiklian replaces Baird as Premier Baird FoleyBairdFoley
December 2016 Fairfax-ReachTEL50.6% 49.4%not asked
October 2016 Roy Morgan52.5% 47.5%not asked
29 September 2016 Newspoll42% 24%39%46%32%39%
27 August 2016 Fairfax-ReachTEL 48.7%51.3%not asked
29 Jan – 1 February 2016 Roy Morgan72% 28%not asked
4–7 Dec 2015 Roy Morgan72.5% 27.5%not asked
16 October 2015 Roy Morgan74.5% 25.5%not asked
September 2015 Newspoll57% 19%63%24%35%37%
25 June 2015 Roy Morgan70% 30%not asked
27 May 2015 Roy Morgan70.5% 29.5%not asked
15 April 2015 Roy Morgan68% 32%not asked
28 March 2015 election–––––––
23–26 Mar 2015 Newspoll54% 27%57%29%38%37%
* Remainder were "uncommitted" or "other/neither".
Newspoll polling is published in The Australian and sourced from here  

Newspaper endorsements

Sunday editions

NewspaperEndorsement
The Sun-Herald Coalition[87]
Sunday Telegraph Coalition[88]
The Australian Financial Review Coalition[83]
The Australian Coalition[84]
The Sydney Morning Herald Coalition[85]
The Daily Telegraph Coalition[86]
Green Left Weekly Socialist Alliance[87]
Red FlagSocialist Alliance &
Greens[88]

The Sunday newspapers both endorsed the Liberal/National Party Coalition over the Labor Party.

The Sun-Herald described Berejiklian's Coalition Government as "solid and safe custodians, and—despite eight years in power and two relatively orderly leadership transitions—there is no particular sense that the Coalition has worn out its welcome". While highlighting her strengths in infrastructure and economic management, it warned that "the electorate tends to respond to a leader who can articulate a more uplifting vision". It contrasted this against Daley, where "questions linger over whether he and his team are ready to govern, partly because of how recently he was thrust into the job, partly because of past connections to tainted figures in the last Labor government and partly of his own making".[89]

The Sunday Telegraph pointed out that despite having commenced many large scale infrastructure projects "the problem for the Government is that nothing is quite finished yet". Despite this, it singled out the Labor Opposition for not having "done enough to atone for the sins of its recent history" of corruption. It called for stability of leadership after a decade of instability, recommending to voters that they "should give the Government the opportunity to see through the transformation of our state".[90]

Weekday editions

All four weekday newspapers endorsed the Liberal/National Party Coalition over the Labor Party.[91]

Alternative newspapers

The Green Left Weekly endorsed Socialist Alliance.[87] The Red Flag endorsed voting for both Socialist Alliance and the Greens.[88]

See also

{{stack|{{Portal|New South Wales|Politics}}}}
  • Candidates of the 2019 New South Wales state election
  • Politics of New South Wales
  • Members of the New South Wales Legislative Assembly, 2015–2019
  • Members of the New South Wales Legislative Council, 2015–2019

Notes

{{notelist}}

References

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3. ^1 2 3 {{cite web|url=https://www.abc.net.au/news/elections/nsw/2019/results|title=Results: NSW Election 2019|work=ABC Elections}}
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6. ^{{cite news|url=https://www.smh.com.au/nsw-election-2019/michael-daley-stands-aside-as-nsw-labor-leader-until-after-federal-election-20190325-p517fu.html |title=Michael Daley stands aside as NSW Labor leader until after federal election |publisher=Sydney Morning Herald |date=25 March 2019 |accessdate=25 March 2019}}
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15. ^{{cite web|url=https://www.smh.com.au/national/nsw/nsw-labor-pledges-5000-extra-teachers-for-public-schools-20190311-p513ar.html |title=NSW Labor pledges 5000 extra teachers for public schools |work=Sydney Morning Herald |date=11 March 2019 |accessdate=2019-03-11}}
16. ^{{cite web|url=https://www.sbs.com.au/news/nsw-labor-leader-michael-daley-apologises-for-foreign-workers-comment |title=NSW Labor leader Michael Daley apologises for foreign workers comment |work=SBS News |accessdate=2019-03-20}}
17. ^{{cite web|url=https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/2019/mar/19/michael-daley-claims-asian-workers-taking-young-peoples-jobs-in-sydney |work=Guardian Australia |title=Michael Daley claims Asian workers taking young people's jobs in Sydney |accessdate=2019-03-20}}
18. ^{{cite web|url=https://www.smh.com.au/nsw-election-2019/they-ve-accepted-what-i-ve-said-daley-forced-to-explain-himself-over-immigrant-comments-20190319-p515ev.html |title='They've accepted what I've said': Daley forced to explain himself over immigrant comments |work=Sydney Morning Herald |date=19 March 2019 |accessdate=2019-03-19}}
19. ^{{cite web|url=https://www.abc.net.au/news/2019-03-17/michael-daley-threatens-to-resign-if-nsw-gun-laws-weakened/10909658 |title=Daley says 'I'll resign' if NSW guns laws change but deal with Shooters Party remains |first=Gerathy |last=Sarah |date=17 March 2019 |website=ABC News |accessdate=22 March 2019}}
20. ^{{cite web|url=https://www.smh.com.au/nsw-election-2019/national-party-asks-voters-to-support-pro-gun-liberal-democrats-20190321-p5169a.html |title=National Party asks voters to support pro-gun Liberal Democrats |first=Lisa |last=Visentin |date=21 March 2019 |website=Sydney Morning Herald |accessdate=22 March 2019}}
21. ^{{cite web|url=https://www.portnews.com.au/story/5968897/nsw-premier-under-fire-over-preferences/?cs=9397 |title=NSW premier under fire over preferences |first=Tom |last=Rabe |date=22 March 2019 |website=Port News |accessdate=22 March 2019}}
22. ^{{cite web|url=https://www.abc.net.au/news/2019-03-08/sydney-stadium-debate-more-to-do-with-politics-than-sport/10880088|title=Sydney stadium debate more to do with blood politics than sport|first=Offsiders columnist Richard|last=Hinds|date=8 March 2019|website=ABC News|accessdate=9 March 2019}}
23. ^{{cite web|url=https://www.abc.net.au/news/2019-03-05/michael-daley-threatens-to-sack-alan-jones-and-scg-trust/10870814|title=Alan Jones told on air he'll be sacked from SCG Trust if Labor wins election|first=Nour|last=Haydar|date=5 March 2019|website=ABC News|accessdate=9 March 2019}}
24. ^{{cite web|url=https://www.michaeldaley.com.au/labor_unveils_war_on_waste |title=Labor unveils war on waste |publisher=MichaelDaley.com |date=9 March 2019 |accessdate=2019-03-11}}
25. ^{{cite news|url=https://www.abc.net.au/news/2019-03-23/mark-latham-wins-nsw-upper-house-seat/10923460|title= NSW election win likely for Mark Latham in Upper House seat for One Nation|publisher=ABC News|date=23 March 2019|access-date=23 March 2019}}
26. ^{{cite news|url=https://startsat60.com/discover/news/politics/one-nation-mark-latham-burqa-ban-sydney-government-buildings |title=‘Ban sexist burqa in government buildings, banks and airports’ says Latham |work=Starts at 60 |date=29 January 2019 |accessdate=7 February 2019}}
27. ^{{cite web|url=http://about.abc.net.au/media-room/nsw-votes-leaders-debate-friday-8-march/ |title=NSW Votes: Leaders’ Debate, Friday 8 March |work=ABC News |location=Australia |date=7 March 2019 |accessdate=2019-03-08}}
28. ^{{cite web|url=https://www.abc.net.au/news/2019-03-08/nsw-election-fiery-leaders-debate-between-berejiklian-and-daley/10885108 |title=Fiery NSW election leaders debate, Gladys Berejiklian tells Michael Daley 'just be honest' |work=ABC News |location=Australia |date=8 March 2019 |accessdate=2019-03-08}}
29. ^{{cite web|url=https://www.news.com.au/national/nsw-act/politics/nsw-election-gladys-berejiklian-emerges-victorious-after-peoples-forum-debate-in-western-sydney/news-story/c8f8893b5cc4b134b47a421ba064c31f |title=NSW election: Gladys Berejiklian emerges victorious after People’s Forum debate in Western Sydney |publisher=News.com.au |date=20 March 2019 |accessdate=2019-03-20}}
30. ^{{cite web|url=https://www.afr.com/news/politics/nsw-political-leaders-fumble-over-details-in-debate-20190321-h1cmbi |title=NNSW political leaders fumble over details in debate |work=Financial Review |date=20 March 2019 |accessdate=2019-03-21}}
31. ^[https://www.parkeschampionpost.com.au/story/5888470/one-nation-and-sff-form-election-deal-mull-possible-pairing/?cs=12 One Nation; Shooters, Fishers and Farmers form election deal] Parkes Champion Post 5 February 2019
32. ^1 {{cite web|url=https://www.smh.com.au/politics/nsw/berejiklian-rules-out-deal-with-shooters-party-to-hold-power-20190203-p50vdg.html|title=Berejiklian rules out deal with Shooters Party to hold power|author1=Smith, Alexandra |author2=O'Sullivan, Matt|date=3 February 2019|website=The Sydney Morning Herald|accessdate=9 March 2019}}
33. ^{{cite web|url=https://www.smh.com.au/nsw-election-2019/national-party-asks-voters-to-support-pro-gun-liberal-democrats-20190321-p5169a.html |title=National Party asks voters to support pro-gun Liberal Democrats |first=Lisa |last=Visentin |date=21 March 2019 |website=Sydney Morning Herald |accessdate=22 March 2019}}
34. ^{{cite web |url=https://www.elections.nsw.gov.au/Funding-and-disclosure/public-register-and-lists/Register-of-Parties/State-Register-of-Parties |title=State Register of Parties |date=17 January 2019 |publisher=NSW Electorial Commission |accessdate=20 January 2019}}
35. ^{{cite web |url=https://www.elections.nsw.gov.au/NSWEC/media/NSWEC/SGE%202019/ballot-papers/LC_Ballot_Paper_NSW_2019.pdf |title=New South Wales 2019 Election - Legislative Council – Ballot Paper |date=8 March 2019 |publisher=NSW Electorial Commission |accessdate=10 March 2019}}
36. ^{{cite news |title=Wollondilly MP Jai Rowell officially steps down |url=https://www.camdenadvertiser.com.au/story/5814760/wollondilly-mp-jai-rowell-officially-steps-down/ |accessdate=31 December 2018 |work=Camden-Narellan Advertiser |date=17 December 2018 |language=en}}
37. ^{{cite news|url=http://www.abc.net.au/news/2018-11-09/luke-foley-to-not-recontest-as-nsw-labor-leader-battle-of-two/10482918 |last=Sas|first=Nick|newspaper=Australian Broadcasting Corporation|date=9 November 2018|title=Luke Foley says he won't re-contest, with battle for NSW Labor leadership now between two}}
38. ^{{cite news | title=ALP takes a Wong turn | work=Daily Telegraph | date=13 June 2018 }}
39. ^{{cite news|url=https://www.bordermail.com.au/story/5561700/times-up-greg-aplin-retiring-from-politics/|title=Member for Albury Greg Aplin has opted not to stand in next year's NSW election due to health concerns|last=Bunn|first=Anthony|newspaper=The Border Mail|date=1 August 2018}}
40. ^{{cite news|url=https://www.smh.com.au/politics/nsw/two-scandals-in-one-term-mp-won-t-recontest-south-western-sydney-seat-20180804-p4zvkd.html|title=Two scandals in one term: MP won't recontest south-western Sydney seat|newspaper=The Sydney Morning Herald|date=4 August 2018|last=Costin|first=Luke}}
41. ^{{cite news |last1=Glanville |first1=Brigid |title=NSW Minister Pru Goward announces retirement from politics |url=https://www.abc.net.au/news/2018-12-19/nsw-minister-pru-goward-to-announce-retirement-from-politics/10633780 |accessdate=19 December 2018 |work=ABC News |date=19 December 2018 |language=en-AU}}
42. ^{{cite news|url=https://www.macarthuradvertiser.com.au/story/5675382/chris-patterson-announces-he-will-not-contest-camden-seat-at-march-election/|title=Chris Patterson announces he will not contest Camden seat at March election|newspaper=Campbelltown-Macarthur Advertiser|date=28 September 2018|last1=Dickins|first1=Roma|last2=Layt|first2=Jess}}
43. ^{{cite news | title=Treasurer rattled in question time | work=Sydney Morning Herald | date=26 September 2018}}
44. ^{{cite news|url=https://www.lakesmail.com.au/story/5752513/hunter-parliamentary-secretary-scot-macdonald-loses-liberal-preselection/|title=Catherine Cusack rolls Scot MacDonald in state Liberal upper house preselection|newspaper=Lakes Mail|last=Kirkwood|first=Ian|date=12 November 2018}}
45. ^{{cite news|url=https://www.coffscoastadvocate.com.au/news/andrew-fraser-to-retire-ahead-of-2018-state-electi/3440684/|title=Andrew Fraser to retire at the 2019 State Election|newspaper=Coffs Coast Advocate|date=14 June 2018|last=Deans|first=Matt}}
46. ^{{cite news|last1=Broome|first1=Hamish|title=Lismore MP Thomas George announces retirement|url=https://www.northernstar.com.au/news/long-serving-lismore-mp-thomas-george-announces-re/3195515/|accessdate=30 June 2017|work=Northern Star|date=30 June 2017}}
47. ^{{cite news |title=Troy Grant, NSW Minister for Police, will not contest the next election |url=http://www.abc.net.au/news/2018-07-12/troy-grant-nsw-minister-for-police-pulls-out-of-election/9985030 |accessdate=13 July 2018 |publisher=ABC News |date=12 July 2018 }}
48. ^{{cite news|url=http://www.theland.com.au/story/4702855/nats-mp-kevin-humphries-to-step-down-in-2019/|title=NSW Nationals MP Kevin Humphries won't recontest Barwon at the 2019 election|last=Druce|first=Alex|date=1 June 2017|newspaper=The Land}}
49. ^{{cite news|url=https://www.smh.com.au/politics/nsw/i-didn-t-see-it-coming-shooters-lead-candidate-knifed-ahead-of-state-election-20190205-p50vrb.html|title="I didn't see it coming": Shooters' lead candidate knifed ahead of state election|last=Visentin|first=Lisa|newspaper=The Sydney Morning Herald|date=5 February 2019}}
50. ^{{cite web|url=http://www.aph.gov.au/About_Parliament/Parliamentary_Departments/Parliamentary_Library/pubs/rp/rp1617/AustralianElectionsTimetable |title=So when is the next election? |publisher=Aph.gov.au |date=1 September 2016 |accessdate=28 September 2017}}
51. ^https://www.elections.nsw.gov.au/Elections/State-Government-Elections/2019-NSW-State-General-Election
52. ^{{cite news|title=Sydney news: Poll reveals NSW election remains deadlocked, police make fresh murder appeal |url=https://www.abc.net.au/news/2019-03-20/sydney-news-morning-briefing-wednesday-march-20/10918246 |accessdate=20 March 2019}}
53. ^{{cite news|title=NSW election set to be close|url=https://www.9news.com.au/2019/03/11/22/59/nsw-election-set-to-be-close|accessdate=11 March 2019}}
54. ^{{Cite news|url=https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/2019/feb/18/essential-poll-shows-one-in-four-nsw-voters-opting-for-minor-parties|title=Essential poll shows one in four NSW voters opting for minor parties|last=Tovey|first=Josephine|date=2019-02-17|work=The Guardian|access-date=2019-02-18|language=en-GB|issn=0261-3077}}
55. ^{{cite web |last1=Smith |first1=Alexandra |title=Sentiment may seem clear but NSW is still the Coalition's to lose |url=https://www.smh.com.au/politics/nsw/sentiment-may-seem-clear-but-nsw-is-still-the-coalition-s-to-lose-20190309-p512z1.html |website=The Sydney Morning Herald |accessdate=10 March 2019 |language=en |date=9 March 2019}}
56. ^{{Cite news|url=https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/2019/feb/18/essential-poll-shows-one-in-four-nsw-voters-opting-for-minor-parties|title=Essential poll shows one in four NSW voters opting for minor parties|last=Tovey|first=Josephine|date=2019-02-17|work=The Guardian|access-date=2019-02-18|language=en-GB|issn=0261-3077}}
57. ^{{cite news|title=Gladys Berejiklian facing minority government after NSW election: Newspoll|url=https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/2019/jan/30/gladys-berejiklian-facing-minority-government-after-nsw-election-newspoll|accessdate=30 January 2019}}
58. ^{{cite news|title=Berejiklian set to lose as internal Liberal chaos derails election hopes|url=https://www.dailytelegraph.com.au/news/nsw/coalition-crisis-as-nsw-heads-for-hung-parliament/news-story/70ca891900442351f1806251a499e1eb|accessdate=1 December 2018|work=Daily Telegraph}}
59. ^{{cite news|last1=Smith|first1=Alexandra|title=Berejiklian set to lose as internal Liberal chaos derails election hopes|url=https://www.smh.com.au/politics/nsw/berejiklian-set-to-lose-as-internal-liberal-chaos-derails-election-hopes-20181130-p50jey.html|accessdate=1 December 2018|work=Sydney Morning Herald}}
60. ^{{cite news|last1=Smith|first1=Alexandra|title=VCoalition neck and neck with Labor as Foley overtakes Berejiklian|url=https://www.smh.com.au/politics/nsw/coalition-neck-and-neck-with-labor-as-foley-overtakes-berejiklian-20180922-p505dn.html|accessdate=23 September 2018|work=The Sydney Morning Herald}}
61. ^{{cite news|last1=Smith|first1=Alexandra|title=Voter revolt on stadiums poses threat to Premier|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20180318054724/http://www.canberratimes.com.au/nsw/voter-revolt-on-stadiums-poses-threat-to-premier-20180316-p4z4rq|accessdate=18 March 2018|work=The Canberra Times}}
62. ^{{cite news|last1=Karp|first1=Paul|title=Gladys Berejiklian's Coalition trails Labor in Guardian Essential polls|url=https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/2018/jan/09/gladys-berejiklians-coalition-trails-labor-in-guardian-essential-polls|accessdate=9 January 2018|work=The Guardian}}
63. ^{{cite web|title=Poll shows Gladys Berejiklian holding her own but minor parties on the march|url=http://www.smh.com.au/nsw/poll-shows-gladys-berejiklian-holding-her-own-but-minor-parties-on-the-march-20171008-gywk8t.html|publisher=ReachTEL|date=9 October 2017}}
64. ^{{cite web|title=Newspoll: Gladys Berejiklian in strong start to NSW premiership|url=http://www.theaustralian.com.au/national-affairs/newspoll/newspoll-gladys-berejiklian-in-strong-start-to-nsw-premiership/news-story/a425b16a035bb0d88c94956efc5c43c7|publisher=Newspoll|date=7 April 2017}}
65. ^{{cite web|title=ReachTEL: 55–45 to Coalition in New South Wales|url=https://blogs.crikey.com.au/pollbludger/2017/01/20/reachtel-55-45-coalition-new-south-wales/|publisher=Crikey|date=20 January 2017}}
66. ^{{cite web|title=Fairfax-ReachTel poll shows NSW premier Mike Baird bouncing back|url=http://www.smh.com.au/nsw/fairfaxreachtel-poll-shows-nsw-premier-mike-baird-bouncing-back-20161202-gt2orz.html|publisher=Fairfax-ReachTel|date=3 December 2016}}
67. ^{{cite web|title=Baird Government drops behind for first time in NSW; Barnett in trouble in Western Australia while Andrews Government still riding high in Victoria despite CFA union dispute|url=http://roymorgan.com/findings/6999-morgan-poll-state-voting-intention-october-2016-201610101716|publisher=Roy Morgan Research|date=10 October 2016}}
68. ^{{cite web|title=Newspoll: Dogs ban sends Mike Baird ratings into freefall|url=http://www.theaustralian.com.au/national-affairs/newspoll/newspoll-dogs-ban-sends-mike-baird-ratings-into-freefall/news-story/91294495701cb40234d342cabd8c103b|publisher=Newspoll|date=29 September 2016}}
69. ^{{cite web|title=Now ‘too close to call’ in New South Wales as Baird support slips while ALP has slight lead in Western Australia and a clear lead in Victoria|url=http://www.roymorgan.com/findings/6956-roy-morgan-state-voting-intention-september-2016-nsw-vic-qld-wa-sa-tas-201609081756|publisher=Roy Morgan Research|date=8 September 2016}}
70. ^{{cite web|title=Support for Mike Baird's government collapses: exclusive poll|url=http://www.smh.com.au/nsw/support-for-baird-government-collapses-20160826-gr1x3y.html?eid=socialn%3Afac-14omn0012-optim-nnn%3Apaid-25%2F06%2F2014-social_traffic-all-postprom-nnn-smh-o&campaign_code=nocode&promote_channel=social_facebook|website=The Sydney Morning Herald|date=27 August 2016|accessdate=27 August 2016}}
71. ^{{cite web|title=L-NP in front in NSW & WA and ALP well in front in Victoria but parties dead-level in Queensland after LNP elect new Leader Tim Nicholls|url=http://www.roymorgan.com/findings/6836-morgan-poll-state-voting-intention-june-2016-201606010708|publisher=Roy Morgan Research|date=1 June 2016}}
72. ^{{cite web|title= ALP increases support in all Australian States. Queensland electors narrowly turn down new election after Referendum on 4-year terms successful|url=http://www.roymorgan.com/findings/6737-morgan-poll-state-voting-intention-april-2016-201604010044|publisher=Roy Morgan Research|date=1 April 2016}}
73. ^{{cite web|title=Nick Xenophon Team (NXT) increases support in South Australia while L-NP well in front in NSW and ALP holds solid lead in Victoria|url=http://www.roymorgan.com/findings/6656-morgan-poll-state-voting-intention-february-2016-201602030229|website=Roy Morgan Research|publisher=Roy Morgan Research|date=3 February 2016|accessdate=4 March 2016}}
74. ^{{cite web|title=Nick Xenophon Team (NXT) scores highly in South Australia while ALP vote down in Victoria but still maintains strong lead|url=http://www.roymorgan.com/findings/6596-morgan-poll-state-voting-intention-december-2015-201512080233|website=Roy Morgan Research|publisher=Roy Morgan Research|date=8 December 2015|accessdate=4 March 2016}}
75. ^{{cite web|title=Popular Premiers Mike Baird & Daniel Andrews have large leads in NSW & Victoria while other States are close|url=http://www.roymorgan.com/findings/6498-morgan-poll-state-voting-intention-october-2015-201510160412|website=Roy Morgan Research|publisher=Roy Morgan Research|accessdate=17 October 2015}}
76. ^{{cite news|title=Newspoll|url=http://resources.news.com.au/files/2015/09/25/1227542/909501-150925newspoll.pdf|accessdate=25 September 2015|work=The Australian|date=25 September 2015}}
77. ^{{cite web|url=http://www.roymorgan.com/findings/6429-morgan-poll-state-voting-intention-september-2015-201509020510|title=Popular Premiers Mike Baird & Daniel Andrews have large leads in NSW & Victoria while other States except Tasmania are close |website=Roy Morgan Research|date=3 September 2015|accessdate=3 September 2015}}
78. ^{{cite web|url=http://www.roymorgan.com/findings/6315-morgan-poll-sms-state-voting-intention-june-2015-201506250218|title=Mike Baird & Daniel Andrews have large leads in NSW & Victoria while Annastacia Palaszczuk regains lead in Queensland|website=Roy Morgan|accessdate=9 March 2019}}
79. ^{{cite web|url=http://www.roymorgan.com/findings/6261-morgan-poll-state-voting-intention-may-2015-201505270543|title=Honeymoons continue for NSW Premier Baird & Victorian Premier Andrews while the honeymoon is over for Queensland Premier Palaszczuk|website=Roy Morgan|accessdate=9 March 2019}}
80. ^{{cite web|url=http://www.roymorgan.com/findings/6159-morgan-poll-state-voting-intention-april-2015-201504150230|title=NSW Premier Mike Baird enjoys clear honeymoon lead; Voters in Queensland back Premier Palaszczuk after strong stance on Billy Gordon|website=Roy Morgan|accessdate=9 March 2019}}
81. ^http://resources.news.com.au/files/2015/03/27/1227281/937840-150328poll.pdf
82. ^Preference allocation based on previous election. Respondent-allocated vote was 52% L/NP, 48% ALP
83. ^{{cite news |title=NSW Coalition deserves to finish job it started |url=https://www.afr.com/opinion/nsw-coalition-deserves-to-finish-job-it-started-20190320-h1cm4j |accessdate=21 March 2019 |work=The Australian Financial Review |date=21 March 2019}}
84. ^{{cite news |title=Coalition is best option to keep state safe and strong |url=https://www.theaustralian.com.au/opinion/editorials/coalition-is-best-option-to-keep-state-safe-and-strong/news-story/589d494gf084b8650ff795f615d4e8bc |accessdate=22 March 2019 |work=The Australian |date=22 March 2019}}
85. ^{{cite news |title=Coalition deserves a third term to get the job done |url=https://www.smh.com.au/politics/nsw/coalition-deserves-a-third-term-to-get-the-job-done-20190321-p51662.html |accessdate=22 March 2019 |work=The Sydney Morning Herald |date=22 March 2019 |language=en}}
86. ^{{cite news |title=Gladys Berejiklian and team earned another term |url=https://www.dailytelegraph.com.au/news/opinion/the-daily-telegraph-editorial-gladys-berejiklian-and-her-team-have-earned-another-term/news-story/613f79c91c22bec60df0c09c86350659 |accessdate=22 March 2019 |work=The Daily Telegraph |date=22 March 2019}}
87. ^1 {{cite web |title=Making sustainable transport a reality |url=https://www.greenleft.org.au/content/making-sustainable-transport-reality |website=Green Left Weekly |accessdate=22 March 2019 |language=en |date=22 February 2019}}
88. ^1 {{cite web |last1=Lees |first1=Josh |title=NSW election: a road to nowhere {{!}} Red Flag |url=https://redflag.org.au/node/6709 |website=redflag.org.au |accessdate=22 March 2019 |language=en}}
89. ^1 {{cite news|title=A week to go and the election is the Coalition's to lose|date=17 March 2019|newspaper=Sun-Herald|url=https://www.smh.com.au/nsw-election-2019/a-week-to-go-and-the-election-is-the-coalition-s-to-lose-20190315-p514mi.html}}
90. ^1 {{cite news|title=Our best chance is Gladys|date=17 March 2019|newspaper=Sunday Telegraph|page=102}}
91. ^{{cite news |title=Newspapers endorse Gladys Berejiklian ahead of NSW election |url=https://mediaweek.com.au/newspapers-endorse-gladys-berejiklian-ahead-of-nsw-election/ |accessdate=22 March 2019 |work=Mediaweek |date=22 March 2019 |language=en-AU}}

External links

  • [https://www.elections.nsw.gov.au/Elections/State-Government-Elections/2019-NSW-State-General-Election NSW Electoral Commission: 2019 NSW State election]
  • [https://www.abc.net.au/news/elections/nsw-election-2019/ ABC Elections: 2019 New South Wales Election]
{{New South Wales elections}}{{Government of New South Wales}}{{Politics of Australia}}

6 : Elections in New South Wales|2019 elections in Australia|2010s in New South Wales|March 2019 events|New South Wales Legislative Council|Current elections
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