词条 | Daria Khaltourina |
释义 |
Mathematical modeling of global dynamicsIn this field she has proposed one of the most convincing mathematical explanations for von Foerster's Doomsday Equation.[3] In collaboration with her colleagues, Artemy Malkov and Andrey Korotayev, she has shown that till the 1970s the hyperbolic growth of the world population was accompanied by quadratic-hyperbolic growth of the world GDP, and developed a number of mathematical models describing both this phenomenon, and the World System withdrawal from the blow-up regime observed in the recent decades. The hyperbolic growth of the world population and quadratic-hyperbolic growth of the world GDP observed till the 1970s have been correlated by him and his colleagues to a non-linear second order positive feedback between the demographic growth and technological development that can be spelled out as follows: technological growth – increase in the carrying capacity of land for people – demographic growth – more people – more potential inventors – acceleration of technological growth – accelerating growth of the carrying capacity – the faster population growth – accelerating growth of the number of potential inventors – faster technological growth – hence, the faster growth of the Earth's carrying capacity for people, and so on.[4] Russian demographic crisisIn collaboration with Andrey Korotayev she has made a significant contribution to the study of the factors of the current Russian demographic crisis. They have demonstrated that post-Soviet Russia experiences one of the world's highest prevalence of alcohol-related problems, which contributes to high mortality rates in this region. Reduction in alcohol-related problems in Russia can have strong effects on mortality decline. They have analyzed the plausibility of application of general principles of alcohol policy translated in the Russian Federation. Khaltourina has shown that alcohol policy approaches could be implemented in the same ways as they have been in other countries. In addition, according to Khaltourina, there should be special attention to decreasing distilled spirits consumption, illegal alcohol production, nonbeverage alcohol consumption, and enforcement of current governmental regulations.[5] In late 2014 they correctly predicted the growth of mortality in Russia to start in early 2015.[6] Myths, genes, and deep historyKhaltourina was also one of the pioneers (together with Andrey Korotayev) of the study of correlation between spatial distributions of folklore-mythological motifs and genetic markers, as well as linguistic and sociostructural characteristics, and produced in this area significant results with respect to the deep history reconstruction.[7] As is noticed by Julien d'Huy et al., "Korotayev and Khaltourina [8] showed statistical correlation between spatial distributions of mythological motifs and genetic markers, considerably above the 4,000 km... Such correlations allow us to reconstruct in detail the mythology... brought to the New World from South Siberia by three Paleolithic migration waves".[9] Literacy and the Spirit of CapitalismKhaltourina and her colleagues have demonstrated that Protestantism has indeed influenced positively the capitalist development of respective social systems not so much through the "Protestant ethics" (as was suggested by Max Weber) but rather through the promotion of literacy.[10] Select publicationsShe has authored over 120 scholarly publications. These include
Among her more important articles are
References1. ^Круглый стол "Влияние государственной политики производства алкоголя на смертность населения: законодательный аспект" {{authority control}}{{DEFAULTSORT:Khaltourina, Daria}}2. ^URSS.ru – Buy the book: Korotayev A., Khaltourina D. / Introduction to Social Macrodynamics: Secular Cycles and Millennial Trends in Africa / Korotayev A., Khaltourina D. / IS... 3. ^Korotayev A., Malkov A., Khaltourina D. Introduction to Social Macrodynamics. Secular Cycles and Millennial Trends. Moscow: URSS, 2006. 4. ^See, e.g., [https://www.academia.edu/32757085/Introduction_to_Social_Macrodynamics._Models_of_the_World_System_Development._Moscow_KomKniga_URSS_2006 Introduction to Social Macrodynamics: Compact Macromodels of the World System Growth]. Moscow: URSS Publishers, 2006. 5. ^See, e.g., Russian Demographic Crisis in Cross-National Perspective. Russia and Globalization: Identity, Security, and Society in an Era of Change. Ed. by D. W. Blum. Baltimore, MD: Johns Hopkins University Press, 2008. P. 37-78; Khaltourina, D. A., & Korotayev, A. V. 'Potential for alcohol policy to decrease the mortality crisis in Russia', Evaluation & the Health Professions, vol. 31, no. 3, Sep 2008. pp. 272–281. 6. ^Critical 10 Years. Demographic Policies of the Russian Federation: Successes and Challenges. – Moscow: Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration, 2015. P. 101-123.. 7. ^[https://www.academia.edu/32351421/%D0%9C%D0%B8%D1%84%D1%8B_%D0%B8_%D0%B3%D0%B5%D0%BD%D1%8B._%D0%93%D0%BB%D1%83%D0%B1%D0%BE%D0%BA%D0%B0%D1%8F_%D0%B8%D1%81%D1%82%D0%BE%D1%80%D0%B8%D1%87%D0%B5%D1%81%D0%BA%D0%B0%D1%8F_%D1%80%D0%B5%D0%BA%D0%BE%D0%BD%D1%81%D1%82%D1%80%D1%83%D0%BA%D1%86%D0%B8%D1%8F_%D0%9C._%D0%9B%D0%B8%D0%B1%D1%80%D0%BE%D0%BA%D0%BE%D0%BC_2011_ Myths and Genes. A Deep Historical Reconstruction. Moscow: Librokom/URSS, 2011]. 8. ^[https://www.academia.edu/32351421/%D0%9C%D0%B8%D1%84%D1%8B_%D0%B8_%D0%B3%D0%B5%D0%BD%D1%8B._%D0%93%D0%BB%D1%83%D0%B1%D0%BE%D0%BA%D0%B0%D1%8F_%D0%B8%D1%81%D1%82%D0%BE%D1%80%D0%B8%D1%87%D0%B5%D1%81%D0%BA%D0%B0%D1%8F_%D1%80%D0%B5%D0%BA%D0%BE%D0%BD%D1%81%D1%82%D1%80%D1%83%D0%BA%D1%86%D0%B8%D1%8F_%D0%9C._%D0%9B%D0%B8%D0%B1%D1%80%D0%BE%D0%BA%D0%BE%D0%BC_2011_ Myths and Genes. A Deep Historical Reconstruction. Moscow: Librokom/URSS, 2011]. 9. ^[https://halshs.archives-ouvertes.fr/halshs-01673385/document d'Huy, J., Le Quellec, J. L., Berezkin, Y., Lajoye, P., & Uther, H. J. (2017). Studying folktale diffusion needs unbiased dataset. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America]. https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.1714884114 10. ^Korotayev A., Malkov A., Khaltourina D. (2006), Introduction to Social Macrodynamics, Moscow: URSS, {{ISBN|5-484-00414-4}} ([https://www.academia.edu/15328502/Reconsidering_Weber_Literacy_and_the_Spirit_of_Capitalism Chapter 6: Reconsidering Weber: Literacy and "the Spirit of Capitalism"]). P.87-91. 11. ^Korotayev A., Malkov A., Khaltourina D. (2006), Introduction to Social Macrodynamics, Moscow: URSS, {{ISBN|5-484-00414-4}} (Chapter 6: Reconsidering Weber: Literacy and "the Spirit of Capitalism"). P.88-91. 21 : 1978 births|Living people|Russian social scientists|Russian demographers|Cultural academics|Futurologists|Systems scientists|Russian Africanists|Urban theorists|Russian sociologists|Russian anthropologists|Russian economists|Russian women economists|Russian historians|Development specialists|Anthropologists of religion|Cross-cultural studies|People from Moscow|Russian State University for the Humanities alumni|Women anthropologists|Women historians |
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