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词条 2019 Melilla Assembly election
释义

  1. Electoral system

  2. Opinion polls

  3. Notes

  4. References

{{Infobox election
| election_name = 2019 Melilla Assembly election
| country = Melilla
| type = parliamentary
| ongoing = yes
| previous_election = 2015 Melilla Assembly election
| previous_year = 2015
| next_election =
| next_year =
| outgoing_members =
| elected_members =
| seats_for_election = All 25 seats in the Assembly of Melilla
| majority_seats = 13
| opinion_polls =
| registered =
| turnout =
| election_date = 26 May 2019
| image1 =
| leader1 = Juan José Imbroda
| party1 = People's Party (Spain)
| leader_since1 = 20 July 2000
| last_election1 = 13 seats, 48.1%{{efn|Aggregated data for PP and PPL in the 2015 election.}}
| seats_before1 = 13
| seats_needed1 = 0
| seats1 =
| seat_change1 =
| popular_vote1 =
| percentage1 =
| swing1 =
| image2 =
| leader2 = Mustafa Aberchán
| party2 = Coalition for Melilla
| leader_since2 = 2 October 1995
| last_election2 = 7 seats, 26.4%
| seats_before2 = 7
| seats_needed2 = 16
| seats2 =
| seat_change2 =
| popular_vote2 =
| percentage2 =
| swing2 =
| image3 =
| leader3 = Gloria Rojas
| party3 = Spanish Socialist Workers' Party
| leader_since3 = 24 November 2014
| last_election3 = 3 seats, 12.6%
| seats_before3 = 3
| seats_needed3 = 10
| seats3 =
| seat_change3 =
| popular_vote3 =
| percentage3 =
| swing3 =
| image4 =
| leader4 = Eduardo de Castro
| party4 = Citizens (Spanish political party)
| leader_since4 = 23 February 2015
| last_election4 = 2 seats, 6.8%
| seats_before4 = 2
| seats_needed4 = 11
| seats4 =
| seat_change4 =
| popular_vote4 =
| percentage4 =
| swing4 =
| title = Mayor-President
| before_election = Juan José Imbroda
| before_party = People's Party (Spain)
| after_election =
| after_party =
}}

The 2019 Melilla Assembly election, will be held on Sunday, 26 May 2019, to elect the 7th Assembly of the Autonomous City of Melilla. All 25 seats in the Assembly will be up for election. The election will be held simultaneously with regional elections in at least seven autonomous communities and local elections all throughout Spain, as well as the 2019 European Parliament election.

Electoral system

The Assembly of Melilla is the top-tier administrative and governing body of the autonomous city of Melilla. Voting for the Assembly is on the basis of universal suffrage, which comprises all nationals over eighteen, registered and residing in the municipality of Melilla and in full enjoyment of their political rights, as well as resident non-national European citizens and those whose country of origin allows Spanish nationals to vote in their own elections by virtue of a treaty.[1][2][3]

The 25 members of the Assembly of Melilla are elected using the D'Hondt method and a closed list proportional representation, with a threshold of 5 percent of valid votes—which includes blank ballots—being applied. Parties not reaching the threshold are not taken into consideration for seat distribution.[1][2][3]

The Mayor-President is indirectly elected by the plenary assembly. A legal clause requires that mayoral candidates earn the vote of an absolute majority of members, or else the candidate of the most-voted party in the assembly shall be automatically appointed to the post. In case of a tie, a toss-up would determine the appointee.[3]

The electoral law provides that parties, federations, coalitions and groupings of electors are allowed to present lists of candidates. However, groupings of electors are required to secure the signature of a determined amount of the electors registered in Melilla. Concurrently, parties and federations intending to enter in coalition to take part jointly at an election are required to inform the relevant Electoral Commission within ten days of the election being called.[1][2]

Opinion polls

The table below lists voting intention estimates in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first and using the dates when the survey fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. Where the fieldwork dates are unknown, the date of publication is given instead. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed with its background shaded in the leading party's colour. If a tie ensues, this is applied to the figures with the highest percentages. The "Lead" column on the right shows the percentage-point difference between the parties with the highest percentages in a given poll. When available, seat projections are also displayed below the voting estimates in a smaller font. 13 seats are required for an absolute majority in the Assembly of Melilla.

Polling firm/CommissionerFieldwork dateSample sizeTurnoutPPLLead
electoPanel/electomania.es[4] 22 Feb–31 Mar 2019??{{font>size=75%|font=Verdana|text=5}}35.0
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=10}}		{{font>size=75%|font=Verdana|text=4}}{{font>size=75%|font=Verdana|text=2}}name="PP"|Within PP.}}name="UP"|Within Unidos Podemos.}} –{{font>size=75%|font=Verdana|text=4}}{{font>size=75%|font=Verdana|text=0}}14.4
electoPanel/electomania.es[5] 22 Feb–24 Mar 2019??{{font>size=75%|font=Verdana|text=6}}34.8
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=9}}		{{font>size=75%|font=Verdana|text=4}}{{font>size=75%|font=Verdana|text=2}}name="PP"}}name="UP"}} –{{font>size=75%|font=Verdana|text=4}}{{font>size=75%|font=Verdana|text=0}}13.9
electoPanel/electomania.es[6] 22 Feb–17 Mar 2019??{{font>size=75%|font=Verdana|text=5}}34.8
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=9}}		{{font>size=75%|font=Verdana|text=4}}{{font>size=75%|font=Verdana|text=2}}name="PP"}}name="UP"}} –{{font>size=75%|font=Verdana|text=5}}{{font>size=75%|font=Verdana|text=0}}14.5
electoPanel/electomania.es[7] 22 Feb–10 Mar 2019??{{font>size=75%|font=Verdana|text=5}}34.8
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=9}}		{{font>size=75%|font=Verdana|text=4}}{{font>size=75%|font=Verdana|text=2}}name="PP"}}name="UP"}} –{{font>size=75%|font=Verdana|text=5}}{{font>size=75%|font=Verdana|text=0}}14.8
electoPanel/electomania.es[8] 22 Feb–3 Mar 2019??{{font>size=75%|font=Verdana|text=5}}35.0
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=9}}		{{font>size=75%|font=Verdana|text=4}}{{font>size=75%|font=Verdana|text=2}}name="PP"}}name="UP"}} –{{font>size=75%|font=Verdana|text=5}}{{font>size=75%|font=Verdana|text=0}}15.1
SyM Consulting[9][10] 1–2 Feb 2019 464 55.8{{font>size=75%|font=Verdana|text=6/7}}33.2
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=9}}		{{font>size=75%|font=Verdana|text=3/4}}{{font>size=75%|font=Verdana|text=1}}name="PP"|Within PP.}} – –{{font>size=75%|font=Verdana|text=5}} –9.8
SyM Consulting[11] 11 Jan 2019??{{font>size=75%|font=Verdana|text=5/6}}36.1
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=10}}		{{font>size=75%|font=Verdana|text=2}}{{font>size=75%|font=Verdana|text=2/3}}name="PP"}} – –{{font>size=75%|font=Verdana|text=5}} –15.2
SyM Consulting[12] 7–9 Sep 2018 506 59.236.5
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=10}}		{{font>size=75%|font=Verdana|text=8/9}}{{font>size=75%|font=Verdana|text=3}}{{font>size=75%|font=Verdana|text=3/4}}name="PP"}}{{font>size=75%|font=Verdana|text=0}} – – –4.6
SyM Consulting[13] 24–26 Apr 2018 521 57.232.2
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=9}}		{{font>size=75%|font=Verdana|text=8/9}}{{font>size=75%|font=Verdana|text=3}}{{font>size=75%|font=Verdana|text=4/5}}name="PP"}}{{font>size=75%|font=Verdana|text=0}} – – –0.6
SyM Consulting[14][15] 8–9 Jan 2018 491 58.032.8
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=8/9}}		{{font>size=75%|font=Verdana|text=8/9}}{{font>size=75%|font=Verdana|text=2/3}}{{font>size=75%|font=Verdana|text=4/5}}name="PP"}}{{font>size=75%|font=Verdana|text=0}} – – –2.2
SyM Consulting[16] 13–14 Jun 2017 531 60.439.9
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=11}}		{{font>size=75%|font=Verdana|text=8/9}}{{font>size=75%|font=Verdana|text=2/3}}{{font>size=75%|font=Verdana|text=3}}name="PP"}}{{font>size=75%|font=Verdana|text=0}} – – –9.2
SyM Consulting[17][18][19] 14–15 Mar 2017 535 67.538.1
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=10/11}}		{{font>size=75%|font=Verdana|text=8}}{{font>size=75%|font=Verdana|text=2/3}}{{font>size=75%|font=Verdana|text=2/3}}name="PP"}}{{font>size=75%|font=Verdana|text=0}}{{font>size=75%|font=Verdana|text=0}} – –10.1
SyM Consulting[20][21][22] 10–11 Jan 2017 546 64.837.6
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=10}}		{{font>size=75%|font=Verdana|text=8}}{{font>size=75%|font=Verdana|text=2}}{{font>size=75%|font=Verdana|text=3}}name="PP"}}{{font>size=75%|font=Verdana|text=2}}{{font>size=75%|font=Verdana|text=0}} – –10.0
2016 general election 26 Jun 2016 {{N/A}} 47.649.9
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=13}}		 –{{font>size=75%|font=Verdana|text=7}}{{font>size=75%|font=Verdana|text=3}} –name="UP"}}{{font>size=75%|font=Verdana|text=0}} –{{font>size=75%|font=Verdana|text=2}}24.8
2015 general election 20 Dec 2015 {{N/A}} 49.443.9
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=12}}		 –{{font>size=75%|font=Verdana|text=6}}{{font>size=75%|font=Verdana|text=4}} –{{font>size=75%|font=Verdana|text=3}}{{font>size=75%|font=Verdana|text=0}} – –19.3
2015 Assembly election 24 May 2015 {{N/A}} 56.142.7
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=12}}		{{font>size=75%|font=Verdana|text=7}}{{font>size=75%|font=Verdana|text=3}}{{font>size=75%|font=Verdana|text=2}}{{font>size=75%|font=Verdana|text=1}}{{font>size=75%|font=Verdana|text=0}}{{font>size=75%|font=Verdana|text=0}} – –16.3

Notes

{{notelist}}

References

Opinion poll sources
1. ^1 2 {{cite act |title=General Electoral System Organic Law of 1985 |type=Organic Law |number=5 |work=Official State Gazette |language=Spanish |date=19 June 1985 |url=https://www.boe.es/buscar/act.php?id=BOE-A-1985-11672&tn=1&p=20180117 |accessdate=8 April 2018}}
2. ^1 2 {{cite web |url=http://www.juntaelectoralcentral.es/cs/jec/documentos/LOREG_ENG |title=Representation of the people Institutional Act |author= |date= |website=juntaelectoralcentral.es |publisher=Central Electoral Commission |accessdate=16 June 2017}}
3. ^1 2 {{cite act |title=Statute of Autonomy of Melilla of 1995 |type=Law |number=2 |work=Official State Gazette |language=Spanish |date=13 March 1995 |url=https://www.boe.es/buscar/act.php?id=BOE-A-1995-6359 |accessdate=7 April 2018}}
4. ^{{cite web |title=ElectoPanel municipales (4A): Madrid en Pie no consigue entrar en el Ayuntamiento |url=http://electomania.es/electopanel-municipales-4a-madrid-en-pie-no-consigue-entrar-en-el-ayuntamiento/ |language=Spanish |work=electomania.es |date=4 April 2019}}
5. ^{{cite web |title=ElectoPanel Municipales (28M). Mayorías ajustadas en varias ciudades |url=http://electomania.es/electopanel-municipales-28m-mayorias-ajustadas-en-varias-ciudades/ |language=Spanish |work=electomania.es |date=28 March 2019}}
6. ^{{cite web |title=ElectoPanel para municipales (21M): situación estable en la última semana |url=http://electomania.es/ep21m/ |language=Spanish |work=electomania.es |date=21 March 2019}}
7. ^{{cite web |title=ElectoPanel grandes áreas metropolitanas 14M: la izquierda resiste en Valencia, Madrid se le escapa a Carmena |url=http://electomania.es/ep14m/ |language=Spanish |work=electomania.es |date=14 March 2019}}
8. ^{{cite web |title=ElectoPanel municipal: distintas mayorías posibles y mucha igualdad en varias ciudades |url=http://electomania.es/ep7m/ |language=Spanish |work=electomania.es |date=7 March 2019}}
9. ^{{cite web |title=#encuesta #elecciones en #Melilla. #BCM #Febrero2019 |url=https://www.sociored.net/barometro/?p=2644 |language=Spanish |work=SyM Consulting |date=9 February 2019}}
10. ^{{cite web |title=Estimación oleada Enero 2019 Melilla. Autonómicas 2019 |url=https://twitter.com/Barometrocm/status/1094160259231477760 |language=Spanish |work=SyM Consulting |date=9 February 2019}}
11. ^{{cite web |title=Una encuesta sobre las elecciones de mayo en Melilla da una unos resultados sorprendentes |url=https://www.melillahoy.es/noticia/113805/politica/una-encuesta-sobre-las-elecciones-de-mayo-en-melilla-da-una-unos-resultados-sorprendentes.html |language=Spanish |work=Melilla Hoy |date=11 January 2019}}
12. ^{{cite web |title=Estimación oleada Septiembre 2018. Melilla. Autonómicas Mayo 2019 |url=https://twitter.com/Barometrocm/status/1044272043640926208 |language=Spanish |work=SyM Consulting |date=24 September 2018}}
13. ^{{cite web |title=Estimación oleada Abril 2018. Melilla. Autonómicas Mayo 2019 |url=https://twitter.com/Barometrocm/status/991629586000695296 |language=Spanish |work=SyM Consulting |date=2 May 2018}}
14. ^{{cite web |title=Estimación oleada Enero 2018. Melilla. Autonómicas Mayo 2019 |url=https://twitter.com/Barometrocm/status/963505412225032193 |language=Spanish |work=SyM Consulting |date=13 February 2018}}
15. ^{{cite web |title=MELILLA. Elecciones autonómicas. Sondeo SyM Consulting, Febrero 2018 |url=https://www.electograph.com/2018/02/melilla-elecciones-autonomicas-sondeo.html |language=Spanish |work=Electograph |date=13 February 2018}}
16. ^{{cite web |title=Estimación oleada Junio 2017. Melilla. Autonómicas Mayo 2019 |url=https://twitter.com/Barometrocm/status/876867902330294273 |language=Spanish |work=SyM Consulting |date=19 June 2017}}
17. ^{{cite web |title=Al PP se le resiste la mayoría absoluta |url=http://www.luzdemelilla.es/index.php/melilla-politica/item/10963-al-pp-se-le-resiste-la-mayoria-absoluta |language=Spanish |work=La Luz de Melilla |date=23 March 2017}}
18. ^{{cite web |title=Estimación oleada Marzo 2017. Melilla. Autonómicas Mayo 2019 |url=https://twitter.com/Barometrocm/status/845196660372267009 |language=Spanish |work=SyM Consulting |date=24 March 2017}}
19. ^{{cite web |title=MELILLA, Marzo 2017. Sondeo SyM Consulting |url=https://www.electograph.com/2017/03/melilla-marzo-2017-sondeo-sym-consulting.html |language=Spanish |work=Electograph |date=24 March 2017}}
20. ^{{cite web |title=El pacto PP-PPL resta y arrastra a los populares hasta los 10 escaños |url=http://www.luzdemelilla.es/index.php/semanario-la-luz/item/10372-la-luz-de-melilla-numero-185-del-8-de-febrero-de-2017 |language=Spanish |work=La Luz de Melilla |date=8 February 2017}}
21. ^{{cite web |title=Estimación oleada Enero 2017. Melilla. Autonómicas Mayo 2019 |url=https://twitter.com/Barometrocm/status/829336901194752001 |language=Spanish |work=SyM Consulting |date=8 February 2017}}
22. ^{{cite web |title=MELILLA, Enero 2017. Sondeo SyM Consulting |url=https://www.electograph.com/2017/02/melilla-enero-2017-sondeo-sym-consulting.html |language=Spanish |work=Electograph |date=8 February 2017}}
Other
{{reflist}}{{Melilla elections}}{{Regional elections in Spain in the 2010s}}

2 : 2019 elections in Spain|Elections in Melilla
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