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词条 Jeffrey Currie
释义

  1. Early life

  2. Career

  3. Awards & honours

  4. References

{{Orphan|date=December 2018}}{{Infobox economist
| name = Jeff Currie
| image =
| caption=
| birth_date = {{birth date and age |mf=yes|1966|11|10}}
| birth_place = Reno, Nevada
| death_date =
| death_place =
| nationality = American and British
| ethnicity =
| institution = Goldman Sachs|
| alma_mater = {{plainlist|
  • University of Chicago (MA, PhD 1996)
  • Pepperdine University (BA 1987)

}}
| field = {{plainlist|
  • Applied economics
  • Energy economics

}}
| influences = {{plainlist|
  • George S. Tolley
  • Arnold Zellner

}}
| awards = {{plainlist|
  • Zellner Thesis Award 1997
  • CNBC Analyst of the Year 2011

}}
}}Jeff Currie (born 10 November 1966) is an economist and the Global Head of Commodities Research in the Global Investment Research Division at Goldman Sachs. He rose to prominence during the 2000’s by forecasting the commodity super-cycle and oil spiking above $100 a barrel.[1][2] He has been labelled a "maverick" for making bold calls that 'pack a punch'.[3] More recently, he has been known for forecasting oil to stay lower for longer to end the shale supply glut.[2]

Early life

Born in Reno, Nevada, on 10 November 1966, Currie attended Sprague High School in Salem, Oregon, before attending Pepperdine University, in Malibu, California, where he obtained a Bachelor of Arts Economics in December 1987.

Currie earned a Master of Arts Economics at the University of Chicago in December 1990, and a PhD in economics from the university in June 1996.

Career

Currie joined Goldman Sachs in 1996, where he became Managing Director in 2002 before being named Global Head of Commodities Research in 2006, and a partner in 2008. Between 2010 and 2012, Currie was the European co-head of Economics, Commodities and Strategy Research, where he was based in London.[3]

In July 2003, Currie was selected as one of eight leading gas and energy executives by the United States Senate House Energy and Commerce Committee to discuss the then natural gas supply-demand imbalance.[4]

In April 2004, Currie warned of the ‘revenge of the old economy’ after decades of a lack of investment in the old economy, claiming that higher commodity prices were likely needed to attracted capital. Three months later, in July 2004, Currie authored a Goldman Sachs report that forecasted rising long-term oil prices, arguing that the ‘global oil industry is at capacity’.[5]

In March 2007, Currie authored a Goldman Sachs report title Food, Feed and Fuel, which argued the demand pull from food, feed and fuel represented the beginning of a structural increase in prices. Several months later, in July 2007, Currie discussed with Bloomberg the potential impact rising oil prices could have on the global economy. He correctly predicted that oil prices would ‘exceed $90 by the end of 2007.[6]

Currie jolted global commodity markets in April 2011 by closing a Chinathemed trading recommendation to be long a basket of crude oil, copper, cotton and platinum (CCCP).[7] The Commodity Market crashed several weeks later.[8] Currie then correctly foresaw the biggest decline in the price of gold for three decades, in April 2013, two days ahead of the crash.[9]

Currie co-authored a Goldman Sachs Report in June 2014, titled 'Unlocking the economic potential of North America’s energy resources', published at the North American Energy Summit. The report called for a focus on unlocking North America’s natural gas potential.[10] Later that year, in October 2014, Currie discussed the ‘New Oil Order’, arguing that the United States’ shale revolution was reshaping global energy markets and forcing them to reassess supply and demand balance.[11]

At the beginning of 2015, Currie forecasted that oil prices would stay ‘lower for longer’.[12]

In November 2017, during an interview with Bloomberg, Currie stated that Bitcoin should be considered a commodity that shares many similarities with gold.[13]

He is a regular commentator on commodity markets and cryptocurrency, featuring on Sky News, Bloomberg and CNBC.[14]

Awards & honours

Currie’s PhD thesis, titled The Geographic Extent of the Market: Theory and Application to US Petroleum Market, won the Zellner Thesis Award from the American Statistical Association in 1997.[15]

In 2011, City A.M. named Currie as the CNBC Analyst of the Year.[16]

References

1. ^[https://ftalphaville.ft.com/2011/04/12/543276/goldman-jolts-commodities-market/ "Goldman jolts commodities market"]
2. ^[https://www.washingtonpost.com/sf/brand-connect/wp/enterprise/lower-for-longer-the-impact-of-the-new-oil-order/?noredirect=on "Lower for longer? The impact of “The New Oil Order”"]
3. ^"Jeffrey R. Currie Global Investment Research"
4. ^"Jeffrey R. Currie Global Investment Research"
5. ^"Costly crude not the end of the story for oil majors"
6. ^[https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2007-07-20/oil-opec-in-charge-90-on-the-way-businessweek-business-news-stock-market-and-financial-advice "Oil: OPEC in Charge, $90 on the Way?"]
7. ^[https://www.theguardian.com/business/2011/apr/12/goldman-oil-prices "Goldman Sachs signals end of oil price rises"]
8. ^[https://www.telegraph.co.uk/finance/commodities/8515001/What-caused-the-silver-price-spike-and-crash.html "What caused the silver price spike – and crash?"]
9. ^[https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2013-04-18/goldman-s-contrarian-currie-foresaw-gold-collapse-paulson-missed "Goldman’s Contrarian Currie Foresaw Gold Collapse Paulson Missed"]
10. ^"Unlocking the economic potential of North America’s energy resources"
11. ^[https://oilprice.com/Energy/Energy-General/Deciphering-Todays-Oil-Markets.html "Deciphering Today’s Oil Markets"]
12. ^[https://www.reuters.com/article/us-oil-goldman-currie/oil-to-stay-lower-for-longer-chinese-demand-growth-to-slow-goldman-idUSKBN0L024220150127?irpc=932 "Oil to stay lower for longer; Chinese demand growth to slow - Goldman"]
13. ^"Goldman Sachs' Jeff Currie: Why bitcoin is a commodity
14. ^[https://www.bloomberg.com/news/videos/2018-05-10/goldman-s-currie-bullish-on-oil-due-to-real-demand-video "Goldman Sachs says bitcoin is a commodity"]
15. ^[https://www.fnlondon.com/articles/goldman-oil-banker-currie-20100308 "Goldman Sachs partner Jeffrey Currie goes against the flow]
16. ^"Analyst of the Year
{{DEFAULTSORT:Currie, Jeffrey}}

5 : Living people|1966 births|People from Salem, Oregon|Economists from Oregon|21st-century American economists

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