- References
The following is a Mackerras pendulum for the Queensland state election, 2017. "Safe" seats require a swing of over 10 per cent to change, "fairly safe" seats require a swing of between 6 and 10 per cent, while "marginal" seats require a swing of less than 6 per cent. | LABOR SEATS (48) | | Marginal | | Townsville | Scott Stewart | ALP | 0.4 | | Gaven | Meaghan Scanlon | ALP | 0.7 | | Mundingburra | Coralee O'Rourke | ALP | 1.1 | | Aspley | Bart Mellish | ALP | 1.2 | | Mansfield | Corrine McMillan | ALP | 1.6 | | Barron River | Craig Crawford | ALP | 1.9 | | Maryborough | Bruce Saunders | ALP | 2.5 v ONP | | Keppel | Brittany Lauga | ALP | 3.1 v ONP | | Redlands | Kim Richards | ALP | 3.1 | | Cairns | Michael Healy | ALP | 3.4 | | South Brisbane | Jackie Trad | ALP | 3.6 v GRN | | Springwood | Mick de Brenni | ALP | 3.6 | | Thuringowa | Aaron Harper | ALP | 4.1 v ONP | | Ferny Grove | Mark Furner | ALP | 4.6 | | Redcliffe | Yvette D'Ath | ALP | 4.9 | | Rockhampton | Barry O'Rourke | ALP | 5.2 v ONP | | Cook | Cynthia Lui | ALP | 5.8 v ONP | | Mount Ommaney | Jess Pugh | ALP | 5.8 | | Fairly safe | | Bancroft | Chris Whiting | ALP | 6.2 | | Pine Rivers | Nikki Boyd | ALP | 6.2 | | Logan | Linus Power | ALP | 6.8 v ONP | | Kurwongbah | Shane King | ALP | 7.0 | | Macalister | Melissa McMahon | ALP | 7.4 | | Capalaba | Don Brown | ALP | 7.9 | | McConnel | Grace Grace | ALP | 7.9 | | Miller | Mark Bailey | ALP | 8.2 | | Mackay | Julieanne Gilbert | ALP | 8.3 | | Ipswich West | Jim Madden | ALP | 8.7 v ONP | | Morayfield | Mark Ryan | ALP | 8.7 v ONP | | Murrumba | Steven Miles | ALP | 9.5 | | Jordan | Charis Mullen | ALP | 9.9 v ONP | | Stretton | Duncan Pegg | ALP | 9.9 | | Safe | | Toohey | Peter Russo | ALP | 10.0 | | Greenslopes | Joe Kelly | ALP | 10.1 | | Cooper | Kate Jones | ALP | 10.6 | | Waterford | Shannon Fentiman | ALP | 10.7 v ONP | | Bulimba | Di Farmer | ALP | 10.8 | | Ipswich | Jennifer Howard | ALP | 10.9 v ONP | | Mulgrave | Curtis Pitt | ALP | 10.9 | | Lytton | Joan Pease | ALP | 12.0 | | Stafford | Anthony Lynham | ALP | 12.1 | | Sandgate | Stirling Hinchliffe | ALP | 13.5 | | Nudgee | Leanne Linard | ALP | 14.3 | | Algester | Leeanne Enoch | ALP | 14.4 | | Gladstone | Glenn Butcher | ALP | 20.7 v ONP | | Bundamba | Jo-Ann Miller | ALP | 21.6 | | Inala | Annastacia Palaszczuk | ALP | 26.1 | | Woodridge | Cameron Dick | ALP | 26.4 | |
| LIBERAL NATIONAL SEATS (39) | | Marginal | | Whitsunday | Jason Costigan | LNP | 0.7 | | Burdekin | Dale Last | LNP | 0.8 | | Pumicestone | Simone Wilson | LNP | 0.8 | | Bonney | Sam O'Connor | LNP | 1.7 | | Clayfield | Tim Nicholls | LNP | 2.4 | | Chatsworth | Steve Minnikin | LNP | 2.9 | | Currumbin | Jann Stuckey | LNP | 3.3 | | Caloundra | Mark McArdle | LNP | 3.4 | | Glass House | Andrew Powell | LNP | 3.4 | | Coomera | Michael Crandon | LNP | 3.5 | | Theodore | Mark Boothman | LNP | 3.7 | | Lockyer | Jim McDonald | LNP | 4.1 v ONP | | Bundaberg | David Batt | LNP | 4.2 | | Burleigh | Michael Hart | LNP | 4.9 | | Everton | Tim Mander | LNP | 4.9 | | Moggill | Christian Rowan | LNP | 5.0 | | Nicklin | Marty Hunt | LNP | 5.3 | | Toowoomba North | Trevor Watts | LNP | 5.7 | | Fairly safe | | Callide | Colin Boyce | LNP | 6.1 v ONP | | Mermaid Beach | Ray Stevens | LNP | 6.3 | | Oodgeroo | Mark Robinson | LNP | 7.2 | | Southport | Rob Molhoek | LNP | 7.2 | | Ninderry | Dan Purdie | LNP | 8.4 | | Maroochydore | Fiona Simpson | LNP | 8.5 | | Gympie | Tony Perrett | LNP | 8.7 v ONP | | Hervey Bay | Ted Sorensen | LNP | 9.1 | | Warrego | Ann Leahy | LNP | 9.5 v KAP | | Mudgeeraba | Ros Bates | LNP | 9.8 | | Safe | | Toowoomba South | David Janetzki | LNP | 10.0 | | Burnett | Stephen Bennett | LNP | 10.7 | | Condamine | Pat Weir | LNP | 10.7 v ONP | | Buderim | Brent Mickelberg | LNP | 11.4 | | Kawana | Jarrod Bleijie | LNP | 13.1 | | Scenic Rim | Jon Krause | LNP | 13.1 v ONP | | Southern Downs | James Lister | LNP | 13.1 v ONP | | Nanango | Deb Frecklington | LNP | 13.4 v ONP | | Gregory | Lachlan Millar | LNP | 13.9 v ONP | | Broadwater | David Crisafulli | LNP | 18.0 | | Surfers Paradise | John-Paul Langbroek | LNP | 19.8 | | CROSSBENCH SEATS (6) | | Maiwar | Michael Berkman | GRN | Mirani | Stephen Andrew | ONP | 4.8 v ALP | | Hinchinbrook | Nick Dametto | KAP | 7.6 v LNP | | Noosa | Sandy Bolton | IND | 11.5 v LNP | | Hill | Shane Knuth | KAP | 19.7 v LNP | | Traeger | Robbie Katter | KAP | 28.5 v ALP | |
{{-}}References 1 : Pendulums for Queensland state elections |