| 词条 | Division of Makin | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 释义 |
| federal = yes | name = Makin | image = Division of MAKIN 2016.png | caption = Division of Makin in South Australia, as of the 2016 federal election. | created = 1984 | mp = Tony Zappia | mp-party = Labor | namesake = Norman Makin | electors = 107086 | electors_year = 2016 | area = 130 | class = Outer Metropolitan }} The Division of Makin is an electoral division for the Australian House of Representatives located in the northeastern suburbs of Adelaide. The 130 km² seat covers an area from Little Para River and Gould Creek in the north-east to Grand Junction Road in the south and Port Wakefield Road in the west, including the suburbs of Banksia Park, Fairview Park, Golden Grove, Greenwith, Gulfview Heights, Ingle Farm, Mawson Lakes, Modbury, Para Hills, Para Vista, Pooraka, Redwood Park, Ridgehaven, Salisbury East, Salisbury Heights, St Agnes, Surrey Downs, Tea Tree Gully, Valley View, Vista, Walkley Heights, Wynn Vale, Yatala Vale, and parts of Gepps Cross and Hope Valley. HistoryEstablished in the South Australian redistribution of 3 September 1984 and named after MP and diplomat Norman Makin, it was a marginal mortgage belt seat with a higher proportion of the population in the area paying off home loans. In the 2006 census, over 42 percent of the seat's electors had a home mortgage; ranking it 19th highest in Australia's 150 seats.[1] Created ahead of the 1984 election as a notionally fairly safe Labor seat, Labor won marginally. For the first quarter-century of its existence, the seat was a "bellwether" seat held by the party of government, both often typical of mortgage belt seats. During this time, it was usually marginal, with neither party winning more than 54 percent of the two-party vote. Later yearsLabor's Tony Zappia won the seat at the 2007 election with a fairly safe 57.7 percent two-party vote against Liberal candidate Bob Day from an 8.6 percent two-party swing as Labor won government, the largest two-party vote and swing of any party in Makin's history at the time. Zappia won enough primary votes to take the seat on the first count, the first time a candidate won a majority of the primary vote in Makin. At the 2010 election, Zappia technically made it a safe Labor seat with a 62.2 percent two-party vote, again the strongest result for any party in Makin's history. Even though Mawson Lakes was added to Makin in a redistribution, Zappia held the seat at the 2013 election with a reduced marginal 55.1 percent two-party vote even as Labor lost government, becoming the first opposition member in Makin's history. He consolidated his hold on the seat at the 2016 election with a 59.5 percent two-party vote. Bellwether seatABC psephologist Antony Green listed Makin as one of eleven which he classed as "bellwether" electorates in his 2016 election guide. Notably, Makin was the only bellwether located outside of New South Wales and Queensland.[2]Members
Election results{{main|Electoral results for the Division of Makin}}{{Election box begin|title=Australian federal election, 2016: Makin[3] }}{{Election box candidate AU party |candidate = Tony Zappia |party = Labor |votes = 39,358 |percentage = 41.84 |change = −3.72 }}{{Election box candidate AU party |candidate = Graham Reynolds |party = Liberal |votes = 26,847 |percentage = 28.54 |change = −8.66 }}{{Election box candidate AU party |candidate = Craig Bossie |party = Nick Xenophon Team |votes = 15,614 |percentage = 16.60 |change = +16.60 }}{{Election box candidate AU party |candidate = Keiran Snape |party = Greens |votes = 4,373 |percentage = 4.65 |change = −1.26 }}{{Election box candidate AU party |candidate = Paul Coombe |party = Family First |votes = 4,273 |percentage = 4.54 |change = −1.87 }}{{Election box candidate AU party |candidate = Mark Aldridge |party = Independent |votes = 2,126 |percentage = 2.26 |change = +2.26 }}{{Election box candidate AU party |candidate = Zarina Greenberg |party = Animal Justice |votes = 1,479 |percentage = 1.57 |change = +1.57 }}{{Election box formal |votes = 94,070 |percentage = 95.56 |change = +0.44 }}{{Election box informal |votes = 4,366 |percentage = 4.44 |change = −0.44 }}{{Election box turnout |votes = 98,436 |percentage = 91.92 |change = −2.06 }}{{Election box 2pp}}{{Election box candidate AU party |candidate = Tony Zappia |party = Labor |votes = 56,116 |percentage = 59.65 |change = +4.59 }}{{Election box candidate AU party |candidate = Graham Reynolds |party = Liberal |votes = 37,954 |percentage = 40.35 |change = −4.59 }}{{Election box hold AU party| |winner = Labor |swing = +4.59 }}{{Election box end}} See also
References
Notes1. ^{{cite news|first=George|last=Megalogenis|title=2006 census, customised tables commissioned by The Australian|url=http://www.theaustralian.news.com.au/files/meganomics1new.html|newspaper=The Australian|publisher=News Limited|accessdate=25 November 2007|archiveurl=https://web.archive.org/web/20071118223518/http://www.theaustralian.news.com.au/files/meganomics1new.html|archivedate=18 November 2007}} 2. ^The Bellwether Contests: Antony Green ABC 3. ^Makin, SA, Virtual Tally Room 2016, Australian Electoral Commission. External links
3 : Electoral divisions of Australia|Constituencies established in 1984|1984 establishments in Australia |
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